8=======>

2022-04-25 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3964
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.72%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
91.4%
in alpha space · 95.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.77%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9464.9577+0.24%5.716+15.57%0.1681✓0.531.6M2022-05-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.664.6689+0.19%4.34-6.87%0.0401✗0.671.2M2022-05-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.685.6901+0.18%5.25-7.57%0.0503✗0.621.3M2022-05-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.98023.9859+0.14%3.3079-16.89%0.1628✗0.485.6M2022-05-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana11.4311.443+0.11%9.57-16.27%0.1618✗0.352.0M2022-05-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.138440.138457+0.01%0.12425-10.25%0.0723✗0.7417k2022-05-02
GTGateEthereum6.31816.3176-0.01%6.2409-1.22%0.0107✗0.474.7M2022-05-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03110.031018-0.26%0.02585-16.88%0.1535✓0.59536k2022-05-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13350.132959-0.41%0.1281-4.04%0.0113✗0.99203k2022-05-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.5312.4693-0.48%11.97-4.47%0.0199✓0.432.8M2022-05-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.31470.313163-0.49%0.2208-29.84%0.2681✓1.662.2M2022-05-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.56103.8903-0.64%100.65-3.74%0.0177✗1.0119.7M2022-05-02
GITCOINGITCOIN5.7535.71-0.75%4.641-19.33%0.1373✓1.4318k2022-05-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0721.0638-0.77%0.952-11.19%0.0601✓1.041.3M2022-05-02
ORCAOrcaSolana1.971.9548-0.77%1.81-8.12%0.0424✓0.71230k2022-05-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1691.1597-0.80%1.049-10.27%0.0508✓1.013.9M2022-05-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.66163.6298-0.87%3.1796-13.16%0.1059✓0.544.6M2022-05-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.52650.521919-0.87%0.4561-13.37%0.1220✓0.26777k2022-05-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.090680.089885-0.88%0.07898-12.90%0.0915✓0.7736k2022-05-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.166.1039-0.91%5.73-6.98%0.0354✓0.571.0M2022-05-02
AAVEAaveEthereum168.93167.3642-0.93%144.21-14.63%0.0880✓1.2512.2M2022-05-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.030480.030196-0.93%0.024035-21.15%0.1804✓0.984.4M2022-05-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009620.00953-0.94%0.00824-14.35%0.0891✓1.153.0M2022-05-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.95195.8953-0.95%5.7724-3.02%0.0032✓0.50208k2022-05-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1163.0849-1.00%2.858-8.28%0.0450✓0.641.5M2022-05-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2913.2577-1.01%2.985-9.30%0.0601✓0.561.8M2022-05-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,523.2040,108.84-1.02%38,566.40-4.83%0.0058✓0.9225k2022-05-02
QNTQuantEthereum107.81106.6975-1.03%95.23-11.67%0.0748✓0.803.4M2022-05-02
UMAUMAEthereum5.945.8771-1.06%5.319-10.45%0.0291✓1.452.5M2022-05-02
DIADIAEthereum0.840.830477-1.13%0.77-8.33%0.0526✓0.4788k2022-05-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.64990.641943-1.22%0.5329-18.00%0.1399✓0.959.2M2022-05-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.18480.182528-1.23%0.1479-19.97%0.1016✓2.23398k2022-05-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.8412.682-1.23%11.3-11.99%0.0650✓1.031.1M2022-05-02
CBKCobakEthereum2.1662.1393-1.23%1.843-14.91%0.1153✓0.6925k2022-05-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.41642.3866-1.23%2.5018+3.53%0.0781✗0.6311k2022-05-02
