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2022-08-26 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0339
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
36.0%
in alpha space · 45.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.42%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FLOWFlownative1.8511.8988+2.58%1.965+6.16%0.0533✓1.331.2M2022-09-02
OPTIMOptimism1.0191.0415+2.21%1.234+21.10%0.1945✓1.743.5M2022-09-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063210.064366+1.83%0.06497+2.78%0.0253✓1.122.4M2022-09-02
METISMetisEthereum31.131.5911+1.58%31.7+1.93%0.0303✓1.88348k2022-09-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6715.7458+1.32%5.831+2.82%0.0271✓0.8710.1M2022-09-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33970.343835+1.22%0.3489+2.71%0.0323✓1.24191k2022-09-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3861.4024+1.18%1.488+7.36%0.0761✓1.18130k2022-09-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.7545+1.16%3.028+11.20%0.1173✓1.594.0M2022-09-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33230.335494+0.96%0.3031-8.79%0.0850✗1.16112k2022-09-02
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7283.4962+0.94%88.39+6.85%0.0791✓1.556.7M2022-09-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6812.704+0.86%2.96+10.41%0.0999✓0.66653k2022-09-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778130.783377+0.67%0.77622-0.25%0.0039✓0.92523k2022-09-02
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1546.1945+0.66%6.406+4.09%0.0523✓1.3110.3M2022-09-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6470.650861+0.60%0.657+1.55%0.0221✓0.89253k2022-09-02
DODODODOEthereum0.12730.128056+0.59%0.1232-3.22%0.0248✗0.971.9M2022-09-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10240.102949+0.54%0.103+0.59%0.0161✓1.103.9M2022-09-02
GTGateEthereum4.37994.403+0.53%4.2655-2.61%0.0208✗0.77827k2022-09-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.327.3584+0.53%7.59+3.69%0.0469✓1.11638k2022-09-02
STXStacksnative0.36120.362784+0.44%0.3635+0.64%0.0186✓1.17450k2022-09-02
SOLSolanaSolana31.7431.8567+0.37%31.24-1.58%0.0030✓1.1670.1M2022-09-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.27496+0.35%0.27-1.46%0.0078✗0.73826k2022-09-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.16622.1733+0.33%2.2074+1.90%0.0330✓1.2313k2022-09-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.08870.088972+0.31%0.0931+4.96%0.0590✓0.95430k2022-09-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6321.6368+0.29%1.534-6.00%0.0476✗1.2196k2022-09-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003120.003128+0.26%0.002989-4.20%0.0328✗0.891.1M2022-09-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2217.2637+0.25%17.08-0.81%0.0005✓0.711.2M2022-09-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06340.063555+0.24%0.057-10.09%0.0959✗0.91116k2022-09-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28310.28379+0.24%0.3024+6.82%0.0767✓0.937.6M2022-09-02
BANDBandEthereum1.2231.2255+0.21%1.31+7.11%0.0843✓1.24534k2022-09-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131480.131691+0.16%0.13722+4.37%0.0586✓1.22210k2022-09-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070150.070253+0.15%0.07182+2.38%0.0391✓1.1929k2022-09-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.12474+0.11%0.1352+8.51%0.0887✓0.584.1M2022-09-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.70530.706039+0.10%0.6722-4.69%0.0286✗1.44258k2022-09-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021860.021882+0.10%0.02024-7.41%0.0659✗0.8513.4M2022-09-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044580.044623+0.10%0.04476+0.40%0.0130✓0.7016k2022-09-02
COMPCompoundEthereum45.9245.9487+0.06%45.81-0.24%0.0146✓1.2414k2022-09-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20820.208319+0.06%0.2088+0.29%0.0169✓1.0266k2022-09-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.2712.2758+0.05%13.76+12.14%0.1302✓1.131.9M2022-09-02
XMRMoneroMonero142.81142.822+0.01%153.67+7.60%0.0876✓1.001.2M2022-09-02
DIADIAEthereum0.368280.368298+0.00%0.3771+2.39%0.0374✓0.9753k2022-09-02
ZECZcashZcash61.161.0997-0.00%60.36-1.21%0.0040✗1.132.0M2022-09-02
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7744.7736-0.01%4.706-1.42%0.0053✗1.379.8M2022-09-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.006570.006569-0.02%0.00602-8.37%0.0780✓0.651.2M2022-09-02
XEMNEMnative0.0438050.043791-0.03%0.044071+0.61%0.0186✗0.8632k2022-09-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336050.335935-0.03%0.33413-0.57%0.0086✗0.9870k2022-09-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05291.0523-0.06%1.0939+3.89%0.0601✗1.494.9M2022-09-02
