8=======>

2022-03-28 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 161 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0567
161 of 161 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.47%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
19.3%
in alpha space · 23.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.16%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (161 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7630.75943-0.47%0.91+19.27%0.1919✗0.941.8M2022-04-04
GTGateEthereum6.76486.7286-0.53%6.9821+3.21%0.0441✗0.614.2M2022-04-04
XYMSymbolnative0.14990.149064-0.56%0.145-3.27%0.0189✓0.75341k2022-04-04
AAVEAaveEthereum167.77166.5182-0.75%238.04+41.88%0.3716✗1.229.7M2022-04-04
RADRadworksEthereum5.055.0116-0.76%5.71+13.07%0.1415✗0.94460k2022-04-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.2766.227-0.78%6.661+6.13%0.0791✗1.001.8M2022-04-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056330.05588-0.80%0.0573+1.72%0.0373✗1.04541k2022-04-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.426.3662-0.84%6.6+2.80%0.0445✗0.721.7M2022-04-04
KCSKuCoinnative19.50619.3344-0.88%21.46+10.02%0.1144✗0.865.1M2022-04-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.8230.5483-0.88%31.39+1.85%0.0377✗0.90676k2022-04-04
TRXTRONTron0.0691680.068552-0.89%0.070771+2.32%0.0393✗0.64267k2022-04-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.27261.2608-0.93%1.31+2.94%0.0536✗1.311.4M2022-04-04
BTTCBTTC0.000002090.00000207-0.94%0.00000217+3.83%0.0549✗0.6712.5M2022-04-04
PROPropyEthereum1.641.6242-0.96%1.56-4.88%0.0285✓1.01203k2022-04-04
DIADIAEthereum1.051.0399-0.97%1.1+4.76%0.0609✗0.40165k2022-04-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0040.993845-1.01%1.191+18.63%0.1966✗1.342.4M2022-04-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.55410.548221-1.06%0.5392-2.69%0.0049✓1.001.3M2022-04-04
ETHEthereumEthereum3,334.473,298.08-1.09%3,520.66+5.58%0.0777✗1.06501.7M2022-04-04
XVSVenusEthereum10.7410.6221-1.10%12.4+15.46%0.1671✗1.052.9M2022-04-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0283.9837-1.10%4.132+2.58%0.0447✗0.702.6M2022-04-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27320.270147-1.12%0.2999+9.77%0.1138✗0.791.8M2022-04-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0430.042519-1.12%0.042473-1.23%0.0099✓0.944.1M2022-04-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum76.9213-1.12%7.06+0.86%0.0283✗0.73822k2022-04-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1423070.140602-1.20%0.148538+4.38%0.0645✗0.822.6M2022-04-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.048950.048363-1.20%0.0526+7.46%0.0939✗0.8424k2022-04-04
KSMKusamaHydration168.16166.0354-1.26%188.7+12.21%0.1409✗1.11772k2022-04-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.042190.041655-1.27%0.04233+0.33%0.0241✗0.681.1M2022-04-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV95.2894.0701-1.27%97.94+2.79%0.0493✗0.771.6M2022-04-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.1210.119461-1.27%0.1381+14.13%0.1594✗1.23583k2022-04-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1250.12339-1.29%0.231+84.80%0.6336✗0.5623k2022-04-04
COMPCompoundEthereum122.91121.3145-1.30%162.85+32.50%0.3073✗1.1054k2022-04-04
XEMNEMnative0.11270.111222-1.31%0.1182+4.88%0.0705✗0.8241k2022-04-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.6882.6521-1.34%2.687-0.04%0.0222✗0.7820k2022-04-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.027040.026666-1.38%0.02828+4.59%0.0677✗0.773.0M2022-04-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.84840.836433-1.41%0.8645+1.90%0.0446✗0.997.5M2022-04-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.722.6814-1.42%2.78+2.21%0.0475✗0.97146k2022-04-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013750.013552-1.44%0.01344-2.25%0.0004✓0.679,5812022-04-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.0613.017-1.44%5.054+65.11%0.5294✗1.15393k2022-04-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.14156.0531-1.44%6.0201-1.98%0.0001✓0.45179k2022-04-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3581.3384-1.44%1.498+10.31%0.1236✗0.942.9M2022-04-04
