8=======>

2022-03-04 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1245
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.93%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.8%
in alpha space · 67.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.11%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum9.2168.747-5.09%7.075-23.23%0.1971✓1.352.0M2022-03-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.518.0946-4.88%7.84-7.87%0.0232✓0.78480k2022-03-11
AVTAventusEthereum2.722.5977-4.50%2.19-19.49%0.1596✓1.00443k2022-03-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.178-4.19%5.761+73.68%0.6007✗0.52955k2022-03-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.37e-77.06e-7-4.17%0.000001164+57.99%0.5111✗1.001.0M2022-03-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.416.6755-4.16%13.84-20.46%0.1797✓0.602.8M2022-03-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05660.054305-4.06%0.0576+1.77%0.0782✗1.7366.8M2022-03-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.6382-3.45%8.8928+225.43%1.2263✗1.0012.7M2022-03-11
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7991.7373-3.43%1.662-7.62%0.0343✓0.8968k2022-03-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4380.423969-3.20%0.3924-10.41%0.0545✓2.052.3M2022-03-11
API3Api3Ethereum6.3116.1166-3.08%4.776-24.32%0.2409✓0.587.0M2022-03-11
LUNATerraTerra 283.4981.0744-2.89%88.28+5.74%0.1008✗1.405.0M2022-03-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3710.0843-2.75%10.59+2.12%0.0555✗0.59984k2022-03-11
PROPropyEthereum1.761.712-2.73%1.51-14.20%0.1127✓1.15411k2022-03-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.50672.4421-2.58%2.5749+2.72%0.0620✗0.812.9M2022-03-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02770.027004-2.51%0.02301-16.93%0.1466✓1.21503k2022-03-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.78155.8038-2.49%170.68+6.82%0.1022✗0.991.4M2022-03-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.5129.7546-2.48%27.47-9.96%0.0667✓1.1952.8M2022-03-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.6827.9699-2.48%27.91-2.68%0.0083✓0.941.5M2022-03-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52920.516221-2.45%0.5009-5.35%0.0210✓0.82545k2022-03-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.721.6783-2.42%1.64-4.65%0.0083✓1.321.9M2022-03-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.093.0156-2.41%2.42-21.68%0.2076✓1.11660k2022-03-11
BANDBandEthereum3.723.6331-2.34%3.44-7.53%0.0412✓1.201.7M2022-03-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,859.0119,396.79-2.33%18,538.11-6.65%0.0345✓0.975.8M2022-03-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.276.1248-2.32%6.28+0.16%0.0342✗0.82518k2022-03-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0441480.04313-2.31%0.040059-9.26%0.0623✓1.048.1M2022-03-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.03041.9839-2.29%2.0529+1.11%0.0424✗0.7325k2022-03-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.90911.8657-2.27%2.1155+10.81%0.1364✗0.9682k2022-03-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.234568-2.26%0.226-5.83%0.0284✓0.7966k2022-03-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06790.066367-2.26%0.06831+0.60%0.0391✗0.9213k2022-03-11
CELLCellframeEthereum1.42431.3921-2.26%1.4867+4.38%0.0801✗1.29293k2022-03-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011110.010863-2.22%0.01151+3.60%0.0728✗1.342.9M2022-03-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73040.71441-2.19%0.6706-8.19%0.0488✓1.292.7M2022-03-11
FTTFTXEthereum40.539.6164-2.18%40.81+0.77%0.0419✗1.1019.7M2022-03-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,591.9038,781.03-2.05%38,852.80-1.87%0.0126✓0.9659k2022-03-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2614.9521-2.02%13.72-10.09%0.0707✓1.372.4M2022-03-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.2117.8427-2.02%17.81-2.20%0.0134✓1.37325k2022-03-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.825.7029-2.01%5.57-4.30%0.0083✓1.37829k2022-03-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00932.9489-2.01%3.707+23.18%0.2371✗0.742.4M2022-03-11
MOVRMoonriverBase60.232759.0512-1.96%48.7591-19.05%0.1763✓1.37223k2022-03-11
STXStacksnative1.111.0883-1.96%1.36+22.52%0.2359✗1.17517k2022-03-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0391.0189-1.93%0.959-7.70%0.0495✓0.991.2M2022-03-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.01772.9596-1.93%3.4608+14.68%0.1647✗0.743.6M2022-03-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6217.2835-1.91%16.01-9.14%0.0643✓1.1019.5M2022-03-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017610.017275-1.90%0.01714-2.67%0.0039✓1.052.2M2022-03-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.19520.191531-1.88%0.1931-1.08%0.0222✗1.262.7M2022-03-11
