FLOW

Flow · native · beta_5y

token id: #519
symbol: FLOW
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-05-19
predictions: 4,812

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0928

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0089

actual -0.0335

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.030665	0.030131	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-21	oos	0.03052	0.029947	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-20	oos	0.03033	0.0298	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-19	oos	0.029545	0.029043	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-18	oos	0.02973	0.02926	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-17	oos	0.03082	0.030295	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-16	oos	0.03204	0.031462	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-15	oos	0.031225	0.030776	-1.44%	0.030665	-1.79%	0.0236	✓	0.79
2026-10-14	oos	0.031835	0.031374	-1.45%	0.03052	-4.13%	0.0386	✓	0.80
2026-10-13	oos	0.033	0.032521	-1.45%	0.03033	-8.09%	0.0682	✓	0.79
2026-10-12	oos	0.033565	0.032875	-2.06%	0.029545	-11.98%	0.1077	✓	0.80
2026-10-11	oos	0.03507	0.034212	-2.45%	0.02973	-15.23%	0.1250	✓	0.76
2026-10-10	oos	0.03262	0.032074	-1.67%	0.03082	-5.52%	0.0259	✓	0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.03107	0.030616	-1.46%	0.03204	+3.12%	0.0550	✗	0.75
2026-10-08	oos	0.029575	0.029263	-1.05%	0.031225	+5.58%	0.0610	✗	0.74
2026-10-07	oos	0.03244	0.031978	-1.42%	0.031835	-1.86%	0.0099	✓	0.69
2026-10-06	oos	0.033785	0.033236	-1.62%	0.033	-2.32%	0.0122	✓	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.032175	0.03179	-1.20%	0.033565	+4.32%	0.0863	✗	0.67
2026-10-04	oos	0.03216	0.031779	-1.18%	0.03507	+9.05%	0.1212	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.03306	0.032382	-2.05%	0.03262	-1.33%	0.0226	✗	0.70
2026-10-02	oos	0.03149	0.030969	-1.65%	0.03107	-1.33%	0.0196	✗	0.70
2026-10-01	oos	0.031235	0.030723	-1.64%	0.029575	-5.31%	0.0115	✓	0.70
2026-09-30	oos	0.03115	0.03047	-2.18%	0.03244	+4.14%	0.0651	✗	0.72
2026-09-29	oos	0.03061	0.030097	-1.68%	0.033785	+10.37%	0.0995	✗	0.72
2026-09-28	oos	0.030525	0.030065	-1.51%	0.032175	+5.41%	0.0486	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.03293	0.032365	-1.71%	0.03216	-2.34%	0.0232	✓	0.70
2026-09-26	oos	0.03301	0.032403	-1.84%	0.03306	+0.15%	0.0173	✓	0.71
2026-09-25	oos	0.03108	0.030597	-1.55%	0.03149	+1.32%	0.0253	✗	0.71
2026-09-24	oos	0.03185	0.031344	-1.59%	0.031235	-1.93%	0.0073	✓	0.71
2026-09-23	oos	0.03132	0.030815	-1.61%	0.03115	-0.54%	0.0177	✗	0.71
2026-09-22	oos	0.03238	0.031904	-1.47%	0.03061	-5.47%	0.0200	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	0.03329	0.032601	-2.07%	0.030525	-8.31%	0.0417	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.03005	0.029464	-1.95%	0.03293	+9.58%	0.0895	✗	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.030465	0.029845	-2.03%	0.03301	+8.35%	0.0799	✗	0.54
2026-09-18	oos	0.03017	0.029434	-2.44%	0.03108	+3.02%	0.0331	✗	0.55
2026-09-17	oos	0.02955	0.028841	-2.40%	0.03185	+7.78%	0.0430	✗	0.56
2026-09-16	oos	0.026595	0.026252	-1.29%	0.03132	+17.77%	0.1200	✗	0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.02647	0.026208	-0.99%	0.03238	+22.33%	0.1379	✗	0.56
2026-09-14	oos	0.028065	0.0277	-1.30%	0.03329	+18.62%	0.1336	✗	0.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.028855	0.028297	-1.93%	0.03005	+4.14%	0.0319	✗	0.51
2026-09-12	oos	0.027755	0.027526	-0.82%	0.030465	+9.76%	0.0752	✗	0.52
2026-09-11	oos	0.027655	0.027548	-0.39%	0.03017	+9.09%	0.0664	✗	0.53
2026-09-10	oos	0.027375	0.027439	+0.23%	0.02955	+7.95%	0.0754	✓	0.53
2026-09-09	oos	0.027995	0.028216	+0.79%	0.026595	-5.00%	0.0447	✗	0.52
2026-09-08	oos	0.028685	0.029006	+1.12%	0.02647	-7.72%	0.0719	✗	0.53
