8=======>

2022-02-06 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1006
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.03%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.5%
in alpha space · 58.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0070.007099+1.41%0.00579-17.29%0.1875✗2.0220.0M2022-02-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013480.013622+1.06%0.01362+1.04%0.0065✓0.8213k2022-02-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.465.5166+1.04%5.5+0.73%0.0032✓0.77356k2022-02-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04080.04122+1.03%0.03066-24.85%0.2870✗1.119.0M2022-02-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.257.3227+1.00%7.41+2.21%0.0144✓0.321.1M2022-02-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8160.823896+0.97%0.747-8.46%0.0892✗1.091.6M2022-02-13
LRCLoopringEthereum1.12221.1325+0.92%0.9151-18.45%0.2009✗1.52672k2022-02-13
XVSVenusEthereum8.918.9893+0.89%8.7-2.36%0.0225✗1.272.3M2022-02-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.5615.6945+0.86%15.13-2.76%0.0284✗1.03616k2022-02-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.40893.4377+0.85%3.4786+2.04%0.0207✓1.102.5M2022-02-13
XVGVergenative0.011520.011616+0.84%0.01099-4.60%0.0449✗1.311.3M2022-02-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.8621.0262+0.80%16.82-19.37%0.2093✗1.733.8M2022-02-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08940.09007+0.75%0.084-6.04%0.0600✗1.22244k2022-02-13
SOLSolanaSolana115.32116.1798+0.75%92.92-19.42%0.2134✗1.25181.0M2022-02-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.032080.032316+0.74%0.03005-6.33%0.0655✗0.897.4M2022-02-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.4730.476201+0.68%0.4062-14.12%0.1483✗1.329.3M2022-02-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash324.8326.8961+0.65%333.81+2.77%0.0291✓1.026.8M2022-02-13
TRXTRONTron0.0662560.06668+0.64%0.064588-2.52%0.0246✗0.90362k2022-02-13
NANOnanopayBase2.23812.2511+0.58%2.1144-5.53%0.0532✗1.17845k2022-02-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.646.6774+0.56%6.63-0.15%0.0001✓0.88444k2022-02-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.2796.3134+0.55%5.903-5.99%0.0601✗0.8881k2022-02-13
RADRadworksEthereum5.795.8214+0.54%5.45-5.87%0.0575✗1.05802k2022-02-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.942620.947613+0.53%0.8076-14.32%0.1477✗1.51334k2022-02-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045030.04526+0.51%0.04259-5.42%0.0517✗1.1329k2022-02-13
COMPCompoundEthereum140.8141.5096+0.50%124.43-11.63%0.1182✗1.2959k2022-02-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.68128.309+0.49%125.67-1.57%0.0105✗1.2730.6M2022-02-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.916.9436+0.49%5.89-14.76%0.1564✗1.02818k2022-02-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07120.071545+0.48%0.0866+21.63%0.2015✓1.30540k2022-02-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.221.2257+0.47%1.06-13.11%0.1344✗1.35490k2022-02-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3670.368666+0.45%0.379+3.27%0.0383✓1.331.7M2022-02-13
STORJStorjEthereum1.34791.3539+0.45%1.1334-15.91%0.1694✗1.05326k2022-02-13
UNIUniswapEthereum11.711.7483+0.41%10.35-11.54%0.1161✗1.3112.2M2022-02-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.861.8673+0.39%1.66-10.75%0.1075✗1.271.8M2022-02-13
SCSiacoinnative0.01160.011645+0.39%0.01036-10.69%0.1088✗1.01550k2022-02-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,902.9042,058.89+0.37%42,091.20+0.45%0.0085✓0.9636k2022-02-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4891.4939+0.33%1.244-16.45%0.1727✗1.283.4M2022-02-13
XEMNEMnative0.11210.112438+0.30%0.11-1.87%0.0135✗1.0535k2022-02-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59760.599313+0.29%0.5345-10.56%0.1039✗1.312.6M2022-02-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.2816.3256+0.28%17.86+9.71%0.0955✓0.70908k2022-02-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.50740.508791+0.27%0.443-12.69%0.1269✗1.432.0M2022-02-13
UMAUMAEthereum6.446.4576+0.27%6.01-6.68%0.0638✗1.001.9M2022-02-13
UOSUltraEthereum1.1971.2001+0.26%1.01-15.63%0.1629✗1.192.3M2022-02-13
ZENHorizenBase47.4947.6091+0.25%40.16-15.43%0.1575✗1.57531k2022-02-13
KSMKusamaHydration195.98196.3929+0.21%163.53-16.56%0.1732✗1.231.0M2022-02-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV98.6598.841+0.19%92.52-6.21%0.0587✗0.911.5M2022-02-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.332.3341+0.18%1.9-18.45%0.1962✗1.192.3M2022-02-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002850.000028548+0.17%0.00003011+5.65%0.0642✓1.351.3M2022-02-13
