8=======>

2022-05-10 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0886
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-71.37%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
28.3%
in alpha space · 22.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 217.4119.2133+10.36%0.00019-100.00%11.4901✗1.777.5M2022-05-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98922.1404+7.60%2.18+9.59%0.0386✓1.0610.0M2022-05-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8340.883311+5.91%0.64-23.26%0.2982✗1.2531k2022-05-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2793.4398+4.90%2.883-12.08%0.1459✗1.597.4M2022-05-17
XVSVenusEthereum5.355.5904+4.49%4.73-11.59%0.1426✗1.272.9M2022-05-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.520.541649+4.16%0.38508-25.95%0.3143✗1.40383k2022-05-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.7211.7918+4.12%1.399-18.71%0.2173✗1.57582k2022-05-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.011250.011707+4.06%0.00905-19.56%0.2428✗0.76238k2022-05-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.01562.0946+3.92%1.6841-16.45%0.2029✗0.794.6M2022-05-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.473230.491104+3.78%0.38048-19.60%0.2275✗1.441.4M2022-05-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.877.1292+3.77%5.35-22.13%0.2752✗0.622.8M2022-05-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49890.517396+3.71%0.3614-27.56%0.3354✗1.2297k2022-05-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.421750.43714+3.65%0.39337-6.73%0.0802✗1.3244k2022-05-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.10912.1858+3.64%1.9688-6.65%0.0895✗0.782.5M2022-05-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.726.959+3.56%5.86-12.80%0.1599✗0.631.2M2022-05-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16740.173343+3.55%0.1452-13.26%0.1484✗1.496.2M2022-05-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2960.306485+3.54%0.253-14.53%0.1669✗1.294.1M2022-05-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3811.4298+3.54%1.413+2.32%0.0114✓1.2117.4M2022-05-17
APEApeCoinEthereum9.039.343+3.47%8.877-1.69%0.0075✓2.2777.0M2022-05-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005360.005541+3.39%0.00443-17.35%0.2093✗0.7620k2022-05-17
API3Api3Ethereum2.3682.448+3.38%1.905-19.55%0.2267✗1.252.6M2022-05-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002280.002356+3.34%0.00144-36.84%0.4687✗1.233.9M2022-05-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5992.6812+3.16%2.115-18.62%0.2050✗1.671.1M2022-05-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11150.11474+2.91%0.0803-27.98%0.3244✗1.69232k2022-05-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.151.183+2.87%0.91-20.87%0.2355✗1.40892k2022-05-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0191160.019656+2.83%0.016233-15.08%0.1721✗1.004.3M2022-05-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1342.1925+2.74%1.748-18.09%0.2110✗0.81748k2022-05-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06220.063859+2.67%0.0562-9.65%0.1092✗0.971.9M2022-05-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.1770.181716+2.66%0.1418-19.89%0.2167✗1.63902k2022-05-17
AAVEAaveEthereum105.24108.0209+2.64%92.53-12.08%0.1276✗1.418.6M2022-05-17
KSMKusamaHydration93.0395.4128+2.56%82.04-11.81%0.1290✗1.141.1M2022-05-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0270.027681+2.52%0.0167-38.15%0.4672✗1.9923.0M2022-05-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.413.4939+2.46%2.58-24.34%0.2723✗1.61357k2022-05-17
MOVRMoonriverBase28.352529.049+2.46%24.7107-12.84%0.1352✗1.38195k2022-05-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4552.5139+2.40%3.148+28.23%0.2345✓0.491.9M2022-05-17
GITCOINGITCOIN3.43.4797+2.34%2.75-19.12%0.2052✗1.5720k2022-05-17
XMRMoneroMonero163.04166.8527+2.34%172.72+5.94%0.0534✓0.983.0M2022-05-17
STXStacksnative0.680.695824+2.33%0.58-14.71%0.1617✗1.06260k2022-05-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30330.310272+2.30%0.346+14.08%0.1307✓1.13486k2022-05-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147680.015103+2.27%0.015368+4.06%0.0306✓0.69198k2022-05-17
