8=======>

2022-03-19 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1865
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.83%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.8%
in alpha space · 11.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.5120.583-8.56%15.9-29.36%0.3197✓1.16397k2022-03-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6980.638646-8.50%0.609-12.75%0.1109✓1.192.0M2022-03-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.13688.3651-8.45%8.1918-10.34%0.0741✓1.0049.7M2022-03-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.036020.033042-8.27%0.03654+1.44%0.0123✓1.6613.0M2022-03-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.036.5175-7.29%7.17+1.99%0.0220✓1.38447k2022-03-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum7.446.9069-7.16%6.089-18.16%0.1792✓1.00417k2022-03-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.20052.0658-6.12%2.658+20.79%0.2137✗0.7213k2022-03-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0660.062199-5.76%0.0794+20.30%0.1523✗1.7343.9M2022-03-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.9360.886552-5.28%1.0653+13.81%0.1119✗1.35100k2022-03-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5121.4342-5.14%1.694+12.04%0.1130✗1.001.3M2022-03-26
IMXImmutableEthereum2.0841.978-5.09%2.2+5.57%0.0538✗0.993.6M2022-03-26
API3Api3Ethereum5.024.7653-5.07%6.055+20.62%0.2060✗0.637.4M2022-03-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020610.019609-4.86%0.02062+0.05%0.0042✓1.021.3M2022-03-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011960.00000114-4.67%0.000001176-1.64%0.0552✗-0.451.7M2022-03-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.2615.0159-4.66%5.416+2.95%0.0273✓0.93102k2022-03-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.211.155-4.55%1.42+17.36%0.1524✗1.02522k2022-03-26
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7181.6433-4.35%1.883+9.60%0.0933✗0.8150k2022-03-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.631515-4.32%0.7+6.06%0.0229✓1.50511k2022-03-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35580.340853-4.20%0.3882+9.11%0.0597✗1.32907k2022-03-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9932.6057-4.07%47.21+38.89%0.3169✗1.003.8M2022-03-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0720.069105-4.02%0.0815+13.19%0.1018✗1.19352k2022-03-26
CELLCellframeEthereum1.50321.4428-4.02%1.3654-9.17%0.1310✓1.43236k2022-03-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44450.426967-3.94%0.4455+0.22%0.0595✓1.922.1M2022-03-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.154410.14849-3.83%0.16187+4.83%0.0404✗0.8614k2022-03-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.1712.6719-3.78%13.43+1.97%0.0359✓0.423.0M2022-03-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.0550.0961-3.75%66.96+28.65%0.2236✗1.254.8M2022-03-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8955.6738-3.75%6.444+9.31%0.1016✗0.484.5M2022-03-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.4792-3.67%5.28+13.55%0.0896✗1.41361k2022-03-26
GITCOINGITCOIN7.0166.7596-3.66%7.203+2.67%0.0087✓1.3625k2022-03-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.1734.9855-3.62%5.117-1.08%0.0423✓1.282.4M2022-03-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35410.341347-3.60%0.3714+4.89%0.0064✓1.4710.2M2022-03-26
BANDBandEthereum3.813.6761-3.51%4.192+10.03%0.0722✗1.11631k2022-03-26
LUNATerraTerra 292.188.8939-3.48%91.46-0.69%0.0454✓1.399.1M2022-03-26
ORCAOrcaSolana2.132.0568-3.44%2.29+7.51%0.0709✗0.69180k2022-03-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.8638-3.43%2.16+11.92%0.0790✗1.291.2M2022-03-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00360.003477-3.41%0.00426+18.33%0.1279✗1.415.2M2022-03-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13180.127361-3.37%0.1714+30.05%0.2341✗1.182.1M2022-03-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70924.5526-3.33%5.2377+11.22%0.0898✗0.95204k2022-03-26
