FLOW

Flow · native · beta_5y

token id: #519
symbol: FLOW
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-05-19
predictions: 4,812

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0323

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0020

actual -0.0047

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.030665	0.030498	-0.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-21	oos	0.030525	0.030375	-0.49%	0.030665	+0.46%	0.0077	✗	0.78
2026-10-20	oos	0.03033	0.030179	-0.50%	0.030525	+0.64%	0.0011	✓	0.79
2026-10-19	oos	0.029545	0.029408	-0.46%	0.03033	+2.66%	0.0204	✗	0.79
2026-10-18	oos	0.02973	0.029606	-0.42%	0.029545	-0.62%	0.0004	✓	0.79
2026-10-17	oos	0.03082	0.030675	-0.47%	0.02973	-3.54%	0.0373	✓	0.79
2026-10-16	oos	0.03204	0.031879	-0.50%	0.03082	-3.81%	0.0326	✓	0.79
2026-10-15	oos	0.031225	0.031097	-0.41%	0.03204	+2.61%	0.0359	✗	0.79
2026-10-14	oos	0.031835	0.031699	-0.43%	0.031225	-1.92%	0.0205	✓	0.80
2026-10-13	oos	0.033	0.032852	-0.45%	0.031835	-3.53%	0.0168	✓	0.79
2026-10-12	oos	0.033565	0.033353	-0.63%	0.033	-1.68%	0.0238	✓	0.80
2026-10-11	oos	0.03507	0.034809	-0.74%	0.033565	-4.29%	0.0185	✓	0.76
2026-10-10	oos	0.03262	0.032462	-0.48%	0.03507	+7.51%	0.0704	✗	0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.03107	0.030935	-0.43%	0.03262	+4.99%	0.0497	✗	0.75
2026-10-08	oos	0.029575	0.029484	-0.31%	0.03107	+5.05%	0.0447	✗	0.74
2026-10-07	oos	0.03244	0.032293	-0.45%	0.029575	-8.83%	0.0747	✓	0.69
2026-10-06	oos	0.033785	0.033596	-0.56%	0.03244	-3.98%	0.0171	✓	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.032175	0.032045	-0.40%	0.033785	+5.00%	0.0545	✗	0.67
2026-10-04	oos	0.03216	0.032032	-0.40%	0.032175	+0.05%	0.0105	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.03306	0.032868	-0.58%	0.03216	-2.72%	0.0362	✓	0.70
2026-10-02	oos	0.03149	0.031353	-0.43%	0.03306	+4.99%	0.0510	✗	0.70
2026-10-01	oos	0.031235	0.031101	-0.43%	0.03149	+0.82%	0.0153	✗	0.70
2026-09-30	oos	0.03115	0.030988	-0.52%	0.031235	+0.27%	0.0030	✓	0.72
2026-09-29	oos	0.03061	0.030491	-0.39%	0.03115	+1.76%	0.0221	✗	0.72
2026-09-28	oos	0.030525	0.030419	-0.35%	0.03061	+0.28%	0.0047	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.03293	0.03277	-0.49%	0.030525	-7.30%	0.0625	✓	0.70
2026-09-26	oos	0.03301	0.032831	-0.54%	0.03293	-0.24%	0.0026	✓	0.71
2026-09-25	oos	0.03108	0.030947	-0.43%	0.03301	+6.21%	0.0618	✗	0.71
2026-09-24	oos	0.03185	0.031711	-0.44%	0.03108	-2.42%	0.0177	✓	0.71
2026-09-23	oos	0.03132	0.031188	-0.42%	0.03185	+1.69%	0.0209	✗	0.71
2026-09-22	oos	0.03238	0.032249	-0.41%	0.03132	-3.27%	0.0141	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	0.03329	0.033101	-0.57%	0.03238	-2.73%	0.0190	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.03005	0.029936	-0.38%	0.03329	+10.78%	0.0708	✗	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.030465	0.030341	-0.41%	0.03005	-1.36%	0.0091	✓	0.54
2026-09-18	oos	0.03017	0.030023	-0.49%	0.030465	+0.98%	0.0122	✗	0.55
2026-09-17	oos	0.02955	0.029412	-0.47%	0.03017	+2.10%	0.0069	✓	0.56
2026-09-16	oos	0.026595	0.026551	-0.16%	0.02955	+11.11%	0.1055	✗	0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.02647	0.026434	-0.14%	0.026595	+0.47%	0.0019	✗	0.56
2026-09-14	oos	0.028065	0.027995	-0.25%	0.02647	-5.68%	0.0395	✓	0.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.028855	0.028722	-0.46%	0.028065	-2.74%	0.0322	✓	0.51
2026-09-12	oos	0.027755	0.027701	-0.20%	0.028855	+3.96%	0.0440	✗	0.52
2026-09-11	oos	0.027655	0.027609	-0.17%	0.027755	+0.36%	0.0049	✗	0.53
2026-09-10	oos	0.027375	0.027341	-0.13%	0.027655	+1.02%	0.0068	✗	0.53
2026-09-09	oos	0.027995	0.027962	-0.12%	0.027375	-2.21%	0.0094	✓	0.52
2026-09-08	oos	0.028685	0.028636	-0.17%	0.027995	-2.41%	0.0215	✓	0.53
