8=======>

2022-05-09 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1608
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-78.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
12.7%
in alpha space · 10.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0725870.071594-1.37%0.069019-4.92%0.0301✓0.82402k2022-05-16
NEXONEXOEthereum1.6781.669-0.54%1.367-18.53%0.1917✓1.005.3M2022-05-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23645.2213-0.29%4.961-5.26%0.0491✓0.26278k2022-05-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.57380.573587-0.04%0.4598-19.87%0.2124✓1.1012.4M2022-05-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.00892.0109+0.10%1.7113-14.81%0.1564✗0.6216k2022-05-16
PROPropyEthereum1.531.5319+0.12%1.13-26.14%0.2995✗0.60528k2022-05-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05180.051918+0.23%0.0461-11.00%0.1119✗0.8710k2022-05-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9121.9169+0.26%1.361-28.82%0.3317✗1.365.1M2022-05-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.42474.4421+0.39%3.9461-10.82%0.1093✗1.15120k2022-05-16
GTGateEthereum5.68145.7097+0.50%5.4363-4.31%0.0453✗0.474.5M2022-05-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.4517.5434+0.53%14.58-16.45%0.1749✗1.27608k2022-05-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.860402+0.63%0.753-11.93%0.1248✗1.083.2M2022-05-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0111.0182+0.72%0.916-9.40%0.0968✗1.13547k2022-05-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1970.198531+0.78%0.1178-40.20%0.5165✗0.6821k2022-05-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.561.5736+0.87%1.41-9.62%0.1015✗1.05134k2022-05-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1406120.141844+0.88%0.136163-3.16%0.0329✗1.0113.6M2022-05-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.612.7108+0.88%9.27-26.43%0.3054✗1.29134k2022-05-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.713.7434+0.90%2.54-31.54%0.3818✗0.76470k2022-05-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001430.000001444+0.98%0.00000111-22.38%0.2573✗0.737.7M2022-05-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.8702+1.09%10.65-22.38%0.2528✗1.432.8M2022-05-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,228.502,253.02+1.10%2,020.58-9.33%0.1009✗1.01437.0M2022-05-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.2260.9012+1.13%53.59-11.01%0.1208✗0.892.0M2022-05-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,239.2030,585.91+1.15%30,058.30-0.60%0.0097✓0.9738k2022-05-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.2640.267048+1.15%0.1988-24.70%0.2889✗0.792,9402022-05-16
ZENHorizenBase24.424.6895+1.19%20.3-16.80%0.1842✗1.45173k2022-05-16
UMAUMAEthereum4.1284.178+1.21%2.988-27.62%0.3231✗1.521.8M2022-05-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10290.104213+1.28%0.0887-13.80%0.1545✗0.84152k2022-05-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5153.5607+1.30%2.907-17.30%0.1950✗0.9973k2022-05-16
XYMSymbolnative0.07460.075595+1.33%0.068-8.85%0.1007✗0.65619k2022-05-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.772.8083+1.38%1.69-38.99%0.4959✗1.50355k2022-05-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020410.020697+1.41%0.01902-6.81%0.0799✗0.58405k2022-05-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.440850.447295+1.46%0.3914-11.22%0.1241✗1.18141k2022-05-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.010480.010637+1.50%0.008554-18.38%0.2102✗0.9738k2022-05-16
NANOnanopayBase1.36871.39+1.56%1.0859-20.66%0.2376✗1.17153k2022-05-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12130.123205+1.57%0.0764-37.02%0.4699✗1.003.9M2022-05-16
STEEMSteemnative0.30150.306351+1.61%0.284-5.80%0.0678✗1.002.9M2022-05-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062530.063538+1.61%0.05342-14.57%0.1664✗0.8926k2022-05-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.3571.3789+1.61%1.1933-12.06%0.1369✗0.9784k2022-05-16
