2022-02-23 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0512

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-0.28%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

74.7%

in alpha space · 20.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+17.83%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.357	6.0316	-5.12%	7.3	+14.83%	0.1356	✗	0.34	2.0M	2022-03-02
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.1	1.0609	-3.56%	1.02	-7.27%	0.2034	✓	1.00	286k	2022-03-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.7484	1.6931	-3.16%	1.6226	-7.20%	0.2906	✓	1.51	229k	2022-03-02
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.144	0.140351	-2.53%	0.116	-19.44%	0.3577	✓	1.02	53k	2022-03-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.53	27.9117	-2.17%	30.37	+6.45%	0.0827	✓	1.02	1.5M	2022-03-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	59.54	58.4126	-1.89%	92.43	+55.24%	0.2402	✗	1.33	4.5M	2022-03-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	149.01	146.3005	-1.82%	177.46	+19.09%	0.0287	✗	1.00	966k	2022-03-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,320.95	19,969.33	-1.73%	22,346.94	+9.97%	0.0567	✓	1.03	5.7M	2022-03-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4331	0.425703	-1.71%	0.5029	+16.12%	0.1434	✓	1.89	2.0M	2022-03-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.0975	5.9983	-1.63%	5.9424	-2.54%	0.0737	✓	0.39	412k	2022-03-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.81	18.5147	-1.57%	20.76	+10.37%	0.1389	✓	1.54	334k	2022-03-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.7591	66.7076	-1.55%	71.55	+5.59%	0.1764	✓	1.50	243k	2022-03-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0253	0.024912	-1.53%	0.0268	+5.93%	0.1608	✓	1.43	497k	2022-03-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.938	0.923704	-1.52%	1.164	+24.09%	0.0293	✗	1.23	934k	2022-03-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01223	0.012048	-1.49%	0.01235	+0.98%	0.0995	✓	0.76	15k	2022-03-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.977	4.9037	-1.47%	8.421	+69.20%	0.3767	✗	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,524.20	36,976.43	-1.46%	44,262.00	+17.96%	0.0212	✗	0.97	39k	2022-03-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0622	0.061294	-1.46%	0.0714	+14.79%	0.0228	✓	1.07	14k	2022-03-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.049178	0.048465	-1.45%	0.04679	-4.86%	0.2420	✓	1.26	7.5M	2022-03-02
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.9299	0.916489	-1.44%	0.7242	-22.12%	0.3361	✓	0.61	1.5M	2022-03-02
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.0366	0.036088	-1.40%	0.03397	-7.19%	0.2063	✓	0.89	1.7M	2022-03-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	25.15	24.8022	-1.38%	32.25	+28.23%	0.0818	✗	1.10	52.8M	2022-03-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.655	3.6068	-1.32%	4.016	+9.88%	0.1001	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-03-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.443	0.437176	-1.31%	0.468	+5.64%	0.1563	✓	1.37	4.5M	2022-03-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4849	0.478866	-1.24%	0.5665	+16.83%	0.0105	✓	0.96	643k	2022-03-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1954	1.1809	-1.21%	1.389	+16.20%	0.0628	✓	1.37	2.6M	2022-03-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.86	4.8039	-1.15%	5.59	+15.02%	0.0111	✓	0.99	682k	2022-03-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.147	0.145339	-1.13%	0.149	+1.36%	0.1070	✓	0.80	345k	2022-03-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.135	4.0888	-1.12%	4.505	+8.95%	0.0435	✓	0.86	395k	2022-03-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.29	17.0999	-1.10%	19.31	+11.68%	0.0671	✓	1.15	22.3M	2022-03-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01876	0.018557	-1.08%	0.01892	+0.85%	0.1661	✓	1.13	2.1M	2022-03-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.76	5.7002	-1.04%	6.43	+11.63%	0.0232	✓	0.88	425k	2022-03-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.17	2.1476	-1.03%	2.43	+11.98%	0.0428	✓	1.01	275k	2022-03-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5861	1.5698	-1.03%	1.9592	+23.52%	0.0459	✗	1.07	72k	2022-03-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.878	2.8491	-1.00%	3.114	+8.20%	0.0662	✓	0.95	460k	2022-03-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.7401	5.6827	-1.00%	6.4867	+13.01%	