8=======>

2022-04-06 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1123
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.41%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.4%
in alpha space · 78.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.476.1853-4.40%6.2-4.17%0.0728✗1.47697k2022-04-13
API3Api3Ethereum5.5695.345-4.02%4.194-24.69%0.2151✓0.573.9M2022-04-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.3455.1438-3.76%4.83-9.64%0.0136✓1.03101k2022-04-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.37682.3056-3.00%2.5403+6.88%0.1326✗0.7412k2022-04-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07820.075991-2.83%0.0694-11.25%0.0337✓1.19452k2022-04-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43670.424818-2.72%0.4479+2.56%0.1423✗1.872.3M2022-04-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.46186.2868-2.71%5.9834-7.40%0.0028✓1.0933.6M2022-04-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.700984-2.64%0.65-9.72%0.0014✓1.55438k2022-04-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2110.205516-2.60%0.264+25.12%0.2780✗0.5830k2022-04-13
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6961.6528-2.55%1.503-11.38%0.0506✓0.9358k2022-04-13
AVTAventusEthereum3.062.9821-2.54%2.55-16.67%0.1359✓0.43422k2022-04-13
LUNATerraTerra 2108.1105.3562-2.54%87.8-18.78%0.1196✓1.319.5M2022-04-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10550.102825-2.54%0.1238+17.35%0.2366✗1.06201k2022-04-13
DODODODOEthereum0.4190.408955-2.40%0.398-5.01%0.0297✗1.194.5M2022-04-13
MINAMina Protocolnative3.042.9683-2.36%2.53-16.78%0.1091✓1.06947k2022-04-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.38330.374394-2.32%0.3702-3.42%0.0512✗1.301.9M2022-04-13
STXStacksnative1.271.2407-2.30%1.21-4.72%0.0216✓0.97613k2022-04-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004790.00468-2.29%0.00423-11.69%0.0405✓1.279.0M2022-04-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.019830.019379-2.28%0.01838-7.31%0.0050✓1.002.1M2022-04-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2820.275614-2.26%0.277-1.77%0.0458✗0.8531k2022-04-13
MOVRMoonriverBase66.997865.5791-2.12%59.5722-11.08%0.0256✓1.47191k2022-04-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.1914.8686-2.12%13.56-10.73%0.0352✓1.191.3M2022-04-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.9713.6754-2.11%13.99+0.14%0.0409✗0.383.0M2022-04-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05620.055023-2.09%0.0542-3.56%0.0645✗1.6644.1M2022-04-13
BANDBandEthereum4.3264.2363-2.07%3.925-9.27%0.0179✓1.22706k2022-04-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.754270.738853-2.04%0.74264-1.54%0.0561✗1.06255k2022-04-13
GITCOINGITCOIN6.4276.2959-2.04%6.197-3.58%0.0538✗1.4522k2022-04-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.7266.5897-2.03%6.529-2.93%0.0432✗1.09448k2022-04-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5211.4903-2.02%1.59+4.54%0.1292✗1.35463k2022-04-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.9660.946647-2.00%0.9176-5.01%0.0348✗1.38870k2022-04-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.574.4787-2.00%4.34-5.03%0.0361✗1.41824k2022-04-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.1223.6427-1.98%24.37+1.04%0.0959✗1.37810k2022-04-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.281.2547-1.98%1.11-13.28%0.0671✓1.16798k2022-04-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.031760.031135-1.97%0.02014-36.59%0.3669✓1.4357.1M2022-04-13
NANOnanopayBase2.47022.4218-1.96%2.2742-7.93%0.0084✓1.14275k2022-04-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.96344.8685-1.91%5.3919+8.63%0.1295✗0.576.1M2022-04-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.49254.4067-1.91%4.1073-8.57%0.0413✓0.616.3M2022-04-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.4452.4366-1.88%48.44-9.36%0.0172✓1.307.1M2022-04-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.159720.156732-1.87%0.14884-6.81%0.0124✓0.8218k2022-04-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.025070.024624-1.78%0.02334-6.90%0.0157✓0.794.7M2022-04-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.22140.217482-1.77%0.2075-6.28%0.0032✓1.05276k2022-04-13