KCSKuCoinnative13.60813.8279+1.62%13.821+1.57%0.0063✓0.854.0M2022-05-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,496.7112,699.09+1.62%9,743.68-22.03%0.2561✗1.102.5M2022-05-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006520.006631+1.71%0.00527-19.17%0.2208✗1.121.7M2022-05-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.8342.8829+1.72%1.9-32.96%0.4049✗1.5179k2022-05-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.72+1.78%1.11-34.32%0.4332✗0.60242k2022-05-16
DASHDashDash69.8971.1433+1.79%57.82-17.27%0.1987✗1.091.0M2022-05-16
ADACardanoCardano0.60180.612665+1.81%0.5561-7.59%0.0872✗1.2241.1M2022-05-16
XTZTezosTezos2.00882.0466+1.88%1.7722-11.78%0.1344✗1.20855k2022-05-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.7523.1804+1.89%20.77-8.70%0.1003✗1.204.4M2022-05-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1017730.103703+1.90%0.087881-13.65%0.1575✗1.017.1M2022-05-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72360.737405+1.91%0.6732-6.97%0.0806✗1.326.1M2022-05-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,078.2730,654.59+1.92%29,839.89-0.79%0.0190✓1.00580.1M2022-05-16
HIVEHivenative0.57750.588749+1.95%0.4896-15.22%0.1753✗1.141.5M2022-05-16
FTTFTXEthereum30.1530.7445+1.97%31.82+5.54%0.0418✓0.9311.7M2022-05-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.23890.243712+2.01%0.1736-27.33%0.3289✗1.306.5M2022-05-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0794.1622+2.04%3.379-17.16%0.2021✗0.801.5M2022-05-16
GMTGMTEthereum1.7691.8061+2.10%1.433-18.99%0.2234✗1.008.8M2022-05-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01450.014807+2.11%0.01489+2.69%0.0174✓1.4845.5M2022-05-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.030420.031065+2.12%0.02818-7.36%0.0904✗0.9031k2022-05-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum1616.3445+2.15%13.03-18.56%0.2197✗0.87468k2022-05-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7480.76433+2.18%0.477-36.23%0.4612✗1.29954k2022-05-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.953.0174+2.28%1.93-34.58%0.4400✗0.87443k2022-05-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.074.1639+2.31%3.15-22.60%0.2728✗0.79835k2022-05-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.5450.557585+2.31%0.4618-15.27%0.1777✗1.36296k2022-05-16
QNTQuantEthereum69.8171.4367+2.33%70.49+0.97%0.0052✓1.023.4M2022-05-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.89952.9673+2.34%2.4311-16.15%0.1900✗1.17177k2022-05-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.1030.10542+2.35%0.0861-16.41%0.1913✗1.40192k2022-05-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin76.1977.9805+2.35%67.13-11.89%0.1411✗1.0917.3M2022-05-16
XEMNEMnative0.0580.05938+2.38%0.0583+0.52%0.0093✓1.1469k2022-05-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.33.3793+2.40%2.53-23.33%0.2827✗0.86565k2022-05-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33470.342866+2.44%0.2098-37.32%0.4875✗0.46514k2022-05-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.0770.07888+2.44%0.0702-8.83%0.1090✗0.95416k2022-05-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.242.295+2.46%1.446-35.45%0.4560✗0.74975k2022-05-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1431.1711+2.46%0.872-23.71%0.2836✗1.428.2M2022-05-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.26470.271504+2.57%0.254-4.04%0.0571✗1.20186k2022-05-16
XMRMoneroMonero173.09177.5422+2.57%161.82-6.51%0.0847✗1.013.0M2022-05-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.14420.147915+2.58%0.1097-23.93%0.2874✗1.451.8M2022-05-16
UNIUniswapEthereum5.956.1071+2.64%5.03-15.46%0.1849✗1.144.1M2022-05-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6392.7088+2.64%1.733-34.33%0.4424✗0.532.2M2022-05-16
COMPCompoundEthereum80.6482.7765+2.65%68.67-14.84%0.1767✗1.2831k2022-05-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.043460.044616+2.66%0.03791-12.77%0.1533✗1.2070k2022-05-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4690.48156+2.68%0.316-32.62%0.4147✗0.831.1M2022-05-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.18810.193193+2.71%0.1733-7.87%0.0984✗1.29372k2022-05-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42883.5226+2.74%2.5916-24.42%0.2968✗1.287.7M2022-05-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.624220.641382+2.75%0.53418-14.42%0.1724✗1.3288k2022-05-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1440.147969+2.76%0.149+3.47%0.0149✓1.001.1M2022-05-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.030610.031456+2.76%0.03061+0.00%0.0200✓0.92227k2022-05-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06490.066718+2.80%0.0537-17.26%0.2092✗0.992.0M2022-05-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.47e-76.66e-7+2.83%6.93e-7+7.12%0.0431✓0.28855k2022-05-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.039286+2.84%0.0317-17.02%0.2048✗1.22179k2022-05-16
