8=======>

2022-03-23 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1361
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.37%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
35.0%
in alpha space · 3.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+9.74%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ETHEthereumEthereum3,038.933,000.80-1.25%3,386.68+11.44%0.0227✗1.06501.7M2022-03-30
AAVEAaveEthereum156.07154.0112-1.32%223.52+43.22%0.2582✗1.239.2M2022-03-30
KCSKuCoinnative18.55918.3128-1.33%21.318+14.87%0.0705✗0.885.7M2022-03-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056520.055755-1.35%0.05567-1.50%0.0999✓1.06541k2022-03-30
UOSUltraEthereum1.13171.1159-1.39%1.3034+15.17%0.0370✗1.271.5M2022-03-30
XVSVenusEthereum9.489.3467-1.41%11.27+18.88%0.0909✗1.042.9M2022-03-30
TRXTRONTron0.0643780.063461-1.42%0.073058+13.48%0.0816✗0.64259k2022-03-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9560.94144-1.52%1.12+17.15%0.0484✗1.352.3M2022-03-30
DIADIAEthereum0.970.955094-1.54%1.07+10.31%0.0794✗0.37169k2022-03-30
PROPropyEthereum1.561.5357-1.56%1.69+8.33%0.0028✓1.00228k2022-03-30
RADRadworksEthereum4.934.8511-1.60%5.49+11.36%0.0427✗0.87567k2022-03-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1060.104276-1.63%0.151+42.45%0.3198✗0.5425k2022-03-30
GTGateEthereum6.51076.4019-1.67%6.7657+3.92%0.0039✓0.643.9M2022-03-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7390.726641-1.67%0.818+10.69%0.0309✗0.942.0M2022-03-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52160.512834-1.68%0.5854+12.23%0.0649✗0.73376k2022-03-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039280.038617-1.69%0.04133+5.22%0.0061✓0.66985k2022-03-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.7820.768462-1.73%0.892+14.07%0.0626✗0.937.1M2022-03-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.492.4461-1.76%2.77+11.24%0.0336✗0.98146k2022-03-30
CBKCobakEthereum2.2882.247-1.79%2.741+19.80%0.1259✗0.7819k2022-03-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.12980.127471-1.79%0.142853+10.06%0.0383✗0.812.6M2022-03-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.8829.3368-1.82%31.8+6.43%0.0035✓0.91710k2022-03-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7912.7391-1.86%3.313+18.70%0.0833✗1.15448k2022-03-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.716.5853-1.86%8.17+21.76%0.1457✗0.751.6M2022-03-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26960.264556-1.87%0.293+8.68%0.0252✗0.831.9M2022-03-30
BTTCBTTC0.000001890.000001854-1.88%0.00000212+12.17%0.0759✗0.6212.1M2022-03-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin122.51120.1907-1.89%131.12+7.03%0.0069✓1.0125.9M2022-03-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.025660.025168-1.92%0.03322+29.46%0.1756✗1.10189k2022-03-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.736.5973-1.97%6.85+1.78%0.0316✓0.74822k2022-03-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.041010.040201-1.97%0.043539+6.17%0.0082✓0.954.1M2022-03-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.09650.094593-1.98%0.1259+30.47%0.1714✗1.23522k2022-03-30
COMPCompoundEthereum115.23112.9423-1.99%156.18+35.54%0.2186✗1.1450k2022-03-30
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3251.2983-2.02%1.385+4.53%0.0257✓0.972.9M2022-03-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.042530.041667-2.03%0.05135+20.74%0.1311✗0.8423k2022-03-30
SCSiacoinnative0.01020.009992-2.04%0.01247+22.25%0.1198✗1.09441k2022-03-30
HIVEHivenative0.94390.924634-2.04%1.1817+25.19%0.1435✗1.102.0M2022-03-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012890.012627-2.04%0.01346+4.42%0.0008✓0.689,5442022-03-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.0221.5659-2.06%25.48+15.71%0.0440✗1.32232k2022-03-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,312.2041,434.37-2.07%47,057.40+11.21%0.0380✗0.9653k2022-03-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV90.888.9098-2.08%97.98+7.91%0.0266✗0.761.2M2022-03-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.04685.9199-2.10%6.0877+0.68%0.0105✓0.41179k2022-03-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0143.9296-2.10%4.213+4.96%0.0116✓0.621.1M2022-03-30
