2022-02-03 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2295

147 of 147 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+16.15%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

76.2%

in alpha space · 8.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+16.60%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.24	1.1971	-3.46%	1.22	-1.61%	0.2030	✓	1.44	490k	2022-02-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0312	1.9666	-3.18%	1.874	-7.74%	0.1588	✓	0.72	3.5M	2022-02-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.39	3.283	-3.16%	2.59	-23.60%	0.4644	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-02-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0779	0.075524	-3.05%	0.0744	-4.49%	0.4031	✓	2.53	26.7M	2022-02-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0602	1.0315	-2.71%	1.1096	+4.66%	0.1639	✓	1.54	1.9M	2022-02-10
STX	Stacks	native	1.43	1.3916	-2.69%	1.62	+13.29%	0.0016	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.1745	3.0915	-2.61%	3.5386	+11.47%	0.0025	✓	0.86	26k	2022-02-10
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.119	0.11595	-2.56%	0.124	+4.20%	0.0865	✓	1.00	118k	2022-02-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	135.16	131.9811	-2.35%	140.08	+3.64%	0.0992	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-10
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.95	0.928673	-2.24%	1.01	+6.32%	0.0697	✓	1.00	391k	2022-02-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5612	0.548928	-2.19%	0.5753	+2.51%	0.1327	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-10
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000207	0.000002026	-2.12%	0.00000223	+7.73%	0.0577	✓	1.00	18.2M	2022-02-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.72	29.092	-2.11%	29.1	-2.09%	0.1829	✓	1.19	114.8M	2022-02-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.77	41.8789	-2.08%	44.55	+4.16%	0.1267	✓	1.23	35.8M	2022-02-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,620.52	23,168.31	-1.91%	24,454.91	+3.53%	0.0958	✓	0.98	13.6M	2022-02-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8358	3.7644	-1.86%	4.1273	+7.60%	0.1205	✓	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.629	1.5993	-1.82%	1.719	+5.52%	0.1081	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.45	14.1876	-1.82%	18.01	+24.64%	0.1307	✗	0.70	879k	2022-02-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0916	3.0367	-1.78%	3.654	+18.19%	0.0267	✗	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.1115	4.0387	-1.77%	6.1336	+49.18%	0.4172	✗	0.00	376k	2022-02-10
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.01	1.9749	-1.75%	2.64	+31.34%	0.1367	✗	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.085	5.983	-1.68%	7.756	+27.46%	0.1011	✗	1.03	341k	2022-02-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.81	20.4703	-1.63%	21.59	+3.75%	0.1329	✓	1.21	31.5M	2022-02-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.456	3.3997	-1.63%	3.584	+3.70%	0.0830	✓	0.88	766k	2022-02-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2929	0.288237	-1.59%	0.3045	+3.96%	0.1215	✓	1.15	590k	2022-02-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.366	2.3289	-1.57%	2.505	+5.87%	0.0927	✓	1.08	22k	2022-02-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.09	5.0106	-1.56%	5.23	+2.75%	0.1498	✓	1.25	3.0M	2022-02-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.46	23.0963	-1.55%	28.06	+19.61%	0.0722	✗	0.80	484k	2022-02-10
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2058	1.1873	-1.53%	1.3101	+8.65%	0.0552	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-10
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04805	0.047315	-1.53%	0.04637	-3.50%	0.1738	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.57	9.4239	-1.53%	10.6	+10.76%	0.0011	✓	0.76	706k	2022-02-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0657	0.064712	-1.50%	0.076	+15.68%	0.0081	✓	1.10	21k	2022-02-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014662	0.014451	-1.44%	0.017169	+17.10%	0.0052	✓	1.16	2.7M	2022-02-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.11	3.0664	-1.40%	3.2	+2.89%	0.1830	✓	1.47	22.3M	2022-02-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.4	3.3533	-1.37%	4.48	+31.76%	0.2539	✗	0.23	1.5M	