8=======>

2022-04-17 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0781
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.58%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.0%
in alpha space · 70.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.55%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.7032.5043-7.35%2.546-5.81%0.0220✓0.993.8M2022-04-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.620.597233-3.67%0.606-2.26%0.0207✓1.105.9M2022-04-24
PROPropyEthereum1.931.8607-3.59%1.73-10.36%0.0676✓0.94179k2022-04-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.58e-79.28e-7-3.11%0.000001+4.43%0.0732✗-0.31596k2022-04-24
FTTFTXEthereum44.843.5404-2.81%40.79-8.95%0.0597✓1.0115.1M2022-04-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.28384.1696-2.67%4.7474+10.82%0.1340✗0.763.9M2022-04-24
COMPCompoundEthereum148.41144.7553-2.46%130.05-12.37%0.1005✓1.2076k2022-04-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.55352.4917-2.42%2.5861+1.28%0.0415✗0.7711k2022-04-24
API3Api3Ethereum4.2244.124-2.37%4.234+0.24%0.0298✗0.633.4M2022-04-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0272570.026622-2.33%0.026614-2.36%0.0035✓0.68195k2022-04-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.5614.2213-2.33%11.9-18.27%0.1759✓0.412.0M2022-04-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11340.11088-2.22%0.1066-6.00%0.0336✓1.051.1M2022-04-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.77835.6508-2.21%4.3553-24.63%0.2575✓0.535.6M2022-04-24
XMRMoneroMonero242236.6946-2.19%252.68+4.41%0.0705✗0.931.7M2022-04-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.4325.8738-2.10%25.12-4.96%0.0246✓0.90636k2022-04-24
APEApeCoinEthereum11.69511.4511-2.09%16.813+43.76%0.3961✗2.1846.3M2022-04-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024680.000024168-2.08%0.00002394-3.00%0.0032✓1.142.8M2022-04-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.4576.324-2.06%6.373-1.30%0.0139✓1.12340k2022-04-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.8453.7678-2.01%3.298-14.23%0.1252✓1.44720k2022-04-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.724790.71069-1.95%0.7222-0.36%0.0219✗1.05180k2022-04-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011680.011461-1.87%0.01129-3.34%0.0116✓0.6235k2022-04-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.19491.1728-1.85%1.1545-3.38%0.0088✓1.2511.9M2022-04-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.620.608968-1.78%0.57-8.06%0.0579✓1.49478k2022-04-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.19250.189089-1.77%0.187-2.86%0.0048✓1.15251k2022-04-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07460.073281-1.77%0.075+0.54%0.0278✗0.8350k2022-04-24
QTUMQtumQtum6.53246.4211-1.70%6.3261-3.16%0.0084✓1.17216k2022-04-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23510.231156-1.68%0.2492+6.00%0.0828✗1.38368k2022-04-24
AVTAventusEthereum2.62.5564-1.68%2.41-7.31%0.0562✓0.50546k2022-04-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.51924.4436-1.67%4.547+0.62%0.0284✗0.98280k2022-04-24
DIADIAEthereum0.880.865447-1.65%0.88+0.00%0.0193✗0.48169k2022-04-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2670.262635-1.63%0.277+3.75%0.0580✗0.8636k2022-04-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0351820.034612-1.62%0.031577-10.25%0.0856✓1.124.5M2022-04-24
XEMNEMnative0.09710.095528-1.62%0.0943-2.88%0.0078✓0.9261k2022-04-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5134.443-1.55%4.54+0.60%0.0273✗1.03119k2022-04-24
XYMSymbolnative0.11170.110019-1.50%0.1096-1.88%0.0001✓0.70820k2022-04-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.41940.413112-1.50%0.4171-0.55%0.0177✗1.46422k2022-04-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2210.21777-1.46%0.188-14.93%0.1433✓0.67100k2022-04-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4221.4012-1.46%1.389-2.32%0.0015✓1.32555k2022-04-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.00293.9447-1.45%3.8284-4.36%0.0262✓0.674.8M2022-04-24
