2022-02-20 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0693

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.46%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

73.3%

in alpha space · 77.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.75%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.828	2.9251	+3.43%	2.358	-16.62%	0.1928	✗	1.28	579k	2022-02-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02116	0.021658	+2.36%	0.01609	-23.96%	0.2688	✗	1.61	10.9M	2022-02-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.44	1.4463	+0.44%	1.31	-9.03%	0.0773	✗	1.23	1.2M	2022-02-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	8.9853	+0.39%	8.4	-6.15%	0.0443	✗	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3785	0.37914	+0.17%	0.3174	-16.14%	0.1482	✗	1.67	16.9M	2022-02-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	302.87	303.252	+0.13%	304.19	+0.44%	0.0203	✓	0.98	8.0M	2022-02-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1375	2.1401	+0.12%	2.23	+4.33%	0.0578	✓	0.94	28k	2022-02-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.69	110.7457	+0.05%	103.05	-6.90%	0.0507	✗	1.21	30.0M	2022-02-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.796	0.795881	-0.02%	0.812	+2.01%	0.0442	✗	1.37	2.2M	2022-02-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15607	0.15602	-0.03%	0.15123	-3.10%	0.0059	✓	1.43	30k	2022-02-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2213	0.221087	-0.10%	0.1985	-10.30%	0.0806	✓	1.54	3.6M	2022-02-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.36	9.3507	-0.10%	9.77	+4.38%	0.0672	✗	1.32	11.4M	2022-02-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00465	0.004645	-0.11%	0.00404	-13.12%	0.1052	✓	1.94	13.2M	2022-02-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.067	2.0623	-0.23%	2.379	+15.09%	0.1613	✗	1.04	20k	2022-02-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06754	0.067309	-0.34%	0.06333	-6.23%	0.0472	✓	0.78	84k	2022-02-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,622.47	2,612.90	-0.37%	2,618.01	-0.17%	0.0217	✗	1.12	581.4M	2022-02-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.06	4.045	-0.37%	3.741	-7.86%	0.0564	✓	1.23	2.3M	2022-02-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2563	6.2325	-0.38%	6.3355	+1.27%	0.0314	✗	0.85	3.5M	2022-02-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.92	16.855	-0.38%	17.5	+3.43%	0.0612	✗	1.34	31.3M	2022-02-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.82	1.8126	-0.40%	1.412	-22.42%	0.2311	✓	1.06	3.2M	2022-02-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	137.55	136.9624	-0.43%	131.61	-4.32%	0.0145	✓	1.44	6.8M	2022-02-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.23	27.1074	-0.45%	27.37	+0.51%	0.0286	✗	1.07	5.2M	2022-02-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.87	138.1858	-0.49%	117.66	-15.27%	0.1401	✓	1.17	930k	2022-02-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.78	90.3124	-0.52%	85.7	-5.60%	0.0307	✓	1.23	171.7M	2022-02-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0487	0.048445	-0.52%	0.04436	-8.91%	0.0636	✓	1.38	903k	2022-02-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.98512	0.979599	-0.56%	0.9359	-5.00%	0.0269	✓	1.06	180k	2022-02-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.00962	0.009563	-0.60%	0.00923	-4.05%	0.0125	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-02-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,389.03	38,157.33	-0.60%	37,717.08	-1.75%	0.0061	✗	1.00	633.0M	2022-02-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.091	0.090445	-0.61%	0.0773	-15.05%	0.1304	✓	1.51	807k	2022-02-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03914	0.038896	-0.62%	0.03926	+0.31%	0.0287	✗	1.10	32k	2022-02-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5079	0.504694	-0.63%	0.4426	-12.86%	0.1062	✓	1.42	610k	2022-02-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	107.71	107.0158	-0.64%	105.8	-1.77%	0.0063	✓	1.01	6.6M	2022-02-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.7	0.695321	-0.67%	0.648	-7.43%	0.0518	✓	1.06	2.0M	2022-02-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.41	1.4003	-0.69%	1.197	-15.11%	0.1326	✓	1.37	2.2M	2022-02-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	52.1	51.7342	-0.70%	47.98	-7.91%	0.0526	✓	1.29	8.7M	2022-02-27
