8=======>

2022-05-13 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.4255
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+26.55%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.8%
in alpha space · 59.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.26%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000120.00003911-67.41%0.00013+8.33%1.2079✗2.567.8M2022-05-20
TRXTRONTron0.07420.073247-1.28%0.071236-3.99%0.0257✓0.821.1M2022-05-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08995.0724-0.34%4.9926-1.91%0.0151✓0.27284k2022-05-20
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8140.816384+0.29%0.792-2.70%0.0274✗1.103.3M2022-05-20
GTGateEthereum5.55845.5749+0.30%5.6554+1.75%0.0158✓0.544.9M2022-05-20
XLMStellarStellar0.1320630.132619+0.42%0.126231-4.42%0.0466✗1.0713.8M2022-05-20
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3031.3089+0.45%1.308+0.38%0.0019✓1.005.3M2022-05-20
XYMSymbolnative0.06990.070341+0.63%0.0658-5.87%0.0648✗0.74568k2022-05-20
FTTFTXEthereum30.8331.0337+0.66%29.72-3.60%0.0407✗0.9615.2M2022-05-20
XEMNEMnative0.0580.058407+0.70%0.0531-8.45%0.0920✗1.24127k2022-05-20
QTUMQtumQtum3.86813.8979+0.77%3.8087-1.54%0.0200✗1.20135k2022-05-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9140.921346+0.80%0.915+0.11%0.0040✓1.11729k2022-05-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.7314.8695+0.95%15.54+5.50%0.0475✓1.31822k2022-05-20
KCSKuCoinnative12.51112.631+0.96%15.424+23.28%0.2022✓0.934.1M2022-05-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.72541.742+0.96%1.6507-4.33%0.0522✗0.6516k2022-05-20
ZECZcashZcash93.8194.7771+1.03%106.98+14.04%0.1244✓1.245.1M2022-05-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.391.4046+1.05%1.35-2.88%0.0368✗1.08140k2022-05-20
ETHEthereumEthereum2,005.482,026.78+1.06%1,956.58-2.44%0.0326✗1.03494.1M2022-05-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0094570.009561+1.10%0.00877-7.26%0.0836✗1.0428k2022-05-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.01350.013652+1.13%0.01308-3.11%0.0401✗1.063.4M2022-05-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,332.5029,667.99+1.14%29,101.40-0.79%0.0167✗0.9858k2022-05-20
QNTQuantEthereum68.5869.3779+1.16%66.22-3.44%0.0439✗1.033.5M2022-05-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.042970.043473+1.17%0.04468+3.98%0.0299✓0.958,5302022-05-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,232.1829,608.14+1.29%29,155.75-0.26%0.0128✓1.00672.6M2022-05-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.4720.7393+1.32%20.11-1.76%0.0275✗1.264.4M2022-05-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.383220.38864+1.41%0.37974-0.91%0.0199✗1.26188k2022-05-20
MANADecentralandEthereum1.0221.0366+1.43%1.0623+3.95%0.0284✓1.47970k2022-05-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.09170.093058+1.48%0.082-10.58%0.1221✗1.69215k2022-05-20
ZENHorizenBase20.2420.5459+1.51%20.11-0.64%0.0175✗1.52173k2022-05-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66530.675911+1.59%0.6439-3.22%0.0448✗1.416.1M2022-05-20
ADACardanoCardano0.52810.536822+1.65%0.5155-2.39%0.0372✗1.2843.7M2022-05-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.279.4235+1.66%7.77-16.18%0.1892✗1.438.0M2022-05-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.8952.8165+1.79%49.12-5.34%0.0700✗0.961.9M2022-05-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.44260.450556+1.80%0.4329-2.19%0.0369✗1.1812.8M2022-05-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08720.088835+1.88%0.0885+1.49%0.0016✓0.85169k2022-05-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.4410.6366+1.88%9.66-7.47%0.0929✗1.2911.9M2022-05-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.13791.1594+1.90%1.1374-0.04%0.0165✓1.0598k2022-05-20
XTZTezosTezos1.76611.8006+1.95%1.742-1.36%0.0298✗1.26878k2022-05-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.18970.193525+2.02%0.2023+6.64%0.0470✓1.032,9402022-05-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.19e-76.31e-7+2.08%7.56e-7+22.23%0.1815✓0.551.4M2022-05-20
