8=======>

2022-02-11 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 149 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0182
149 of 149 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.0%
in alpha space · 87.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.67%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (149 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.1574.8499-5.95%3.889-24.59%0.1673✓0.921.0M2022-02-18
PROPropyEthereum2.282.1722-4.73%2.15-5.70%0.0481✓1.001.4M2022-02-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.22691.1736-4.34%1.0542-14.08%0.0548✓0.901.8M2022-02-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,115.1322,228.91-3.83%21,934.46-5.11%0.0426✗0.968.0M2022-02-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8219.0856-3.71%19.61-1.06%0.0950✗1.1625.3M2022-02-18
STXStacksnative1.511.4557-3.59%1.35-10.60%0.0170✓1.001.2M2022-02-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.63580.613578-3.50%0.5205-18.13%0.0557✓1.871.8M2022-02-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.59413.4746-3.33%2.9795-17.10%0.1022✓0.8830k2022-02-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.051110.049522-3.11%0.04094-19.90%0.1319✓1.004.9M2022-02-18
SUSHISushiEthereum4.093.9634-3.09%3.91-4.40%0.0669✗1.388.0M2022-02-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06540.063417-3.03%0.0602-7.95%0.0499✗1.7542.7M2022-02-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.977.7315-2.99%6.93-13.05%0.0876✓0.371.7M2022-02-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1170.113636-2.88%0.139+18.80%0.2598✗1.0072k2022-02-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03190.030989-2.86%0.0302-5.33%0.0613✗1.49490k2022-02-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.892.8078-2.84%2.81-2.77%0.0831✗1.4120.0M2022-02-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91511.862-2.77%2.1176+10.57%0.1644✗0.612.9M2022-02-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08690.084509-2.75%0.0812-6.56%0.0409✗1.39567k2022-02-18
BTTCBTTC0.000002160.000002101-2.75%0.00000205-5.09%0.0339✗1.0014.6M2022-02-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.45030.438123-2.70%0.4198-6.77%0.0640✗1.8335.7M2022-02-18
XMRMoneroMonero169.21164.6348-2.70%160.94-4.89%0.0384✗1.051.4M2022-02-18
ORCAOrcaSolana3.113.0286-2.62%2.85-8.36%0.0024✓1.002.0M2022-02-18
FIDABonfidaSolana2.5512.4843-2.61%2.017-20.93%0.1500✓1.0068k2022-02-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5625.8753-2.58%26.85+1.09%0.1029✗1.1376.9M2022-02-18
DIADIAEthereum0.960.935959-2.50%1.07+11.46%0.1922✗1.00281k2022-02-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59560.580951-2.46%0.5612-5.78%0.0271✗1.061.1M2022-02-18
API3Api3Ethereum3.973.8733-2.44%6.01+51.39%0.4590✗0.341.8M2022-02-18
MOVRMoonriverBase84.832182.7912-2.41%83.1979-1.93%0.0892✗1.44319k2022-02-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.18686.0421-2.34%5.708-7.74%0.0384✓0.32447k2022-02-18
FTTFTXEthereum43.4642.444-2.34%43.09-0.85%0.0839✗1.1832.3M2022-02-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1490.145547-2.32%0.1365-8.39%0.0148✓1.353.2M2022-02-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.9816.5894-2.30%15.2-10.48%0.0460✓0.71919k2022-02-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.14831.1221-2.28%1.6049+39.76%0.4506✗1.59114k2022-02-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.2215.8517-2.27%15.2-6.29%0.0284✗1.2173.6M2022-02-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0158720.015523-2.20%0.015984+0.71%0.0977✗1.17689k2022-02-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028720.000028091-2.19%0.00002815-1.98%0.0849✗1.421.7M2022-02-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.795-2.14%4.37-10.82%0.0206✓1.242.6M2022-02-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0321240.031437-2.14%0.026937-16.15%0.0792✓1.29111k2022-02-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.920.901114-2.05%0.89-3.26%0.1021✗1.961.1M2022-02-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3010.294969-2.00%0.261-13.29%0.0676✓0.9476k2022-02-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.072.0297-1.95%1.82-12.08%0.0331✓1.302.3M2022-02-18
BANDBandEthereum4.254.1673-1.95%4.7+10.59%0.1926✗1.241.9M2022-02-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3621.9331-1.91%20.51-8.27%0.0246✗1.57387k2022-02-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0627.5318-1.88%29.08+3.64%0.1107✗0.96679k2022-02-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.951.9133-1.88%1.58-18.97%0.1104✓1.393.0M2022-02-18
UMAUMAEthereum5.965.848-1.88%5.92-0.67%0.0696✗0.981.9M2022-02-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.63.5333-1.85%3.1093-13.63%0.0715✓0.972.2M2022-02-18
