8=======>

2022-06-09 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 171 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1729
171 of 171 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.3%
in alpha space · 40.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-32.27%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (171 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4550.4638+1.93%0.278-38.90%0.2387✓1.93627k2022-06-16
XVGVergenative0.004320.004401+1.88%0.00286-33.80%0.2140✓1.66705k2022-06-16
AAVEAaveEthereum95.7297.4092+1.76%56.51-40.96%0.1800✓1.868.2M2022-06-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010560.000010729+1.60%0.00000795-24.72%0.2813✓1.49861k2022-06-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,472.657,584.97+1.50%4,598.44-38.46%0.0103✓1.313.8M2022-06-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14770.149847+1.45%0.0973-34.12%0.2609✓1.786.0M2022-06-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.8458+1.42%1.27-30.22%0.3975✓1.98603k2022-06-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.17170.174128+1.41%0.1494-12.99%0.4758✓1.612,3482022-06-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.320081+1.39%0.2314-26.70%0.2729✓1.5331k2022-06-16
COMPCompoundEthereum55.3956.1498+1.37%30.16-45.55%0.0061✓1.5829k2022-06-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008510.008623+1.32%0.006722-21.01%0.1002✓0.90184k2022-06-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80.810479+1.31%0.48-40.00%0.0555✗1.2070k2022-06-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004210.004265+1.30%0.002801-33.47%0.0664✓1.252.1M2022-06-16
SOLSolanaSolana39.9340.4264+1.24%30.1-24.62%0.3403✓1.63112.7M2022-06-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14790.149693+1.21%0.1134-23.33%0.4009✓1.743.5M2022-06-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0712.2161+1.21%7.13-40.93%0.0399✗1.28536k2022-06-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3560.360237+1.19%0.253-28.93%0.1389✓1.26932k2022-06-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8290.838824+1.19%0.593-28.47%0.3667✓1.83604k2022-06-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.9863.0204+1.15%2.64-11.59%0.4311✓1.451.3M2022-06-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004670.004722+1.12%0.003262-30.15%0.1469✓1.335,7382022-06-16
STXStacksnative0.53780.543777+1.11%0.3286-38.90%0.0397✓1.39165k2022-06-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000075060.000075892+1.11%0.000058-22.73%1.0761✓3.452.4M2022-06-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.611.7241+1.07%7.91-31.81%0.0274✓1.08289k2022-06-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12530.126605+1.04%0.1049-16.28%0.3191✓1.309,7902022-06-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971280.981301+1.03%0.80833-16.78%0.5363✓1.87838k2022-06-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.069676+1.02%0.04558-33.91%0.0968✓1.3463k2022-06-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7768.8655+1.02%6.329-27.88%0.2666✓1.5515.2M2022-06-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.190430.192364+1.02%0.12518-34.26%0.3019✓1.88276k2022-06-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10210.103124+1.00%0.0817-19.98%0.5189✓1.93445k2022-06-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392760.396645+0.99%0.32127-18.20%0.3618✓1.47111k2022-06-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.07590.076637+0.97%0.0552-27.27%0.4820✓2.08142k2022-06-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.011120.011227+0.96%0.00877-21.13%0.2180✓1.191.5M2022-06-16
SCSiacoinnative0.005350.005401+0.96%0.00341-36.26%0.2264✓1.76239k2022-06-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.373340.376886+0.95%0.24344-34.79%0.1552✓1.52493k2022-06-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.560830.565928+0.91%0.42782-23.72%0.3862✓1.7163k2022-06-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.13130.132491+0.91%0.0869-33.82%0.2682✓1.771.2M2022-06-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08950.090288+0.88%0.0581-35.08%0.1669✗0.70313k2022-06-16
