8=======>

2022-03-01 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0509
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-7.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.1%
in alpha space · 90.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LTCLitecoinLitecoin112.65112.7335+0.07%100.75-10.56%0.0410✓1.1229.5M2022-03-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165530.165468-0.04%0.14701-11.19%0.0449✗1.1924k2022-03-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016560.016553-0.04%0.01098-33.70%0.2027✓1.5212.5M2022-03-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.78327.9421-0.25%284.53-13.46%0.0090✓0.977.6M2022-03-08
GTGateEthereum6.75536.7324-0.34%6.5581-2.92%0.0703✗0.702.8M2022-03-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.6887.3192-0.41%78.77-10.16%0.0120✗0.84905k2022-03-08
XVSVenusEthereum9.359.3062-0.47%8.61-7.91%0.0886✗1.213.4M2022-03-08
NANOnanopayBase1.92111.9115-0.50%1.6748-12.82%0.0290✗1.18179k2022-03-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1339910.133094-0.67%0.116967-12.70%0.0003✓0.943.7M2022-03-08
ETHEthereumEthereum2,977.722,955.69-0.74%2,576.72-13.47%0.0058✓1.04561.7M2022-03-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.890.883306-0.75%0.805-9.55%0.0828✗1.282.3M2022-03-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.23180.229973-0.79%0.2009-13.33%0.0663✗1.472.6M2022-03-08
KCSKuCoinnative20.74620.5736-0.83%18.038-13.05%0.0046✓0.999.5M2022-03-08
SOLSolanaSolana98.797.8727-0.84%82.35-16.57%0.0003✓1.26131.2M2022-03-08
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8236.7648-0.85%5.667-16.94%0.0140✗1.3927k2022-03-08
TRXTRONTron0.0621790.061624-0.89%0.060594-2.55%0.0883✗0.77299k2022-03-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041870.041493-0.90%0.03904-6.76%0.0750✗0.9929k2022-03-08
UNIUniswapEthereum10.3410.2437-0.93%8.83-14.60%0.0128✗1.1810.8M2022-03-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027130.000026855-1.01%0.0000229-15.59%0.0122✗1.253.9M2022-03-08
AAVEAaveEthereum143.34141.7849-1.08%121.68-15.11%0.0306✗1.346.8M2022-03-08
XYMSymbolnative0.15230.150642-1.09%0.1326-12.93%0.0160✓0.81294k2022-03-08
ADACardanoCardano0.96430.953731-1.10%0.8021-16.82%0.0207✓1.1197.3M2022-03-08
ZECZcashZcash119.02117.6814-1.12%138.68+16.52%0.3186✗1.137.2M2022-03-08
DASHDashDash100.0198.8851-1.12%96.39-3.62%0.1293✗1.131.5M2022-03-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2420.239233-1.14%0.234-3.31%0.0952✗0.8659k2022-03-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25760.254628-1.15%0.2233-13.32%0.0061✓0.912.0M2022-03-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092240.09117-1.16%0.08944-3.04%0.1260✗1.0643k2022-03-08
QNTQuantEthereum119.35117.9586-1.17%111.08-6.93%0.0754✗0.996.4M2022-03-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7715.7011-1.21%4.763-17.47%0.0362✓1.05181k2022-03-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2241.2086-1.26%1.132-7.52%0.0983✗1.202.9M2022-03-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048680.048061-1.27%0.04783-1.75%0.1603✗1.20681k2022-03-08
XEMNEMnative0.10970.108291-1.28%0.0953-13.13%0.0053✓0.9741k2022-03-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.28044.2252-1.29%3.8173-10.82%0.0549✗1.14244k2022-03-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.6331-1.29%6.17-8.18%0.0019✓0.511.2M2022-03-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5024.4435-1.30%4.219-6.29%0.0636✗0.84435k2022-03-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39960.394334-1.32%0.3058-23.47%0.0587✓1.431.3M2022-03-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1989270.196304-1.32%0.173136-12.97%0.0206✗1.0720.5M2022-03-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.25792.2279-1.33%2.0561-8.94%0.0173✗0.7126k2022-03-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.525.4463-1.33%5.13-7.07%0.0575✗0.86510k2022-03-08
STORJStorjEthereum1.08461.0701-1.33%0.93442-13.85%0.0471✗1.33175k2022-03-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16150.159337-1.34%0.1485-8.05%0.0700✗1.03446k2022-03-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.4455.371-1.36%4.714-13.43%0.0056✓0.9171k2022-03-08
KSMKusamaHydration138.55136.6501-1.37%122.46-11.61%0.0485✗1.15973k2022-03-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.52530.518088-1.37%0.4195-20.14%0.0227✓1.37484k2022-03-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07430.073263-1.40%0.0685-7.81%0.0681✗0.99155k2022-03-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,439.9543,815.66-1.40%38,749.38-12.81%0.0141✓1.00632.3M2022-03-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.19540.19265-1.41%0.1948-0.31%0.1985✗1.372.8M2022-03-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004710.004643-1.42%0.00376-20.17%0.0136✓1.649.6M2022-03-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5821.5593-1.43%1.518-4.05%0.1171✗1.053.4M2022-03-08
