2022-02-21 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0078

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.92%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

69.3%

in alpha space · 22.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+16.66%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.332	2.464	+5.66%	2.664	+14.24%	0.1320	✗	1.36	579k	2022-02-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01937	0.020134	+3.94%	0.01796	-7.28%	0.3679	✗	1.65	10.9M	2022-02-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.25	1.2791	+2.32%	1.36	+8.80%	0.1339	✗	1.27	1.1M	2022-02-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.58	1.6083	+1.79%	1.564	-1.01%	0.1969	✗	1.10	3.3M	2022-02-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0474	0.048195	+1.68%	0.0703	+48.31%	0.1046	✓	1.77	64.3M	2022-02-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3401	0.345682	+1.64%	0.3657	+7.53%	0.2014	✗	1.67	16.7M	2022-02-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.73	3.7697	+1.06%	4.154	+11.37%	0.0948	✗	1.24	2.3M	2022-02-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2042	0.206314	+1.04%	0.2321	+13.66%	0.1199	✗	1.54	3.6M	2022-02-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.64	8.7038	+0.74%	9.33	+7.99%	0.1310	✗	1.30	3.2M	2022-02-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	102.78	103.5135	+0.71%	113.82	+10.74%	0.0923	✗	1.21	29.9M	2022-02-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.52	8.5789	+0.69%	10.53	+23.59%	0.0009	✓	1.32	11.2M	2022-02-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	283.16	284.8261	+0.59%	339.27	+19.82%	0.0232	✓	0.98	8.0M	2022-02-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15154	0.152372	+0.55%	0.16639	+9.80%	0.1296	✗	1.41	30k	2022-02-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25	25.1308	+0.52%	30.53	+22.12%	0.0269	✓	1.09	5.2M	2022-02-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.05994	0.060243	+0.51%	0.07201	+20.14%	0.0538	✓	0.81	80k	2022-02-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.11	1.1152	+0.47%	1.25	+12.61%	0.0875	✗	1.31	782k	2022-02-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00451	0.004531	+0.46%	0.00439	-2.66%	0.3276	✗	1.92	12.9M	2022-02-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.739	0.742285	+0.44%	0.877	+18.67%	0.0424	✗	1.36	2.1M	2022-02-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2241	2.2321	+0.36%	2.1929	-1.40%	0.1594	✗	0.92	28k	2022-02-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.3	1.3044	+0.34%	1.352	+4.00%	0.1765	✗	1.38	1.9M	2022-02-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	1.933	1.9393	+0.32%	2.477	+28.14%	0.0826	✓	1.05	20k	2022-02-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4442	0.444811	+0.14%	0.5007	+12.72%	0.1046	✗	1.45	586k	2022-02-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8572	0.858349	+0.13%	0.964	+12.46%	0.0599	✗	1.14	97.3M	2022-02-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	125.92	126.0806	+0.13%	130.28	+3.46%	0.1510	✗	1.19	930k	2022-02-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	128.58	128.7285	+0.12%	145.83	+13.42%	0.0980	✗	1.45	6.7M	2022-02-28
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.853	1.8551	+0.11%	1.836	-0.92%	0.1645	✗	1.00	85k	2022-02-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.023018	0.02303	+0.05%	0.022655	-1.58%	0.1871	✗	1.11	89k	2022-02-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9731	2.9743	+0.04%	3.5483	+19.35%	0.0233	✗	1.30	2.1M	2022-02-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	82.97	83.0007	+0.04%	99.74	+20.21%	0.0077	✗	1.24	154.8M	2022-02-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.35	47.3537	+0.01%	54.42	+14.93%	0.0595	✗	1.29	8.1M	2022-02-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.19	16.1894	-0.00%	18.95	+17.05%	0.0484	✓	1.34	30.0M	2022-02-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.88573	0.885254	-0.05%	1.0426	+17.71%	0.0026	✓	1.08	165k	2022-02-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.0829	6.0785	-0.07%	6.71	+10.31%	0.0324	✓	0.85	3.2M	2022-02-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,023.00	36,979.61	-0.12%	43,192.66	+16.66%	0.0012	✗	1.00	633.0M	2022-02-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.64	0.639234	-0.12%	0.697	+8.91%	0.0784	✓	1.07	1.9M	2022-02-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,569.00	2,565.48	-0.14%	2,923.08	+13.78%	0.0391	✓	1.10	