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2022-08-30 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1128
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.88%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.3%
in alpha space · 80.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.16%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010899.90e-7-9.05%7.89e-7-27.48%0.1813✓0.851.1M2022-09-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000158370.000150558-4.93%0.00037885+139.22%0.9600✗0.70429k2022-09-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.48111.974-4.06%11.915-4.53%0.0228✓0.528.9M2022-09-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.91920.884218-3.81%0.8135-11.50%0.0065✓1.45167k2022-09-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.00235.7805-3.70%7.2344+20.53%0.2410✗0.326.5M2022-09-06
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000044321-3.42%0.00004054-11.66%0.0430✓0.871.7M2022-09-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9940.961333-3.29%0.94-5.43%0.0021✓0.384.2M2022-09-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008060.007847-2.64%0.00747-7.32%0.0103✓1.12477k2022-09-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.5689-2.55%1.47-8.70%0.0709✓-0.11116k2022-09-06
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.31864.211-2.49%4.3813+1.45%0.0926✗1.00147k2022-09-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.318.1163-2.33%8.6+3.49%0.0834✗0.481.9M2022-09-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.92811.6584-2.26%11.775-1.28%0.0690✗1.1110.8M2022-09-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.84293.758-2.21%4.417+14.94%0.1932✗0.603.8M2022-09-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082370.080566-2.19%0.07402-10.14%0.0820✓0.05478k2022-09-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18110.17714-2.19%0.1824+0.72%0.1024✗1.382,2912022-09-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.61895.4961-2.19%6.6193+17.80%0.1970✗0.215.4M2022-09-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05790.056646-2.17%0.0558-3.63%0.0342✗0.9398k2022-09-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153790.150555-2.10%0.15332-0.31%0.1261✗2.046042022-09-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227850.022307-2.10%0.025115+10.23%0.1240✗0.10266k2022-09-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1333.0681-2.07%2.889-7.79%0.0330✓0.51650k2022-09-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7953.7194-1.99%3.885+2.37%0.0955✗0.98252k2022-09-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51230.502129-1.99%0.5082-0.80%0.0523✗0.76579k2022-09-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.345820.33906-1.95%0.33208-3.97%0.0286✗0.93347k2022-09-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11150.109321-1.95%0.1124+0.81%0.0656✗0.71220k2022-09-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3316.9929-1.95%16.78-3.17%0.0241✗0.69880k2022-09-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.19670.192876-1.94%0.185-5.95%0.0026✓0.843.1M2022-09-06
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0190.999303-1.93%0.907-10.99%0.0304✓1.251.4M2022-09-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001457-1.93%0.001469-1.14%0.0448✗0.699,0932022-09-06
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003944-1.89%0.00379-5.72%0.0131✓1.00152k2022-09-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037990.037282-1.86%0.03561-6.26%0.0027✓0.812,8422022-09-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.195.0952-1.83%5.2+0.19%0.0439✗0.442.0M2022-09-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4250.417237-1.83%0.399-6.12%0.0094✓1.028,1172022-09-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0994.0246-1.81%3.962-3.34%0.0087✓0.462.0M2022-09-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065370.006418-1.81%0.006199-5.17%0.0126✓0.4258k2022-09-06
XMRMoneroMonero148.87146.228-1.77%144.79-2.74%0.0440✗1.021.3M2022-09-06
ELAElastosEthereum1.8231.7908-1.77%1.727-5.27%0.0121✓0.91121k2022-09-06
TRXTRONTron0.0647050.063587-1.73%0.060766-6.09%0.0130✓0.61129k2022-09-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13520.132883-1.71%0.13097-3.13%0.0492✗1.20200k2022-09-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,874.588,722.81-1.71%8,612.34-2.95%0.0600✗1.376.2M2022-09-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.049838-1.70%0.0473-6.71%0.0003✓0.98237k2022-09-06
QNTQuantEthereum95.6394.018-1.69%90.03-5.86%0.0022✓0.863.5M2022-09-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.256412-1.68%0.1539-40.99%0.5100✓0.0191k2022-09-06
