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2022-08-29 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0717
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-7.03%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
32.4%
in alpha space · 58.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.43%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3396.3398+0.01%6.576+3.74%0.0689✓1.329.9M2022-09-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3319.3316+0.01%19.44+0.57%0.0380✓1.3222.5M2022-09-05
XVSVenusEthereum5.125.1184-0.03%4.93-3.71%0.0163✓0.861.6M2022-09-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.066510.06637-0.21%0.06402-3.74%0.0088✓1.112.1M2022-09-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14532.1394-0.27%2.3084+7.60%0.1054✗1.2013k2022-09-05
FLOWFlownative1.9191.9136-0.28%1.919+0.00%0.0363✗1.361.3M2022-09-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.1438-0.29%2.34+8.84%0.1177✗1.23238k2022-09-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.9485-0.33%1.916-1.99%0.0244✗1.6890k2022-09-05
CBKCobakEthereum0.875420.872169-0.37%0.85582-2.24%0.0053✗0.9815k2022-09-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0155.9914-0.39%6.141+2.09%0.0461✗0.879.9M2022-09-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6840.681188-0.41%0.676-1.17%0.0228✗1.244.6M2022-09-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.61118.8978-0.60%125.75+5.13%0.0843✗1.154.6M2022-09-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,551.651,541.66-0.64%1,618.01+4.28%0.0819✗1.36608.4M2022-09-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.0613-0.65%0.0625+1.30%0.0500✗1.25851k2022-09-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0638280.063394-0.68%0.062695-1.78%0.0148✗1.051.6M2022-09-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.242.2246-0.69%1.97-12.05%0.1093✓0.5097k2022-09-05
AAVEAaveEthereum85.7685.1401-0.72%91.3+6.46%0.1070✗1.516.3M2022-09-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072840.072307-0.73%0.07261-0.32%0.0334✗1.1927k2022-09-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7955.3796-0.74%60.36+8.19%0.1104✗0.9912.8M2022-09-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0137010.0136-0.74%0.013125-4.20%0.0196✓0.651.3M2022-09-05
ZECZcashZcash63.7563.2712-0.75%63.41-0.53%0.0301✗1.131.9M2022-09-05
XVGVergenative0.003010.002987-0.76%0.00309+2.66%0.0590✗1.02498k2022-09-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03730.037017-0.76%0.0367-1.61%0.0110✗0.8010k2022-09-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.68130.675969-0.78%0.6925+1.64%0.0590✗1.42226k2022-09-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032380.003212-0.79%0.002935-9.36%0.0676✓0.931.2M2022-09-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.795360.788986-0.80%0.7895-0.74%0.0229✗0.90509k2022-09-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.057135-0.81%0.0558-3.12%0.0043✓1.14258k2022-09-05
STXStacksnative0.37010.367054-0.82%0.3681-0.54%0.0315✗1.17398k2022-09-05
GTGateEthereum4.3974.3607-0.83%4.0071-8.87%0.0657✓0.77765k2022-09-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96560.957625-0.83%0.9784+1.33%0.0346✗0.533.6M2022-09-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.76.6442-0.83%7.382+10.18%0.1315✗1.0718.5M2022-09-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4951.4824-0.84%1.465-2.01%0.0173✗1.19128k2022-09-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum3534.7034-0.85%18.31-47.69%0.6225✓0.691.5M2022-09-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04910.048653-0.91%0.0496+1.02%0.0437✗1.00814k2022-09-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022670.022463-0.91%0.02134-5.87%0.0299✓0.8711.8M2022-09-05
COMPCompoundEthereum48.5748.1201-0.93%48.36-0.43%0.0357✗1.2511k2022-09-05
BANDBandEthereum1.2631.2513-0.93%1.307+3.48%0.0730✗1.20471k2022-09-05
KCSKuCoinnative9.19.0143-0.94%9.414+3.45%0.0670✗0.961.5M2022-09-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.7127-0.95%1.69-2.26%0.0100✗0.95604k2022-09-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1026.0423-0.98%6.361+4.24%0.0620✗0.434.9M2022-09-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33670.333407-0.98%0.307-8.82%0.0538✓1.17146k2022-09-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10630.10526-0.98%0.104-2.16%0.0148✗1.093.4M2022-09-05