DASHDashDash57.9859.2106+2.12%57.22-1.31%0.0311✗1.181.1M2022-05-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18070.184542+2.13%0.1835+1.55%0.0019✓1.45640k2022-05-20
PROPropyEthereum1.191.2158+2.17%1.05-11.76%0.1447✗0.71495k2022-05-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0882440.090177+2.19%0.083757-5.08%0.0709✗1.117.1M2022-05-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.399.5963+2.20%10.05+7.03%0.0500✓1.47134k2022-05-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28280.289227+2.27%0.2182-22.84%0.2806✗0.48458k2022-05-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.88482.9511+2.30%3.679+27.53%0.2248✓1.657.0M2022-05-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.687764+2.35%0.664-1.19%0.0313✗1.47344k2022-05-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin67.7869.378+2.36%68.48+1.03%0.0100✓1.1517.8M2022-05-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46310.47409+2.37%0.4818+4.04%0.0200✓1.47307k2022-05-20
NANOnanopayBase1.07641.1019+2.38%1.0935+1.59%0.0044✓1.25161k2022-05-20
BTTCBTTC0.000001120.000001147+2.40%0.0000011-1.79%0.0396✗0.797.9M2022-05-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.792.857+2.40%2.787-0.11%0.0221✓1.0390k2022-05-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015980.016371+2.45%0.03292+106.01%0.7004✓0.70400k2022-05-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash201.94206.9696+2.49%189.86-5.98%0.0833✗1.135.3M2022-05-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03290.033724+2.50%0.0326-0.91%0.0304✗1.34189k2022-05-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4873.5758+2.55%5.761+65.21%0.4796✓1.031.5M2022-05-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,926.0510,181.94+2.58%9,118.66-8.13%0.1072✗1.162.6M2022-05-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012810.000013143+2.60%0.0000116-9.45%0.1214✗1.331.3M2022-05-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.47832.5431+2.61%2.4005-3.14%0.0545✗1.23177k2022-05-20
UNIUniswapEthereum5.135.265+2.63%5.1-0.58%0.0287✗1.203.9M2022-05-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.4520.9904+2.64%20.69+1.17%0.0107✓1.423.8M2022-05-20
APEApeCoinEthereum8.538.7569+2.66%7.748-9.17%0.1155✗2.6594.8M2022-05-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.137.3207+2.67%6.86-3.79%0.0616✗1.3119.6M2022-05-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.23340.239702+2.70%0.2512+7.63%0.0504✓1.37180k2022-05-20
XMRMoneroMonero143.73147.6487+2.73%173.53+20.73%0.1642✓1.023.2M2022-05-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.013310.013677+2.76%0.020574+54.58%0.4103✓0.77200k2022-05-20
COMPCompoundEthereum68.4570.3872+2.83%66.33-3.10%0.0558✗1.3630k2022-05-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.7610.0387+2.86%13.03+33.50%0.2649✓1.575.9M2022-05-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.1110.114198+2.88%0.1175+5.86%0.0320✓1.351.2M2022-05-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050050.051503+2.90%0.04991-0.28%0.0288✗0.9825k2022-05-20
HIVEHivenative0.45490.468476+2.98%0.4773+4.92%0.0219✓1.231.5M2022-05-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7113.0912+3.00%12.75+0.31%0.0240✓0.91555k2022-05-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.310.6133+3.04%11.19+8.64%0.0564✓1.3320.9M2022-05-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009530.009824+3.08%0.00923-3.15%0.0594✗1.111.0M2022-05-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25190.25985+3.16%0.3103+23.18%0.1807✓1.25480k2022-05-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31590.3259+3.17%0.3196+1.17%0.0163✓1.238.5M2022-05-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.273.3753+3.22%3.62+10.70%0.0719✓0.72770k2022-05-20
STORJStorjEthereum0.499640.515821+3.24%0.53909+7.90%0.0478✓1.4291k2022-05-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3121.3557+3.33%1.125-14.25%0.1828✗1.425.8M2022-05-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.126811+3.35%0.1367+11.41%0.0793✓1.63109k2022-05-20
SOLSolanaSolana48.8950.5498+3.39%49.37+0.98%0.0200✓1.3987.4M2022-05-20
MOVRMoonriverBase22.637623.4143+3.43%21.9198-3.17%0.0621✗1.46195k2022-05-20