XVGVergenative0.00630.006443+2.27%0.00546-13.33%0.1427✗1.18885k2022-05-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.898.0686+2.26%6.53-17.24%0.1899✗1.13666k2022-05-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.732.7908+2.23%2.04-25.27%0.2972✗0.84443k2022-05-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.3911.4218+2.21%1.231-11.50%0.1274✗0.8725k2022-05-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1070.109361+2.21%0.0712-33.46%0.4152✗0.73117k2022-05-17
DIADIAEthereum0.510.521138+2.18%0.39763-22.03%0.2591✗0.5970k2022-05-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029420.030062+2.18%0.02971+0.99%0.0055✓0.90227k2022-05-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.34223.4135+2.13%2.9271-12.42%0.1295✗1.267.7M2022-05-17
DODODODOEthereum0.2380.243036+2.12%0.168-29.41%0.3440✗1.314.7M2022-05-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7490.764779+2.11%0.623-16.82%0.1797✗1.321.7M2022-05-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7760.792129+2.08%0.629-18.94%0.2095✗1.1050k2022-05-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5068550.516574+1.92%0.424817-16.19%0.1721✗1.225.7M2022-05-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.013440.013695+1.90%0.01407+4.69%0.0450✓0.933.2M2022-05-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.2824.7353+1.88%22.4-7.74%0.0733✗1.353.8M2022-05-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5687+1.86%1.16-24.68%0.2909✗0.57221k2022-05-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.791.8233+1.86%1.43-20.11%0.2166✗1.374.0M2022-05-17
MINAMina Protocolnative1.431.456+1.82%1.1-23.08%0.2566✗1.24755k2022-05-17
ORCAOrcaSolana1.271.2931+1.82%0.97-23.62%0.2722✗0.80142k2022-05-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.30.305247+1.75%0.20963-30.12%0.3482✗1.44250k2022-05-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.2182.2566+1.74%1.674-24.53%0.2846✗0.73903k2022-05-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39110.397854+1.73%0.3906-0.13%0.0035✓1.148.5M2022-05-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche44.5445.3034+1.71%34.38-22.81%0.2509✗1.3045.0M2022-05-17
MANADecentralandEthereum1.11341.1324+1.71%1.2159+9.21%0.0960✓1.29805k2022-05-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin11.3611.5512+1.68%8.56-24.65%0.2775✗1.167.4M2022-05-17
ZECZcashZcash93.0894.6442+1.68%114.63+23.15%0.2151✓1.225.1M2022-05-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.18820.19134+1.67%0.1804-4.14%0.0343✗1.28372k2022-05-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.5050.513415+1.67%0.342-32.28%0.3775✗1.501.7M2022-05-17
GMTGMTEthereum1.81.8291+1.62%1.58-12.22%0.1272✗1.009.5M2022-05-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30420.309121+1.62%0.2589-14.89%0.1567✗1.07316k2022-05-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1140.115841+1.62%0.0913-19.91%0.2114✗1.393.7M2022-05-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1550.157502+1.61%0.1525-1.61%0.0041✓1.47108k2022-05-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.3511.5322+1.61%11.02-2.91%0.0223✗1.2011.8M2022-05-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20540.208689+1.60%0.2022-1.56%0.0042✓1.43634k2022-05-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006020.006116+1.60%0.00512-14.95%0.1569✗1.091.7M2022-05-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4760.483193+1.51%0.384-19.33%0.2139✗0.831.1M2022-05-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash231.66235.1387+1.50%206.73-10.76%0.1082✗1.075.2M2022-05-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.7913.8472+1.48%3.13-17.44%0.1812✗1.31190k2022-05-17
BANDBandEthereum2.2432.2756+1.45%1.765-21.31%0.2282✗1.35537k2022-05-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.8150.826718+1.44%0.74-9.20%0.0844✗1.37344k2022-05-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.964.0158+1.41%3.76-5.05%0.0530✗0.67804k2022-05-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.1172+1.41%3.61-11.08%0.1165✗0.78829k2022-05-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33610.340743+1.38%0.2547-24.22%0.2822✗0.46514k2022-05-17