XTZTezosTezos4.31294.2358-1.79%3.6234-15.99%0.0802✓1.302.4M2022-02-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.293.2318-1.77%3.181-3.31%0.0361✗0.89525k2022-02-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.542.4961-1.73%2.43-4.33%0.0486✗1.29401k2022-02-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.11.0812-1.71%0.99-10.00%0.0068✓1.39655k2022-02-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013590.013361-1.68%0.01279-5.89%0.0018✓0.7813k2022-02-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.87540.861247-1.62%0.8015-8.44%0.0100✓1.0613.0M2022-02-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0720.070841-1.61%0.0682-5.28%0.0260✗1.1019k2022-02-18
AAVEAaveEthereum163.71161.1012-1.59%145.64-11.04%0.0187✓1.419.5M2022-02-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.0920.7607-1.56%21.02-0.33%0.0829✗1.2110.8M2022-02-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6371.6116-1.55%1.518-7.27%0.0077✓1.161.6M2022-02-18
DODODODOEthereum0.520.512035-1.53%0.494-5.00%0.0486✗1.454.9M2022-02-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.2197.1086-1.53%6.389-11.50%0.0469✓1.02407k2022-02-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012440.01225-1.53%0.01204-3.22%0.0716✗1.521.7M2022-02-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1543.1059-1.53%3.02-4.25%0.0192✗0.81206k2022-02-18
XEMNEMnative0.10860.10696-1.51%0.1011-6.91%0.0053✓1.0635k2022-02-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.19.9503-1.48%10.17+0.69%0.0633✗0.71660k2022-02-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0226110.022277-1.47%0.019599-13.32%0.0573✓1.212.4M2022-02-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,347.7041,728.08-1.46%40,196.70-5.08%0.0191✗0.9741k2022-02-18
LUNATerraTerra 250.3549.6322-1.43%50.61+0.52%0.1029✗1.437.8M2022-02-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15660.154404-1.40%0.1446-7.66%0.0046✓1.05430k2022-02-18
ADACardanoCardano1.08031.0655-1.37%0.9958-7.82%0.0023✓1.12115.7M2022-02-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.6493.3519-1.36%87.44-7.61%0.0125✓0.911.3M2022-02-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8331.8082-1.35%1.674-8.67%0.0008✓1.311.2M2022-02-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2153930.212513-1.34%0.200634-6.85%0.0028✓1.0324.3M2022-02-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0477190.047093-1.31%0.0487+2.06%0.1043✗1.218.7M2022-02-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.7432.3136-1.30%28.96-11.55%0.0478✓1.064.6M2022-02-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.711.6878-1.30%1.59-7.02%0.0138✗1.261.4M2022-02-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.032980.032555-1.29%0.02928-11.22%0.0556✓0.866.4M2022-02-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.92222.8859-1.24%2.97+1.64%0.0873✗1.003.0M2022-02-18
HIVEHivenative1.0741.0606-1.24%0.9999-6.90%0.0263✗1.461.9M2022-02-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,386.4741,860.23-1.24%39,983.56-5.67%0.0125✗1.00642.7M2022-02-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70164.6435-1.24%4.35-7.48%0.0062✓1.23442k2022-02-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.476.39-1.24%6.37-1.55%0.0490✗0.89406k2022-02-18
QNTQuantEthereum129.51127.9117-1.23%113.58-12.30%0.0594✓1.027.8M2022-02-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.144850.143065-1.23%0.138612-4.31%0.0287✗1.037.1M2022-02-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.8180.8414-1.18%83.75+2.37%0.1139✗1.3592.3M2022-02-18
GITCOINGITCOIN7.9237.8295-1.18%6.903-12.87%0.1053✓0.3538k2022-02-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2571.2423-1.17%1.104-12.17%0.0450✓1.253.2M2022-02-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3750.370608-1.17%0.322-14.13%0.0612✓1.361.9M2022-02-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.91690.906277-1.16%0.895-2.39%0.0527✗1.1228.1M2022-02-18
RADRadworksEthereum5.45.3384-1.14%5.3-1.85%0.0535✗1.04701k2022-02-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4534.4025-1.13%4.716+5.91%0.1178✗0.84346k2022-02-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.77.6133-1.13%7.67-0.39%0.0252✗0.301.0M2022-02-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.40513.3669-1.12%3.076-9.66%0.0256✓1.112.5M2022-02-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.189070.186954-1.12%0.17101-9.55%0.0051✓1.6240k2022-02-18
COMPCompoundEthereum124.54123.1512-1.12%121.52-2.42%0.0613✗1.2865k2022-02-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.4091-1.11%5.25-4.02%0.0164✗0.79377k2022-02-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7542.7234-1.11%2.581-6.28%0.0253✗1.351.1M2022-02-18
XECeCashnative0.000083910.00008298-1.11%0.0000786-6.33%0.0138✗1.175.6M2022-02-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.9629.6359-1.08%25.01-16.52%0.0819✓1.502.0M2022-02-18
DASHDashDash103.99102.8886-1.06%105.32+1.28%0.0897✗1.142.2M2022-02-18
GTGateEthereum6.73996.6686-1.06%6.6403-1.48%0.0481✗0.904.0M2022-02-18
XYMSymbolnative0.17350.171666-1.06%0.1609-7.26%0.0229✓0.72406k2022-02-18
