8=======>

2022-05-17 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3422
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.81%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.7%
in alpha space · 59.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000190.000069687-63.32%0.00018-5.26%1.0166✗2.588.4M2022-05-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1483.0564-2.91%4.54+44.22%0.4175✗0.832.1M2022-05-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.18920.185663-1.87%0.18-4.86%0.0048✓1.004,7802022-05-24
TRXTRONTron0.0721420.07096-1.64%0.080507+11.60%0.1474✗0.811.2M2022-05-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4131.3922-1.47%1.43+1.20%0.0639✗1.4214.3M2022-05-24
STEEMSteemnative0.29990.29564-1.42%0.2617-12.74%0.0958✓1.001.6M2022-05-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014680.014483-1.34%0.01251-14.78%0.1076✓1.4844.1M2022-05-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.4412.2933-1.18%12.4-0.32%0.0490✗1.546.4M2022-05-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047380.046868-1.08%0.04853+2.43%0.0604✗0.978,0692022-05-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.33.2657-1.04%2.7-18.18%0.1641✓1.00213k2022-05-24
ZECZcashZcash114.63113.4588-1.02%100.18-12.61%0.0903✓1.315.7M2022-05-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1264.0845-1.01%3.68-10.81%0.0761✓1.081.5M2022-05-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1415430.140135-0.99%0.132961-6.06%0.0242✓1.0813.4M2022-05-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.68181.6667-0.90%1.5353-8.71%0.0658✓0.6215k2022-05-24
QTUMQtumQtum4.21874.1828-0.85%4.1082-2.62%0.0132✗1.19134k2022-05-24
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3951.3833-0.84%1.28-8.24%0.0514✓1.004.4M2022-05-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.49470.490614-0.83%0.4187-15.36%0.1271✓1.2015.2M2022-05-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9580.950324-0.80%0.994+3.76%0.0741✗1.11769k2022-05-24
KCSKuCoinnative14.91614.7986-0.79%16.061+7.68%0.1073✗0.974.9M2022-05-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3460.343401-0.75%0.2993-13.50%0.1026✓1.33463k2022-05-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.984.9452-0.70%4.9324-0.96%0.0041✓0.26294k2022-05-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8170.811529-0.67%0.818+0.12%0.0371✗1.113.2M2022-05-24
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.069242-0.66%0.062-11.05%0.0908✓0.75536k2022-05-24
ZENHorizenBase22.1422.0007-0.63%20.61-6.91%0.0250✓1.54171k2022-05-24
XMRMoneroMonero172.72171.6614-0.61%193.08+11.79%0.1457✗1.083.5M2022-05-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.014070.013986-0.60%0.01327-5.69%0.0248✓1.063.3M2022-05-24
HIVEHivenative0.54110.537887-0.59%0.4945-8.61%0.0510✓1.271.5M2022-05-24
QNTQuantEthereum74.4674.0394-0.56%68.32-8.25%0.0534✓1.033.6M2022-05-24
MANADecentralandEthereum1.21591.2093-0.54%1.0387-14.57%0.1128✓1.501.2M2022-05-24
ADACardanoCardano0.5770.573923-0.53%0.5214-9.64%0.0617✓1.3148.6M2022-05-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.15e-77.11e-7-0.52%6.94e-7-2.86%0.0101✓0.521.6M2022-05-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.7621.6467-0.52%24.18+11.12%0.1437✗1.264.2M2022-05-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.2115.1311-0.52%13.61-10.52%0.0717✓1.31822k2022-05-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.14930.148527-0.52%0.1312-12.12%0.0960✓1.071.2M2022-05-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20220.201162-0.51%0.1891-6.48%0.0238✓1.45683k2022-05-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.41490.412849-0.49%0.39571-4.63%0.0088✓1.29223k2022-05-24
GTGateEthereum5.75215.7251-0.47%5.6407-1.94%0.0008✓0.545.2M2022-05-24
FTTFTXEthereum32.0331.8807-0.47%29.83-6.87%0.0417✓0.9513.2M2022-05-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01870.018613-0.46%0.0274+46.52%0.4042✗0.67400k2022-05-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73650.733092-0.46%0.6659-9.59%0.0589✓1.426.1M2022-05-24
