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2022-08-25 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0350
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.28%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.0%
in alpha space · 87.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.62%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0213.0288+0.26%2.931-2.98%0.0753✓1.584.0M2022-09-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5411.5438+0.18%1.461-5.19%0.0247✓1.16138k2022-09-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069790.069913+0.18%0.06427-7.91%0.0084✗1.112.4M2022-09-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3566.3419-0.22%5.77-9.22%0.0368✓0.8410.1M2022-09-01
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0237.0043-0.27%6.315-10.08%0.0154✓1.2910.3M2022-09-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0042.9944-0.32%2.946-1.93%0.0270✗0.63669k2022-09-01
XVSVenusEthereum5.695.6622-0.49%4.91-13.71%0.0852✓0.841.6M2022-09-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075880.075466-0.55%0.07449-1.83%0.0684✗1.1929k2022-09-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3526.3162-0.56%6.313-0.61%0.0624✗0.925.2M2022-09-01
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1711-0.59%1.178+0.00%0.1239✗1.723.6M2022-09-01
FLOWFlownative2.1372.1238-0.62%2.047-4.21%0.0523✗1.301.2M2022-09-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7340.729307-0.64%0.674-8.17%0.0126✗1.335.0M2022-09-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42470.42188-0.66%0.4267+0.47%0.0877✗1.1189k2022-09-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6256.2285-0.69%57.56+1.66%0.0912✗0.9913.5M2022-09-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023910.023745-0.69%0.02063-13.72%0.0820✓0.8613.4M2022-09-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0081.0006-0.73%0.9574-5.02%0.0065✓0.553.6M2022-09-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.840180.833887-0.75%0.78027-7.13%0.0040✓0.91507k2022-09-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.192.1731-0.77%1.955-10.73%0.0121✗1.72114k2022-09-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.951410.94404-0.77%0.8799-7.52%0.0044✓0.9613k2022-09-01
KSMKusamaHydration48.5448.1547-0.79%47.43-2.29%0.0523✗0.98607k2022-09-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0144820.014365-0.81%0.013315-8.06%0.0329✓0.631.4M2022-09-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023030.022843-0.81%0.02281-0.96%0.0537✗0.80419k2022-09-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,695.271,681.35-0.82%1,586.23-6.43%0.0329✗1.33608.4M2022-09-01
GTGateEthereum4.5674.5294-0.82%4.3083-5.66%0.0029✓0.77827k2022-09-01
STXStacksnative0.39980.396471-0.83%0.3628-9.25%0.0097✓1.15470k2022-09-01
ZECZcashZcash67.7567.1572-0.88%58.98-12.94%0.0533✓1.122.0M2022-09-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047920.047496-0.89%0.0454-5.26%0.0013✓0.6816k2022-09-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058560.005804-0.89%0.005808-0.83%0.0465✗0.672,6192022-09-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5837.5128-0.93%7.184-5.26%0.0253✗1.0214.0M2022-09-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.137.0633-0.94%6.927-2.85%0.0531✗1.0619.5M2022-09-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38010.376542-0.94%0.3184-16.23%0.0814✓1.26152k2022-09-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9822.7634-0.94%19.3-16.01%0.0769✓1.2924.1M2022-09-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.983-0.96%7.62-5.46%0.0290✗1.10638k2022-09-01
AAVEAaveEthereum93.3592.4398-0.98%86.42-7.42%0.0379✗1.546.7M2022-09-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86580.857306-0.98%0.8299-4.15%0.0413✗1.082.2M2022-09-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.69129.3558-1.02%116.73-10.68%0.0263✓1.114.9M2022-09-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.7639.6627-1.03%9.143-6.35%0.0101✓0.951.8M2022-09-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034950.003459-1.03%0.002879-17.63%0.1245✓0.861.1M2022-09-01
COMPCompoundEthereum51.4850.9457-1.04%48.03-6.70%0.0246✗1.2215k2022-09-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30560.3024-1.05%0.2842-7.00%0.0027✓0.953.4M2022-09-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7214.5644-1.06%14.02-4.76%0.0455✗1.221.3M2022-09-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04070.04026-1.08%0.0367-9.83%0.0352✓0.8411k2022-09-01
XVGVergenative0.003280.003244-1.10%0.00318-3.05%0.0508✗1.03537k2022-09-01
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.139234-1.11%0.1272-9.66%0.0253✓0.951.9M2022-09-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.097795-1.12%0.0925-6.47%0.0083✓0.93430k2022-09-01
