8=======>

2022-03-31 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 161 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2314
161 of 161 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.08%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.1%
in alpha space · 84.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (161 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.8913.8856-0.03%14.44+3.96%0.0574✗0.393.0M2022-04-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.5149-0.23%6.22-4.75%0.0130✓0.711.6M2022-04-07
GTGateEthereum6.67526.6531-0.33%6.7969+1.82%0.0491✗0.594.4M2022-04-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.2731.1308-0.45%29.13-6.84%0.0246✓0.90665k2022-04-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum45,846.4045,604.68-0.53%43,248.70-5.67%0.0080✓0.9725k2022-04-07
XYMSymbolnative0.14610.145068-0.71%0.133-8.97%0.0522✓0.74630k2022-04-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013120.013004-0.88%0.01254-4.42%0.0050✓0.6710k2022-04-07
PROPropyEthereum1.571.5561-0.89%1.48-5.73%0.0027✓1.02185k2022-04-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.736.67-0.89%6.47-3.86%0.0030✓0.72878k2022-04-07
XMRMoneroMonero212.94210.9656-0.93%227.15+6.67%0.1178✗0.941.6M2022-04-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin123.87122.7007-0.94%114.17-7.83%0.0246✓1.0226.1M2022-04-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.04050.040107-0.97%0.03822-5.63%0.0166✓0.681.1M2022-04-07
DIADIAEthereum1.11.0886-1.04%0.99-10.00%0.0771✓0.38165k2022-04-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15790.156242-1.05%0.1561-1.14%0.0469✗1.02211k2022-04-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26950.266525-1.10%0.2638-2.12%0.0274✗0.811.7M2022-04-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.026950.026651-1.11%0.02535-5.94%0.0144✓0.763.1M2022-04-07
BTTCBTTC0.000002140.000002116-1.12%0.00000202-5.61%0.0160✓0.6511.5M2022-04-07
TRXTRONTron0.0737960.072959-1.13%0.064429-12.69%0.0953✓0.62289k2022-04-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.8345.7676-1.14%5.8648+0.53%0.0386✗0.47175k2022-04-07
CELLCellframeEthereum1.38681.3704-1.19%1.3314-3.99%0.0360✗1.39199k2022-04-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.6515.4623-1.20%14.97-4.35%0.0225✗1.17788k2022-04-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.054880.054221-1.20%0.05261-4.14%0.0183✗1.04576k2022-04-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1224.0713-1.23%4.208+2.09%0.0647✗0.682.7M2022-04-07
UMAUMAEthereum7.8037.7067-1.23%7.412-5.01%0.0199✗1.265.7M2022-04-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.593.3095-1.26%89.81-4.96%0.0021✓0.772.0M2022-04-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59660.589071-1.26%0.5461-8.46%0.0437✓0.69376k2022-04-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025860.000025534-1.26%0.00002481-4.06%0.0243✗1.142.2M2022-04-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.865770.854614-1.29%0.78912-8.85%0.0311✓1.04179k2022-04-07
XEMNEMnative0.11830.116774-1.29%0.1071-9.47%0.0480✓0.8338k2022-04-07
UOSUltraEthereum1.26491.2473-1.39%1.1742-7.18%0.0008✓1.311.4M2022-04-07
KCSKuCoinnative20.46520.1791-1.40%20.103-1.77%0.0370✗0.875.1M2022-04-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.032690.032231-1.40%0.027972-14.43%0.1041✓0.81185k2022-04-07
AAVEAaveEthereum207204.0803-1.41%202.16-2.34%0.0476✗1.229.7M2022-04-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08360.082406-1.43%0.1404+67.94%0.5772✗0.95176k2022-04-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.511.4881-1.45%1.431-5.23%0.0031✓0.902.8M2022-04-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1381120.136058-1.49%0.146052+5.75%0.1091✗0.822.6M2022-04-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.7751.7485-1.49%1.659-6.54%0.0078✓0.96887k2022-04-07
