2022-02-09 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1021

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+10.53%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

83.1%

in alpha space · 88.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.17%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.06	10.0512	-0.09%	11.78	+17.10%	0.1740	✗	1.29	2.5M	2022-02-16
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05941	0.059337	-0.12%	0.05759	-3.06%	0.0130	✓	1.43	1.2M	2022-02-16
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	346.21	345.4983	-0.21%	334.55	-3.37%	0.0202	✓	1.02	7.9M	2022-02-16
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.086	1.0822	-0.35%	0.983	-9.48%	0.0800	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-16
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	140.21	139.4427	-0.55%	127.84	-8.82%	0.0715	✓	1.30	32.4M	2022-02-16
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.48	7.4335	-0.62%	7.24	-3.21%	0.0226	✓	0.32	1.0M	2022-02-16
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0976	1.0907	-0.63%	0.9602	-12.52%	0.1092	✓	1.54	672k	2022-02-16
SOL	Solana	Solana	114.04	113.2971	-0.65%	101.94	-10.61%	0.0910	✓	1.24	179.7M	2022-02-16
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.827	0.821454	-0.67%	0.787	-4.84%	0.0300	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-16
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0312	0.030989	-0.68%	0.03216	+3.08%	0.0476	✗	0.89	6.6M	2022-02-16
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.27	21.1217	-0.70%	17.65	-17.02%	0.1592	✓	1.72	3.8M	2022-02-16
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1868	0.185439	-0.73%	0.1747	-6.48%	0.0513	✓	0.71	423k	2022-02-16
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6233	0.61872	-0.73%	0.5683	-8.82%	0.0695	✓	1.31	2.6M	2022-02-16
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,246.22	3,222.27	-0.74%	3,124.45	-3.75%	0.0177	✓	1.11	544.5M	2022-02-16
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.83	2.8091	-0.74%	2.67	-5.65%	0.0388	✓	1.02	489k	2022-02-16
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	192.22	190.7473	-0.77%	166.77	-13.24%	0.1201	✓	1.20	1.0M	2022-02-16
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08573	0.08506	-0.78%	0.08117	-5.32%	0.0379	✓	0.76	89k	2022-02-16
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.705	20.5355	-0.82%	20.855	+0.72%	0.0313	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-02-16
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1237	0.122667	-0.83%	0.1052	-14.96%	0.1353	✓	1.55	1.5M	2022-02-16
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	126.05	124.9885	-0.84%	125.58	-0.37%	0.0196	✗	1.26	6.6M	2022-02-16
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.51	16.3692	-0.85%	15.91	-3.63%	0.0161	✓	1.05	590k	2022-02-16
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.4	2.3792	-0.87%	2.2584	-5.90%	0.0381	✓	1.19	845k	2022-02-16
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5406	0.535737	-0.90%	0.4754	-12.06%	0.1020	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-02-16
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.21	2.1901	-0.90%	1.86	-15.84%	0.1495	✓	1.18	1.7M	2022-02-16
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.33	12.2172	-0.92%	11.22	-9.00%	0.0696	✓	1.32	12.5M	2022-02-16
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3519	1.3395	-0.92%	1.1915	-11.86%	0.1049	✓	1.03	279k	2022-02-16
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4877	0.483183	-0.93%	0.4872	-0.10%	0.0238	✗	1.32	9.2M	2022-02-16
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.06	6.9945	-0.93%	6.08	-13.88%	0.1271	✓	1.10	733k	2022-02-16
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.069943	0.069277	-0.95%	0.066472	-4.96%	0.0307	✓	0.90	362k	2022-02-16
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0468	0.04635	-0.96%	0.04466	-4.57%	0.0240	✓	1.12	30k	2022-02-16
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	67.62	66.9493	-0.99%	63.42	-6.21%	0.0398	✓	1.22	8.4M	2022-02-16
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.706728	0.699678	-1.00%	0.677091	-4.19%	0.0193	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-16
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2907	1.2776	-1.01%	1.4263	+10.50%	0.1240	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-02-16
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0943	0.093328	-1.03%	0.0851	-9.76%	0.0778	✓	1.23	219k	2022-02-16
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0423	6.9687	-1.05%	6.8827	-2.27%	0.0019	✓	0.89	4.1M	2022-02-16