0.1053	✓	1.45	153k	2022-03-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.78	40.3787	-0.98%	46.16	+13.19%	0.0554	✓	1.15	26.3M	2022-03-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.65943	0.653064	-0.97%	0.73047	+10.77%	0.1251	✓	1.45	246k	2022-03-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01214	0.012025	-0.94%	0.012216	+0.63%	0.1722	✓	1.15	39k	2022-03-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.0943	0.093422	-0.93%	0.1064	+12.83%	0.0396	✓	1.03	37k	2022-03-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.060784	0.060228	-0.91%	0.061505	+1.19%	0.1187	✓	0.85	286k	2022-03-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7853	0.778159	-0.91%	0.8204	+4.47%	0.1500	✓	1.24	22.9M	2022-03-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.12	2.1008	-0.91%	2.13	+0.47%	0.1888	✓	1.24	324k	2022-03-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9093	1.8922	-0.89%	1.8782	-1.63%	0.2090	✓	1.23	206k	2022-03-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.43	18.2659	-0.89%	20.73	+12.48%	0.0730	✓	1.22	9.2M	2022-03-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.28	3.2514	-0.87%	3.41	+3.96%	0.1809	✓	1.39	7.0M	2022-03-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.24	14.1164	-0.87%	15.16	+6.46%	0.1844	✓	1.56	2.3M	2022-03-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.181	5.1362	-0.86%	5.551	+7.14%	0.0537	✓	0.80	65k	2022-03-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02593	0.025709	-0.85%	0.02832	+9.22%	0.0303	✓	0.77	4.4M	2022-03-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	88.28	87.5296	-0.85%	100.9	+14.30%	0.0497	✓	1.17	1.5M	2022-03-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0693	0.068718	-0.84%	0.0754	+8.80%	0.0865	✓	1.09	176k	2022-03-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.318	2.2987	-0.83%	2.99	+28.99%	0.0553	✗	1.27	772k	2022-03-02
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8185	0.811769	-0.82%	0.9988	+22.03%	0.0184	✓	1.38	1.7M	2022-03-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.383	1.372	-0.79%	1.496	+8.17%	0.1139	✓	1.22	1.0M	2022-03-02
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.78	1.7661	-0.78%	1.82	+2.25%	0.2380	✓	1.63	582k	2022-03-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01006	0.009982	-0.77%	0.01231	+22.37%	0.0406	✓	1.53	2.2M	2022-03-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.389	1.3783	-0.77%	1.548	+11.45%	0.1260	✓	1.48	928k	2022-03-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.181888	0.180508	-0.76%	0.193624	+6.45%	0.1021	✓	1.05	21.4M	2022-03-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	32.84	32.594	-0.75%	38.92	+18.51%	0.0816	✓	1.58	309k	2022-03-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0687	0.068188	-0.75%	0.0775	+12.81%	0.0974	✓	1.37	1.1M	2022-03-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03744	0.037161	-0.74%	0.04078	+8.92%	0.0864	✓	1.09	31k	2022-03-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.27	5.2308	-0.74%	7.94	+50.66%	0.2739	✗	0.87	367k	2022-03-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	22.18	22.0182	-0.73%	26.56	+19.75%	0.0488	✓	1.44	1.8M	2022-03-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.71	12.6194	-0.71%	13.69	+7.71%	0.0873	✓	1.03	369k	2022-03-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4922	0.488718	-0.71%	0.7291	+48.13%	0.1782	✗	1.35	2.2M	2022-03-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7126	0.70766	-0.69%	0.7872	+10.47%	0.0808	✓	1.14	9.7M	2022-03-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	109.49	108.7315	-0.69%	122.45	+11.84%	0.0931	✓	1.29	64k	2022-03-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		82.17	81.6097	-0.68%	86.11	+4.79%	0.0938	✓	0.90	946k	2022-03-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.749	18.6227	-0.67%	20.355	+8.57%	0.0981	✓	1.14	9.6M	2022-03-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.59	1.5794	-0.66%	1.93	+21.38%	0.0212	✓	1.35	2.0M	2022-03-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.526579	0.523116	-0.66%	0.570611	+8.36%	0.1041	✓	1.16	3.2M	2022-03-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.363	5.3278	-0.66%	6.038	+12.59%	0.0458	✓	1.04	241k	2022-03-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.599	2.5821	-0.65%	2.98	+14.66%	0.0049	✓	0.84	198k	2022-03-02