XYMSymbolnative0.1070.105672-1.24%0.0933-12.80%0.0930✓0.65823k2022-05-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.4413.2732-1.24%11.17-16.89%0.1196✓1.0826.0M2022-05-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.021670.021399-1.25%0.01856-14.35%0.1067✓0.734.5M2022-05-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.195.1245-1.26%4.68-9.83%0.0606✓0.62865k2022-05-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.723570.714436-1.26%0.58714-18.86%0.1476✓0.99152k2022-05-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024370.000024061-1.27%0.00002066-15.22%0.1012✓1.052.1M2022-05-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.1919-1.27%1.99-10.36%0.0486✓0.98128k2022-05-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,439.2239,924.34-1.27%38,510.89-4.77%0.0128✓1.00544.9M2022-05-02
HIVEHivenative0.90460.89308-1.27%0.8016-11.39%0.0619✓0.951.9M2022-05-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash314.56310.5482-1.28%285.01-9.39%0.0390✓0.966.0M2022-05-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.3080.304036-1.29%0.227-26.30%0.2248✓1.388.8M2022-05-02
SOLSolanaSolana100.9999.6802-1.30%87.45-13.41%0.0718✓1.21127.9M2022-05-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1221.8316-1.30%17.8-19.53%0.1539✓1.0323.3M2022-05-02
XEMNEMnative0.09540.094135-1.33%0.092-3.56%0.0213✗0.9072k2022-05-02
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001806-1.34%0.00000171-6.56%0.0198✓0.719.3M2022-05-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01140.011246-1.35%0.0076-33.33%0.3646✓0.5632k2022-05-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1922160.189614-1.35%0.173493-9.74%0.0420✓0.9618.9M2022-05-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50060.493745-1.37%0.4286-14.38%0.1000✓0.85511k2022-05-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.44820.44205-1.37%0.3627-19.08%0.1852✓0.265,5292022-05-02
FIDABonfidaSolana1.2991.2811-1.38%1.094-15.78%0.1105✓0.9762k2022-05-02
TRXTRONTron0.0653240.064422-1.38%0.068943+5.54%0.0972✗0.60304k2022-05-02
ETHEthereumEthereum3,007.222,965.45-1.39%2,856.21-5.02%0.0110✓0.99438.2M2022-05-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.045150.04452-1.39%0.04043-10.45%0.0568✓0.81381k2022-05-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.911.8833-1.40%1.52-20.42%0.1516✓1.281.6M2022-05-02
STXStacksnative1.111.0943-1.42%0.94-15.32%0.1066✓0.93422k2022-05-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04330.042677-1.44%0.03902-9.88%0.0505✓0.8067k2022-05-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV80.6879.5176-1.44%74.05-8.22%0.0327✓0.793.4M2022-05-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.959580.945738-1.44%0.72701-24.24%0.2035✓1.221.7M2022-05-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7991.7727-1.46%1.542-14.29%0.0920✓0.978.6M2022-05-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.570.561566-1.48%0.43-24.56%0.1975✓1.42395k2022-05-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.29220.287857-1.49%0.2655-9.14%0.0281✓1.08492k2022-05-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06510.06413-1.49%0.053-18.59%0.1373✓1.09296k2022-05-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.3364.2713-1.49%3.835-11.55%0.0255✓1.681.8M2022-05-02
FTTFTXEthereum41.8341.2048-1.49%39.11-6.50%0.0088✓0.8919.0M2022-05-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.1185.04-1.52%4.445-13.15%0.0799✓0.9464k2022-05-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04780.047072-1.52%0.0369-22.80%0.1647✓1.6132.1M2022-05-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.680.669617-1.53%0.601-11.62%0.0720✓0.742.8M2022-05-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0140930.013878-1.53%0.011991-14.92%0.1044✓0.8553k2022-05-02
DODODODOEthereum0.3840.378095-1.54%0.291-24.22%0.2092✓1.088.0M2022-05-02
KCSKuCoinnative19.75919.4548-1.54%18.018-8.81%0.0392✓0.775.8M2022-05-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70310.692238-1.54%0.6161-12.37%0.0725✓0.9012.2M2022-05-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.21270.209383-1.56%0.1787-15.98%0.1046✓1.102.6M2022-05-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.82735.7357-1.57%4.9344-15.32%0.0951✓1.1311.2M2022-05-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2710.266699-1.59%0.23-15.13%0.1160✓0.6636k2022-05-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.41210.405515-1.60%0.3505-14.95%0.0797✓1.35282k2022-05-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5064.4338-1.60%3.441-23.64%0.1918✓1.26121k2022-05-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3811.3587-1.62%1.07-22.52%0.1792✓1.22496k2022-05-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23530.231436-1.64%0.1927-18.10%0.1441✓0.801.6M2022-05-02
