8=======>

2022-05-12 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.5764
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+66.78%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.7%
in alpha space · 95.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AVTAventusEthereum0.730.808084+10.70%1.26+72.60%0.4109✓0.74221k2022-05-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.29541.4289+10.30%2.6871+107.43%0.5780✓1.199.8M2022-05-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.05571.1644+10.29%2.2129+109.61%0.5950✓1.052.5M2022-05-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.42711.573+10.23%3.2829+130.04%0.6653✓1.567.0M2022-05-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.289990.319372+10.13%0.37965+30.92%0.1004✓1.61365k2022-05-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5481.703+10.01%2.065+33.40%0.1045✓1.961.0M2022-05-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.3810.418501+9.84%0.709+86.09%0.4606✓1.481.7M2022-05-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07850.086024+9.59%0.1238+57.71%0.2825✓1.81734k2022-05-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.094.4814+9.57%7.17+75.31%0.4321✓0.842.8M2022-05-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001210.001324+9.40%0.00137+13.22%0.0323✓1.483.9M2022-05-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.2641.3816+9.30%2.138+69.15%0.3910✓1.01724k2022-05-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.0571.1552+9.29%2.0434+93.32%0.5235✓1.044.2M2022-05-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.635.0573+9.23%6.53+41.04%0.1953✓1.34666k2022-05-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4050.442096+9.16%0.538+32.84%0.1317✓1.44869k2022-05-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5830.635898+9.07%0.584+0.17%0.1507✗1.4624k2022-05-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2430.264899+9.01%0.337+38.68%0.1638✓1.711.7M2022-05-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06480.070635+9.01%0.0767+18.36%0.0025✓1.88194k2022-05-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.231.3373+8.73%1.913+55.53%0.3167✓0.92826k2022-05-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.4211.5423+8.54%3.704+160.66%0.8449✓0.691.8M2022-05-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.720.781213+8.50%0.91+26.39%0.0842✓1.52842k2022-05-19
DODODODOEthereum0.1350.146457+8.49%0.15+11.11%0.0409✓1.444.7M2022-05-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03890.042178+8.43%0.0581+49.36%0.2688✓1.141.7M2022-05-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4862.6954+8.42%2.67+7.40%0.0845✗1.677.7M2022-05-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13370.144811+8.31%0.1603+19.90%0.0348✓1.487.3M2022-05-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.294.6457+8.29%8.41+96.04%0.5578✓0.791.2M2022-05-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.3277+8.26%2.65+23.26%0.0517✓1.73357k2022-05-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1890.204356+8.12%0.259+37.04%0.1714✓1.464.1M2022-05-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.4571.5746+8.07%1.875+28.69%0.1116✓1.402.6M2022-05-19
XVSVenusEthereum3.623.9085+7.97%6.03+66.57%0.3698✓1.422.9M2022-05-19
XECeCashnative0.000031730.000034248+7.93%0.00004707+48.35%0.2574✓1.356.7M2022-05-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003590.003874+7.91%0.00478+33.15%0.1576✓1.171.7M2022-05-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003590.003873+7.89%0.00469+30.64%0.1492✓0.9420k2022-05-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0650.070056+7.78%0.0603-7.23%0.1964✗1.03115k2022-05-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1331.2211+7.78%1.208+6.62%0.0865✗1.68582k2022-05-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L20.8960.96505+7.71%1.429+59.49%0.3328✓1.3316.1M2022-05-19
RADRadworksEthereum1.671.7987+7.71%2.07+23.95%0.0953✓1.00392k2022-05-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008890.009567+7.61%0.01252+40.83%0.1950✓1.6444.1M2022-05-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.34290.368945+7.60%0.3534+3.06%0.1003✗1.2794k2022-05-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01630.017519+7.48%0.0182+11.66%0.0626✓2.2425.3M2022-05-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.288640.309797+7.33%0.36301+25.77%0.0887✓1.5539k2022-05-19
