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2022-08-31 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2251
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.35%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
32.3%
in alpha space · 59.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.76%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0320.0865+5.55%17.23-9.46%0.1264✗0.701.6M2022-09-07
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8655+0.11%4.81-1.03%0.0210✓0.851.5M2022-09-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062110.062141+0.05%0.06023-3.03%0.0098✓1.072.0M2022-09-07
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1426.1333-0.14%6.116-0.42%0.0471✗1.308.9M2022-09-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1319.0775-0.27%19.01-0.63%0.0461✗1.2922.5M2022-09-07
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.032.0231-0.34%1.9-6.40%0.0434✓0.5193k2022-09-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020260.020175-0.42%0.02145+5.87%0.0931✗0.8311.1M2022-09-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6730.670084-0.43%0.647-3.86%0.0112✗1.214.1M2022-09-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9151.9056-0.49%1.835-4.18%0.0267✗1.6883k2022-09-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0612770.060957-0.52%0.061067-0.34%0.0424✗1.061.5M2022-09-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7465.7153-0.53%5.852+1.84%0.0565✗0.869.1M2022-09-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.16114.5252-0.55%118.71+3.08%0.0797✗1.144.6M2022-09-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029940.002977-0.58%0.002775-7.31%0.0349✓0.921.1M2022-09-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.4214-0.60%1.436+0.42%0.0550✗1.17116k2022-09-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131760.013096-0.60%0.012555-4.71%0.0180✓0.63932k2022-09-07
ZECZcashZcash59.8859.5055-0.63%59.37-0.85%0.0421✗1.161.7M2022-09-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8453.4948-0.64%57.3+6.43%0.1063✗0.9812.6M2022-09-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4750.471761-0.68%0.492+3.58%0.0882✗1.202,7102022-09-07
AAVEAaveEthereum84.8584.2501-0.71%87.55+3.18%0.0967✗1.526.2M2022-09-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.1337-0.76%2.38+10.70%0.1532✗1.14217k2022-09-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.035417-0.79%0.035-1.96%0.0184✗0.799,5472022-09-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,554.001,541.64-0.80%1,629.92+4.89%0.1085✗1.38660.9M2022-09-07
API3Api3Ethereum1.651.6364-0.83%1.799+9.03%0.1304✗0.93579k2022-09-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072740.072133-0.83%0.07208-0.91%0.0439✗1.1626k2022-09-07
GITCOINGITCOIN2.15942.1411-0.85%2.2808+5.62%0.1060✗1.1213k2022-09-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.67230.666558-0.85%0.6503-3.27%0.0286✗1.39226k2022-09-07
GTGateEthereum4.30084.2637-0.86%4.0099-6.76%0.0316✓0.77798k2022-09-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.057197-0.87%0.0525-9.01%0.0423✓1.13258k2022-09-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95350.945053-0.89%0.968+1.52%0.0430✗0.493.6M2022-09-07
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32030.317399-0.91%0.3125-2.44%0.0292✗1.17138k2022-09-07
SUSHISushiEthereum1.03471.0253-0.91%1.2517+20.97%0.2464✗1.22996k2022-09-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.08990.089053-0.94%0.0951+5.78%0.1023✗0.95381k2022-09-07
MANADecentralandEthereum0.771910.764607-0.95%0.76248-1.22%0.0308✗0.88509k2022-09-07
CBKCobakEthereum0.896560.88805-0.95%0.82479-8.01%0.0351✓1.0113k2022-09-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94270.93351-0.97%0.9023-4.29%0.0123✗1.21912k2022-09-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.317940.314826-0.98%0.32271+1.50%0.0557✗0.81340k2022-09-07
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.230214-0.98%0.231-0.65%0.0380✗0.9076k2022-09-07
KCSKuCoinnative9.0018.9124-0.98%9.204+2.26%0.0686✗0.951.4M2022-09-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30410.301056-1.00%0.3055+0.46%0.0558✗1.07107k2022-09-07
SOLSolanaSolana31.531.1791-1.02%32.7+3.81%0.0922✗1.1665.9M2022-09-07