DIADIAEthereum0.411010.406405-1.12%0.37505-8.75%0.0157✓0.9462k2022-09-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.580.573492-1.12%0.489-15.69%0.0758✓1.222,3272022-09-01
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.10e-7-1.13%8.90e-7-3.26%0.0327✗0.792.4M2022-09-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49610.490472-1.13%0.4685-5.56%0.0304✗1.11400k2022-09-01
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000039019-1.14%0.00004614+16.90%0.2284✗0.891.7M2022-09-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.47642.4479-1.15%2.2908-7.49%0.0159✗1.2013k2022-09-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.052288-1.16%0.0486-8.13%0.0079✓0.95877k2022-09-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04851.0363-1.17%0.9424-10.12%0.0123✓1.211.0M2022-09-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06760.066811-1.17%0.0612-9.47%0.0041✓1.221.0M2022-09-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37540.371005-1.17%0.346-7.83%0.0149✗1.23205k2022-09-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50980.503795-1.18%0.5023-1.47%0.0529✗0.81625k2022-09-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11590.114509-1.20%0.1049-9.49%0.0144✓1.073.7M2022-09-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.99e-7-1.21%8.80e-7-3.30%0.0346✗0.8217k2022-09-01
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.3663-1.21%1.292-6.58%0.0276✗1.22534k2022-09-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,561.8621,300.71-1.21%20,133.65-6.62%0.0122✗1.00485.5M2022-09-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.20061.186-1.21%1.06-11.71%0.0276✓1.24981k2022-09-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.062825-1.22%0.0557-12.42%0.0414✓1.15258k2022-09-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11160.110224-1.23%0.1013-9.23%0.0255✓0.86255k2022-09-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81970.809465-1.25%0.8971+9.44%0.2030✗1.46205k2022-09-01
XTZTezosTezos1.6691.6481-1.25%1.5398-7.74%0.0067✓1.09355k2022-09-01
SOLSolanaSolana35.2534.8048-1.26%31.62-10.30%0.0172✓1.1570.1M2022-09-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09090.089742-1.27%0.0821-9.68%0.0235✓0.9613k2022-09-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143260.141409-1.29%0.13757-3.97%0.0563✗1.22213k2022-09-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.26920.265714-1.29%0.2309-14.23%0.0732✓0.98109k2022-09-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.672.6353-1.30%1.97-26.22%0.2570✓0.5093k2022-09-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10980.10837-1.30%0.0996-9.29%0.0364✓0.703,6712022-09-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.292138-1.30%0.276-6.76%0.0076✓0.72826k2022-09-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.9431.9176-1.31%1.693-12.87%0.0625✓0.91782k2022-09-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22890.225909-1.31%0.2105-8.04%0.0019✓1.0070k2022-09-01
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3795.3084-1.31%4.764-11.43%0.0156✓1.3510.1M2022-09-01
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21790.21504-1.31%0.2038-6.47%0.0148✗1.00149k2022-09-01
ZENHorizenBase17.1916.9628-1.32%15.87-7.68%0.0088✓1.10130k2022-09-01
MOVRMoonriverBase13.461513.2831-1.33%12.1573-9.69%0.0236✓0.9539k2022-09-01
ADACardanoCardano0.46420.458047-1.33%0.4576-1.42%0.0701✗1.0440.7M2022-09-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.613.4191-1.33%13.45-1.10%0.0786✗1.111.9M2022-09-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691720.068243-1.34%0.062347-9.87%0.0198✓1.031.7M2022-09-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.13421.1188-1.35%1.047-7.69%0.0082✓0.8553k2022-09-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5710.56325-1.36%0.514-9.98%0.0145✓1.1288k2022-09-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7240.714156-1.36%0.669-7.60%0.0057✓0.87253k2022-09-01
TRXTRONTron0.0654990.064604-1.37%0.063287-3.38%0.0192✗0.58151k2022-09-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.135914-1.37%0.1398+1.45%0.0658✗0.553.9M2022-09-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.059471-1.37%0.0569-5.64%0.0180✗0.91112k2022-09-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.170111-1.38%0.149-13.62%0.0597✓1.061,7802022-09-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4102-1.39%1.32-7.69%0.0010✓0.95182k2022-09-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0473860.046724-1.40%0.042711-9.87%0.0539✓0.5233k2022-09-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.61554.8318-1.41%52.447-5.70%0.0061✓0.74332k2022-09-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.304110.299822-1.41%0.30195-0.71%0.0785✗1.0413k2022-09-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30740.303055-1.41%0.2936-4.49%0.0310