KSMKusamaHydration66.3966.9722+0.88%49.2-25.89%0.2157✓1.341.1M2022-06-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62160.626968+0.86%0.6143-1.17%0.5560✓1.482.9M2022-06-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash175.48176.989+0.86%109.37-37.67%0.0162✓1.284.5M2022-06-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8010.807753+0.84%0.574-28.34%0.1320✓1.22372k2022-06-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2691.2794+0.82%0.807-36.41%0.3653✓2.12369k2022-06-16
HIVEHivenative0.54430.548723+0.81%0.345-36.62%0.1163✓1.491.6M2022-06-16
XEMNEMnative0.0498610.050264+0.81%0.038032-23.72%0.3464✓1.6045k2022-06-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51150.515549+0.79%0.362-29.23%0.3461✓1.80159k2022-06-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.4124.5916+0.74%15.77-35.40%0.2224✓1.7152.5M2022-06-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8612.8822+0.74%1.978-30.86%0.3063✓1.75227k2022-06-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7211.7337+0.74%1.105-35.79%0.2222✓1.7376k2022-06-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011860.001195+0.73%0.000783-33.98%0.2487✓1.721.8M2022-06-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.1760.6101+0.73%44.74-25.64%0.2188✓1.3417.9M2022-06-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3996.4457+0.73%5.311-17.00%0.5049✓1.7910.9M2022-06-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0147860.014892+0.72%0.011964-19.09%0.2632✓1.242.1M2022-06-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008720.008782+0.71%0.00641-26.49%0.1472✓1.19698k2022-06-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.4844+0.71%0.324-32.64%0.1070✓1.3116k2022-06-16
NANOnanopayBase1.16511.1731+0.69%0.798118-31.50%0.1527✓1.38144k2022-06-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8490.854833+0.69%0.785-7.54%0.4029✓1.251.9M2022-06-16
DASHDashDash57.6658.0553+0.69%41.86-27.40%0.1907✓1.33862k2022-06-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1461.1536+0.67%0.664-42.06%0.0114✓1.455.2M2022-06-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34630.34858+0.66%0.2551-26.34%0.2636✓1.486.3M2022-06-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.18170.182884+0.65%0.124-31.76%0.2287✓1.58183k2022-06-16
ZECZcashZcash92.1192.6884+0.63%58.94-36.01%0.1035✓1.434.0M2022-06-16
QNTQuantEthereum63.1263.4937+0.59%44.42-29.63%0.1190✓1.222.1M2022-06-16
MOVRMoonriverBase20.157820.274+0.58%12.9736-35.64%0.1782✓1.60229k2022-06-16
GTGateEthereum5.49955.5308+0.57%3.9508-28.16%0.1046✗0.593.4M2022-06-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6220.625528+0.57%0.425-31.67%0.2762✓1.70123k2022-06-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0792810.079721+0.55%0.055166-30.42%0.1327✓1.291.5M2022-06-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.40410.406303+0.55%0.3018-25.32%0.2621✓1.4414.6M2022-06-16
UNIUniswapEthereum5.1995.2272+0.54%3.829-26.35%0.2741✓1.502.6M2022-06-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07340.073793+0.54%0.0526-28.34%0.3721✓1.821.7M2022-06-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.6111.6194+0.52%1.284-20.30%0.4494✓1.75826k2022-06-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15580.156606+0.52%0.1016-34.79%0.1825✓1.5855k2022-06-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.99e-75.02e-7+0.51%3.34e-7-33.08%0.0256✗0.98877k2022-06-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.17310.173981+0.51%0.1237-28.54%0.0539✓1.01278k2022-06-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6942.7067+0.47%1.743-35.30%0.3583✓2.053.0M2022-06-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2289.2707+0.46%7.11-22.95%0.3451✓1.5713.5M2022-06-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.321.3258+0.44%0.6-54.55%0.3417✗1.1671k2022-06-16
BANDBandEthereum2.0132.0213+0.41%1.348-33.04%0.2824✓1.76342k2022-06-16
DIADIAEthereum0.511060.512988+0.38%0.37966-25.71%0.0398✗0.67240k2022-06-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.038343+0.37%0.0275-28.01%0.3179✓1.67269k2022-06-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.34971.3543+0.34%0.954432-29.29%0.1610✓1.3149k2022-06-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001050.000001054+0.34%7.60e-7-27.62%0.0305✓0.926.4M2022-06-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28180.282727+0.33%0.1959-30.48%0.2127✓1.49330k2022-06-16
XVSVenusEthereum4.995.0059+0.32%4.05-18.84%0.5733✓2.021.6M2022-06-16
