8=======>

2022-05-25 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0718
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.8%
in alpha space · 63.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.97%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.2127.498+1.06%23.66-13.05%0.1645✗1.4751.6M2022-06-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5512.5741+0.91%2.852+11.80%0.0860✓1.724.5M2022-06-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash190.03191.6515+0.85%185.81-2.22%0.0421✗1.164.7M2022-06-01
XVSVenusEthereum4.64.6355+0.77%4.63+0.65%0.0175✗1.702.3M2022-06-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07080.071291+0.69%0.06644-6.16%0.0809✗1.0916k2022-06-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001160.000011663+0.54%0.00001087-6.29%0.0831✗1.321.1M2022-06-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001377+0.54%0.00123-10.22%0.1280✗1.542.8M2022-06-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15110.151865+0.51%0.1469-2.78%0.0476✗1.508.8M2022-06-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.879.9194+0.50%9.45-4.26%0.0614✗1.3513.2M2022-06-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.671.6769+0.41%1.619-3.05%0.0502✗1.571.7M2022-06-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.1668.43+0.40%62.64-8.10%0.0999✗1.1919.5M2022-06-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038160.038309+0.39%0.03695-3.17%0.0495✗1.3942k2022-06-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.850.852792+0.33%0.83-2.35%0.0374✗1.0795k2022-06-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.612.6185+0.32%2.69+3.07%0.0097✓1.79378k2022-06-01
SOLSolanaSolana47.9448.0509+0.23%40.1-16.35%0.1948✗1.4599.2M2022-06-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8622.8677+0.20%2.806-1.96%0.0365✗1.53298k2022-06-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.956.9623+0.18%6.93-0.29%0.0176✗1.3518.8M2022-06-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13930.139472+0.12%0.1358-2.51%0.0423✗1.635.5M2022-06-01
XVGVergenative0.005080.005086+0.12%0.00472-7.09%0.0887✗1.45837k2022-06-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.870.870928+0.11%0.89+2.30%0.0067✓1.56507k2022-06-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.21040.210552+0.07%0.1581-24.86%0.2935✗0.73357k2022-06-01
UNIUniswapEthereum5.625.6229+0.05%5.13-8.72%0.1033✗1.202.8M2022-06-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.822.8214+0.05%2.653-5.92%0.0724✗1.1390k2022-06-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.06120.061222+0.04%0.0659+7.68%0.0620✓1.21406k2022-06-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,462.798,464.84+0.02%7,517.30-11.17%0.1304✗1.223.4M2022-06-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9760.976193+0.02%0.87-10.86%0.1296✗1.50760k2022-06-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.38750.387562+0.02%0.3401-12.23%0.1438✗1.3762k2022-06-01
AAVEAaveEthereum101.87101.8846+0.01%106.08+4.13%0.0256✓1.539.0M2022-06-01
STXStacksnative0.590.590074+0.01%0.53-10.17%0.1179✗1.09252k2022-06-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.080.080003+0.00%0.0735-8.12%0.1013✗1.71188k2022-06-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.5812.581+0.00%2.707+4.88%0.0300✓1.8417k2022-06-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33440.334268-0.04%0.3304-1.20%0.0242✓1.308.2M2022-06-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.141.1395-0.04%1.01-11.40%0.1285✓0.81181k2022-06-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.53032.5291-0.05%2.4808-1.95%0.0313✓1.2590k2022-06-01
KSMKusamaHydration79.2179.1485-0.08%72.88-7.99%0.0944✓1.241.3M2022-06-01
NANOnanopayBase1.08641.0854-0.09%1.1686+7.56%0.0616✗1.27164k2022-06-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.178.1623-0.09%7.43-9.06%0.1064✓1.294.6M2022-06-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.371570.371165-0.11%0.37114-0.12%0.0136✓1.41973k2022-06-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009790.009779-0.11%0.00922-5.82%0.0694✓1.101.1M2022-06-01