STEEMSteemnative0.29290.296924+1.37%0.2999+2.39%0.0292✓1.002.7M2022-05-17
UNIUniswapEthereum6.076.1495+1.31%5.47-9.88%0.0953✗1.144.1M2022-05-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046280.046879+1.29%0.04094-11.54%0.1122✗1.2187k2022-05-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.654390.662826+1.29%0.61254-6.40%0.0535✗1.3293k2022-05-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.588.6896+1.28%7.71-10.14%0.0955✗1.2519.6M2022-05-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.27340.276837+1.26%0.2705-1.06%0.0001✓1.20186k2022-05-17
SCSiacoinnative0.006170.006247+1.24%0.00561-9.08%0.0825✗1.30382k2022-05-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.8816.0757+1.23%13.66-13.98%0.1464✗0.86473k2022-05-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011520.011658+1.20%0.0104-9.72%0.0946✗1.021.0M2022-05-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7570.766052+1.20%0.593-21.66%0.2317✗1.26869k2022-05-17
XECeCashnative0.000058420.000059093+1.15%0.00004936-15.51%0.1577✗1.166.7M2022-05-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.15340.155159+1.15%0.1493-2.67%0.0192✗1.001.1M2022-05-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.14210.143717+1.14%0.12-15.55%0.1563✗1.251.2M2022-05-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0410.041465+1.13%0.0353-13.90%0.1372✗1.24179k2022-05-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.031090.03144+1.12%0.02904-6.59%0.0623✗0.8930k2022-05-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum10.5710.687+1.11%8.62-18.45%0.1905✗1.278.0M2022-05-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016140.000016317+1.10%0.00001255-22.24%0.2393✗1.211.2M2022-05-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.7332.763+1.10%2.034-25.58%0.2778✗1.4884k2022-05-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.4978+1.09%2.74-20.81%0.2277✗0.86557k2022-05-17
XEMNEMnative0.06080.061435+1.04%0.0614+0.99%0.0214✓1.1469k2022-05-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin80.1280.9405+1.02%73.04-8.84%0.0817✗1.0917.5M2022-05-17
SOLSolanaSolana66.8667.5277+1.00%57.02-14.72%0.1442✗1.3087.4M2022-05-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.5713.7041+0.99%11.46-15.55%0.1545✗1.2619.8M2022-05-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.56680.572395+0.99%0.5004-11.71%0.1083✗1.36299k2022-05-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014710.014854+0.98%0.01468-0.20%0.0165✓1.4745.0M2022-05-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1921.2035+0.97%0.913-23.41%0.2490✗1.428.3M2022-05-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.097640.098582+0.97%0.07213-26.13%0.2953✗0.8918k2022-05-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1294.1661+0.90%4.126-0.07%0.0056✓0.801.4M2022-05-17
QNTQuantEthereum72.3973.0246+0.88%74.46+2.86%0.0391✓1.023.5M2022-05-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062880.063394+0.82%0.05523-12.17%0.1210✗0.8826k2022-05-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.31281.3231+0.79%1.2954-1.32%0.0030✓0.9489k2022-05-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.10790.108713+0.75%0.0892-17.33%0.1709✗1.40204k2022-05-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.08230.082906+0.74%0.0711-13.61%0.1352✗0.96416k2022-05-17
COMPCompoundEthereum88.8189.4422+0.71%74.69-15.90%0.1553✗1.3037k2022-05-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.09693.1188+0.71%2.5786-16.74%0.1676✗1.17188k2022-05-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.24580.247399+0.65%0.1798-26.85%0.2943✗1.296.8M2022-05-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,002.3931,200.65+0.64%30,412.12-1.90%0.0064✓1.00634.5M2022-05-17
XTZTezosTezos2.11412.1276+0.64%1.8568-12.17%0.1130✗1.20866k2022-05-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5063.5283+0.64%3.057-12.81%0.1246✗0.9881k2022-05-17
HIVEHivenative0.59690.600387+0.58%0.5411-9.35%0.0820✗1.141.5M2022-05-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.76030.764638+0.57%0.7365-3.13%0.0121✗1.326.1M2022-05-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.15580.156687+0.57%0.121-22.34%0.2305✗1.451.8M2022-05-17