HIVEHivenative0.54890.539793-1.66%0.5213-5.03%0.0105✓0.861.3M2022-09-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.18811.1685-1.65%1.0186-14.27%0.0901✓0.891.3M2022-09-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43010.423057-1.64%0.3885-9.67%0.0241✓1.1596k2022-09-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73011.7018-1.64%1.6782-3.00%0.0372✗0.971.2M2022-09-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39185.3037-1.63%5.1426-4.62%0.0258✓0.10115k2022-09-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.146.042-1.60%6.26+1.95%0.0604✗0.471.7M2022-09-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035290.034733-1.58%0.03333-5.55%0.0126✓1.0240k2022-09-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.06351.0467-1.58%1.0359-2.60%0.0698✗1.514.5M2022-09-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04290.042232-1.56%0.0433+0.93%0.0761✗0.97156k2022-09-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336470.331242-1.55%0.31421-6.62%0.0000✓1.0046k2022-09-06
FTTFTXEthereum26.626.1891-1.54%25.64-3.61%0.0302✗0.977.3M2022-09-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.293320.288798-1.54%0.26857-8.44%0.0174✓1.0412k2022-09-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.987.859-1.52%6.8-14.79%0.0870✓1.09462k2022-09-06
XEMNEMnative0.0434150.042758-1.51%0.041181-5.15%0.0073✓0.8530k2022-09-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.035.9398-1.50%6.09+1.00%0.0506✗0.482.1M2022-09-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.279755-1.49%0.25-11.97%0.0741✓0.72686k2022-09-06
UMAUMAEthereum2.7752.7343-1.47%2.544-8.32%0.0256✓0.88706k2022-09-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013480.001328-1.46%0.001265-6.13%0.0065✓0.792.1M2022-09-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.67e-7-1.46%8.70e-7-1.14%0.0456✗0.8016k2022-09-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29170.287443-1.46%0.2855-2.13%0.0412✗0.916.5M2022-09-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014220.014015-1.44%0.01183-16.81%0.1339✓0.67174k2022-09-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024050.023704-1.44%0.02171-9.73%0.0451✓0.81459k2022-09-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214610.021155-1.43%0.019706-8.18%0.0278✓0.8114k2022-09-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1024110.100954-1.42%0.099872-2.48%0.0322✗0.817.0M2022-09-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066520.065582-1.41%0.06355-4.46%0.0118✓0.829142022-09-06
ADACardanoCardano0.4530.446616-1.41%0.4626+2.12%0.0854✗0.9537.8M2022-09-06
NANOnanopayBase0.9005080.887886-1.40%0.84826-5.80%0.0017✓0.8363k2022-09-06
STEEMSteemnative0.2260.22285-1.39%0.2072-8.32%0.0247✓0.91501k2022-09-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1717-1.38%1.103-7.15%0.0078✓0.991.7M2022-09-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81681.7918-1.37%1.6996-6.45%0.0046✓1.0833k2022-09-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.04581.0317-1.35%0.977259-6.56%0.0081✓0.8748k2022-09-06
PROPropyEthereum0.740.729997-1.35%0.71-4.05%0.0122✓0.2979k2022-09-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.000012017-1.34%0.00001199-1.56%0.0481✗0.95828k2022-09-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.099.9552-1.34%9.48-6.05%0.0159✗1.22318k2022-09-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06250.06167-1.33%0.0592-5.28%0.0055✓0.87105k2022-09-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.130744-1.33%0.1271-4.08%0.0002✓0.533.6M2022-09-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046610.045999-1.31%0.04195-10.00%0.0544✓0.7116k2022-09-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008640.008527-1.31%0.00852-1.39%0.0377✗0.735.6M2022-09-06
QTUMQtumQtum3.11583.0752-1.30%2.9851-4.19%0.0238✗1.0125k2022-09-06
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83240.821589-1.30%0.7744-6.97%0.0040✓1.041.8M2022-09-06
DASHDashDash45.5144.92-1.30%42.68-6.22%0.0002✓0.97438k2022-09-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057870.005712-1.29%0.005724-1.09%0.0386✗0.692,3002022-09-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2576.1762-1.29%6.22-0.59%0.0546✗0.905.0M2022-09-06
ZENHorizenBase15.815.5974-1.28%14.54-7.97%0.0114✓1.1193k2022-09-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.121135-1.28%0.116-5.46%0.0127✓1.0625k2022-09-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.060921-1.26%0.0605-1.94%0.0604✗1.27908k2022-09-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.24420.241139-1.25%0.2232-8.60%0.0253✓0.9881k2022-09-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1690.166887-1.25%0.15955-5.59%0.0071✓0.98340k2022-09-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,869.3019,623.84-1.24%18,917.90-4.79%0.0132✗0.9413k2022-09-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4148-1.23%4.37-2.24%0.0177✗0.531.1M2022-09-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35610.351714-1.23%0.3263-8.37%0.0175✓1.09131k2022-09-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.508664-1.23%0.482-6.41%0.0067✓1.1483k2022-09-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5561.5369-1.23%1.457-6.36%0.0090✓1.1877k2022-09-06
