8=======>

2022-03-17 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 159 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1719
159 of 159 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
20.8%
in alpha space · 4.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+7.48%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (159 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.0648.1368-10.23%7.8304-13.61%0.1105✓1.0056.6M2022-03-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.024010.022518-6.22%0.04032+67.93%0.4690✗1.5713.0M2022-03-24
NANOnanopayBase2.5992.4584-5.41%2.3244-10.57%0.1410✓1.18119k2022-03-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06030.057079-5.34%0.066+9.45%0.0213✓1.7242.5M2022-03-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4110.390013-5.11%0.618+50.36%0.3805✗1.111.9M2022-03-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.05151.9473-5.08%2.402+17.09%0.1586✗0.7114k2022-03-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000012110.000001153-4.79%0.000001091-9.90%0.0247✓-0.421.7M2022-03-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.1855.8914-4.75%6.349+2.65%0.0394✓0.493.7M2022-03-24
CELLCellframeEthereum1.52511.4616-4.16%1.3853-9.17%0.1553✓1.41272k2022-03-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.28380.272729-3.90%0.3142+10.71%0.0596✗1.14183k2022-03-24
MINAMina Protocolnative2.132.0478-3.86%2.58+21.13%0.1564✗1.04343k2022-03-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.852720.820182-3.82%0.85665+0.46%0.0380✓1.13111k2022-03-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.0412.5434-3.81%13.33+2.22%0.0305✓0.423.0M2022-03-24
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5781.5184-3.78%2.162+37.01%0.2845✗0.953.4M2022-03-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.42350.407618-3.75%0.4337+2.41%0.0763✓1.922.1M2022-03-24
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6541.5933-3.67%1.908+15.36%0.1221✗0.8150k2022-03-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.7624.589-3.63%5.286+11.00%0.0747✗0.92103k2022-03-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1311.0921-3.44%1.697+50.04%0.3724✗0.951.0M2022-03-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.33894.1918-3.39%4.1695-3.90%0.0532✓0.663.4M2022-03-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.512.0854-3.32%13.53+8.24%0.0757✗0.521.2M2022-03-24
LUNATerraTerra 286.8483.9634-3.31%93.83+8.05%0.0099✓1.408.8M2022-03-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.22750.219965-3.31%0.2515+10.55%0.0619✗1.00180k2022-03-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.635.4443-3.30%7.49+33.04%0.2215✗1.35458k2022-03-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.147730.142863-3.29%0.16172+9.47%0.0625✗0.8514k2022-03-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.5552.4726-3.23%2.866+12.17%0.0755✗1.0052k2022-03-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.3148.6944-3.21%70.34+39.81%0.2774✗1.254.9M2022-03-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.811.7522-3.19%2.11+16.57%0.0932✗1.281.3M2022-03-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.257.9896-3.16%8.28+0.36%0.0157✓0.711.6M2022-03-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011020.010679-3.09%0.01238+12.34%0.0603✗1.213.1M2022-03-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21930.212803-2.96%0.2423+10.49%0.0577✗1.00285k2022-03-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.1123.0201-2.95%3.1236+0.37%0.0244✓0.814.6M2022-03-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7523.6415-2.95%3.938+4.96%0.0319✗0.64538k2022-03-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072310.07019-2.93%0.07971+10.23%0.0502✗1.0759k2022-03-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0116030.011263-2.93%0.013705+18.12%0.1293✗0.9311k2022-03-24
STXStacksnative1.271.2328-2.93%1.38+8.66%0.0455✗0.93444k2022-03-24
