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2022-09-05 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2412
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.65%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
90.5%
in alpha space · 30.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.18%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.3118.3886+0.43%16.58-9.45%0.1917✗0.711.7M2022-09-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.16280.16235-0.28%0.1916+17.69%0.1623✗0.0393k2022-09-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,866.3019,782.43-0.42%22,320.80+12.36%0.0047✗0.9413k2022-09-12
TRXTRONTron0.0629370.062467-0.75%0.063883+1.50%0.0539✓0.62123k2022-09-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20970.207875-0.87%0.2346+11.87%0.0024✓1.0058k2022-09-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05145.0031-0.96%5.0452-0.12%0.0043✓0.10115k2022-09-12
GTGateEthereum4.00713.967-1.00%4.3839+9.40%0.0027✓0.79748k2022-09-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4870.482021-1.02%0.483-0.82%0.1484✓1.223,8602022-09-12
DIADIAEthereum0.380520.376479-1.06%0.39977+5.06%0.0614✓0.9833k2022-09-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05590.055285-1.10%0.0667+19.32%0.0791✗0.8885k2022-09-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37410.369924-1.12%0.408+9.06%0.0581✓1.26202k2022-09-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.555460.549129-1.14%0.563+1.36%0.1383✓1.3239k2022-09-12
STEEMSteemnative0.2220.219407-1.17%0.2355+6.08%0.0448✓0.93468k2022-09-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012720.012571-1.17%0.01294+1.73%0.0513✓0.65220k2022-09-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.80e-7-1.17%9.10e-7+2.25%0.0643✓0.7915k2022-09-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.1580.156088-1.21%0.17256+9.22%0.1505✓2.033162022-09-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.3659.6052-1.25%61.41+1.74%0.0931✓0.9912.8M2022-09-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.23370.230738-1.27%0.2257-3.42%0.1331✓0.9066k2022-09-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,794.5819,543.69-1.27%22,402.71+13.18%0.0128✓1.00480.9M2022-09-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.09390.092684-1.29%0.1027+9.37%0.0170✓0.97372k2022-09-12
NANOnanopayBase0.8985570.886884-1.30%0.914216+1.74%0.0732✓0.8454k2022-09-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206530.020384-1.30%0.022018+6.61%0.0233✓0.8112k2022-09-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.431-1.31%1.43-1.38%0.0138✗-0.12128k2022-09-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18720.184742-1.31%0.1839-1.76%0.1749✓1.382,0092022-09-12
APEApeCoinEthereum4.754.6859-1.35%5.492+15.62%0.0073✓1.346.8M2022-09-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.055044-1.36%0.0516-7.53%0.2036✓1.12220k2022-09-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03670.036199-1.36%0.0397+8.17%0.0221✓0.9266k2022-09-12
AAVEAaveEthereum91.390.0506-1.37%90.99-0.34%0.1807✓1.545.2M2022-09-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.23730.234043-1.37%0.4093+72.48%0.4407✗0.9681k2022-09-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.006020.005937-1.38%0.006356+5.57%0.0181✓0.702,1662022-09-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.005990.005907-1.38%0.00621+3.67%0.0283✓0.63951k2022-09-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05710.056309-1.39%0.06+5.08%0.0530✓0.9490k2022-09-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131250.01294-1.41%0.013154+0.22%0.0640✓0.65929k2022-09-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068020.067051-1.42%0.06915+1.66%0.0816✓0.916062022-09-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.971.9416-1.44%1.84-6.60%0.1165✓0.5168k2022-09-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072610.07156-1.45%0.07199-0.85%0.1391✓1.1725k2022-09-12
FTTFTXEthereum26.6226.2343-1.45%28.46+6.91%0.0386✓0.976.8M2022-09-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95770.94379-1.45%0.9591+0.15%0.1343✓1.22865k2022-09-12
ZECZcashZcash63.4162.4826-1.46%62.92-0.77%0.1370✓1.161.3M2022-09-12
SOLSolanaSolana32.1831.7065-1.47%37.46+16.41%0.0257✗1.1461.7M2022-09-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006350.006256-1.48%0.006234-1.83%0.0586✓0.4441k2022-09-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025110.024739-1.48%0.02488-0.92%0.1523✓1.283,2982022-09-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.285930.281695-1.48%0.2943+2.93%0.0862✓1.0513k2022-09-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.00396-1.49%0.0042+4.48%0.0634✓0.99127k2022-09-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.121067-1.49%0.2164+76.08%0.4515✗1.0425k2022-09-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.340640.335483-1.51%0.35436+4.03%0.0674✓0.9937k2022-09-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.7152.8947-1.52%54.609+1.67%0.0617✓0.76302k2022-09-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10250.100929-1.53%0.1013-1.17%0.0864✓0.732,7842022-09-12