MOVRMoonriverBase12.316712.1659-1.22%12.1746-1.15%0.0520✗0.9732k2022-09-06
APEApeCoinEthereum4.8094.7504-1.22%4.301-10.56%0.0282✓1.348.7M2022-09-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2989690.295332-1.22%0.272462-8.87%0.0227✓1.09549k2022-09-06
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.69e-7-1.20%8.70e-7-1.14%0.0425✗0.792.0M2022-09-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.662997-1.19%0.624-7.00%0.0149✓0.86228k2022-09-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.58250.9698-1.19%49.549-3.94%0.0114✓0.75322k2022-09-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.212.0555-1.18%14.19+16.31%0.2194✗1.061.9M2022-09-06
DIADIAEthereum0.376440.372121-1.15%0.36615-2.73%0.0347✗0.9640k2022-09-06
COMPCompoundEthereum4746.4629-1.14%45.35-3.51%0.0416✗1.2411k2022-09-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.3049-1.14%1.23-6.82%0.0108✓0.91121k2022-09-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024740.024458-1.14%0.02333-5.70%0.0206✗1.283,3752022-09-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.54020.534059-1.14%0.5036-6.78%0.0111✓1.3237k2022-09-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44710.442021-1.14%0.4434-0.83%0.0634✗1.14364k2022-09-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8613.7029-1.13%13.11-5.41%0.0140✗1.10909k2022-09-06
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.126175-1.12%0.1191-6.66%0.0032✓1.031.7M2022-09-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001531-1.11%0.001603+3.55%0.0980✗0.98433k2022-09-06
FLOWFlownative2.0121.9898-1.10%1.772-11.93%0.0444✓1.351.3M2022-09-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0429660.042495-1.10%0.040185-6.47%0.0285✓0.5228k2022-09-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.24610.24342-1.09%0.2418-1.75%0.0415✗0.9176k2022-09-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.64493-1.08%0.608-6.75%0.0078✓0.97207k2022-09-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22110.218712-1.08%0.2009-9.14%0.0157✓1.31135k2022-09-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9772.9451-1.07%2.791-6.25%0.0281✗1.543.8M2022-09-06
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19560.193506-1.07%0.1894-3.17%0.0315✗1.00121k2022-09-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.034922-1.07%0.0348-1.42%0.0451✗0.9287k2022-09-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0492.0272-1.06%1.947-4.98%0.0200✗1.1444k2022-09-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13890.137455-1.04%0.1307-5.90%0.0033✓1.01510k2022-09-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28790.284942-1.03%0.2593-9.93%0.0432✓0.963.1M2022-09-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.206829-0.99%0.1963-6.03%0.0028✓1.0459k2022-09-06
OPTIMOptimism1.0831.0723-0.99%1.095+1.11%0.1137✗1.753.2M2022-09-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.00620.006139-0.98%0.00551-11.13%0.0745✓0.631.0M2022-09-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.101697-0.98%0.1014-1.27%0.0426✗0.86192k2022-09-06
METISMetisEthereum31.0530.7518-0.96%28.84-7.12%0.0366✗1.90288k2022-09-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.047938-0.95%0.0453-6.40%0.0039✓0.99796k2022-09-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.062.0404-0.95%2.26+9.71%0.1423✗0.76329k2022-09-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08150.080733-0.94%0.0785-3.68%0.0220✗0.9513k2022-09-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,813.1719,628.08-0.93%18,790.91-5.16%0.0094✗1.00490.8M2022-09-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.14640.145051-0.92%0.1322-9.70%0.0380✓1.03138k2022-09-06
KCSKuCoinnative8.9738.8911-0.91%9.033+0.67%0.0665✗0.961.5M2022-09-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.319820.31692-0.91%0.31667-0.98%0.0443✗0.85350k2022-09-06
KSMKusamaHydration47.4747.0438-0.90%45.56-4.02%0.0203✗0.99543k2022-09-06
SOLSolanaSolana31.4831.2002-0.89%30.87-1.94%0.0509✗1.1665.9M2022-09-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33410.331196-0.87%0.431+29.00%0.3293✗1.24176k2022-09-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95130.943039-0.87%0.8793-7.57%0.0058✓1.21963k2022-09-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.3132.0353-0.85%34.44+6.59%0.1521✗1.5012.9M2022-09-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96330.955119-0.85%0.938-2.63%0.0085✓0.503.6M2022-09-06