MINAMina Protocolnative2.021.9825-1.86%1.75-13.37%0.1123✓1.12354k2022-03-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4131.3868-1.86%1.464+3.61%0.0662✗1.081.8M2022-03-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.26230.257443-1.85%0.2585-1.45%0.0178✓1.23284k2022-03-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3461.3211-1.85%1.157-14.04%0.1190✓1.222.4M2022-03-11
QNTQuantEthereum118.5116.3335-1.83%113.22-4.46%0.0158✓1.016.3M2022-03-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4384.358-1.80%4.326-2.52%0.0014✓0.78463k2022-03-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.650.638327-1.80%0.59-9.23%0.0600✓1.68988k2022-03-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34640.340202-1.79%0.3152-9.01%0.0583✓1.6214.3M2022-03-11
DIADIAEthereum0.970.952663-1.79%0.93-4.12%0.0204✓0.33277k2022-03-11
RADRadworksEthereum5.074.9842-1.69%4.44-12.43%0.1046✓0.98862k2022-03-11
DODODODOEthereum0.4120.405045-1.69%0.385-6.55%0.0376✓1.184.1M2022-03-11
HIVEHivenative0.90480.889655-1.67%0.8661-4.28%0.0134✓1.212.1M2022-03-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.02660.026158-1.66%0.02468-7.22%0.0495✓0.774.0M2022-03-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8832.8355-1.65%2.741-4.93%0.0246✓0.83276k2022-03-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.1835-1.64%2.16-2.70%0.0003✓1.00242k2022-03-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.654010.64337-1.63%0.65584+0.28%0.0339✗1.32180k2022-03-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.96783.9039-1.61%4.0628+2.39%0.0520✗1.09244k2022-03-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.78170.769184-1.60%0.7156-8.46%0.0688✓0.311.2M2022-03-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.53795.4495-1.60%5.8362+5.39%0.0728✗0.38300k2022-03-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034510.033959-1.60%0.04078+18.17%0.1914✗0.751.1M2022-03-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3481.3267-1.58%1.321-2.00%0.0072✓1.03917k2022-03-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2522.2164-1.58%1.97-12.52%0.1020✓1.4312.7M2022-03-11
ORCAOrcaSolana2.362.3227-1.58%2.09-11.44%0.0971✓0.76393k2022-03-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.8218.5235-1.58%17.37-7.70%0.0529✓1.029.1M2022-03-11
SCSiacoinnative0.008470.008337-1.57%0.00879+3.78%0.0660✗1.17546k2022-03-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.2956-1.57%5.49+2.04%0.0452✗0.82584k2022-03-11
QTUMQtumQtum5.92545.8326-1.57%5.8755-0.84%0.0214✗1.26226k2022-03-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.103362-1.56%0.111+5.71%0.0779✗0.6044k2022-03-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06920.068121-1.56%0.0661-4.48%0.0163✓1.241.0M2022-03-11
UOSUltraEthereum1.25761.238-1.55%1.1514-8.44%0.0570✓1.393.1M2022-03-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11690.115089-1.55%0.1144-2.14%0.0075✓1.213.2M2022-03-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.088930.087552-1.55%0.09115+2.50%0.0511✗0.9742k2022-03-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001802-1.55%0.00000178-2.73%0.0050✓0.6413.7M2022-03-11
XEMNEMnative0.0960.094519-1.54%0.0935-2.60%0.0009✓0.8940k2022-03-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3581.3372-1.53%1.307-3.76%0.0062✓1.49797k2022-03-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.7413.5299-1.53%13.05-5.02%0.0232✓1.1550.1M2022-03-11
XVGVergenative0.009440.009297-1.52%0.00939-0.53%0.0232✗1.181.4M2022-03-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.350.344889-1.46%0.2924-16.46%0.1497✓1.381.2M2022-03-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8772.8351-1.46%2.869-0.28%0.0208✗0.80457k2022-03-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.8622.528-1.45%22.89+0.13%0.0311✗1.351.4M2022-03-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.690.680018-1.45%0.636-7.83%0.0562✓0.962.6M2022-03-11
ZECZcashZcash117.05115.3574-1.45%153.51+31.15%0.2980✗1.107.4M2022-03-11
MANADecentralandEthereum2.47812.4423-1.44%2.3033-7.05%0.0444✓1.273.1M2022-03-11
XLMStellarStellar0.176060.173518-1.44%0.183591+4.28%0.0682✗1.0519.8M2022-03-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1141.098-1.43%1.113-0.09%0.0252✗1.053.0M2022-03-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012110.011937-1.43%0.01186-2.06%0.0020✓0.7613k2022-03-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06710.066148-1.42%0.0696+3.73%0.0619✗0.99159k2022-03-11
XECeCashnative0.000070610.000069615-1.41%0.0000731+3.53%0.0605✗1.054.5M2022-03-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14720.145127-1.41%0.1489+1.15%0.0370✗1.01330k2022-03-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2740.270144-1.41%0.262-4.38%0.0167✓1.252.1M2022-03-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.749.0089-1.39%45.9-7.65%0.0510✓1.306.3M2022-03-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76050.749944-1.39%0.7014-7.77%0.0544✓1.1219.7M2022-03-11
XTZTezosTezos3.07893.0365-1.38%2.9889-2.92%0.0019✓1.241.7M2022-03-11