SUSHISushiEthereum3.813.754-1.47%4.35+14.17%0.1611✗1.186.5M2022-04-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112220.11057-1.47%0.11794+5.10%0.0748✗0.8829k2022-04-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.59125.7132-1.47%124.76-2.22%0.0041✓1.0025.9M2022-04-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.7160.705416-1.48%0.7033-1.77%0.0124✓1.32455k2022-04-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.3656.2706-1.48%5.61-11.86%0.0997✓0.9988k2022-04-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana76.8959-1.49%7.81+11.57%0.1331✗0.741.8M2022-04-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57530.566694-1.50%0.5981+3.96%0.0622✗0.71347k2022-04-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.3615.2803-1.50%6.952+29.68%0.2896✗1.243.5M2022-04-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026480.00002608-1.51%0.00002648+0.00%0.0284✗1.132.2M2022-04-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020250.019943-1.51%0.02182+7.75%0.1016✗1.001.5M2022-04-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26220.258218-1.52%0.2747+4.77%0.0736✗1.00387k2022-04-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43340.426805-1.52%0.4926+13.66%0.1566✗1.1310.2M2022-04-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.5513.3426-1.53%14.51+7.08%0.0886✗0.403.0M2022-04-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2680.263885-1.54%0.303+13.06%0.1477✗0.8128k2022-04-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.2370.233347-1.54%0.2893+22.07%0.2266✗1.001.2M2022-04-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.62230.61229-1.61%0.5891-5.34%0.0269✓1.004,7232022-04-04
HIVEHivenative1.161.1412-1.62%1.1142-3.95%0.0112✓1.092.0M2022-04-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.853.7875-1.62%4.077+5.90%0.0830✗0.802.2M2022-04-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.33530.329801-1.64%0.3603+7.46%0.1015✗1.12268k2022-04-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16950.166719-1.64%0.1673-1.30%0.0154✓1.02215k2022-04-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08240.081047-1.64%0.1369+66.14%0.5354✗0.96161k2022-04-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.6618.3527-1.65%19.82+6.22%0.0922✗1.302.8M2022-04-04
MANADecentralandEthereum2.67672.6326-1.65%2.6564-0.76%0.0222✗1.131.3M2022-04-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.345.252-1.65%5.66+5.99%0.0912✗1.40537k2022-04-04
UNIUniswapEthereum10.9110.7278-1.67%11.56+5.96%0.0869✗1.046.3M2022-04-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.168230.165414-1.67%0.17043+1.31%0.0395✗0.8215k2022-04-04
MINAMina Protocolnative2.592.5466-1.68%3.14+21.24%0.2215✗1.03409k2022-04-04
SCSiacoinnative0.011780.011582-1.68%0.01285+9.08%0.1170✗1.12441k2022-04-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.8892.8404-1.68%3.018+4.47%0.0704✗0.8353k2022-04-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.084790.083359-1.69%0.09202+8.53%0.1108✗1.0296k2022-04-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash368.1361.8785-1.69%376.11+2.18%0.0497✗0.958.0M2022-04-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,634.9046,822.27-1.71%45,644.70-4.18%0.0143✓0.9646k2022-04-04
STORJStorjEthereum1.29691.2744-1.73%1.3442+3.65%0.0663✗1.11124k2022-04-04
ZENHorizenBase47.6846.8516-1.74%49.04+2.85%0.0607✗1.29508k2022-04-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.5888.005-1.76%96.2+7.39%0.1041✗1.29103.6M2022-04-04