CBKCobakEthereum0.867510.866937-0.07%0.87122+0.43%0.0189✗0.9813k2022-09-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015660.001565-0.08%0.001603+2.36%0.0382✗0.98558k2022-09-02
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77510.774474-0.08%0.829+6.95%0.0836✗1.092.1M2022-09-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38790.387511-0.10%0.436+12.40%0.1339✗1.1289k2022-09-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.661153-0.13%0.713+7.70%0.0889✗0.94304k2022-09-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9133.8636-0.14%32.45-4.31%0.0221✓1.4416.0M2022-09-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008467-0.15%0.00875+3.18%0.0439✗0.776.4M2022-09-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.7485.7387-0.16%6.292+9.46%0.1054✗0.935.2M2022-09-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44910.448352-0.17%0.466+3.76%0.0546✗1.12400k2022-09-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5046.4924-0.18%6.93+6.55%0.0805✗1.0719.5M2022-09-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0454970.045414-0.18%0.043204-5.04%0.0425✓0.5233k2022-09-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.6831.6797-0.19%1.701+1.07%0.0261✗0.95782k2022-09-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5170.515976-0.20%0.479-7.35%0.0568✓1.232,6092022-09-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.043212-0.20%0.0438+1.15%0.0275✗0.98180k2022-09-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95780.955756-0.21%0.93-2.90%0.0100✓1.221.0M2022-09-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27920.278567-0.23%0.281+0.64%0.0223✗0.963.4M2022-09-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055380.005526-0.23%0.005767+4.13%0.0523✗0.672,6192022-09-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.9374-0.23%1.899-2.21%0.0045✗1.72106k2022-09-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,240.7220,191.33-0.24%19,953.74-1.42%0.0024✓1.00485.5M2022-09-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.507722-0.25%0.508-0.20%0.0169✗1.1488k2022-09-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.155777-0.27%0.1524-2.43%0.0064✓1.091,8902022-09-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06260.062427-0.28%0.0619-1.12%0.0090✗1.221.0M2022-09-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6820.6227-0.28%18.87-8.75%0.0704✓1.2923.6M2022-09-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95920.956536-0.28%0.9679+0.91%0.0198✗0.563.6M2022-09-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35560.354609-0.28%0.3535-0.59%0.0127✗1.11175k2022-09-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,508.021,503.74-0.28%1,575.69+4.49%0.0659✗1.34608.4M2022-09-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03780.037691-0.29%0.0367-2.91%0.0146✓0.8411k2022-09-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16190.161417-0.30%0.1768+9.20%0.1107✗1.382,1742022-09-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.139178-0.30%0.1381-1.07%0.0062✗0.98638k2022-09-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10120.100888-0.31%0.1-1.19%0.0014✓0.723,6712022-09-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.7152.5404-0.32%61.02+15.77%0.1638✗0.9913.1M2022-09-02
KSMKusamaHydration44.5244.3721-0.33%47.83+7.43%0.0892✗0.99610k2022-09-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04720.047039-0.34%0.0486+2.97%0.0466✗0.98843k2022-09-02
XECeCashnative0.000036680.000036551-0.35%0.00004622+26.01%0.2475✗0.901.7M2022-09-02
ZENHorizenBase15.5215.4631-0.37%15.53+0.06%0.0203✗1.12130k2022-09-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1511.1466-0.38%1.181+2.61%0.0436✗0.992.1M2022-09-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.554187-0.40%0.53972-3.00%0.0081✓1.2945k2022-09-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.16115.6912-0.40%116.4+0.21%0.0223✗1.134.9M2022-09-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.12053.1079-0.40%3.1377+0.55%0.0240✗1.0128k2022-09-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06851.0641-0.42%1.1131+4.17%0.0629✗1.25981k2022-09-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9226.8926-0.42%7.3+5.46%0.0721✗1.0314.0M2022-09-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.013269-0.46%0.01333+0.00%0.0137✗0.641.4M2022-09-02
HIVEHivenative0.53430.531702-0.49%0.5541+3.71%0.0539✗0.881.6M2022-09-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.162.1491-0.50%2.19+1.39%0.0365✗1.24299k2022-09-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12070.120091-0.50%0.1218+0.91%0.0288✗1.0233k2022-09-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.05081.0455-0.51%1.0393-1.10%0.0063✗0.8653k2022-09-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.14751.8726-0.53%53.741+3.06%0.0460✗0.75340k2022-09-02