GITCOINGITCOIN8.4668.48+0.17%7.272-14.10%0.1510✗0.3339k2022-02-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.270.270377+0.14%0.291+7.78%0.0812✓0.9567k2022-02-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7781.7804+0.13%1.6-10.01%0.0975✗1.161.5M2022-02-13
XECeCashnative0.000086130.000086244+0.13%0.00008177-5.06%0.0441✗1.145.4M2022-02-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01260.012616+0.13%0.01193-5.32%0.0445✗1.421.7M2022-02-13
QTUMQtumQtum7.12577.1334+0.11%6.5106-8.63%0.0796✗1.46156k2022-02-13
QNTQuantEthereum135.95136.0785+0.09%121.97-10.28%0.1017✗0.977.5M2022-02-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26070.260941+0.09%0.2771+6.29%0.0684✓1.031.7M2022-02-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1540.154136+0.09%0.1611+4.61%0.0525✓1.03337k2022-02-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.56.5046+0.07%6.49-0.15%0.0042✓0.80441k2022-02-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07680.076847+0.06%0.0714-7.03%0.0647✗1.1021k2022-02-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1310.131064+0.05%0.1475+12.60%0.1292✓1.383.2M2022-02-13
BANDBandEthereum3.973.9718+0.05%4.06+2.27%0.0322✓1.282.0M2022-02-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.1290.129051+0.04%0.1025-20.54%0.2175✗1.601.6M2022-02-13
ZECZcashZcash124.6124.6303+0.02%117.13-6.00%0.0517✗1.286.6M2022-02-13
ETHEthereumEthereum3,058.223,058.65+0.01%2,872.84-6.06%0.0537✗1.11544.5M2022-02-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0161.016+0.00%0.88-13.39%0.1326✗1.382.3M2022-02-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.022030.022028-0.01%0.021469-2.55%0.0160✓1.212.5M2022-02-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.182.1796-0.02%2-8.26%0.0755✓1.312.2M2022-02-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.3110.310916-0.03%0.2688-13.57%0.1329✓1.574.1M2022-02-13
GTGateEthereum7.16247.1592-0.04%6.7726-5.44%0.0483✓0.894.0M2022-02-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.85211.8512-0.04%1.7279-6.70%0.0600✓1.1172k2022-02-13
AAVEAaveEthereum173.57173.4845-0.05%158.29-8.80%0.0804✓1.4010.2M2022-02-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum31.3331.3122-0.06%25.86-17.46%0.1795✓1.472.0M2022-02-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,415.1642,387.88-0.06%42,074.99-0.80%0.0006✓1.00638.9M2022-02-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.02591.0252-0.07%0.8967-12.59%0.1251✓1.0929.2M2022-02-13
DODODODOEthereum0.5560.555595-0.07%0.499-10.25%0.0958✓1.454.6M2022-02-13
IMXImmutableEthereum2.822.8178-0.08%2.29-18.79%0.1999✓0.932.3M2022-02-13
HIVEHivenative1.21771.2165-0.10%1.072-11.97%0.1146✓1.481.9M2022-02-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.77520.774346-0.11%0.6296-18.78%0.1944✓1.551.1M2022-02-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0397480.039704-0.11%0.043319+8.98%0.0964✗1.158.4M2022-02-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.830.828924-0.13%0.91+9.64%0.1085✗1.88996k2022-02-13
XLMStellarStellar0.2239260.223634-0.13%0.210311-6.08%0.0532✓1.0224.4M2022-02-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5334.5263-0.15%4.66+2.80%0.0358✗0.84351k2022-02-13
KCSKuCoinnative20.00119.9661-0.17%19.126-4.37%0.0321✓1.3510.4M2022-02-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.059740.059634-0.18%0.05267-11.83%0.1127✓1.431.5M2022-02-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.58260.581553-0.18%0.5644-3.12%0.0153✓1.821.8M2022-02-13
XMRMoneroMonero173.8173.4404-0.21%174.01+0.12%0.0116✗1.041.6M2022-02-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.16365.1525-0.22%4.6803-9.36%0.0862✓1.23406k2022-02-13
XYMSymbolnative0.19040.189965-0.23%0.1686-11.45%0.1135✓0.72423k2022-02-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03530.035216-0.24%0.0312-11.61%0.1088✓1.53490k2022-02-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.2927.2744-0.24%7.052-3.29%0.0229✓1.01341k2022-02-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.15380.153424-0.24%0.148727-3.30%0.0228✓1.037.1M2022-02-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.732.7228-0.26%2.52-7.69%0.0693✓1.01542k2022-02-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6599060.658143-0.27%0.60939-7.66%0.0676✓1.163.3M2022-02-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.8929.8096-0.27%32.5+8.73%0.0948✗1.043.5M2022-02-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.101070.100786-0.28%0.09518-5.83%0.0488✓1.0547k2022-02-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.2320.231329-0.29%0.2009-13.41%0.1298✓1.393.6M2022-02-13
DASHDashDash108.83108.5089-0.30%102.03-6.25%0.0525✓1.132.5M2022-02-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088120.087848-0.31%0.07534-14.50%0.1473✓0.7886k2022-02-13