XTZTezosTezos1.49731.4847-0.84%1.433-4.29%0.0241✗1.12296k2022-09-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.14748-0.82%0.1524+2.49%0.0914✗1.111,5282022-09-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.0970.096227-0.80%0.0961-0.93%0.0369✗0.722,7842022-09-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.102185-0.79%0.0977-5.15%0.0122✗1.083.3M2022-09-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.08890.088199-0.79%0.0892+0.34%0.0618✗0.95393k2022-09-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.05061.0424-0.78%1.1464+9.12%0.1601✗1.23973k2022-09-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.114.0779-0.78%4.174+1.56%0.0353✗0.232.3M2022-09-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.057151-0.78%0.052-9.72%0.0345✓1.13258k2022-09-06
BANDBandEthereum1.2331.2235-0.77%1.182-4.14%0.0283✗1.19460k2022-09-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5586.5091-0.74%6.659+1.54%0.0787✗1.0617.7M2022-09-06
MANADecentralandEthereum0.770640.765038-0.73%0.73689-4.38%0.0094✗0.88509k2022-09-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0086.9571-0.73%6.874-1.91%0.0431✗1.0411.6M2022-09-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32520.322853-0.72%0.3016-7.26%0.0061✓1.17138k2022-09-06
STXStacksnative0.36130.358727-0.71%0.3401-5.87%0.0086✗1.17393k2022-09-06
GTGateEthereum4.25494.2249-0.71%3.9648-6.82%0.0226✓0.77775k2022-09-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30980.307676-0.69%0.296-4.45%0.0180✗1.07111k2022-09-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5190.515474-0.68%0.475-8.48%0.0256✓1.0677k2022-09-06
AAVEAaveEthereum84.3883.8293-0.65%83.58-0.95%0.0777✗1.526.3M2022-09-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071090.070655-0.61%0.06801-4.33%0.0238✗1.1726k2022-09-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.494066-0.59%0.439-11.67%0.0536✓1.222,7102022-09-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,524.811,516.13-0.57%1,559.28+2.26%0.1007✗1.37628.3M2022-09-06
CBKCobakEthereum0.883310.878468-0.55%0.80255-9.14%0.0364✓1.0214k2022-09-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0360.035803-0.55%0.0358-0.56%0.0421✗0.809,5472022-09-06
XVGVergenative0.002920.002904-0.53%0.00295+1.03%0.0685✗1.00486k2022-09-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7515.7216-0.51%5.919+2.92%0.0587✗0.474.4M2022-09-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.65660.653294-0.50%0.6322-3.72%0.0408✗1.39226k2022-09-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0152.7543-0.48%54.12+2.09%0.0775✗0.9812.7M2022-09-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131480.013087-0.46%0.012145-7.63%0.0416✓0.631.0M2022-09-06
API3Api3Ethereum1.6321.6246-0.45%1.597-2.14%0.0319✗0.93579k2022-09-06
ZECZcashZcash59.8759.6348-0.39%57.93-3.24%0.0323✗1.161.7M2022-09-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.4248-0.36%1.395-2.45%0.0410✗1.17123k2022-09-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.69114.2967-0.34%112.17-2.20%0.0416✗1.144.6M2022-09-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.666769-0.33%0.614-8.22%0.0190✓1.204.3M2022-09-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061420.061217-0.33%0.058897-4.11%0.0174✗1.061.6M2022-09-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.072.0643-0.27%1.96-5.31%0.0249✓0.5197k2022-09-06
GITCOINGITCOIN2.07682.0734-0.16%2.136+2.85%0.0887✗1.1113k2022-09-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.891.8874-0.14%1.774-6.14%0.0269✗1.6890k2022-09-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3819.354-0.13%18.21-6.04%0.0080✗1.3023.0M2022-09-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029930.00299-0.10%0.002767-7.55%0.0288✓0.921.1M2022-09-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020380.020361-0.10%0.01917-5.94%0.0159✓0.8411.4M2022-09-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7115.714+0.05%5.599-1.96%0.0254✓0.869.5M2022-09-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.072.0717+0.08%2.1+1.45%0.0741✓1.14232k2022-09-06
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1746.1844+0.17%5.829-5.59%0.0099✓1.309.5M2022-09-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063270.063418+0.23%0.05773-8.76%0.0373✗1.072.1M2022-09-06
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8786+0.38%4.52-7.00%0.0310✗0.861.5M2022-09-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3123.2931+4.41%15.93-28.60%0.3415✗0.721.5M2022-09-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.