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2042	7.1273	-1.07%	7.8678	+9.21%	0.1159	✗	1.45	156k	2022-02-16
DASH	Dash	Dash	114.95	113.7089	-1.08%	115.33	+0.33%	0.0275	✗	1.13	2.2M	2022-02-16
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.83	47.3103	-1.09%	40.62	-15.07%	0.1343	✓	1.54	461k	2022-02-16
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01205	0.011919	-1.09%	0.01078	-10.54%	0.0886	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-16
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00744	0.007359	-1.09%	0.00601	-19.22%	0.1789	✓	2.00	19.8M	2022-02-16
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3218	0.318285	-1.09%	0.285	-11.44%	0.0922	✓	1.55	4.0M	2022-02-16
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7609	0.75237	-1.12%	0.6989	-8.15%	0.0557	✓	1.53	938k	2022-02-16
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10785	0.106632	-1.13%	0.09789	-9.24%	0.0730	✓	1.06	49k	2022-02-16
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2412	0.238435	-1.15%	0.2202	-8.71%	0.0631	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-02-16
XVG	Verge	native	0.01253	0.012385	-1.16%	0.01171	-6.54%	0.0400	✓	1.36	1.3M	2022-02-16
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.041	0.040512	-1.19%	0.03198	-22.00%	0.2233	✓	1.12	9.1M	2022-02-16
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.406	0.401128	-1.20%	0.373	-8.13%	0.0567	✓	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-16
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.97	21.7045	-1.21%	19.78	-9.97%	0.0769	✓	1.35	37.4M	2022-02-16
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.609	2.577	-1.22%	2.452	-6.02%	0.0373	✓	1.05	22k	2022-02-16
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9982	1.9735	-1.23%	1.8241	-8.71%	0.0657	✓	1.10	79k	2022-02-16
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.43	1.4123	-1.23%	1.274	-10.91%	0.0885	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-16
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3185	0.314531	-1.25%	0.3067	-3.70%	0.0121	✓	1.11	518k	2022-02-16
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.159048	0.157063	-1.25%	0.148737	-6.48%	0.0424	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-16
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.94117	0.929358	-1.26%	0.83537	-11.24%	0.0892	✓	1.48	311k	2022-02-16
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.288	0.284381	-1.26%	0.288	+0.00%	0.0239	✗	0.95	70k	2022-02-16
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,416.35	43,848.70	-1.28%	43,895.56	-1.17%	0.0129	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-16
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2963	0.292426	-1.31%	0.2693	-9.11%	0.0696	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-02-16
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1429	0.141023	-1.31%	0.1562	+9.31%	0.1184	✗	1.38	3.2M	2022-02-16
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.81	2.773	-1.32%	2.4	-14.59%	0.1335	✓	0.92	2.6M	2022-02-16
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3633	5.2923	-1.32%	4.8292	-9.96%	0.0772	✓	1.22	442k	2022-02-16
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.08	5.9982	-1.35%	6.07	-0.16%	0.0241	✗	1.04	773k	2022-02-16
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.083	3.0414	-1.35%	2.809	-8.89%	0.0635	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-16
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.92	33.4613	-1.35%	28.63	-15.60%	0.1382	✓	1.51	2.0M	2022-02-16
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1728	1.1569	-1.36%	1.1125	-5.14%	0.0219	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-02-16
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0371	1.023	-1.36%	0.9791	-5.59%	0.0309	✓	1.10	29.2M	2022-02-16
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.238854	0.235563	-1.38%	0.21874	-8.42%	0.0620	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-16
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	33.84	33.3737	-1.38%	32.25	-4.70%	0.0217	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-02-16
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.14	7.0406	-1.39%	6.52	-8.68%	0.0673	✓	0.81	463k	2022-02-16
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.801	4.7337	-1.40%	4.803	+0.04%	0.0244	✗	0.83	346k	2022-02-16
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.5	100.07	-1.41%	94.6	-6.80%	0.0456	✓	0.90	1.4M	2022-02-16
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01324	0.013053	-1.41%	0.01389	+4.91%	0.0715	✗	0.79	12k	2022-02-16
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1947	1.1777	-1.42%	1.0833	-9.32%	0.0705	✓	1.11	109.8M	2022-02-16
