8=======>

2022-02-28 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0558
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-8.94%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.7%
in alpha space · 90.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum7.2286.8448-5.30%7.8+7.91%0.3039✗1.351.9M2022-03-07
API3Api3Ethereum7.5297.1407-5.16%5.302-29.58%0.2371✓0.472.3M2022-03-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.066794-4.99%0.0544-22.62%0.0231✓1.7876.7M2022-03-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5040.480051-4.75%0.4075-19.15%0.0927✗2.002.1M2022-03-07
LUNATerraTerra 291.3887.2431-4.53%77.85-14.81%0.0729✗1.464.5M2022-03-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.557.2372-4.14%7.76+2.78%0.1848✗0.90461k2022-03-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.40e-76.14e-7-4.05%0.000001442+125.18%0.9813✗1.001.2M2022-03-07
CELLCellframeEthereum1.67541.6085-3.99%1.3125-21.66%0.0401✓1.27272k2022-03-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.1889-3.86%3.353+1.09%0.1742✗0.97741k2022-03-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0290.027997-3.46%0.0248-14.48%0.0504✗1.34494k2022-03-07
PROPropyEthereum1.841.7767-3.44%1.59-13.59%0.0454✗1.22483k2022-03-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.43912.3571-3.36%2.469+1.23%0.1590✗0.882.7M2022-03-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.02140.020689-3.32%0.01691-20.98%0.0600✓1.112.2M2022-03-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1153.0153-3.20%2.706-13.13%0.0071✓0.90218k2022-03-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2333.1298-3.19%2.878-10.98%0.0277✓0.87477k2022-03-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.796.5739-3.18%5.62-17.23%0.0253✓1.421.1M2022-03-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,589.2920,910.24-3.15%18,376.27-14.88%0.0030✓0.985.7M2022-03-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.66.3981-3.06%5.93-10.15%0.0382✗0.89452k2022-03-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1319.5158-3.05%16.42-18.43%0.0220✓1.1821.3M2022-03-07
MOVRMoonriverBase67.76365.6999-3.04%52.8584-22.00%0.0385✓1.40214k2022-03-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.861.804-3.01%1.7-8.60%0.1097✗1.321.9M2022-03-07
XMRMoneroMonero170.31165.1852-3.01%157.95-7.26%0.0826✗0.991.0M2022-03-07
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8361.7814-2.97%1.725-6.05%0.0800✗0.8776k2022-03-07
BANDBandEthereum3.9343.8189-2.93%3.496-11.13%0.0775✗1.291.8M2022-03-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1815.71-2.90%17.31+6.98%0.1894✗0.722.2M2022-03-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2361.2011-2.82%0.976-21.04%0.0700✓1.071.2M2022-03-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.213.815-2.71%12.47-12.18%0.0390✗1.10331k2022-03-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.3830.5861-2.53%28.29-9.85%0.0700✗1.1550.3M2022-03-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1620.6289-2.51%18.4-13.04%0.0699✗1.44325k2022-03-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1320.12871-2.49%0.1-24.24%0.1786✓0.5844k2022-03-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010990.01072-2.46%0.01182+7.55%0.2758✗1.392.7M2022-03-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.930.1449-2.44%28.16-8.87%0.0518✗0.941.5M2022-03-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.442.3805-2.44%2.11-13.52%0.0084✓1.01254k2022-03-07
ORCAOrcaSolana2.642.5771-2.38%2.28-13.64%0.0058✓1.00490k2022-03-07
STXStacksnative1.251.221-2.32%1.04-16.80%0.0073✓1.19610k2022-03-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226550.02213-2.32%0.017437-23.03%0.1283✓0.86117k2022-03-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.7221.2192-2.31%17.82-17.96%0.0290✓1.148.6M2022-03-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.159.9167-2.30%10.23+0.79%0.1167✗0.67928k2022-03-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36570.357299-2.30%0.3173-13.23%0.0885✗1.6214.6M2022-03-07
SUSHISushiEthereum3.543.4601-2.26%2.88-18.64%0.0203✓1.276.8M2022-03-07
DODODODOEthereum0.4610.450604-2.26%0.381-17.35%0.0034✓1.284.2M2022-03-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1544.0603-2.25%3.62-12.86%0.0441✗1.242.3M2022-03-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.361.3295-2.24%1.13-16.91%0.0262✓1.06932k2022-03-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.733562-2.19%0.6-20.00%0.0190✓1.72995k2022-03-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,136.2042,194.35-2.18%37,523.40-13.01%0.0078✓0.9846k2022-03-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.1414.8153-2.14%12.7-16.12%0.0021✓1.1853.4M2022-03-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0121480.011888-2.14%0.011201-7.80%0.0728✗1.0316k2022-03-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.515.3928-2.13%5.01-9.07%0.0368✗0.86510k2022-03-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4422.3906-2.11%1.98-18.92%0.0012✓1.4613.6M2022-03-07