2026-09-07	oos	0.028545	0.02905	+1.77%	0.028065	-1.68%	0.0285	✗	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.0296	0.03008	+1.62%	0.028855	-2.52%	0.0187	✗	0.51
2026-09-05	oos	0.02887	0.02952	+2.25%	0.027755	-3.86%	0.0452	✗	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	0.02792	0.028847	+3.32%	0.027655	-0.95%	0.0257	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.02751	0.028641	+4.11%	0.027375	-0.49%	0.0127	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.02683	0.027827	+3.71%	0.027995	+4.34%	0.0013	✓	0.58
2026-09-01	oos	0.02635	0.027324	+3.70%	0.028685	+8.86%	0.0406	✓	0.60
2026-08-31	oos	0.02667	0.027584	+3.43%	0.028545	+7.03%	0.0306	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.026865	0.027545	+2.53%	0.0296	+10.18%	0.0504	✓	0.64
2026-08-29	oos	0.028495	0.029002	+1.78%	0.02887	+1.32%	0.0170	✓	0.62
2026-08-28	oos	0.02863	0.029151	+1.82%	0.02792	-2.48%	0.0575	✗	0.62
2026-08-27	oos	0.02935	0.029976	+2.13%	0.02751	-6.27%	0.0933	✗	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	0.02944	0.02993	+1.67%	0.02683	-8.87%	0.0958	✗	0.62
2026-08-25	oos	0.029235	0.02971	+1.62%	0.02635	-9.87%	0.1110	✗	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	0.02954	0.030005	+1.57%	0.02667	-9.72%	0.1145	✗	0.63
2026-08-23	oos	0.0306	0.030845	+0.80%	0.026865	-12.21%	0.1376	✗	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.03004	0.030277	+0.79%	0.028495	-5.14%	0.0706	✗	0.66
2026-08-21	oos	0.03165	0.031669	+0.06%	0.02863	-9.54%	0.0969	✗	0.63
2026-08-20	oos	0.028925	0.028886	-0.13%	0.02935	+1.47%	0.0364	✓	0.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.02876	0.028526	-0.81%	0.02944	+2.36%	0.0489	✓	0.61
2026-08-18	oos	0.027425	0.027123	-1.10%	0.029235	+6.60%	0.0407	✓	0.60
2026-08-17	oos	0.02764	0.027326	-1.14%	0.02954	+6.87%	0.0440	✓	0.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.02939	0.028884	-1.72%	0.0306	+4.12%	0.0862	✓	0.68
2026-08-15	oos	0.029835	0.029295	-1.81%	0.03004	+0.69%	0.1108	✓	0.68
2026-08-14	oos	0.030775	0.030152	-2.02%	0.03165	+2.84%	0.0987	✓	0.67
2026-08-13	oos	0.03158	0.030918	-2.10%	0.028925	-8.41%	0.1623	✓	0.68
2026-08-12	oos	0.03271	0.031876	-2.55%	0.02876	-12.08%	0.1652	✓	0.70
2026-08-11	oos	0.032795	0.031835	-2.93%	0.027425	-16.37%	0.1615	✓	0.69
2026-08-10	oos	0.03063	0.029908	-2.36%	0.02764	-9.76%	0.0852	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.029505	0.028936	-1.93%	0.02939	-0.39%	0.0393	✗	0.75
2026-08-08	oos	0.02922	0.028515	-2.41%	0.029835	+2.10%	0.0675	✗	0.75
2026-08-07	oos	0.02765	0.027238	-1.49%	0.030775	+11.30%	0.1448	✗	0.76
2026-08-06	oos	0.02766	0.027223	-1.58%	0.03158	+14.17%	0.1584	✗	0.75
2026-08-05	oos	0.02612	0.025843	-1.06%	0.03271	+25.23%	0.2498	✗	0.76
2026-08-04	oos	0.0258	0.025546	-0.99%	0.032795	+27.11%	0.2557	✗	0.73
2026-08-03	oos	0.0264	0.026092	-1.16%	0.03063	+16.02%	0.1552	✗	0.74
2026-08-02	oos	0.02815	0.02773	-1.49%	0.029505	+4.81%	0.0467	✗	0.73
2026-08-01	oos	0.02865	0.028128	-1.82%	0.02922	+1.99%	0.0138	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.030795	0.029839	-3.10%	0.02765	-10.21%	0.0997	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	0.028555	0.027822	-2.57%	0.02766	-3.13%	0.0001	✓	0.82
2026-07-29	oos	0.02788	0.027124	-2.71%	0.02612	-6.31%	0.0461	✓	0.76
2026-07-28	oos	0.02588	0.025297	-2.25%	0.0258	-0.31%	0.0172	✓	0.78
2026-07-27	oos	0.02385	0.023672	-0.75%	0.0264	+10.69%	0.1118	✗	0.77
2026-07-26	oos	0.02539	0.025213	-0.70%	0.02815	+10.87%	0.1301	✗	0.69
2026-07-25	oos	0.025085	0.024897	-0.75%	0.02865	+14.21%	0.1572	✗	0.70
2026-07-24	oos	0.025005	0.024858	-0.59%	0.030795	+23.16%	0.2276	✗	0.68
2026-07-23	oos	0.02502	0.024928	-0.37%	0.028555	+14.13%	0.1393	✗	0.69
2026-07-22	oos	0.02577	0.025669	-0.39%	0.02788	+8.19%	0.1053	✗	0.67
2026-07-21	oos	0.02587	0.02576	-0.42%	0.02588	+0.04%	0.0322	✗	0.67
2026-07-20	oos	0.02543	0.02528	-0.59%	0.02385	-6.21%	0.0429	✓	0.65
