8=======>

2022-02-19 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1140
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.3%
in alpha space · 78.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.40%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.025160.025631+1.87%0.01784-29.09%0.3288✗1.3810.9M2022-02-26
SOLSolanaSolana91.3491.6428+0.33%90.32-1.12%0.0160✓1.26179.7M2022-02-26
STORJStorjEthereum1.02751.0302+0.27%0.99036-3.61%0.0139✗1.05193k2022-02-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.085.093+0.26%4.46-12.20%0.1072✗1.05510k2022-02-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.990.992503+0.25%1.139+15.05%0.1683✓1.26818k2022-02-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0614.0925+0.23%12.91-8.18%0.0626✗1.03483k2022-02-26
AAVEAaveEthereum146.18146.4998+0.22%136.67-6.51%0.0349✗1.426.8M2022-02-26
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1321.1343+0.21%1.148+1.41%0.0422✓1.243.1M2022-02-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7490.75019+0.16%0.679-9.35%0.0740✗1.052.0M2022-02-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012660.012676+0.13%0.01217-3.87%0.0211✗0.8115k2022-02-26
COMPCompoundEthereum121.25121.4036+0.13%113.35-6.52%0.0374✗1.2966k2022-02-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.752370.753202+0.11%0.69949-7.03%0.0379✗1.48334k2022-02-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.028780.028786+0.02%0.02842-1.25%0.0077✓0.845.2M2022-02-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.285.2805+0.01%4.68-11.36%0.1022✗0.76415k2022-02-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.159980.159965-0.01%0.15626-2.33%0.0117✗1.4432k2022-02-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07840.078385-0.02%0.0685-12.63%0.1076✓1.12194k2022-02-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.581.5797-0.02%1.24-21.52%0.2126✓1.211.2M2022-02-26
UNIUniswapEthereum10.0310.027-0.03%9.06-9.67%0.0696✓1.3111.7M2022-02-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.88780.887416-0.04%0.7651-13.82%0.1129✓1.46453k2022-02-26
QNTQuantEthereum110.71110.6515-0.05%110.79+0.07%0.0258✗1.017.2M2022-02-26
HIVEHivenative0.96350.962671-0.09%0.9533-1.06%0.0282✗1.561.8M2022-02-26
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8736.8664-0.10%6.245-9.14%0.0862✓0.3536k2022-02-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00510.005095-0.10%0.00431-15.49%0.1200✓1.9413.6M2022-02-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.04163.0379-0.12%2.7102-10.90%0.0901✓0.992.4M2022-02-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.09630.096163-0.14%0.0854-11.32%0.0821✓1.50903k2022-02-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.2470.246648-0.14%0.2129-13.81%0.1101✓1.523.7M2022-02-26
GTGateEthereum6.65486.6447-0.15%6.4106-3.67%0.0158✓0.833.6M2022-02-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash312.05311.518-0.17%315.57+1.13%0.0367✗0.988.4M2022-02-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.90010.89855-0.17%0.8598-4.48%0.0139✓1.2425.9M2022-02-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14440.144145-0.18%0.1506+4.29%0.0688✗1.03470k2022-02-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.277.2571-0.18%6.27-13.76%0.1411✓0.211.4M2022-02-26
IMXImmutableEthereum1.981.9762-0.19%1.5-24.24%0.2504✓1.043.2M2022-02-26
XEMNEMnative0.10180.101559-0.24%0.101-0.79%0.0193✗1.0239k2022-02-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.0616.0215-0.24%14.09-12.27%0.0873✓1.693.0M2022-02-26
KSMKusamaHydration151.15150.7741-0.25%124.78-17.45%0.1607✓1.17973k2022-02-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.31362.3076-0.26%2.2359-3.36%0.0090✓0.9328k2022-02-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.54750.546075-0.26%0.4599-16.00%0.1372✓1.42610k2022-02-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.581.5758-0.27%1.437-9.05%0.0623✓1.231.2M2022-02-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41720.416067-0.27%0.3486-16.44%0.1431✓1.398.8M2022-02-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4911.4868-0.28%1.524+2.21%0.0527✗1.152.1M2022-02-26
SCSiacoinnative0.009670.009641-0.30%0.00906-6.31%0.0371✓1.03504k2022-02-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3250.323831-0.36%0.29-10.77%0.0780✓1.332.3M2022-02-26
XVGVergenative0.010320.010283-0.36%0.00985-4.55%0.0115✓1.291.2M2022-02-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin115.59115.1649-0.37%108.29-6.32%0.0320✓1.2131.4M2022-02-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.42010.418517-0.38%0.3655-13.00%0.1007✓1.431.6M2022-02-26
