8=======>

2022-05-04 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0349
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.46%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
92.6%
in alpha space · 95.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-26.97%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.36643.3804+0.41%1.177-65.04%0.8768✗0.575.6M2022-05-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0244650.024565+0.41%0.014156-42.14%0.2287✗1.034.2M2022-05-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.689.7092+0.30%4.61-52.38%0.6083✗0.431.6M2022-05-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0061.0088+0.28%0.471-53.18%0.3947✗1.171.1M2022-05-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.126040.12637+0.26%0.06818-45.91%0.3971✗0.7017k2022-05-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00780.007818+0.23%0.00367-52.95%0.5573✗0.6328k2022-05-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1710.1755+0.05%4.27-58.01%0.7502✗0.382.5M2022-05-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4714+0.03%2.28-48.99%0.4464✗0.72719k2022-05-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.345.33-0.19%2.86-46.44%0.4084✓0.681.1M2022-05-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,665.5039,541.54-0.31%28,313.90-28.62%0.0381✓0.9425k2022-05-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.028520.02842-0.35%0.01772-37.87%0.3329✓0.44416k2022-05-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1151.1105-0.40%0.8-28.25%0.0152✗1.093.6M2022-05-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12950.128909-0.46%0.0924-28.65%0.0485✓0.91156k2022-05-11
GTGateEthereum6.5236.4921-0.47%4.9785-23.68%0.1242✓0.454.2M2022-05-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21183.1965-0.48%1.1829-63.17%0.7989✓0.623.5M2022-05-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.808090.804122-0.49%0.37834-53.18%0.3604✓1.251.4M2022-05-11
GITCOINGITCOIN5.1475.121-0.50%2.339-54.56%0.3212✓1.4719k2022-05-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.15440.153599-0.52%0.0782-49.35%0.0123✓2.11269k2022-05-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin106.25105.6171-0.60%66.31-37.59%0.1473✓1.0117.3M2022-05-11
DIADIAEthereum0.810.80507-0.61%0.35-56.79%0.6952✓0.4471k2022-05-11
MANADecentralandEthereum1.65851.6483-0.62%0.76561-53.84%0.4109✓1.13886k2022-05-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.565.525-0.63%3.46-37.77%0.2922✓0.56869k2022-05-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021780.00002164-0.64%0.00001195-45.13%0.2576✓1.071.4M2022-05-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63895.6023-0.65%5.25-6.90%0.0804✗0.46251k2022-05-11
FIDABonfidaSolana1.1141.1062-0.70%0.574-48.47%0.3415✓1.0050k2022-05-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum24.0823.9116-0.70%13.85-42.48%0.2656✓0.89417k2022-05-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0180.017872-0.71%0.00973-45.94%0.2905✓1.01248k2022-05-11
XEMNEMnative0.09170.090999-0.76%0.049-46.56%0.3259✓0.9355k2022-05-11
QNTQuantEthereum101.58100.7753-0.79%64.1-36.90%0.1795✓0.873.4M2022-05-11
API3Api3Ethereum3.6523.6227-0.80%1.637-55.18%0.4821✓0.993.1M2022-05-11
XYMSymbolnative0.09590.095122-0.81%0.0681-28.99%0.1222✓0.67706k2022-05-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.24780.245767-0.82%0.1056-57.38%0.3096✓1.701.3M2022-05-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084850.084151-0.82%0.04918-42.04%0.2802✓0.8232k2022-05-11
UMAUMAEthereum5.675.6228-0.83%2.847-49.79%0.2423✓1.391.6M2022-05-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.07945.0367-0.84%1.8219-64.13%0.6540✓1.158.6M2022-05-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.019370.019206-0.85%0.01058-45.38%0.3647✓0.743.6M2022-05-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0923.0652-0.87%1.428-53.82%0.5749✓0.601.2M2022-05-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.3720.368761-0.87%0.2133-42.66%0.1291✓1.33188k2022-05-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009340.009258-0.87%0.00457-51.07%0.3417✓1.162.3M2022-05-11