ZECZcashZcash92.6895.331+2.86%102.47+10.56%0.0820✓1.235.1M2022-05-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.8125.5223+2.87%20.95-15.56%0.1866✗1.363.8M2022-05-16
DIADIAEthereum0.530.545465+2.92%0.37994-28.31%0.3568✗0.6170k2022-05-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.773.8807+2.94%3.52-6.63%0.0923✗0.66804k2022-05-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.38940.400961+2.97%0.3587-7.88%0.1022✗1.158.1M2022-05-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5006490.515617+2.99%0.401596-19.78%0.2401✗1.235.6M2022-05-16
SCSiacoinnative0.005930.006108+3.00%0.00517-12.82%0.1564✗1.30373k2022-05-16
SOLSolanaSolana62.1364.0227+3.05%53.69-13.58%0.1658✗1.2985.8M2022-05-16
BANDBandEthereum2.2032.2708+3.08%1.602-27.28%0.3381✗1.36504k2022-05-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.18.3511+3.10%7.41-8.52%0.1097✗1.2518.3M2022-05-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash217.92224.7131+3.12%197.37-9.43%0.1213✗1.074.9M2022-05-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.9110.2199+3.13%8.1-18.26%0.2224✗1.268.0M2022-05-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.29460.303816+3.13%0.2463-16.40%0.2014✗1.07305k2022-05-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.938.1787+3.14%6.06-23.58%0.2907✗1.14666k2022-05-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.4912.8836+3.15%11.07-11.37%0.1418✗1.2519.4M2022-05-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.013330.013752+3.17%0.01387+4.05%0.0160✓0.942.9M2022-05-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.1330.13722+3.17%0.1137-14.51%0.1781✗1.251.2M2022-05-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.013280.013707+3.21%0.00903-32.00%0.4109✗0.81222k2022-05-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.5493.6639+3.24%2.66-25.05%0.3099✗1.30186k2022-05-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7740.79946+3.29%0.619-20.03%0.2467✗1.1546k2022-05-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin10.9911.3546+3.32%8.29-24.57%0.3054✗1.156.6M2022-05-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.4790.494975+3.34%0.307-35.91%0.4657✗1.501.6M2022-05-16
ORCAOrcaSolana1.211.2507+3.36%0.92-23.97%0.3008✗0.79151k2022-05-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06011.0959+3.38%1.1653+9.93%0.0716✓1.28760k2022-05-16
XECeCashnative0.000053370.000055177+3.39%0.00004677-12.37%0.1562✗1.146.7M2022-05-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7650.791141+3.42%0.699-8.63%0.1129✗1.37327k2022-05-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14360.148508+3.42%0.1449+0.91%0.0131✓1.45108k2022-05-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.2032.2793+3.46%1.504-31.73%0.4091✗0.83763k2022-05-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010580.010948+3.48%0.00978-7.56%0.1048✗1.011.0M2022-05-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.6411.0119+3.50%10.62-0.19%0.0267✓1.1911.7M2022-05-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11630.120367+3.50%0.0795-31.64%0.4010✗1.74232k2022-05-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.3471.3942+3.51%1.178-12.55%0.1616✗0.8624k2022-05-16
GITCOINGITCOIN3.3483.4663+3.53%2.298-31.36%0.3984✗1.5819k2022-05-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.280.289916+3.54%0.19391-30.75%0.3908✗1.43250k2022-05-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.731.7913+3.54%1.27-26.59%0.3330✗1.373.6M2022-05-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19260.199605+3.64%0.1872-2.80%0.0529✗1.42634k2022-05-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7260.75267+3.67%0.61-15.98%0.1997✗1.321.7M2022-05-16