KSMKusamaHydration47.4246.9354-1.02%48.41+2.09%0.0689✗0.99522k2022-09-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03490.03454-1.03%0.0387+10.89%0.1488✗0.9186k2022-09-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0336.96-1.04%7.201+2.39%0.0738✗1.0410.9M2022-09-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10030.099253-1.04%0.0988-1.50%0.0230✗0.722,5272022-09-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.522429-1.06%0.499-5.49%0.0057✓1.0576k2022-09-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.142964-1.06%0.1353-6.37%0.0158✓1.02130k2022-09-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.101503-1.07%0.104+1.36%0.0654✗1.073.1M2022-09-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21840.216063-1.07%0.2023-7.37%0.0158✓1.30135k2022-09-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0475.9817-1.08%6.217+2.81%0.0568✗0.484.4M2022-09-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28090.277865-1.08%0.2762-1.67%0.0304✗0.953.1M2022-09-07
STXStacksnative0.3650.361001-1.10%0.3511-3.81%0.0167✗1.16384k2022-09-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0121.9899-1.10%2.036+1.19%0.0664✗1.1342k2022-09-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023040.022783-1.12%0.02083-9.59%0.0587✓0.81459k2022-09-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.102145-1.12%0.1151+11.42%0.1523✗0.86188k2022-09-07
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015030.001486-1.12%0.001555+3.46%0.0824✗0.97424k2022-09-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.081181-1.12%0.0973+18.51%0.2171✗0.9411k2022-09-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4132.0438-1.13%37.27+15.00%0.2089✗1.5112.7M2022-09-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,048.2619,821.41-1.13%19,293.52-3.76%0.0114✓1.00504.7M2022-09-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.006190.00612-1.13%0.00557-10.02%0.0696✓0.641.0M2022-09-07
XTZTezosTezos1.51081.4937-1.13%1.4901-1.37%0.0407✗1.12296k2022-09-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6286.5522-1.14%7.083+6.86%0.1183✗1.0517.4M2022-09-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.047843-1.15%0.0476-1.65%0.0330✗0.99781k2022-09-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21120.208764-1.15%0.2023-4.21%0.0080✓1.0358k2022-09-07
DIADIAEthereum0.37170.367372-1.16%0.37324+0.41%0.0524✗0.9540k2022-09-07
COMPCompoundEthereum47.1446.5905-1.17%48.66+3.22%0.0914✗1.259,8512022-09-07
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024550.024261-1.18%0.02405-2.04%0.0403✗1.283,4352022-09-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.15310.151297-1.18%0.1561+1.96%0.0741✗1.121,5282022-09-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05950.058779-1.21%0.0621+4.37%0.0881✗0.87101k2022-09-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056680.0056-1.21%0.005885+3.82%0.0761✗0.692,1952022-09-07
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.1037-1.24%2.48+16.43%0.1937✗0.76287k2022-09-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.551180.544323-1.24%0.51799-6.02%0.0008✓1.3135k2022-09-07
XYMSymbolnative0.0431280.042587-1.26%0.041657-3.41%0.0023✓0.5227k2022-09-07
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.125998-1.26%0.1286+0.78%0.0601✗1.031.7M2022-09-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.91551.2517-1.28%51.856-0.11%0.0403✗0.74302k2022-09-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.298090.294277-1.28%0.283458-4.91%0.0043✓1.09547k2022-09-07
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.69e-7-1.28%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0434✗0.791.9M2022-09-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35130.34678-1.29%0.341-2.93%0.0244✗1.07116k2022-09-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013580.013405-1.29%0.01205-11.27%0.0809✓0.67201k2022-09-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79391.7707-1.29%1.8105+0.93%0.0637✗1.0830k2022-09-07
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7614.699-1.30%4.42-7.16%0.0099✓1.348.5M2022-09-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13950.137671-1.31%0.1417+1.58%0.0676✗1.01509k2022-09-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.165793-1.31%0.16825+0.15%0.0519✗0.97324k2022-09-07
DASHDashDash44.5543.9639-1.32%44.91+0.81%0.0584✗0.97438k2022-09-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34620.341608-1.33%0.4211+21.63%0.2571✗1.25176k2022-09-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045930.045321-1.33%0.04288-6.64%0.0279✓0.7115k2022-09-07
MOVRMoonriverBase12.3812.215-1.33%12.2966-0.67%0.0438✗0.9730k2022-09-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9592.9195-1.33%2.988+0.98%0.0822✗1.543.7M2022-09-07
METISMetisEthereum31.0330.6133-1.34%29.12-6.16%0.0228✗1.90288k2022-09-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.2923-1.35%1.41+7.63%0.1220✗0.91111k2022-09-07