HIVEHivenative0.82910.821854-0.87%0.4772-42.44%0.2288✓1.001.5M2022-05-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45260.448631-0.88%0.2219-50.97%0.4240✓0.89299k2022-05-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.55380.548863-0.89%0.2974-46.30%0.2898✓1.038.0M2022-05-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.9351.9177-0.90%1.068-44.81%0.3479✓0.7624k2022-05-11
STXStacksnative0.990.98109-0.90%0.58-41.41%0.2229✓0.96274k2022-05-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.212.0879-0.92%6.93-43.20%0.2024✓1.1318.3M2022-05-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.684.6369-0.92%2.897-38.10%0.1670✓0.9767k2022-05-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos19.9119.7185-0.96%10.75-46.01%0.2712✓1.0719.4M2022-05-11
FTTFTXEthereum39.5639.1774-0.97%29.94-24.32%0.0088✓0.8811.7M2022-05-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.914.8618-0.98%2.25-54.18%0.5614✓0.67648k2022-05-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.0311.9099-1.00%4.83-59.85%0.5828✓1.02963k2022-05-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.91.881-1.00%1.05-44.74%0.4149✓0.53272k2022-05-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,669.5639,271.23-1.00%28,972.34-26.97%0.0101✓1.00553.2M2022-05-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.641.6231-1.03%0.82-50.00%0.2631✓1.34951k2022-05-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.25570.25303-1.04%0.1257-50.84%0.2462✓1.446.9M2022-05-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.122.0971-1.08%1.41-33.49%0.0814✓1.00124k2022-05-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.47792.451-1.08%1.7025-31.29%0.1552✓0.6715k2022-05-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash299.95296.6572-1.10%193.96-35.34%0.1143✓0.995.3M2022-05-11
ETHEthereumEthereum2,939.982,906.97-1.12%2,075.93-29.39%0.0197✓1.01438.2M2022-05-11
SOLSolanaSolana92.7691.7135-1.13%50.82-45.21%0.2114✓1.2185.8M2022-05-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.3955.3336-1.14%2.496-53.73%0.3799✓1.21184k2022-05-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2370.234295-1.14%0.119-49.79%0.4594✓0.6925k2022-05-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.651350.643768-1.16%0.37334-42.68%0.2092✓1.07126k2022-05-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001759-1.17%0.00000121-32.02%0.1521✓0.717.7M2022-05-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.1821.1681-1.17%0.62-47.55%0.2391✓1.25357k2022-05-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7833.7385-1.18%1.587-58.05%0.7543✓0.332.4M2022-05-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1847210.182519-1.19%0.125737-31.93%0.0653✓0.9813.8M2022-05-11
KCSKuCoinnative18.40818.1811-1.23%11.39-38.12%0.2242✓0.774.3M2022-05-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.460.45431-1.24%0.19-58.70%0.4055✓1.48293k2022-05-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.38460.379805-1.25%0.1885-50.99%0.5349✓0.534,1372022-05-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2130.210317-1.26%0.1157-45.68%0.3391✓0.821.2M2022-05-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.871.8461-1.28%0.91-51.34%0.4844✓0.71159k2022-05-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.16130.159229-1.28%0.065-59.70%0.4879✓1.30180k2022-05-11
AAVEAaveEthereum159.43157.3681-1.29%82.28-48.39%0.2482✓1.279.8M2022-05-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04390.043332-1.29%0.014-68.11%0.6102✓1.6523.0M2022-05-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.042530.041977-1.30%0.0209-50.86%0.4449✓0.80236k2022-05-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.87651.8512-1.35%1.0189-45.70%0.3156✓0.9084k2022-05-11
XTZTezosTezos2.70282.6661-1.36%1.7776-34.23%0.0722✓1.06855k2022-05-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.021610.021314-1.37%0.012056-44.21%0.4197✓0.48193k2022-05-11
DODODODOEthereum0.3230.318574-1.37%0.166-48.61%0.2808✓1.185.1M2022-05-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6150.606557-1.37%0.318-48.29%0.4030✓0.771.4M2022-05-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.83.7476-1.38%1.785-53.03%0.3132✓1.3679k2022-05-11