QNTQuantEthereum93.1491.7099-1.54%106.65+14.51%0.0451✗0.863.4M2022-09-12
MOVRMoonriverBase12.905412.7055-1.55%12.665-1.86%0.1259✓0.9930k2022-09-12
DODODODOEthereum0.12790.125918-1.55%0.1319+3.13%0.0826✓1.041.5M2022-09-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.651688-1.56%0.648-2.11%0.1265✓0.98187k2022-09-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021340.021005-1.57%0.0228+6.84%0.0123✓0.769.8M2022-09-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08180.080505-1.58%0.0915+11.86%0.0110✓0.9510k2022-09-12
SGBSongbirdnative0.02550.025094-1.59%0.0266+4.31%0.0179✓0.6245k2022-09-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47220.464656-1.60%0.4948+4.79%0.0795✓1.15384k2022-09-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04460.043886-1.60%0.0493+10.54%0.0053✓0.98132k2022-09-12
XMRMoneroMonero157.52154.9656-1.62%163.77+3.97%0.0731✓1.041.4M2022-09-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2710.266604-1.62%0.275+1.48%0.0619✓0.75597k2022-09-12
XVGVergenative0.003090.00304-1.63%0.00357+15.53%0.0343✗1.02481k2022-09-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3070.301973-1.64%0.3346+8.99%0.0417✓1.17105k2022-09-12
FISStafiEthereum0.33790.332341-1.65%0.3627+7.34%0.0254✓0.916202022-09-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014680.001444-1.65%0.001651+12.47%0.0491✗0.697,6332022-09-12
KCSKuCoinnative9.4149.2586-1.65%9.715+3.20%0.0713✓0.961.2M2022-09-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015640.001538-1.65%0.001626+3.96%0.0593✓0.93413k2022-09-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.78950.776255-1.68%0.79422+0.60%0.0854✓0.87509k2022-09-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.353780.34778-1.70%0.31623-10.61%0.1941✓0.80332k2022-09-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04420.043447-1.70%0.04747+7.40%0.0025✓0.7414k2022-09-12
XEMNEMnative0.0437180.042971-1.71%0.046711+6.85%0.0209✓0.8427k2022-09-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.04441.0264-1.72%1.091+4.46%0.0448✓0.8639k2022-09-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022350.021962-1.73%0.02102-5.95%0.1450✓0.82459k2022-09-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0414830.040763-1.74%0.042673+2.87%0.0169✓0.5125k2022-09-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.036059-1.75%0.0399+8.72%0.0054✓0.776,8072022-09-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28220.277206-1.77%0.2917+3.37%0.0670✓0.952.8M2022-09-12
DASHDashDash47.5946.7276-1.81%47.17-0.88%0.1112✓0.97419k2022-09-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.7222.6723-1.83%2.756+1.25%0.0787✓0.88682k2022-09-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012610.000012376-1.86%0.00001288+2.14%0.0789✓0.96861k2022-09-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037420.03672-1.87%0.04+6.89%0.0159✓0.822,5882022-09-12
PROPropyEthereum0.720.706483-1.88%0.73+1.39%0.0084✓0.3363k2022-09-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0052.9485-1.88%2.943-2.06%0.1915✓1.533.5M2022-09-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.934.8364-1.90%4.98+1.01%0.0772✓0.861.2M2022-09-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5220.512082-1.90%0.569+9.00%0.0266✓1.0763k2022-09-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4651.4371-1.90%1.534+4.71%0.0802✓1.1779k2022-09-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.7521.7179-1.95%1.622-7.42%0.1696✓0.9195k2022-09-12
XLMStellarStellar0.105070.103011-1.96%0.113859+8.36%0.0025✓0.836.7M2022-09-12
ADACardanoCardano0.49870.488832-1.98%0.5014+0.54%0.0892✓0.9339.1M2022-09-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0626950.061453-1.98%0.063958+2.01%0.0925✓1.071.3M2022-09-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2090.204855-1.98%0.2063-1.29%0.1588✓1.34142k2022-09-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.34843.2814-2.00%3.2933-1.64%0.1214✓1.0118k2022-09-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.4419.0479-2.02%21.37+9.93%0.0430✓1.2819.6M2022-09-12
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.72e-7-2.04%9.00e-7+1.12%0.0684✓0.811.7M2022-09-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15271.1289-2.06%1.143-0.84%0.1769✓1.534.4M2022-09-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.662057-2.06%0.672-0.59%0.1366✓1.223.9M2022-09-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.171.1458-2.07%1.279+9.32%0.0103✓0.971.2M2022-09-12
HIVEHivenative0.53880.527556-2.09%0.5802+7.68%0.0081✓0.83924k2022-09-12