MANADecentralandEthereum2.05322.0234-1.45%2.0017-2.51%0.0045✓1.141.6M2022-04-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.37775.3001-1.44%6.1093+13.60%0.1488✗1.2112.0M2022-04-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.89595.8112-1.44%5.8522-0.74%0.0096✓0.47177k2022-04-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1966170.193795-1.44%0.189627-3.56%0.0162✓1.0018.8M2022-04-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.9023-1.43%1.9-1.55%0.0061✓1.331.6M2022-04-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.47370.467028-1.41%0.4344-8.30%0.0712✓0.216,4692022-04-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.809550.798317-1.39%0.79006-2.41%0.0049✓1.00182k2022-04-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,677.8040,122.53-1.37%39,699.30-2.41%0.0053✓0.9526k2022-04-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.2813.0994-1.36%12.72-4.22%0.0231✓1.131.5M2022-04-24
BANDBandEthereum3.5543.5058-1.36%3.607+1.49%0.0353✗1.24749k2022-04-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4631.4435-1.33%1.418-3.08%0.0122✓1.021.1M2022-04-24
RADRadworksEthereum4.64.5387-1.33%4.38-4.78%0.0303✓0.96785k2022-04-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017490.01726-1.31%0.01747-0.11%0.0176✗1.002.1M2022-04-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06640.06553-1.31%0.0661-0.45%0.0153✗1.19555k2022-04-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71080.701749-1.27%0.7008-1.41%0.0038✓0.9418.3M2022-04-24
MOVRMoonriverBase57.227656.5121-1.25%51.601-9.83%0.0828✓1.47223k2022-04-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6876660.679119-1.24%0.809494+17.72%0.1818✗1.113.2M2022-04-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.685.6102-1.23%5.25-7.57%0.0624✓0.721.4M2022-04-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.6282.592-1.23%79.89-4.46%0.0288✓0.803.5M2022-04-24
UMAUMAEthereum6.166.0843-1.23%6.074-1.40%0.0064✓1.462.8M2022-04-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072350.071462-1.23%0.07259+0.33%0.0215✗1.05121k2022-04-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.2322.9458-1.22%22.3-4.00%0.0225✓1.1031.7M2022-04-24
LSKLiskEthereum2.0742.0488-1.21%2.1275+2.58%0.0425✗0.8795k2022-04-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1393710.137684-1.21%0.13184-5.40%0.0386✓0.865.0M2022-04-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.022240.021978-1.18%0.02169-2.47%0.0088✓0.804.9M2022-04-24
FIDABonfidaSolana1.431.4133-1.17%1.358-5.03%0.0344✓0.9963k2022-04-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.2321.9715-1.16%26.15+17.63%0.1813✗1.31752k2022-04-24
KCSKuCoinnative19.93219.7047-1.14%19.561-1.86%0.0026✓0.865.4M2022-04-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8540.844263-1.14%0.8922+4.47%0.0628✗1.36870k2022-04-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.043620.043123-1.14%0.04397+0.80%0.0243✗0.8867k2022-04-24
DODODODOEthereum0.3780.373741-1.13%0.389+2.91%0.0465✗1.177.4M2022-04-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.855.7859-1.10%5.87+0.34%0.0228✗1.52665k2022-04-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0140590.013907-1.08%0.014336+1.97%0.0354✗0.9147k2022-04-24
SCSiacoinnative0.010130.01002-1.08%0.01016+0.30%0.0204✗1.19565k2022-04-24
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2391.2256-1.08%1.198-3.31%0.0175✓0.963.5M2022-04-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,713.4918,512.76-1.07%18,270.32-2.37%0.0070✓1.115.0M2022-04-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.23330.230815-1.07%0.2133-8.57%0.0714✓1.353.5M2022-04-24
QNTQuantEthereum110.99109.8269-1.05%110.44-0.50%0.0107✗0.924.0M2022-04-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.9180.908469-1.04%0.88754-3.32%0.0161✓1.301.5M2022-04-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034210.033866-1.01%0.03235-5.44%0.0422✓0.65942k2022-04-24