COMPCompoundEthereum66.8266.7418-0.12%58.02-13.17%0.1535✓1.4030k2022-06-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0782.0755-0.12%1.828-12.03%0.1419✓1.5595k2022-06-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.530.529335-0.13%0.467-11.89%0.1368✓1.2030k2022-06-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.8820.8533-0.13%20.9+0.10%0.0111✓1.393.2M2022-06-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08780.087686-0.13%0.0874-0.46%0.0110✓0.80235k2022-06-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.560440.559666-0.14%0.56615+1.02%0.0028✓1.4975k2022-06-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.757.7382-0.15%7.63-1.55%0.0286✓1.517.5M2022-06-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.341.3378-0.16%1.25-6.72%0.0784✓1.09120k2022-06-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08270.082561-0.17%0.0668-19.23%0.2277✓1.652.3M2022-06-01
BANDBandEthereum1.6871.6842-0.17%1.631-3.32%0.0465✓1.50433k2022-06-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.911.9067-0.18%1.77-7.33%0.0910✓1.73625k2022-06-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2331.2308-0.18%1.267+2.76%0.0163✗1.327.1M2022-06-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2991.2966-0.19%1.237-4.77%0.0636✓1.72503k2022-06-01
BTTCBTTC0.000001130.000001128-0.19%0.00000109-3.54%0.0419✓0.827.6M2022-06-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.25760.257046-0.22%0.2722+5.67%0.0440✗1.38150k2022-06-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009030.00901-0.22%0.00828-8.31%0.0918✓0.76176k2022-06-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.12030.120028-0.23%0.1223+1.66%0.0031✗1.631.4M2022-06-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.132.1244-0.26%1.9-10.80%0.1301✓1.92649k2022-06-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12810.127744-0.28%0.1282+0.08%0.0073✓1.13905k2022-06-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29230.291481-0.28%0.3089+5.68%0.0459✗1.26434k2022-06-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.17380.173312-0.28%0.1696-2.42%0.0350✓1.39359k2022-06-01
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05531.0521-0.30%0.98241-6.91%0.0836✓1.561.0M2022-06-01
FTTFTXEthereum2928.9102-0.31%26.89-7.28%0.0817✓0.9610.4M2022-06-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7310.6955-0.32%9.34-12.95%0.1494✓1.4420.1M2022-06-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.11990.119511-0.32%0.1178-1.75%0.0273✓1.331.0M2022-06-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.449.4089-0.33%10.7+13.35%0.1130✗1.62183k2022-06-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03460.034481-0.34%0.0342-1.16%0.0220✓1.43198k2022-06-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004350.004335-0.34%0.00409-5.98%0.0695✓1.181.9M2022-06-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14730.146793-0.34%0.1581+7.33%0.0582✗1.6697k2022-06-01
MOVRMoonriverBase24.007523.9243-0.35%21.3546-11.05%0.1277✓1.46229k2022-06-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.5112.4666-0.35%11.55-7.67%0.0849✓0.88555k2022-06-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,838.2029,734.43-0.35%29,914.50+0.26%0.0034✓0.9878k2022-06-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum13.3213.2736-0.35%12.09-9.23%0.1052✓1.23702k2022-06-01
GTGateEthereum5.59745.5769-0.37%5.4141-3.27%0.0345✓0.514.8M2022-06-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3960.394511-0.38%0.735+85.61%0.6049✗1.801.8M2022-06-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.313.2973-0.38%3.06-7.55%0.0842✓0.99746k2022-06-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13550.134974-0.39%0.1229-9.30%0.1049✓1.1617k2022-06-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,940.831,933.26-0.39%1,816.05-6.43%0.0725✓1.04407.6M2022-06-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0828550.082513-0.41%0.080994-2.25%0.0295✓1.134.8M2022-06-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26920.268082-0.42%0.277+2.90%0.0205✗1.27305k2022-06-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004420.004401-0.42%0.00446+0.90%0.0025✓1.1111k2022-06-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,503.4929,378.49-0.42%29,788.79+0.97%0.0042✗1.00708.0M2022-06-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02390.023798-0.43%0.01991-16.69%0.1998✓2.2326.5M2022-06-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.356.3225-0.43%6.36+0.16%0.0078✓1.42553k2022-06-01