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0531	0.05272	-0.72%	0.0605	+13.94%	0.1685	✗	1.75	64.3M	2022-02-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9319	0.925073	-0.73%	0.8569	-8.05%	0.0568	✓	1.12	97.3M	2022-02-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1863	0.184892	-0.76%	0.1674	-10.14%	0.0750	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-02-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.98	12.8806	-0.77%	12	-7.55%	0.0526	✓	1.03	448k	2022-02-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.136714	0.135649	-0.78%	0.123115	-9.95%	0.0792	✓	1.00	4.7M	2022-02-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08575	0.085077	-0.78%	0.08363	-2.47%	0.0020	✓	1.08	49k	2022-02-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.17	7.1128	-0.80%	6.06	-15.48%	0.1567	✓	0.20	1.4M	2022-02-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007437	0.000073774	-0.80%	0.00007235	-2.72%	0.0005	✓	1.13	4.7M	2022-02-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2624	3.2363	-0.80%	3.1219	-4.31%	0.0134	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-02-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.962	18.8077	-0.81%	19.035	+0.38%	0.0331	✗	1.20	9.8M	2022-02-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.025474	0.025266	-0.82%	0.022401	-12.06%	0.1011	✓	1.09	89k	2022-02-27
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03634	0.036043	-0.82%	0.03182	-12.44%	0.1118	✓	0.72	1.9M	2022-02-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.39	76.7499	-0.83%	75.09	-2.97%	0.0037	✓	1.45	106.7M	2022-02-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.24	0.237966	-0.85%	0.217	-9.58%	0.0756	✓	0.94	68k	2022-02-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002547	0.000025251	-0.86%	0.00002342	-8.05%	0.0508	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-02-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2401	0.238024	-0.86%	0.2326	-3.12%	0.0053	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	116.98	115.961	-0.87%	108.08	-7.61%	0.0479	✓	1.27	66k	2022-02-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.063	1.0537	-0.88%	1.081	+1.69%	0.0477	✗	1.25	3.0M	2022-02-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.65	4.6088	-0.89%	4.21	-9.46%	0.0714	✓	1.08	510k	2022-02-27
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000197	0.000001953	-0.89%	0.00000184	-6.60%	0.0417	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-02-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.591	6.5319	-0.90%	5.854	-11.18%	0.1029	✓	0.38	35k	2022-02-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1362	0.134976	-0.90%	0.1447	+6.24%	0.0877	✗	1.03	470k	2022-02-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.516	5.466	-0.91%	4.682	-15.12%	0.1408	✓	0.80	65k	2022-02-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.3	0.297268	-0.91%	0.28	-6.67%	0.0364	✓	1.33	2.2M	2022-02-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3917	0.388094	-0.92%	0.3363	-14.14%	0.1186	✓	1.39	8.7M	2022-02-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.01	4.9636	-0.93%	4.64	-7.39%	0.0537	✓	0.78	431k	2022-02-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	108.11	107.1063	-0.93%	102.66	-5.04%	0.0213	✓	1.19	7.6M	2022-02-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8239	0.816208	-0.93%	0.7266	-11.81%	0.0894	✓	1.52	417k	2022-02-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9689	1.9505	-0.94%	1.7425	-11.50%	0.0907	✓	1.25	233k	2022-02-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3961	0.392363	-0.94%	0.3419	-13.68%	0.1124	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.06201	0.061421	-0.95%	0.058112	-6.29%	0.0406	✓	0.84	307k	2022-02-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.75	34.42	-0.95%	32.64	-6.07%	0.0256	✓	1.56	364k	2022-02-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.454	1.4401	-0.96%	1.43	-1.65%	0.0132	✗	1.14	2.1M	2022-02-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00912	0.009032	-0.96%	0.00867	-4.93%	0.0228	✓	1.03	504k	2022-02-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.570834	0.565324	-0.97%	0.521555	-8.63%	0.0605	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-02-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.77	9.6752	-0.97%	9.35	-4.30%	0.0224	✓	0.67	821k	2022-02-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0729	0.072189	-0.98%	0.0675	-7.41%	0.0472	✓	1.13	194k	2022-02-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.516	0.510944	-0.98%	0.4859	-5.83%	0.0270	✓	1.32	2.3M	