XTZTezosTezos1.5461.5136-2.10%1.6565+7.15%0.0489✓1.12252k2022-09-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30460.298213-2.10%0.3237+6.27%0.0288✓0.905.8M2022-09-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1040.101815-2.10%0.1141+9.71%0.0073✓0.86169k2022-09-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.6544-2.10%1.803+6.69%0.0287✓0.93540k2022-09-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.152867-2.13%0.1642+5.12%0.0575✓1.041,4472022-09-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13980.136815-2.14%0.1547+10.66%0.0088✓1.06409k2022-09-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.061151-2.16%0.0654+4.64%0.0915✓1.28713k2022-09-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86631.8257-2.17%1.962+5.13%0.0630✓1.0925k2022-09-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.855820.837201-2.18%0.85428-0.18%0.1043✓1.0113k2022-09-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138440.135426-2.18%0.14211+2.65%0.1016✓1.21175k2022-09-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.7346.5869-2.18%6.926+2.85%0.0535✓0.844.4M2022-09-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9722.9069-2.19%3.245+9.19%0.0445✗0.53653k2022-09-12
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.200096-2.20%0.2053+0.34%0.1365✓1.31111k2022-09-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04960.048499-2.22%0.0492-0.81%0.1097✓1.00739k2022-09-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.69250.677117-2.22%0.7419+7.13%0.0814✓1.40210k2022-09-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.05080.049669-2.23%0.0513+0.98%0.0817✓0.92190k2022-09-12
STXStacksnative0.36810.359898-2.23%0.3879+5.38%0.0684✓1.16348k2022-09-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43080.421142-2.24%0.4436+2.97%0.0901✓1.1585k2022-09-12
ZENHorizenBase16.115.7383-2.25%16.48+2.36%0.0916✓1.1193k2022-09-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.14480.141522-2.26%0.1518+4.83%0.0554✓1.0199k2022-09-12
COMPCompoundEthereum48.3647.2651-2.26%54.73+13.17%0.0110✓1.278,9662022-09-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029350.002868-2.27%0.003106+5.83%0.0342✓0.921.2M2022-09-12
XECeCashnative0.000043720.000042718-2.29%0.00004597+5.15%0.0307✓0.841.9M2022-09-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82570.80675-2.30%0.8948+8.37%0.0815✓1.50105k2022-09-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3216.9214-2.30%18.23+5.25%0.0104✓0.69454k2022-09-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9161.8718-2.31%1.935+0.99%0.1760✓1.6972k2022-09-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008704-2.31%0.00905+1.57%0.0532✓0.744.1M2022-09-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007850.007666-2.34%0.00833+6.11%0.0572✓1.13406k2022-09-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5330.520496-2.35%0.542+1.69%0.1008✓1.1476k2022-09-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2986880.29168-2.35%0.32043+7.28%0.0401✓1.08514k2022-09-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.218.9939-2.35%8.95-2.82%0.0662✓0.502.1M2022-09-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.537.3533-2.35%7.42-1.46%0.1263✓1.09290k2022-09-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97840.955338-2.36%1.0045+2.67%0.0114✓0.503.0M2022-09-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.647349-2.36%0.67+1.06%0.0723✓0.86183k2022-09-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14470.141275-2.37%0.1347-6.91%0.1112✓0.513.4M2022-09-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.011,579.59-2.37%1,716.71+6.10%0.0890✓1.39628.3M2022-09-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5014.394-2.38%4.285-4.80%0.0549✓0.242.3M2022-09-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.724.6053-2.43%4.55-3.60%0.0789✓0.541.3M2022-09-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3827.2007-2.46%7.758+5.09%0.0555✓1.0518.0M2022-09-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.2532-2.46%2.46+6.49%0.0063✓0.76262k2022-09-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.2821-2.47%2.19-6.41%0.1847✓1.16217k2022-09-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.075830.073946-2.48%0.074-2.41%0.0061✓0.06389k2022-09-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13751.1092-2.49%1.3976+22.87%0.1204✗0.891.1M2022-09-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1730.168605-2.54%0.17731+2.49%0.0709✓0.98268k2022-09-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.001297-2.55%0.001323-0.53%0.0789✓0.802.4M2022-09-12
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176110.017155-2.59%0.018489+4.99%0.0489✓1.00492022-09-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1040.101304-2.59%0.1286+23.65%0.1045✗1.082.8M2022-09-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.5318-2.62%1.563-0.64%0.1261✓1.1851k2022-09-12
