8=======>

2022-02-22 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0021
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.54%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.3%
in alpha space · 18.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+16.18%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum5.9795.7528-3.78%8.094+35.37%0.2878✗0.362.0M2022-03-01
CELLCellframeEthereum1.721.6629-3.32%1.7018-1.06%0.2060✓1.53213k2022-03-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.1429.3177-2.73%30.86+2.39%0.1005✓1.011.5M2022-03-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1390.135559-2.48%0.123-11.51%0.2548✓1.0551k2022-03-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4530.442788-2.25%0.5394+19.07%0.0907✓1.922.0M2022-03-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039970.039126-2.11%0.03426-14.29%0.2638✓0.871.7M2022-03-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,636.0720,231.64-1.96%21,756.24+5.43%0.0823✓1.035.8M2022-03-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02650.026001-1.88%0.0282+6.42%0.1340✓1.43497k2022-03-01
XMRMoneroMonero150.97148.1407-1.87%177.8+17.77%0.0326✗1.00966k2022-03-01
MOVRMoonriverBase69.821768.5673-1.80%66.4156-4.88%0.2562✓1.50249k2022-03-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,333.5037,655.84-1.77%44,139.10+15.14%0.0136✓0.9742k2022-03-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0510030.050136-1.70%0.049485-2.98%0.2022✓1.267.5M2022-03-01
RADRadworksEthereum5.115.025-1.66%5.12+0.20%0.1291✓0.99682k2022-03-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012370.012165-1.66%0.01223-1.13%0.1078✓0.7515k2022-03-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.4119.0912-1.64%22.02+13.45%0.0902✓1.55334k2022-03-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9430.927601-1.63%1.245+32.03%0.1076✗1.24934k2022-03-01
BANDBandEthereum3.8743.8121-1.60%4.227+9.11%0.0868✓1.271.9M2022-03-01
UMAUMAEthereum5.1565.0737-1.60%9.447+83.22%0.4696✗1.011.8M2022-03-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.2721.2522-1.56%1.3652+7.32%0.1120✓1.322.6M2022-03-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49760.490209-1.49%0.5765+15.86%0.0237✗0.92684k2022-03-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.9217.6567-1.47%19.34+7.92%0.0831✓1.1622.7M2022-03-01
DODODODOEthereum0.4540.447473-1.44%0.479+5.51%0.1377✓1.374.5M2022-03-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06290.062006-1.42%0.0729+15.90%0.0012✓1.0714k2022-03-01
LUNATerraTerra 254.7754.0017-1.40%89.72+63.81%0.3018✗1.374.5M2022-03-01
DIADIAEthereum0.890.877923-1.36%1.06+19.10%0.0385✗1.00284k2022-03-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.8424.5034-1.35%31.14+25.36%0.0751✗1.1055.4M2022-03-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.266.1773-1.32%6.82+8.95%0.0364✗0.421.3M2022-03-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9962.958-1.27%3.203+6.91%0.0608✓0.94481k2022-03-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0125030.012346-1.26%0.01249-0.10%0.1606✓1.1544k2022-03-01
FTTFTXEthereum41.5140.9959-1.24%46.25+11.42%0.0537✓1.1627.6M2022-03-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018930.018697-1.23%0.02045+8.03%0.0809✓1.142.2M2022-03-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1524.1014-1.22%4.502+8.43%0.0354✓0.86395k2022-03-01
XYMSymbolnative0.14840.146597-1.21%0.1523+2.63%0.0838✓0.81354k2022-03-01
SUSHISushiEthereum3.43.3589-1.21%3.47+2.06%0.1759✓1.397.1M2022-03-01
PROPropyEthereum1.831.8081-1.20%1.84+0.55%0.2288✓1.64635k2022-03-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.252.2231-1.19%2.46+9.33%0.0519✓1.02283k2022-03-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.835.761-1.18%6.51+11.66%0.0095✓0.88430k2022-03-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.691.67-1.18%1.99+17.75%0.0283✓1.362.0M2022-03-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4661.4489-1.17%1.607+9.62%0.1119✓1.44970k2022-03-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.84815.7801-1.16%5.9499+1.74%0.0276✓0.38412k2022-03-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.1818.9627-1.13%20.98+9.38%0.0844✓1.249.6M2022-03-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.683910.676179-1.13%0.75556+10.48%0.1157✓1.51269k2022-03-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.6261.6076-1.13%1.9861+22.15%0.0429✗1.1275k2022-03-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.81110.801968-1.13%0.8569+5.65%0.1198✓1.2423.2M2022-03-01
QTUMQtumQtum6.00725.9397-1.12%6.7053+11.62%0.1005✓1.48153k2022-03-01
DASHDashDash93.5692.5218-1.11%100.01+6.89%0.0976✓1.171.5M2022-03-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6115.5493-1.10%5.771+2.85%0.1161✓1.04266k2022-03-01