IMXImmutableEthereum2.0311.9952-1.76%1.859-8.47%0.0215✓1.039.5M2022-04-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.753.6862-1.70%3.947+5.25%0.1257✗1.20434k2022-04-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0150660.014812-1.68%0.014887-1.19%0.0467✗0.8723k2022-04-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.838.6823-1.67%8.6-2.60%0.0252✗0.732.4M2022-04-13
ORCAOrcaSolana2.082.0452-1.67%1.91-8.17%0.0349✓0.70268k2022-04-13
APEApeCoinEthereum10.65410.4786-1.65%13.258+24.44%0.2832✗1.0064.6M2022-04-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.029280.0288-1.64%0.02812-3.96%0.0309✗1.14300k2022-04-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.78924.711-1.63%4.6431-3.05%0.0304✗0.94287k2022-04-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.27490.27043-1.63%0.2554-7.09%0.0048✓1.292.1M2022-04-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.077390.076132-1.63%0.07822+1.07%0.0768✗1.04121k2022-04-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,278.6042,586.58-1.60%41,343.10-4.47%0.0162✗0.9630k2022-04-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.6031.5775-1.59%1.551-3.24%0.0308✗1.001.4M2022-04-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.038580.037972-1.57%0.03819-1.01%0.0560✗1.054.1M2022-04-13
COMPCompoundEthereum134.27132.1632-1.57%150.02+11.73%0.1823✗1.1662k2022-04-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.011.9785-1.57%2.06+2.49%0.1041✗1.331.1M2022-04-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1550.152591-1.55%0.1421-8.32%0.0223✓1.02228k2022-04-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.82570.812942-1.55%0.779-5.66%0.0201✓0.47676k2022-04-13
SOLSolanaSolana112.94111.1983-1.54%104.95-7.07%0.0024✓1.26102.3M2022-04-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.525.4389-1.47%4.904-11.16%0.0848✓0.396.7M2022-04-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.82265.7373-1.46%5.7116-1.91%0.0182✗0.47165k2022-04-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.0883.0432-1.45%3.8567+24.89%0.2713✗0.723.6M2022-04-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.756.6525-1.45%6.089-9.79%0.0572✓0.652.0M2022-04-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.9226.5372-1.42%24.69-8.28%0.0188✓1.1137.0M2022-04-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6921.6681-1.41%2.303+36.11%0.3696✗0.983.6M2022-04-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.866360.85439-1.38%0.8421-2.80%0.0334✗1.00392k2022-04-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.703410.693727-1.38%0.76168+8.28%0.1465✗1.112.0M2022-04-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0228.6247-1.36%27.23-6.17%0.0065✓0.91690k2022-04-13
XMRMoneroMonero213.2210.2965-1.36%237.09+11.21%0.1630✗0.901.6M2022-04-13
XECeCashnative0.000097520.000096196-1.36%0.0000948-2.79%0.0321✗0.989.4M2022-04-13
XTZTezosTezos3.2993.2544-1.35%3.1756-3.74%0.0266✗1.071.1M2022-04-13
CELLCellframeEthereum1.3861.3674-1.35%1.0691-22.86%0.1800✓1.38223k2022-04-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24540.242242-1.29%0.1992-18.83%0.1477✓1.001.0M2022-04-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024360.000024047-1.29%0.00002695+10.63%0.1690✗1.152.6M2022-04-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,713.3521,437.21-1.27%19,412.32-10.60%0.0460✓1.116.5M2022-04-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5621.5422-1.27%1.4-10.37%0.0380✓1.233.7M2022-04-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.366.2798-1.26%6.07-4.56%0.0017✓0.751.0M2022-04-13
MANADecentralandEthereum2.33252.3031-1.26%2.2079-5.34%0.0129✗1.151.5M2022-04-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.0614.8705-1.26%15.34+1.86%0.0540✗0.483.8M2022-04-13