2022-02-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1775	0.175077	-1.37%	0.1806	+1.75%	0.0744	✓	0.69	423k	2022-02-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.061	1.0466	-1.36%	1.1515	+8.53%	0.0819	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-02-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1027	0.101334	-1.33%	0.1139	+10.91%	0.0375	✓	1.01	41k	2022-02-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.526	0.519035	-1.32%	0.562	+6.84%	0.1567	✓	1.54	4.6M	2022-02-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19482	0.19229	-1.30%	0.2098	+7.69%	0.1634	✓	1.63	29k	2022-02-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.294	1.2774	-1.28%	1.323	+2.24%	0.1565	✓	1.25	3.5M	2022-02-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.8263	0.81573	-1.28%	0.88264	+6.82%	0.1859	✓	1.72	378k	2022-02-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.136	4.0835	-1.27%	4.61	+11.46%	0.0057	✓	0.83	351k	2022-02-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19506	0.192615	-1.25%	0.23172	+18.79%	0.0262	✗	1.03	25.9M	2022-02-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09321	0.092048	-1.25%	0.10255	+10.02%	0.0513	✓	1.04	47k	2022-02-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9279	0.916607	-1.22%	0.9488	+2.25%	0.1376	✓	1.12	14.7M	2022-02-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.12	6.0457	-1.21%	6.84	+11.76%	0.0105	✓	0.87	503k	2022-02-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.613557	0.60613	-1.21%	0.677039	+10.35%	0.0757	✓	1.21	3.5M	2022-02-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.88	27.5459	-1.20%	34.39	+23.35%	0.0552	✗	1.09	3.6M	2022-02-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8308	0.820903	-1.19%	1.3202	+58.91%	0.2537	✗	1.44	99k	2022-02-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7329	6.653	-1.19%	6.9043	+2.55%	0.1073	✓	0.94	4.1M	2022-02-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.936	0.925121	-1.16%	0.9822	+4.94%	0.1200	✓	1.17	31.5M	2022-02-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.8	88.7705	-1.15%	98.35	+9.52%	0.0419	✓	0.94	1.6M	2022-02-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.31	16.1273	-1.12%	17.51	+7.36%	0.1064	✓	1.23	85.9M	2022-02-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.251181	-1.11%	0.281	+10.63%	0.0327	✓	0.94	70k	2022-02-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.695	1.6764	-1.10%	1.987	+17.23%	0.0239	✓	1.26	1.3M	2022-02-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01026	0.010148	-1.09%	0.01138	+10.92%	0.0444	✓	1.03	572k	2022-02-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6813	2.6524	-1.08%	3.1401	+17.11%	0.0216	✗	0.96	3.1M	2022-02-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2853	0.282232	-1.08%	0.3093	+8.41%	0.1596	✓	1.64	4.2M	2022-02-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.618	2.5899	-1.08%	2.821	+7.75%	0.1447	✓	1.50	986k	2022-02-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.69	38.2754	-1.07%	45.02	+16.36%	0.0840	✓	1.60	596k	2022-02-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7256	4.6752	-1.07%	5.0692	+7.27%	0.1191	✓	1.30	364k	2022-02-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.27	7.1928	-1.06%	8.52	+17.19%	0.1248	✗	0.29	1.7M	2022-02-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.2104	3.1767	-1.05%	3.5527	+10.66%	0.0576	✓	1.10	2.7M	2022-02-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.23	50.6952	-1.04%	52.32	+2.13%	0.2342	✓	1.73	8.8M	2022-02-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.0981	6.0345	-1.04%	7.1425	+17.13%	0.0531	✓	1.44	174k	2022-02-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.66	1.6427	-1.04%	1.8	+8.43%	0.1082	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.17	6.106	-1.04%	6.86	+11.18%	0.0064	✓	0.80	504k	2022-02-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0898	1.0789	-1.00%	1.2095	+10.98%	0.0808	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.28	19.0886	-0.99%	23.69	+22.87%	0.0244	✓	1.56	422k	2022-02-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.139	0.137621	-0.99%	0.1649	+18.63%	0.0274	✗	1.00	337k	2022-02-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0807	0.079905	-0.99%	0.0919	+13.88%	0.0477	✓	1.22	299k	2022-02-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6279	1.6119	-0.98%	1.8836	