8=======>

2022-05-21 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1999
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.51%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.8%
in alpha space · 56.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0570.058492+2.62%0.0564-1.05%0.0203✓1.1886k2022-05-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5922.6389+1.81%2.477-4.44%0.0395✗1.745.5M2022-05-28
DODODODOEthereum0.1420.144434+1.71%0.137-3.52%0.0320✗1.523.2M2022-05-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.840.852051+1.43%0.84+0.00%0.0000✓1.0496k2022-05-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001440.001459+1.30%0.00124-13.89%0.1419✗1.513.4M2022-05-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36530.369809+1.23%0.306-16.23%0.1717✗1.3077k2022-05-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.8630.2158+1.19%24.73-17.18%0.1802✗1.4750.4M2022-05-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash192.09194.0667+1.03%178.71-6.97%0.0664✗1.175.1M2022-05-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072130.072829+0.97%0.0663-8.08%0.0791✗1.0817k2022-05-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1771.1879+0.92%1.213+3.06%0.0442✓1.71503k2022-05-28
CBKCobakEthereum1.1191.1292+0.91%1.1524+2.98%0.0341✓1.0112k2022-05-28
XVSVenusEthereum4.794.8319+0.88%4.42-7.72%0.0660✗1.692.6M2022-05-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15770.159075+0.87%0.1373-12.94%0.1264✗1.528.8M2022-05-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.000011839+0.85%0.00001078-8.18%0.0758✗1.311.1M2022-05-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.890.896951+0.78%0.81-8.99%0.0807✗1.55683k2022-05-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0172170.017343+0.73%0.0177+2.81%0.0352✓1.083.2M2022-05-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08060.081177+0.72%0.0629-21.96%0.2324✗1.662.6M2022-05-28
STXStacksnative0.530.533628+0.68%0.52-1.89%0.0101✗1.16260k2022-05-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13620.137056+0.63%0.1288-5.43%0.0401✗1.615.5M2022-05-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038850.039094+0.63%0.03613-7.00%0.0598✗1.3944k2022-05-28
PROPropyEthereum1.041.0465+0.62%0.92-11.54%0.1198✗0.66369k2022-05-28
AAVEAaveEthereum91.1491.6985+0.61%95.38+4.65%0.0604✓1.549.0M2022-05-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.9710.0306+0.61%9.64-3.31%0.0213✗1.3513.8M2022-05-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.062.0718+0.57%2.11+2.43%0.0344✓1.18258k2022-05-28
UNIUniswapEthereum5.235.2599+0.57%4.98-4.78%0.0379✗1.233.1M2022-05-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06780.068164+0.54%0.0622-8.26%0.0779✗1.003.0M2022-05-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2111.2172+0.51%1.219+0.66%0.0198✓1.347.6M2022-05-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin69.7870.1272+0.50%62.99-9.73%0.0910✗1.1919.5M2022-05-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.9651.9743+0.47%1.583-19.44%0.1989✗1.611.9M2022-05-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.168.1966+0.45%7.53-7.72%0.0673✗1.285.0M2022-05-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.2032.2119+0.40%1.841-16.43%0.1573✗1.92789k2022-05-28
XVGVergenative0.005150.00517+0.39%0.00491-4.66%0.0322✗1.42885k2022-05-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.047.0672+0.39%6.56-6.82%0.0561✗1.3419.2M2022-05-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.37060.371984+0.37%0.34755-6.22%0.0485✗1.421.2M2022-05-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3630.364347+0.37%0.525+44.63%0.3899✓1.801.7M2022-05-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.11020.110587+0.35%0.1103+0.09%0.0196✓1.631.4M2022-05-28
SOLSolanaSolana50.2550.4253+0.35%44.2-12.04%0.1118✗1.4688.2M2022-05-28