XTZTezosTezos1.53571.5206-0.98%1.546+0.67%0.0442✗1.12308k2022-09-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.10211.0912-0.99%1.2398+12.49%0.1584✗1.25973k2022-09-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5250.519742-1.00%0.487-7.24%0.0342✓1.262,6092022-09-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.091467-1.01%0.0939+1.62%0.0500✗0.97404k2022-09-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1010.099974-1.02%0.1025+1.49%0.0428✗0.732,9872022-09-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2767.2017-1.02%7.368+1.26%0.0486✗1.0512.5M2022-09-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21020.208009-1.04%0.2097-0.24%0.0331✗1.0260k2022-09-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2910.287964-1.04%0.2822-3.02%0.0036✓0.973.2M2022-09-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,286.9720,074.62-1.05%19,794.58-2.43%0.0105✓1.00485.5M2022-09-05
SOLSolanaSolana32.4132.0695-1.05%32.18-0.71%0.0327✗1.1965.9M2022-09-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32230.318913-1.05%0.3145-2.42%0.0128✗1.09112k2022-09-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10450.1034-1.05%0.104-0.48%0.0272✗0.87196k2022-09-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.1480.146439-1.05%0.1448-2.16%0.0138✗1.02149k2022-09-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023360.023113-1.06%0.02235-4.32%0.0135✓0.82419k2022-09-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8313.6832-1.06%14.28+3.25%0.0705✗1.13959k2022-09-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9870.976435-1.07%0.9577-2.97%0.0106✓1.22963k2022-09-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34990.346142-1.07%0.3741+6.92%0.1088✗1.27176k2022-09-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78240.773954-1.08%0.8257+5.53%0.1006✗1.46161k2022-09-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08430.083379-1.09%0.0818-2.97%0.0046✓0.9614k2022-09-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2664.2193-1.09%4.501+5.51%0.0688✗0.172.3M2022-09-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0209940.020763-1.10%0.020653-1.62%0.0148✗0.8213k2022-09-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.5533.1782-1.11%39.67+18.24%0.2155✗1.5013.5M2022-09-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22190.219437-1.11%0.209-5.81%0.0168✓1.30133k2022-09-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5530.546812-1.12%0.522-5.61%0.0202✓1.0777k2022-09-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.335860.332099-1.12%0.35378+5.34%0.0855✗0.91366k2022-09-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0892.0655-1.12%2.117+1.34%0.0531✗1.1646k2022-09-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.1056-1.15%2.31+8.45%0.1121✗0.79368k2022-09-05
KSMKusamaHydration50.1249.5269-1.18%51.33+2.41%0.0602✗1.00560k2022-09-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13060.129033-1.20%0.1447+10.80%0.1285✗0.573.7M2022-09-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.6471-1.20%7.53-2.71%0.0122✗1.13504k2022-09-05
DODODODOEthereum0.13110.129521-1.20%0.1279-2.44%0.0116✓0.991.7M2022-09-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0444460.04391-1.21%0.041483-6.67%0.0442✓0.5228k2022-09-05
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.79e-7-1.21%8.90e-7+0.00%0.0315✗0.792.1M2022-09-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.25660.253457-1.22%0.2337-8.92%0.0589✓0.9185k2022-09-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.3137-1.23%1.37+3.01%0.0656✗0.96142k2022-09-05
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20190.199426-1.23%0.2046+1.34%0.0502✗1.00133k2022-09-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.036046-1.24%0.0367+0.55%0.0411✗0.9486k2022-09-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.554010.547112-1.25%0.55546+0.26%0.0471✗1.3039k2022-09-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.006490.006409-1.25%0.00599-7.70%0.0522✓0.631.1M2022-09-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2830.279457-1.25%0.271-4.24%0.0128✓0.73686k2022-09-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1230.12145-1.26%0.1229-0.08%0.0370✗1.0227k2022-09-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.06211.0487-1.26%1.0444-1.67%0.0166✗0.8448k2022-09-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6720.663502-1.26%0.662-1.49%0.0209✗0.94217k2022-09-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46070.454872-1.27%0.4722+2.50%0.0651✗1.13364k2022-09-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5270.520329-1.27%0.533+1.14%0.0524✗1.1583k2022-09-05
MOVRMoonriverBase12.660212.4975-1.29%12.9054+1.94%0.0560✗0.9733k2022-09-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052850.301351-1.29%0.298688-2.16%0.0178✗1.08560k2022-09-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14470.142826-1.30%0.1398-3.39%0.0038✓1.03535k2022-09-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025540.025209-1.30%0.02511-1.68%0.0275✗1.283,3752022-09-05