NANOnanopayBase1.38521.3928+0.55%1.1607-16.20%0.1600✗1.16161k2022-05-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1079150.108494+0.54%0.090151-16.46%0.1656✗1.027.1M2022-05-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,038.9031,187.37+0.48%30,409.80-2.03%0.0068✗0.9640k2022-05-17
KCSKuCoinnative13.91913.9852+0.48%14.916+7.16%0.0807✓0.854.1M2022-05-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.8923.9862+0.40%21.76-8.92%0.0744✗1.204.4M2022-05-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1920.192749+0.39%0.1311-31.72%0.3726✗0.6719k2022-05-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10220.102584+0.38%0.0907-11.25%0.1072✗0.83169k2022-05-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12810.12857+0.37%0.0844-34.11%0.4017✗1.004.0M2022-05-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.623.6331+0.36%2.85-21.27%0.2286✗0.74429k2022-05-17
ADACardanoCardano0.62830.630552+0.36%0.577-8.16%0.0653✗1.2242.0M2022-05-17
PROPropyEthereum1.411.4148+0.34%1.21-14.18%0.1456✗0.56528k2022-05-17
UMAUMAEthereum4.1944.2049+0.26%3.314-20.98%0.2091✗1.512.2M2022-05-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021370.021423+0.25%0.0187-12.49%0.1245✗0.59405k2022-05-17
DASHDashDash73.3373.5023+0.23%60.11-18.03%0.1801✗1.101.0M2022-05-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.842.8466+0.23%1.83-35.56%0.4132✗1.49371k2022-05-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001450.000001452+0.16%0.00000113-22.07%0.2370✗0.737.7M2022-05-17
FTTFTXEthereum33.0833.101+0.06%32.03-3.17%0.0147✗0.9412.7M2022-05-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0109120.010913+0.01%0.008963-17.86%0.1781✗0.9738k2022-05-17
ETHEthereumEthereum2,340.512,340.03-0.02%2,088.96-10.75%0.0941✓1.01464.2M2022-05-17
ZENHorizenBase25.4125.4026-0.03%22.14-12.87%0.1096✓1.45173k2022-05-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.621.6195-0.03%1.47-9.26%0.0767✓1.05134k2022-05-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1314.1235-0.05%12.44-11.96%0.0997✓1.423.5M2022-05-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.467240.466993-0.05%0.4149-11.20%0.0954✓1.19144k2022-05-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.280.279761-0.09%0.2109-24.68%0.2671✓0.802,9402022-05-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.2663.1822-0.12%55.75-11.87%0.1078✓0.902.0M2022-05-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.93751.9347-0.15%1.6818-13.20%0.1286✓0.6015k2022-05-17
GTGateEthereum5.83485.8231-0.20%5.7521-1.42%0.0032✓0.474.7M2022-05-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.6817.6282-0.29%15.21-13.97%0.1235✓1.25695k2022-05-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum13,692.5513,649.89-0.31%9,984.13-27.08%0.2912✓1.122.6M2022-05-17
XYMSymbolnative0.08130.080946-0.44%0.0697-14.27%0.1366✓0.67619k2022-05-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1483970.147732-0.45%0.141543-4.62%0.0233✓1.0113.8M2022-05-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05330.053049-0.47%0.04738-11.11%0.0963✓0.879,7632022-05-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.904551-0.49%0.817-10.12%0.0809✓1.093.3M2022-05-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.18e-78.13e-7-0.52%7.15e-7-12.60%0.1228✓0.351.1M2022-05-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0431.0363-0.64%0.958-8.15%0.0569✓1.13574k2022-05-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9771.9617-0.77%1.389-29.74%0.3193✓1.355.3M2022-05-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.42455.3791-0.84%4.98-8.19%0.0718✓0.28284k2022-05-17
NEXONEXOEthereum1.7381.7221-0.91%1.395-19.74%0.1915✓1.005.2M2022-05-17
QTUMQtumQtum4.75214.7073-0.94%4.2187-11.22%0.0874✓1.16134k2022-05-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.58480.579284-0.94%0.4947-15.41%0.1368✓1.1012.6M2022-05-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.414.247-1.06%10.34-28.19%0.2951✓1.32134k2022-05-17
TRXTRONTron0.0770550.075419-2.12%0.072142-6.38%0.0284✓0.83463k2022-05-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.