GMTGMTEthereum1.4931.5443+3.43%1.342-10.11%0.1378✗1.008.8M2022-05-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.11020.114004+3.45%0.1073-2.63%0.0565✗1.571.8M2022-05-20
UMAUMAEthereum2.9133.0137+3.46%3.082+5.80%0.0268✓1.672.4M2022-05-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035180.036399+3.47%0.03664+4.15%0.0101✓1.3594k2022-05-20
SCSiacoinnative0.004660.004822+3.47%0.005+7.30%0.0401✓1.44403k2022-05-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.739.0348+3.49%7.92-9.28%0.1284✗1.257.5M2022-05-20
BANDBandEthereum1.721.7804+3.51%1.673-2.73%0.0585✗1.44537k2022-05-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009850.010201+3.56%0.00979-0.61%0.0391✗0.79246k2022-05-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023990.024851+3.59%0.02613+8.92%0.0530✓1.06214k2022-05-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9482.018+3.59%1.964+0.82%0.0228✓1.6699k2022-05-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.154494+3.62%0.1808+21.26%0.1609✓1.38372k2022-05-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.093.2065+3.77%4.29+38.83%0.2936✓0.94817k2022-05-20
KSMKusamaHydration73.8476.655+3.81%75.45+2.18%0.0126✓1.221.2M2022-05-20
STEEMSteemnative0.21850.226889+3.84%0.2592+18.63%0.1358✓1.002.1M2022-05-20
XECeCashnative0.000042120.000043739+3.84%0.00004532+7.60%0.0391✓1.386.7M2022-05-20
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.4439+3.88%1.29-7.19%0.1088✗1.494.1M2022-05-20
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6090.632618+3.88%0.562-7.72%0.1152✗1.2042k2022-05-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.023790.024716+3.89%0.02615+9.92%0.0590✓0.9927k2022-05-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.05730.059593+4.00%0.0611+6.63%0.0279✓1.13415k2022-05-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche32.1733.4581+4.00%28.76-10.60%0.1475✗1.4445.0M2022-05-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1120.116514+4.03%0.1265+12.95%0.0851✓1.111.1M2022-05-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3440.35798+4.06%0.36+4.65%0.0083✓1.021.1M2022-05-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.392.4914+4.24%3.87+61.92%0.4429✓0.96470k2022-05-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12230.127532+4.28%0.125+2.21%0.0176✓0.9319k2022-05-20
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0411.0859+4.31%0.984-5.48%0.0949✗1.38755k2022-05-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13990.145936+4.31%0.1282-8.36%0.1255✗1.576.2M2022-05-20
STXStacksnative0.520.542462+4.32%0.5-3.85%0.0787✗1.09274k2022-05-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064240.067068+4.40%0.06984+8.72%0.0432✓1.0319k2022-05-20
DIADIAEthereum0.376820.393436+4.41%0.52752+39.99%0.2953✓0.7770k2022-05-20
AAVEAaveEthereum82.2885.9822+4.50%90.03+9.42%0.0499✓1.498.6M2022-05-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.230779+4.52%0.2478+12.23%0.0744✓1.22292k2022-05-20
XVGVergenative0.004720.004939+4.64%0.00514+8.90%0.0434✓1.35885k2022-05-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08210.085914+4.65%0.0776-5.48%0.0978✗1.523.6M2022-05-20
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8320.870789+4.66%0.857+3.00%0.0120✓1.537.9M2022-05-20
CBKCobakEthereum1.0561.1058+4.71%1.096+3.79%0.0063✓0.9725k2022-05-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4962.6166+4.83%2.85+14.18%0.0894✓1.52216k2022-05-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.344170.361077+4.91%0.35985+4.56%0.0008✓1.6135k2022-05-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0145860.015305+4.93%0.016125+10.55%0.0551✓1.104.4M2022-05-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004290.004502+4.95%0.00469+9.32%0.0440✓1.191.7M2022-05-20
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.07040.073889+4.96%0.0659-6.39%0.1118✗1.003.9M2022-05-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.322.4358+4.99%3.4+46.55%0.3362✓1.05553k2022-05-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.195840.205714+5.04%0.19007-2.95%0.0749✗1.62250k2022-05-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.831.9224+5.05%5.591+205.52%1.0695✓0.721.8M2022-05-20