MINAMina Protocolnative2.212.1635-2.10%1.84-16.74%0.0110✓1.18343k2022-03-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0492640.048241-2.08%0.041733-15.29%0.0074✓1.078.1M2022-03-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11043.0459-2.08%2.8397-8.70%0.0441✗0.892.4M2022-03-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.7609-2.04%3.97-18.31%0.0132✓1.52430k2022-03-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0780.076416-2.03%0.0672-13.85%0.0407✗1.321.0M2022-03-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56070.549398-2.02%0.4925-12.16%0.0072✓0.91641k2022-03-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5654.4731-2.01%4.234-7.25%0.0544✗0.85435k2022-03-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5661.5346-2.01%1.307-16.54%0.0253✗1.45863k2022-03-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.741170.726454-1.99%0.63315-14.57%0.0391✗1.38206k2022-03-07
CBKCobakEthereum2.4772.4286-1.95%2.085-15.83%0.0332✓0.9321k2022-03-07
COMPCompoundEthereum120.75118.3918-1.95%98.5-18.43%0.0285✓1.2164k2022-03-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.3625.8533-1.92%22.43-14.91%0.0353✗1.381.6M2022-03-07
XTZTezosTezos3.54833.4803-1.92%2.9274-17.50%0.0071✓1.292.1M2022-03-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.28888-1.91%0.2527-14.19%0.0357✗1.32367k2022-03-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06950.06818-1.90%0.0671-3.45%0.1126✗1.0012k2022-03-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13030.127858-1.87%0.1105-15.20%0.0186✓1.282.9M2022-03-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11963.0615-1.86%2.8817-7.63%0.0526✗0.883.6M2022-03-07
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0502-1.85%0.93-13.08%0.0866✓0.27286k2022-03-07
FTTFTXEthereum45.9545.1034-1.84%39.76-13.47%0.0120✓1.0820.8M2022-03-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.75840.744438-1.84%0.73-3.74%0.0262✗0.361.3M2022-03-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035030.034385-1.84%0.03434-1.97%0.1147✗0.901.2M2022-03-07
XVGVergenative0.010370.010182-1.82%0.00883-14.85%0.0177✓1.251.2M2022-03-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5051.4779-1.80%1.274-15.35%0.0046✓1.12931k2022-03-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.635.5289-1.79%4.618-17.98%0.0598✓0.9468k2022-03-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5711.5431-1.78%1.435-8.66%0.0746✗1.151.8M2022-03-07
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.7643-1.77%4.4-9.28%0.0485✗1.00828k2022-03-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.302563-1.77%0.268-12.99%0.0462✗1.312.1M2022-03-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.029370.028853-1.76%0.02497-14.98%0.0442✓0.784.1M2022-03-07
HIVEHivenative0.98030.963113-1.75%0.8412-14.19%0.0160✓1.182.0M2022-03-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.79670.782758-1.75%0.694-12.89%0.0202✗1.109.6M2022-03-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37720.370655-1.74%0.3298-12.57%0.0589✗1.378.7M2022-03-07
SCSiacoinnative0.009680.009513-1.73%0.00866-10.54%0.0675✗1.26546k2022-03-07
AVTAventusEthereum2.522.477-1.70%2.32-7.94%0.0627✗1.00486k2022-03-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8230.80917-1.68%0.7051-14.33%0.0488✗1.45270k2022-03-07
QTUMQtumQtum6.49256.3841-1.67%5.712-12.02%0.0604✗1.34184k2022-03-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3521.3297-1.65%1.243-8.06%0.1016✗1.322.0M2022-03-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.92585.8284-1.64%5.3807-9.20%0.0403✓0.31385k2022-03-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012310.012108-1.64%0.012-2.52%0.0866✗0.7512k2022-03-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3715.1195-1.63%13.71-10.80%0.0926✗1.492.4M2022-03-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.5983.2169-1.62%71.75-15.18%0.0358✗1.44116.5M2022-03-07
UOSUltraEthereum1.32781.3067-1.58%1.1872-10.59%0.0787✗1.362.7M2022-03-07
MANADecentralandEthereum2.85072.8056-1.58%2.3622-17.14%0.0167✓1.213.2M2022-03-07
ZENHorizenBase37.9137.3115-1.58%33.73-11.03%0.0841✗1.44280k2022-03-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5750510.566039-1.57%0.472233-17.88%0.0349✓1.142.8M2022-03-07