STEEMSteemnative0.22570.222771-1.30%0.222-1.64%0.0187✗0.90501k2022-09-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058740.005797-1.31%0.00602+2.48%0.0545✗0.682,4852022-09-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.24840.24514-1.31%0.2373-4.47%0.0090✓0.9679k2022-09-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.84121.8167-1.33%1.8663+1.36%0.0539✗1.1031k2022-09-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.4691-1.34%4.72+4.19%0.0670✗0.501.1M2022-09-05
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9834.916-1.34%4.75-4.68%0.0011✓1.358.8M2022-09-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42380.418064-1.35%0.4308+1.65%0.0585✗1.1689k2022-09-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1891.1728-1.36%1.17-1.60%0.0219✗0.991.8M2022-09-05
PROPropyEthereum0.740.729884-1.37%0.72-2.70%0.0055✓0.3384k2022-09-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.612.4271-1.37%14.53+15.32%0.1829✗1.081.9M2022-09-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016360.001613-1.38%0.001564-4.40%0.0073✓0.97484k2022-09-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.1640.161718-1.39%0.1562-4.76%0.0079✓1.091,7282022-09-05
ADACardanoCardano0.45050.444227-1.39%0.4987+10.70%0.1399✗0.9837.9M2022-09-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.19453.4329-1.40%53.71-0.89%0.0235✗0.74322k2022-09-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.2810.1346-1.41%10.8+5.06%0.0935✗1.22339k2022-09-05
ZENHorizenBase16.4416.2071-1.42%16.1-2.07%0.0207✗1.11107k2022-09-05
DIADIAEthereum0.38550.379897-1.45%0.38052-1.29%0.0256✗0.9845k2022-09-05
METISMetisEthereum32.4932.0175-1.45%30.53-6.03%0.0009✓1.90288k2022-09-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.171457-1.46%0.173-0.57%0.0347✗1.05363k2022-09-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06370.062759-1.48%0.0559-12.24%0.0933✓0.91105k2022-09-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008778-1.48%0.00891+0.00%0.0339✗0.775.8M2022-09-05
NANOnanopayBase0.9187330.905006-1.49%0.898557-2.20%0.0129✓0.8270k2022-09-05
TRXTRONTron0.0634370.062486-1.50%0.062937-0.79%0.0220✗0.60129k2022-09-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.67e-7-1.50%8.90e-7+1.14%0.0463✗0.8116k2022-09-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.687459-1.51%0.663-5.01%0.0146✓0.88234k2022-09-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9890.97403-1.51%1.044+5.56%0.1002✗1.251.4M2022-09-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10320.101633-1.52%0.1303+26.26%0.2673✗0.77235k2022-09-05
DASHDashDash47.4646.7354-1.53%47.59+0.27%0.0422✗0.98458k2022-09-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048160.047418-1.54%0.0442-8.22%0.0539✓0.6716k2022-09-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29810.293497-1.54%0.3046+2.18%0.0595✗0.916.9M2022-09-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.059659-1.55%0.0571-5.78%0.0206✓0.9598k2022-09-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012480.000012285-1.56%0.00001261+1.04%0.0497✗0.96828k2022-09-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1059180.104255-1.57%0.10507-0.80%0.0282✗0.837.0M2022-09-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.28365.2002-1.58%5.0514-4.39%0.0257✓0.14117k2022-09-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07991.0628-1.58%1.1527+6.74%0.1184✗1.514.5M2022-09-05
XEMNEMnative0.0445650.043861-1.58%0.043718-1.90%0.0176✗0.8530k2022-09-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.7681.7399-1.59%1.752-0.90%0.0298✗0.93121k2022-09-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36640.360551-1.60%0.355-3.11%0.0112✓1.09155k2022-09-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.18233.1315-1.60%3.3484+5.22%0.0920✗1.0226k2022-09-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067420.066342-1.60%0.06802+0.89%0.0448✗0.819142022-09-05
HIVEHivenative0.54610.537359-1.60%0.5388-1.34%0.0240✗0.871.3M2022-09-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.301060.296176-1.62%0.28593-5.03%0.0096✓1.0412k2022-09-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.5885-1.64%1.573-2.60%0.0197✗1.2085k2022-09-05
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86930.854979-1.65%0.8473-2.53%0.0173✗1.071.8M2022-09-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70991.6812-1.68%1.6684-2.43%0.0166✓0.991.1M2022-09-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6826.5695-1.68%6.734+0.78%0.0469✗0.905.0M2022-09-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.257043-1.70%0.1628-37.74%0.4565✓0.0191k2022-09-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2216.926-1.71%17.32+0.58%0.0408✗0.72921k2022-09-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.043344-1.71%0.0446+1.13%0.0524✗0.97166k2022-09-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.8562.8069-1.72%2.722-4.69%0.0091✓0.88734k2022-09-05