✗0.927.8M2022-09-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.26260.258888-1.41%0.2424-7.69%0.0007✓0.9583k2022-09-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.2867-1.43%2.24-3.45%0.0339✗0.80520k2022-09-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3216440.317019-1.44%0.297461-7.52%0.0101✓1.08743k2022-09-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009140.009008-1.44%0.00869-4.92%0.0160✗0.766.4M2022-09-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5496.4536-1.46%6.087-7.05%0.0368✓0.325.3M2022-09-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.47713.4264-1.46%3.1819-8.49%0.0063✓0.9930k2022-09-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365110.359706-1.48%0.31561-13.56%0.0639✓0.98435k2022-09-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.8561.8284-1.49%1.789-3.61%0.0439✗0.96146k2022-09-01
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017620.001736-1.49%0.00149-15.44%0.0911✓0.90590k2022-09-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.007040.006935-1.49%0.00616-12.50%0.0748✓0.641.2M2022-09-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.7910.779193-1.49%0.6827-13.69%0.0348✓1.42259k2022-09-01
NANOnanopayBase0.9588910.944535-1.50%0.9001-6.13%0.0064✓0.8084k2022-09-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23840.234824-1.50%0.2265-4.99%0.0564✗1.35133k2022-09-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4427-1.51%2.28-8.06%0.0140✓1.21299k2022-09-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04690.046194-1.51%0.0441-5.97%0.0204✗0.97182k2022-09-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2892.2543-1.52%2.05-10.44%0.0167✓1.1460k2022-09-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17415.0948-1.53%5.5317+6.91%0.0922✗0.14158k2022-09-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3950.38892-1.54%0.3534-10.53%0.0209✓1.09174k2022-09-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0225110.022164-1.54%0.021111-6.22%0.0071✓0.8113k2022-09-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2621.2425-1.54%1.198-5.07%0.0306✗0.982.1M2022-09-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.15750.15506-1.55%0.1435-8.89%0.0091✓1.00178k2022-09-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.590696-1.55%0.527-12.17%0.0395✓1.09102k2022-09-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9980.982382-1.56%1.059+6.11%0.1589✗1.221.3M2022-09-01
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004134-1.57%0.00402-4.29%0.0398✗0.99152k2022-09-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1104010.108646-1.59%0.105077-4.82%0.0252✗0.857.8M2022-09-01
METISMetisEthereum35.2334.668-1.60%30.57-13.23%0.0021✓1.87365k2022-09-01
DASHDashDash49.1848.3944-1.60%44.79-8.93%0.0115✓0.96504k2022-09-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.128804-1.60%0.124-5.27%0.0315✗1.0135k2022-09-01
STEEMSteemnative0.24180.237914-1.61%0.2258-6.62%0.0092✓0.90510k2022-09-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.152507-1.61%0.141-9.03%0.0124✓0.96668k2022-09-01
HIVEHivenative0.56910.559922-1.61%0.5486-3.60%0.0402✗0.881.7M2022-09-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.026877-1.62%0.02463-9.85%0.0004✓1.273,4352022-09-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03890.038263-1.64%0.0353-9.25%0.0173✓0.9286k2022-09-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.731737-1.65%0.668-10.22%0.0284✓0.92322k2022-09-01
PROPropyEthereum0.730.717889-1.66%0.71-2.74%0.0139✓0.36105k2022-09-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.608460.598306-1.67%0.54872-9.82%0.0013✓1.2845k2022-09-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.9462.8968-1.67%2.735-7.16%0.0002✓0.84749k2022-09-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7114.6322-1.67%4.485-4.80%0.0264✓0.092.4M2022-09-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165330.162549-1.68%0.15694-5.07%0.1098✗2.116042022-09-01
FTTFTXEthereum27.9427.469-1.69%26.91-3.69%0.0446✗0.957.5M2022-09-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9911.9571-1.70%1.803-9.44%0.0093✓1.0633k2022-09-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039930.039249-1.71%0.03845-3.71%0.0353✗0.822,7072022-09-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.1436.5052-1.71%32.92-11.36%0.0052✓1.4316.0M2022-09-01