ZENHorizenBase19.0619.1125+0.28%13.48-29.28%0.3286✓1.7472k2022-06-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.912411+0.26%0.62-31.87%0.3038✓1.77232k2022-06-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08210.082315+0.26%0.052-36.66%0.0508✓1.31159k2022-06-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.11950.119797+0.25%0.0922-22.85%0.3251✓1.51913k2022-06-16
XMRMoneroMonero185.9186.3581+0.25%106.33-42.80%0.1141✗1.152.1M2022-06-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,087.8030,159.96+0.24%20,300.70-32.53%0.0160✗0.9752k2022-06-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.020647+0.23%0.02059-0.05%0.9801✓2.5238.7M2022-06-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12780.128091+0.23%0.0928-27.39%0.2055✓1.35842k2022-06-16
FTTFTXEthereum28.5428.5987+0.21%23.28-18.43%0.1868✓1.019.6M2022-06-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29750.298041+0.18%0.158-46.89%0.1058✗1.36268k2022-06-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0273.0324+0.18%2.344-22.56%0.1716✓1.1072k2022-06-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,787.551,789.59+0.11%1,066.87-40.32%0.0855✗1.11340.5M2022-06-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.723.7239+0.10%2.57-30.91%0.0624✓1.11686k2022-06-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.2247.2302+0.09%5.302-26.61%0.3127✓1.602.6M2022-06-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,079.6230,102.54+0.08%20,372.00-32.27%0.0008✗1.00602.3M2022-06-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027140.027153+0.05%0.01905-29.81%0.0650✓1.08156k2022-06-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.86455.8707+0.01%50.901-8.88%0.3182✓1.061.1M2022-06-16
XECeCashnative0.000051540.000051545+0.01%0.00003702-28.17%0.2770✓1.563.3M2022-06-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.07663.0764-0.01%2.3926-22.23%0.3273✗1.483.8M2022-06-16
QTUMQtumQtum3.9093.9081-0.02%2.6461-32.31%0.1262✗1.3239k2022-06-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0564870.056456-0.05%0.0501-11.31%0.2041✗0.8374k2022-06-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum76.9954-0.07%4.34-38.00%0.1382✗1.58427k2022-06-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.3819.3664-0.07%13.61-29.77%0.3181✗1.722.6M2022-06-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05980.059756-0.07%0.043-28.09%0.4042✗1.8830k2022-06-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.163.1576-0.07%2.29-27.53%0.4911✗2.08294k2022-06-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0277020.027677-0.09%0.018988-31.46%0.0910✗1.2011k2022-06-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037780.037744-0.10%0.02555-32.37%0.2194✗1.5618k2022-06-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011670.011658-0.10%0.00889-23.82%0.3833✗1.6814.5M2022-06-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.491.4885-0.10%0.96-35.57%0.2512✗1.771.3M2022-06-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.59552.592-0.13%2.1202-18.31%0.2353✗1.123.6M2022-06-16
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7175.7091-0.14%3.372-41.02%0.3393✗2.2218.8M2022-06-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.1421.104-0.17%13.82-34.63%0.1113✗1.372.7M2022-06-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.65.5904-0.17%4.04-27.86%0.0037✗0.841.7M2022-06-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9221.9185-0.18%1.23-36.00%0.3061✗1.93291k2022-06-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1398290.139551-0.20%0.10905-22.01%0.2217✗1.2010.7M2022-06-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.29650.295859-0.22%0.2052-30.79%0.1532✗1.33105k2022-06-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.009730.009708-0.22%0.00623-35.97%0.0001✓1.142,4432022-06-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.73212.726-0.22%1.7941-34.33%0.1601✗1.4868k2022-06-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6740.67241-0.24%0.5-25.82%0.4004✗1.79886k2022-06-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5550.553516-0.27%0.381-31.35%0.3308✗1.814,8372022-06-16
DODODODOEthereum0.18020.179715-0.27%0.1219-32.35%0.2814✗1.722.9M2022-06-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.068.0375-0.28%6.05-24.94%0.0412✓0.621.9M2022-06-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.22620.225514-0.30%0.1448-35.99%0.1713✗1.58696k2022-06-16
ADACardanoCardano0.63210.630164-0.31%0.4756-24.76%0.3595✗1.6449.8M2022-06-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.269.2306-0.32%6.352-31.40%0.2190✗1.5232.1M2022-06-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.393460.392208-0.32%0.27575-29.92%0.2600✗1.5717k2022-06-16