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.58	2.5636	-0.64%	2.52	-2.33%	0.1812	✓	1.00	671k	2022-03-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1335	0.132667	-0.62%	0.1595	+19.48%	0.0176	✗	1.02	467k	2022-03-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7875	2.7702	-0.62%	3.0297	+8.69%	0.0766	✓	1.01	2.3M	2022-03-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0084	0.008348	-0.62%	0.00957	+13.93%	0.0321	✓	1.03	525k	2022-03-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.85	5.814	-0.62%	6.64	+13.50%	0.0656	✗	0.41	1.3M	2022-03-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7513	0.746724	-0.61%	0.8082	+7.57%	0.1731	✓	1.54	317k	2022-03-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2396	0.238176	-0.59%	0.2945	+22.91%	0.0210	✗	1.17	410k	2022-03-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.35	14.2656	-0.59%	16.15	+12.54%	0.0018	✓	0.75	1.8M	2022-03-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5516	2.5367	-0.58%	2.7532	+7.90%	0.1300	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-03-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.71	6.6718	-0.57%	6.71	+0.00%	0.0306	✓	0.22	1.2M	2022-03-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.34	13.2657	-0.56%	15.29	+14.62%	0.0576	✓	1.22	60.6M	2022-03-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.038	1.0323	-0.54%	1.202	+15.80%	0.0542	✓	1.26	2.8M	2022-03-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002484	0.000024705	-0.54%	0.00002591	+4.31%	0.1786	✓	1.38	3.7M	2022-03-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.221	0.21983	-0.53%	0.2571	+16.33%	0.0080	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.234	0.232811	-0.51%	0.247	+5.56%	0.0863	✓	0.89	59k	2022-03-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.66661	-0.51%	0.75	+11.94%	0.2000	✓	1.94	1.0M	2022-03-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.667	0.663682	-0.50%	0.703	+5.40%	0.1244	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-03-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08287	0.082459	-0.50%	0.091	+9.81%	0.0835	✓	1.11	47k	2022-03-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	97.51	97.0307	-0.49%	125.91	+29.13%	0.0695	✗	1.16	7.6M	2022-03-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.282	0.280615	-0.49%	0.308	+9.22%	0.1333	✓	1.38	2.0M	2022-03-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.8658	3.8472	-0.48%	4.413	+14.16%	0.0608	✓	1.21	283k	2022-03-02
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022758	0.022649	-0.48%	0.021073	-7.40%	0.2452	✓	1.06	111k	2022-03-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	108.35	107.8328	-0.48%	117.95	+8.86%	0.0782	✓	1.02	6.6M	2022-03-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.285	2.2741	-0.48%	2.647	+15.84%	0.1053	✓	1.57	13.2M	2022-03-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04486	0.044647	-0.47%	0.04875	+8.67%	0.1278	✓	1.31	768k	2022-03-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3651	0.363446	-0.45%	0.397	+8.74%	0.1438	✓	1.41	1.3M	2022-03-02
BTTC	BTTC		0.0000019	0.000001892	-0.45%	0.00000196	+3.16%	0.1285	✓	1.00	14.4M	2022-03-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.68	4.6601	-0.42%	5.57	+19.02%	0.0467	✗	0.80	431k	2022-03-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3536	0.352119	-0.42%	0.3742	+5.83%	0.1714	✓	1.42	8.4M	2022-03-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1206	0.1201	-0.41%	0.1299	+7.71%	0.1404	✓	1.33	2.9M	2022-03-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.331	1.3257	-0.40%	1.59	+19.46%	0.0064	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-03-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0845	0.084165	-0.40%	0.0991	+17.28%	0.0769	✓	1.46	668k	2022-03-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.23	4.2134	-0.39%	4.65	+9.93%	0.0814	✓	1.10	456k	2022-03-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8418	2.8307	-0.39%	3.0322	+6.70%	0.0977	✓	1.01	2.6M	2022-03-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	73.5	73.2251	-0.37%	83.42	+13.50%	0.1157	✓	1.50	106.7M	2022-03-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.28	9.2463	-0.36%	10.14	+9.27%	0.0264	✓	0.72	758k	2022-03-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.00938	0.009347	-0.35%	0.01037	+10.55%	0.1070	✓	1.29	1.2M	2022-03-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7207	1.7147	-0.35%	2.7751	+61.28%	0.3961	✗	0.52	2.7M	2022-03-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127361	0.126923	-0.34%	0.133081	+4.49%	0.1188	✓	1.01	3.7M	2022-03-02