+15.71%	0.0121	✓	1.09	76k	2022-02-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.49	2.4657	-0.98%	2.76	+10.84%	0.0754	✓	1.22	524k	2022-02-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	146.89	145.4571	-0.98%	179.36	+22.10%	0.0557	✗	1.00	1.7M	2022-02-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.66	0.653566	-0.97%	1	+51.52%	0.1369	✗	1.88	1.0M	2022-02-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.89	1.872	-0.95%	2.16	+14.29%	0.0575	✓	1.31	2.5M	2022-02-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01236	0.012244	-0.94%	0.01369	+10.76%	0.0227	✓	0.87	13k	2022-02-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.09	3.0615	-0.92%	3.241	+4.89%	0.0682	✓	0.82	237k	2022-02-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000764	0.000075697	-0.92%	0.0000925	+21.07%	0.0258	✗	1.14	5.6M	2022-02-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.13787	0.136608	-0.91%	0.151631	+9.98%	0.0584	✓	1.06	7.1M	2022-02-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,329.91	36,995.71	-0.90%	43,527.71	+16.60%	0.0090	✗	1.00	682.8M	2022-02-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.37	20.1913	-0.88%	23.14	+13.60%	0.0485	✓	1.20	10.4M	2022-02-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,210.50	36,887.98	-0.87%	43,566.60	+17.08%	0.0127	✗	1.00	51k	2022-02-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	95.23	94.4049	-0.87%	111.66	+17.25%	0.0136	✓	1.18	2.8M	2022-02-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05985	0.059336	-0.86%	0.068608	+14.63%	0.0035	✓	0.92	396k	2022-02-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0616	0.061073	-0.86%	0.1041	+68.99%	0.3353	✗	1.29	548k	2022-02-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.44	2.4192	-0.85%	2.7	+10.66%	0.0467	✓	1.02	644k	2022-02-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.927	17.7769	-0.84%	20.473	+14.20%	0.0900	✓	1.51	10.5M	2022-02-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.71	5.6631	-0.82%	6.28	+9.98%	0.0668	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.88	6.8248	-0.80%	7.67	+11.48%	0.0789	✗	0.25	1.1M	2022-02-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02918	0.028949	-0.79%	0.03045	+4.35%	0.0828	✓	0.87	8.0M	2022-02-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.04	2.0241	-0.78%	2.07	+1.47%	0.2132	✓	1.53	3.9M	2022-02-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.37	25.1727	-0.78%	33.86	+33.46%	0.0431	✗	1.65	2.3M	2022-02-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4435	0.440056	-0.78%	0.5118	+15.40%	0.0689	✓	1.43	2.1M	2022-02-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5436	0.539384	-0.78%	0.6038	+11.07%	0.0896	✓	1.32	2.7M	2022-02-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	101.02	100.2409	-0.77%	124.85	+23.59%	0.0149	✗	1.33	6.6M	2022-02-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0321	0.031855	-0.76%	0.035	+9.03%	0.1276	✓	1.44	490k	2022-02-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.38	3.3544	-0.76%	3.9	+15.38%	0.0415	✓	1.25	2.4M	2022-02-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.42	18.2834	-0.74%	18.94	+2.82%	0.2465	✓	1.83	3.9M	2022-02-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,697.59	2,678.39	-0.71%	3,074.85	+13.99%	0.0316	✓	1.10	573.1M	2022-02-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07603	0.075503	-0.69%	0.0828	+8.90%	0.0217	✓	0.74	80k	2022-02-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1064	0.105663	-0.69%	0.1163	+9.30%	0.1328	✓	1.49	1.6M	2022-02-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1138	0.113014	-0.69%	0.1482	+30.23%	0.0657	✗	1.34	3.4M	2022-02-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00935	0.009287	-0.68%	0.01337	+42.99%	0.1668	✗	1.29	1.8M	2022-02-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.17	5.1372	-0.63%	5.75	+11.22%	0.0038	✓	0.76	398k	2022-02-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.325938	-0.63%	0.408	+24.39%	0.0152	✗	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1541	1.1469	-0.63%	1.2595	+9.13%	0.0619	✓	1.01	338k	2022-02-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.773	5.7369	-0.62%	6.466	+12.00%	0.0108	✓	0.85	115k	2022-02-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.128	7.0835	-0.62%	8.495	+19.18%	0.1442	✗	0.24	40k	2022-02-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0772	