STXStacksnative1.321.2767-3.28%1.36+3.03%0.0133✓0.94463k2022-03-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074650.072222-3.25%0.08581+14.95%0.1155✗1.0754k2022-03-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122330.011836-3.24%0.014424+17.91%0.1482✗0.9311k2022-03-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5881.5367-3.23%1.516-4.53%0.0813✓1.273.5M2022-03-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.6351.5828-3.19%1.628-0.43%0.0253✓1.00639k2022-03-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6391.5873-3.15%1.897+15.74%0.1255✗0.992.1M2022-03-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.32863.224-3.14%3.144-5.55%0.0682✓0.814.1M2022-03-26
XECeCashnative0.000083210.000080608-3.13%0.0000868+4.31%0.0233✓0.954.7M2022-03-26
MOVRMoonriverBase56.506254.7658-3.08%61.5671+8.96%0.0449✗1.36154k2022-03-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.4312.0494-3.06%14.26+14.72%0.1413✗0.511.5M2022-03-26
DODODODOEthereum0.4350.421689-3.06%0.445+2.30%0.0050✓1.112.8M2022-03-26
QNTQuantEthereum119.96116.308-3.04%141.25+17.75%0.1452✗0.924.4M2022-03-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.24930.241727-3.04%0.252+1.08%0.0116✓1.00180k2022-03-26
NANOnanopayBase2.27022.2025-2.98%2.5027+10.24%0.0669✗1.14127k2022-03-26
UMAUMAEthereum7.6897.4598-2.98%7.708+0.25%0.0362✓1.306.0M2022-03-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.21150.205236-2.96%0.2487+17.59%0.1234✗1.291.8M2022-03-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.6527.8024-2.96%28.8+0.52%0.0246✓1.1241.1M2022-03-26
FTTFTXEthereum44.9243.5917-2.96%49.92+11.13%0.0806✗1.0314.4M2022-03-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.29860.289776-2.96%0.3258+9.11%0.0567✗1.14183k2022-03-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.7126.8955-2.94%27.43-1.01%0.0485✓1.28735k2022-03-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.7132.6344-2.90%2.786+2.69%0.0028✓1.0052k2022-03-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.21140.205362-2.86%0.242+14.47%0.1027✗1.162.3M2022-03-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.097.8602-2.84%8.41+3.96%0.0300✗0.712.1M2022-03-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.2117.6939-2.83%19.43+6.70%0.0420✗0.976.1M2022-03-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.840220.816588-2.81%0.85828+2.15%0.0097✓1.12111k2022-03-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.22850.222097-2.80%0.2573+12.60%0.0939✗1.00352k2022-03-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.5930.576415-2.80%0.6343+6.96%0.0425✗1.005,0542022-03-26
MINAMina Protocolnative2.162.0996-2.80%2.55+18.06%0.1392✗1.04354k2022-03-26
SOLSolanaSolana92.3989.8748-2.72%101.79+10.17%0.0579✗1.2592.9M2022-03-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012140.01181-2.72%0.01356+11.70%0.0732✗1.223.1M2022-03-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5477940.533045-2.69%0.625849+14.25%0.1048✗1.051.7M2022-03-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7593.6578-2.69%4.072+8.33%0.0733✗0.64650k2022-03-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,673.7920,119.96-2.68%21,160.33+2.35%0.0067✓1.075.7M2022-03-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24180.235329-2.68%0.2212-8.52%0.1151✓1.001.8M2022-03-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.4218.9029-2.66%20.93+7.78%0.0447✗1.0824.4M2022-03-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19494.0833-2.66%4.2793+2.01%0.0119✓0.664.1M2022-03-26
XMRMoneroMonero197.76192.5023-2.66%207.22+4.78%0.0238✓0.941.7M2022-03-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76510.744905-2.64%0.9121+19.21%0.1491✗1.0016.8M2022-03-26