QTUMQtumQtum8.17798.034-1.76%8.2632+1.04%0.0411✗1.11111k2022-04-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.9922.584-1.77%27.39+19.14%0.2083✗1.31232k2022-04-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.22511.2033-1.78%1.283+4.73%0.0785✗1.2315.1M2022-04-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.5116.2152-1.79%17.51+6.06%0.0887✗1.0126.1M2022-04-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.033170.032572-1.80%0.03777+13.87%0.1611✗1.11210k2022-04-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,270.3421,867.83-1.81%23,870.88+7.19%0.1004✗1.095.7M2022-04-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,144.9246,290.62-1.81%46,596.83-1.16%0.0183✗1.00680.6M2022-04-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.90750.891046-1.81%0.8824-2.77%0.0013✓0.9516.8M2022-04-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.7921.3921-1.83%21.88+0.41%0.0339✗0.9714.8M2022-04-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.2580.253265-1.84%0.3024+17.21%0.1920✗1.261.8M2022-04-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.26310.258184-1.87%0.2571-2.28%0.0069✓0.95193k2022-04-04
FIDABonfidaSolana1.981.943-1.87%1.981+0.05%0.0292✗0.8449k2022-04-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.3557.2174-1.87%7.903+7.45%0.1025✗1.01454k2022-04-04
ADACardanoCardano1.16941.1472-1.90%1.2117+3.62%0.0663✗0.9962.5M2022-04-04
LSKLiskEthereum2.54542.4969-1.91%2.5447-0.03%0.0284✗0.81166k2022-04-04
XTZTezosTezos3.71383.6429-1.91%3.898+4.96%0.0800✗1.051.1M2022-04-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.7251.692-1.91%1.9+10.14%0.1272✗0.97780k2022-04-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.3628.7951-1.92%30.84+5.04%0.0812✗1.0839.0M2022-04-04
XVGVergenative0.012050.011817-1.94%0.01375+14.11%0.1652✗1.171.9M2022-04-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.94410.925747-1.94%1.002+6.13%0.0835✗0.37645k2022-04-04
DODODODOEthereum0.4840.474504-1.96%0.529+9.30%0.1216✗1.102.9M2022-04-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5852.5342-1.96%2.921+13.00%0.1576✗1.339.1M2022-04-04
XLMStellarStellar0.2297830.2252-1.99%0.232059+0.99%0.0414✗0.9717.7M2022-04-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6971860.683245-2.00%0.891871+27.92%0.2789✗1.061.8M2022-04-04
XMRMoneroMonero214.66210.3543-2.01%222.07+3.45%0.0650✗0.921.6M2022-04-04
DASHDashDash127.73125.1545-2.02%133.3+4.36%0.0738✗0.921.9M2022-04-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.7928.2027-2.04%27.93-2.99%0.0049✓1.25740k2022-04-04
NANOnanopayBase2.48532.4346-2.04%2.8835+16.02%0.1824✗1.13171k2022-04-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.15944.0745-2.04%5.4212+30.34%0.2922✗0.564.0M2022-04-04
SOLSolanaSolana105.84103.6557-2.06%132.16+24.87%0.2576✗1.2689.8M2022-04-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0148180.014509-2.09%0.016272+9.81%0.1252✗0.9013k2022-04-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.3726.2387-2.09%7.703+20.89%0.2192✗0.711.3M2022-04-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9351.8943-2.10%1.964+1.50%0.0474✗0.962.7M2022-04-04
ZECZcashZcash192.22188.1173-2.13%173.67-9.65%0.0690✓0.9315.7M2022-04-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013990.013687-2.17%0.01465+4.72%0.0819✗1.193.4M2022-04-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.9721.4934-2.17%22.91+4.28%0.0763✗1.0719.8M2022-04-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.25890.253238-2.19%0.2706+4.52%0.0798✗1.152.7M2022-04-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.871810.852683-2.19%0.88853+1.92%0.0534✗1.05125k2022-04-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5961.5607-2.21%1.856+16.29%0.1870✗1.183.6M2022-04-04
MOVRMoonriverBase66.393964.9012-2.25%84.1786+26.79%0.2759✗1.35159k2022-04-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.711.6713-2.26%1.778+3.98%0.0776✗1.34433k2022-04-04
APEApeCoinEthereum14.0213.7026-2.26%11.935-14.87%0.1264✓1.00101.2M2022-04-04
CELLCellframeEthereum1.5071.4729-2.26%1.519+0.80%0.0469✗1.37199k2022-04-04
GITCOINGITCOIN7.1426.9801-2.27%7.713+7.99%0.1164✗1.4223k2022-04-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.40310.393959-2.27%0.4753+17.91%0.2027✗1.281.2M2022-04-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.6415.2849-2.27%16.07+2.75%0.0638✗1.17688k2022-04-04