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2010.19827-1.36%0.1972-1.89%0.0330✗1.00116k2022-09-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5221.5012-1.37%1.458-4.20%0.0159✗1.1870k2022-09-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12360.121908-1.37%0.1192-3.56%0.0175✗1.0423k2022-09-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.24470.241323-1.38%0.231-5.60%0.0076✓0.9475k2022-09-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.19.9602-1.38%10.18+0.79%0.0688✗1.22313k2022-09-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012080.000011912-1.39%0.00001225+1.41%0.0643✗0.95776k2022-09-07
BANDBandEthereum1.2751.2571-1.40%1.276+0.08%0.0605✗1.19460k2022-09-07
PROPropyEthereum0.730.719699-1.41%0.74+1.37%0.0391✗0.2979k2022-09-07
ZENHorizenBase15.5315.3097-1.42%14.93-3.86%0.0175✗1.11107k2022-09-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.667.5513-1.42%7.48-2.35%0.0321✗1.08430k2022-09-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13240.13051-1.43%0.1298-1.96%0.0146✗0.523.5M2022-09-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008580.008456-1.44%0.00887+3.38%0.0755✗0.725.5M2022-09-07
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.57e-7-1.45%8.90e-7+2.30%0.0678✗0.7916k2022-09-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.256.1593-1.45%6.476+3.62%0.0830✗0.864.9M2022-09-07
NANOnanopayBase0.8946030.881607-1.45%0.879731-1.66%0.0298✗0.8360k2022-09-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6630.653364-1.45%0.632-4.68%0.0042✓0.98207k2022-09-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,990.4019,698.82-1.46%19,273.80-3.58%0.0143✓0.9415k2022-09-07
ADACardanoCardano0.44580.439295-1.46%0.4788+7.40%0.1220✗0.9437.1M2022-09-07
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83270.820537-1.46%0.8269-0.70%0.0476✗1.041.7M2022-09-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06220.061288-1.47%0.0605-2.73%0.0360✗1.28908k2022-09-07
STEEMSteemnative0.22910.225715-1.48%0.2128-7.11%0.0243✓0.90489k2022-09-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45940.452572-1.49%0.466+1.44%0.0731✗1.14383k2022-09-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.507296-1.50%0.52+0.97%0.0685✗1.1483k2022-09-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28850.28418-1.50%0.2991+3.67%0.0857✗0.906.0M2022-09-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.277769-1.50%0.262-7.09%0.0307✓0.72668k2022-09-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0547-1.50%1.0053-6.12%0.0150✓0.8644k2022-09-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13941.1222-1.51%1.234+8.30%0.1288✗0.881.3M2022-09-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.512.3116-1.51%14.81+18.48%0.2254✗1.061.9M2022-09-07
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066180.065182-1.51%0.06413-3.10%0.0170✗0.877702022-09-07
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2470.243238-1.52%0.1458-40.97%0.5118✓-0.0091k2022-09-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2051.1865-1.53%1.149-4.65%0.0059✓0.991.6M2022-09-07
UMAUMAEthereum2.7282.6861-1.53%2.618-4.03%0.0078✓0.87706k2022-09-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021520.021182-1.57%0.020266-5.83%0.0132✓0.8113k2022-09-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013420.001321-1.58%0.001314-2.06%0.0253✗0.792.1M2022-09-07
TRXTRONTron0.0634280.062421-1.59%0.061842-2.50%0.0140✓0.61142k2022-09-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1043650.102702-1.59%0.10297-1.34%0.0336✗0.817.0M2022-09-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334160.328836-1.59%0.32554-2.58%0.0279✗0.9945k2022-09-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035190.034616-1.63%0.03452-1.90%0.0358✗1.0140k2022-09-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9222.8743-1.63%3.12+6.78%0.1012✗0.50650k2022-09-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4494.3758-1.65%4.366-1.87%0.0072✓0.242.3M2022-09-07
XEMNEMnative0.0439410.043216-1.65%0.042524-3.22%0.0163✓0.8529k2022-09-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.651749-1.70%0.656-1.06%0.0396✗0.86228k2022-09-07
FTTFTXEthereum26.7326.2685-1.73%25.99-2.77%0.0267✗0.977.3M2022-09-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72761.6975-1.74%1.7442+0.96%0.0641✗0.961.2M2022-09-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0440.043223-1.77%0.0466+5.91%0.1121✗0.96147k2022-09-07
HIVEHivenative0.55730.54744-1.77%0.5294-5.01%0.0013✓0.841.1M2022-09-07
XMRMoneroMonero149.22146.5694-1.78%149.27+0.03%0.0573✗1.021.3M2022-09-07
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.7856-1.78%1.717-5.56%0.0042✓0.91121k2022-09-07