XTZTezosTezos3.25773.1725-2.62%3.6619+12.41%0.0854✗1.091.1M2022-03-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.096510.093987-2.61%0.10351+7.25%0.0498✗0.8829k2022-03-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1550.151006-2.58%0.1602+3.35%0.0039✓1.04215k2022-03-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41090.400362-2.56%0.4109+0.00%0.0373✓1.198.8M2022-03-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5236.356-2.56%7.172+9.95%0.0676✗1.00475k2022-03-26
UNIUniswapEthereum9.749.4916-2.55%10.64+9.24%0.0599✗1.026.1M2022-03-26
ADACardanoCardano0.9030.880231-2.52%1.153+27.69%0.2164✗1.0164.1M2022-03-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.511.4721-2.51%1.659+9.87%0.0471✗1.36498k2022-03-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2390.232999-2.51%0.26+8.79%0.0664✗0.8136k2022-03-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.073840.071986-2.51%0.08093+9.60%0.0747✗0.809,2172022-03-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07610.074202-2.49%0.079+3.81%0.0126✓0.94146k2022-03-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024160.000023557-2.49%0.00002445+1.20%0.0251✓1.172.5M2022-03-26
XLMStellarStellar0.200540.195577-2.47%0.215838+7.63%0.0457✗0.9918.9M2022-03-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.026950.026283-2.47%0.02636-2.19%0.0369✓0.752.7M2022-03-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0421970.041153-2.47%0.042043-0.36%0.0294✓0.954.6M2022-03-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.0114.6389-2.47%15.84+5.53%0.0223✓1.0636.5M2022-03-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2862.2309-2.41%2.41+5.42%0.0062✓1.349.5M2022-03-26
AVTAventusEthereum2.152.0985-2.40%2.46+14.42%0.1361✗0.43309k2022-03-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.48220.470697-2.39%0.526+9.08%0.0579✗1.001.6M2022-03-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.7793.6903-2.35%4.1754+10.49%0.0908✗0.613.8M2022-03-26
ZECZcashZcash179.68175.4958-2.33%204.96+14.07%0.1034✗0.9712.5M2022-03-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,269.5041,288.19-2.32%44,445.40+5.15%0.0226✓0.9652k2022-03-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6217.2127-2.31%19.44+10.33%0.0682✗1.0014.5M2022-03-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4316.0514-2.30%17.38+5.78%0.0106✓1.302.3M2022-03-26
COMPCompoundEthereum118.78116.0788-2.27%121.77+2.52%0.0138✓1.1646k2022-03-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.5887.5617-2.25%85.96-4.04%0.0883✓1.31119.2M2022-03-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.852.7861-2.24%2.775-2.63%0.0654✓1.15514k2022-03-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,232.2641,293.16-2.22%44,539.42+5.46%0.0225✗1.00688.5M2022-03-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.026980.026382-2.22%0.03025+12.12%0.0795✗1.08281k2022-03-26
LSKLiskEthereum2.17592.1279-2.21%2.3608+8.50%0.0613✗0.80123k2022-03-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041490.040576-2.20%0.04666+12.46%0.0949✗0.8424k2022-03-26
MANADecentralandEthereum2.5082.4529-2.19%2.6174+4.36%0.0028✓1.171.4M2022-03-26
ZENHorizenBase41.9941.0734-2.18%46.92+11.74%0.0635✗1.31261k2022-03-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8754.7693-2.17%5.974+22.54%0.1901✗0.66593k2022-03-26
XVGVergenative0.009670.009462-2.15%0.01105+14.27%0.0939✗1.151.6M2022-03-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.0545.9237-2.15%5.7949-4.28%0.0439✓0.41181k2022-03-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.01320.9941-2.14%362.07+10.38%0.0707✗0.946.6M2022-03-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.88040.861648-2.13%1.2208+38.66%0.2831✗1.234.4M2022-03-26
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2851.258-2.10%1.345+4.67%0.0143✓0.992.9M2022-03-26
SUSHISushiEthereum3.363.2898-2.09%3.64+8.33%0.0390✗1.176.0M2022-03-26
DASHDashDash103.03100.8944-2.07%128.04+24.27%0.1847✗1.011.7M2022-03-26