XEMNEMnative0.06140.061129-0.44%0.053-13.68%0.1084✓1.31127k2022-05-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.29541.2903-0.39%1.2873-0.63%0.0259✗1.0898k2022-05-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0153680.015308-0.39%0.016993+10.57%0.1244✗0.77198k2022-05-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.7555.5361-0.38%53.4-4.22%0.0142✓0.951.7M2022-05-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.21090.210202-0.33%0.1976-6.31%0.0340✓1.062,6012022-05-24
GMTGMTEthereum1.581.5755-0.29%1.398-11.52%0.0933✓1.006.6M2022-05-24
ETHEthereumEthereum2,088.962,083.35-0.27%1,978.15-5.30%0.0251✓1.02494.1M2022-05-24
APEApeCoinEthereum8.8778.855-0.25%7.505-15.46%0.0978✓2.5894.8M2022-05-24
SCSiacoinnative0.005610.005598-0.21%0.00549-2.14%0.0196✗1.49403k2022-05-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.471.4669-0.21%1.37-6.80%0.0399✓1.08134k2022-05-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,412.1230,351.97-0.20%29,626.44-2.58%0.0020✗1.00675.4M2022-05-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.3410.3215-0.18%9.7-6.19%0.0214✓1.56154k2022-05-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.029040.028988-0.18%0.02779-4.30%0.0160✓1.0025k2022-05-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.852.8454-0.16%3.67+28.77%0.2812✗1.02440k2022-05-24
XECeCashnative0.000049360.000049287-0.15%0.00005051+2.33%0.0587✗1.316.5M2022-05-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.740.73891-0.15%0.688-7.03%0.0328✓1.47338k2022-05-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.182.1775-0.11%2.2726+4.25%0.0756✗1.268.8M2022-05-24
PROPropyEthereum1.211.2087-0.11%1.06-12.40%0.1127✓0.71429k2022-05-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39060.390226-0.10%0.3398-13.01%0.1052✓1.279.0M2022-05-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.612540.611962-0.09%0.57632-5.91%0.0215✓1.4793k2022-05-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15250.152412-0.06%0.1472-3.48%0.0076✗1.62109k2022-05-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0089630.008959-0.05%0.00909+1.42%0.0415✗1.0315k2022-05-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.763.7585-0.04%3.38-10.11%0.0855✓0.79788k2022-05-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,409.8030,399.44-0.03%29,426.00-3.24%0.0070✓0.9790k2022-05-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.96881.9689+0.00%2.4297+23.41%0.2398✓1.132.4M2022-05-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.07110.071114+0.02%0.0653-8.16%0.0555✗1.14407k2022-05-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.50040.500509+0.02%0.5547+10.85%0.1422✓1.51307k2022-05-24
COMPCompoundEthereum74.6974.7086+0.02%69.91-6.40%0.0305✗1.3728k2022-05-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.05525+0.04%0.05492-0.56%0.0205✓1.0125k2022-05-24
DASHDashDash60.1160.1324+0.04%62.33+3.69%0.0673✓1.201.2M2022-05-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0901510.090189+0.04%0.083563-7.31%0.0471✗1.126.3M2022-05-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.18040.180484+0.05%0.1788-0.89%0.0275✓1.41386k2022-05-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029710.029725+0.05%0.03718+25.14%0.2499✓1.00194k2022-05-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.4611.4659+0.05%11.07-3.40%0.0010✓1.3821.0M2022-05-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3840.384248+0.06%0.406+5.73%0.0826✓1.051.1M2022-05-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.27050.270737+0.09%0.2606-3.66%0.0007✓1.43172k2022-05-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05620.056252+0.09%0.054-3.91%0.0094✗1.201.5M2022-05-24
NANOnanopayBase1.16071.1619+0.10%1.1245-3.12%0.0000✓1.25161k2022-05-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.613.6143+0.12%4.23+17.17%0.1825✓0.96798k2022-05-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.422.4283+0.13%21.26-5.09%0.0153✗1.463.4M2022-05-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01040.010414+0.13%0.00963-7.40%0.0491✗1.121.3M2022-05-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.6613.6788+0.14%12.98-4.98%0.0282✗0.93571k2022-05-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.92712.9316+0.15%3.5129+20.01%0.2238✓1.649.8M2022-05-24
XTZTezosTezos1.85681.8597+0.16%2.1228+14.33%0.1656✓1.271.1M2022-05-24