XEMNEMnative0.10350.102209-1.25%0.1026-0.87%0.0467✗0.8955k2022-04-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.5252.4939-1.23%2.284-9.54%0.0436✓0.93109k2022-04-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076840.075894-1.23%0.07883+2.59%0.0771✗0.8250k2022-04-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.038770.038297-1.22%0.03708-4.36%0.0005✓0.69962k2022-04-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.5622.2852-1.22%21.12-6.38%0.0105✓1.34306k2022-04-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24490.241926-1.21%0.2488+1.59%0.0759✗1.00473k2022-04-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012330.012182-1.20%0.01192-3.33%0.0102✓0.6726k2022-04-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4972.4676-1.18%2.297-8.01%0.0073✓1.349.4M2022-04-13
PROPropyEthereum1.481.4626-1.17%1.79+20.95%0.2502✗1.01166k2022-04-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.80e-78.70e-7-1.16%8.51e-7-3.26%0.0419✓-0.43811k2022-04-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.68360.675644-1.16%0.6049-11.51%0.0487✓1.29719k2022-04-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.099320.098165-1.16%0.09766-1.67%0.0354✗0.8527k2022-04-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.30050.297019-1.16%0.2984-0.70%0.0584✗1.12429k2022-04-13
UMAUMAEthereum6.8716.7929-1.14%6.559-4.54%0.0332✗1.424.7M2022-04-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.39070.386281-1.13%0.3628-7.14%0.0074✓1.4610.7M2022-04-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21010.207737-1.12%0.2-4.81%0.0191✗1.193.3M2022-04-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.52.472-1.12%2.32-7.20%0.0156✓1.00160k2022-04-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9233.8799-1.10%3.765-4.03%0.0002✓0.633.3M2022-04-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV89.1488.1681-1.09%86.78-2.65%0.0215✗0.782.9M2022-04-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.7621.524-1.08%19.4-10.85%0.0516✓1.098.8M2022-04-13
LSKLiskEthereum2.20522.1816-1.07%2.1716-1.52%0.0354✗0.83152k2022-04-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.136.0647-1.07%5.95-2.94%0.0153✗0.721.7M2022-04-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1433260.141867-1.02%0.139866-2.41%0.0268✗0.863.1M2022-04-13
ZENHorizenBase41.3140.8898-1.02%40.21-2.66%0.0467✗1.32515k2022-04-13
HIVEHivenative0.94220.932736-1.00%0.9418-0.04%0.0620✗1.092.2M2022-04-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.4315.2782-0.98%14.2-7.97%0.0204✓1.1026.4M2022-04-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013020.012893-0.98%0.01099-15.59%0.1029✓1.184.1M2022-04-13
DIADIAEthereum0.980.970475-0.97%0.9-8.16%0.0549✓0.43186k2022-04-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.54230.53708-0.96%0.4812-11.27%0.1038✓0.135,6342022-04-13
FTTFTXEthereum45.0344.5974-0.96%42.86-4.82%0.0103✗1.0414.3M2022-04-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.216.0463-0.95%14.57-10.06%0.0324✓1.342.9M2022-04-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.12190.120768-0.93%0.121-0.74%0.0591✗1.19989k2022-04-13
XLMStellarStellar0.2033530.201488-0.92%0.196528-3.36%0.0230✗1.0019.6M2022-04-13
STORJStorjEthereum1.11471.1045-0.92%1.1232+0.77%0.0708✗1.13161k2022-04-13
UOSUltraEthereum1.18051.1697-0.92%1.0848-8.11%0.0116✓1.331.4M2022-04-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.45380.44969-0.91%0.4461-1.70%0.0399✗1.00840k2022-04-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52480.520066-0.90%0.5319+1.35%0.0581✗0.74429k2022-04-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.763.7271-0.87%3.794+0.90%0.0551✗0.782.7M2022-04-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.8519.6774-0.87%18.19-8.36%0.0270✓1.0822.8M2022-04-13
QNTQuantEthereum124122.928-0.86%115.58-6.79%0.0176✓0.924.3M2022-04-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76660.76003-0.86%0.7464-2.64%0.0279✗0.9619.0M2022-04-13