KSMKusamaHydration94.2697.7264+3.68%73.47-22.06%0.2761✗1.161.1M2022-05-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29680.307743+3.69%0.3018+1.68%0.0105✓1.13486k2022-05-16
MINAMina Protocolnative1.351.4003+3.73%1.042-22.81%0.2858✗1.23755k2022-05-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084630.087792+3.74%0.07067-16.50%0.2101✗0.8618k2022-05-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche41.2142.7594+3.76%32.49-21.16%0.2644✗1.2944.2M2022-05-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013950.000014492+3.88%0.00001196-14.27%0.1826✗1.181.2M2022-05-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.10440.108474+3.90%0.0809-22.51%0.2823✗1.383.7M2022-05-16
DODODODOEthereum0.2250.233815+3.92%0.151-32.89%0.4268✗1.314.7M2022-05-16
XVGVergenative0.006110.00635+3.92%0.00486-20.46%0.2579✗1.19885k2022-05-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1010.104986+3.95%0.068-32.67%0.4286✗0.72124k2022-05-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.333.4623+3.97%2.26-32.13%0.4137✗1.62339k2022-05-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0140040.014568+4.03%0.012762-8.87%0.1269✗0.69195k2022-05-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.17020.177182+4.10%0.1577-7.34%0.1036✗1.621.1M2022-05-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002340.002436+4.11%0.00133-43.16%0.5953✗1.253.9M2022-05-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005430.005657+4.19%0.00432-20.44%0.2636✗0.7720k2022-05-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5972.7059+4.19%1.976-23.91%0.3008✗1.701.2M2022-05-16
STXStacksnative0.650.677491+4.23%0.56-13.85%0.1821✗1.05260k2022-05-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02530.02642+4.43%0.0152-39.92%0.5370✗1.9922.0M2022-05-16
AAVEAaveEthereum99.45103.9019+4.48%83.79-15.75%0.2039✗1.418.3M2022-05-16
MOVRMoonriverBase27.460528.6912+4.48%23.5002-14.42%0.1886✗1.39188k2022-05-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.152.2471+4.52%1.5881-26.13%0.3407✗0.812.5M2022-05-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0182420.019072+4.55%0.015316-16.04%0.2113✗1.014.2M2022-05-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.686.9939+4.70%4.95-25.90%0.3406✗0.631.2M2022-05-16
API3Api3Ethereum2.312.4195+4.74%1.805-21.86%0.2830✗1.262.6M2022-05-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.11.1523+4.76%0.81-26.36%0.3414✗1.40842k2022-05-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.05322.1509+4.76%1.3834-32.62%0.4349✗0.814.8M2022-05-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3441.4083+4.78%1.249-7.07%0.1104✗1.2117.4M2022-05-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.50360.527813+4.81%0.34-32.49%0.4300✗1.2395k2022-05-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.414340.434355+4.83%0.38073-8.11%0.1212✗1.3347k2022-05-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16340.171723+5.09%0.139-14.93%0.1995✗1.506.0M2022-05-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.817.1693+5.28%4.56-33.04%0.4475✗0.632.8M2022-05-16
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0088.4376+5.36%8.069+0.76%0.0268✓2.2576.4M2022-05-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.286824+5.45%0.213-21.69%0.2873✗1.294.2M2022-05-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.71.7949+5.58%1.289-24.18%0.3185✗1.58582k2022-05-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.4420.467957+5.87%0.37002-16.29%0.2234✗1.431.3M2022-05-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.50.529378+5.88%0.35987-28.03%0.3749✗1.39398k2022-05-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2393.444+6.33%2.723-15.93%0.2221✗1.617.1M2022-05-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.870.925167+6.34%0.628-27.82%0.3773✗1.2732k2022-05-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.155.4851+6.51%4.54-11.84%0.1789✗1.282.8M2022-05-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.05532.2249+8.25%1.6704-18.73%0.2781✗1.0810.0M2022-05-16
LUNATerraTerra 230.3533.2171+9.45%0.0002-100.00%12.0047✗1.957.1M2022-05-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.