XECeCashnative0.000086730.000085304-1.64%0.00007202-16.96%0.1250✓0.919.8M2022-05-02
LSKLiskEthereum2.09732.0626-1.66%1.7715-15.53%0.1118✓0.82100k2022-05-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.2556.1509-1.66%4.931-21.17%0.1671✓1.10216k2022-05-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4191.3952-1.68%1.176-17.12%0.1222✓1.00593k2022-05-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88230.867243-1.71%0.6423-27.20%0.2396✓1.24208k2022-05-02
XMRMoneroMonero254.06249.6861-1.72%199.47-21.49%0.1808✓0.893.1M2022-05-02
BANDBandEthereum3.6163.5537-1.72%3.041-15.90%0.0977✓1.19715k2022-05-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3654.2884-1.76%3.806-12.81%0.1081✓0.232.7M2022-05-02
ZENHorizenBase36.3935.7512-1.76%30.35-16.60%0.1015✓1.28275k2022-05-02
XTZTezosTezos2.95422.9022-1.76%2.4942-15.57%0.1021✓1.01893k2022-05-02
STORJStorjEthereum1.05741.0386-1.77%0.88819-16.00%0.1028✓1.10156k2022-05-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche72.9171.6081-1.79%60.34-17.24%0.1137✓1.1862.8M2022-05-02
DASHDashDash99.4197.6345-1.79%89.2-10.27%0.0416✓1.001.6M2022-05-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.51750.508201-1.80%0.4031-22.11%0.1791✓1.08719k2022-05-02
COMPCompoundEthereum132.68130.2775-1.81%105.5-20.49%0.1567✓1.1165k2022-05-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.7227.2154-1.82%23.44-15.44%0.1050✓0.91517k2022-05-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.52274.4403-1.82%3.8501-14.87%0.0964✓0.95275k2022-05-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36040.353412-1.94%0.3077-14.62%0.0809✓1.189.2M2022-05-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.0917.7295-1.99%14.95-17.36%0.1219✓1.0014.6M2022-05-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023040.022579-2.00%0.01736-24.65%0.2133✓1.01383k2022-05-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24370.238819-2.00%0.2038-16.37%0.0973✓1.25236k2022-05-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.18260.178942-2.00%0.1358-25.63%0.2213✓1.12220k2022-05-02
QTUMQtumQtum6.46726.3375-2.01%5.5244-14.58%0.0826✓1.12170k2022-05-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.11340.111123-2.01%0.1041-8.20%0.0212✓0.90791k2022-05-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.2210.216555-2.01%0.1946-11.95%0.0451✓1.263.3M2022-05-02
MANADecentralandEthereum1.98011.9402-2.01%1.5039-24.05%0.2030✓1.061.2M2022-05-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.32790.321291-2.02%0.2746-16.25%0.0947✓1.281.3M2022-05-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.1415.8139-2.02%12.95-19.76%0.1480✓1.0613.0M2022-05-02
AVTAventusEthereum2.452.4004-2.03%2.03-17.14%0.1432✓0.50322k2022-05-02
KSMKusamaHydration164.32160.9854-2.03%130.9-20.34%0.1552✓1.061.1M2022-05-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.748.5606-2.05%6.93-20.71%0.1620✓1.016.3M2022-05-02
ADACardanoCardano0.89750.879006-2.06%0.7806-13.03%0.0689✓1.0253.5M2022-05-02
RADRadworksEthereum4.424.3287-2.06%3.92-11.31%0.0581✓0.84741k2022-05-02
NANOnanopayBase2.1192.075-2.08%1.7382-17.97%0.1295✓0.98188k2022-05-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.8918.4974-2.08%14.92-21.02%0.1502✓1.33190k2022-05-02
MOVRMoonriverBase50.540649.4709-2.12%41.0043-18.87%0.1198✓1.39223k2022-05-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,700.5018,304.50-2.12%17,128.81-8.40%0.0183✓0.984.0M2022-05-02
SCSiacoinnative0.010140.009923-2.14%0.00835-17.65%0.1173✓1.13476k2022-05-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7315.3917-2.15%26.04+65.54%0.5871✗1.252.2M2022-05-02