SOLSolanaSolana57.0257.1121+0.16%49.64-12.94%0.1032✗1.4293.8M2022-05-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09070.090847+0.16%0.088-2.98%0.0098✗0.84183k2022-05-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.14180.142041+0.17%0.1178-16.93%0.1417✗1.74694k2022-05-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0573.0631+0.20%2.995-2.03%0.0052✓1.0699k2022-05-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.005120.005131+0.21%0.00457-10.74%0.0835✗1.231.9M2022-05-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.628.6385+0.21%7.92-8.12%0.0492✗1.448.3M2022-05-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.08920.089401+0.23%0.0832-6.73%0.0272✗1.71239k2022-05-24
UMAUMAEthereum3.3143.3217+0.23%3.449+4.07%0.0814✓1.672.6M2022-05-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.120.120316+0.26%0.1191-0.75%0.0259✓1.381.1M2022-05-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.035397+0.28%0.0377+6.80%0.0989✓1.37189k2022-05-24
MOVRMoonriverBase24.710724.7828+0.29%24.8641+0.62%0.0410✓1.44207k2022-05-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.717.7353+0.33%7.22-6.36%0.0344✗1.3218.8M2022-05-24
KSMKusamaHydration82.0482.3173+0.34%81.64-0.49%0.0245✓1.251.4M2022-05-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,984.1310,018.28+0.34%9,069.18-9.16%0.0690✗1.172.9M2022-05-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.1210.12144+0.36%0.1196-1.16%0.0268✓1.611.7M2022-05-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.0211.061+0.37%10.18-7.62%0.0488✗1.3113.7M2022-05-24
BTTCBTTC0.000001130.000001134+0.40%0.00000113+0.00%0.0166✓0.797.7M2022-05-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3891.395+0.43%1.255-9.65%0.0682✗1.436.6M2022-05-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.57862.5899+0.44%2.5793+0.03%0.0283✓1.24145k2022-05-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin73.0473.3865+0.47%70.2-3.89%0.0141✗1.1619.1M2022-05-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5930.595871+0.48%0.574-3.20%0.0014✓1.48929k2022-05-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6230.626016+0.48%0.691+10.91%0.1411✓1.621.7M2022-05-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08440.084812+0.49%0.069-18.25%0.1802✗1.003.0M2022-05-24
UNIUniswapEthereum5.475.4999+0.55%5.6+2.38%0.0496✓1.213.5M2022-05-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.133.1476+0.56%2.928-6.45%0.0312✗1.57240k2022-05-24
XVGVergenative0.005460.005491+0.57%0.00532-2.56%0.0046✓1.39949k2022-05-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9130.918649+0.62%0.956+4.71%0.0804✓1.557.6M2022-05-24
BANDBandEthereum1.7651.7761+0.63%1.766+0.06%0.0322✓1.45500k2022-05-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4248170.427563+0.65%0.429766+1.16%0.0408✓1.366.1M2022-05-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.742.7582+0.67%3.35+22.26%0.2218✓1.05553k2022-05-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040940.041216+0.67%0.03974-2.93%0.0009✓1.3694k2022-05-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.25470.25642+0.68%0.2111-17.12%0.1824✗0.46410k2022-05-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25890.260672+0.68%0.2682+3.59%0.0614✓1.26280k2022-05-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.68411.6962+0.72%2.2059+30.98%0.2922✓1.124.3M2022-05-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13110.132052+0.73%0.1342+2.36%0.0425✓1.0119k2022-05-24
MINAMina Protocolnative1.11.108+0.73%1.022-7.09%0.0440✗1.40775k2022-05-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0342.049+0.74%2.048+0.69%0.0433✓1.6799k2022-05-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6290.633774+0.76%0.578-8.11%0.0610✗1.1938k2022-05-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.393370.396533+0.80%0.41311+5.02%0.0840✓1.6527k2022-05-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.09130.092036+0.81%0.0832-8.87%0.0599✗1.573.6M2022-05-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.865.9089+0.83%7.85+33.96%0.3075✓0.901.2M2022-05-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.17980.181384+0.88%0.1547-13.96%0.1194✗1.528.8M2022-05-24