581.4M	2022-02-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00006783	0.000067736	-0.14%	0.00007869	+16.01%	0.0274	✓	1.15	4.6M	2022-02-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	70.08	69.9716	-0.15%	84.59	+20.70%	0.0411	✓	1.50	106.7M	2022-02-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.2	4.1931	-0.16%	4.86	+15.71%	0.0217	✓	1.10	485k	2022-02-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1686	0.16832	-0.17%	0.1925	+14.18%	0.0817	✓	1.40	3.0M	2022-02-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.00929	0.009273	-0.19%	0.01037	+11.63%	0.0883	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-02-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.06	9.0399	-0.22%	10.15	+12.03%	0.0072	✗	0.70	758k	2022-02-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03591	0.035829	-0.23%	0.04194	+16.79%	0.0135	✓	1.11	32k	2022-02-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002404	0.000023983	-0.24%	0.00002579	+7.28%	0.1416	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-02-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.0791	0.078909	-0.24%	0.09213	+16.47%	0.0148	✓	1.10	49k	2022-02-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.7534	3.744	-0.25%	4.2345	+12.82%	0.0615	✓	1.20	309k	2022-02-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04508	0.04496	-0.27%	0.04871	+8.05%	0.1336	✓	1.39	865k	2022-02-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.003	1.0002	-0.28%	1.164	+16.05%	0.0410	✓	1.25	3.0M	2022-02-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.77	13.727	-0.31%	16.18	+17.50%	0.0506	✗	0.74	1.8M	2022-02-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03362	0.033512	-0.32%	0.03503	+4.19%	0.0687	✓	0.73	1.7M	2022-02-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.34	1.3357	-0.32%	1.571	+17.24%	0.0164	✓	1.16	2.0M	2022-02-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.128094	0.127675	-0.33%	0.133451	+4.18%	0.1116	✓	1.01	4.2M	2022-02-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.279	0.277981	-0.37%	0.308	+10.39%	0.1040	✓	1.34	2.0M	2022-02-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1283	0.127827	-0.37%	0.1612	+25.64%	0.0726	✗	1.03	467k	2022-02-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3572	0.355869	-0.37%	0.3772	+5.60%	0.1585	✓	1.41	8.7M	2022-02-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2293	0.228389	-0.40%	0.2945	+28.43%	0.0768	✗	1.15	469k	2022-02-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	106.4	105.9762	-0.40%	120.75	+13.49%	0.0686	✓	1.29	59k	2022-02-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3661	0.36463	-0.40%	0.3943	+7.70%	0.1424	✓	1.43	1.5M	2022-02-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0877	0.08734	-0.41%	0.0857	-2.28%	0.2504	✓	1.50	700k	2022-02-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.04	6.0148	-0.42%	6.75	+11.75%	0.0586	✗	0.37	32k	2022-02-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	106.88	106.4287	-0.42%	115.74	+8.29%	0.0669	✓	0.98	6.6M	2022-02-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2206	0.219635	-0.44%	0.2454	+11.24%	0.0474	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-02-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.57	1.5628	-0.46%	1.86	+18.47%	0.0333	✓	1.35	2.0M	2022-02-28
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000194	0.000001931	-0.46%	0.00000199	+2.58%	0.1241	✓	1.00	14.4M	2022-02-28
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.37	2.3589	-0.47%	2.52	+6.33%	0.0881	✓	1.00	639k	2022-02-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7421	0.738627	-0.47%	0.823	+10.90%	0.1202	✓	1.48	411k	2022-02-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.34	2.3287	-0.48%	2.442	+4.36%	0.1931	✓	1.56	14.4M	2022-02-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.519067	0.516557	-0.48%	0.575051	+10.79%	0.0698	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8775	2.8631	-0.50%	3.1196	+8.41%	0.0696	✓	1.01	2.5M	2022-02-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.72	6.6862	-0.50%	6.6	-1.79%	0.0455	✓	0.21	1.3M	2022-02-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00847	0.008427	-0.51%	0.00968	+14.29%	0.0231	✓	1.05	504k	2022-02-28