KSMKusamaHydration168.62166.9608-0.98%159.48-5.42%0.0400✓1.051.1M2022-04-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.7213.5871-0.97%13.28-3.21%0.0166✓1.1426.0M2022-04-24
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001882-0.95%0.00000183-3.68%0.0240✓0.729.8M2022-04-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.28320.280499-0.95%0.3023+6.74%0.0813✗1.17524k2022-04-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.11680.115689-0.95%0.1193+2.14%0.0371✗1.15952k2022-04-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.8714.7329-0.92%13.07-12.10%0.1170✓0.492.9M2022-04-24
XTZTezosTezos3.093.0616-0.92%2.9606-4.19%0.0277✓1.051.0M2022-04-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49690.492333-0.92%0.5106+2.76%0.0408✗0.79490k2022-04-24
STORJStorjEthereum1.03591.0264-0.92%1.0652+2.83%0.0435✗1.15143k2022-04-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7934.7494-0.91%4.57-4.65%0.0364✓0.384.1M2022-04-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6693.6358-0.91%3.201-12.76%0.1232✓0.762.2M2022-04-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7470.740241-0.90%0.696-6.83%0.0567✓0.892.9M2022-04-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.745.6884-0.90%6+4.53%0.0573✗0.721.1M2022-04-24
MINAMina Protocolnative2.282.2597-0.89%2.19-3.95%0.0253✓1.091.2M2022-04-24
DASHDashDash104.4103.483-0.88%100-4.21%0.0285✓1.032.4M2022-04-24
SUSHISushiEthereum3.23.172-0.88%3.36+5.00%0.0645✗1.256.7M2022-04-24
TRXTRONTron0.0601490.059626-0.87%0.065688+9.21%0.1005✗0.66252k2022-04-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3350.332103-0.86%0.3351+0.03%0.0162✗1.301.6M2022-04-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.2220.220145-0.84%0.2117-4.64%0.0325✓1.193.2M2022-04-24
HIVEHivenative0.88580.87845-0.83%0.9181+3.65%0.0501✗1.082.0M2022-04-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7754.7356-0.83%5.231+9.55%0.1049✗0.9772k2022-04-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1942.176-0.82%2.703+23.20%0.2243✗1.347.7M2022-04-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1971.1872-0.82%1.085-9.36%0.0843✓1.031.4M2022-04-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.124.0864-0.81%4.02-2.43%0.0086✓1.40713k2022-04-24
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9215.8728-0.81%5.88-0.69%0.0096✗1.5118k2022-04-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.5836.2825-0.81%33.67-7.96%0.0686✓1.1016.0M2022-04-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.1156.0655-0.81%5.165-15.54%0.1570✓0.671.8M2022-04-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.719.5413-0.81%18.92-3.96%0.0261✓1.1210.9M2022-04-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.242.222-0.80%2.18-2.68%0.0135✓1.01163k2022-04-24
NANOnanopayBase2.0742.0578-0.78%2.0348-1.89%0.0051✓1.11243k2022-04-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.4574.8616-0.78%71.54-5.18%0.0384✓1.2694.4M2022-04-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.1262.1096-0.77%1.885-11.34%0.1071✓0.9994k2022-04-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,683.5439,384.87-0.75%39,464.56-0.55%0.0076✓1.00529.9M2022-04-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23850.236733-0.74%0.2383-0.08%0.0113✗0.861.7M2022-04-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.18325.7735-0.73%307.63-6.26%0.0518✓0.998.6M2022-04-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092370.091701-0.72%0.0915-0.94%0.0026✓0.8735k2022-04-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.9420.935262-0.72%0.8692-7.73%0.0654✓1.41231k2022-04-24
STXStacksnative1.131.1222-0.69%1.12-0.88%0.0036✓1.00440k2022-04-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.010329-0.68%0.00989-4.90%0.0370✓1.173.4M2022-04-24
ZENHorizenBase36.4736.2276-0.66%36.06-1.12%0.0028✓1.35431k2022-04-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7113.6189-0.66%15.33+11.82%0.1256✗1.312.5M2022-04-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.69390.689418-0.65%0.6004-13.47%0.1358✓0.44814k2022-04-24