TRXTRONTron0.0615520.061227-0.53%0.062628+1.75%0.0311✗0.59151k2022-09-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.24330.241969-0.55%0.2409-0.99%0.0093✗0.9683k2022-09-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.428596-0.56%0.423-1.86%0.0010✓0.998,3142022-09-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.280990.279421-0.56%0.29376+4.54%0.0650✗1.0512k2022-09-02
XVGVergenative0.003030.003013-0.56%0.00313+3.30%0.0528✗1.03537k2022-09-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.04980.049521-0.56%0.0499+0.20%0.0219✗1.00251k2022-09-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1038590.103263-0.57%0.104596+0.71%0.0251✗0.867.8M2022-09-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2823-0.60%1.31+1.55%0.0351✗0.96182k2022-09-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.020601-0.60%0.020785+0.28%0.0208✗0.8313k2022-09-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4429-0.61%4.95+10.74%0.1147✗0.461.3M2022-09-02
STEEMSteemnative0.22130.219923-0.62%0.2233+0.90%0.0282✗0.91528k2022-09-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.72.6832-0.62%2.743+1.59%0.0343✗0.86749k2022-09-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.057038-0.63%0.0568-1.05%0.0087✗0.90104k2022-09-02
DASHDashDash44.344.0174-0.64%45.69+3.14%0.0513✗0.98504k2022-09-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47730.474201-0.65%0.4979+4.32%0.0605✗0.82625k2022-09-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77411.7625-0.65%1.788+0.79%0.0298✗1.0838k2022-09-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.318.2542-0.67%9.58+15.28%0.1554✗0.452.3M2022-09-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0635310.063102-0.67%0.061662-2.94%0.0082✓1.041.9M2022-09-02
ADACardanoCardano0.43170.428761-0.68%0.4544+5.26%0.0730✗1.0440.7M2022-09-02
FTTFTXEthereum25.9725.7901-0.69%26.31+1.31%0.0336✗0.967.5M2022-09-02
XVSVenusEthereum5.135.0943-0.70%4.86-5.26%0.0348✓0.861.6M2022-09-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331610.329289-0.70%0.35346+6.59%0.0850✗0.99418k2022-09-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03580.035545-0.71%0.035-2.23%0.0021✓0.9386k2022-09-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.262578-0.73%0.2313-12.55%0.1134✓0.94106k2022-09-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.168764-0.73%0.168-1.18%0.0109✗1.08464k2022-09-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10290.102099-0.78%0.1007-2.14%0.0014✓0.87238k2022-09-02
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.920776-0.78%1.008+8.62%0.0964✗0.414.2M2022-09-02
QNTQuantEthereum98.2397.4544-0.79%92.78-5.55%0.0370✓0.853.5M2022-09-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0352.0188-0.80%2.034-0.05%0.0240✗1.1655k2022-09-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.313.1931-0.80%14.03+5.49%0.0791✗1.231.2M2022-09-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.141847-0.81%0.141-1.40%0.0085✗1.01190k2022-09-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,981.548,908.26-0.82%10,076.20+12.19%0.1426✗1.367.3M2022-09-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5460.541538-0.82%0.538-1.47%0.0091✗1.0996k2022-09-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2890820.286688-0.83%0.292616+1.22%0.0361✗1.09696k2022-09-02
XTZTezosTezos1.48281.4701-0.86%1.4907+0.53%0.0297✗1.10355k2022-09-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05990.059356-0.91%0.0558-6.84%0.0455✓1.14258k2022-09-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.492.4674-0.91%1.98-20.48%0.2128✓0.5193k2022-09-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.2329.1478-0.91%9.161-0.77%0.0150✗0.951.8M2022-09-02
NANOnanopayBase0.88010.871925-0.93%0.876412-0.42%0.0167✗0.8184k2022-09-02
SCSiacoinnative0.003910.003873-0.95%0.00396+1.28%0.0365✗1.00158k2022-09-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08570.084876-0.96%0.0821-4.20%0.0199✓0.9414k2022-09-02
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.62e-7-0.97%8.90e-7+2.30%0.0439✗0.802.4M2022-09-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.361.3467-0.98%1.48+8.82%0.0938✗-0.04124k2022-09-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037830.037445-1.02%0.03809+0.69%0.0288✗0.822,8422022-09-02
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19730.195282-1.02%0.1986+0.66%0.0311✗1.00152k2022-09-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.670.662674-1.09%0.668-0.30%0.0263✗1.285.2M2022-09-02