RADRadworksEthereum5.415.3287-1.50%5.08-6.10%0.0045✓0.93400k2022-04-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.787.6626-1.51%6.36-18.25%0.1517✓0.741.9M2022-04-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013610.013404-1.51%0.01286-5.51%0.0130✓1.173.3M2022-04-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2830.278698-1.52%0.291+2.83%0.0813✗0.8233k2022-04-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.46980.462567-1.54%0.4315-8.15%0.0167✓1.1310.7M2022-04-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash384.15378.1906-1.55%336.09-12.51%0.0739✓0.948.0M2022-04-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0295.9329-1.59%5.504-8.71%0.0290✓0.9987k2022-04-07
CBKCobakEthereum2.7562.7107-1.64%2.426-11.97%0.0753✓0.7618k2022-04-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.22374.1541-1.65%5.11+20.98%0.2366✗0.634.7M2022-04-07
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.6063-1.65%3.47+30.94%0.3331✗1.00644k2022-04-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,229.8021,861.16-1.66%21,290.05-4.23%0.0260✗1.125.9M2022-04-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.928.4154-1.68%27.67-4.26%0.0250✗1.1139.5M2022-04-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.682.6346-1.69%2.58-3.73%0.0245✗0.97142k2022-04-07
ETHEthereumEthereum3,283.083,226.65-1.72%3,227.56-1.69%0.0497✗1.06491.5M2022-04-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.163250.160437-1.72%0.15656-4.10%0.0144✓0.8315k2022-04-07
SOLSolanaSolana122.86120.7255-1.74%118.52-3.53%0.0392✗1.2389.9M2022-04-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.725.2528-1.74%23.55-8.37%0.0097✓1.29232k2022-04-07
QTUMQtumQtum8.28428.1399-1.74%7.2526-12.45%0.0632✓1.12143k2022-04-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.9150.899026-1.75%0.81-11.48%0.0628✓0.891.8M2022-04-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0418670.04113-1.76%0.039484-5.69%0.0043✓0.974.1M2022-04-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.1153.0597-1.77%4.07+30.66%0.3393✗1.16417k2022-04-07
HIVEHivenative1.21511.1934-1.78%0.9749-19.77%0.1529✓1.062.0M2022-04-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche97.4295.6812-1.78%87.58-10.10%0.0284✓1.29103.6M2022-04-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.85230.836932-1.80%0.7666-10.06%0.0407✓1.017.5M2022-04-07
SCSiacoinnative0.012070.011852-1.81%0.01165-3.48%0.0349✗1.12469k2022-04-07
NANOnanopayBase2.47962.4346-1.82%2.5085+1.16%0.0819✗1.11178k2022-04-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.0717.7397-1.83%16.58-8.25%0.0063✓1.313.1M2022-04-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.9316.6174-1.85%15.75-6.97%0.0067✓1.0026.1M2022-04-07
XECeCashnative0.000092850.000091123-1.86%0.00010257+10.47%0.1644✗0.996.6M2022-04-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,528.4544,681.66-1.86%43,452.18-4.56%0.0188✓1.00680.6M2022-04-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8913.8186-1.86%3.867-0.62%0.0493✗0.792.3M2022-04-07
ZENHorizenBase48.7547.8224-1.90%42.83-12.14%0.0502✓1.29508k2022-04-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.259.0734-1.91%8.82-4.65%0.0053✓0.722.9M2022-04-07
LSKLiskEthereum2.52042.4715-1.94%2.2942-8.97%0.0367✓0.81183k2022-04-07
XLMStellarStellar0.2284220.223983-1.94%0.212644-6.91%0.0066✓0.9718.7M2022-04-07
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8391.8031-1.95%1.793-2.50%0.0340✗0.8553k2022-04-07
COMPCompoundEthereum149.85146.9201-1.96%138.62-7.49%0.0066✓1.1059k2022-04-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.034080.033413-1.96%0.03001-11.94%0.0577✓1.06210k2022-04-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.36020.353021-1.99%0.3261-9.47%0.0274✓1.11320k2022-04-07
ORCAOrcaSolana2.32.2539-2.00%2.08-9.57%0.0487✓0.68246k2022-04-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0331.9921-2.01%1.761-13.38%0.0788✓0.953.0M2022-04-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.25410.248949-2.03%0.2295-9.68%0.0360✓0.97215k2022-04-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08520.08347-2.03%0.0808-5.16%0.0215✗1.16352k2022-04-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24570.240703-2.03%0.2488+1.26%0.0798✗1.001.2M2022-04-07