ADACardanoCardano1.14361.14-0.31%1.0431-8.79%0.0799✓1.11108.7M2022-02-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.235560.234795-0.32%0.17187-27.04%0.2989✓1.6334k2022-02-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.2610.2233-0.36%11.07+7.89%0.0852✗0.70627k2022-02-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2613.2477-0.41%3.139-3.74%0.0275✓0.81206k2022-02-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche79.0578.7219-0.41%77.97-1.37%0.0012✓1.3485.1M2022-02-13
CBKCobakEthereum2.5832.5723-0.42%2.388-7.55%0.0657✓1.0722k2022-02-13
MOVRMoonriverBase91.457591.0406-0.46%82.6677-9.61%0.0853✓1.39319k2022-02-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.31940.317883-0.47%0.2812-11.96%0.1135✓1.13533k2022-02-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.6524.5315-0.48%21.38-13.27%0.1248✓1.57411k2022-02-13
API3Api3Ethereum3.633.6105-0.54%4.57+25.90%0.2380✗0.301.5M2022-02-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.24723.2293-0.55%3.7675+16.02%0.1617✗0.932.0M2022-02-13
MANADecentralandEthereum3.30033.282-0.55%2.8231-14.46%0.1426✓0.992.8M2022-02-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.172.1578-0.56%1.88-13.36%0.1268✓1.363.4M2022-02-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.0632.0513-0.57%1.737-15.80%0.1558✓1.301.2M2022-02-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6373.6162-0.57%3.387-6.87%0.0586✓0.86649k2022-02-13
MINAMina Protocolnative3.043.022-0.59%2.37-22.04%0.2331✓1.24407k2022-02-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.95920.953293-0.62%0.8484-11.55%0.1081✓1.0513.5M2022-02-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7842.7663-0.64%2.754-1.08%0.0063✓1.33911k2022-02-13
LUNATerraTerra 256.1355.7209-0.73%51.89-7.55%0.0599✓1.408.4M2022-02-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.8627.6372-0.80%28.14+1.01%0.0259✗0.98513k2022-02-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin22.4622.2796-0.80%20.56-8.46%0.0709✓1.1710.4M2022-02-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.9121.7307-0.82%18.75-14.42%0.1365✓1.3741.9M2022-02-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.588.496-0.98%7.27-15.27%0.1530✓0.351.6M2022-02-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.0617.8744-1.03%15.6-13.62%0.1266✓1.1876.9M2022-02-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum68.3267.5618-1.11%58.08-14.99%0.1412✓1.247.8M2022-02-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.393.3508-1.15%2.75-18.88%0.1862✓1.4120.8M2022-02-13
CELLCellframeEthereum1.10731.0942-1.18%1.3168+18.92%0.1972✗1.50103k2022-02-13
XTZTezosTezos3.92563.8784-1.20%3.8546-1.81%0.0045✓1.322.3M2022-02-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0168350.016621-1.27%0.016324-3.04%0.0084✓1.192.3M2022-02-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.46683.4202-1.34%3.4198-1.36%0.0068✓0.8626k2022-02-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08785.0183-1.37%5.8538+15.06%0.1563✗0.28376k2022-02-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0383920.037853-1.40%0.027679-27.90%0.3028✓1.27117k2022-02-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.815.7284-1.40%4.47-23.06%0.2380✓1.252.7M2022-02-13
FTTFTXEthereum46.6545.9629-1.47%44.32-4.99%0.0268✓1.1933.0M2022-02-13
SUSHISushiEthereum4.814.7283-1.70%4.03-16.22%0.1487✓1.388.3M2022-02-13
BTTCBTTC0.000002280.00000224-1.75%0.00000212-7.02%0.0471✓1.0014.9M2022-02-13
DIADIAEthereum1.010.989952-1.98%0.95-5.94%0.0331✓1.00298k2022-02-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.61910.605959-2.12%0.5723-7.56%0.0484✓1.081.4M2022-02-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.3130.5942-2.29%26.19-16.35%0.1462✓1.15103.8M2022-02-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,634.4124,068.23-2.30%22,889.91-7.08%0.0427✓0.9412.3M2022-02-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09290.090722-2.34%0.0626-32.62%0.3570✓1.7526.7M2022-02-13
FIDABonfidaSolana2.2412.1882-2.36%2.437+8.75%0.1158✗1.0066k2022-02-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.3622.7806-2.48%19.77-15.37%0.1323✓1.1726.9M2022-02-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.0762.0212-2.64%1.823-12.19%0.0979✓0.663.2M2022-02-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.53050.514715-2.98%0.4207-20.70%0.1873✓1.7942.5M2022-02-13
STXStacksnative1.681.6232-3.38%1.46-13.10%0.0979✓1.001.2M2022-02-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1270.122048-3.90%0.118-7.09%0.0257✓1.0096k2022-02-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.048880.046667-4.53%0.04523-7.47%0.0232✓1.005.3M2022-02-13
PROPropyEthereum2.132.017-5.30%2.2+3.29%0.0949✗1.001.8M2022-02-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase6.1435.7846-5.83%4.721-23.15%0.1951✓1.001.4M2022-02-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.32661.2477-5.95%1.2947-2.40%0.0450✓1.002.5M2022-02-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.