KSMKusamaHydration161.78158.3711-2.11%188.4+16.45%0.0693✗1.12719k2022-03-30
STORJStorjEthereum1.15911.1345-2.12%1.4172+22.27%0.1175✗1.13124k2022-03-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.77580.759104-2.15%1.0802+39.24%0.3216✗0.34620k2022-03-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,899.7141,973.18-2.16%47,078.03+9.74%0.0218✗1.00680.6M2022-03-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.1617.7675-2.16%19.25+6.00%0.0424✓1.322.7M2022-03-30
XVGVergenative0.010380.010153-2.19%0.01212+16.76%0.0713✗1.141.7M2022-03-30
ZENHorizenBase45.5344.5332-2.19%49.86+9.51%0.0086✓1.31361k2022-03-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.0184.1154-2.20%95.57+11.11%0.0080✓1.29118.0M2022-03-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.3662-2.21%6.66+2.30%0.0222✓0.721.5M2022-03-30
ZECZcashZcash181.99177.9626-2.21%192.01+5.51%0.0146✓0.9813.8M2022-03-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash364.09356.029-2.21%380.29+4.45%0.0233✓0.967.3M2022-03-30
MANADecentralandEthereum2.53772.4812-2.23%2.7035+6.53%0.0209✓1.151.3M2022-03-30
XYMSymbolnative0.14880.145469-2.24%0.1493+0.34%0.0474✓0.79301k2022-03-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.48610.475194-2.24%0.5635+15.92%0.0775✗1.001.3M2022-03-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,440.4419,980.97-2.25%24,045.64+17.64%0.0819✗1.115.9M2022-03-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.026760.026158-2.25%0.02759+3.10%0.0173✓0.762.8M2022-03-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.590.576601-2.27%0.68+15.25%0.0720✗1.004,8802022-03-30
LSKLiskEthereum2.25262.2015-2.27%2.6562+17.91%0.1143✗0.79147k2022-03-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0735.9346-2.28%6.258+3.05%0.0350✓0.9588k2022-03-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07760.075825-2.29%0.0871+12.24%0.0507✗0.95146k2022-03-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03511.0113-2.30%1.2858+24.22%0.1264✗1.225.6M2022-03-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.91643.8254-2.32%4.3201+10.31%0.0661✗0.603.8M2022-03-30
SUSHISushiEthereum3.693.6042-2.32%4.47+21.14%0.1100✗1.136.4M2022-03-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024450.000023881-2.33%0.00002736+11.90%0.0287✗1.152.3M2022-03-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0132670.012958-2.33%0.015574+17.39%0.0995✗0.9112k2022-03-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum18.9818.5303-2.37%21.81+14.91%0.0723✗0.9714.5M2022-03-30
XLMStellarStellar0.2094530.20448-2.37%0.234742+12.07%0.0474✗0.9817.0M2022-03-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.099040.096681-2.38%0.11481+15.92%0.0902✗0.8827k2022-03-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.8515.4703-2.40%17.23+8.71%0.0109✓1.0430.6M2022-03-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.42440.414113-2.42%0.4825+13.69%0.0461✗1.159.6M2022-03-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3852.3268-2.44%2.814+17.99%0.0663✗1.339.5M2022-03-30
XMRMoneroMonero197.42192.5185-2.48%221.39+12.14%0.0540✗0.921.7M2022-03-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076740.074828-2.49%0.08935+16.43%0.1037✗0.7911k2022-03-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011820.011523-2.51%0.01386+17.26%0.0715✗1.223.2M2022-03-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23650.230501-2.54%0.297+25.58%0.1605✗1.00368k2022-03-30