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0081.0113+0.33%0.843-16.37%0.1616✗1.50775k2022-05-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9892.9987+0.33%2.679-10.37%0.0918✗1.53263k2022-05-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5820.58375+0.30%0.492-15.46%0.1548✗1.1933k2022-05-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12540.12575+0.28%0.1263+0.72%0.0192✓1.0918k2022-05-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.199350.19985+0.25%0.1824-8.50%0.0688✗1.65280k2022-05-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.92.9072+0.25%2.35-18.97%0.1880✗1.81378k2022-05-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.51222.5184+0.25%2.4133-3.94%0.0254✗1.2697k2022-05-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.2390.239536+0.22%0.1686-29.46%0.3427✗0.62374k2022-05-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,260.509,281.10+0.22%7,633.86-17.57%0.1790✗1.203.0M2022-05-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.451.4531+0.21%1.52+4.83%0.0660✓1.533.1M2022-05-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.0630.063133+0.21%0.0634+0.63%0.0208✓1.21404k2022-05-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,441.0029,501.90+0.21%28,840.90-2.04%0.0093✗0.9876k2022-05-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25380.25432+0.21%0.2538+0.00%0.0150✓1.25305k2022-05-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009630.00965+0.20%0.0091-5.50%0.0433✗1.121.1M2022-05-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32960.330238+0.19%0.3193-3.13%0.0159✗1.308.6M2022-05-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03360.03366+0.18%0.0305-9.23%0.0793✗1.41198k2022-05-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9032.9073+0.15%2.573-11.37%0.1072✗1.1090k2022-05-28
COMPCompoundEthereum68.468.4953+0.14%56.65-17.18%0.1706✗1.4128k2022-05-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08810.088222+0.14%0.0864-1.93%0.0100✗0.80184k2022-05-28
KSMKusamaHydration8080.0946+0.12%67.51-15.61%0.1536✗1.271.4M2022-05-28
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.000001111+0.11%0.00000103-7.21%0.0652✗0.787.5M2022-05-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.555860.556477+0.11%0.52442-5.66%0.0391✗1.4887k2022-05-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.376.3762+0.10%6.45+1.26%0.0307✓1.40610k2022-05-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2410.241216+0.09%0.198-17.84%0.1754✗1.612.2M2022-05-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.0321.0468+0.08%18.54-11.84%0.1075✗1.413.2M2022-05-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum88.0056+0.07%7.22-9.75%0.0831✗1.487.8M2022-05-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.25420.25437+0.07%0.2526-0.63%0.0119✓1.38159k2022-05-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92.9014+0.05%2.346-19.10%0.1874✗1.8321k2022-05-28
BANDBandEthereum1.7531.7538+0.04%1.505-14.15%0.1326✗1.49433k2022-05-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.08560.085637+0.04%0.0725-15.30%0.1429✗1.73215k2022-05-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.221.22-0.00%1.12-8.20%0.0742✓0.82192k2022-05-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1280.127988-0.01%0.1266-1.09%0.0046✗1.141.1M2022-05-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV48.6848.6722-0.02%49.222+1.11%0.0245✗0.971.5M2022-05-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028250.028245-0.02%0.02564-9.24%0.0838✓0.95180k2022-05-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14390.143869-0.02%0.1416-1.60%0.0066✗1.6597k2022-05-28
XTZTezosTezos1.82071.8202-0.03%1.9618+7.75%0.0921✗1.261.1M2022-05-28
MOVRMoonriverBase23.685223.6757-0.04%21.4319-9.51%0.0799✓1.44210k2022-05-28
DASHDashDash57.0156.9798-0.05%56.51-0.88%0.0081✗1.201.0M2022-05-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.361.3591-0.07%1.24-8.82%0.0768✓1.09132k2022-05-28
NANOnanopayBase1.14991.1489-0.08%1.0974-4.56%0.0287✓1.26157k2022-05-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2042.202-0.09%1.683-23.64%0.2478✓1.5395k2022-05-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004550.004546-0.10%0.00437-3.96%0.0248✓1.0715k2022-05-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0842970.084214-0.10%0.081785-2.98%0.0138✓1.135.8M2022-05-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.380.379609-0.10%0.35-7.89%0.0658✓1.131.0M2022-05-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.8712.8566-0.10%11.87-7.77%0.0670✓0.94583k2022-05-28
