8=======>

2022-03-03 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2168
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.03%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.6%
in alpha space · 86.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.14%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum9.5989.0384-5.83%7.407-22.83%0.0958✓1.401.9M2022-03-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06370.060111-5.63%0.0588-7.69%0.1079✗1.7568.8M2022-03-10
PROPropyEthereum1.921.8298-4.70%1.6-16.67%0.0484✓1.16411k2022-03-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.47220.450366-4.62%0.4126-12.62%0.0615✗2.012.2M2022-03-10
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9761.8862-4.54%1.676-15.18%0.0547✓0.8676k2022-03-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.88e-76.59e-7-4.16%0.000001307+90.00%0.7583✗1.001.0M2022-03-10
API3Api3Ethereum7.3157.0118-4.14%5.224-28.59%0.2576✓0.505.7M2022-03-10
CELLCellframeEthereum1.64971.5855-3.89%1.4191-13.98%0.0182✓1.25293k2022-03-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.012.8956-3.80%6.6334+120.38%0.9030✗1.0014.1M2022-03-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2730.263047-3.65%0.23-15.75%0.0730✓0.8366k2022-03-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.0842.9802-3.37%2.532-17.90%0.0711✓1.24612k2022-03-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80580.778728-3.36%0.6973-13.46%0.0098✓1.362.7M2022-03-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.851.7887-3.32%1.67-9.73%0.0335✓1.382.0M2022-03-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5451.4953-3.22%1.201-22.27%0.1312✓1.192.3M2022-03-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.346.1372-3.20%5.7-10.09%0.0290✓1.39909k2022-03-10
BANDBandEthereum3.9623.8354-3.19%3.473-12.34%0.0033✓1.301.7M2022-03-10
LSKLiskEthereum2.10752.0404-3.18%2.1814+3.51%0.1415✗1.0179k2022-03-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,698.8621,013.25-3.16%19,059.42-12.16%0.0252✓0.986.1M2022-03-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.7732.6857-3.15%2.7676-0.19%0.0936✗0.862.9M2022-03-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36870.357216-3.11%0.3311-10.20%0.0474✗1.6714.6M2022-03-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02830.02743-3.07%0.02397-15.30%0.0374✓1.32503k2022-03-10
LUNATerraTerra 290.5687.7916-3.06%101.21+11.76%0.2475✗1.425.0M2022-03-10
MOVRMoonriverBase66.587864.5892-3.00%51.3064-22.95%0.1281✓1.38231k2022-03-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0469370.04553-3.00%0.040695-13.30%0.0350✓1.048.1M2022-03-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018770.018222-2.92%0.01703-9.27%0.0141✓1.102.2M2022-03-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.9719.3889-2.91%16.62-16.78%0.0700✓1.1420.0M2022-03-10
XMRMoneroMonero172.04167.1201-2.86%178.98+4.03%0.1424✗1.001.3M2022-03-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.4215.9513-2.85%13.72-16.44%0.0981✓0.712.6M2022-03-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011990.011654-2.80%0.01209+0.83%0.1383✗1.372.9M2022-03-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.0133.0701-2.76%28.05-17.52%0.0747✓1.2150.3M2022-03-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8650.841271-2.74%0.7483-13.49%0.0990✓0.241.2M2022-03-10
STXStacksnative1.211.1771-2.72%1.51+24.79%0.3371✗1.19552k2022-03-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.637.4226-2.72%7.54-1.18%0.0847✗0.93480k2022-03-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.7719.2613-2.57%18.43-6.78%0.0628✗1.44325k2022-03-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.0529.3068-2.47%27.97-6.92%0.0234✓0.951.5M2022-03-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.70234-2.45%0.61-15.28%0.0145✓1.71988k2022-03-10