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.62	2.6065	-0.51%	2.64	+0.76%	0.1414	✓	1.00	694k	2022-02-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.4827	2.4698	-0.52%	2.8507	+14.82%	0.0513	✓	1.26	3.2M	2022-02-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.51	13.4395	-0.52%	15.14	+12.07%	0.0680	✓	1.21	61.5M	2022-02-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1229	0.122248	-0.53%	0.1303	+6.02%	0.1349	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-02-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.48	12.4133	-0.53%	14.2	+13.78%	0.0238	✓	1.03	404k	2022-02-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	100.47	99.9072	-0.56%	118.68	+18.12%	0.0115	✓	1.19	7.6M	2022-02-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.583	2.5685	-0.56%	3.115	+20.60%	0.0635	✗	0.84	203k	2022-02-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	21.87	21.7462	-0.57%	26.36	+20.53%	0.0401	✓	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	32.14	31.9547	-0.58%	37.91	+17.95%	0.0685	✓	1.55	335k	2022-02-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0681	0.067703	-0.58%	0.078	+14.54%	0.0710	✓	1.38	1.1M	2022-02-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.83	4.8017	-0.59%	5.51	+14.08%	0.0153	✗	0.79	431k	2022-02-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7113	0.707091	-0.59%	0.7967	+12.01%	0.0559	✓	1.14	9.9M	2022-02-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.137	18.0278	-0.60%	20.677	+14.00%	0.0460	✓	1.19	9.8M	2022-02-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4728	0.469945	-0.60%	0.5696	+20.47%	0.0109	✓	1.32	2.3M	2022-02-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01004	0.009979	-0.60%	0.01099	+9.46%	0.1431	✓	1.55	2.2M	2022-02-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	13.9	13.8154	-0.61%	15.37	+10.58%	0.1490	✓	1.66	2.9M	2022-02-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.17816	0.177075	-0.61%	0.197675	+10.95%	0.0523	✓	1.05	21.8M	2022-02-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7569	1.746	-0.62%	2.4391	+38.83%	0.2519	✗	0.53	2.8M	2022-02-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.32	5.2869	-0.62%	5.875	+10.43%	0.0527	✓	1.03	297k	2022-02-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.241	5.2066	-0.66%	5.63	+7.42%	0.0454	✓	0.80	65k	2022-02-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.37	1.361	-0.66%	1.505	+9.85%	0.0895	✓	1.23	1.1M	2022-02-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8148	0.809252	-0.68%	0.9803	+20.31%	0.0483	✓	1.56	1.8M	2022-02-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.018035	0.017909	-0.70%	0.0214	+18.66%	0.0036	✓	1.13	2.2M	2022-02-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8883	0.882025	-0.71%	0.7584	-14.62%	0.2674	✓	0.76	1.5M	2022-02-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0257	0.025518	-0.71%	0.02937	+14.28%	0.0214	✗	0.77	4.7M	2022-02-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		80.87	80.2972	-0.71%	88.67	+9.65%	0.0380	✓	0.89	1.0M	2022-02-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0692	0.068703	-0.72%	0.073	+5.49%	0.1155	✓	1.14	194k	2022-02-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.28	3.2562	-0.73%	3.54	+7.93%	0.1312	✓	1.39	7.1M	2022-02-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.384	1.3739	-0.73%	1.566	+13.15%	0.0891	✓	1.43	970k	2022-02-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	87.04	86.4038	-0.73%	100.51	+15.48%	0.0266	✓	1.15	1.5M	2022-02-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.27	5.2315	-0.73%	7.55	+43.26%	0.2317	✗	0.88	398k	2022-02-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.8682	2.847	-0.74%	3.1104	+8.44%	0.0680	✓	1.02	2.4M	2022-02-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.95	5.9059	-0.74%	6.79	+14.12%	0.0775	✗	0.40	1.4M	2022-02-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.64579	0.64085	-0.76%	0.74117	+14.77%	0.0870	✓	1.51	278k	2022-02-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.0927	0.091985	-0.77%	0.1081	+16.61%	0.0045	✓	1.02	38k	2022-02-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059472	0.058995	-0.80%	0.061786	+3.89%	0.0833	✓	0.84	307k	2022-02-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	39.81	39.4896	-0.80%	45.95	+15.42%	0.0275	✓	1.16	27.6M	2022-02-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.321	2.3021	-0.82%	3.317	+42.91%	0.1688	✗	1.27	845k	2022-02-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7852	0.77872	-0.83%	0.8684	+10.60%	0.0827	✓	1.24	23.9M	2022-02-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9047	1.8887	-0.84%	1.9381	+1.75%	0.1647	✓	1.24	218k	2022-02-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	