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.1561-1.10%2.18+0.00%0.1704✓1.21324k2022-03-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.7323.479-1.06%27.26+14.88%0.0785✓1.521.8M2022-03-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07080.070052-1.06%0.0786+11.02%0.0914✓1.381.1M2022-03-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3722.3471-1.05%3.193+34.61%0.1172✗1.27792k2022-03-01
XEMNEMnative0.09870.097671-1.04%0.1097+11.14%0.0382✓1.0337k2022-03-01
HIVEHivenative0.84660.83785-1.03%1.0352+22.28%0.0220✓1.561.8M2022-03-01
ZENHorizenBase35.2734.9071-1.03%39.34+11.54%0.1167✓1.58335k2022-03-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8214.6684-1.02%15.26+2.97%0.2100✓1.662.7M2022-03-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.010294-1.02%0.01146+10.19%0.1245✓1.552.2M2022-03-01
TRXTRONTron0.062640.062009-1.01%0.062179-0.74%0.1245✓0.85299k2022-03-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13180.13048-1.00%0.1362+3.34%0.1525✓1.303.1M2022-03-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75090.743384-1.00%0.8+6.54%0.0983✓1.149.8M2022-03-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0720.07128-1.00%0.0743+3.19%0.1301✓1.14185k2022-03-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.385.3267-0.99%8.27+53.72%0.3086✗0.88398k2022-03-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.2450.242581-0.99%0.3058+24.82%0.0573✗1.16469k2022-03-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.710.70299-0.99%0.78+9.86%0.1864✓1.941.0M2022-03-01
AVTAventusEthereum2.492.4655-0.98%2.33-6.43%0.2065✓1.00639k2022-03-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.9813.8428-0.98%15.36+9.87%0.0777✓1.2161.5M2022-03-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.026710.026452-0.96%0.02885+8.01%0.0298✓0.784.6M2022-03-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4231.4093-0.96%1.522+6.96%0.1082✓1.231.1M2022-03-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.514.3604-0.96%15.79+8.90%0.0172✓0.751.8M2022-03-01
NANOnanopayBase1.9641.9452-0.96%1.9211-2.18%0.1974✓1.23210k2022-03-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3952.3721-0.96%2.546+6.30%0.1624✓1.5613.8M2022-03-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2665.2158-0.95%5.445+3.40%0.0765✓0.8065k2022-03-01
QNTQuantEthereum115.85114.765-0.94%119.35+3.02%0.1104✓1.006.6M2022-03-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.6932.6679-0.93%3.071+14.04%0.0138✗0.85205k2022-03-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80190.794444-0.93%0.8359+4.24%0.1736✓1.50361k2022-03-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.52090.516079-0.93%0.7582+45.56%0.1839✗1.342.3M2022-03-01
XLMStellarStellar0.185640.183929-0.92%0.198927+7.16%0.0799✓1.0621.8M2022-03-01
ORCAOrcaSolana2.612.5861-0.92%2.58-1.15%0.1523✓1.00683k2022-03-01
MANADecentralandEthereum2.65332.6291-0.91%2.8371+6.93%0.1156✓1.283.3M2022-03-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2950.292381-0.89%0.318+7.80%0.1187✓1.352.0M2022-03-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78861.7729-0.88%2.5724+43.82%0.2923✗0.532.8M2022-03-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5433540.538663-0.86%0.573577+5.56%0.1103✓1.153.3M2022-03-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.86772.8431-0.86%3.0922+7.83%0.0665✓1.002.4M2022-03-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.38230.379022-0.86%0.3753-1.83%0.2220✓1.418.7M2022-03-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0781.0688-0.86%1.224+13.54%0.0536✓1.262.9M2022-03-01
SCSiacoinnative0.008780.008705-0.85%0.00979+11.50%0.0402✓1.05525k2022-03-01
COMPCompoundEthereum112.33111.3834-0.84%125.94+12.12%0.0717✓1.3064k2022-03-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.238-0.83%0.242+0.83%0.1189✓0.9068k2022-03-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037930.037618-0.82%0.04187+10.39%0.0606✓1.1232k2022-03-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.4282.7442-0.81%87.68+5.11%0.0759✓0.89986k2022-03-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.9612.8556-0.81%14.09+8.72%0.0627✓1.03392k2022-03-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.38530.382205-0.80%0.3996+3.71%0.1705✓1.431.4M2022-03-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.434.3947-0.80%4.86+9.71%0.0656✓1.11471k2022-03-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7070.701426-0.79%0.697-1.41%0.1705✓1.091.9M2022-03-01
ZECZcashZcash102.96102.1778-0.76%119.02+15.60%0.0262✓1.197.6M2022-03-01
KCSKuCoinnative18.9418.7977-0.75%20.746+9.54%0.0795✓1.199.6M2022-03-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.92222.9007-0.74%3.1217+6.83%0.0766✓1.002.6M2022-03-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04660.046258-0.73%0.04868+4.46%0.1563✓1.38865k2022-03-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.9039-0.73%5.52+11.74%0.0005✓0.79415k2022-03-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.519.4425-0.71%10.14+6.62%0.0358✓0.71758k2022-03-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13190.130966-0.71%0.1615+22.44%0.0549✗1.03467k2022-03-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.3703-0.70%1.617+17.17%0.0079✓1.161.8M2022-03-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.98473.9568-0.70%4.2804+7.42%0.1021✓1.21291k2022-03-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22690.225325-0.69%0.2576+13.53%0.0200✓1.031.8M2022-03-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084580.083997-0.69%0.09224+9.06%0.0733✓1.1148k2022-03-01