XEMNEMnative0.0478160.046985-1.74%0.044086-7.80%0.0061✓0.8432k2022-09-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3811.1821-1.74%10.09-11.34%0.0218✓1.18439k2022-09-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374150.367618-1.75%0.34021-9.07%0.0117✓0.9687k2022-09-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.054.9605-1.77%4.79-5.15%0.0065✓0.411.3M2022-09-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4580.449867-1.78%0.414-9.61%0.0151✓0.998,8922022-09-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.4142-1.79%1.53+6.25%0.0745✗-0.06115k2022-09-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016660.01636-1.80%0.01325-20.47%0.1650✓0.67173k2022-09-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.256093-1.80%0.2187-16.14%0.1572✓0.0187k2022-09-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.181.1584-1.83%1.1541-2.19%0.0980✗1.484.9M2022-09-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.067807-1.87%0.058-16.06%0.0945✓0.90116k2022-09-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.187398-1.89%0.171-10.47%0.0188✓1.06500k2022-09-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4218.0649-1.93%17.1-7.17%0.0071✓0.701.4M2022-09-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18370.180142-1.94%0.1809-1.52%0.0973✗1.362,2552022-09-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.110219-1.94%0.117+4.09%0.1076✗0.70250k2022-09-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070310.068939-1.95%0.06737-4.18%0.0328✗0.819142022-09-01
XMRMoneroMonero153.94150.9321-1.95%154.26+0.21%0.0898✗0.991.2M2022-09-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37170.364359-1.98%0.3074-17.30%0.0924✓1.13111k2022-09-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.05480.053706-2.00%0.0506-7.66%0.0082✓0.99256k2022-09-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,795.519,599.88-2.00%9,216.45-5.91%0.0521✗1.367.3M2022-09-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9230.904478-2.01%0.974+5.53%0.1034✗0.434.2M2022-09-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084050.082344-2.03%0.08-4.82%0.0227✓0.09637k2022-09-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,605.6021,159.11-2.07%20,192.40-6.54%0.0184✓0.9512k2022-09-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81051.773-2.07%1.7801-1.68%0.0765✗1.06980k2022-09-01
QNTQuantEthereum106.79104.5351-2.11%95.02-11.02%0.0378✓0.843.5M2022-09-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00680.006654-2.15%0.006401-5.87%0.0086✓0.4457k2022-09-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.8937.0535-2.21%21.47-43.34%0.4855✓0.881.8M2022-09-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008010.007825-2.31%0.00795-0.75%0.0937✗1.14513k2022-09-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.811.7681-2.32%1.533-15.30%0.0611✓1.19103k2022-09-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.846.6802-2.34%6.91+1.02%0.0596✗0.382.1M2022-09-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.7213-2.37%5.79-1.19%0.0377✗0.382.9M2022-09-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015250.001488-2.42%0.001346-11.76%0.0477✓0.772.0M2022-09-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.86.634-2.44%6.87+1.03%0.0606✗0.372.7M2022-09-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013930.000013584-2.48%0.00001229-11.77%0.0373✓0.92900k2022-09-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6824.5657-2.48%4.31-7.95%0.0358✓0.321.9M2022-09-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.71975.5727-2.57%6.7053+17.23%0.1956✗0.155.0M2022-09-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015970.001556-2.60%0.001534-3.94%0.0348✗0.719,9742022-09-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.84712.5088-2.63%12.73-0.91%0.0930✗1.1010.4M2022-09-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.374470.364223-2.74%0.3455-7.74%0.0106✓0.93321k2022-09-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0233430.022699-2.76%0.026903+15.25%0.1771✗0.11250k2022-09-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.041110.039926-2.88%0.03497-14.94%0.0653✓0.9828k2022-09-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.25274.13-2.88%4.1452-2.53%0.0404✗0.542.9M2022-09-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.38941.3488-2.92%1.1439-17.67%0.1019✓0.921.5M2022-09-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.118.8386-2.98%9.54+4.72%0.1057✗0.432.4M2022-09-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.22450.217677-3.04%0.2143-4.54%0.0395✗0.802.6M2022-09-01
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30774.171-3.17%4.8782+13.24%0.2251✗1.00171k2022-09-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.57665.3842-3.45%7.8225+40.27%0.3859✗0.183.5M2022-09-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7214.5213-4.23%3.853-18.39%0.0946✓0.95225k2022-09-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000131320.000125589-4.36%0.00027606+110.22%0.8435✗0.82340k2022-09-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.04e-77.57e-7-5.82%8.97e-7+11.60%0.2249✗0.80192k2022-09-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.86212.992-6.28%12.927-6.75%0.0238✓0.423.8M2022-09-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.