GITCOINGITCOIN7.1897.0415-2.05%6.842-4.83%0.0382✗1.4321k2022-04-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.6382.5835-2.07%2.538-3.79%0.0458✗1.369.1M2022-04-07
MANADecentralandEthereum2.60982.5557-2.08%2.4139-7.51%0.0043✓1.131.3M2022-04-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.92950.909885-2.11%0.799-14.04%0.0859✓0.9417.2M2022-04-07
MOVRMoonriverBase66.874965.4592-2.12%70.1008+4.82%0.1318✗1.36159k2022-04-07
STORJStorjEthereum1.33861.3102-2.12%1.1526-13.90%0.0765✓1.11125k2022-04-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2850.278911-2.14%0.255-10.53%0.0430✓1.00473k2022-04-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.242.1918-2.15%2.1-6.25%0.0164✓1.27903k2022-04-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.48685.3682-2.16%4.9841-9.16%0.0324✓0.90264k2022-04-07
AVTAventusEthereum2.682.6221-2.16%3.26+21.64%0.2369✗0.41376k2022-04-07
DASHDashDash127.13124.3693-2.17%116.82-8.11%0.0191✓0.932.2M2022-04-07
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2911.0443-2.18%10.45-7.44%0.0076✓1.026.3M2022-04-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum2120.5411-2.19%19.29-8.14%0.0176✓0.9716.5M2022-04-07
XVGVergenative0.013390.013097-2.19%0.01165-12.99%0.0646✓1.121.9M2022-04-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.27320.267219-2.19%0.3044+11.42%0.1896✗1.271.8M2022-04-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.40844.3117-2.19%5.2752+19.66%0.2278✗0.563.7M2022-04-07
FTTFTXEthereum48.8347.7552-2.20%45.55-6.72%0.0011✓1.0414.1M2022-04-07
DODODODOEthereum0.5180.50657-2.21%0.436-15.83%0.0988✓1.103.1M2022-04-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052710.051545-2.21%0.04823-8.50%0.0281✓0.8227k2022-04-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.55270.540304-2.24%0.4689-15.16%0.0951✓1.001.1M2022-04-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.12290.120132-2.25%0.1243+1.14%0.0906✗1.21648k2022-04-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana16.5216.1473-2.26%15.79-4.42%0.0014✓0.452.9M2022-04-07
KSMKusamaHydration188.49184.2216-2.26%181.6-3.66%0.0371✗1.10901k2022-04-07
QNTQuantEthereum137.61134.4919-2.27%127.48-7.36%0.0115✓0.904.1M2022-04-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020880.020403-2.28%0.01965-5.89%0.0084✓0.981.7M2022-04-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana8.1978.0086-2.30%6.919-15.59%0.1156✓0.661.5M2022-04-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0161060.015735-2.30%0.015383-4.49%0.0181✓0.8714k2022-04-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.25953.1837-2.32%3.3149+1.70%0.0766✗0.784.1M2022-04-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1740.169938-2.33%0.236+35.63%0.3518✗0.5025k2022-04-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.64060.625606-2.34%0.5393-15.81%0.1458✓0.065,0712022-04-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.035310.034471-2.38%0.03013-14.67%0.0637✓1.5252.9M2022-04-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.46740.456257-2.38%0.398-14.85%0.0780✓1.261.4M2022-04-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.9982.9265-2.39%2.606-13.08%0.0780✓0.8156k2022-04-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.1012.0506-2.40%1.34-36.22%0.3823✓0.921.3M2022-04-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.6396.479-2.41%5.461-17.74%0.1243✓1.002.9M2022-04-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.820.799993-2.44%0.76-7.32%0.0184✓1.49363k2022-04-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.091830.089585-2.45%0.0817-11.03%0.0559✓0.7825k2022-04-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.0015.8539-2.45%5.656-5.75%0.0107✓0.97102k2022-04-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.126030.122939-2.45%0.10332-18.02%0.1350✓0.8329k2022-04-07