API3Api3Ethereum4.224.1288-2.16%3.217-23.77%0.2045✓0.923.1M2022-05-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.8321.7923-2.17%1.392-24.02%0.2060✓0.9678k2022-05-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.3725.7942-2.18%22.02-16.50%0.0986✓1.22685k2022-05-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0260330.025452-2.23%0.019194-26.27%0.2562✓0.53197k2022-05-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2361.2084-2.23%1.046-15.37%0.0892✓1.132.6M2022-05-02
XVGVergenative0.009960.009733-2.28%0.00816-18.07%0.1247✓1.061.4M2022-05-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.031.0065-2.28%0.74-28.16%0.2571✓1.03595k2022-05-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.85.667-2.29%4.66-19.66%0.1245✓1.46461k2022-05-02
ZECZcashZcash165.73161.9067-2.31%124.63-24.80%0.2137✓0.987.2M2022-05-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1750.170952-2.31%0.14-20.00%0.1800✓0.40190k2022-05-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01680.016411-2.32%0.01476-12.14%0.0631✓0.881.5M2022-05-02
MINAMina Protocolnative2.252.1971-2.35%1.82-19.11%0.1385✓1.021.3M2022-05-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.6318.1888-2.37%14.61-21.58%0.1699✓1.0110.7M2022-05-02
LUNATerraTerra 296.8594.5306-2.39%84.35-12.91%0.0519✓1.2710.3M2022-05-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.6532.8422-2.40%27.42-18.51%0.1286✓1.068.8M2022-05-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.89180.870308-2.41%0.7442-16.55%0.0980✓1.20487k2022-05-02
PROPropyEthereum1.61.5612-2.42%1.59-0.62%0.0398✗0.44247k2022-05-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003910.003815-2.43%0.00307-21.48%0.1666✓1.047.1M2022-05-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.778920.759899-2.44%0.62845-19.32%0.1381✓1.06140k2022-05-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.7432.6737-2.53%2.101-23.41%0.1808✓1.238.4M2022-05-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.4843.3958-2.53%2.497-28.33%0.2345✓1.49896k2022-05-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17840.173806-2.58%0.1446-18.95%0.1282✓1.148.8M2022-05-02
XVSVenusEthereum109.7398-2.60%7.85-21.50%0.1662✓1.014.5M2022-05-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.124.0125-2.61%3.76-8.74%0.0002✓1.33416k2022-05-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum42.8941.7662-2.62%30.21-29.56%0.2663✓1.186.3M2022-05-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18291.1516-2.64%0.9672-18.23%0.1151✓1.2210.2M2022-05-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07860.076483-2.69%0.0677-13.87%0.0847✓0.7631k2022-05-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072990.071012-2.71%0.06268-14.13%0.0765✓0.99124k2022-05-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.91e-79.64e-7-2.72%9.01e-7-9.15%0.0782✓-0.20596k2022-05-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8440.82079-2.75%0.658-22.04%0.1559✓1.331.9M2022-05-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7778150.756404-2.75%0.719098-7.55%0.0015✓1.074.6M2022-05-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.022950.022279-2.92%0.01804-21.39%0.1404✓1.4549.4M2022-05-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10320.100108-3.00%0.1004-2.71%0.0474✗0.912.5M2022-05-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1579870.153205-3.03%0.130786-17.22%0.1155✓0.875.1M2022-05-02
SUSHISushiEthereum3.283.1672-3.44%2.36-28.05%0.2366✓1.184.4M2022-05-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.165.9246-3.82%4.73-23.21%0.1600✓1.338.3M2022-05-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5750.552082-3.99%0.447-22.26%0.1641✓0.964.9M2022-05-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum5.07784.8721-4.05%4.0958-19.34%0.1361✓0.778.0M2022-05-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.6282.5014-4.82%2.07-21.23%0.1419✓0.979.9M2022-05-02
APEApeCoinEthereum19.35718.4178-4.85%15.057-22.21%0.0925✓2.2345.4M2022-05-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.