2022-02-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.0988	0.097831	-0.98%	0.1	+1.21%	0.0397	✗	1.01	38k	2022-02-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.46	83.623	-0.99%	81.71	-3.26%	0.0075	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02715	0.026879	-1.00%	0.02689	-0.96%	0.0156	✗	0.86	5.0M	2022-02-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1176	1.1065	-1.00%	1.1719	+4.86%	0.0811	✗	1.34	2.5M	2022-02-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0929	4.0519	-1.00%	3.8286	-6.46%	0.0358	✓	1.19	327k	2022-02-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.23	15.0767	-1.01%	13.22	-13.20%	0.1014	✓	1.70	3.0M	2022-02-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9539	2.9239	-1.02%	2.859	-3.21%	0.0051	✓	0.98	2.5M	2022-02-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.63	23.3833	-1.04%	23.96	+1.40%	0.0510	✗	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,642.80	38,233.94	-1.06%	37,686.70	-2.47%	0.0026	✓	0.97	42k	2022-02-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.890451	-1.06%	1.179	+31.00%	0.3033	✗	1.28	878k	2022-02-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6203	1.6031	-1.06%	1.5293	-5.61%	0.0270	✓	1.14	75k	2022-02-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	49.33	48.8031	-1.07%	72.51	+46.99%	0.4203	✗	1.38	5.1M	2022-02-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.735	5.6724	-1.09%	5.951	+3.77%	0.0547	✗	0.38	430k	2022-02-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.2549	-1.10%	2.17	-4.82%	0.0204	✓	1.02	299k	2022-02-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6921	2.6624	-1.10%	2.5576	-5.00%	0.0183	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.019255	0.019041	-1.11%	0.01839	-4.49%	0.0145	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-02-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.798	2.7668	-1.11%	2.647	-5.40%	0.0300	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.49	1.4733	-1.12%	1.384	-7.11%	0.0408	✓	1.23	1.1M	2022-02-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.194647	0.192467	-1.12%	0.181008	-7.01%	0.0431	✓	1.04	21.8M	2022-02-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7859	0.777069	-1.12%	0.7097	-9.70%	0.0709	✓	1.12	9.9M	2022-02-27
STX	Stacks	native	1.23	1.2162	-1.12%	1.12	-8.94%	0.0599	✓	1.28	817k	2022-02-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01078	0.010659	-1.13%	0.00965	-10.48%	0.0718	✓	1.56	2.2M	2022-02-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2525	0.249593	-1.15%	0.2684	+6.30%	0.0924	✗	1.12	518k	2022-02-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1343	0.13275	-1.15%	0.115	-14.37%	0.1206	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-02-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.02	2.9849	-1.16%	2.8883	-4.36%	0.0154	✓	0.99	2.4M	2022-02-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.6	14.4262	-1.19%	13.65	-6.51%	0.0341	✓	1.20	63.5M	2022-02-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.70618	0.697775	-1.19%	0.66823	-5.37%	0.0169	✓	1.49	298k	2022-02-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.71	14.5323	-1.21%	14.64	-0.48%	0.0199	✗	0.71	1.8M	2022-02-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.631	-1.21%	6.32	+10.88%	0.1303	✗	0.84	398k	2022-02-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.2326	6.1569	-1.22%	5.8667	-5.87%	0.0224	✓	1.47	172k	2022-02-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.82	19.5777	-1.22%	20.38	+2.83%	0.0619	✗	1.23	10.5M	2022-02-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8455	0.834991	-1.24%	0.7983	-5.58%	0.0230	✓	1.24	24.6M	2022-02-27
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.76	2.7255	-1.25%	2.41	-12.68%	0.1054	✓	1.00	696k	2022-02-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.5	2.4685	-1.26%	3.224	+28.96%	0.2894	✗	1.27	845k	2022-02-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.697	5.6252	-1.26%	5.036	-11.60%	0.0922	✓	1.04	327k	2022-02-27
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9158	0.904203	-1.27%	0.8849	-3.37%	0.0060	✓	1.56	1.8M	2022-02-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	98.1	96.8506	-1.27%	88.3	-9.99%	0.0729	✓	1.11	1.5M	2022-02-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0744	0.07345	-1.28%	0.0698	-6.18%	0.0271	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.211	4.1567	-1.29%	4.06	-3.59%	0.0087	✓	0.84	395k	2022-02-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.7076	-1.29%	1.6	-7.51%	0.0416	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-02-27
