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2022-02-17 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1889
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.53%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
92.0%
in alpha space · 95.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.40%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DIADIAEthereum1.21.1421-4.82%1.02-15.00%0.0576✓1.00270k2022-02-24
API3Api3Ethereum54.8199-3.60%7.001+40.02%0.3863✗0.231.8M2022-02-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.23271.1889-3.55%0.8008-35.04%0.3544✓0.731.5M2022-02-24
PROPropyEthereum2.172.0972-3.36%1.69-22.12%0.1162✓1.79782k2022-02-24
CELLCellframeEthereum1.48051.4333-3.18%1.4257-3.70%0.0794✗1.53144k2022-02-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.53820.52133-3.13%0.3935-26.89%0.1796✓1.831.8M2022-02-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,441.7021,823.42-2.76%19,425.17-13.44%0.0609✓1.006.9M2022-02-24
STXStacksnative1.41.3623-2.69%1.12-20.00%0.1403✓1.00963k2022-02-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.27812.2169-2.68%1.8131-20.41%0.1710✓0.543.1M2022-02-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8619.3271-2.68%16.6-16.41%0.0880✓1.1624.4M2022-02-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03090.03008-2.65%0.0281-9.06%0.0126✓1.45499k2022-02-24
MOVRMoonriverBase85.944483.7277-2.58%63.0112-26.68%0.2009✓1.50315k2022-02-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1240.120871-2.52%0.126+1.61%0.1043✗1.1357k2022-02-24
AVTAventusEthereum2.892.8178-2.50%2.19-24.22%0.1965✓1.00723k2022-02-24
XMRMoneroMonero163.89159.9001-2.43%147-10.31%0.0279✓1.011.2M2022-02-24
FIDABonfidaSolana2.1052.0544-2.41%1.717-18.43%0.1239✓1.0076k2022-02-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.3164.2136-2.37%2.18-49.49%0.5974✓1.11620k2022-02-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.46413.3824-2.36%2.1177-38.87%0.4164✓0.9328k2022-02-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.912.8443-2.26%2.241-22.99%0.1555✓1.4915.9M2022-02-24
SUSHISushiEthereum3.953.8622-2.22%3.14-20.51%0.1311✓1.378.2M2022-02-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.16.9424-2.22%5.89-17.04%0.1440✓0.371.7M2022-02-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0158160.015468-2.20%0.01147-27.48%0.2377✓1.11417k2022-02-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06080.059487-2.16%0.0532-12.50%0.0151✓1.7464.3M2022-02-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.940.919803-2.15%0.64-31.91%0.2533✓1.971.2M2022-02-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.0827.4795-2.14%24.86-11.47%0.0423✓1.0466.4M2022-02-24
FTTFTXEthereum43.7242.7956-2.11%41.3-5.54%0.0290✗1.1630.4M2022-02-24
BANDBandEthereum4.444.3481-2.07%3.558-19.86%0.1321✓1.231.9M2022-02-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2683.201-2.05%2.747-15.94%0.1040✓0.88481k2022-02-24
ORCAOrcaSolana2.922.8602-2.05%2.68-8.22%0.0096✓1.00775k2022-02-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55580.544485-2.04%0.4805-13.55%0.0748✓0.90804k2022-02-24
UMAUMAEthereum6.035.9091-2.01%4.785-20.65%0.1557✓1.001.9M2022-02-24
MINAMina Protocolnative2.562.5093-1.98%1.97-23.05%0.1761✓1.19390k2022-02-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15680.153707-1.97%0.1205-23.15%0.1735✓1.263.3M2022-02-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.043780.042921-1.96%0.03323-24.10%0.2170✓0.702.0M2022-02-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.3515.0549-1.92%13.97-8.99%0.0371✓0.681.7M2022-02-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.320.8906-1.92%19.48-8.54%0.0144✓1.52387k2022-02-24
