2022-01-31 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2807

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+9.33%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

53.8%

in alpha space · 9.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+13.97%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0975	0.091644	-6.01%	0.0901	-7.59%	0.3639	✓	2.65	24.9M	2022-02-07
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.887	1.8262	-3.22%	1.9987	+5.92%	0.0048	✓	0.73	3.1M	2022-02-07
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.31	2.2385	-3.09%	2.2	-4.76%	0.1481	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-07
STX	Stacks	native	1.49	1.4475	-2.85%	1.72	+15.44%	0.0418	✗	1.00	2.0M	2022-02-07
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.1775	3.0876	-2.83%	3.7993	+19.57%	0.0892	✗	0.90	22k	2022-02-07
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.122	0.118797	-2.63%	0.133	+9.02%	0.0178	✓	1.00	141k	2022-02-07
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.73	5.5822	-2.58%	5.9	+2.97%	0.1153	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-07
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.58	42.544	-2.38%	47.22	+8.35%	0.0570	✓	1.23	37.0M	2022-02-07
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.25	13.9269	-2.27%	16.23	+13.89%	0.0616	✗	0.70	841k	2022-02-07
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.549	0.536932	-2.20%	0.6257	+13.97%	0.0001	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-02-07
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5403	0.528884	-2.11%	0.602	+11.42%	0.1173	✓	1.89	48.9M	2022-02-07
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,852.85	24,334.68	-2.08%	26,559.72	+6.87%	0.0358	✓	0.94	16.4M	2022-02-07
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.21	24.7067	-2.00%	28.02	+11.15%	0.0237	✗	0.78	447k	2022-02-07
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19016	0.186438	-1.96%	0.22724	+19.50%	0.0132	✓	1.62	24k	2022-02-07
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.904	5.7891	-1.95%	7.753	+31.32%	0.1558	✗	1.04	341k	2022-02-07
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2778	1.2542	-1.84%	1.299	+1.66%	0.0957	✓	1.00	3.1M	2022-02-07
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0665	3.0116	-1.79%	3.4602	+12.84%	0.0021	✓	1.05	2.0M	2022-02-07
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	28.07	27.5946	-1.69%	31.63	+12.68%	0.0142	✓	1.15	120.6M	2022-02-07
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1361	0.133807	-1.68%	0.1593	+17.05%	0.0460	✗	0.98	312k	2022-02-07
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3291	0.323601	-1.67%	0.3247	-1.34%	0.2092	✓	1.63	4.2M	2022-02-07
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.41	3.3533	-1.66%	3.79	+11.14%	0.0977	✗	0.19	1.4M	2022-02-07
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.62	9.4639	-1.62%	10.4	+8.11%	0.0043	✓	0.75	744k	2022-02-07
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.27	3.2189	-1.56%	3.56	+8.87%	0.0892	✓	1.45	24.6M	2022-02-07
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07979	0.078556	-1.55%	0.08985	+12.61%	0.0385	✗	0.73	84k	2022-02-07
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8223	2.7793	-1.52%	3.2878	+16.49%	0.0405	✗	0.98	2.8M	2022-02-07
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.8	5.7119	-1.52%	6	+3.45%	0.0889	✓	1.06	1.0M	2022-02-07
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7199	3.6635	-1.52%	4.8233	+29.66%	0.2774	✗	-0.02	350k	2022-02-07
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1836	0.180893	-1.47%	0.1916	+4.36%	0.0312	✓	0.68	495k	2022-02-07
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01331	0.013114	-1.47%	0.01354	+1.73%	0.0851	✓	0.90	14k	2022-02-07
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0524	1.037	-1.47%	1.1991	+13.94%	0.0043	✓	1.14	113.2M	2022-02-07
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04985	0.049119	-1.47%	0.04778	-4.15%	0.1584	✓	1.00	5.5M	2022-02-07
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.888	1.8604	-1.46%	2.094	+10.91%	0.0444	✓	1.24	1.5M	2022-02-07
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.359	1.3394	-1.44%	1.495	+10.01%	0.0555	✓	1.26	3.5M	2022-02-07
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1215	0.119777	-1.42%	0.1248	+2.72%	0.1550	✓	1.50	1.7M	2022-02-07