23.83	23.628	-0.85%	31.38	+31.68%	0.1145	✗	1.10	56.2M	2022-02-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.64	18.4818	-0.85%	21.72	+16.52%	0.0296	✓	1.24	10.1M	2022-02-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.7431	5.6942	-0.85%	6.4925	+13.05%	0.0967	✓	1.48	172k	2022-02-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.16	2.1413	-0.87%	2.21	+2.31%	0.1559	✓	1.22	324k	2022-02-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.012214	0.012108	-0.87%	0.012148	-0.54%	0.1745	✓	1.15	61k	2022-02-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.72	0.713712	-0.87%	0.75	+4.17%	0.2543	✓	1.97	1.1M	2022-02-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.248	0.245801	-0.89%	0.236	-4.84%	0.1834	✓	0.93	68k	2022-02-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.021	3.9827	-0.95%	4.565	+13.53%	0.0045	✓	0.86	383k	2022-02-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.17	2.1491	-0.96%	2.44	+12.44%	0.0302	✓	1.02	283k	2022-02-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.8395	5.7821	-0.98%	5.9258	+1.48%	0.0348	✓	0.38	412k	2022-02-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.889	2.86	-1.01%	3.233	+11.91%	0.0212	✓	0.93	481k	2022-02-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.13	49.6064	-1.04%	91.38	+82.29%	0.4029	✗	1.35	4.8M	2022-02-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.5958	-1.05%	1.7163	+6.42%	0.1019	✓	1.13	75k	2022-02-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.481	0.475877	-1.07%	0.5607	+16.57%	0.0221	✗	0.92	684k	2022-02-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.92	0.909616	-1.13%	1.236	+34.35%	0.1143	✗	1.25	934k	2022-02-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1488	0.147107	-1.14%	0.1531	+2.89%	0.0869	✓	0.82	362k	2022-02-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1385	1.1256	-1.14%	1.3278	+16.62%	0.0342	✓	1.29	2.5M	2022-02-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.77	17.5671	-1.14%	20.13	+13.28%	0.0444	✓	1.17	23.0M	2022-02-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	17.63	17.427	-1.15%	21.16	+20.02%	0.0423	✓	1.53	350k	2022-02-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.92	4.8631	-1.16%	7.228	+46.91%	0.2410	✗	1.01	1.8M	2022-02-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.83	5.7602	-1.20%	6.6	+13.21%	0.0008	✓	0.89	430k	2022-02-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.444	0.438674	-1.20%	0.461	+3.83%	0.1630	✓	1.38	4.5M	2022-02-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0613	0.060544	-1.23%	0.0695	+13.38%	0.0276	✓	1.07	14k	2022-02-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,642.84	19,378.67	-1.34%	21,589.29	+9.91%	0.0504	✓	1.03	5.8M	2022-02-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.77	3.7192	-1.35%	3.934	+4.35%	0.1401	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,080.10	36,550.65	-1.43%	43,136.20	+16.33%	0.0165	✗	0.97	42k	2022-02-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	68.7997	67.8061	-1.44%	67.763	-1.51%	0.2327	✓	1.51	257k	2022-02-28
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.91	0.896505	-1.48%	1.07	+17.58%	0.0228	✗	1.00	281k	2022-02-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.050288	0.049513	-1.54%	0.049264	-2.04%	0.2009	✓	1.27	7.5M	2022-02-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0263	0.025891	-1.55%	0.029	+10.27%	0.1096	✓	1.45	497k	2022-02-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	148	145.6721	-1.57%	170.31	+15.07%	0.0016	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4311	0.424311	-1.57%	0.504	+16.91%	0.1242	✓	1.92	2.0M	2022-02-28
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.99	1.9579	-1.61%	1.84	-7.54%	0.3315	✓	1.75	680k	2022-02-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.51	26.0773	-1.63%	30.9	+16.56%	0.0192	✗	0.98	1.5M	2022-02-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	4.9812	-1.75%	4.85	-4.34%	0.1800	✓	0.99	682k	2022-02-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01284	0.01259	-1.95%	0.01231	-4.13%	0.1423	✓	0.78	15k	2022-02-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.132	0.128962	-2.30%	0.132	+0.00%	0.1359	✓	1.03	51k	2022-02-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.646	1.5971	-2.97%	1.6754	+1.79%	0.1885	✓	1.53	191k	2022-02-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5.72	5.5164	-3.56%	7.529	+31.63%	0.2582	✗	0.34	2.0M	2022-02-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.