2026-07-19	oos	0.025425	0.02532	-0.41%	0.02539	-0.14%	0.0039	✓	0.66
2026-07-18	oos	0.025895	0.025786	-0.42%	0.025085	-3.13%	0.0218	✓	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.02588	0.025768	-0.43%	0.025005	-3.38%	0.0324	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.02601	0.025903	-0.41%	0.02502	-3.81%	0.0504	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.026465	0.02637	-0.36%	0.02577	-2.63%	0.0392	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.026635	0.026542	-0.35%	0.02587	-2.87%	0.0439	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.02615	0.026007	-0.55%	0.02543	-2.75%	0.0600	✓	0.81
2026-07-12	oos	0.02655	0.026448	-0.38%	0.025425	-4.24%	0.0514	✓	0.82
2026-07-11	oos	0.02706	0.026937	-0.45%	0.025895	-4.31%	0.0542	✓	0.92
2026-07-10	oos	0.02717	0.027054	-0.43%	0.02588	-4.75%	0.0410	✓	0.93
2026-07-09	oos	0.027045	0.026914	-0.48%	0.02601	-3.83%	0.0429	✓	0.93
2026-07-08	oos	0.02717	0.027018	-0.56%	0.026465	-2.59%	0.0571	✓	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.027035	0.026924	-0.41%	0.026635	-1.48%	0.0353	✓	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.0281	0.02794	-0.57%	0.02615	-6.94%	0.0407	✓	0.93
2026-07-05	oos	0.028255	0.028081	-0.62%	0.02655	-6.03%	0.0583	✓	0.93
2026-07-04	oos	0.028715	0.028487	-0.79%	0.02706	-5.76%	0.0615	✓	0.93
2026-07-03	oos	0.02836	0.028133	-0.80%	0.02717	-4.20%	0.0575	✓	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.02723	0.027047	-0.67%	0.027045	-0.68%	0.0241	✓	0.89
2026-07-01	oos	0.02689	0.026698	-0.71%	0.02717	+1.04%	0.0158	✓	0.89
2026-06-30	oos	0.02683	0.026588	-0.90%	0.027035	+0.76%	0.0544	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	0.028195	0.027853	-1.21%	0.0281	-0.34%	0.0457	✓	0.88
2026-06-28	oos	0.026935	0.026663	-1.01%	0.028255	+4.90%	0.0013	✓	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.026725	0.026495	-0.86%	0.028715	+7.45%	0.0349	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.0271	0.026826	-1.01%	0.02836	+4.65%	0.0189	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.02798	0.027655	-1.16%	0.02723	-2.68%	0.0419	✓	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.02904	0.028601	-1.51%	0.02689	-7.40%	0.0468	✓	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.027805	0.027582	-0.80%	0.02683	-3.51%	0.0358	✗	0.93
2026-06-22	oos	0.028205	0.028006	-0.70%	0.028195	-0.04%	0.0643	✗	0.94
2026-06-21	oos	0.028135	0.027934	-0.71%	0.026935	-4.27%	0.0220	✗	0.95
2026-06-20	oos	0.02852	0.028303	-0.76%	0.026725	-6.29%	0.0102	✗	0.98
2026-06-19	oos	0.02845	0.028212	-0.84%	0.0271	-4.75%	0.0128	✗	0.94
2026-06-18	oos	0.029555	0.029208	-1.17%	0.02798	-5.33%	0.0069	✓	0.96
2026-06-17	oos	0.03039	0.029913	-1.57%	0.02904	-4.44%	0.0228	✗	0.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.02945	0.029153	-1.01%	0.027805	-5.59%	0.0031	✓	0.96
2026-06-15	oos	0.029725	0.029366	-1.21%	0.028205	-5.11%	0.0033	✓	1.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.02911	0.028794	-1.09%	0.028135	-3.35%	0.0176	✗	1.06
2026-06-13	oos	0.0286	0.028302	-1.04%	0.02852	-0.28%	0.0109	✗	1.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.02849	0.028159	-1.16%	0.02845	-0.14%	0.0112	✓	0.95
2026-06-11	oos	0.02918	0.028676	-1.73%	0.029555	+1.29%	0.0403	✗	0.93
2026-06-10	oos	0.02848	0.028001	-1.68%	0.03039	+6.71%	0.0378	✗	0.93
2026-06-09	oos	0.026555	0.026349	-0.78%	0.02945	+10.90%	0.0545	✗	0.92
2026-06-08	oos	0.02713	0.02687	-0.96%	0.029725	+9.57%	0.0559	✗	0.91
2026-06-07	oos	0.02696	0.026681	-1.03%	0.02911	+7.97%	0.0482	✗	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.02595	0.025789	-0.62%	0.0286	+10.21%	0.0304	✗	1.28
2026-06-05	oos	0.0261	0.025946	-0.59%	0.02849	+9.16%	0.0414	✗	1.29
2026-06-04	oos	0.02754	0.027272	-0.97%	0.02918	+5.95%	0.0727	✗	1.33
2026-06-03	oos	0.02959	0.02916	-1.45%	0.02848	-3.75%	0.0161	✗	0.96