UMAUMAEthereum7.757.5733-2.28%8.133+4.94%0.0861✗1.266.1M2022-04-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.22164.1245-2.30%4.3923+4.04%0.0703✗0.635.5M2022-04-04
QNTQuantEthereum142.25138.9545-2.32%139.1-2.21%0.0116✓0.914.2M2022-04-04
XECeCashnative0.000093650.000091454-2.35%0.0001088+16.18%0.1852✗0.996.0M2022-04-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.528.3191-2.36%9.69+13.73%0.1612✗0.743.2M2022-04-04
FTTFTXEthereum51.7450.487-2.42%50.08-3.21%0.0040✓1.0414.1M2022-04-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative47.0845.9388-2.42%46.76-0.68%0.0297✗1.034.2M2022-04-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.38150.372155-2.45%0.4555+19.40%0.2190✗1.458.4M2022-04-04
STXStacksnative1.411.3754-2.46%1.45+2.84%0.0639✗0.95562k2022-04-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.34245.2106-2.47%5.8153+8.85%0.1204✗0.90254k2022-04-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17210.167822-2.49%0.2637+53.22%0.4652✗1.142.3M2022-04-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.088070.08588-2.49%0.0914+3.78%0.0716✗0.7919k2022-04-04
ORCAOrcaSolana2.292.2327-2.50%2.32+1.31%0.0463✗0.68205k2022-04-04
IMXImmutableEthereum2.682.6122-2.53%2.49-7.09%0.0369✓0.946.5M2022-04-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07940.077373-2.55%0.0901+13.48%0.1658✗1.16337k2022-04-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.4714.0975-2.57%17.25+19.21%0.2072✗0.462.8M2022-04-04
BANDBandEthereum4.314.1956-2.65%5.175+20.07%0.2227✗1.11582k2022-04-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.391.3522-2.72%1.55+11.51%0.1491✗1.08603k2022-04-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.22.1394-2.76%2.44+10.91%0.1462✗1.26903k2022-04-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum66.4464.5741-2.81%63.83-3.93%0.0036✓1.304.9M2022-04-04
AVTAventusEthereum2.762.6801-2.90%3.42+23.91%0.2486✗0.41341k2022-04-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.50480.489444-3.04%0.5738+13.67%0.1802✗1.812.2M2022-04-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.613.4998-3.05%3.202-11.30%0.0799✓0.774.6M2022-04-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5810.563192-3.07%0.572-1.55%0.0280✓1.075.1M2022-04-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.7511.6972-3.07%1.576-9.99%0.0629✓0.961.3M2022-04-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.034190.033095-3.20%0.03011-11.93%0.0768✓1.5149.3M2022-04-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011350.000001096-3.42%7.96e-7-29.86%0.3253✓-0.461.1M2022-04-04
LUNATerraTerra 297.2493.8853-3.45%116.42+19.72%0.2306✗1.328.8M2022-04-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.7342.6385-3.49%2.758+0.88%0.0531✗0.7514k2022-04-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin25.2924.406-3.50%25.24-0.20%0.0459✗1.056.6M2022-04-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.723155-3.58%0.84+12.00%0.1675✗1.51363k2022-04-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08050.077603-3.60%0.0678-15.78%0.1157✓1.6644.4M2022-04-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.377.0927-3.76%7.74+5.02%0.1042✗1.44447k2022-04-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004260.004094-3.91%0.00551+29.34%0.3120✗1.275.5M2022-04-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.5725.3529-3.93%6.786+21.79%0.2488✗0.9983k2022-04-04
API3Api3Ethereum5.555.3278-4.00%5.581+0.56%0.0529✗0.564.7M2022-04-04
LRCLoopringEthereum1.12831.0826-4.05%1.1437+1.36%0.0703✗1.32152k2022-04-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0390050.037388-4.15%0.030411-22.03%0.1967✓0.84187k2022-04-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.286.004-4.40%5.956-5.16%0.0032✓0.418.7M2022-04-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.70797.258-5.84%6.4594-16.20%0.1042✓1.0623.8M2022-04-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.