XYMSymbolnative0.13090.129796-0.84%0.1216-7.10%0.0316✓0.70744k2022-04-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4760.472274-0.78%0.485+1.89%0.0798✗1.117.0M2022-04-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.7360.730284-0.78%0.6813-7.43%0.0204✓1.028.3M2022-04-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41250.409353-0.76%0.3838-6.96%0.0090✓1.1612.7M2022-04-13
UNIUniswapEthereum9.959.8755-0.75%9.66-2.91%0.0287✗1.068.6M2022-04-13
XVGVergenative0.011360.011286-0.65%0.01055-7.13%0.0112✓1.172.2M2022-04-13
SUSHISushiEthereum3.573.5471-0.64%3.34-6.44%0.0017✓1.227.6M2022-04-13
RADRadworksEthereum4.894.8586-0.64%4.74-3.07%0.0215✗0.96573k2022-04-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2591.2511-0.63%1.296+2.94%0.0794✗0.923.1M2022-04-13
GTGateEthereum6.60736.5663-0.62%6.5645-0.65%0.0282✗0.594.7M2022-04-13
CBKCobakEthereum2.3442.3295-0.62%2.332-0.51%0.0382✗0.7720k2022-04-13
KCSKuCoinnative19.67919.562-0.59%19.758+0.40%0.0525✗0.895.4M2022-04-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.22750.226257-0.55%0.2428+6.73%0.1274✗1.193.2M2022-04-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001970.000001959-0.54%0.00000192-2.54%0.0121✗0.6710.9M2022-04-13
SCSiacoinnative0.011050.010991-0.53%0.01071-3.08%0.0296✗1.16540k2022-04-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum18.7318.6332-0.52%16.97-9.40%0.0443✓1.0318.5M2022-04-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051780.051516-0.51%0.05107-1.37%0.0407✗1.03576k2022-04-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,166.7042,973.03-0.45%41,146.68-4.68%0.0045✗1.00643.4M2022-04-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25680.255697-0.43%0.2501-2.61%0.0198✗0.881.9M2022-04-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045480.045293-0.41%0.04471-1.69%0.0268✗0.8331k2022-04-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.1431.1393-0.33%1.099-3.85%0.0237✗1.2414.9M2022-04-13
QTUMQtumQtum6.9226.8999-0.32%6.7438-2.57%0.0323✗1.15220k2022-04-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.864.8446-0.32%5.091+4.75%0.0973✗0.9984k2022-04-13
KSMKusamaHydration174.43173.9473-0.28%160.8-7.81%0.0276✓1.061.0M2022-04-13
TRXTRONTron0.0630560.0629-0.25%0.061489-2.49%0.0081✗0.64331k2022-04-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.3875.3756-0.21%5.155-4.31%0.0202✗1.306.2M2022-04-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8180.816346-0.20%0.781-4.52%0.0003✓0.922.0M2022-04-13
ETHEthereumEthereum3,168.523,162.38-0.19%3,119.00-1.56%0.0377✗1.07491.5M2022-04-13
DASHDashDash113.64113.4302-0.18%105.27-7.37%0.0292✓0.952.9M2022-04-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche82.9982.8577-0.16%80.2-3.36%0.0294✗1.29108.4M2022-04-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.236.2214-0.14%5.77-7.38%0.0374✓0.791.9M2022-04-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.940.939031-0.10%0.882-6.17%0.0017✗1.343.0M2022-04-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4738.4558-0.04%38.53+0.16%0.0538✗1.0814.7M2022-04-13
XVSVenusEthereum11.3911.3859-0.04%10.24-10.10%0.0539✓1.094.4M2022-04-13
ZECZcashZcash160.99160.9496-0.03%152.73-5.13%0.0079✓0.9315.0M2022-04-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.68111.6686-0.01%110.58-0.98%0.0393✗1.0226.1M2022-04-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0278320.027841+0.03%0.028273+1.58%0.0529✓0.78194k2022-04-13
AAVEAaveEthereum191.3191.3924+0.05%178.19-6.85%0.0102✗1.2815.7M2022-04-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash331331.7306+0.22%341.13+3.06%0.0737✓0.968.6M2022-04-13
ADACardanoCardano1.05251.0555+0.28%0.9748-7.38%0.0313✗1.0163.5M2022-04-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.5265.548+0.40%4.63-16.21%0.1330✗1.002.5M2022-04-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2621.2835+1.71%1.257-0.40%0.0254✓0.971.5M2022-04-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.