ORCAOrcaSolana2.462.3998-2.45%2.11-14.23%0.0685✓0.81402k2022-03-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1761.1475-2.43%0.979-16.75%0.0814✓1.051.3M2022-03-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.241.21-2.42%1.12-9.68%0.0007✓1.03782k2022-03-10
FTTFTXEthereum44.8643.7795-2.41%40.75-9.16%0.0074✓1.0720.8M2022-03-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07250.070755-2.41%0.0702-3.17%0.0654✗0.9914k2022-03-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55010.536915-2.40%0.5014-8.85%0.0029✓0.88561k2022-03-10
RADRadworksEthereum5.515.3802-2.36%4.46-19.06%0.1150✓0.98828k2022-03-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5082.4492-2.34%2.046-18.42%0.0723✓1.4513.2M2022-03-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,572.6041,617.74-2.24%39,505.90-7.20%0.0199✓0.9759k2022-03-10
DODODODOEthereum0.4480.438013-2.23%0.386-13.84%0.0312✓1.294.2M2022-03-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12210.119416-2.20%0.1198-1.88%0.0993✗1.303.2M2022-03-10
MINAMina Protocolnative2.041.9957-2.17%1.79-12.25%0.0215✓1.18354k2022-03-10
AVTAventusEthereum2.382.3286-2.16%2.29-3.78%0.0573✗1.00443k2022-03-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.8914.5722-2.13%13.18-11.48%0.0131✓1.1850.4M2022-03-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5231.4905-2.13%1.536+0.85%0.1161✗1.162.0M2022-03-10
XVGVergenative0.010010.009798-2.12%0.00985-1.60%0.0979✗1.251.4M2022-03-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.28240.276474-2.10%0.2624-7.08%0.0434✗1.29284k2022-03-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4791.4481-2.09%1.33-10.07%0.0212✗1.44797k2022-03-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0119530.011706-2.07%0.011453-4.18%0.0549✗1.0414k2022-03-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.1319.7187-2.04%17.9-11.08%0.0148✓1.119.1M2022-03-10
SUSHISushiEthereum3.33.2333-2.02%2.98-9.70%0.0113✓1.256.6M2022-03-10
QNTQuantEthereum127.04124.4848-2.01%116.66-8.17%0.0063✓0.966.3M2022-03-10
XTZTezosTezos3.39373.3255-2.01%3.0579-9.89%0.0109✓1.281.8M2022-03-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4371.4082-2.01%1.374-4.38%0.0564✗1.09931k2022-03-10
COMPCompoundEthereum116.89114.5761-1.98%103.46-11.49%0.0113✓1.2364k2022-03-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1180.115678-1.97%0.107-9.32%0.0387✓0.5344k2022-03-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.079.8727-1.96%10.26+1.89%0.0867✗0.65928k2022-03-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.71130.69739-1.96%0.68631-3.51%0.0839✗1.35200k2022-03-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.424.3337-1.95%4.08-7.69%0.0495✗1.48471k2022-03-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.336.2093-1.91%6.06-4.27%0.0416✗0.89486k2022-03-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.382.3346-1.91%2.2-7.56%0.0143✓1.00254k2022-03-10
MANADecentralandEthereum2.63682.5869-1.90%2.3707-10.09%0.0001✓1.183.2M2022-03-10
HIVEHivenative0.97960.961076-1.89%0.928-5.27%0.0499✗1.152.1M2022-03-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.1824.706-1.88%24.22-3.81%0.0807✗1.361.4M2022-03-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.28992.2468-1.88%2.155-5.89%0.0087✓0.6826k2022-03-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07250.071139-1.88%0.0684-5.66%0.0573✗1.301.0M2022-03-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.027530.027017-1.86%0.02578-6.36%0.0098✓0.774.0M2022-03-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95192.897-1.86%2.8775-2.52%0.0586✗0.882.4M2022-03-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.2529.6886-1.86%26.7-11.74%0.0271✓1.075.3M2022-03-10