XVGVergenative0.004130.004432+7.30%0.00528+27.85%0.1153✓1.33885k2022-05-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1722.3306+7.30%2.65+22.01%0.0521✓1.7023k2022-05-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.7051+7.24%1.89+18.87%0.0273✓1.68399k2022-05-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3343760.358542+7.23%0.390003+16.64%0.0255✓1.306.1M2022-05-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.172360.184808+7.22%0.20476+18.80%0.0302✓1.61250k2022-05-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.131.2112+7.18%1.36+20.35%0.0500✓1.464.1M2022-05-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1842.3394+7.12%3.041+39.24%0.1947✓1.50206k2022-05-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.820.87802+7.08%0.91+10.98%0.0057✓0.92142k2022-05-19
DIADIAEthereum0.321210.343867+7.05%0.57117+77.82%0.4735✓0.7570k2022-05-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19110.204533+7.03%0.2568+34.38%0.1733✓1.21305k2022-05-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.3528+7.00%0.37441+13.55%0.0076✓1.491.4M2022-05-19
PROPropyEthereum0.880.940866+6.92%1.14+29.55%0.1618✓0.67528k2022-05-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.6772.8585+6.78%5.251+96.15%0.5629✓1.001.4M2022-05-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.008392+6.77%0.00924+17.56%0.0474✓1.081.0M2022-05-19
CBKCobakEthereum0.9491.013+6.75%1.122+18.23%0.0589✓0.9625k2022-05-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.162.3043+6.68%3.34+54.63%0.3245✓1.04553k2022-05-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.951.0125+6.58%1.042+9.68%0.0331✓1.37755k2022-05-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana2.62.7708+6.57%4.06+56.15%0.3408✓0.92817k2022-05-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1080.115059+6.54%0.1374+27.22%0.1364✓0.9119k2022-05-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7750.824882+6.44%0.893+15.23%0.0108✓1.528.2M2022-05-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5370.570966+6.33%0.59+9.87%0.0205✓1.1846k2022-05-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0107130.011384+6.26%0.018136+69.29%0.4321✓0.75198k2022-05-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.328333+6.26%0.378+22.33%0.0957✓1.001.1M2022-05-19
AAVEAaveEthereum76.7581.5369+6.24%91.65+19.41%0.0502✓1.488.6M2022-05-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.13020.138309+6.23%0.1765+35.56%0.1822✓1.37372k2022-05-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10080.107071+6.22%0.1345+33.43%0.1786✓1.101.1M2022-05-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07730.082067+6.17%0.0844+9.18%0.0403✓1.523.7M2022-05-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.192.3243+6.13%3.64+66.21%0.4057✓0.95429k2022-05-19
STEEMSteemnative0.17710.187951+6.13%0.2599+46.75%0.2791✓1.002.1M2022-05-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.058910.062516+6.12%0.07546+28.09%0.1422✓1.0219k2022-05-19
STXStacksnative0.50.530177+6.04%0.53+6.00%0.0493✓1.09260k2022-05-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.0520.055137+6.03%0.0626+20.38%0.0768✓1.11416k2022-05-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.708950.751608+6.02%1.1185+57.77%0.3332✓1.43886k2022-05-19
UMAUMAEthereum2.4832.6313+5.97%3.243+30.61%0.1346✓1.652.4M2022-05-19
BANDBandEthereum1.5141.6039+5.94%1.769+16.84%0.0338✓1.43537k2022-05-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7291.8313+5.92%1.958+13.24%0.0072✓1.6587k2022-05-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.63e-74.90e-7+5.86%7.44e-7+60.68%0.3941✓0.521.4M2022-05-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13450.14233+5.82%0.1343-0.15%0.1286✗1.576.2M2022-05-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21350.225918+5.82%0.3229+51.24%0.3019✓1.23486k2022-05-19