UOSUltraEthereum0.350770.369174+5.25%0.35573+1.41%0.0332✓1.491.4M2022-05-20
XVSVenusEthereum4.244.4648+5.30%4.91+15.80%0.0988✓1.432.9M2022-05-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.61191.6974+5.31%2.5587+58.74%0.4133✓1.102.5M2022-05-20
ORCAOrcaSolana0.890.937602+5.35%0.86-3.37%0.0840✗0.93137k2022-05-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3664160.386178+5.39%0.446122+21.75%0.1477✓1.316.1M2022-05-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009890.010444+5.61%0.01123+13.55%0.0769✓1.6644.1M2022-05-20
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32.429+5.61%2.414+4.96%0.0018✓1.7023k2022-05-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3750.396299+5.68%0.3469-7.49%0.1298✗1.2893k2022-05-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.0041.0616+5.73%1.367+36.16%0.2564✓1.3414.9M2022-05-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4990.527735+5.76%0.515+3.21%0.0206✓1.46869k2022-05-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.7557+5.76%1.87+12.65%0.0675✓1.69399k2022-05-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0710.075112+5.79%0.0573-19.30%0.2680✗1.04115k2022-05-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04630.049012+5.86%0.0541+16.85%0.1018✓1.161.6M2022-05-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1941.2653+5.97%1.128-5.53%0.1104✗1.69582k2022-05-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.46751.5555+6.00%2.4468+66.73%0.4558✓1.084.3M2022-05-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14830.157253+6.04%0.1506+1.55%0.0393✓1.498.1M2022-05-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.870151+6.12%0.89+8.54%0.0266✓1.53815k2022-05-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.875.1683+6.12%9.42+93.43%0.6024✓0.811.3M2022-05-20
API3Api3Ethereum1.621.7194+6.14%1.773+9.44%0.0344✓1.412.5M2022-05-20
RADRadworksEthereum1.781.8909+6.23%1.94+8.99%0.0283✓1.01381k2022-05-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.4541+6.24%2.5+8.23%0.0231✓1.74378k2022-05-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01640.01745+6.40%0.0226+37.80%0.2644✓2.2426.5M2022-05-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4870.518493+6.47%0.683+40.25%0.2795✓1.511.7M2022-05-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003770.004017+6.56%0.00431+14.32%0.0728✓0.9420k2022-05-20
DODODODOEthereum0.1520.162+6.58%0.139-8.55%0.1493✗1.454.5M2022-05-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2060.219591+6.60%0.235+14.08%0.0717✓1.474.1M2022-05-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2830.301824+6.65%0.326+15.19%0.0816✓1.731.8M2022-05-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.865.1847+6.68%7.81+60.70%0.4119✓0.862.7M2022-05-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6072.7831+6.76%2.524-3.18%0.0934✗1.677.7M2022-05-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10180.1089+6.97%0.1382+35.76%0.2431✓1.84734k2022-05-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.4461.5474+7.01%2.144+48.27%0.3288✓1.03714k2022-05-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.670.717136+7.04%0.597-10.90%0.1795✗1.4720k2022-05-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.3241.42+7.25%1.971+48.87%0.3303✓0.92826k2022-05-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.076619+7.31%0.1188+66.39%0.4436✓1.90177k2022-05-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001320.001424+7.85%0.00133+0.76%0.0641✓1.493.8M2022-05-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.340.366883+7.91%0.80478+136.70%0.7898✓1.63351k2022-05-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55161.675+7.95%2.6465+70.57%0.4606✓1.219.8M2022-05-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.7581.8979+7.96%2.124+20.82%0.1177✓1.981.0M2022-05-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.765.1519+8.23%6.25+31.30%0.1967✓1.34629k2022-05-20
AVTAventusEthereum0.830.902693+8.76%1.2+44.58%0.2867✓0.76204k2022-05-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.