KCSKuCoinnative15.98915.9246-0.40%11.087-30.66%0.0595✗1.086.5M2022-06-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9830.978-0.51%0.685-30.32%0.4076✗1.962.7M2022-06-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.172.1589-0.51%1.52-29.95%0.1608✗1.31268k2022-06-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3927730.390755-0.51%0.261084-33.53%0.1978✗1.542.3M2022-06-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.8912.8165-0.57%10.81-16.14%0.6349✗2.07252k2022-06-16
XTZTezosTezos2.2232.2098-0.59%1.355-39.05%0.0491✗1.38928k2022-06-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0159690.015872-0.61%0.014896-6.72%0.2444✗0.79268k2022-06-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.42725.3928-0.63%5.0538-6.88%0.0626✗0.33265k2022-06-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02420.024045-0.64%0.01773-26.74%0.0529✓0.65608k2022-06-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15440.15339-0.65%0.085-44.95%0.0914✗1.753,4822022-06-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05330.052948-0.66%0.03838-27.99%0.1027✗1.094,6802022-06-16
GITCOINGITCOIN3.1383.1165-0.68%2.2619-27.92%0.5135✗2.1415k2022-06-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.9920.984172-0.79%0.593-40.22%0.3776✗2.272.1M2022-06-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.053654-0.82%0.0345-36.23%0.1411✗1.50443k2022-06-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0694.0335-0.87%2.845-30.08%0.0309✗0.971.8M2022-06-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.314.2707-0.91%3.11-27.84%0.0512✗0.951.5M2022-06-16
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2161.2042-0.97%0.667-45.15%0.1696✓1.081.1M2022-06-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.5111.3948-1.00%8.02-30.32%0.4418✗2.042.9M2022-06-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.914.8582-1.06%3.86-21.38%0.1127✗0.881.1M2022-06-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.27421.2601-1.11%0.84123-33.98%0.0789✗1.246,7502022-06-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.854.7923-1.19%3.57-26.39%0.0099✓0.781.9M2022-06-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.0960.094846-1.20%0.0558-41.88%0.0348✓1.27396k2022-06-16
TRXTRONTron0.0807680.079664-1.37%0.058994-26.96%0.0572✗0.92715k2022-06-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.33182.2985-1.43%1.7294-25.83%0.1355✗1.083.6M2022-06-16
PROPropyEthereum10.984657-1.53%0.86-14.00%0.1700✗0.78186k2022-06-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.059960.059038-1.54%0.04577-23.67%0.2004✗1.1716k2022-06-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2670.26268-1.62%0.212-20.60%0.5700✗2.011.3M2022-06-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.89641.8648-1.67%1.3599-28.29%0.2107✗1.352.2M2022-06-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065980.064865-1.69%0.04718-28.49%0.5229✗2.162.2M2022-06-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.681.651-1.73%1.47-12.50%0.2611✗0.97153k2022-06-16
STEEMSteemnative0.25710.252059-1.96%0.1854-27.89%0.2792✗1.50585k2022-06-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6853.6059-2.15%2.909-21.06%0.0443✗0.663.4M2022-06-16
FLOWFlownative2.3862.3327-2.23%1.391-41.70%0.1273✓1.00608k2022-06-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.684890.669288-2.28%0.49666-27.48%0.5754✗2.243.0M2022-06-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2931.2628-2.33%0.833-35.58%0.0264✓1.001.3M2022-06-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070830.069096-2.45%0.06111-13.72%0.2669✗1.001,4072022-06-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.45041.4121-2.64%0.91995-36.57%0.1342✓0.764,7612022-06-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8122.7329-2.81%1.699-39.58%0.2286✗1.81108k2022-06-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9061.8442-3.24%1.31-31.27%0.2996✗1.655.0M2022-06-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8144.6402-3.61%3.6-25.22%0.0394✗0.756.4M2022-06-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9343.7796-3.92%3.078-21.76%0.1244✗0.852.1M2022-06-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3331.2556-5.81%0.822-38.33%0.4563✗2.264.0M2022-06-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.