XECeCashnative0.000078960.000077826-1.44%0.00006915-12.42%0.0321✗1.104.5M2022-03-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012230.012054-1.44%0.01218-0.41%0.1119✗0.7413k2022-03-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.686826-1.46%0.641-8.03%0.0773✗1.072.5M2022-03-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.85690.844277-1.47%0.7402-13.62%0.0232✗1.1320.7M2022-03-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.3529.9007-1.48%26.77-11.80%0.0370✗1.085.2M2022-03-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5735770.565084-1.48%0.497835-13.21%0.0286✗1.132.8M2022-03-08
CBKCobakEthereum2.3962.3596-1.52%2.146-10.43%0.0299✗0.9123k2022-03-08
UOSUltraEthereum1.36521.3442-1.54%1.1917-12.71%0.0662✗1.362.8M2022-03-08
DIADIAEthereum1.061.0433-1.58%0.92-13.21%0.0894✓0.27286k2022-03-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.918.599-1.59%16.97-10.21%0.0748✗1.2129.4M2022-03-08
ZENHorizenBase39.3438.7106-1.60%39.86+1.32%0.2277✗1.45280k2022-03-08
MANADecentralandEthereum2.83712.7914-1.61%2.3938-15.62%0.0111✓1.203.3M2022-03-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076330.075075-1.64%0.07699+0.86%0.1961✗1.2569k2022-03-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.9685.5283-1.65%72.98-16.08%0.0377✗1.43118.3M2022-03-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3281.306-1.65%1.274-4.07%0.1544✗1.312.0M2022-03-08
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001957-1.66%0.00000181-9.05%0.0127✓0.6614.0M2022-03-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09223.0407-1.67%2.9137-5.77%0.0783✗0.882.4M2022-03-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.12173.0696-1.67%2.9495-5.52%0.0801✗0.883.6M2022-03-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2615.0038-1.68%13.87-9.11%0.1241✗1.482.4M2022-03-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.028850.028359-1.70%0.02495-13.52%0.0220✓0.774.1M2022-03-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94995.8482-1.71%5.6406-5.20%0.0059✓0.31433k2022-03-08
QTUMQtumQtum6.70536.5868-1.77%5.7399-14.40%0.0463✗1.34226k2022-03-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37530.368611-1.78%0.3352-10.68%0.0912✗1.368.7M2022-03-08
SCSiacoinnative0.009790.009614-1.79%0.00889-9.19%0.0936✗1.25563k2022-03-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum57.1956.164-1.79%46.4-18.87%0.0133✓1.306.7M2022-03-08
FTTFTXEthereum46.2545.41-1.82%40.57-12.28%0.0339✗1.0722.8M2022-03-08
AVTAventusEthereum2.332.2873-1.83%2.36+1.29%0.1683✗1.00443k2022-03-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57650.565918-1.84%0.5126-11.08%0.0258✗0.91642k2022-03-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3180.312138-1.84%0.27-15.09%0.0339✗1.312.2M2022-03-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0494850.048571-1.85%0.040538-18.08%0.0345✓1.078.1M2022-03-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6171.5871-1.85%1.529-5.44%0.1200✗1.151.8M2022-03-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.149.9525-1.85%10.15+0.10%0.1104✗0.66928k2022-03-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.80.785169-1.85%0.7047-11.91%0.0415✗1.099.7M2022-03-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6262.5772-1.86%2.467-6.05%0.1383✗1.33584k2022-03-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.83590.820303-1.87%0.734-12.19%0.0874✗1.45270k2022-03-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034260.033614-1.89%0.03821+11.53%0.2514✗0.901.2M2022-03-08
XVGVergenative0.010440.01024-1.92%0.01031-1.25%0.1773✗1.241.3M2022-03-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.30580.299886-1.93%0.2596-15.11%0.0364✗1.32328k2022-03-08
COMPCompoundEthereum125.94123.4585-1.97%103-18.22%0.0143✓1.2258k2022-03-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07860.077026-2.00%0.0696-11.45%0.0776✗1.311.0M2022-03-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5221.4915-2.00%1.298-14.72%0.0139✓1.12939k2022-03-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.755560.740286-2.02%0.65836-12.86%0.0705✗1.37206k2022-03-08
HIVEHivenative1.03521.0142-2.03%0.8637-16.57%0.0025✓1.192.1M2022-03-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.3772-2.04%5.92-9.06%0.0462✗0.88452k2022-03-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1230.120476-2.05%0.1-18.70%0.1117✓0.5444k2022-03-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.4081-2.11%2.16-12.20%0.0285✗1.00263k2022-03-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6071.573-2.12%1.338-16.74%0.0362✗1.45863k2022-03-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.2626.6822-2.12%23.39-14.20%0.0571✗1.381.6M2022-03-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.9820.5237-2.17%18.04-14.01%0.0241✗1.129.1M2022-03-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.4453-2.18%16.34+3.48%0.1534✗0.712.2M2022-03-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.1430.4567-2.19%27.87-10.50%0.0680✗1.1450.3M2022-03-08