SCSiacoinnative0.009810.009607-2.07%0.01082+10.30%0.0603✗1.10441k2022-03-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5620.136-2.06%22.24+8.17%0.0291✗1.32246k2022-03-26
BTTCBTTC0.000001870.000001832-2.04%0.00000194+3.74%0.0243✗0.6212.5M2022-03-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.7660.750405-2.04%0.8796+14.83%0.1401✗0.35651k2022-03-26
KSMKusamaHydration146.84143.8569-2.03%164.65+12.13%0.0749✗1.13671k2022-03-26
HIVEHivenative0.93240.91373-2.00%1.0536+13.00%0.0828✗1.122.1M2022-03-26
STORJStorjEthereum1.09891.0775-1.94%1.2512+13.86%0.0878✗1.16128k2022-03-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012390.012149-1.94%0.01334+7.67%0.0559✗0.719,3002022-03-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin116.82114.551-1.94%124.85+6.87%0.0329✗1.0025.9M2022-03-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2845.1817-1.94%6.115+15.73%0.1151✗0.9578k2022-03-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.36.1783-1.93%6.99+10.95%0.0836✗0.75822k2022-03-26
QTUMQtumQtum6.35446.2329-1.91%8.2397+29.67%0.2189✗1.1397k2022-03-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.3381.7474-1.90%90.22+8.27%0.0584✗0.761.0M2022-03-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1236350.12129-1.90%0.136089+10.07%0.0720✗0.812.7M2022-03-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.110.107939-1.87%0.113+2.73%0.0175✓0.5334k2022-03-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51820.508598-1.85%0.5554+7.18%0.0482✗0.75399k2022-03-26
XEMNEMnative0.10110.099229-1.85%0.1088+7.62%0.0472✗0.8439k2022-03-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.426.3025-1.83%6.44+0.31%0.0162✓0.711.0M2022-03-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0628.5368-1.80%30.63+5.40%0.0223✗0.91821k2022-03-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75090.737505-1.78%0.8312+10.69%0.0671✗0.996.9M2022-03-26
AAVEAaveEthereum157.26154.4863-1.76%163.4+3.90%0.0121✓1.287.4M2022-03-26
GTGateEthereum6.32146.2101-1.76%6.4911+2.68%0.0100✓0.643.3M2022-03-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.08860.087059-1.74%0.132+48.98%0.3513✗1.22522k2022-03-26
CBKCobakEthereum2.2492.2104-1.72%2.469+9.78%0.0690✗0.7821k2022-03-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25360.249252-1.71%0.2689+6.03%0.0319✗0.832.3M2022-03-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.3202-1.71%6.98+8.55%0.0605✗0.731.6M2022-03-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45420.446463-1.70%0.6791+49.52%0.3514✗1.28433k2022-03-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.333.2733-1.70%3.756+12.79%0.0988✗0.73789k2022-03-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0194850.019157-1.68%0.037356+91.72%0.6249✗0.81167k2022-03-26
XYMSymbolnative0.1370.134769-1.63%0.1501+9.56%0.0661✗0.78296k2022-03-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.42.3618-1.59%2.6+8.33%0.0441✗0.98146k2022-03-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8630.849367-1.58%0.998+15.64%0.0906✗1.332.0M2022-03-26
XVSVenusEthereum9.148.9958-1.58%10.24+12.04%0.0743✗1.043.0M2022-03-26
DIADIAEthereum0.940.925277-1.57%1+6.38%0.0580✗0.37271k2022-03-26
PROPropyEthereum1.531.5067-1.52%1.62+5.88%0.0167✗1.05228k2022-03-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034530.034008-1.51%0.04136+19.78%0.1572✗0.72895k2022-03-26
TRXTRONTron0.0619210.060991-1.50%0.066368+7.18%0.0505✗0.64259k2022-03-26
UOSUltraEthereum1.15651.1393-1.49%1.1526-0.33%0.0572✓1.292.1M2022-03-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6540.644734-1.42%0.729+11.47%0.0746✗0.912.1M2022-03-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051480.050781-1.36%0.05491+6.66%0.0202✗1.09459k2022-03-26
KCSKuCoinnative18.63118.379-1.35%18.766+0.72%0.0270✓0.906.5M2022-03-26
RADRadworksEthereum4.694.6294-1.29%5.18+10.45%0.0656✗0.88521k2022-03-26
ETHEthereumEthereum2,952.162,915.55-1.24%3,146.22+6.57%0.0207✗1.04501.7M2022-03-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.