BANDBandEthereum3.5293.4259-2.92%4.119+16.72%0.1045✗1.11631k2022-03-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.60.582487-2.92%0.7+16.67%0.0763✗1.49511k2022-03-24
UMAUMAEthereum7.7387.5129-2.91%7.907+2.18%0.0426✓1.306.0M2022-03-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20890.202823-2.91%0.2239+7.18%0.0268✓1.001.8M2022-03-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.134.0103-2.90%4.74+14.77%0.0663✗1.40341k2022-03-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.1727.3563-2.89%29.27+3.90%0.0145✓1.1442.9M2022-03-24
FTTFTXEthereum43.0641.8232-2.87%49.47+14.89%0.0930✗1.0414.9M2022-03-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4831.4407-2.85%1.629+9.84%0.0512✗0.99639k2022-03-24
XECeCashnative0.000078450.000076217-2.85%0.00008405+7.14%0.0295✗0.954.5M2022-03-24
ORCAOrcaSolana2.062.002-2.81%2.29+11.17%0.0858✗0.67192k2022-03-24
QNTQuantEthereum114.23111.0313-2.80%136.28+19.30%0.1384✗0.924.5M2022-03-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.3994.2759-2.80%5.282+20.07%0.1203✗1.262.4M2022-03-24
GITCOINGITCOIN5.6125.4549-2.80%7.452+32.79%0.2160✗1.3325k2022-03-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.21050.20461-2.80%0.2208+4.89%0.0077✓1.162.3M2022-03-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2390.232336-2.79%0.26+8.79%0.0532✗0.8236k2022-03-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.120.116677-2.77%0.1431+19.25%0.1191✗1.182.3M2022-03-24
XMRMoneroMonero187.84182.6721-2.75%203.77+8.48%0.0422✗0.931.7M2022-03-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.32250.313662-2.74%0.3633+12.65%0.0418✗1.4610.3M2022-03-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.1394.0259-2.73%5.2272+26.29%0.1937✗0.93204k2022-03-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.40950.398311-2.73%0.44+7.45%0.0134✓1.198.8M2022-03-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.31790.309395-2.68%0.3888+22.30%0.1337✗1.31866k2022-03-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.061.032-2.64%1.55+46.23%0.3338✗1.01525k2022-03-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0720.070105-2.63%0.07771+7.93%0.0455✗0.809,6122022-03-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,412.7218,906.48-2.61%21,219.97+9.31%0.0394✗1.055.5M2022-03-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5151.4755-2.61%1.713+13.07%0.0782✗0.981.8M2022-03-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06830.066547-2.57%0.084+22.99%0.1477✗1.18363k2022-03-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.2116.0522-2.56%7.169+15.42%0.0972✗1.00475k2022-03-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094180.091776-2.55%0.10347+9.86%0.0565✗0.8830k2022-03-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7518.2744-2.54%21.25+13.33%0.0731✗1.0825.1M2022-03-24
SOLSolanaSolana87.8885.6695-2.52%102.38+16.50%0.0878✗1.2596.2M2022-03-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.80063.7058-2.50%3.9044+2.73%0.0078✓0.623.9M2022-03-24
DODODODOEthereum0.3890.379461-2.45%0.458+17.74%0.1089✗1.102.8M2022-03-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.923.8245-2.44%5.846+49.13%0.3522✗1.00368k2022-03-24
AAVEAaveEthereum155.68151.9126-2.42%168.07+7.96%0.0083✓1.297.3M2022-03-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74170.723873-2.40%0.8916+20.21%0.1359✗1.0017.7M2022-03-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1896950.185152-2.39%0.215105+13.40%0.0785✗0.9919.3M2022-03-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.51160.499462-2.37%0.6067+18.59%0.1224✗1.004,8972022-03-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003450.003368-2.36%0.00439+27.25%0.1611✗1.445.2M2022-03-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.1526.5086-2.36%48.64+79.15%0.5364✗0.983.9M2022-03-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15080.147242-2.36%0.1577+4.58%0.0063✓1.04229k2022-03-24