DIADIAEthereum0.458620.45656-0.45%0.42588-7.14%0.0755✓0.62100k2022-06-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5920.589333-0.45%0.507-14.36%0.1652✓1.53844k2022-06-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64870.645706-0.46%0.6102-5.93%0.0705✓1.444.8M2022-06-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.40530.403422-0.46%0.3845-5.13%0.0598✓1.2216.4M2022-06-01
UMAUMAEthereum3.373.354-0.47%3.081-8.58%0.1012✓1.692.2M2022-06-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6830.679723-0.48%0.634-7.17%0.0840✓1.50269k2022-06-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.211270.210246-0.48%0.19948-5.58%0.0687✓1.67298k2022-06-01
ZECZcashZcash95.5495.0644-0.50%89.74-6.07%0.0701✓1.295.1M2022-06-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.22189-0.50%0.273+22.42%0.1919✗1.601.8M2022-06-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6490.645746-0.50%0.725+11.71%0.1010✗1.541.7M2022-06-01
SCSiacoinnative0.005350.005323-0.51%0.00537+0.37%0.0062✓1.56359k2022-06-01
QNTQuantEthereum67.0666.7102-0.52%66.93-0.19%0.0069✓1.063.4M2022-06-01
XEMNEMnative0.05190.051626-0.53%0.050255-3.17%0.0401✓1.3743k2022-06-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.44e-76.41e-7-0.54%6.95e-7+7.94%0.0722✗1.001.5M2022-06-01
DASHDashDash62.1261.7795-0.55%59.13-4.81%0.0552✓1.181.1M2022-06-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11640.115719-0.59%0.0924-20.62%0.2423✓1.80588k2022-06-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3940.391679-0.59%0.37-6.09%0.0675✓1.101.0M2022-06-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.651.6402-0.60%1.63-1.21%0.0208✓1.512.8M2022-06-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.012780.012703-0.60%0.01202-5.95%0.0653✓1.042.5M2022-06-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.19420.193019-0.61%0.1634-15.86%0.1765✓1.031,8582022-06-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18670.185555-0.61%0.1907+2.14%0.0126✗1.53501k2022-06-01
ADACardanoCardano0.51390.510655-0.63%0.5515+7.32%0.0639✗1.3546.3M2022-06-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.389530.387025-0.64%0.38293-1.69%0.0231✓1.29204k2022-06-01
XYMSymbolnative0.06020.059781-0.70%0.057492-4.50%0.0464✓0.77180k2022-06-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028340.028141-0.70%0.02803-1.09%0.0135✓0.99180k2022-06-01
PROPropyEthereum1.061.0523-0.72%0.96-9.43%0.0989✓0.73337k2022-06-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.2771.2677-0.72%1.2938+1.32%0.0092✗1.1659k2022-06-01
HIVEHivenative0.48950.485906-0.73%0.5211+6.46%0.0575✗1.291.4M2022-06-01
XECeCashnative0.000049190.000048822-0.75%0.00004757-3.29%0.0386✓1.315.7M2022-06-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.91034.8731-0.76%4.9038-0.13%0.0038✓0.26299k2022-06-01
XTZTezosTezos2.12892.1127-0.76%1.9429-8.74%0.0960✓1.281.3M2022-06-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0670.066483-0.77%0.061-8.96%0.0986✓1.3083k2022-06-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0216860.021515-0.79%0.015712-27.55%0.3246✓1.063.6M2022-06-01
ZENHorizenBase20.2920.1269-0.80%20.62+1.63%0.0093✗1.55156k2022-06-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.027540.027317-0.81%0.02776+0.80%0.0061✓1.0317k2022-06-01
CBKCobakEthereum1.2451.2348-0.82%1.2526+0.61%0.0044✓1.039,6192022-06-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.34252.9046-0.82%51.794-2.90%0.0305✓0.971.5M2022-06-01
APEApeCoinEthereum7.337.2697-0.82%6.104-16.73%0.1972✓2.3365.3M2022-06-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7930.786197-0.86%0.795+0.25%0.0005✓1.112.9M2022-06-01
QTUMQtumQtum4.07074.0352-0.87%3.8582-5.22%0.0560✓1.1694k2022-06-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9670.958473-0.88%0.951-1.65%0.0184✓1.10658k2022-06-01