2026-06-02	oos	0.02908	0.028659	-1.45%	0.026555	-8.68%	0.0025	✓	1.02
2026-06-01	oos	0.0319	0.031333	-1.78%	0.02713	-14.95%	0.0436	✓	0.82
2026-05-31	oos	0.032075	0.031507	-1.77%	0.02696	-15.95%	0.0312	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.031935	0.031368	-1.77%	0.02595	-18.74%	0.0416	✓	0.77
2026-05-29	oos	0.031555	0.030997	-1.77%	0.0261	-17.29%	0.0232	✓	0.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.031505	0.030942	-1.79%	0.02754	-12.59%	0.0026	✓	0.80
2026-05-27	oos	0.0323	0.031722	-1.79%	0.02959	-8.39%	0.0405	✗	0.74
2026-05-26	oos	0.03359	0.032981	-1.81%	0.02908	-13.43%	0.0321	✓	0.73
2026-05-25	oos	0.03456	0.033884	-1.96%	0.0319	-7.70%	0.0006	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.03348	0.032874	-1.81%	0.032075	-4.20%	0.0097	✓	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.0352	0.034487	-2.03%	0.031935	-9.28%	0.0468	✓	0.78
2026-05-22	oos	0.0342	0.033548	-1.90%	0.031555	-7.73%	0.0393	✓	0.79
2026-05-21	oos	0.03602	0.035298	-2.00%	0.031505	-12.53%	0.0728	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.035705	0.035061	-1.80%	0.0323	-9.54%	0.0492	✓	0.79
2026-05-19	oos	0.035315	0.034744	-1.62%	0.03359	-4.88%	0.0241	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	0.03621	0.035572	-1.76%	0.03456	-4.56%	0.0321	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.03628	0.035674	-1.67%	0.03348	-7.72%	0.0589	✓	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.035815	0.035364	-1.26%	0.0352	-1.72%	0.0107	✓	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.03699	0.03653	-1.24%	0.0342	-7.54%	0.0272	✓	0.83
2026-05-14	oos	0.03854	0.038071	-1.22%	0.03602	-6.54%	0.0189	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.03832	0.037763	-1.45%	0.035705	-6.82%	0.0401	✓	0.69
2026-05-12	oos	0.040305	0.039661	-1.60%	0.035315	-12.38%	0.0821	✓	0.72
2026-05-11	oos	0.04214	0.041378	-1.81%	0.03621	-14.07%	0.0927	✓	0.67
2026-05-10	oos	0.04214	0.041404	-1.75%	0.03628	-13.91%	0.0915	✓	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.041	0.040307	-1.69%	0.035815	-12.65%	0.0969	✓	0.66
2026-05-08	oos	0.04174	0.040971	-1.84%	0.03699	-11.38%	0.0928	✓	0.66
2026-05-07	oos	0.041645	0.040891	-1.81%	0.03854	-7.46%	0.0683	✓	0.68
2026-05-06	oos	0.04017	0.039717	-1.13%	0.03832	-4.61%	0.0104	✓	0.95
2026-05-05	oos	0.0402	0.039778	-1.05%	0.040305	+0.26%	0.0178	✗	0.89
2026-05-04	oos	0.04096	0.0405	-1.12%	0.04214	+2.88%	0.0188	✗	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.0417	0.041218	-1.16%	0.04214	+1.06%	0.0191	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04207	0.041695	-0.89%	0.041	-2.54%	0.0392	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.04252	0.042107	-0.97%	0.04174	-1.83%	0.0315	✓	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.044155	0.043078	-2.44%	0.041645	-5.68%	0.0796	✓	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.04066	0.040133	-1.30%	0.04017	-1.21%	0.0683	✓	0.96
2026-04-28	oos	0.04214	0.041187	-2.26%	0.0402	-4.60%	0.0826	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03822	0.038119	-0.27%	0.04096	+7.17%	0.0398	✗	1.01
2026-04-26	oos	0.03923	0.039259	+0.07%	0.0417	+6.30%	0.0618	✓	1.02
2026-04-25	oos	0.040545	0.040403	-0.35%	0.04207	+3.76%	0.0269	✗	1.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.039045	0.039125	+0.20%	0.04252	+8.90%	0.0729	✓	1.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.03834	0.038637	+0.77%	0.044155	+15.17%	0.1602	✓	1.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.03829	0.038543	+0.66%	0.04066	+6.19%	0.0868	✓	1.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.03864	0.038353	-0.74%	0.04214	+9.06%	0.0946	✗	1.05
2026-04-20	oos	0.03701	0.0368	-0.57%	0.03822	+3.27%	0.0173	✗	1.05
2026-04-19	oos	0.03353	0.033464	-0.20%	0.03923	+17.00%	0.0932	✗	1.03
2026-04-18	oos	0.035945	0.035875	-0.20%	0.040545	+12.80%	0.0967	✗	1.03