UMAUMAEthereum5.695.6683-0.38%4.934-13.29%0.1143✓1.011.9M2022-02-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.7665.7429-0.40%5.009-13.13%0.1174✓0.7965k2022-02-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.857458-0.41%0.895+3.95%0.0755✗1.342.4M2022-02-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.026090.025978-0.43%0.02263-13.26%0.1102✓1.1489k2022-02-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040640.040458-0.45%0.04014-1.23%0.0186✗1.0932k2022-02-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.66911.6616-0.45%1.5733-5.74%0.0274✓1.1275k2022-02-26
ZENHorizenBase38.1337.9524-0.47%33.26-12.77%0.0939✓1.56405k2022-02-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.821.8112-0.48%1.67-8.24%0.0487✓1.342.0M2022-02-26
NANOnanopayBase2.0712.0604-0.51%1.8651-9.94%0.0694✓1.24263k2022-02-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,901.0039,695.74-0.51%39,589.70-0.78%0.0211✗0.9851k2022-02-26
TRXTRONTron0.0634820.063155-0.51%0.059459-6.34%0.0397✓0.84330k2022-02-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.416.3769-0.52%5.7-11.08%0.0914✓0.86430k2022-02-26
RADRadworksEthereum5.315.2813-0.54%4.47-15.82%0.1416✓1.03682k2022-02-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.6487.1631-0.54%84.76-3.29%0.0063✓0.891.1M2022-02-26
ETHEthereumEthereum2,764.442,748.83-0.56%2,780.71+0.59%0.0386✗1.11588.4M2022-02-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.425.2526-0.58%24.45-3.74%0.0042✓1.501.9M2022-02-26
LUNATerraTerra 250.4650.1658-0.58%78.15+54.88%0.4775✗1.415.3M2022-02-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.571.56-0.63%1.276-18.73%0.1678✓1.362.7M2022-02-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,101.9439,845.97-0.64%39,137.80-2.40%0.0064✗1.00646.5M2022-02-26
DODODODOEthereum0.4890.485855-0.64%0.438-10.43%0.0699✓1.394.7M2022-02-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.1115.0085-0.67%14.7-2.71%0.0041✓0.691.7M2022-02-26
XLMStellarStellar0.2041740.202802-0.67%0.192899-5.52%0.0251✓1.0322.0M2022-02-26
ZECZcashZcash112.33111.5628-0.68%107.8-4.03%0.0046✓1.227.6M2022-02-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.925.8771-0.72%5.38-9.12%0.0682✓0.83398k2022-02-26
CBKCobakEthereum2.1682.152-0.74%2.285+5.40%0.0854✗1.0420k2022-02-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.8617.727-0.74%18.04+1.01%0.0502✗1.3432.4M2022-02-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.089250.088579-0.75%0.08727-2.22%0.0117✗1.0950k2022-02-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5940430.589558-0.75%0.544581-8.33%0.0517✓1.143.6M2022-02-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1410020.13992-0.77%0.127595-9.51%0.0677✓1.015.2M2022-02-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.2656.2163-0.78%5.391-13.95%0.1186✓0.98361k2022-02-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.1980.19646-0.78%0.1751-11.57%0.0819✓1.363.5M2022-02-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9732.9496-0.79%2.576-13.35%0.1164✓0.78206k2022-02-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.55760.553186-0.79%0.504-9.61%0.0612✓1.312.3M2022-02-26
UOSUltraEthereum1.15271.1435-0.80%1.2108+5.04%0.0880✗1.272.6M2022-02-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.030.029758-0.81%0.0274-8.67%0.0472✓1.45499k2022-02-26
XECeCashnative0.000078110.000077476-0.81%0.00007538-3.50%0.0001✓1.134.8M2022-02-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2540.251878-0.84%0.232-8.66%0.0599✓0.9273k2022-02-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071260.070655-0.85%0.06611-7.23%0.0479✓0.7688k2022-02-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.4820.3049-0.86%21.2+3.52%0.0804✗1.53371k2022-02-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011910.011803-0.89%0.00997-16.29%0.1308✓1.562.2M2022-02-26
ADACardanoCardano0.99690.987818-0.91%0.8873-10.99%0.0804✓1.1197.3M2022-02-26
XMRMoneroMonero161.12159.6241-0.93%157.91-1.99%0.0140✗1.021.1M2022-02-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0206170.020423-0.94%0.01882-8.72%0.0539✓1.142.4M2022-02-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.382.3576-0.94%2.3-3.36%0.0002✓1.02327k2022-02-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25120.248828-0.94%0.226-10.03%0.0720✓1.001.9M2022-02-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06790.067256-0.95%0.0674-0.74%0.0284✗1.0816k2022-02-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4190.415006-0.95%0.3507-16.30%0.1281✓1.6517.3M2022-02-26
XVSVenusEthereum9.999.8941-0.96%8.98-10.11%0.0668✓1.243.2M2022-02-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.5215.3687-0.98%14.72-5.15%0.0138✓1.2167.7M2022-02-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.374.3272-0.98%3.874-11.35%0.0809✓1.222.5M2022-02-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.2730.27032-0.98%0.2767+1.36%0.0500✗1.09538k2022-02-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.8270.818879-0.98%0.7459-9.81%0.0671✓1.0810.1M2022-02-26
MINAMina Protocolnative2.422.3962-0.98%2.05-15.29%0.1267✓1.21383k2022-02-26