KSMKusamaHydration68.7472.6946+5.75%80.45+17.04%0.0467✓1.221.1M2022-05-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021760.023011+5.75%0.02676+22.98%0.1068✓0.9830k2022-05-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021330.02255+5.72%0.02719+27.47%0.1401✓1.04222k2022-05-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.06820.072071+5.68%0.0857+25.66%0.0989✓1.65204k2022-05-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1070.113071+5.67%0.141+31.78%0.1486✓1.60109k2022-05-19
SCSiacoinnative0.004250.004488+5.60%0.00527+24.00%0.0964✓1.43403k2022-05-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.015020.01586+5.59%0.016399+9.18%0.0163✓1.104.4M2022-05-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06530.068929+5.56%0.0699+7.04%0.0310✓1.004.0M2022-05-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche30.1931.8654+5.55%30.37+0.60%0.1127✗1.4345.0M2022-05-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.105146+5.46%0.1147+15.05%0.0169✓1.561.8M2022-05-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.18.5352+5.37%8.21+1.36%0.0950✗1.257.4M2022-05-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043480.045798+5.33%0.05067+16.54%0.0576✓0.9726k2022-05-19
HIVEHivenative0.40370.425096+5.30%0.4924+21.97%0.0924✓1.211.5M2022-05-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010810.000011383+5.30%0.00001183+9.44%0.0203✓1.311.3M2022-05-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.443160.466559+5.28%0.55387+24.98%0.1084✓1.4093k2022-05-19
SOLSolanaSolana44.6547.0031+5.27%52.13+16.75%0.0416✓1.3887.4M2022-05-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.227.6005+5.27%8.18+13.30%0.0106✓1.408.0M2022-05-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031690.033342+5.21%0.03787+19.50%0.0673✓1.3394k2022-05-19
GMTGMTEthereum1.1611.2213+5.19%1.495+28.77%0.1572✓1.009.5M2022-05-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39390.413954+5.09%0.4864+23.48%0.0957✓1.46299k2022-05-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.09680.101663+5.02%0.1228+26.86%0.1286✓1.341.2M2022-05-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.5812.1575+4.99%13.4+15.72%0.0570✓0.90520k2022-05-19
MOVRMoonriverBase21.312322.3735+4.98%23.0538+8.17%0.0354✓1.45195k2022-05-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.599.0166+4.97%12.63+47.03%0.2670✓1.565.8M2022-05-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29480.309247+4.90%0.3406+15.54%0.0413✓1.238.5M2022-05-19
COMPCompoundEthereum60.8863.841+4.86%67.51+10.89%0.0050✓1.3531k2022-05-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.6210.0765+4.75%10.82+12.47%0.0116✓1.3220.1M2022-05-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5790.60626+4.71%0.7+20.90%0.0784✓1.45344k2022-05-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.20850.218188+4.65%0.2674+28.25%0.1428✓1.35184k2022-05-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.689.0754+4.56%10.02+15.44%0.0421✓1.2611.8M2022-05-19
APEApeCoinEthereum7.7858.1355+4.50%8.055+3.47%0.1286✗2.6483.4M2022-05-19
UNIUniswapEthereum4.654.8564+4.44%5.18+11.40%0.0108✓1.194.1M2022-05-19
XEMNEMnative0.04110.042886+4.35%0.0563+36.98%0.2180✓1.2097k2022-05-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.566.8445+4.34%7.21+9.91%0.0067✓1.3019.6M2022-05-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum8.258.6004+4.25%11.24+36.24%0.2022✓1.45134k2022-05-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3041.3591+4.23%1.079-17.25%0.2949✗1.425.3M2022-05-19
XMRMoneroMonero137.43143.176+4.18%165.93+20.74%0.1016✓1.023.0M2022-05-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.3120.1065+4.12%21.79+12.84%0.0169✓1.413.8M2022-05-19
NANOnanopayBase0.9974941.0385+4.11%1.0996+10.23%0.0014✓1.24161k2022-05-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03020.031432+4.08%0.0343+13.58%0.0274✓1.33179k2022-05-19
BTTCBTTC0.000001040.000001082+4.05%0.00000112+7.69%0.0010✓0.797.8M2022-05-19
LSKLiskEthereum0.9893911.0294+4.05%1.1742+18.68%0.0852✓1.0396k2022-05-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.263.3917+4.04%4.22+29.45%0.1860✓0.72777k2022-05-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0078870.008196+3.91%0.00901+14.24%0.0488✓1.0232k2022-05-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015050.015629+3.85%0.03198+112.49%0.6850✓0.69391k2022-05-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0822690.0854+3.81%0.086638+5.31%0.0354✓1.117.1M2022-05-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.38632.4749+3.71%2.4917+4.42%0.0485✗1.23188k2022-05-19