2.0644	-0.62%	2.3689	+14.05%	0.0492	✓	1.22	888k	2022-02-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125	124.264	-0.59%	132.68	+6.14%	0.1361	✓	1.31	54k	2022-02-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1839	0.182819	-0.59%	0.2242	+21.91%	0.0010	✓	1.33	3.6M	2022-02-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04063	0.040393	-0.58%	0.04451	+9.55%	0.0742	✓	1.11	28k	2022-02-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	68.49	68.0916	-0.58%	91.18	+33.13%	0.0820	✗	1.37	89.7M	2022-02-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2361	0.234734	-0.58%	0.2774	+17.49%	0.0125	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-02-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.25	2.2371	-0.57%	2.07	-8.00%	0.2998	✓	1.45	2.5M	2022-02-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.86	151.9939	-0.57%	175.4	+14.75%	0.0745	✓	1.42	11.9M	2022-02-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	4.0669	-0.56%	4.41	+7.82%	0.1331	✓	1.39	8.5M	2022-02-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.95	13.8744	-0.54%	16.26	+16.56%	0.0053	✓	1.00	731k	2022-02-10
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4765	0.473977	-0.53%	0.5138	+7.83%	0.2149	✓	1.92	44.4M	2022-02-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	101.93	101.4018	-0.52%	106.25	+4.24%	0.1395	✓	1.21	191.4M	2022-02-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4067	0.40467	-0.50%	0.4615	+13.47%	0.0751	✓	1.34	9.7M	2022-02-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.12	5.0949	-0.49%	5.69	+11.13%	0.0504	✓	1.05	971k	2022-02-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.93	18.8492	-0.43%	20.51	+8.35%	0.1298	✓	1.39	46.2M	2022-02-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.65	5.6268	-0.41%	6.43	+13.81%	0.0115	✓	0.94	832k	2022-02-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.00994	0.009904	-0.36%	0.01219	+22.64%	0.0045	✗	1.32	1.4M	2022-02-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6171	0.614968	-0.35%	0.7205	+16.76%	0.0780	✓	1.54	1.2M	2022-02-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020346	0.020276	-0.35%	0.023319	+14.61%	0.0192	✓	1.04	2.7M	2022-02-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03949	0.03938	-0.28%	0.0397	+0.53%	0.1616	✓	1.10	9.0M	2022-02-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.5	48.3813	-0.24%	63.35	+30.62%	0.0875	✗	1.19	7.8M	2022-02-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	162.76	162.3864	-0.23%	179.15	+10.07%	0.0832	✓	1.18	1.2M	2022-02-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.718	0.71644	-0.22%	0.845	+17.69%	0.0007	✓	1.07	1.6M	2022-02-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002075	0.000020705	-0.22%	0.00003081	+48.48%	0.1825	✗	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05362	0.053541	-0.15%	0.05799	+8.15%	0.1385	✓	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	111.02	110.8608	-0.14%	134.59	+21.23%	0.0144	✓	1.36	33.8M	2022-02-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.874	0.873131	-0.10%	1.029	+17.73%	0.0465	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.39	10.3828	-0.07%	11.41	+9.82%	0.1122	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.5146	74.4781	-0.05%	94.3677	+26.64%	0.0386	✗	1.29	351k	2022-02-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8505	0.850292	-0.02%	1.0404	+22.33%	0.0789	✓	1.83	852k	2022-02-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	281.46	282.2702	+0.29%	341.1	+21.19%	0.0296	✓	1.04	7.6M	2022-02-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03828	0.038493	+0.56%	0.035501	-7.26%	0.3197	✗	1.55	131k	2022-02-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.19	8.2382	+0.59%	9.7	+18.44%	0.0397	✗	1.32	2.5M	2022-02-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036103	0.036321	+0.60%	0.050395	+39.59%	0.1362	✓	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-10
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.748	4.7802	+0.68%	5.533	+16.53%	0.0073	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00612	0.006163	+0.70%	0.00696	+13.73%	0.2357	✗	2.33	21.3M	2022-02-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.3716	0.374481	+0.78%	0.6635	+78.55%	0.3154	✓	1.67	1.8M	2022-02-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.