ZECZcashZcash134.35132.4931-1.38%83.09-38.15%0.1129✓1.135.5M2022-05-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.95750.944237-1.39%0.49716-48.08%0.2692✓1.1894k2022-05-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.28290.278931-1.40%0.143-49.45%0.3195✓1.11391k2022-05-11
XMRMoneroMonero225.24222.0295-1.43%140.01-37.84%0.1685✓0.933.5M2022-05-11
NANOnanopayBase1.80611.7801-1.44%1.0802-40.19%0.1630✓1.07149k2022-05-11
QTUMQtumQtum5.93685.8495-1.47%4.0098-32.46%0.0100✓1.1798k2022-05-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8171.79-1.49%0.856-52.89%0.3898✓1.118.2M2022-05-11
RADRadworksEthereum4.013.95-1.50%1.84-54.11%0.5000✓0.84565k2022-05-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.75220.740894-1.50%0.3939-47.63%0.2408✓1.24110k2022-05-11
LUNATerraTerra 286.0984.778-1.52%1.06-98.77%3.9873✓1.267.3M2022-05-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.1960.19296-1.55%0.107-45.41%0.2252✓1.161.5M2022-05-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041090.040451-1.55%0.02413-41.28%0.2523✓0.8436k2022-05-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2220.218547-1.56%0.1188-46.49%0.1747✓1.38114k2022-05-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.9523.5768-1.56%14.26-40.46%0.0976✓1.29532k2022-05-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.6377.3904-1.58%52.8-32.85%0.1209✓0.832.1M2022-05-11
KSMKusamaHydration140.48138.2648-1.58%72.92-48.09%0.2947✓1.10954k2022-05-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.2866.2107-1.59%31.1-53.78%0.3820✓1.1944.2M2022-05-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44150.43443-1.60%0.2258-48.86%0.3144✓1.08491k2022-05-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2821.2613-1.62%1.001-21.92%0.0988✗1.05462k2022-05-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23744.1688-1.62%2.5145-40.66%0.1873✓1.01173k2022-05-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9942.9454-1.62%1.365-54.41%0.5450✓0.71915k2022-05-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.4741.45-1.63%0.54-63.36%0.6429✓1.1055k2022-05-11
MOVRMoonriverBase43.573442.8605-1.64%21.4392-50.80%0.2312✓1.47182k2022-05-11
BANDBandEthereum3.3423.2873-1.64%1.809-45.87%0.1980✓1.27537k2022-05-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.015240.014989-1.65%0.00936-38.58%0.1864✓0.911.1M2022-05-11
SCSiacoinnative0.008980.008831-1.66%0.00435-51.56%0.3368✓1.18382k2022-05-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.34380.33797-1.70%0.1517-55.88%0.4277✓1.196.8M2022-05-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.3216.0432-1.70%9.05-44.55%0.2423✓1.0511.7M2022-05-11
ZENHorizenBase33.733.1201-1.72%19.64-41.72%0.0991✓1.35173k2022-05-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05980.058761-1.74%0.0314-47.49%0.2701✓1.13179k2022-05-11
XECeCashnative0.000078520.000077128-1.77%0.0000364-53.64%0.4375✓1.007.8M2022-05-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71530.702471-1.79%0.4525-36.74%0.1434✓0.9410.9M2022-05-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1359080.133438-1.82%0.084774-37.62%0.1609✓0.937.1M2022-05-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.141.119-1.84%0.486-57.37%0.4694✓1.162.2M2022-05-11
COMPCompoundEthereum114.56112.4398-1.85%70.97-38.05%0.0940✓1.1733k2022-05-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.820.804693-1.87%0.31-62.20%0.5932✓1.15430k2022-05-11
DASHDashDash95.8594.0464-1.88%58.06-39.43%0.1565✓1.041.2M2022-05-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum14.2814.0099-1.89%7.42-48.04%0.2659✓1.188.7M2022-05-11
ADACardanoCardano0.89830.881208-1.90%0.5161-42.55%0.1938✓1.0941.1M2022-05-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.4516.1365-1.91%9.91-39.76%0.0468✓1.40145k2022-05-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04481.0248-1.92%0.5963-42.93%0.1471✓1.256.6M2022-05-11