SUSHISushiEthereum4.414.3017-2.46%3.64-17.46%0.1129✓1.166.9M2022-04-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.7527.0646-2.47%25.35-8.65%0.0047✓1.30740k2022-04-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.28320.276197-2.47%0.2407-15.01%0.0835✓1.163.0M2022-04-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.8186.6491-2.48%5.679-16.71%0.1014✓1.214.7M2022-04-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum65.8498-2.50%4.78-20.33%0.1368✓1.40661k2022-04-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.095010.09262-2.52%0.08153-14.19%0.0811✓1.00101k2022-04-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.58270.56796-2.53%0.4698-19.38%0.1054✓1.812.2M2022-04-07
XVSVenusEthereum11.8111.5099-2.54%11.96+1.27%0.0862✗1.023.2M2022-04-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.3520.8011-2.57%20.41-4.40%0.0308✗1.0719.8M2022-04-07
ADACardanoCardano1.14171.1121-2.59%1.0894-4.58%0.0253✓0.9963.3M2022-04-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7951.7484-2.59%1.665-7.24%0.0131✓1.33433k2022-04-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2121.1804-2.61%1.003-17.24%0.1012✓1.322.5M2022-04-07
XTZTezosTezos3.72553.6275-2.63%3.386-9.11%0.0196✓1.061.0M2022-04-07
ZECZcashZcash178.39173.6724-2.64%172.67-3.21%0.0379✗0.9415.7M2022-04-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.66760.649619-2.69%0.6647-0.43%0.0851✗1.33608k2022-04-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7738030.752952-2.69%0.749698-3.12%0.0452✗1.061.8M2022-04-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5941.551-2.70%1.619+1.57%0.1000✗1.223.9M2022-04-07
STXStacksnative1.441.401-2.71%1.3-9.72%0.0304✓0.95610k2022-04-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.0711.0419-2.72%0.906-15.41%0.1216✓0.39676k2022-04-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.49680.482967-2.78%0.4064-18.20%0.1030✓1.498.9M2022-04-07
IMXImmutableEthereum2.3522.2863-2.79%2.153-8.46%0.0152✓0.968.3M2022-04-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.19081.1572-2.82%1.1895-0.11%0.0851✗1.2315.1M2022-04-07
BANDBandEthereum4.8934.7548-2.82%4.414-9.79%0.0236✓1.09606k2022-04-07
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16191.1286-2.86%1.0182-12.37%0.0400✓1.35234k2022-04-07
LUNATerraTerra 2102.9699.9806-2.89%103.59+0.61%0.0978✗1.349.1M2022-04-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.4523.7301-2.94%22.48-8.06%0.0049✓1.056.6M2022-04-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.411.368-2.98%1.3-7.80%0.0001✓1.09603k2022-04-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.527.2911-3.04%7.043-6.34%0.0119✓1.00448k2022-04-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06840.066222-3.18%0.0585-14.47%0.0463✓1.6644.1M2022-04-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004310.004169-3.28%0.00515+19.49%0.2714✗1.295.7M2022-04-07
API3Api3Ethereum5.1955.0195-3.38%5.08-2.21%0.0387✗0.574.6M2022-04-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.72e-78.42e-7-3.41%8.60e-7-1.31%0.0035✓-0.391.1M2022-04-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.317.0597-3.42%6.83-6.57%0.0348✓1.45458k2022-04-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.88636.6483-3.46%6.5659-4.65%0.0379✗1.0823.4M2022-04-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative47.4845.8249-3.49%43.47-8.45%0.0045✓1.034.5M2022-04-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.5361.2881-3.53%54.78-13.77%0.0525✓1.285.1M2022-04-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.81482.7132-3.61%2.6688-5.19%0.0176✓0.7312k2022-04-07
APEApeCoinEthereum12.70212.2104-3.87%11.175-12.02%0.0419✓1.0083.2M2022-04-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.24170.232153-3.95%0.2206-8.73%0.0005✓1.102.4M2022-04-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.0615.7764-4.70%5.745-5.21%0.0138✓0.417.0M2022-04-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6090.577948-5.10%0.504-17.24%0.0866✓1.087.0M2022-04-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.