2026-04-17	oos	0.03705	0.0369	-0.40%	0.039045	+5.38%	0.0517	✗	1.03
2026-04-16	oos	0.036985	0.03651	-1.28%	0.03834	+3.66%	0.0070	✓	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.03524	0.034884	-1.01%	0.03829	+8.65%	0.0480	✗	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.03429	0.03381	-1.40%	0.03864	+12.69%	0.1042	✗	1.02
2026-04-13	oos	0.03428	0.033617	-1.94%	0.03701	+7.96%	0.0770	✗	1.01
2026-04-12	oos	0.0308	0.030252	-1.78%	0.03353	+8.86%	0.0623	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.03191	0.031258	-2.04%	0.035945	+12.64%	0.1054	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.032635	0.031805	-2.54%	0.03705	+13.53%	0.1005	✗	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.03269	0.031679	-3.09%	0.036985	+13.14%	0.1111	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.032375	0.031388	-3.05%	0.03524	+8.85%	0.0668	✗	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.03209	0.031115	-3.04%	0.03429	+6.86%	0.0675	✗	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.03091	0.03	-2.94%	0.03428	+10.90%	0.0580	✗	0.96
2026-04-05	oos	0.03084	0.029944	-2.90%	0.0308	-0.13%	0.0040	✓	0.97
2026-04-04	oos	0.03185	0.030844	-3.16%	0.03191	+0.19%	0.0472	✓	0.98
2026-04-03	oos	0.03024	0.029426	-2.69%	0.032635	+7.92%	0.0198	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.02956	0.028816	-2.52%	0.03269	+10.59%	0.0571	✗	0.98
2026-04-01	oos	0.02958	0.028914	-2.25%	0.032375	+9.45%	0.0720	✗	0.96
2026-03-31	oos	0.02998	0.02929	-2.30%	0.03209	+7.04%	0.0397	✗	0.98
2026-03-30	oos	0.028605	0.028017	-2.06%	0.03091	+8.06%	0.0675	✗	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.02847	0.027935	-1.88%	0.03084	+8.32%	0.0544	✗	0.99
2026-03-28	oos	0.02947	0.028926	-1.84%	0.03185	+8.08%	0.0819	✗	0.99
2026-03-27	oos	0.03062	0.030036	-1.91%	0.03024	-1.24%	0.0022	✓	0.99
2026-03-26	oos	0.0315	0.030946	-1.76%	0.02956	-6.16%	0.0187	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.0325	0.032104	-1.22%	0.02958	-8.98%	0.0366	✓	0.99
2026-03-24	oos	0.0315	0.031134	-1.16%	0.02998	-4.83%	0.0050	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.034	0.033506	-1.45%	0.028605	-15.87%	0.0990	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.032	0.031519	-1.50%	0.02847	-11.03%	0.0746	✓	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.0295	0.029298	-0.69%	0.02947	-0.10%	0.0434	✗	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.0305	0.03046	-0.13%	0.03062	+0.39%	0.0647	✗	0.98
2026-03-19	oos	0.0315	0.031499	-0.00%	0.0315	+0.00%	0.0164	✗	0.99
2026-03-18	oos	0.031	0.031174	+0.56%	0.0325	+4.84%	0.0409	✓	1.00
2026-03-17	oos	0.035	0.035414	+1.18%	0.0315	-10.00%	0.0712	✗	0.97
2026-03-16	oos	0.039	0.039309	+0.79%	0.034	-12.82%	0.0917	✗	0.97
2026-03-15	oos	0.0405	0.04065	+0.37%	0.032	-20.99%	0.1692	✗	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.044	0.043958	-0.09%	0.0295	-32.95%	0.3654	✓	1.01
2026-03-13	oos	0.0505	0.04992	-1.15%	0.0305	-39.60%	0.4862	✓	1.02
2026-03-12	oos	0.0535	0.052464	-1.94%	0.0315	-41.12%	0.5012	✓	1.03
2026-03-11	oos	0.0575	0.055635	-3.24%	0.031	-46.09%	0.6001	✓	1.04
2026-03-10	oos	0.065	0.060944	-6.24%	0.035	-46.15%	0.6124	✓	1.05
2026-03-09	oos	0.0515	0.04964	-3.61%	0.039	-24.27%	0.3293	✓	0.98
2026-03-08	oos	0.0395	0.039273	-0.57%	0.0405	+2.53%	0.0551	✓	0.87
2026-03-07	oos	0.042	0.041493	-1.21%	0.044	+4.76%	0.0092	✓	0.86
2026-03-06	oos	0.046	0.044549	-3.15%	0.0505	+9.78%	0.0907	✗	0.85
2026-03-05	oos	0.0345	0.034706	+0.60%	0.0535	+55.07%	0.4379	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.035	0.035275	+0.78%	0.0575	+64.29%	0.5239	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.036	0.03608	+0.22%	0.065	+80.56%	0.5633	✓	1.08
2026-03-02	oos	0.035	0.03515	+0.43%	0.0515	+47.14%	0.3883	✓	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0355	0.035537	+0.10%	0.0395	+11.27%	0.1023	✓	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.039	0.038919	-0.21%	0.042	+7.69%	0.0714	✗	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.039	0.038758	-0.62%	0.046	+17.95%	0.1342	✗	1.11