BTTCBTTC0.000001940.000001927-0.69%0.00000199+2.58%0.1176✓1.0014.6M2022-03-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.96.8532-0.68%6.72-2.61%0.0525✓0.221.3M2022-03-01
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2146.1731-0.66%6.823+9.80%0.0439✗0.3829k2022-03-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024950.000024791-0.64%0.00002713+8.74%0.1178✓1.393.7M2022-03-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche74.4273.9565-0.62%86.96+16.85%0.0629✓1.50106.7M2022-03-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.1550.8452-0.60%57.19+11.81%0.0780✓1.307.8M2022-03-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.08860.088075-0.59%0.1048+18.28%0.0490✓1.49684k2022-03-01
XECeCashnative0.000072220.000071797-0.59%0.00007896+9.33%0.0789✓1.164.5M2022-03-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.131320.130583-0.56%0.133991+2.03%0.1253✓1.013.7M2022-03-01
XVGVergenative0.009630.009576-0.56%0.01044+8.41%0.1081✓1.301.2M2022-03-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.17780.17684-0.54%0.1954+9.90%0.1114✓1.413.0M2022-03-01
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8591.849-0.54%1.81-2.64%0.1713✓1.0084k2022-03-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3581.3509-0.52%1.328-2.21%0.2250✓1.391.8M2022-03-01
STXStacksnative1.171.1642-0.49%1.29+10.26%0.0962✓1.33746k2022-03-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,251.4838,069.37-0.48%44,439.95+16.18%0.0048✓1.00646.5M2022-03-01
ADACardanoCardano0.88810.884407-0.42%0.9643+8.58%0.0846✓1.1497.3M2022-03-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.927640.923791-0.41%1.0846+16.92%0.0024✓1.09165k2022-03-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8180.814777-0.39%0.7268-11.15%0.2178✓0.691.5M2022-03-01
XTZTezosTezos3.07123.0592-0.39%3.4918+13.69%0.0614✓1.292.1M2022-03-01
AAVEAaveEthereum134.74134.2805-0.34%143.34+6.38%0.1513✓1.446.5M2022-03-01
ETHEthereumEthereum2,637.982,629.18-0.33%2,977.72+12.88%0.0400✓1.10581.4M2022-03-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45850.457022-0.32%0.5253+14.57%0.0773✓1.44586k2022-03-01
KSMKusamaHydration129.85129.4665-0.30%138.55+6.70%0.1106✓1.19930k2022-03-01
SOLSolanaSolana86.4386.1796-0.29%98.7+14.20%0.0507✓1.24139.1M2022-03-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.6116.5625-0.29%18.9+13.79%0.0672✓1.3329.5M2022-03-01
GTGateEthereum6.19016.1732-0.27%6.7553+9.13%0.0367✓0.853.1M2022-03-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0223480.022307-0.18%0.022682+1.49%0.1465✓1.09101k2022-03-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.6826.6395-0.15%30.35+13.76%0.0345✓1.105.1M2022-03-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0044.0007-0.08%4.177+4.32%0.1452✓1.262.3M2022-03-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7990.798564-0.05%0.89+11.39%0.0974✓1.372.1M2022-03-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.012.0091-0.05%2.396+19.20%0.0177✗1.0619k2022-03-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.062480.062463-0.03%0.07633+22.17%0.0783✗0.8180k2022-03-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05020.050192-0.02%0.0703+40.04%0.0703✗1.7864.3M2022-03-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004520.004525+0.12%0.00471+4.20%0.2446✗1.9012.7M2022-03-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.21630.216706+0.19%0.2318+7.17%0.1642✗1.543.4M2022-03-01
UNIUniswapEthereum8.868.8767+0.19%10.34+16.70%0.0457✗1.3211.0M2022-03-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151340.151652+0.21%0.16553+9.38%0.1225✗1.4030k2022-03-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.10872.1135+0.23%2.2579+7.08%0.0673✗0.8928k2022-03-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash293.48294.374+0.30%328.78+12.03%0.0378✗0.997.6M2022-03-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin107.51107.8608+0.33%112.65+4.78%0.1391✗1.2229.9M2022-03-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6561.6616+0.34%1.582-4.47%0.2152✗1.113.4M2022-03-01
XVSVenusEthereum8.668.7064+0.54%9.35+7.97%0.1216✗1.293.2M2022-03-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35360.355807+0.62%0.4218+19.29%0.0790✗1.6616.4M2022-03-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.311.3248+1.13%1.29-1.53%0.2180✗1.28968k2022-03-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020.020493+2.47%0.01656-17.20%0.4595✗1.6411.1M2022-03-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4362.5384+4.20%2.626+7.80%0.1741✗1.39579k2022-03-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.