KCSKuCoinnative16.11415.9681-0.91%16.661+3.39%0.0330✗0.986.6M2022-06-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.925.8643-0.94%5.28-10.81%0.1121✓0.743.3M2022-06-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9492.9204-0.97%2.687-8.88%0.0929✓1.00144k2022-06-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0093360.009245-0.98%0.00994+6.46%0.0624✗1.048,6362022-06-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9340.924652-1.00%0.962+3.00%0.0245✗1.575.6M2022-06-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1320740.130744-1.01%0.136879+3.64%0.0354✗1.0911.5M2022-06-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8123.7733-1.02%3.684-3.36%0.0333✓0.972.0M2022-06-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.016990.016808-1.07%0.01455-14.36%0.1506✓0.66198k2022-06-01
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2861.2719-1.10%1.217-5.37%0.0537✓1.002.3M2022-06-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06930.068537-1.10%0.0675-2.60%0.0249✓1.003.0M2022-06-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.51293.4734-1.12%3.12-11.18%0.1224✓1.567.6M2022-06-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012380.012237-1.16%0.01169-5.57%0.0601✓1.5031.1M2022-06-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.7923.5021-1.21%21.97-7.65%0.0795✓1.253.9M2022-06-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4190690.413896-1.23%0.399202-4.74%0.0491✓1.345.5M2022-06-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6840.675179-1.29%0.597-12.72%0.1374✓1.4916k2022-06-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.2612.1014-1.29%10.65-13.13%0.1429✓1.576.9M2022-06-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05290.052171-1.38%0.0517-2.27%0.0213✓1.271.3M2022-06-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.056340.055504-1.48%0.06238+10.72%0.1064✗1.0817k2022-06-01
GMTGMTEthereum1.3741.3536-1.48%1.016-26.06%0.2965✓1.003.8M2022-06-01
STEEMSteemnative0.25790.254063-1.49%0.2594+0.58%0.0044✓1.70970k2022-06-01
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.168398-1.52%0.1716+0.35%0.0038✓1.563.2M2022-06-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.048280.047529-1.56%0.04976+3.07%0.0363✗0.994,9292022-06-01
XMRMoneroMonero204.07200.8038-1.60%198.6-2.68%0.0215✓1.092.5M2022-06-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16880.166023-1.65%0.1537-8.95%0.0867✓1.003,0542022-06-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.61120.600484-1.75%0.5239-14.28%0.1505✓1.47219k2022-06-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.027080.026591-1.80%0.02108-22.16%0.2381✓0.61509k2022-06-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.57032.5228-1.85%2.4972-2.84%0.0196✓0.982.9M2022-06-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.62451.5922-1.99%1.5387-5.28%0.0402✓0.639,5522022-06-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.455880.446762-2.00%0.42179-7.48%0.0739✓1.7025k2022-06-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5312.4752-2.20%2.546+0.59%0.0182✓1.03763k2022-06-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.654.542-2.32%4.41-5.16%0.0375✓0.83824k2022-06-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.14812.0966-2.40%2.0152-6.19%0.0525✓1.336.4M2022-06-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.52492.4632-2.44%2.2146-12.29%0.1152✓0.924.3M2022-06-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3911.3568-2.46%1.363-2.01%0.0091✓1.428.8M2022-06-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.1060.103364-2.49%0.0812-23.40%0.2566✓1.59162k2022-06-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.167.9537-2.53%7.15-12.38%0.1110✓0.461.2M2022-06-01
TRXTRONTron0.0847060.082485-2.62%0.08326-1.71%0.0017✓0.801.4M2022-06-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6282.5454-3.14%2.638+0.38%0.0286✓0.731.1M2022-06-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.063.9134-3.61%4.02-0.99%0.0189✓0.83717k2022-06-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.364.182-4.08%3.7-15.14%0.1322✓1.01571k2022-06-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6964.4885-4.42%4.28-8.86%0.0512✓0.383.6M2022-06-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.785130.743052-5.36%0.67906-13.51%0.1056✓1.61329k2022-06-01
RADRadworksEthereum3.373.1748-5.79%2.02-40.06%0.4632✓1.14219k2022-06-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000190.000132803-30.10%0.00009845-48.18%0.3274✓2.926.0M2022-06-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.