XVGVergenative0.011510.01139-1.04%0.01063-7.65%0.0116✗1.381.3M2022-02-18
QTUMQtumQtum6.56036.493-1.03%7.2333+10.26%0.1926✗1.45145k2022-02-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.28420.281292-1.02%0.2677-5.81%0.0158✗1.12538k2022-02-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.65370.647098-1.01%0.5682-13.08%0.0401✓1.54743k2022-02-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.246.177-1.01%5.97-4.33%0.0142✗0.83441k2022-02-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.823290.814977-1.01%0.75452-8.35%0.0103✗1.50311k2022-02-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041880.041468-0.98%0.04101-2.08%0.0545✗1.1230k2022-02-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25940.25685-0.98%0.2543-1.97%0.0534✗1.091.6M2022-02-18
IMXImmutableEthereum2.312.2873-0.98%2.05-11.26%0.0527✓0.972.9M2022-02-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.015.9513-0.98%5.881-2.15%0.0419✗0.9272k2022-02-18
SCSiacoinnative0.010560.010458-0.97%0.00961-9.00%0.0249✓1.02550k2022-02-18
TRXTRONTron0.0639580.063354-0.95%0.063085-1.36%0.0485✗0.90357k2022-02-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08680.085991-0.93%0.0797-8.18%0.0039✓1.23209k2022-02-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.036530.036191-0.93%0.02552-30.14%0.2838✓1.129.5M2022-02-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097520.096616-0.93%0.09046-7.24%0.0035✓1.0750k2022-02-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.995.9357-0.91%5.29-11.69%0.0496✓1.12689k2022-02-18
ZENHorizenBase40.3639.9954-0.90%37.11-8.05%0.0162✗1.56461k2022-02-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41810.414366-0.89%0.4126-1.32%0.0734✗1.338.9M2022-02-18
ZECZcashZcash116.54115.5037-0.89%109.21-6.29%0.0179✗1.277.3M2022-02-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9918.8231-0.88%17.83-6.11%0.0252✗1.3636.1M2022-02-18
KCSKuCoinnative19.08718.9289-0.83%19.552+2.44%0.1107✗1.3410.4M2022-02-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.3542.3346-0.82%2.222-5.61%0.0125✗1.0622k2022-02-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6169040.611875-0.82%0.594984-3.55%0.0402✗1.173.5M2022-02-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.582.559-0.81%2.38-7.75%0.0127✓1.02457k2022-02-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.10860.107733-0.80%0.0978-9.94%0.0053✓1.571.3M2022-02-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.28880.286508-0.79%0.247-14.47%0.0579✓1.554.2M2022-02-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.09761.0889-0.79%1.196+8.97%0.1639✗1.202.3M2022-02-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.991.9748-0.77%1.61-19.10%0.1350✓1.191.5M2022-02-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.565321-0.75%0.5229-8.20%0.0014✓1.312.6M2022-02-18
NANOnanopayBase2.18192.1656-0.75%2.0548-5.83%0.0174✗1.20675k2022-02-18
KSMKusamaHydration165.1163.8849-0.74%150.07-9.10%0.0169✓1.22973k2022-02-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.16231.1539-0.72%1.0419-10.36%0.0406✓1.05239k2022-02-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.77561.7628-0.72%1.6654-6.20%0.0081✗1.1178k2022-02-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum59.0758.6579-0.70%55.59-5.89%0.0181✗1.238.8M2022-02-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.2417.1232-0.68%15.77-8.53%0.0197✗1.753.8M2022-02-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.9614.8595-0.67%14.44-3.48%0.0327✗1.05576k2022-02-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45830.455252-0.66%0.4211-8.12%0.0094✗1.502.2M2022-02-18
ETHEthereumEthereum2,929.082,909.68-0.66%2,780.08-5.09%0.0198✗1.12572.6M2022-02-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.20560.204288-0.64%0.1967-4.33%0.0451✗1.423.7M2022-02-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7710.766149-0.63%0.771+0.00%0.0705✗1.101.7M2022-02-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00620.006163-0.60%0.00516-16.77%0.0595✓2.0218.8M2022-02-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.93450.928999-0.59%0.877-6.15%0.0339✗1.57672k2022-02-18
UNIUniswapEthereum10.6510.5947-0.52%10.16-4.60%0.0359✗1.3312.5M2022-02-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin125.69125.1403-0.44%114.85-8.62%0.0094✓1.3135.7M2022-02-18
SOLSolanaSolana96.596.0922-0.42%89.9-6.84%0.0064✗1.25179.7M2022-02-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.077470.077178-0.38%0.07167-7.49%0.0290✓0.7789k2022-02-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056220.056038-0.32%0.04965-11.69%0.0378✓1.431.2M2022-02-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.960.95784-0.22%0.86-10.42%0.0274✓1.382.4M2022-02-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash321.01320.9088-0.03%310.22-3.36%0.0259✗1.028.9M2022-02-18
XVSVenusEthereum8.928.9428+0.26%10.35+16.03%0.2220✓1.302.8M2022-02-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.