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001865-1.85%0.00000181-4.74%0.0195✗0.6713.5M2022-03-10
DIADIAEthereum1.051.0307-1.84%0.91-13.33%0.1061✓0.25279k2022-03-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2950.289574-1.84%0.266-9.83%0.0127✓1.322.2M2022-03-10
SCSiacoinnative0.009020.008854-1.84%0.00902+0.00%0.1102✗1.24563k2022-03-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8732.8205-1.83%3.236+12.63%0.1964✗0.80864k2022-03-10
QTUMQtumQtum6.39226.278-1.79%6.006-6.04%0.0544✗1.33257k2022-03-10
UOSUltraEthereum1.40911.3839-1.79%1.1927-15.36%0.0502✓1.333.1M2022-03-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.3152.3593-1.78%46.78-12.25%0.0161✓1.306.5M2022-03-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202580.0199-1.77%0.015274-24.60%0.2012✓0.86135k2022-03-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004560.004479-1.77%0.00366-19.74%0.0818✓1.627.7M2022-03-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034350.033745-1.76%0.04023+17.12%0.2393✗0.861.1M2022-03-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.0950.093334-1.75%0.0821-13.58%0.0180✓1.49613k2022-03-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.3213.0875-1.75%12.75-4.28%0.0600✗1.16312k2022-03-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75960.746361-1.74%0.732-3.63%0.0617✗1.109.7M2022-03-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9412.8899-1.74%2.69-8.53%0.0077✓0.86457k2022-03-10
XEMNEMnative0.10290.101114-1.74%0.0965-6.22%0.0254✗0.9740k2022-03-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3810.374389-1.74%0.2987-21.60%0.1176✓1.461.3M2022-03-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8083.7422-1.73%4.473+17.46%0.2709✗1.252.1M2022-03-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36470.358457-1.71%0.3255-10.75%0.0046✓1.378.7M2022-03-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.26364.1917-1.69%4.2989+0.83%0.1095✗1.14244k2022-03-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.952.9005-1.68%2.8703-2.70%0.0538✗0.873.6M2022-03-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7140.70213-1.66%0.618-13.45%0.0495✓1.062.6M2022-03-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.19710.193845-1.65%0.1964-0.36%0.1133✗1.352.7M2022-03-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.78640.773428-1.65%0.7156-9.00%0.0284✗1.43238k2022-03-10
XECeCashnative0.000074490.000073275-1.63%0.00008054+8.12%0.1754✗1.094.5M2022-03-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.62065.5293-1.62%5.8363+3.84%0.0769✗0.31335k2022-03-10
ZENHorizenBase38.1837.5635-1.61%42.28+10.74%0.2243✗1.43280k2022-03-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.314.0694-1.61%14-2.10%0.1030✗1.462.2M2022-03-10
ZECZcashZcash129.17127.0906-1.61%157.3+21.78%0.2940✗1.097.4M2022-03-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.461.4366-1.60%1.512+3.56%0.1282✗1.043.4M2022-03-10
CBKCobakEthereum2.2122.1767-1.60%2.141-3.21%0.0520✗0.9326k2022-03-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,464.4141,790.11-1.59%39,433.71-7.14%0.0160✗1.00645.2M2022-03-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.0317.7478-1.57%16.97-5.88%0.0450✗1.2127.0M2022-03-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche78.4977.2654-1.56%73.95-5.78%0.0648✗1.47120.2M2022-03-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1879010.184971-1.56%0.178633-4.93%0.0450✗1.0819.8M2022-03-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093370.091934-1.54%0.08882-4.87%0.0424✗1.0442k2022-03-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0720.070896-1.53%0.068-5.56%0.0342✗1.02157k2022-03-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.5845.5002-1.50%4.75-14.94%0.0686✓1.05179k2022-03-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.79670.784814-1.49%0.7308-8.27%0.0116✓1.1219.9M2022-03-10