SCSiacoinnative0.005060.005054-0.12%0.00536+5.93%0.0798✗1.54367k2022-05-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.49040.489699-0.14%0.4839-1.33%0.0088✗1.52224k2022-05-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.8671.8643-0.14%2.832+51.69%0.4309✗0.94736k2022-05-28
XECeCashnative0.000045930.00004586-0.15%0.0000473+2.98%0.0491✗1.335.8M2022-05-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.12070.120501-0.16%0.1128-6.55%0.0477✓1.341.0M2022-05-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.0311.0095-0.19%9.41-14.69%0.1372✓1.4421.0M2022-05-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009930.009909-0.21%0.00849-14.50%0.1439✓0.78184k2022-05-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.16721.1647-0.21%1.1868+1.68%0.0338✗1.1076k2022-05-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.18190.181488-0.23%0.1577-13.30%0.1217✓1.38386k2022-05-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.02690.026839-0.23%0.026406-1.84%0.0022✓1.0322k2022-05-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,408.2629,340.23-0.23%29,008.99-1.36%0.0023✓1.00718.8M2022-05-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.543.5313-0.24%3.1-12.43%0.1171✓0.97774k2022-05-28
XEMNEMnative0.05320.053058-0.27%0.0479-9.96%0.0838✓1.3543k2022-05-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051450.051312-0.27%0.05265+2.33%0.0395✗1.0120k2022-05-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,972.641,967.20-0.28%1,790.23-9.25%0.0802✓1.03437.0M2022-05-28
MANADecentralandEthereum1.09481.0917-0.28%0.95601-12.68%0.1112✓1.581.2M2022-05-28
GMTGMTEthereum1.361.3561-0.29%1.037-23.75%0.2546✓1.004.5M2022-05-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6880.686024-0.29%0.599-12.94%0.1151✓1.50294k2022-05-28
FTTFTXEthereum30.130.007-0.31%27.11-9.93%0.0884✓0.9611.0M2022-05-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004950.004934-0.32%0.00403-18.59%0.1860✓1.201.9M2022-05-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66270.660354-0.35%0.6066-8.47%0.0649✓1.475.1M2022-05-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8792.8683-0.37%2.607-9.45%0.0819✓1.00163k2022-05-28
UMAUMAEthereum3.4423.4289-0.38%3.14-8.77%0.0648✓1.702.4M2022-05-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18570.184991-0.38%0.1814-2.32%0.0007✓1.49640k2022-05-28
QNTQuantEthereum68.2768.0031-0.39%65.4-4.20%0.0244✓1.073.5M2022-05-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.43450.432716-0.41%0.367-15.54%0.1480✓1.2215.4M2022-05-28
HIVEHivenative0.4880.485904-0.43%0.4761-2.44%0.0028✓1.291.5M2022-05-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.388080.386399-0.43%0.36882-4.96%0.0289✓1.29197k2022-05-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.1990.198124-0.44%0.1592-20.00%0.2037✓1.101,8582022-05-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32240.320971-0.44%0.2862-11.23%0.0973✓1.27445k2022-05-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.008840.008801-0.44%0.009135+3.34%0.0511✗1.0111k2022-05-28
GTGateEthereum5.76845.7426-0.45%5.3291-7.62%0.0677✓0.524.9M2022-05-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.6120.609131-0.47%0.505-17.48%0.1662✓1.55904k2022-05-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.3220.2243-0.47%22.74+11.91%0.1346✗1.273.4M2022-05-28
ADACardanoCardano0.52790.525209-0.51%0.4643-12.05%0.1048✓1.3548.2M2022-05-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1022.0912-0.51%2.39+13.70%0.1481✗1.06714k2022-05-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9440.938827-0.55%0.915-3.07%0.0041✓1.586.3M2022-05-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6510.5914-0.55%9.06-14.93%0.1344✓1.60165k2022-05-28
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0197.9745-0.55%6.228-22.33%0.2141✓2.4279.5M2022-05-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.013310.013235-0.56%0.01166-12.40%0.1124✓1.052.8M2022-05-28
ZENHorizenBase20.4920.3675-0.60%19.24-6.10%0.0354✓1.58156k2022-05-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7220.717619-0.61%0.651-9.83%0.0766✓1.531.7M2022-05-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.91293.8887-0.62%3.7424-4.36%0.0222✓1.18103k2022-05-28
ZECZcashZcash104.31103.64-0.64%86.67-16.91%0.1610✓1.305.2M2022-05-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.9914.8934-0.64%12.22-18.48%0.1807✓1.25836k2022-05-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.273.2485-0.66%3.91+19.57%0.1994✗1.03553k2022-05-28