ZENHorizenBase33.6133.1498-1.37%37.86+12.65%0.1486✗1.41280k2022-03-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.3812.2115-1.36%12.74+2.91%0.0546✗1.10312k2022-03-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,166.5138,633.49-1.36%38,732.04-1.11%0.0137✓1.00706.4M2022-03-11
COMPCompoundEthereum108.79107.3121-1.36%102.07-6.18%0.0370✓1.1757k2022-03-11
DASHDashDash89.5988.3753-1.36%94.95+5.98%0.0837✗1.071.5M2022-03-11
ADACardanoCardano0.8450.833625-1.35%0.7884-6.70%0.0436✓1.0992.2M2022-03-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.6327.2581-1.35%26.5-4.09%0.0166✓1.045.2M2022-03-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.053.9964-1.32%3.82-5.68%0.0286✓1.48458k2022-03-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.73540.725674-1.32%0.6978-5.11%0.0229✓1.45227k2022-03-11
SUSHISushiEthereum3.043.0002-1.31%2.89-4.93%0.0240✓1.206.5M2022-03-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.710.700804-1.30%0.7111+0.15%0.0260✗1.029.6M2022-03-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037810.037325-1.28%0.03906+3.31%0.0556✗0.9129k2022-03-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.8274.8578-1.27%71.25-6.03%0.0339✓1.39123.1M2022-03-11
XYMSymbolnative0.14050.138747-1.25%0.1335-4.98%0.0295✓0.81299k2022-03-11
GTGateEthereum6.68186.5989-1.24%6.328-5.29%0.0342✓0.692.8M2022-03-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0113910.011251-1.23%0.011862+4.13%0.0640✗1.0013k2022-03-11
CBKCobakEthereum2.1342.1083-1.20%2.114-0.94%0.0120✓0.8423k2022-03-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos54.9402-1.20%4.594-8.12%0.0619✓0.96166k2022-03-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.974.9109-1.19%4.778-3.86%0.0169✓0.9472k2022-03-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.064380.063616-1.19%0.07118+10.56%0.1254✗1.1760k2022-03-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.08510.084094-1.18%0.0787-7.52%0.0496✓1.50592k2022-03-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1223920.120964-1.17%0.11539-5.72%0.0371✓0.903.7M2022-03-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.340.336044-1.16%0.3189-6.21%0.0378✓1.318.7M2022-03-11
NANOnanopayBase1.75291.7326-1.16%1.6874-3.74%0.0140✓1.12171k2022-03-11
TRXTRONTron0.0582640.057589-1.16%0.060203+3.33%0.0526✗0.74307k2022-03-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2350.2323-1.15%0.2186-6.98%0.0508✓0.902.0M2022-03-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023530.000023263-1.13%0.00002206-6.25%0.0393✓1.243.9M2022-03-11
SOLSolanaSolana88.3287.3203-1.13%80.7-8.63%0.0646✓1.27121.6M2022-03-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.2090.206663-1.12%0.1962-6.12%0.0357✓1.452.5M2022-03-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.16.0319-1.12%5.85-4.10%0.0220✓0.781.1M2022-03-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.150630.148962-1.11%0.15536+3.14%0.0524✗0.9321k2022-03-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.7916.6041-1.11%17.7+5.42%0.0770✗1.1726.4M2022-03-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.949430.939162-1.08%0.96652+1.80%0.0428✗1.27162k2022-03-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0040.003957-1.07%0.00353-11.75%0.0962✓1.616.6M2022-03-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.047350.046848-1.06%0.0472-0.32%0.0203✗1.15605k2022-03-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.171.1579-1.03%1.06-9.40%0.0772✓1.00770k2022-03-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4951140.490146-1.00%0.48841-1.35%0.0085✓1.082.8M2022-03-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV79.3678.5794-0.98%78.04-1.66%0.0022✓0.82908k2022-03-11
KCSKuCoinnative18.23818.0658-0.94%18.17-0.37%0.0169✗1.009.1M2022-03-11
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8515.7965-0.93%5.556-5.04%0.0273✓1.3525k2022-03-11
KSMKusamaHydration120.67119.6039-0.88%124.19+2.92%0.0502✗1.12910k2022-03-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6183.5895-0.79%4.165+15.12%0.1622✗1.212.1M2022-03-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0185940.018448-0.78%0.01489-19.92%0.2049✓0.84143k2022-03-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45040.44717-0.72%0.4152-7.82%0.0585✓1.40452k2022-03-11
ETHEthereumEthereum2,623.072,604.43-0.71%2,556.42-2.54%0.0065✓1.08561.7M2022-03-11
AAVEAaveEthereum124.3123.5984-0.56%116.61-6.19%0.0437✓1.307.2M2022-03-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.780.776088-0.50%0.807+3.46%0.0530✗1.252.4M2022-03-11
UNIUniswapEthereum8.818.7721-0.43%8.51-3.41%0.0179✓1.129.2M2022-03-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash290.67289.747-0.32%287.73-1.01%0.0035✗0.947.3M2022-03-11
XVSVenusEthereum8.588.5583-0.25%8.54-0.47%0.0111✗1.183.6M2022-03-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.321.3168-0.24%1.705+29.17%0.2700✗1.043.4M2022-03-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin101.05100.9225-0.13%104.55+3.46%0.0472✗1.0729.3M2022-03-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014430.014558+0.89%0.0143-0.90%0.0015✓1.4712.7M2022-03-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.