NANOnanopayBase2.27642.2182-2.56%2.5355+11.38%0.0287✗1.13142k2022-03-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2560.249439-2.56%0.291+13.67%0.0799✗0.8024k2022-03-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.9416.7617-2.58%7.786+12.17%0.0481✗1.00475k2022-03-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.4565.3146-2.59%7.08+29.77%0.2241✗0.671.0M2022-03-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.6141.5722-2.59%1.838+13.88%0.0654✗0.98644k2022-03-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01920.018701-2.60%0.02037+6.09%0.0087✓1.011.4M2022-03-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22910.223138-2.60%0.2563+11.87%0.0456✗1.001.6M2022-03-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.83910.817233-2.61%0.9268+10.45%0.0350✗0.9816.8M2022-03-30
DASHDashDash129.78126.3906-2.61%132.65+2.21%0.0414✓0.971.8M2022-03-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19184.0815-2.63%4.3+2.58%0.0085✓0.654.7M2022-03-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.2627.5137-2.64%30.02+6.23%0.0162✓1.1140.2M2022-03-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5381.4974-2.64%1.747+13.59%0.0412✗1.223.9M2022-03-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.4927.7368-2.64%30.69+7.72%0.0181✓1.28735k2022-03-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.21410.208385-2.67%0.3009+40.54%0.2615✗1.142.1M2022-03-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.0120.4472-2.68%22.46+6.90%0.0074✓1.0923.2M2022-03-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15460.150409-2.71%0.1668+7.89%0.0068✓1.04205k2022-03-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5331.4914-2.71%1.793+16.96%0.0607✗1.33451k2022-03-30
UMAUMAEthereum7.6157.4083-2.71%8.072+6.00%0.0352✓1.306.0M2022-03-30
XEMNEMnative0.10890.105932-2.73%0.1223+12.30%0.0666✗0.8340k2022-03-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.742.665-2.74%3.072+12.12%0.0492✗1.0052k2022-03-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.30770.299255-2.74%0.3732+21.29%0.1154✗1.13217k2022-03-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.0225.8538-2.79%7.835+30.11%0.1986✗1.00536k2022-03-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5898130.573235-2.81%0.818426+38.76%0.2598✗1.041.6M2022-03-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.835960.812462-2.81%0.89959+7.61%0.0019✓1.08118k2022-03-30
SOLSolanaSolana94.8792.1738-2.84%120.79+27.32%0.1536✗1.2689.9M2022-03-30
XTZTezosTezos3.45693.3586-2.84%3.8297+10.78%0.0300✗1.091.1M2022-03-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.22890.222375-2.85%0.2868+25.29%0.1379✗1.251.8M2022-03-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.268.0224-2.88%9.04+9.44%0.0538✗0.712.9M2022-03-30
ADACardanoCardano1.10871.0767-2.89%1.1906+7.39%0.0068✓1.0160.9M2022-03-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8073.6965-2.90%3.964+4.12%0.0009✓0.761.6M2022-03-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.24960.242312-2.92%0.2718+8.89%0.0219✓1.00180k2022-03-30
XECeCashnative0.000083580.000081126-2.94%0.00009555+14.32%0.0738✗0.975.2M2022-03-30
QNTQuantEthereum126.9123.1682-2.94%143.18+12.83%0.0664✗0.914.2M2022-03-30
FTTFTXEthereum46.1644.7987-2.95%51.17+10.85%0.0370✗1.0314.1M2022-03-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.385.2213-2.95%6.643+23.48%0.1225✗1.273.0M2022-03-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7011.6507-2.96%2.108+23.93%0.1524✗0.992.3M2022-03-30
DODODODOEthereum0.4530.439493-2.98%0.546+20.53%0.1144✗1.102.9M2022-03-30
UNIUniswapEthereum10.019.7114-2.98%11.74+17.28%0.0963✗1.006.1M2022-03-30
STXStacksnative1.341.2997-3.01%1.54+14.93%0.0829✗0.93481k2022-03-30
QTUMQtumQtum7.87487.6334-3.07%8.8728+12.67%0.0447✗1.1497k2022-03-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.794.6413-3.10%5.61+17.12%0.0584✗1.41396k2022-03-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076410.074025-3.12%0.09268+21.29%0.1275✗1.0560k2022-03-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.18273.0831-3.13%3.4679+8.96%0.0419✗0.824.0M2022-03-30