STXStacksnative0.580.58523+0.90%0.59+1.72%0.0378✓1.14314k2022-05-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash206.73208.6151+0.91%195.39-5.49%0.0356✗1.145.4M2022-05-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.536.5897+0.91%6.58+0.77%0.0345✓1.37666k2022-05-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4436+0.95%1.66+16.08%0.1784✓1.483.6M2022-05-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012550.000012673+0.98%0.00001174-6.45%0.0417✗1.331.2M2022-05-24
AAVEAaveEthereum92.5393.4459+0.99%106.62+15.23%0.1715✓1.528.7M2022-05-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.568.6459+1.00%8.4-1.87%0.0041✓1.265.8M2022-05-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3991.414+1.07%1.391-0.57%0.0285✓1.72665k2022-05-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14520.146764+1.08%0.1537+5.85%0.0873✓1.576.0M2022-05-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.209630.211918+1.09%0.21807+4.03%0.0707✓1.61273k2022-05-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.752.781+1.13%2.642-3.93%0.0065✓1.7123k2022-05-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.161.1732+1.14%1.15-0.86%0.0018✓0.83204k2022-05-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche34.3834.7807+1.17%29.03-15.56%0.1428✗1.4548.8M2022-05-24
DIADIAEthereum0.397630.402418+1.20%0.46798+17.69%0.1719✓0.8070k2022-05-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009050.00916+1.22%0.00921+1.77%0.0272✓0.83222k2022-05-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2530.256138+1.24%0.239-5.53%0.0294✗1.523.4M2022-05-24
CBKCobakEthereum1.2311.2463+1.24%1.186-3.66%0.0236✗0.9924k2022-05-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.380480.385293+1.26%0.38492+1.17%0.0367✓1.441.4M2022-05-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8546+1.34%1.93+5.46%0.0841✓1.69452k2022-05-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072130.073139+1.40%0.07079-1.86%0.0056✓1.0318k2022-05-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004430.004495+1.47%0.00448+1.13%0.0226✓0.9919k2022-05-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0162330.016472+1.47%0.021733+33.88%0.3061✓1.114.2M2022-05-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.6741.6989+1.49%2.528+51.02%0.4234✓0.99779k2022-05-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.970.98457+1.50%0.83-14.43%0.1453✗0.97119k2022-05-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3420.347167+1.51%0.383+11.99%0.1436✓1.731.8M2022-05-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.7481.7748+1.54%2.4+37.30%0.3296✓1.06714k2022-05-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.9051.9366+1.66%1.725-9.45%0.0781✗1.442.3M2022-05-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.623+1.67%2.68+3.88%0.0673✓1.75390k2022-05-24
XVSVenusEthereum4.734.8124+1.74%4.72-0.21%0.0197✓1.492.8M2022-05-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.925992+1.76%0.91+0.00%0.0228✓1.54800k2022-05-24
RADRadworksEthereum2.042.0763+1.78%2.08+1.96%0.0289✓1.04315k2022-05-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.355.4486+1.84%5.55+3.74%0.0423✓0.912.7M2022-05-24
DODODODOEthereum0.1680.171243+1.93%0.178+5.95%0.0776✓1.494.0M2022-05-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.1152.1586+2.06%2.135+0.95%0.0411✓1.99903k2022-05-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8832.9457+2.17%2.624-8.98%0.0714✗1.696.7M2022-05-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08030.082163+2.32%0.0899+11.96%0.1366✓1.78169k2022-05-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07120.072864+2.34%0.0719+0.98%0.0141✓1.05113k2022-05-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01670.017146+2.67%0.0273+63.47%0.5235✓2.2325.3M2022-05-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.385080.395402+2.68%0.84969+120.65%0.8094✓1.70331k2022-05-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36140.371141+2.70%0.3889+7.61%0.0806✓1.2991k2022-05-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001440.001487+3.24%0.00138-4.17%0.0355✗1.493.5M2022-05-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.640.663926+3.74%0.678+5.94%0.0597✓1.4816k2022-05-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.