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.0138	4.9434	-1.40%	5.4029	+7.76%	0.0752	✓	1.26	430k	2022-02-07
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0658	0.064877	-1.40%	0.079	+20.06%	0.0520	✗	1.11	21k	2022-02-07
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.867	6.7719	-1.38%	7.3085	+6.43%	0.0478	✓	0.95	4.2M	2022-02-07
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.27	6.1833	-1.38%	6.79	+8.29%	0.0201	✓	0.87	529k	2022-02-07
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.199723	0.196976	-1.38%	0.239623	+19.98%	0.0602	✗	1.04	26.2M	2022-02-07
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8388	0.827377	-1.36%	1.2268	+46.26%	0.1970	✗	1.51	106k	2022-02-07
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2718	0.268103	-1.36%	0.3267	+20.20%	0.0478	✗	1.15	557k	2022-02-07
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.85261	0.84106	-1.35%	0.96686	+13.40%	0.0875	✓	1.74	534k	2022-02-07
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.108	4.0531	-1.34%	4.576	+11.39%	0.0158	✗	0.81	367k	2022-02-07
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.4938	3.4478	-1.32%	4.1408	+18.52%	0.0003	✓	1.40	2.4M	2022-02-07
XEM	NEM	native	0.1022	0.100865	-1.31%	0.1175	+14.97%	0.0197	✗	1.02	41k	2022-02-07
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	52.15	51.4979	-1.25%	59.48	+14.06%	0.0773	✓	1.69	8.8M	2022-02-07
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.16	16.9457	-1.25%	18.88	+10.02%	0.0511	✓	1.22	88.8M	2022-02-07
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		91.32	90.1833	-1.24%	101.78	+11.45%	0.0029	✓	0.95	1.6M	2022-02-07
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,589.30	38,113.02	-1.23%	43,893.50	+13.75%	0.0083	✓	1.02	51k	2022-02-07
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9619	0.950055	-1.23%	1.2317	+28.05%	0.0589	✗	1.54	2.0M	2022-02-07
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.683	2.6502	-1.22%	2.945	+9.77%	0.0942	✓	1.53	986k	2022-02-07
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.547	1.5284	-1.20%	1.868	+20.75%	0.0425	✗	1.21	1.6M	2022-02-07
ZEN	Horizen	Base	41	40.5111	-1.19%	48.2	+17.56%	0.0391	✓	1.63	626k	2022-02-07
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.69	2.6582	-1.18%	2.86	+6.32%	0.1300	✓	1.55	2.2M	2022-02-07
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014268	0.014105	-1.14%	0.01721	+20.62%	0.0463	✗	1.17	2.7M	2022-02-07
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9504	0.939663	-1.13%	1.0706	+12.65%	0.0234	✓	1.18	34.5M	2022-02-07
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.51	20.2788	-1.13%	25.54	+24.52%	0.0233	✗	1.59	556k	2022-02-07
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141646	0.140058	-1.12%	0.165291	+16.69%	0.0264	✗	1.07	7.1M	2022-02-07
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0812	0.080297	-1.11%	0.0948	+16.75%	0.0044	✓	1.24	317k	2022-02-07
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08784	0.086894	-1.08%	0.10441	+18.86%	0.0411	✗	1.09	46k	2022-02-07
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,491.93	38,079.16	-1.07%	43,868.07	+13.97%	0.0108	✓	1.00	717.4M	2022-02-07
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.464	0.459085	-1.06%	0.535	+15.30%	0.0299	✓	1.40	2.2M	2022-02-07
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0903	1.0787	-1.06%	1.3002	+19.26%	0.0265	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-07
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.67	25.4046	-1.03%	32.66	+27.23%	0.1089	✗	1.09	3.3M	2022-02-07
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.26	6.1961	-1.02%	6.65	+6.23%	0.0334	✓	0.80	504k	2022-02-07
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.68	1.6629	-1.02%	1.93	+14.88%	0.0207	✓	1.30	2.1M	2022-02-07
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00994	0.009839	-1.01%	0.01211	+21.83%	0.0717	✗	1.04	588k	2022-02-07
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.95	1.9305	-1.00%	2.27	+16.41%	0.0084	✓	1.30	2.8M	2022-02-07
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.0678	6.0071	-1.00%	7.4703	+23.11%	0.0270	✗	1.46	181k	2022-02-07
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.244555	-0.99%	0.285	+15.38%	0.0285	✗	0.95	63k	2022-02-07
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.3	21.0902	-0.99%	24.52	+15.12%	0.0083	✓	1.22	12.6M	2022-02-07
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.065	17.8949	-0.94%	20.309	+12.42%	0.0727	✓	1.52	10.6M	2022-02-07