UNIUniswapEthereum7.947.7872-1.92%4.89-38.41%0.1218✓1.094.4M2022-05-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.070790.069403-1.96%0.04295-39.33%0.2294✓0.8014k2022-05-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.29790.292047-1.96%0.175-41.26%0.1020✓1.30763k2022-05-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.11090.108715-1.97%0.056-49.50%0.3866✓0.88425k2022-05-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.175.0661-2.01%2.35-54.55%0.3013✓1.49339k2022-05-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7642.7081-2.02%1.223-55.75%0.2921✓1.60719k2022-05-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,332.5917,954.41-2.06%11,348.99-38.09%0.1593✓0.952.7M2022-05-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin15.7115.3825-2.08%8.58-45.39%0.2472✓1.077.5M2022-05-11
XVSVenusEthereum8.528.337-2.15%3.68-56.81%0.4847✓1.063.0M2022-05-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5962.5396-2.17%1.502-42.14%0.1069✓1.335.1M2022-05-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020560.020113-2.17%0.00948-53.89%0.2863✓1.4848.2M2022-05-11
XVGVergenative0.008960.008765-2.18%0.00436-51.34%0.3528✓1.10943k2022-05-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.7855.6583-2.19%2.623-54.66%0.5788✓0.601.5M2022-05-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.48110.470486-2.21%0.3065-36.29%0.3066✓0.39580k2022-05-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0136310.01333-2.21%0.009172-32.71%0.0949✓0.8943k2022-05-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum33.3332.5789-2.25%19.2-42.39%0.1233✓1.294.0M2022-05-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.2220.216966-2.27%0.1138-48.74%0.2328✓1.312.1M2022-05-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.81620.797191-2.33%0.415-49.15%0.2488✓1.29311k2022-05-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066750.065171-2.37%0.03319-50.28%0.3385✓1.0775k2022-05-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.675480.65902-2.44%0.30717-54.53%0.3937✓1.1873k2022-05-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15920.155195-2.52%0.0833-47.68%0.2232✓1.275.3M2022-05-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.6129.8266-2.56%19.91-34.96%0.0410✓1.164.9M2022-05-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7170.69864-2.56%0.299-58.30%0.4045✓1.411.6M2022-05-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.1244.0183-2.56%1.653-59.92%0.3418✓1.741.4M2022-05-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003530.003439-2.59%0.00125-64.59%0.6639✓1.114.2M2022-05-11
MINAMina Protocolnative2.011.9576-2.61%0.99-50.75%0.3305✓1.121.1M2022-05-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0734.938-2.66%2.497-50.78%0.2280✓1.447.7M2022-05-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.57e-79.32e-7-2.67%5.80e-7-39.41%0.4928✓-0.06646k2022-05-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.73243.6314-2.71%1.4486-61.19%0.6723✓0.7810.0M2022-05-11
SUSHISushiEthereum2.622.549-2.71%1.32-49.62%0.2558✓1.283.6M2022-05-11
PROPropyEthereum1.721.6719-2.80%1.07-37.79%0.2561✓0.61470k2022-05-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09730.094568-2.81%0.0412-57.66%0.5694✓0.832.8M2022-05-11
TRXTRONTron0.0863970.083959-2.82%0.074146-14.18%0.0893✗0.68296k2022-05-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4780.464303-2.87%0.197-58.79%0.5328✓1.034.3M2022-05-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8002760.775295-3.12%0.3862-51.74%0.3738✓1.035.3M2022-05-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum22.1521.4385-3.21%9.48-57.20%0.4086✓1.302.2M2022-05-11
STEEMSteemnative0.39660.383623-3.27%0.1956-50.68%0.3593✓1.003.9M2022-05-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.394.2316-3.61%1.74-60.36%0.4400✓1.43385k2022-05-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1680.161406-3.92%0.057-66.07%0.9075✓0.42132k2022-05-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0761.9917-4.06%1.001-51.78%0.3536✓1.0616.1M2022-05-11
APEApeCoinEthereum15.55714.8716-4.41%5.715-63.26%0.3192✓2.0363.9M2022-05-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.