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001959-1.56%0.00000177-11.06%0.0156✓0.6714.0M2022-03-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9518.6544-1.56%16.4-13.46%0.0279✗1.2227.9M2022-03-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.86840.854891-1.56%0.7277-16.20%0.0141✓1.1520.7M2022-03-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16120.158696-1.55%0.1422-11.79%0.0226✗1.03446k2022-03-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.4253.5829-1.54%46.15-15.20%0.0161✗1.296.7M2022-03-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.19292.1599-1.50%1.9115-12.83%0.0315✓0.7126k2022-03-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.686783-1.47%0.649-6.89%0.0814✗1.082.4M2022-03-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.71631.6912-1.46%1.8793+9.50%0.2349✗1.0172k2022-03-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.8755.7923-1.41%4.783-18.59%0.0554✓1.06189k2022-03-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0730.071992-1.38%0.0657-10.00%0.0354✗0.99160k2022-03-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.19250.189856-1.37%0.1942+0.88%0.1987✗1.372.8M2022-03-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,192.6642,606.96-1.36%37,994.00-12.04%0.0137✗1.00630.5M2022-03-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1976750.195032-1.34%0.169685-14.16%0.0018✓1.0719.8M2022-03-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.5330.1232-1.33%26.15-14.35%0.0021✓1.095.1M2022-03-07
XYMSymbolnative0.15310.151071-1.33%0.1333-12.93%0.0201✓0.82295k2022-03-07
DASHDashDash100.5199.1818-1.32%85.9-14.54%0.0023✓1.141.5M2022-03-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39430.38909-1.32%0.3195-18.97%0.0126✓1.441.2M2022-03-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2360.232896-1.32%0.231-2.12%0.1013✗0.8559k2022-03-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092130.090938-1.29%0.08764-4.87%0.0998✗1.0745k2022-03-07
XECeCashnative0.000078690.000077675-1.29%0.0000689-12.44%0.0216✗1.104.4M2022-03-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6642.6297-1.29%2.56-3.90%0.1446✗1.34584k2022-03-07
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5641.5441-1.28%1.585+1.34%0.1611✗1.053.4M2022-03-07
XEMNEMnative0.10810.106734-1.26%0.0935-13.51%0.0076✓0.9740k2022-03-07
ZECZcashZcash118.68117.1846-1.26%109.5-7.74%0.0779✗1.147.2M2022-03-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1641.1493-1.26%1.085-6.79%0.0977✗1.212.9M2022-03-07
UNIUniswapEthereum10.5310.4005-1.23%8.31-21.08%0.0718✓1.1910.8M2022-03-07
KSMKusamaHydration130.28128.7204-1.20%120.6-7.43%0.0815✗1.14930k2022-03-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072010.071149-1.20%0.06777-5.89%0.1102✗1.2469k2022-03-07
ADACardanoCardano0.9640.952543-1.19%0.7932-17.72%0.0394✓1.1296.0M2022-03-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048710.048133-1.18%0.04852-0.39%0.1634✗1.21686k2022-03-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041940.041448-1.17%0.03834-8.58%0.0500✗1.0029k2022-03-07
AAVEAaveEthereum145.83144.1222-1.17%116.88-19.85%0.0360✓1.356.6M2022-03-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23454.1854-1.16%3.6598-13.57%0.0125✗1.14244k2022-03-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24540.242581-1.15%0.2184-11.00%0.0111✓0.911.9M2022-03-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.66.5258-1.12%6.17-6.52%0.0094✓0.511.1M2022-03-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.50070.49518-1.10%0.4144-17.24%0.0024✓1.37484k2022-03-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.08570.08476-1.10%0.0802-6.42%0.1328✗1.47613k2022-03-07
QNTQuantEthereum115.74114.4967-1.07%110.5-4.53%0.0908✗0.996.3M2022-03-07
STORJStorjEthereum1.04261.0315-1.06%0.89059-14.58%0.0236✗1.33162k2022-03-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004390.004343-1.06%0.00392-10.71%0.1062✗1.639.6M2022-03-07
SOLSolanaSolana99.7498.7391-1.00%81.66-18.13%0.0262✓1.28127.4M2022-03-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.564016-0.98%0.6711+17.82%0.3437✗1.322.4M2022-03-07
TRXTRONTron0.0617860.061191-0.96%0.058556-5.23%0.0549✗0.77286k2022-03-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.23210.230042-0.89%0.1993-14.13%0.0469✗1.482.6M2022-03-07
KCSKuCoinnative20.67720.4949-0.88%17.761-14.10%0.0146✓1.009.3M2022-03-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025790.000025564-0.87%0.00002279-11.63%0.0444✗1.243.8M2022-03-07
GITCOINGITCOIN6.756.6915-0.87%5.615-16.81%0.0040✓1.4027k2022-03-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1334510.132451-0.75%0.116934-12.38%0.0035✓0.943.7M2022-03-07
ETHEthereumEthereum2,923.082,901.24-0.75%2,491.58-14.76%0.0181✓1.05540.3M2022-03-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8770.870474-0.74%0.762-13.11%0.0318✗1.292.2M2022-03-07
NANOnanopayBase1.93811.9244-0.71%1.6162-16.61%0.0221✓1.19179k2022-03-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV88.6788.168-0.57%76.42-13.82%0.0344✓0.85905k2022-03-07
GTGateEthereum6.716.6773-0.49%6.77+0.89%0.1049✗0.712.8M2022-03-07
XVSVenusEthereum9.339.287-0.46%8.37-10.29%0.0526✗1.223.1M2022-03-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash339.27337.8416-0.42%273.86-19.28%0.0835✓0.997.3M2022-03-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.166390.166041-0.21%0.14835-10.84%0.0428✗1.2127k2022-03-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin113.82113.8778+0.05%98.35-13.59%0.0016✗1.1329.3M2022-03-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017960.017975+0.08%0.01158-35.52%0.2412✗1.5512.5M2022-03-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.