CBKCobakEthereum2.1952.181-0.64%2.219+1.09%0.0217✗0.8025k2022-04-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.6419.5148-0.64%19.26-1.93%0.0057✓1.35226k2022-04-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004060.004034-0.63%0.00401-1.23%0.0008✓1.239.6M2022-04-24
XECeCashnative0.000088780.000088235-0.61%0.00008848-0.34%0.0083✗1.009.5M2022-04-24
SOLSolanaSolana100.1899.5665-0.61%99.25-0.93%0.0037✓1.25147.4M2022-04-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022830.022691-0.61%0.0222-2.76%0.0155✓1.15374k2022-04-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.4116.3121-0.60%16.22-1.16%0.0001✓1.0318.5M2022-04-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13640.135597-0.59%0.1333-2.27%0.0114✓1.02224k2022-04-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.57310.569733-0.59%0.5442-5.04%0.0389✓1.25967k2022-04-24
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7291.719-0.58%1.73+0.06%0.0123✗1.067.8M2022-04-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.7417.6452-0.53%18.15+2.31%0.0341✗1.0619.0M2022-04-24
ADACardanoCardano0.91480.910054-0.52%0.886-3.15%0.0211✓1.0468.9M2022-04-24
ETHEthereumEthereum2,988.402,973.19-0.51%2,921.96-2.22%0.0116✓1.05448.2M2022-04-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.180.1791-0.50%0.1788-0.67%0.0050✓1.219.4M2022-04-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049780.049537-0.49%0.04485-9.90%0.0937✓1.02561k2022-04-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04920.048963-0.48%0.048-2.44%0.0105✓1.6938.1M2022-04-24
GTGateEthereum6.41686.386-0.48%6.4236+0.11%0.0091✗0.594.4M2022-04-24
XVGVergenative0.010360.010312-0.46%0.00992-4.25%0.0323✓1.161.7M2022-04-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.143170.142527-0.45%0.13651-4.65%0.0387✓0.7918k2022-04-24
ORCAOrcaSolana1.861.8522-0.42%1.95+4.84%0.0554✗0.71238k2022-04-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5973.5821-0.41%3.33-7.42%0.0693✓0.672.5M2022-04-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin108.78108.3515-0.39%104.59-3.85%0.0296✓1.0323.4M2022-04-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum45.4745.3101-0.35%44.34-2.49%0.0146✓1.288.8M2022-04-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.34860.347402-0.34%0.3574+2.52%0.0349✗1.1810.5M2022-04-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.64490.642694-0.34%0.661+2.50%0.0339✗1.049.8M2022-04-24
LUNATerraTerra 277.2877.0301-0.32%90.54+17.16%0.1686✗1.277.7M2022-04-24
UNIUniswapEthereum9.259.2215-0.31%8.71-5.84%0.0512✓1.068.8M2022-04-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19570.195442-0.13%0.1778-9.15%0.0820✓2.29592k2022-04-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.017.0019-0.12%5.8-17.26%0.1841✓0.761.7M2022-04-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3281.3268-0.09%1.284-3.31%0.0257✓1.283.4M2022-04-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.370.369737-0.07%0.3265-11.76%0.1143✓1.812.3M2022-04-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.031.031+0.09%1.04+0.97%0.0153✓1.18798k2022-04-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.32340.323869+0.14%0.3115-3.68%0.0309✗1.469.4M2022-04-24
ZECZcashZcash137.47137.7392+0.20%160.92+17.06%0.1612✓1.029.2M2022-04-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.355.363+0.24%4.8-10.28%0.1067✗0.751.6M2022-04-24
XVSVenusEthereum9.769.7867+0.27%10.38+6.35%0.0652✓1.154.7M2022-04-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0045.0187+0.29%5.87+17.31%0.1639✓1.307.3M2022-04-24
AAVEAaveEthereum167.03167.569+0.32%166.31-0.43%0.0003✓1.3113.5M2022-04-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.5674.5959+0.63%4.334-5.10%0.0491✗1.732.6M2022-04-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8060.813361+0.91%0.85+5.46%0.0516✓1.362.7M2022-04-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017990.018228+1.32%0.02494+38.63%0.3216✓1.4749.4M2022-04-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.