FTTFTXEthereum27.3426.8589-1.76%26.62-2.63%0.0151✓0.987.3M2022-09-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.34760.341465-1.76%0.34064-2.00%0.0219✗0.9947k2022-09-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01510.014833-1.77%0.01272-15.76%0.1368✓0.69165k2022-09-05
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.1531-1.78%1.199+2.13%0.0818✗1.743.3M2022-09-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037920.037239-1.79%0.03742-1.32%0.0246✗0.802,7072022-09-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,303.8019,937.01-1.81%19,866.30-2.15%0.0196✗0.9413k2022-09-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,081.728,917.36-1.81%9,493.61+4.54%0.0962✗1.376.5M2022-09-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014010.001376-1.81%0.00133-5.05%0.0137✓0.802.1M2022-09-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05250.05154-1.83%0.0508-3.24%0.0102✓1.00248k2022-09-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17250.169313-1.85%0.1872+8.52%0.1346✗1.392,2552022-09-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.296.1721-1.87%6.64+5.56%0.0844✗0.462.1M2022-09-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.386.2576-1.92%6.72+5.33%0.0824✗0.451.7M2022-09-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1774.096-1.94%4.31+3.18%0.0607✗0.401.9M2022-09-05
XMRMoneroMonero152.71149.7403-1.94%157.52+3.15%0.0748✗0.981.3M2022-09-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066960.006566-1.95%0.00635-5.17%0.0230✓0.4258k2022-09-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.315.2051-1.97%5.7+7.34%0.1018✗0.452.3M2022-09-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139560.136716-2.04%0.13844-0.80%0.0428✗1.23210k2022-09-05
QNTQuantEthereum101.1699.094-2.04%93.14-7.93%0.0409✓0.863.4M2022-09-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.4105-2.05%1.45+0.69%0.0262✗-0.06105k2022-09-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.43811.1953-2.12%12.633+10.45%0.1488✗1.1410.4M2022-09-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.26281.2358-2.14%1.1375-9.92%0.0606✓0.911.4M2022-09-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015290.001496-2.16%0.001468-3.99%0.0016✓0.709,4152022-09-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5230.511653-2.17%0.5193-0.71%0.0350✗0.82586k2022-09-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004070.003979-2.25%0.00402-1.23%0.0348✗1.00158k2022-09-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4410.431044-2.26%–pending––1.028,3142022-09-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036770.035932-2.28%0.03562-3.13%0.0160✓1.0140k2022-09-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084290.082344-2.31%0.07583-10.04%0.0814✓0.04535k2022-09-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.88113.7882-2.39%4.9518+27.59%0.2828✗0.613.3M2022-09-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230850.022531-2.40%0.025549+10.67%0.1283✗0.11262k2022-09-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.77785.6344-2.48%7.2089+24.77%0.2516✗0.215.2M2022-09-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.360850.35175-2.52%0.35-3.01%0.0177✓0.92339k2022-09-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.468.2452-2.54%9.21+8.87%0.1227✗0.492.0M2022-09-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.473.3772-2.67%3.005-13.40%0.0793✓1.533.8M2022-09-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.21590.210121-2.68%0.2073-3.98%0.0066✓0.823.1M2022-09-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2034.0889-2.71%4.075-3.05%0.0210✓0.99245k2022-09-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.158390.153769-2.92%0.158-0.25%0.0772✗2.046362022-09-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2763.1792-2.95%2.972-9.28%0.0543✓0.53650k2022-09-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013170.000127712-3.03%0.00040493+207.46%1.1732✗0.79366k2022-09-05
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.684.5361-3.08%4.7997+2.56%0.0811✗1.00150k2022-09-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9460.914981-3.28%1.056+11.63%0.1541✗0.444.2M2022-09-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008530.008223-3.60%0.00785-7.97%0.0189✓1.12477k2022-09-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.07745.8312-4.05%7.3781+21.40%0.2420✗0.275.2M2022-09-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.77712.2081-4.45%13.008+1.81%0.0759✗0.507.6M2022-09-05
XECeCashnative0.000049930.000047446-4.98%0.00004372-12.44%0.0605✓0.871.7M2022-09-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.65e-78.18e-7-5.50%8.55e-7-1.19%0.0661✗0.87930k2022-09-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.