BTTCBTTC0.000002060.000002021-1.91%0.00000181-12.14%0.0546✓1.0014.2M2022-02-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.91.8638-1.90%1.56-17.89%0.1035✓1.342.1M2022-02-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08250.080953-1.87%0.0685-16.97%0.0935✓1.32966k2022-02-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.071.0503-1.84%1.187+10.93%0.1961✗1.33751k2022-02-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0510550.050144-1.79%0.045853-10.19%0.0225✓1.217.6M2022-02-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.615.3227-1.78%13.27-14.94%0.0778✓1.1969.3M2022-02-24
DODODODOEthereum0.4930.484551-1.71%0.423-14.20%0.0582✓1.404.5M2022-02-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028210.000027739-1.67%0.00002389-15.31%0.0725✓1.383.5M2022-02-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7411.7122-1.66%1.36-21.88%0.1548✓1.361.1M2022-02-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011780.011588-1.63%0.00977-17.06%0.0841✓1.562.0M2022-02-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.31323.2597-1.61%2.6254-20.76%0.1641✓0.942.3M2022-02-24
QTUMQtumQtum7.0156.9025-1.60%5.8411-16.73%0.0861✓1.46165k2022-02-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06980.068691-1.59%0.0609-12.75%0.0610✓1.0717k2022-02-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.691.6632-1.59%1.208-28.52%0.2444✓1.362.7M2022-02-24
MANADecentralandEthereum3.08013.0315-1.58%2.5825-16.16%0.0966✓1.153.3M2022-02-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012580.012382-1.57%0.01188-5.56%0.0031✓0.8015k2022-02-24
XVSVenusEthereum11.4411.2608-1.57%8.95-21.77%0.1618✓1.223.2M2022-02-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.39514.3268-1.55%3.7351-15.02%0.0820✓1.17335k2022-02-24
XYMSymbolnative0.16420.161662-1.55%0.1399-14.80%0.1080✓0.66388k2022-02-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.5420.2275-1.52%18.42-10.32%0.0258✓1.2210.8M2022-02-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.426.3223-1.52%5.42-15.58%0.1068✓0.85449k2022-02-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.6126.2062-1.52%30.76+15.60%0.2125✗0.941.2M2022-02-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.2410.0847-1.52%8.97-12.40%0.0808✓0.65821k2022-02-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.083.0333-1.52%2.481-19.45%0.1582✓0.77212k2022-02-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5674.498-1.51%3.945-13.62%0.0864✓0.81379k2022-02-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0203590.020054-1.50%0.01718-15.61%0.0910✓1.152.4M2022-02-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.82220.809923-1.49%0.6953-15.43%0.0937✓1.0611.6M2022-02-24
RADRadworksEthereum5.545.4574-1.49%4.44-19.86%0.1499✓1.02701k2022-02-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.4996.4022-1.49%5.016-22.82%0.1895✓0.98407k2022-02-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.651.6258-1.47%1.344-18.55%0.1226✓1.221.3M2022-02-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.55025.4688-1.47%5.718+3.02%0.0655✗0.38441k2022-02-24
DASHDashDash104.76103.2241-1.47%87.88-16.11%0.0999✓1.101.8M2022-02-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6682.629-1.46%2.188-17.99%0.1124✓1.28986k2022-02-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche88.2887.0028-1.45%76.41-13.45%0.0517✓1.41106.7M2022-02-24
UOSUltraEthereum1.25111.2331-1.44%1.1579-7.45%0.0080✓1.282.5M2022-02-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08490.083687-1.43%0.0646-23.91%0.1963✓1.13201k2022-02-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.594.5251-1.41%3.941-14.14%0.0707✓1.222.6M2022-02-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.89830.88588-1.38%0.7779-13.40%0.0622✓1.2226.6M2022-02-24