XYMSymbolnative0.15810.156525-1.00%0.1441-8.86%0.0659✓0.69362k2022-02-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051540.05102-1.01%0.04782-7.22%0.0314✓1.37951k2022-02-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4724.4268-1.01%4.058-9.26%0.0673✓0.81395k2022-02-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.29854.2545-1.02%4.0234-6.40%0.0270✓1.19330k2022-02-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.996.9182-1.03%6.27-10.30%0.0893✓0.371.4M2022-02-26
KCSKuCoinnative19.83919.6309-1.05%19.708-0.66%0.0333✗1.219.9M2022-02-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6641.6459-1.09%1.441-13.40%0.0999✓1.361.1M2022-02-26
DASHDashDash102.42101.3059-1.09%93.68-8.53%0.0513✓1.111.5M2022-02-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.728.3876-1.09%28.91+0.73%0.0442✗1.075.2M2022-02-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.06593.032-1.10%2.7384-10.68%0.0787✓0.952.5M2022-02-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.99.7898-1.11%9.33-5.76%0.0320✓0.66821k2022-02-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.812.7786-1.12%2.394-14.80%0.1123✓1.5115.0M2022-02-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002750.000027192-1.12%0.00002435-11.45%0.0768✓1.383.8M2022-02-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2813.244-1.13%2.874-12.40%0.0995✓0.89502k2022-02-26
QTUMQtumQtum6.7876.7097-1.14%6.1323-9.65%0.0546✓1.45198k2022-02-26
MANADecentralandEthereum2.89172.857-1.20%2.6813-7.28%0.0350✓1.173.3M2022-02-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.48140.475257-1.28%0.4281-11.07%0.0588✓1.881.9M2022-02-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.6753.6271-1.30%2.581-29.77%0.3129✓1.12579k2022-02-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.8454.1184-1.32%50.44-8.02%0.0394✓1.279.2M2022-02-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.5862.5515-1.33%2.305-10.87%0.0704✓1.28845k2022-02-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.9430.5219-1.35%30.18-2.46%0.0116✓0.941.3M2022-02-26
SUSHISushiEthereum3.873.8166-1.38%3.25-16.02%0.1272✓1.387.4M2022-02-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.6926.3133-1.41%29.89+11.99%0.1530✗1.0561.0M2022-02-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08060.079441-1.44%0.073-9.43%0.0520✓1.341.1M2022-02-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.850.837764-1.44%0.7-17.65%0.1317✓1.971.2M2022-02-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche85.0783.8339-1.45%81.79-3.86%0.0093✓1.39110.8M2022-02-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.8220.5147-1.47%19.06-8.45%0.0438✓1.2210.8M2022-02-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,669.7621,349.72-1.48%20,876.08-3.66%0.0021✓1.016.2M2022-02-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05930.058362-1.58%0.0712+20.07%0.2410✗1.7364.3M2022-02-26
MOVRMoonriverBase84.556883.2109-1.59%64.8155-23.35%0.2139✓1.47305k2022-02-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.54850.539619-1.62%0.5505+0.36%0.0419✗0.90741k2022-02-26
XTZTezosTezos3.60743.5478-1.65%3.4172-5.27%0.0069✓1.262.2M2022-02-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14720.144744-1.67%0.1212-17.66%0.1459✓1.303.3M2022-02-26
BANDBandEthereum4.934.8413-1.80%3.6-26.98%0.2665✓1.221.9M2022-02-26
FTTFTXEthereum42.7842.0098-1.80%43.29+1.19%0.0584✗1.1728.5M2022-02-26
BTTCBTTC0.000002020.000001982-1.87%0.00000191-5.45%0.0128✓1.0014.4M2022-02-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039670.038866-2.03%0.03453-12.96%0.1011✓0.711.9M2022-02-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98021.9394-2.06%1.8532-6.41%0.0323✓0.542.9M2022-02-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0151450.014827-2.10%0.01194-21.16%0.1899✓1.10170k2022-02-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum2019.5805-2.10%17.73-11.35%0.0711✓1.1623.2M2022-02-26
ORCAOrcaSolana2.822.7579-2.20%2.56-9.22%0.0501✓1.00698k2022-02-26
DIADIAEthereum1.010.987379-2.24%1.08+6.93%0.1140✗1.00274k2022-02-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.79615.6619-2.32%6.0612+4.57%0.0774✗0.38441k2022-02-26
STXStacksnative1.311.2744-2.71%1.19-9.16%0.0374✓1.28845k2022-02-26
AVTAventusEthereum2.742.6646-2.75%2.35-14.23%0.1013✓1.00723k2022-02-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.98160.950896-3.13%0.794-19.11%0.1618✓0.761.5M2022-02-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1350.130545-3.30%0.141+4.44%0.1035✗1.0954k2022-02-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0593760.057413-3.31%0.048351-18.57%0.1421✓1.227.5M2022-02-26
FIDABonfidaSolana2.1862.1101-3.47%1.808-17.29%0.1302✓1.0076k2022-02-26
PROPropyEthereum2.162.0734-4.01%1.86-13.89%0.0651✓1.79708k2022-02-26
CELLCellframeEthereum1.88541.7999-4.53%1.6235-13.89%0.0661✓1.52189k2022-02-26
API3Api3Ethereum7.477.0175-6.06%6.528-12.61%0.0670✓0.222.0M2022-02-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.