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	27.02	26.7703	-0.92%	32.06	+18.65%	0.0369	✓	1.66	2.6M	2022-02-07
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.5	2.4772	-0.91%	2.82	+12.80%	0.0032	✓	1.02	754k	2022-02-07
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1164	3.0882	-0.90%	3.5646	+14.38%	0.0037	✓	1.13	2.9M	2022-02-07
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.15	19.9697	-0.89%	21.81	+8.24%	0.1536	✓	1.85	3.9M	2022-02-07
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.042	3.0151	-0.89%	3.306	+8.68%	0.0140	✓	0.81	342k	2022-02-07
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.567335	0.562314	-0.88%	0.67955	+19.78%	0.0299	✗	1.22	3.3M	2022-02-07
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0619	0.061353	-0.88%	0.0915	+47.82%	0.2279	✗	1.31	564k	2022-02-07
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5492	0.544367	-0.88%	0.6374	+16.06%	0.0168	✓	1.34	2.7M	2022-02-07
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007633	0.000075662	-0.88%	0.00009007	+18.00%	0.0270	✗	1.13	5.8M	2022-02-07
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5526	1.539	-0.87%	1.9231	+23.87%	0.0772	✗	1.11	82k	2022-02-07
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0352	0.034897	-0.86%	0.0369	+4.83%	0.1362	✓	1.47	617k	2022-02-07
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.35	7.2884	-0.84%	9.06	+23.27%	0.1819	✗	0.27	1.8M	2022-02-07
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.119	6.0678	-0.84%	6.962	+13.78%	0.0256	✗	0.86	118k	2022-02-07
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059132	0.058637	-0.84%	0.068517	+15.87%	0.0340	✗	0.93	431k	2022-02-07
XMR	Monero	Monero	147.48	146.2548	-0.83%	185.08	+25.49%	0.1020	✗	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-07
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.48	3.4517	-0.81%	4.06	+16.67%	0.0037	✓	1.27	2.5M	2022-02-07
DASH	Dash	Dash	94.18	93.415	-0.81%	115.9	+23.06%	0.0616	✗	1.18	2.9M	2022-02-07
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04045	0.040125	-0.80%	0.04657	+15.13%	0.0025	✓	1.12	29k	2022-02-07
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02978	0.029542	-0.80%	0.03323	+11.58%	0.0004	✓	0.90	8.7M	2022-02-07
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.95	5.9033	-0.78%	6.61	+11.09%	0.0289	✓	1.09	2.1M	2022-02-07
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8338	0.827263	-0.78%	0.9985	+19.75%	0.0407	✗	1.13	16.8M	2022-02-07
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	69.92	69.3801	-0.77%	83.23	+19.04%	0.0064	✓	1.34	85.3M	2022-02-07
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00993	0.009854	-0.77%	0.01584	+59.52%	0.3043	✗	1.30	2.1M	2022-02-07
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1889	0.187487	-0.75%	0.2345	+24.14%	0.0481	✗	1.34	3.8M	2022-02-07
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.36	14.2532	-0.74%	16.8	+16.99%	0.0355	✗	0.99	814k	2022-02-07
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.63528	-0.74%	0.95	+48.44%	0.1596	✗	1.86	1.1M	2022-02-07
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,689.72	2,670.23	-0.72%	3,141.89	+16.81%	0.0181	✗	1.11	557.7M	2022-02-07
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1315	2.1162	-0.72%	2.3627	+10.84%	0.0519	✓	1.24	888k	2022-02-07
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.39	2.3731	-0.71%	3.09	+29.29%	0.1064	✗	1.21	602k	2022-02-07
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.25	5.2131	-0.70%	5.62	+7.05%	0.0209	✓	0.73	429k	2022-02-07
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.16	2.145	-0.70%	2.26	+4.63%	0.1493	✓	1.54	4.2M	2022-02-07
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04586	0.045544	-0.69%	0.04107	-10.44%	0.2488	✓	1.11	9.2M	2022-02-07
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.247	2.2316	-0.68%	2.656	+18.20%	0.0316	✗	1.09	23k	2022-02-07
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1136	0.112826	-0.68%	0.1382	+21.65%	0.0292	✗	1.33	3.8M	2022-02-07
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.318	7.2687	-0.67%	8.971	+22.59%	0.1802	✗	0.23	40k	2022-02-07
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.227	3.2055	-0.67%	3.76	+16.52%	0.0482	✗	0.85	819k	2022-02-07
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.25	6.2086	-0.66%	7.38	+18.08%	0.0492	✗	0.95	892k	2022-02-07