API3Api3Ethereum4.5954.4867-2.36%5.14+11.86%0.0911✗0.627.0M2022-03-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5163240.504191-2.35%0.590761+14.42%0.0833✗1.041.8M2022-03-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8334.7201-2.34%5.478+13.35%0.1010✗0.66537k2022-03-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.20230.197603-2.32%0.234+15.67%0.0759✗1.291.8M2022-03-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.4114.0787-2.30%16.17+12.21%0.0615✗1.0739.3M2022-03-24
UNIUniswapEthereum9.239.0198-2.28%10.79+16.90%0.1057✗1.026.1M2022-03-24
ADACardanoCardano0.83650.817459-2.28%1.1314+35.25%0.2527✗1.0065.1M2022-03-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07110.069494-2.26%0.0793+11.53%0.0641✗0.94150k2022-03-24
XTZTezosTezos3.08433.015-2.25%3.5281+14.39%0.0786✗1.091.1M2022-03-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78930.771596-2.24%1.098+39.11%0.2653✗1.213.8M2022-03-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,887.4039,982.38-2.21%44,010.90+7.64%0.0269✗0.9652k2022-03-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.23956.1014-2.21%6.0183-3.55%0.0437✓0.42184k2022-03-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040270.039385-2.20%0.04349+8.00%0.0381✗0.8525k2022-03-24
AVTAventusEthereum2.122.0738-2.18%2.62+23.58%0.2028✗0.43309k2022-03-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.4417.0605-2.18%19.64+12.61%0.0709✗0.976.3M2022-03-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.386.2412-2.18%6.52+2.19%0.0078✓0.71764k2022-03-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4081.3775-2.17%1.684+19.60%0.1027✗1.36529k2022-03-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.70710.691822-2.16%1.0824+53.08%0.3525✗1.3293k2022-03-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2831.2554-2.15%1.58+23.15%0.1397✗1.253.0M2022-03-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.0714.7465-2.15%18.14+20.37%0.1140✗1.292.3M2022-03-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.6924.1635-2.13%27.96+13.24%0.0543✗1.27735k2022-03-24
LSKLiskEthereum2.09432.0497-2.13%2.2754+8.65%0.0464✗0.81123k2022-03-24
COMPCompoundEthereum111.36108.9913-2.13%119.41+7.23%0.0087✓1.1548k2022-03-24
XVGVergenative0.009130.008936-2.12%0.01065+16.65%0.0924✗1.151.6M2022-03-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.1512.8748-2.09%15.84+20.46%0.1276✗1.10357k2022-03-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.024760.024245-2.08%0.02649+6.99%0.0129✓1.05293k2022-03-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.1145.0076-2.08%6.323+23.64%0.1650✗0.9576k2022-03-24
DASHDashDash96.4294.4188-2.08%130.02+34.85%0.2477✗1.001.7M2022-03-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016840.016491-2.07%0.02128+26.37%0.1829✗1.001.3M2022-03-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.025020.024502-2.07%0.02695+7.71%0.0418✗0.742.7M2022-03-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1080.105766-2.07%0.115+6.48%0.0452✗0.5339k2022-03-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3893.319-2.06%3.765+11.09%0.0731✗0.73494k2022-03-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,950.3340,105.86-2.06%44,012.29+7.48%0.0208✓1.00700.4M2022-03-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.5616.2188-2.06%19.43+17.33%0.1084✗1.0014.5M2022-03-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1292.0854-2.05%2.383+11.93%0.0371✗1.349.5M2022-03-24
SCSiacoinnative0.008860.00868-2.03%0.01029+16.14%0.0913✗1.09441k2022-03-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.566.4269-2.03%6.72+2.44%0.0085✓0.74954k2022-03-24
STORJStorjEthereum1.05931.0378-2.03%1.1819+11.57%0.0466✗1.16116k2022-03-24
MANADecentralandEthereum2.43892.39-2.01%2.6959+10.54%0.0350✗1.181.7M2022-03-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50580.495659-2.00%0.5368+6.13%0.0255✗0.75452k2022-03-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0397840.038994-1.99%0.042036+5.66%0.0065✓0.955.0M2022-03-24
HIVEHivenative0.91690.898732-1.98%1.0248+11.77%0.0501✗1.132.0M2022-03-24