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	90.18	88.8985	-1.42%	95.39	+5.78%	0.0864	✗	1.35	87.1M	2022-02-16
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.17	4.1107	-1.42%	4.87	+16.79%	0.1844	✗	1.26	1.9M	2022-02-16
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.897	6.798	-1.44%	6.358	-7.81%	0.0563	✓	0.90	81k	2022-02-16
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.024233	0.023884	-1.44%	0.021773	-10.15%	0.0782	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-16
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.16	2.1286	-1.46%	1.952	-9.63%	0.0714	✓	1.28	1.2M	2022-02-16
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3415	3.2923	-1.47%	3.2632	-2.35%	0.0025	✓	0.97	2.8M	2022-02-16
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6	5.911	-1.48%	5.47	-8.83%	0.0683	✓	0.78	377k	2022-02-16
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.93	1.9012	-1.49%	1.81	-6.22%	0.0344	✓	1.25	1.5M	2022-02-16
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.796	3.7372	-1.55%	3.514	-7.43%	0.0513	✓	0.87	536k	2022-02-16
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.591	0.581761	-1.56%	0.539	-8.80%	0.0594	✓	1.44	4.6M	2022-02-16
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009721	0.000095642	-1.61%	0.00008539	-12.16%	0.0999	✓	1.14	5.6M	2022-02-16
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	57.56	56.6107	-1.65%	56.02	-2.68%	0.0061	✓	1.41	8.8M	2022-02-16
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.347	3.2915	-1.66%	3.217	-3.88%	0.0134	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-16
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.18	7.0601	-1.67%	6.76	-5.85%	0.0330	✓	0.88	416k	2022-02-16
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	144.23	141.818	-1.67%	136.01	-5.70%	0.0268	✓	1.27	65k	2022-02-16
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.66	6.5484	-1.68%	6.53	-1.95%	0.0087	✓	0.98	1.9M	2022-02-16
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.23058	0.226699	-1.68%	0.17624	-23.57%	0.2330	✓	1.59	36k	2022-02-16
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.832	1.801	-1.69%	1.688	-7.86%	0.0513	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-02-16
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.94	2.8901	-1.70%	2.65	-9.86%	0.0717	✓	1.28	401k	2022-02-16
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8968	3.8303	-1.71%	3.6017	-7.57%	0.0485	✓	1.10	2.5M	2022-02-16
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.329	9.1656	-1.75%	8.239	-11.68%	0.1027	✓	0.33	38k	2022-02-16
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	150.18	147.5126	-1.78%	129.55	-13.74%	0.1180	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-02-16
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1678	0.164741	-1.82%	0.1678	+0.00%	0.0307	✗	1.04	412k	2022-02-16
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.91	10.7101	-1.83%	10.78	-1.19%	0.0148	✓	0.71	660k	2022-02-16
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0794	0.077938	-1.84%	0.0757	-4.66%	0.0163	✓	1.09	21k	2022-02-16
XEM	NEM	native	0.1212	0.118959	-1.85%	0.1142	-5.78%	0.0285	✓	1.05	35k	2022-02-16
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.32	23.8649	-1.87%	23.08	-5.10%	0.0194	✓	1.19	10.4M	2022-02-16
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4429	4.359	-1.89%	4.0382	-9.11%	0.0610	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-02-16
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.28	2.2357	-1.94%	2.13	-6.58%	0.0331	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-02-16
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0216	1.0017	-1.95%	0.8933	-12.56%	0.1022	✓	1.04	13.5M	2022-02-16
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01509	0.014791	-1.98%	0.01344	-10.93%	0.0782	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-02-16
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.48	27.9099	-2.00%	28.31	-0.60%	0.0256	✗	0.97	566k	2022-02-16
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,492.60	43,589.40	-2.03%	43,960.80	-1.20%	0.0199	✓	0.97	41k	2022-02-16
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	188.2	184.258	-2.09%	170.44	-9.44%	0.0615	✓	1.39	9.5M	2022-02-16
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.8	25.2594	-2.10%	24.03	-6.86%	0.0314	✓	1.57	398k	2022-02-16
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0471	-2.14%	0.97	-9.35%	0.0646	✓	1.00	286k	2022-02-16
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.017007	0.016642	-2.15%	0.016969	-0.22%	0.0333	✗	1.18	1.6M	2022-02-16
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.885	3.8015	-2.15%	3.9514	+1.71%	0.0500	✗	0.96	2.2M	2022-02-16