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.78	11.702	-0.66%	12.38	+5.09%	0.1222	✓	1.37	12.5M	2022-02-07
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1648	1.1572	-0.66%	1.3981	+20.03%	0.0555	✗	1.02	352k	2022-02-07
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	157.59	156.5714	-0.65%	182.29	+15.67%	0.0304	✓	1.40	12.7M	2022-02-07
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.82	19.6991	-0.61%	24.04	+21.29%	0.0323	✗	1.28	34.3M	2022-02-07
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	52.38	52.0635	-0.60%	68.32	+30.43%	0.1198	✗	1.16	8.0M	2022-02-07
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2423	0.240881	-0.59%	0.2714	+12.01%	0.0338	✓	1.17	1.9M	2022-02-07
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.491	0.488127	-0.59%	0.583	+18.74%	0.0233	✓	1.54	5.0M	2022-02-07
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.57	94.0353	-0.57%	128.86	+36.26%	0.1384	✗	1.35	6.6M	2022-02-07
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.54	6.5043	-0.55%	7.41	+13.30%	0.1007	✗	0.23	1.1M	2022-02-07
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	19.39	19.2884	-0.52%	22.37	+15.37%	0.0346	✓	1.40	50.2M	2022-02-07
SOL	Solana	Solana	99.52	99.0567	-0.47%	117.62	+18.19%	0.0168	✗	1.19	165.9M	2022-02-07
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.15	96.7003	-0.46%	154.1	+58.62%	0.3286	✗	1.05	7.5M	2022-02-07
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.15	2.1402	-0.46%	2.38	+10.70%	0.0973	✓	1.56	2.3M	2022-02-07
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.318	0.316548	-0.46%	0.384	+20.75%	0.0150	✗	1.36	1.7M	2022-02-07
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.409	0.407184	-0.44%	0.5065	+23.84%	0.0472	✗	1.31	10.0M	2022-02-07
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.389	5.3657	-0.43%	6.287	+16.66%	0.0277	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-07
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.058	0.057751	-0.43%	0.06292	+8.48%	0.1009	✓	1.43	1.7M	2022-02-07
XVG	Verge	native	0.01022	0.010178	-0.41%	0.01222	+19.57%	0.0080	✗	1.34	1.6M	2022-02-07
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9985	0.994476	-0.40%	1.1664	+16.82%	0.0803	✓	1.83	929k	2022-02-07
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002142	0.000021337	-0.39%	0.00003255	+51.96%	0.2378	✗	1.41	1.6M	2022-02-07
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021024	0.020961	-0.30%	0.023054	+9.66%	0.0384	✓	1.02	3.1M	2022-02-07
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.39	121.0307	-0.30%	145.96	+20.24%	0.0161	✗	1.31	65k	2022-02-07
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.23	4.2181	-0.28%	4.96	+17.26%	0.0207	✓	1.40	9.3M	2022-02-07
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.55	109.3085	-0.22%	137.43	+25.45%	0.0526	✗	1.35	33.8M	2022-02-07
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.731	0.729415	-0.22%	0.854	+16.83%	0.0182	✗	1.07	1.7M	2022-02-07
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.915	0.91339	-0.18%	1.073	+17.27%	0.0191	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-07
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6166	0.616005	-0.10%	0.7902	+28.15%	0.0477	✗	1.54	1.2M	2022-02-07
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.82	0.820117	+0.01%	1.24	+51.22%	0.2136	✓	1.53	490k	2022-02-07
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	159.75	159.7876	+0.02%	198.23	+24.09%	0.0616	✓	1.18	1.2M	2022-02-07
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00728	0.007294	+0.19%	0.00701	-3.71%	0.3461	✗	2.34	23.2M	2022-02-07
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	285.23	285.7834	+0.19%	343.12	+20.30%	0.0461	✓	1.05	6.8M	2022-02-07
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.039278	0.039423	+0.37%	0.042745	+8.83%	0.0829	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-07
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4369	0.439392	+0.57%	0.6483	+48.39%	0.1800	✓	1.60	2.0M	2022-02-07
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	75.0775	75.5611	+0.64%	105.8832	+41.03%	0.1711	✓	1.27	410k	2022-02-07
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.94	8.0019	+0.78%	10.33	+30.10%	0.0821	✓	1.33	2.8M	2022-02-07
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.037542	0.038129	+1.56%	0.038389	+2.26%	0.1763	✗	1.40	172k	2022-02-07

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.