XTZTezosTezos3.66863.6182-1.37%3.0389-17.16%0.1042✓1.272.4M2022-02-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.035.9478-1.36%5.03-16.58%0.1217✓0.83435k2022-02-24
ADACardanoCardano1.02031.0065-1.35%0.8533-16.37%0.1036✓1.11102.4M2022-02-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2680.264434-1.33%0.219-18.28%0.1388✓0.9070k2022-02-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,651.2040,113.32-1.32%38,311.50-5.76%0.0082✓0.9758k2022-02-24
XLMStellarStellar0.2022610.199586-1.32%0.182403-9.82%0.0339✓1.0121.9M2022-02-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.27460.270975-1.32%0.2371-13.66%0.0705✓1.14538k2022-02-24
HIVEHivenative1.01381.0004-1.32%0.8143-19.68%0.1198✓1.551.9M2022-02-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.365.2908-1.29%4.42-17.54%0.1383✓0.75415k2022-02-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2273.186-1.27%2.6203-18.80%0.1403✓0.992.4M2022-02-24
XEMNEMnative0.10470.103372-1.27%0.093-11.17%0.0494✓1.0137k2022-02-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43690.431419-1.25%0.3618-17.19%0.0994✓1.388.9M2022-02-24
LUNATerraTerra 250.2749.6441-1.25%65.24+29.78%0.3516✗1.416.1M2022-02-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15360.151697-1.24%0.1304-15.10%0.0941✓1.03470k2022-02-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.760170.750768-1.24%0.66022-13.15%0.0470✓1.47334k2022-02-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5411.5221-1.23%1.338-13.17%0.0651✓1.152.1M2022-02-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.5425.2288-1.22%22.41-12.26%0.0363✓1.482.0M2022-02-24
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1421.1281-1.22%1.104-3.33%0.0470✗1.243.4M2022-02-24
COMPCompoundEthereum123.7122.1952-1.22%108.77-12.07%0.0451✓1.2865k2022-02-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.029950.029591-1.20%0.02616-12.65%0.0762✓0.855.8M2022-02-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.16.0275-1.19%4.747-22.18%0.1939✓0.8171k2022-02-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.467.3718-1.18%6.1-18.23%0.1773✓0.221.3M2022-02-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.7186.673-1.18%81.89-6.64%0.0076✓0.891.1M2022-02-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.455.3856-1.18%4.24-22.20%0.1809✓1.05532k2022-02-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25250.24955-1.17%0.2141-15.21%0.0977✓1.001.8M2022-02-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3340.330139-1.16%0.274-17.96%0.1111✓1.362.3M2022-02-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.43440.429399-1.15%0.3452-20.53%0.1374✓1.461.8M2022-02-24
XECeCashnative0.000078490.000077587-1.15%0.00007114-9.36%0.0241✓1.134.8M2022-02-24
XVGVergenative0.01070.010577-1.15%0.00894-16.45%0.0954✓1.311.2M2022-02-24
GITCOINGITCOIN7.1077.026-1.14%5.793-18.49%0.1734✓0.3537k2022-02-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.472.4422-1.13%2.19-11.34%0.0523✓1.02361k2022-02-24
IMXImmutableEthereum2.132.1063-1.11%1.504-29.39%0.2791✓1.043.2M2022-02-24
SCSiacoinnative0.009870.00976-1.11%0.00834-15.50%0.1001✓1.03489k2022-02-24
QNTQuantEthereum119.39118.073-1.10%108.73-8.93%0.0266✓1.007.6M2022-02-24
ZECZcashZcash113.58112.3391-1.09%102.72-9.56%0.0225✓1.217.6M2022-02-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1384070.136941-1.06%0.124116-10.33%0.0429✓1.005.9M2022-02-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.621070.614601-1.04%0.509766-17.92%0.1243✓1.133.6M2022-02-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5420.536375-1.04%0.458-15.50%0.0856✓1.302.4M2022-02-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,536.7340,117.95-1.03%38,347.30-5.40%0.0104✓1.00686.5M2022-02-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.62390.617576-1.01%0.4313-30.87%0.2798✓1.43665k2022-02-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8830.874141-1.00%0.74-16.19%0.0866✓1.44501k2022-02-24