ZECZcashZcash153.41150.3762-1.98%193.05+25.84%0.1808✗0.9610.3M2022-03-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.1518.7717-1.98%21.78+13.73%0.0535✗1.32270k2022-03-24
MOVRMoonriverBase50.13849.1481-1.97%62.4871+24.63%0.1434✗1.34159k2022-03-24
BTTCBTTC0.000001820.000001784-1.97%0.00000199+9.34%0.0647✗0.6212.6M2022-03-24
ZENHorizenBase38.7237.9609-1.96%45.37+17.17%0.0848✗1.30244k2022-03-24
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1761.153-1.95%1.352+14.97%0.0887✗0.982.9M2022-03-24
QTUMQtumQtum5.93755.8225-1.94%7.8674+32.50%0.2197✗1.13102k2022-03-24
SUSHISushiEthereum3.173.1086-1.94%3.67+15.77%0.0821✗1.166.1M2022-03-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche79.4777.9464-1.92%87.61+10.24%0.0228✗1.31120.2M2022-03-24
XEMNEMnative0.09820.096325-1.91%0.1091+11.10%0.0636✗0.8539k2022-03-24
XYMSymbolnative0.13490.132351-1.89%0.1426+5.71%0.0180✓0.78296k2022-03-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022210.000021794-1.87%0.00002469+11.17%0.0406✗1.172.8M2022-03-24
KSMKusamaHydration133.2130.7499-1.84%162.8+22.22%0.1388✗1.12664k2022-03-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.927.389-1.83%29.71+6.49%0.0158✓0.91836k2022-03-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.055.943-1.77%6.84+13.06%0.0875✗0.74830k2022-03-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash296.36291.1185-1.77%366.47+23.66%0.1633✗0.936.5M2022-03-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1164260.11437-1.77%0.136967+17.64%0.1220✗0.812.8M2022-03-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.26108.3162-1.76%126.52+14.75%0.0834✗1.0025.9M2022-03-24
DIADIAEthereum0.930.913784-1.74%1.01+8.60%0.0736✗0.37279k2022-03-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71590.703423-1.74%0.8052+12.47%0.0641✗0.997.2M2022-03-24
GTGateEthereum6.30866.1994-1.73%6.4925+2.92%0.0005✓0.653.2M2022-03-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24460.240396-1.72%0.2687+9.85%0.0518✗0.832.2M2022-03-24
CBKCobakEthereum2.1482.1112-1.72%2.363+10.01%0.0564✗0.7821k2022-03-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV77.9176.5738-1.72%91.06+16.88%0.1191✗0.751.0M2022-03-24
XVSVenusEthereum8.778.6215-1.69%10.44+19.04%0.1167✗1.043.1M2022-03-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.71640.704435-1.67%0.7956+11.06%0.0974✗0.34749k2022-03-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011990.011792-1.65%0.01336+11.43%0.0741✗0.709,5442022-03-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.312.2725-1.62%2.59+12.12%0.0605✗0.97154k2022-03-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6390.628647-1.62%0.726+13.62%0.0780✗0.922.2M2022-03-24
UOSUltraEthereum1.16071.1429-1.54%1.153-0.67%0.0852✓1.302.1M2022-03-24
PROPropyEthereum1.451.4277-1.54%1.59+9.66%0.0319✗1.05217k2022-03-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034580.034051-1.53%0.04032+16.60%0.1169✗0.72853k2022-03-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.08570.08439-1.53%0.1068+24.62%0.1476✗1.22494k2022-03-24
TRXTRONTron0.0607880.059888-1.48%0.065663+8.02%0.0461✗0.64281k2022-03-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7940.782783-1.41%0.953+20.03%0.1015✗1.322.0M2022-03-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4042.3719-1.34%2.846+18.39%0.1004✗1.13534k2022-03-24
KCSKuCoinnative18.16217.923-1.32%18.833+3.69%0.0153✓0.907.3M2022-03-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.40960.404348-1.28%0.6697+63.50%0.4129✗1.27416k2022-03-24
ETHEthereumEthereum2,814.672,780.39-1.22%3,112.52+10.58%0.0378✗1.04501.7M2022-03-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049740.049153-1.18%0.05648+13.55%0.0605✗1.09459k2022-03-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0165490.01637-1.08%0.03772+127.93%0.7787✗0.78167k2022-03-24
RADRadworksEthereum4.344.2987-0.95%5.02+15.67%0.0919✗0.88521k2022-03-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.