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.95	0.937699	-1.29%	0.7935	-16.47%	0.1539	✓	0.74	1.5M	2022-02-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.55	2.5166	-1.31%	2.185	-14.31%	0.1132	✓	1.59	14.5M	2022-02-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.84	40.3027	-1.32%	41.51	+1.64%	0.0501	✗	1.16	27.9M	2022-02-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.532	1.5115	-1.34%	1.377	-10.12%	0.0680	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-02-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.14	6.057	-1.35%	5.65	-7.98%	0.0542	✓	0.87	430k	2022-02-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.154	0.151894	-1.37%	0.141	-8.44%	0.0611	✓	0.76	350k	2022-02-27
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.57	2.5346	-1.38%	2.14	-16.73%	0.1516	✓	1.00	681k	2022-02-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.78	0.769122	-1.39%	0.67	-14.10%	0.1032	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-02-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0654	0.064444	-1.46%	0.0644	-1.53%	0.0181	✗	1.07	15k	2022-02-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.63	3.5767	-1.47%	3.12	-14.05%	0.1123	✓	1.38	7.2M	2022-02-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01318	0.012986	-1.47%	0.011286	-14.37%	0.1202	✓	1.14	81k	2022-02-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.107	3.0602	-1.51%	3.002	-3.38%	0.0032	✓	0.91	492k	2022-02-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.471	0.463878	-1.51%	0.416	-11.68%	0.0845	✓	1.38	4.5M	2022-02-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5119	0.504116	-1.52%	0.5151	+0.63%	0.0377	✗	0.91	724k	2022-02-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.79	18.5033	-1.53%	19.91	+5.96%	0.1005	✗	1.54	350k	2022-02-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.36	5.2769	-1.55%	4.795	-10.54%	0.0783	✓	0.99	1.8M	2022-02-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01266	0.012459	-1.59%	0.01158	-8.53%	0.0588	✓	0.82	15k	2022-02-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.09	25.6725	-1.60%	26.8	+2.72%	0.0619	✗	1.07	57.6M	2022-02-27
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.039	2.0059	-1.63%	1.681	-17.56%	0.1590	✓	1.00	84k	2022-02-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.48	2.4396	-1.63%	1.97	-20.56%	0.1928	✓	1.19	359k	2022-02-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.57	6.4627	-1.63%	5.93	-9.74%	0.0788	✓	0.41	1.4M	2022-02-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	18.7	18.3797	-1.71%	17.24	-7.81%	0.0434	✓	1.17	23.0M	2022-02-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0176	1.9824	-1.75%	1.897	-5.98%	0.0350	✓	0.51	2.8M	2022-02-27
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.9242	-1.83%	1.81	-7.65%	0.0293	✓	1.81	690k	2022-02-27
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.94	0.922638	-1.85%	0.99	+5.32%	0.0881	✗	1.00	277k	2022-02-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.051219	0.050272	-1.85%	0.046151	-9.89%	0.0627	✓	1.29	7.5M	2022-02-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,667.46	20,284.55	-1.85%	19,385.43	-6.20%	0.0273	✓	1.02	6.0M	2022-02-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.87	150.9442	-1.90%	150.62	-2.11%	0.0156	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.3242	72.884	-1.94%	61.5448	-17.19%	0.1424	✓	1.51	281k	2022-02-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.38	4.2938	-1.97%	3.452	-21.19%	0.1962	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-02-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.93	27.3784	-1.98%	29.13	+4.30%	0.0791	✗	0.97	1.4M	2022-02-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.028	0.027409	-2.11%	0.0267	-4.64%	0.0004	✓	1.46	499k	2022-02-27
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.127	0.124167	-2.23%	0.14	+10.24%	0.1393	✗	1.09	51k	2022-02-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4602	0.449394	-2.35%	0.4116	-10.56%	0.0535	✓	1.94	2.0M	2022-02-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.8141	1.7431	-3.91%	1.541	-15.05%	0.0965	✓	1.51	189k	2022-02-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.05	6.7411	-4.38%	4.3	-39.01%	0.4338	✓	0.89	682k	2022-02-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.97	6.5673	-5.78%	6.6	-5.31%	0.0095	✓	0.26	2.0M	2022-02-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.