BANDBandEthereum1.3071.2727-2.62%1.352+3.44%0.0865✓1.19429k2022-09-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1172.0604-2.67%2.171+2.55%0.0904✓1.1538k2022-09-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.34053-2.71%0.44028+25.79%0.1388✗0.95392k2022-09-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2813.8936-2.71%14.22-0.42%0.1128✓1.101.1M2022-09-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.5766.3975-2.71%6.659+1.26%0.1217✓1.317.2M2022-09-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3550.345355-2.72%0.3514-1.01%0.1131✓1.0573k2022-09-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51930.505033-2.75%0.5129-1.23%0.0794✓0.77496k2022-09-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3687.1654-2.75%7.664+4.02%0.0621✓1.0510.0M2022-09-12
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105160.010224-2.77%0.012004+14.15%0.0367✗1.004902022-09-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84730.823783-2.78%0.8638+1.95%0.0805✓1.031.3M2022-09-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66841.6214-2.82%1.9123+14.62%0.0438✗0.981.1M2022-09-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.63312.2758-2.83%15.53+22.93%0.0955✗1.1312.5M2022-09-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash125.75122.19-2.83%128.87+2.48%0.0888✓1.154.2M2022-09-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3616.1802-2.84%5.948-6.49%0.0931✓0.444.4M2022-09-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.314.1865-2.87%4.238-1.67%0.0461✓0.472.3M2022-09-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31450.305385-2.90%0.2976-5.37%0.1612✓1.0999k2022-09-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.23981.2036-2.92%1.2695+2.40%0.0964✓1.21973k2022-09-12
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0441.013-2.97%0.97-7.09%0.2000✓1.271.5M2022-09-12
FLOWFlownative1.9191.8618-2.98%2.102+9.54%0.0474✓1.361.3M2022-09-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.810.4774-2.99%11.02+2.04%0.1033✓1.24277k2022-09-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.3285-3.03%1.41+2.92%0.0541✓0.9283k2022-09-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064020.062081-3.03%0.06474+1.12%0.0923✓1.081.8M2022-09-12
KSMKusamaHydration51.3349.7712-3.04%52.21+1.71%0.0740✓0.98442k2022-09-12
OPTIMOptimism1.1991.1624-3.05%1.267+5.67%0.1224✓1.682.9M2022-09-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035620.034523-3.08%0.0373+4.72%0.0482✓1.0151k2022-09-12
METISMetisEthereum30.5329.5872-3.09%29.93-1.97%0.2207✓1.88219k2022-09-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.0783-3.11%15.12+4.06%0.0565✓1.031.6M2022-09-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.75.5201-3.16%5.33-6.49%0.0912✓0.452.3M2022-09-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,493.619,191.07-3.19%9,751.47+2.72%0.1145✓1.405.2M2022-09-12
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,477.281,427.26-3.39%1,615.21+9.34%0.0001✓1.003.2M2022-09-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.646.4145-3.40%6.38-3.92%0.0627✓0.462.2M2022-09-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.1415.9278-3.47%6.556+6.76%0.0048✓0.857.2M2022-09-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30842.2269-3.53%2.1488-6.91%0.1761✓1.1313k2022-09-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0255490.024647-3.53%0.024035-5.93%0.0395✓0.12386k2022-09-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.726.4806-3.56%6.71-0.15%0.0241✓0.482.1M2022-09-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.20730.199491-3.77%0.2014-2.85%0.0946✓0.843.1M2022-09-12
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.79974.6166-3.82%4.863+1.32%0.2172✓2.17141k2022-09-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0561.0141-3.97%1.01-4.36%0.0492✓0.362.9M2022-09-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0753.905-4.17%4.524+11.02%0.0266✓0.97259k2022-09-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13030.124708-4.29%0.1144-12.20%0.1725✓0.70203k2022-09-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.95184.7012-5.06%4.5628-7.86%0.1035✓0.595.6M2022-09-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00812.2954-5.48%12.34-5.14%0.0624✓0.5315.8M2022-09-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.55e-78.06e-7-5.70%7.49e-7-12.42%0.1808✓0.861.8M2022-09-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.20896.7501-6.36%7.0049-2.83%0.0090✓0.236.9M2022-09-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.6737.1343-6.39%38.45-3.08%0.1531✓1.529.5M2022-09-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.37816.9055-6.41%7.6604+3.83%0.0602✓0.357.7M2022-09-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000404930.000361737-10.67%0.0003-25.91%0.2798✓0.75679k2022-09-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.