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.263	8.0804	-2.21%	7.454	-9.79%	0.0688	✓	1.01	460k	2022-02-16
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000232	0.000002268	-2.25%	0.00000218	-6.03%	0.0277	✓	1.00	15.1M	2022-02-16
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6017	0.587636	-2.34%	0.602	+0.05%	0.0368	✗	1.07	1.2M	2022-02-16
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	47.97	46.846	-2.34%	46.38	-3.31%	0.0038	✓	1.17	32.3M	2022-02-16
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.84	5.7022	-2.36%	4.9	-16.10%	0.1372	✓	1.22	2.6M	2022-02-16
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.04	3.9433	-2.39%	4.58	+13.37%	0.1535	✗	0.33	1.5M	2022-02-16
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.28	2.225	-2.41%	1.86	-18.42%	0.1629	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-02-16
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.7	18.2427	-2.45%	17.14	-8.34%	0.0483	✓	1.19	75.4M	2022-02-16
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	107.0699	104.4314	-2.46%	95.5515	-10.76%	0.0721	✓	1.42	320k	2022-02-16
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05819	0.056751	-2.47%	0.056084	-3.62%	0.0023	✓	1.19	8.8M	2022-02-16
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0867	0.084382	-2.67%	0.09	+3.81%	0.0807	✗	1.38	548k	2022-02-16
XMR	Monero	Monero	185.83	180.7024	-2.76%	179.36	-3.48%	0.0048	✓	1.04	1.5M	2022-02-16
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9679	1.9117	-2.86%	2.2822	+15.97%	0.1844	✗	0.62	2.8M	2022-02-16
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04699	0.045621	-2.91%	0.04583	-2.47%	0.0164	✓	1.00	4.9M	2022-02-16
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.128	0.124241	-2.94%	0.116	-9.37%	0.0568	✓	1.00	72k	2022-02-16
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.09	1.0577	-2.96%	1.05	-3.67%	0.0155	✓	1.94	1.1M	2022-02-16
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.94	29.9973	-3.05%	28.51	-7.85%	0.0378	✓	1.11	96.8M	2022-02-16
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003298	0.000031944	-3.14%	0.00003095	-6.16%	0.0151	✓	1.40	1.4M	2022-02-16
STX	Stacks	native	1.72	1.6652	-3.19%	1.55	-9.88%	0.0599	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-16
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.032607	-3.24%	0.0335	-0.59%	0.0447	✗	1.50	490k	2022-02-16
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.16	17.5369	-3.43%	16.75	-7.76%	0.0376	✓	0.70	919k	2022-02-16
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3852	1.3368	-3.49%	1.6305	+17.71%	0.2168	✗	1.55	107k	2022-02-16
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.5	3.3664	-3.82%	3.17	-9.43%	0.0437	✓	1.39	20.5M	2022-02-16
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.086	0.082692	-3.85%	0.0695	-19.19%	0.1540	✓	1.67	27.8M	2022-02-16
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.8052	6.5431	-3.85%	5.8668	-13.79%	0.1056	✓	0.29	407k	2022-02-16
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5665	0.543833	-4.00%	0.4482	-20.88%	0.1722	✓	1.79	40.2M	2022-02-16
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.1	22.1375	-4.17%	22.08	-4.42%	0.0110	✓	1.15	26.1M	2022-02-16
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8694	3.7079	-4.17%	3.7402	-3.34%	0.0191	✓	0.88	28k	2022-02-16
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.46	2.3561	-4.22%	2.34	-4.88%	0.0049	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-16
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.31	8.9165	-4.23%	8.24	-11.49%	0.0748	✓	0.35	1.6M	2022-02-16
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.3688	-4.28%	1.12	-21.68%	0.1847	✓	1.35	523k	2022-02-16
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	26,293.98	25,166.41	-4.29%	23,690.00	-9.90%	0.0493	✓	0.94	11.3M	2022-02-16
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03747	0.035711	-4.70%	0.028284	-24.52%	0.2181	✓	1.28	114k	2022-02-16
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.351	1.2858	-4.82%	1.2019	-11.04%	0.0557	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-16
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.76	4.5299	-4.83%	4.3	-9.66%	0.0360	✓	1.37	8.0M	2022-02-16
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8202	0.775014	-5.51%	0.625	-23.80%	0.1935	✓	1.84	1.8M	2022-02-16
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	3.269	3.0845	-5.64%	2.348	-28.17%	0.2610	✓	1.00	67k	2022-02-16
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.908	5.4388	-7.94%	5.046	-14.59%	0.0632	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-16

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.