2026-02-26	oos	0.0365	0.03655	+0.14%	0.0345	-5.48%	0.1135	✗	1.14
2026-02-25	oos	0.037	0.037019	+0.05%	0.035	-5.41%	0.1319	✗	1.14
2026-02-24	oos	0.0345	0.034514	+0.04%	0.036	+4.35%	0.0302	✗	1.12
2026-02-23	oos	0.0345	0.034616	+0.34%	0.035	+1.45%	0.0593	✗	1.12
2026-02-22	oos	0.0365	0.036653	+0.42%	0.0355	-2.74%	0.0009	✓	1.12
2026-02-21	oos	0.0385	0.0386	+0.26%	0.039	+1.30%	0.0267	✓	1.12
2026-02-20	oos	0.0385	0.038603	+0.27%	0.039	+1.30%	0.0454	✓	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.0355	0.035798	+0.84%	0.0365	+2.82%	0.0110	✓	1.09
2026-02-18	oos	0.0365	0.036858	+0.98%	0.037	+1.37%	0.0218	✗	1.10
2026-02-17	oos	0.0395	0.039823	+0.82%	0.0345	-12.66%	0.0894	✗	1.05
2026-02-16	oos	0.0405	0.040855	+0.88%	0.0345	-14.81%	0.1027	✗	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.0425	0.042825	+0.77%	0.0365	-14.12%	0.1416	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.045	0.045213	+0.47%	0.0385	-14.44%	0.1329	✗	1.05
2026-02-13	oos	0.044	0.044303	+0.69%	0.0385	-12.50%	0.1278	✗	1.04
2026-02-12	oos	0.05	0.050029	+0.06%	0.0355	-29.00%	0.3561	✗	1.13
2026-02-11	oos	0.0575	0.056764	-1.28%	0.0365	-36.52%	0.4316	✓	1.10
2026-02-10	oos	0.056	0.055466	-0.95%	0.0395	-29.46%	0.3177	✓	1.11
2026-02-09	oos	0.057	0.056031	-1.70%	0.0405	-28.95%	0.3047	✓	1.11
2026-02-08	oos	0.053	0.052709	-0.55%	0.0425	-19.81%	0.1916	✓	1.11
2026-02-07	oos	0.0525	0.052184	-0.60%	0.045	-14.29%	0.1568	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.055	0.054175	-1.50%	0.044	-20.00%	0.1810	✓	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.045	0.046202	+2.67%	0.05	+11.11%	0.0300	✓	0.92
2026-02-04	oos	0.0505	0.050626	+0.25%	0.0575	+13.86%	0.2255	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.053	0.05262	-0.72%	0.056	+5.66%	0.1710	✗	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	0.0555	0.055095	-0.73%	0.057	+2.70%	0.1678	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.0555	0.055465	-0.06%	0.053	-4.50%	0.0563	✗	1.13
2026-01-31	oos	0.0605	0.059922	-0.96%	0.0525	-13.22%	0.0138	✗	1.15
2026-01-30	oos	0.067	0.065446	-2.32%	0.055	-17.91%	0.0249	✗	1.13
2026-01-29	oos	0.064	0.063082	-1.43%	0.045	-29.69%	0.0003	✓	1.14
2026-01-28	oos	0.073	0.071695	-1.79%	0.0505	-30.82%	0.1388	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.077	0.075995	-1.31%	0.053	-31.17%	0.1861	✓	1.06
2026-01-26	oos	0.0755	0.074918	-0.77%	0.0555	-26.49%	0.1809	✓	1.04
2026-01-25	oos	0.074	0.073455	-0.74%	0.0555	-25.00%	0.1586	✓	1.03
2026-01-24	oos	0.082	0.081649	-0.43%	0.0605	-26.22%	0.1772	✓	0.98
2026-01-23	oos	0.0835	0.083227	-0.33%	0.067	-19.76%	0.1549	✓	1.00
2026-01-22	oos	0.082	0.081863	-0.17%	0.064	-21.95%	0.1893	✓	1.00
2026-01-21	oos	0.086	0.08604	+0.05%	0.073	-15.12%	0.1621	✗	1.00
2026-01-20	oos	0.086	0.086283	+0.33%	0.077	-10.47%	0.1230	✗	1.01
2026-01-19	oos	0.093	0.093369	+0.40%	0.0755	-18.82%	0.1657	✗	0.98
2026-01-18	oos	0.098	0.09819	+0.19%	0.074	-24.49%	0.2068	✗	0.97
2026-01-17	oos	0.0995	0.099668	+0.17%	0.082	-17.59%	0.1316	✗	0.97
2026-01-16	oos	0.098	0.0983	+0.31%	0.0835	-14.80%	0.0993	✗	0.98
2026-01-15	oos	0.101	0.101052	+0.05%	0.082	-18.81%	0.1439	✗	0.98
2026-01-14	oos	0.099	0.099196	+0.20%	0.086	-13.13%	0.0616	✗	1.00
2026-01-13	oos	0.099	0.099088	+0.09%	0.086	-13.13%	0.0645	✗	1.00
2026-01-12	oos	0.099	0.09875	-0.25%	0.093	-6.06%	0.0758	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.091	0.091471	+0.52%	0.098	+7.69%	0.0378	✓	1.04
2026-01-10	oos	0.103	0.102965	-0.03%	0.0995	-3.40%	0.0890	✓	1.07
2026-01-09	oos	0.1025	0.102559	+0.06%	0.098	-4.39%	0.1061	✗	1.13
2026-01-08	oos	0.099	0.099358	+0.36%	0.101	+2.02%	0.0370	✗	1.09
2026-01-07	oos	0.105	0.105083	+0.08%	0.099	-5.71%	0.1511	✗	1.52