XYMSymbolnative0.06550.06504-0.70%0.0564-13.89%0.1323✓0.75365k2022-05-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.93514.8997-0.72%5.0994+3.33%0.0430✗0.23307k2022-05-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.24e-77.19e-7-0.75%7.17e-7-0.94%0.0103✗0.891.5M2022-05-28
XMRMoneroMonero175.95174.5041-0.82%175.92-0.02%0.0227✗1.072.7M2022-05-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4398130.436187-0.82%0.379026-13.82%0.1222✓1.345.7M2022-05-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9620.954048-0.83%0.916-4.78%0.0259✓1.09769k2022-05-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1305240.129399-0.86%0.122588-6.08%0.0392✓1.0912.4M2022-05-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.416050.412433-0.87%0.42364+1.82%0.0498✗1.6826k2022-05-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.114.0735-0.89%4.4+7.06%0.0886✗0.84779k2022-05-28
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3191.3068-0.93%1.241-5.91%0.0380✓1.003.5M2022-05-28
KCSKuCoinnative15.9415.7885-0.95%15.304-3.99%0.0179✓0.975.5M2022-05-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05570.055169-0.95%0.0477-14.36%0.1282✓1.271.3M2022-05-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.272.2478-0.98%1.77-22.03%0.2150✓1.75554k2022-05-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8520.843657-0.98%0.81-4.93%0.0253✓1.133.1M2022-05-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.14370.142233-1.02%0.098-31.80%0.3482✓1.78614k2022-05-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045650.045155-1.08%0.04736+3.75%0.0610✗0.977,7862022-05-28
STEEMSteemnative0.2650.262119-1.09%0.2403-9.32%0.0732✓1.001.1M2022-05-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.013080.012936-1.10%0.0117-10.55%0.0797✓1.5236.9M2022-05-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5223.4785-1.23%3.3129-5.94%0.0282✓1.5110.0M2022-05-28
DIADIAEthereum0.520410.513441-1.34%0.43931-15.58%0.1487✓0.5375k2022-05-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.7812.6019-1.39%10.19-20.27%0.1904✓1.616.9M2022-05-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.567.448-1.48%5.42-28.31%0.3067✓0.823.0M2022-05-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.68311.6581-1.48%1.4536-13.64%0.1237✓0.5812k2022-05-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.38952.3521-1.57%2.4046+0.63%0.0359✗1.012.5M2022-05-28
TRXTRONTron0.0741640.072913-1.69%0.081148+9.42%0.1179✗0.791.1M2022-05-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1710.168098-1.70%0.1652-3.39%0.0037✓1.004,0132022-05-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.29122.2422-2.14%2.2935+0.10%0.0353✗0.934.6M2022-05-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.9010.881504-2.16%0.626-30.52%0.3212✓1.5416k2022-05-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.683.5949-2.31%4.77+29.62%0.2944✗0.85521k2022-05-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4831.446-2.50%1.299-12.41%0.0877✓1.4311.2M2022-05-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0215820.021029-2.56%0.014613-32.29%0.3549✓0.66209k2022-05-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.5645.4152-2.68%3.322-40.29%0.4749✓1.011.7M2022-05-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.029740.028858-2.97%0.02384-19.84%0.1811✓0.73400k2022-05-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.70822.6245-3.09%2.0387-24.72%0.2342✓1.347.9M2022-05-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03190.030843-3.31%0.0238-25.39%0.2283✓2.2623.0M2022-05-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.1140.110004-3.51%0.083-27.19%0.2599✓1.59162k2022-05-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.158.815-3.66%7.89-13.77%0.1040✓0.511.2M2022-05-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.924.6365-5.76%4.41-10.37%0.0445✓0.412.4M2022-05-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.08010.985648-8.74%0.62113-42.49%0.4405✓1.56327k2022-05-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.000130.000058576-54.94%0.00009177-29.41%0.4861✓2.726.5M2022-05-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.