RADRadworksEthereum5.125.0065-2.22%4.34-15.23%0.0047✓1.01828k2022-03-08
XTZTezosTezos3.49183.4143-2.22%3.0102-13.79%0.0497✗1.282.1M2022-03-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07290.071269-2.24%0.07059-3.17%0.1287✗1.0112k2022-03-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.3615.015-2.25%13.09-14.78%0.0245✗1.1852.2M2022-03-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72680.710243-2.28%0.7371+1.42%0.0844✗0.351.2M2022-03-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13620.133092-2.28%0.1137-16.52%0.0190✓1.293.1M2022-03-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.8630.1535-2.29%28.1-8.94%0.0566✗0.931.5M2022-03-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,139.1043,120.42-2.31%38,942.90-11.77%0.0316✗0.9752k2022-03-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.10480.102372-2.32%0.0836-20.23%0.0024✓1.50613k2022-03-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.7451-2.36%3.99-17.90%0.0337✗1.51456k2022-03-08
DODODODOEthereum0.4790.467664-2.37%0.391-18.37%0.0026✓1.294.2M2022-03-08
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.1284-2.37%1.82-16.51%0.0031✓1.17354k2022-03-08
SUSHISushiEthereum3.473.3878-2.37%2.9-16.43%0.0175✓1.266.8M2022-03-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0913.7515-2.40%12.75-9.51%0.0743✗1.09331k2022-03-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2033.1246-2.45%2.83-11.65%0.0176✓0.85477k2022-03-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1774.0739-2.47%3.912-6.34%0.1285✗1.232.3M2022-03-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0712.9949-2.48%2.668-13.12%0.0061✓0.89218k2022-03-08
STXStacksnative1.291.2572-2.54%1.06-17.83%0.0064✓1.20596k2022-03-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.012490.012172-2.54%0.011366-9.00%0.0730✗1.0315k2022-03-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226820.022101-2.56%0.016926-25.38%0.1486✓0.86124k2022-03-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5462.4804-2.58%2.035-20.07%0.0024✓1.4613.6M2022-03-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.759874-2.58%0.6-23.08%0.0014✓1.711.0M2022-03-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2451.2123-2.63%1.006-19.20%0.0408✓1.061.3M2022-03-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1933.1088-2.64%3.365+5.39%0.2096✗0.95741k2022-03-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011460.011154-2.67%0.01185+3.40%0.2516✗1.392.8M2022-03-08
ORCAOrcaSolana2.582.5108-2.68%2.19-15.12%0.0003✓1.00488k2022-03-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.0221.4163-2.74%18.57-15.67%0.0545✗1.44328k2022-03-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.291.2544-2.76%1.17-9.30%0.0733✗1.04885k2022-03-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.98611.9267-2.99%1.8748-5.61%0.1153✗1.0475k2022-03-08
XMRMoneroMonero177.8172.4607-3.00%203.38+14.39%0.3019✗1.001.1M2022-03-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3418.7497-3.05%16.86-12.82%0.0521✗1.1620.6M2022-03-08
MOVRMoonriverBase66.415664.2874-3.20%52.05-21.63%0.0216✓1.38223k2022-03-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020450.019781-3.27%0.01691-17.31%0.0078✓1.092.2M2022-03-08
FIDABonfidaSolana1.811.7507-3.28%1.824+0.77%0.1585✗0.8676k2022-03-08
BANDBandEthereum4.2274.0867-3.32%3.473-17.84%0.0160✓1.301.8M2022-03-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02820.027252-3.36%0.0246-12.77%0.0793✗1.33500k2022-03-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,756.2421,020.00-3.38%19,352.13-11.05%0.0516✗0.985.9M2022-03-08
LUNATerraTerra 289.7286.652-3.42%85.48-4.73%0.1829✗1.434.8M2022-03-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.57242.4831-3.47%3.0589+18.91%0.3298✗0.882.7M2022-03-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.991.919-3.57%1.69-15.08%0.0547✗1.332.0M2022-03-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.826.5662-3.72%5.71-16.28%0.0541✗1.41942k2022-03-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75820.729543-3.78%0.6773-10.67%0.1168✗1.392.5M2022-03-08
PROPropyEthereum1.841.7701-3.80%1.54-16.30%0.0264✓1.21452k2022-03-08
CELLCellframeEthereum1.70181.6321-4.10%1.3396-21.28%0.0240✓1.27278k2022-03-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.42180.404296-4.15%0.3413-19.08%0.0559✗1.6414.7M2022-03-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.11e-75.85e-7-4.21%0.000001432+134.40%1.0319✗1.001.1M2022-03-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.277.907-4.39%7.88-4.72%0.1223✗0.92461k2022-03-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.53940.511779-5.12%0.4042-25.06%0.0393✓2.012.1M2022-03-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.066682-5.15%0.0566-19.49%0.0779✗1.7676.7M2022-03-08
API3Api3Ethereum8.0947.6462-5.53%5.243-35.22%0.3104✓0.492.9M2022-03-08
UMAUMAEthereum9.4478.8116-6.73%7.832-17.10%0.0763✗1.421.9M2022-03-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.