2026-01-06	oos	0.114	0.113591	-0.36%	0.099	-13.16%	0.1639	✓	1.50
2026-01-05	oos	0.109	0.108925	-0.07%	0.099	-9.17%	0.0518	✓	1.51
2026-01-04	oos	0.107	0.10716	+0.15%	0.091	-14.95%	0.1531	✗	1.52
2026-01-03	oos	0.112	0.111953	-0.04%	0.103	-8.04%	0.0795	✓	1.54
2026-01-02	oos	0.105	0.105507	+0.48%	0.1025	-2.38%	0.0383	✗	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.117	0.117016	+0.01%	0.099	-15.38%	0.2072	✗	1.57
2025-12-31	oos	0.106	0.106927	+0.87%	0.105	-0.94%	0.0831	✗	1.53
2025-12-30	oos	0.131	0.13097	-0.02%	0.114	-12.98%	0.2267	✓	1.50
2025-12-29	oos	0.129	0.129133	+0.10%	0.109	-15.50%	0.2827	✗	1.51
2025-12-28	oos	0.137	0.136685	-0.23%	0.107	-21.90%	0.3057	✓	1.51
2025-12-27	oos	0.1505	0.149268	-0.82%	0.112	-25.58%	0.3342	✓	1.50
2025-12-26	oos	0.1725	0.171102	-0.81%	0.105	-39.13%	0.5341	✓	1.52
2025-12-25	oos	0.1705	0.169165	-0.78%	0.117	-31.38%	0.3958	✓	1.52
2025-12-24	oos	0.1715	0.170107	-0.81%	0.106	-38.19%	0.4710	✓	1.53
2025-12-23	oos	0.1685	0.167659	-0.50%	0.131	-22.26%	0.2635	✓	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.17	0.16903	-0.57%	0.129	-24.12%	0.2452	✓	1.52
2025-12-21	oos	0.1725	0.171641	-0.50%	0.137	-20.58%	0.2123	✓	1.52
2025-12-20	oos	0.1765	0.17563	-0.49%	0.1505	-14.73%	0.1454	✓	1.54
2025-12-19	oos	0.1765	0.175513	-0.56%	0.1725	-2.27%	0.0033	✓	1.54
2025-12-18	oos	0.171	0.170142	-0.50%	0.1705	-0.29%	0.0286	✓	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.1765	0.175586	-0.52%	0.1715	-2.83%	0.0485	✓	1.55
2025-12-16	oos	0.188	0.18671	-0.69%	0.1685	-10.37%	0.0951	✓	1.54
2025-12-15	oos	0.1875	0.18604	-0.78%	0.17	-9.33%	0.1281	✓	1.55
2025-12-14	oos	0.1895	0.188343	-0.61%	0.1725	-8.97%	0.0961	✓	1.56
2025-12-13	oos	0.198	0.196789	-0.61%	0.1765	-10.86%	0.0752	✓	1.56
2025-12-12	oos	0.197	0.195815	-0.60%	0.1765	-10.41%	0.0657	✓	1.56
2025-12-11	oos	0.209	0.207509	-0.71%	0.171	-18.18%	0.0702	✓	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.2165	0.214587	-0.88%	0.1765	-18.48%	0.0934	✓	1.56
2025-12-09	oos	0.2225	0.220262	-1.01%	0.188	-15.51%	0.0752	✓	1.55
2025-12-08	oos	0.212	0.210172	-0.86%	0.1875	-11.56%	0.0405	✓	1.54
2025-12-07	oos	0.214	0.212054	-0.91%	0.1895	-11.45%	0.0740	✓	1.54
2025-12-06	oos	0.219	0.216936	-0.94%	0.198	-9.59%	0.1084	✓	1.56
2025-12-05	oos	0.219	0.217199	-0.82%	0.197	-10.05%	0.1137	✓	1.55
2025-12-04	oos	0.228	0.226031	-0.86%	0.209	-8.33%	0.0859	✓	1.56
2025-12-03	oos	0.235	0.232735	-0.96%	0.2165	-7.87%	0.0485	✓	1.56
2025-12-02	oos	0.2265	0.224607	-0.84%	0.2225	-1.77%	0.0329	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.216	0.214353	-0.76%	0.212	-1.85%	0.0912	✓	1.62
2025-11-30	oos	0.2275	0.225782	-0.76%	0.214	-5.93%	0.0542	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.2305	0.228802	-0.74%	0.219	-4.99%	0.0156	✓	1.62
2025-11-28	oos	0.2345	0.232797	-0.73%	0.219	-6.61%	0.0331	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.2355	0.233794	-0.72%	0.228	-3.18%	0.0388	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.2355	0.233581	-0.81%	0.235	-0.21%	0.0474	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.2335	0.231293	-0.95%	0.2265	-3.00%	0.0984	✓	1.74
2025-11-24	oos	0.2335	0.231017	-1.06%	0.216	-7.49%	0.0277	✓	1.74
2025-11-23	oos	0.234	0.231823	-0.93%	0.2275	-2.78%	0.0896	✓	1.76
2025-11-22	oos	0.2375	0.235204	-0.97%	0.2305	-2.95%	0.1480	✓	1.82
2025-11-21	oos	0.238	0.235576	-1.02%	0.2345	-1.47%	0.1251	✓	1.82
2025-11-20	oos	0.255	0.25085	-1.63%	0.2355	-7.65%	0.1599	✓	1.80
2025-11-19	oos	0.2595	0.25544	-1.56%	0.2355	-9.25%	0.0600	✓	1.95
2025-11-18	oos	0.2625	0.258588	-1.49%	0.2335	-11.05%	0.0192	✗	1.95
2025-11-17	oos	0.252	0.24807	-1.56%	0.2335	-7.34%	0.0225	✗	1.95
2025-11-16	oos	0.2565	0.252991	-1.37%	0.234	-8.77%	0.0814	✗	1.96
2025-11-15	oos	0.2635	0.259725	-1.43%	0.2375	-9.87%	0.1472	✗	1.96
2025-11-14	oos	0.256	0.252643	-1.31%	0.238	-7.03%	0.1463	✗	1.96