GITCOINGITCOIN7.1576.9325-3.14%7.714+7.78%0.0198✓1.3623k2022-03-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14250.138026-3.14%0.2226+56.21%0.3692✗1.172.1M2022-03-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana13.3112.8919-3.14%15.89+19.38%0.1652✗0.472.4M2022-03-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.3318.7223-3.14%25.9+33.99%0.2332✗0.986.0M2022-03-30
MOVRMoonriverBase62.429860.4426-3.18%69.3339+11.06%0.0120✓1.35154k2022-03-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.1712.7453-3.22%13.77+4.56%0.0390✗0.413.0M2022-03-30
ORCAOrcaSolana2.152.0806-3.23%2.38+10.70%0.0721✗0.67182k2022-03-30
AVTAventusEthereum2.42.3225-3.23%2.73+13.75%0.1256✗0.39312k2022-03-30
BANDBandEthereum4.0283.8938-3.33%4.904+21.75%0.1278✗1.11582k2022-03-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.38290.36997-3.38%0.4469+16.71%0.0679✗1.301.1M2022-03-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.20225.0258-3.39%5.69+9.38%0.0377✗0.93254k2022-03-30
IMXImmutableEthereum2.2652.1877-3.41%2.64+16.56%0.0979✗0.975.3M2022-03-30
LUNATerraTerra 294.8391.5293-3.48%105.96+11.74%0.0217✓1.349.2M2022-03-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.415.8251-3.51%16.49+0.55%0.0694✓1.19603k2022-03-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.37590.362199-3.64%0.4822+28.28%0.1489✗1.488.8M2022-03-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.12.0233-3.65%2.41+14.76%0.0558✗1.28906k2022-03-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.6331.5706-3.82%2.11+29.21%0.2025✗1.001.7M2022-03-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.70880.681608-3.84%0.6894-2.74%0.1107✓1.31447k2022-03-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.157220.151162-3.85%0.16978+7.99%0.0380✓0.8414k2022-03-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.70.672742-3.89%0.8+14.29%0.0305✓1.54413k2022-03-30
CELLCellframeEthereum1.4421.3849-3.96%1.47+1.94%0.0666✓1.36201k2022-03-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.296.0384-4.00%6.347+0.91%0.0059✓0.477.4M2022-03-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative45.1843.3682-4.01%49.64+9.87%0.0381✓1.043.9M2022-03-30
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8011.7287-4.02%1.937+7.55%0.0374✓0.8250k2022-03-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.47310.453607-4.12%0.5986+26.53%0.1056✗1.852.1M2022-03-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001160.000001112-4.13%9.33e-7-19.52%0.1336✓-0.451.5M2022-03-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum58.3955.8606-4.33%64.42+10.33%0.0246✓1.274.8M2022-03-30
MINAMina Protocolnative2.542.4272-4.44%2.66+4.72%0.0043✓1.03368k2022-03-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00430.004109-4.45%0.00461+7.21%0.0075✓1.325.3M2022-03-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07590.072492-4.49%0.0883+16.34%0.0883✗1.17308k2022-03-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.186.8535-4.55%7.88+9.75%0.0114✓1.38447k2022-03-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.164.9052-4.94%6.28+21.71%0.1599✗0.9493k2022-03-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.030870.029336-4.97%0.03562+15.39%0.1228✗0.77198k2022-03-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6520.619309-5.01%0.666+2.15%0.0333✓1.142.4M2022-03-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.391.3186-5.14%1.52+9.35%0.0427✓1.07553k2022-03-30
API3Api3Ethereum5.0844.8038-5.51%5.642+10.98%0.1027✗0.635.7M2022-03-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06550.061815-5.63%0.0808+23.36%0.1083✗1.7244.1M2022-03-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.46252.3086-6.25%2.6933+9.37%0.0845✗0.7513k2022-03-30
LRCLoopringEthereum1.17221.0917-6.87%1.2646+7.88%0.0215✓1.35111k2022-03-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.29657.7196-6.95%7.2345-12.80%0.1740✓1.1732.6M2022-03-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04440.040896-7.89%0.03793-14.57%0.2226✓1.5820.1M2022-03-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.