DASHDashDash96.7595.3293-1.47%104.65+8.17%0.1772✗1.131.5M2022-03-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8822.8397-1.47%2.591-10.10%0.0254✓0.89239k2022-03-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15590.153623-1.46%0.1518-2.63%0.0645✗1.03366k2022-03-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012360.012184-1.42%0.01203-2.67%0.0455✗0.7913k2022-03-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4184.3565-1.39%4.112-6.93%0.0051✓0.85453k2022-03-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.069830.068866-1.38%0.07709+10.40%0.2040✗1.2364k2022-03-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.426.3318-1.37%6.04-5.92%0.0042✓0.581.2M2022-03-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.050730.050036-1.37%0.0474-6.56%0.0345✗1.20641k2022-03-10
ADACardanoCardano0.90210.889792-1.36%0.807-10.54%0.0157✓1.1194.8M2022-03-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1741.158-1.36%1.175+0.09%0.1018✗1.182.9M2022-03-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.3082-1.33%5.2-3.35%0.0437✗0.87566k2022-03-10
KSMKusamaHydration131.9130.1456-1.33%126.53-4.07%0.0573✗1.15953k2022-03-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5346190.527567-1.32%0.503035-5.91%0.0366✗1.142.8M2022-03-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2315.1638-1.29%4.672-10.69%0.0281✓0.9771k2022-03-10
STORJStorjEthereum1.04761.0342-1.27%1.0319-1.50%0.0942✗1.30175k2022-03-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025070.000024752-1.27%0.00002262-9.77%0.0033✓1.263.9M2022-03-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2490.245973-1.22%0.2216-11.00%0.0362✓0.922.0M2022-03-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1295790.128018-1.20%0.116797-9.86%0.0220✓0.943.7M2022-03-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039670.039208-1.17%0.03918-1.24%0.0715✗0.9729k2022-03-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.22830.225668-1.15%0.2025-11.30%0.0003✓1.462.5M2022-03-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.49430.488794-1.11%0.4164-15.76%0.0565✓1.40465k2022-03-10
XYMSymbolnative0.1460.144385-1.11%0.1369-6.23%0.0058✓0.80296k2022-03-10
SOLSolanaSolana95.6194.5805-1.08%82.92-13.27%0.0392✓1.25127.4M2022-03-10
TRXTRONTron0.0600320.059403-1.05%0.059896-0.23%0.0653✗0.77307k2022-03-10
KCSKuCoinnative19.52619.3278-1.02%18.083-7.39%0.0070✓0.999.1M2022-03-10
GITCOINGITCOIN6.3636.3001-0.99%5.737-9.84%0.0080✓1.3726k2022-03-10
GTGateEthereum6.79496.7349-0.88%6.3304-6.84%0.0108✓0.692.8M2022-03-10
UNIUniswapEthereum9.559.4687-0.85%8.68-9.11%0.0007✓1.179.6M2022-03-10
AAVEAaveEthereum129.96128.8584-0.85%119.26-8.23%0.0218✗1.346.8M2022-03-10
NANOnanopayBase1.8681.8527-0.82%1.6882-9.63%0.0047✓1.19177k2022-03-10
ETHEthereumEthereum2,833.662,810.53-0.82%2,608.22-7.96%0.0022✓1.04561.7M2022-03-10
XVSVenusEthereum9.349.2708-0.74%8.5-8.99%0.0046✓1.233.6M2022-03-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8520.84572-0.74%0.827-2.93%0.0795✗1.382.4M2022-03-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.4582.8379-0.73%78.54-5.88%0.0088✗0.84908k2022-03-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.161470.160497-0.60%0.15896-1.55%0.0706✗1.0821k2022-03-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.29313.7134-0.50%289.59-8.15%0.0085✓0.977.3M2022-03-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.69111.2852-0.36%102.58-8.16%0.0003✓1.1029.3M2022-03-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.015250.01526+0.06%0.01693+11.02%0.2171✓1.5312.7M2022-03-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.