2025-11-13	oos	0.264	0.260547	-1.31%	0.255	-3.41%	0.2696	✗	2.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.268	0.264646	-1.25%	0.2595	-3.17%	0.2001	✗	2.08
2025-11-11	oos	0.274	0.27029	-1.35%	0.2625	-4.20%	0.1850	✗	2.08
2025-11-10	oos	0.284	0.279337	-1.64%	0.252	-11.27%	0.1918	✗	2.10
2025-11-09	oos	0.28	0.274781	-1.86%	0.2565	-8.39%	0.1553	✗	2.12
2025-11-08	oos	0.286	0.277742	-2.89%	0.2635	-7.87%	0.0956	✗	2.17
2025-11-07	oos	0.279	0.270609	-3.01%	0.256	-8.24%	0.1359	✗	2.15
2025-11-06	oos	0.236	0.233697	-0.98%	0.264	+11.86%	0.1566	✗	2.08
2025-11-05	oos	0.241	0.238838	-0.90%	0.268	+11.20%	0.1607	✗	2.10
2025-11-04	oos	0.235	0.23298	-0.86%	0.274	+16.60%	0.1304	✗	2.11
2025-11-03	oos	0.243	0.241185	-0.75%	0.284	+16.87%	0.1755	✗	2.21
2025-11-02	oos	0.269	0.265828	-1.18%	0.28	+4.09%	0.1710	✗	2.19
2025-11-01	oos	0.2665	0.263468	-1.14%	0.286	+7.32%	0.2428	✗	2.20
2025-10-31	oos	0.26	0.257264	-1.05%	0.279	+7.31%	0.2100	✗	2.19
2025-10-30	oos	0.259	0.256126	-1.11%	0.236	-8.88%	0.0652	✗	2.19
2025-10-29	oos	0.269	0.265088	-1.45%	0.241	-10.41%	0.0304	✗	2.18
2025-10-28	oos	0.27	0.266663	-1.24%	0.235	-12.96%	0.1118	✗	2.23
2025-10-27	oos	0.2735	0.270024	-1.27%	0.243	-11.15%	0.0471	✗	2.23
2025-10-26	oos	0.282	0.277801	-1.49%	0.269	-4.61%	0.0474	✗	2.23
2025-10-25	oos	0.271	0.267209	-1.40%	0.2665	-1.66%	0.0302	✗	2.26
2025-10-24	oos	0.276	0.27191	-1.48%	0.26	-5.80%	0.0142	✓	2.27
2025-10-23	oos	0.274	0.269811	-1.53%	0.259	-5.47%	0.0033	✓	2.27
2025-10-22	oos	0.2695	0.265573	-1.46%	0.269	-0.19%	0.0387	✓	2.29
2025-10-21	oos	0.27	0.265929	-1.51%	0.27	+0.00%	0.0791	✓	2.29
2025-10-20	oos	0.2765	0.27169	-1.74%	0.2735	-1.08%	0.0662	✓	2.33
2025-10-19	oos	0.2755	0.271186	-1.57%	0.282	+2.36%	0.0820	✓	2.30
2025-10-18	oos	0.27	0.26616	-1.42%	0.271	+0.37%	0.0759	✓	2.30
2025-10-17	oos	0.2685	0.264978	-1.31%	0.276	+2.79%	0.0561	✓	2.30
2025-10-16	oos	0.2745	0.270737	-1.37%	0.274	-0.18%	0.0286	✓	2.31
2025-10-15	oos	0.285	0.281	-1.40%	0.2695	-5.44%	0.0264	✗	2.31
2025-10-14	oos	0.2995	0.296072	-1.14%	0.27	-9.85%	0.0061	✓	2.31
2025-10-13	oos	0.3065	0.304089	-0.79%	0.2765	-9.79%	0.0019	✓	2.33
2025-10-12	oos	0.2935	0.291733	-0.60%	0.2755	-6.13%	0.0731	✗	2.28
2025-10-11	oos	0.27	0.267427	-0.95%	0.27	+0.00%	0.0840	✗	2.28
2025-10-10	oos	0.255	0.254304	-0.27%	0.2685	+5.29%	0.1943	✗	2.35
2025-10-09	oos	0.3585	0.357759	-0.21%	0.2745	-23.43%	0.0558	✓	1.78
2025-10-08	oos	0.3715	0.370371	-0.30%	0.285	-23.28%	0.0733	✓	1.76
2025-10-07	oos	0.358	0.35669	-0.37%	0.2995	-16.34%	0.0520	✓	1.73
2025-10-06	oos	0.3795	0.378883	-0.16%	0.3065	-19.24%	0.0755	✓	1.73
2025-10-05	oos	0.371	0.370562	-0.12%	0.2935	-20.89%	0.1104	✓	1.73
2025-10-04	oos	0.3725	0.37176	-0.20%	0.27	-27.52%	0.1463	✓	1.73
2025-10-03	oos	0.3835	0.382005	-0.39%	0.255	-33.51%	0.2671	✓	1.73
2025-10-02	oos	0.38	0.37738	-0.69%	0.3585	-5.66%	0.0670	✓	1.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3725	0.369058	-0.92%	0.3715	-0.27%	0.0615	✓	1.76
2025-09-30	oos	0.3495	0.346597	-0.83%	0.358	+2.43%	0.0775	✓	1.77
2025-09-29	oos	0.3535	0.350452	-0.86%	0.3795	+7.36%	0.0766	✓	1.80
2025-09-28	oos	0.3555	0.351401	-1.15%	0.371	+4.36%	0.1236	✓	1.85
2025-09-27	oos	0.3485	0.344307	-1.20%	0.3725	+6.89%	0.1283	✓	1.88
2025-09-26	oos	0.353	0.348341	-1.32%	0.3835	+8.64%	0.1090	✓	1.88
2025-09-25	oos	0.339	0.335021	-1.17%	0.38	+12.09%	0.0636	✓	1.88
2025-09-24	oos	0.3585	0.354273	-1.18%	0.3725	+3.91%	0.0374	✓	1.91
2025-09-23	oos	0.3575	0.353351	-1.16%	0.3495	-2.24%	0.0459	✓	1.93
2025-09-22	oos	0.3615	0.35738	-1.14%	0.3535	-2.21%	0.0383	✓	1.91
2025-09-21	oos	0.3895	0.384495	-1.28%	0.3555	-8.73%	0.0278	✓	1.86
2025-09-20	oos	0.397	0.391552	-1.37%	0.3485	-12.22%	0.0159	✓	1.87
2025-09-19	oos	0.3985	0.392421	-1.53%	0.353	-11.42%	0.0055	✓	1.89
2025-09-18	oos	0.419	0.411687	-1.75%	0.339	-19.09%	0.0597	✓	1.88

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.