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.35	2.3423	-0.33%	2.35	+0.00%	0.1608	✓	1.00	639k	2022-03-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007022	0.000069993	-0.32%	0.00007594	+8.15%	0.1103	✓	1.17	4.4M	2022-03-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.90329	0.900679	-0.29%	1.0742	+18.92%	0.0043	✓	1.10	160k	2022-03-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1703	0.169872	-0.25%	0.197	+15.68%	0.0836	✓	1.41	2.9M	2022-03-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.858	5.8452	-0.22%	6.7	+14.37%	0.0765	✗	0.37	29k	2022-03-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1482	6.1365	-0.19%	6.803	+10.65%	0.0307	✓	0.82	3.0M	2022-03-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.79	48.6988	-0.19%	55.59	+13.94%	0.0847	✓	1.32	7.5M	2022-03-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,268.19	37,199.60	-0.18%	43,912.34	+17.83%	0.0018	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,580.97	2,576.75	-0.16%	2,948.56	+14.24%	0.0435	✓	1.09	561.7M	2022-03-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8664	0.865011	-0.16%	0.9394	+8.43%	0.1061	✓	1.15	97.3M	2022-03-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	84.64	84.5407	-0.12%	100.73	+19.01%	0.0289	✓	1.24	132.7M	2022-03-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	130.67	130.5393	-0.10%	137.7	+5.38%	0.1839	✓	1.45	6.5M	2022-03-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	15.97	15.9649	-0.03%	18.61	+16.53%	0.0652	✓	1.33	27.9M	2022-03-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.294	1.2936	-0.03%	1.359	+5.02%	0.1778	✓	1.38	1.8M	2022-03-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.007	2.0069	-0.00%	2.298	+14.50%	0.0360	✓	1.04	19k	2022-03-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	123.58	123.6192	+0.03%	138.31	+11.92%	0.0834	✗	1.19	930k	2022-03-02
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.807	1.8079	+0.05%	2.237	+23.80%	0.0489	✓	1.00	76k	2022-03-02
STX	Stacks	native	1.13	1.1306	+0.05%	1.25	+10.62%	0.1160	✗	1.32	725k	2022-03-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4391	0.439517	+0.09%	0.5144	+17.15%	0.0812	✗	1.45	572k	2022-03-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9331	2.9362	+0.11%	3.494	+19.12%	0.0388	✗	1.30	2.0M	2022-03-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.779	0.779891	+0.11%	0.917	+17.72%	0.0619	✗	1.36	2.1M	2022-03-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.53	26.5698	+0.15%	29.52	+11.27%	0.0736	✗	1.09	4.9M	2022-03-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1538	2.1587	+0.23%	2.2311	+3.59%	0.1102	✗	0.87	28k	2022-03-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06016	0.060349	+0.31%	0.07258	+20.64%	0.0502	✓	0.82	75k	2022-03-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00444	0.00446	+0.44%	0.00469	+5.63%	0.2589	✗	1.89	12.6M	2022-03-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.75	8.7894	+0.45%	10.05	+14.86%	0.0826	✗	1.32	10.8M	2022-03-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.14949	0.150229	+0.49%	0.16542	+10.66%	0.1263	✗	1.36	29k	2022-03-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	288.37	289.8421	+0.51%	320.43	+11.12%	0.0634	✗	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	105.41	106.0525	+0.61%	110.35	+4.69%	0.1587	✗	1.21	29.5M	2022-03-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.34	8.4081	+0.82%	9.78	+17.27%	0.0612	✗	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2039	0.205633	+0.85%	0.2308	+13.19%	0.1365	✗	1.54	3.3M	2022-03-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.748	3.7803	+0.86%	3.976	+6.08%	0.1575	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-03-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0476	0.04815	+1.16%	0.0655	+37.61%	0.0163	✓	1.78	64.3M	2022-03-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3293	0.334074	+1.45%	0.4033	+22.47%	0.0877	✗	1.68	16.0M	2022-03-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.554	1.5768	+1.47%	1.464	-5.79%	0.2571	✗	1.11	3.4M	2022-03-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.19	1.2182	+2.37%	1.27	+6.72%	0.1702	✗	1.29	934k	2022-03-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01802	0.018709	+3.82%	0.01634	-9.32%	0.4028	✗	1.63	11.1M	2022-03-02
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.27	2.368	+4.32%	2.895	+27.53%	0.0267	✓	1.39	579k	2022-03-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.