ZENHorizenBase36.7436.3715-1.00%34.22-6.86%0.0249✗1.55405k2022-02-24
AAVEAaveEthereum152.99151.4881-0.98%125.3-18.10%0.1121✓1.407.8M2022-02-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7815.626-0.98%13.72-13.05%0.0367✓1.683.2M2022-02-24
TRXTRONTron0.0624020.061794-0.97%0.061098-2.09%0.0353✗0.84344k2022-02-24
KCSKuCoinnative19.7119.5182-0.97%18.173-7.80%0.0029✓1.2310.0M2022-02-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.4329.1454-0.97%26.53-9.85%0.0351✓1.065.4M2022-02-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.40730.403389-0.96%0.3302-18.93%0.1080✓1.6618.6M2022-02-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0269320.026676-0.95%0.021665-19.56%0.1442✓1.1589k2022-02-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.20150.199609-0.94%0.1641-18.56%0.1202✓1.363.6M2022-02-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.66951.6539-0.94%1.5371-7.93%0.0100✓1.1472k2022-02-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum56.3755.8491-0.92%48.82-13.39%0.0643✓1.279.2M2022-02-24
NANOnanopayBase2.10082.0816-0.91%1.7738-15.57%0.0917✓1.23315k2022-02-24
KSMKusamaHydration155.14153.7666-0.89%117.93-23.98%0.2003✓1.17973k2022-02-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.09020.089413-0.87%0.08206-9.02%0.0252✓1.0950k2022-02-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.09690.096086-0.84%0.079-18.47%0.1120✓1.51944k2022-02-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.5814.4578-0.84%11.99-17.76%0.1304✓1.02483k2022-02-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.25580.253666-0.83%0.1956-23.53%0.1753✓1.523.9M2022-02-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7420.736262-0.77%0.64-13.75%0.0808✓1.071.9M2022-02-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1618.0274-0.73%16.18-10.90%0.0340✓1.3432.8M2022-02-24
GTGateEthereum6.586.5328-0.72%6.235-5.24%0.0007✓0.833.7M2022-02-24
STORJStorjEthereum1.07311.0654-0.71%0.89559-16.54%0.1148✓1.06189k2022-02-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00540.005364-0.67%0.00413-23.52%0.1535✓1.9416.8M2022-02-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052150.051804-0.66%0.0436-16.40%0.0962✓1.371.1M2022-02-24
ETHEthereumEthereum2,893.562,874.66-0.65%2,597.42-10.23%0.0397✓1.11588.4M2022-02-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074160.073704-0.61%0.06073-18.11%0.1511✓0.7789k2022-02-24
CBKCobakEthereum2.2312.2178-0.59%2.003-10.22%0.0434✓1.0520k2022-02-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.169820.168824-0.59%0.15132-10.89%0.0299✓1.4332k2022-02-24
SOLSolanaSolana93.5693.0258-0.57%89.41-4.44%0.0289✗1.23179.7M2022-02-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041030.040802-0.56%0.03686-10.16%0.0404✓1.1032k2022-02-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.661.6518-0.50%1.13-31.93%0.3122✓1.211.2M2022-02-24
UNIUniswapEthereum10.4110.36-0.48%8.83-15.18%0.0873✓1.3111.7M2022-02-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin116.39115.8898-0.43%104.24-10.44%0.0384✓1.2231.6M2022-02-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.027580.027484-0.35%0.01693-38.61%0.4089✓1.3611.0M2022-02-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8940.891816-0.24%0.827-7.49%0.0008✓1.342.4M2022-02-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash313.15313.201+0.02%300.94-3.90%0.0142✓0.988.4M2022-02-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.