DASHDashDash53.7555.7461+3.71%58.55+8.93%0.0036✓1.171.1M2022-05-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16950.175693+3.65%0.196+15.63%0.0445✓1.44634k2022-05-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59350.614945+3.61%0.6916+16.53%0.0546✓1.406.1M2022-05-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin64.2666.5795+3.61%72.02+12.08%0.0270✓1.1417.8M2022-05-19
ADACardanoCardano0.47240.489389+3.60%0.5326+12.74%0.0273✓1.2742.0M2022-05-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash193.69200.6362+3.59%196.24+1.32%0.0727✗1.125.3M2022-05-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.01080.011184+3.56%0.00939-13.06%0.2111✗0.80246k2022-05-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6832.7772+3.51%2.965+10.51%0.0192✓1.0386k2022-05-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,878.0010,217.15+3.43%9,486.67-3.96%0.1265✗1.162.6M2022-05-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.17650.182427+3.36%0.2027+14.84%0.0596✓1.022,9402022-05-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.0120.012398+3.32%0.01368+14.00%0.0511✓1.053.4M2022-05-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.42220.435184+3.08%0.4512+6.87%0.0170✓1.1812.6M2022-05-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28350.292145+3.05%0.2492-12.10%0.1804✗0.48485k2022-05-19
XTZTezosTezos1.68451.7358+3.04%1.754+4.13%0.0461✗1.26866k2022-05-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.6251.0718+2.93%51.12+3.02%0.0421✗0.962.0M2022-05-19
KCSKuCoinnative10.95111.2708+2.92%15.307+39.78%0.2649✓0.924.1M2022-05-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative18.8919.4225+2.82%20.9+10.64%0.0170✓1.254.4M2022-05-19
ZENHorizenBase19.0419.5616+2.74%21+10.29%0.0027✓1.52173k2022-05-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038670.039729+2.74%0.04528+17.09%0.0884✓0.949,2282022-05-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.828991+2.73%0.93+15.24%0.0657✓1.09643k2022-05-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08630.088593+2.66%0.0909+5.33%0.0123✓0.85169k2022-05-19
ZECZcashZcash86.488.6864+2.65%104.45+20.89%0.1079✓1.245.1M2022-05-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.360570.369932+2.60%0.39035+8.26%0.0026✓1.25166k2022-05-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.60771.6483+2.52%1.6711+3.94%0.0150✓0.6416k2022-05-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.0614.3419+2.00%14.32+1.85%0.0604✗1.31812k2022-05-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1204340.122769+1.94%0.130466+8.33%0.0133✓1.0613.8M2022-05-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,941.9529,495.73+1.91%30,274.59+4.60%0.0190✗1.00667.2M2022-05-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.6283.6974+1.91%3.9715+9.47%0.0178✓1.19135k2022-05-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.351.3743+1.80%1.39+2.96%0.0372✗1.08134k2022-05-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,954.391,989.53+1.80%2,017.57+3.23%0.0323✗1.03464.2M2022-05-19
XYMSymbolnative0.06640.067505+1.66%0.0669+0.75%0.0421✗0.74619k2022-05-19
FTTFTXEthereum29.6730.1095+1.48%30.91+4.18%0.0168✗0.9613.8M2022-05-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,197.0029,584.72+1.33%30,185.70+3.39%0.0238✗0.9840k2022-05-19
QNTQuantEthereum73.3774.1626+1.08%68.38-6.80%0.1279✗1.043.5M2022-05-19
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2311.2442+1.07%1.365+10.89%0.0476✓1.005.7M2022-05-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.80.807087+0.89%0.824+3.00%0.0289✗1.103.3M2022-05-19
GTGateEthereum5.36745.4132+0.85%5.6031+4.39%0.0102✓0.544.8M2022-05-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.135.1168-0.26%5.0075-2.39%0.0339✓0.27284k2022-05-19
TRXTRONTron0.0669880.066742-0.37%0.073383+9.55%0.0583✗0.81825k2022-05-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.00870.002896-66.71%0.00014-98.39%3.1674✓3.067.8M2022-05-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.