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4390.431113-1.80%0.4026-8.29%0.0241✓1.15100k2022-09-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.056362-1.81%0.056-2.44%0.0292✗0.9398k2022-09-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064950.006378-1.81%0.006303-2.96%0.0041✓0.4158k2022-09-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.05030.049388-1.81%0.0487-3.18%0.0234✗0.97217k2022-09-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1413.8808-1.83%13.5-4.53%0.0145✓1.10909k2022-09-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.410322-1.84%0.41-1.91%0.0382✗1.027,9102022-09-07
QNTQuantEthereum96.4794.6916-1.84%95.72-0.78%0.0438✗0.863.5M2022-09-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.037737-1.85%0.03677-4.37%0.0051✓0.812,7072022-09-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136980.134429-1.86%0.13448-1.83%0.0463✗1.20190k2022-09-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.343406-1.88%0.3732+6.63%0.1191✗0.94347k2022-09-07
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155680.152614-1.97%0.15269-1.92%0.0786✗2.035722022-09-07
SCSiacoinnative0.004040.00396-1.98%0.00388-3.96%0.0176✓0.99144k2022-09-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2716.9198-2.03%17.6+1.91%0.0658✗0.69818k2022-09-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.6924-2.04%4.49-6.26%0.0236✓0.531.1M2022-09-07
OPTIMOptimism1.1291.106-2.04%1.172+3.81%0.1238✗1.713.2M2022-09-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7433.6666-2.04%3.906+4.35%0.1003✗0.97259k2022-09-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50540.495037-2.05%0.5039-0.30%0.0467✗0.75544k2022-09-07
QTUMQtumQtum3.1493.0834-2.08%3.096-1.68%0.0428✗1.0125k2022-09-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.311720.305218-2.09%0.27496-11.79%0.0642✓1.0512k2022-09-07
FLOWFlownative2.0722.0287-2.09%1.861-10.18%0.0344✓1.351.3M2022-09-07
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.178582-2.09%0.1787-2.03%0.0536✗1.382,2912022-09-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,021.078,830.31-2.11%9,334.02+3.47%0.1084✗1.386.0M2022-09-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.46.2636-2.13%6.38-0.31%0.0374✗0.502.1M2022-09-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.82511.5616-2.23%12.933+9.37%0.1547✗1.1111.4M2022-09-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11610.113512-2.23%0.1238+6.63%0.1148✗0.73216k2022-09-07
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.081490.07967-2.23%0.07081-13.11%0.1160✓0.05451k2022-09-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.14631.1203-2.26%1.1669+1.80%0.0995✗1.534.5M2022-09-07
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0781.053-2.32%0.901-16.42%0.1076✓1.261.5M2022-09-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3374.2346-2.36%4.093-5.63%0.0156✓0.482.0M2022-09-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80145.6608-2.42%5.1445-11.32%0.0916✓0.10115k2022-09-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.76.5274-2.58%6.41-4.33%0.0003✓0.481.7M2022-09-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4796-2.66%1.46-3.95%0.0182✓-0.13128k2022-09-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007990.007775-2.69%0.00764-4.38%0.0255✓1.12477k2022-09-07
CTKShentuOsmosis0.910.885496-2.69%1.047+15.05%0.1818✗0.374.0M2022-09-07
XVGVergenative0.003350.003256-2.81%0.00306-8.66%0.0234✓1.01486k2022-09-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001560.001516-2.84%0.001547-0.83%0.0471✗0.709,0932022-09-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.21790.211661-2.86%0.1935-11.20%0.0574✓0.843.1M2022-09-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.615.4471-2.90%5.33-4.99%0.0043✓0.452.0M2022-09-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.5695-3.06%8.83-0.11%0.0487✗0.491.9M2022-09-07
XECeCashnative0.000044520.000043146-3.09%0.00004184-6.02%0.0024✓0.861.7M2022-09-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.05163.9263-3.09%4.6305+14.29%0.1880✗0.604.2M2022-09-07
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.82764.6754-3.15%4.8-0.57%0.0647✗1.00150k2022-09-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90230.86787-3.82%0.8265-8.40%0.0069✓1.45167k2022-09-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.62946.3516-4.19%6.9285+4.51%0.0957✗0.235.4M2022-09-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0303140.028797-5.00%0.024937-17.74%0.1391✓0.13280k2022-09-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00512.3419-5.10%12.639-2.81%0.0438✓0.529.7M2022-09-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.25e-78.68e-7-6.22%8.10e-7-12.47%0.0373✓0.831.3M2022-09-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.86117.2969-7.18%7.6265-2.98%0.0578✓0.367.0M2022-09-07
LUNATerraTerra 20.000221560.00020389-7.98%0.00043861+97.96%0.7946✗0.74429k2022-09-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.