MOVRMoonriverBase12.120111.9875-1.09%12.8342+5.89%0.0820✗0.9639k2022-09-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.50e-7-1.12%8.90e-7+3.49%0.0572✗0.8217k2022-09-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012430.000012291-1.12%0.00001218-2.01%0.0044✓0.94948k2022-09-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.154180.152428-1.14%0.15905+3.16%0.0723✗2.086042022-09-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5310.4094-1.15%10.18-3.32%0.0054✓1.19466k2022-09-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.258104-1.15%0.1972-24.47%0.2690✓0.0191k2022-09-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14945.0892-1.17%5.402+4.91%0.0616✗0.14158k2022-09-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015860.015668-1.21%0.01324-16.52%0.1588✓0.67171k2022-09-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066650.006583-1.23%0.006468-2.96%0.0114✓0.4457k2022-09-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.024286-1.27%0.0246+0.00%0.0311✗1.283,4352022-09-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6925.6181-1.30%6.365+11.82%0.1302✗0.385.3M2022-09-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7731.7495-1.32%1.76-0.73%0.0195✗0.94145k2022-09-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001466-1.33%0.001528+2.83%0.0515✗0.729,9742022-09-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.55411.3954-1.37%12.614+9.17%0.1176✗1.1210.4M2022-09-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.235.158-1.38%5.99+14.53%0.1553✗0.402.8M2022-09-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,587.8020,301.63-1.39%20,019.30-2.76%0.0005✓0.9513k2022-09-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1244.0633-1.47%4.42+7.18%0.0895✗0.371.9M2022-09-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22450.221168-1.48%0.2219-1.16%0.0223✗1.33133k2022-09-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007650.007536-1.48%0.00814+6.41%0.0931✗1.13503k2022-09-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9250.911169-1.50%1.084+17.19%0.1911✗1.221.4M2022-09-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.9475-1.53%7.11+17.72%0.1846✗0.422.1M2022-09-02
PROPropyEthereum0.730.71849-1.58%0.72-1.37%0.0071✓0.35105k2022-09-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.340.334514-1.61%0.34352+1.04%0.0401✗0.95321k2022-09-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.2134-1.63%2.25+0.00%0.0277✗0.79451k2022-09-02
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80010.786239-1.73%0.889+11.11%0.1433✗1.43193k2022-09-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72351.6919-1.84%1.798+4.32%0.0757✗1.041.2M2022-09-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0231980.022771-1.84%0.025779+11.13%0.1258✗0.12250k2022-09-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.083671-1.86%0.0801-6.05%0.0427✓0.07637k2022-09-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.975.8574-1.89%6.91+15.75%0.1714✗0.432.5M2022-09-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023340.022888-1.94%0.02248-3.68%0.0069✓0.78444k2022-09-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.693.6176-1.96%5.1574+39.77%0.3630✗0.593.5M2022-09-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.098595-1.99%0.1196+18.89%0.2039✗0.75247k2022-09-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1494.064-2.05%4.612+11.16%0.1285✗0.142.4M2022-09-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066250.064886-2.06%0.0671+1.28%0.0453✗0.829142022-09-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.39830.389863-2.12%0.3186-20.01%0.1860✓1.11152k2022-09-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3936.5883-2.14%19.34-48.27%0.6252✓0.871.8M2022-09-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24891.2212-2.22%1.1047-11.55%0.0868✓0.941.5M2022-09-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000123060.000120323-2.22%0.00024148+96.23%0.7090✗0.86340k2022-09-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013750.001338-2.68%0.001355-1.44%0.0241✓0.802.0M2022-09-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036890.03588-2.74%0.03437-6.83%0.0287✓1.0031k2022-09-02
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30274.179-2.87%5.0427+17.20%0.2021✗1.00169k2022-09-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.20770.201184-3.14%0.2187+5.30%0.0951✗0.822.8M2022-09-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2254.0912-3.17%3.82-9.59%0.0546✓0.98269k2022-09-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.08664.8936-3.79%7.5477+48.38%0.4363✗0.215.1M2022-09-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.78814.5991-3.95%7.9584+66.21%0.5520✗0.254.2M2022-09-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.57e-77.15e-7-5.51%8.64e-7+14.14%0.2006✗0.82192k2022-09-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.74411.0623-5.81%14.875+26.66%0.3030✗0.484.8M2022-09-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.