2026-09-07	oos	0.028545	0.028501	-0.15%	0.028685	+0.49%	0.0106	✗	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.0296	0.029527	-0.25%	0.028545	-3.56%	0.0259	✓	0.51
2026-09-05	oos	0.02887	0.028824	-0.16%	0.0296	+2.53%	0.0234	✗	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	0.02792	0.027901	-0.07%	0.02887	+3.40%	0.0331	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.02751	0.027516	+0.02%	0.02792	+1.49%	0.0253	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.02683	0.026819	-0.04%	0.02751	+2.53%	0.0036	✓	0.58
2026-09-01	oos	0.02635	0.026351	+0.00%	0.02683	+1.82%	0.0187	✓	0.60
2026-08-31	oos	0.02667	0.026676	+0.02%	0.02635	-1.20%	0.0042	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.026865	0.026861	-0.01%	0.02667	-0.73%	0.0145	✓	0.64
2026-08-29	oos	0.028495	0.028473	-0.08%	0.026865	-5.72%	0.0537	✓	0.62
2026-08-28	oos	0.02863	0.028616	-0.05%	0.028495	-0.47%	0.0074	✓	0.62
2026-08-27	oos	0.02935	0.029354	+0.01%	0.02863	-2.45%	0.0061	✗	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	0.02944	0.029437	-0.01%	0.02935	-0.31%	0.0126	✓	0.62
2026-08-25	oos	0.029235	0.029241	+0.02%	0.02944	+0.70%	0.0029	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	0.02954	0.029549	+0.03%	0.029235	-1.03%	0.0070	✗	0.63
2026-08-23	oos	0.0306	0.030588	-0.04%	0.02954	-3.46%	0.0453	✓	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.03004	0.03003	-0.03%	0.0306	+1.86%	0.0131	✗	0.66
2026-08-21	oos	0.03165	0.031612	-0.12%	0.03004	-5.09%	0.0406	✓	0.63
2026-08-20	oos	0.028925	0.028893	-0.11%	0.03165	+9.42%	0.0524	✗	0.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.02876	0.028691	-0.24%	0.028925	+0.57%	0.0238	✓	0.61
2026-08-18	oos	0.027425	0.027338	-0.32%	0.02876	+4.87%	0.0095	✗	0.60
2026-08-17	oos	0.02764	0.027559	-0.29%	0.027425	-0.78%	0.0068	✓	0.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.02939	0.029259	-0.45%	0.02764	-5.95%	0.0744	✓	0.68
2026-08-15	oos	0.029835	0.029699	-0.46%	0.02939	-1.49%	0.0085	✓	0.68
2026-08-14	oos	0.030775	0.030616	-0.52%	0.029835	-3.05%	0.0263	✓	0.67
2026-08-13	oos	0.03158	0.031403	-0.56%	0.030775	-2.55%	0.0154	✓	0.68
2026-08-12	oos	0.03271	0.032485	-0.69%	0.03158	-3.45%	0.0284	✓	0.70
2026-08-11	oos	0.032795	0.032528	-0.81%	0.03271	-0.26%	0.0069	✓	0.69
2026-08-10	oos	0.03063	0.030427	-0.66%	0.032795	+7.07%	0.0792	✗	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.029505	0.029342	-0.55%	0.03063	+3.81%	0.0539	✗	0.75
2026-08-08	oos	0.02922	0.029022	-0.68%	0.029505	+0.98%	0.0172	✗	0.75
2026-08-07	oos	0.02765	0.027533	-0.42%	0.02922	+5.68%	0.0593	✗	0.76
2026-08-06	oos	0.02766	0.027534	-0.45%	0.02765	-0.04%	0.0031	✓	0.75
2026-08-05	oos	0.02612	0.026033	-0.33%	0.02766	+5.90%	0.0646	✗	0.76
2026-08-04	oos	0.0258	0.025715	-0.33%	0.02612	+1.24%	0.0094	✗	0.73
2026-08-03	oos	0.0264	0.026294	-0.40%	0.0258	-2.27%	0.0257	✓	0.74
2026-08-02	oos	0.02815	0.028002	-0.53%	0.0264	-6.22%	0.0585	✓	0.73
2026-08-01	oos	0.02865	0.028461	-0.66%	0.02815	-1.75%	0.0194	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.030795	0.03045	-1.12%	0.02865	-6.97%	0.0602	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	0.028555	0.028282	-0.96%	0.030795	+7.84%	0.1094	✗	0.82
2026-07-29	oos	0.02788	0.027602	-1.00%	0.028555	+2.42%	0.0242	✗	0.76
2026-07-28	oos	0.02588	0.025669	-0.81%	0.02788	+7.73%	0.0820	✗	0.78
2026-07-27	oos	0.02385	0.023818	-0.14%	0.02588	+8.51%	0.0812	✗	0.77
2026-07-26	oos	0.02539	0.025355	-0.14%	0.02385	-6.07%	0.0435	✓	0.69
2026-07-25	oos	0.025085	0.025051	-0.13%	0.02539	+1.22%	0.0022	✗	0.70
2026-07-24	oos	0.025005	0.024979	-0.11%	0.025085	+0.32%	0.0020	✗	0.68
2026-07-23	oos	0.02502	0.025006	-0.05%	0.025005	-0.06%	0.0103	✗	0.69
2026-07-22	oos	0.02577	0.025756	-0.05%	0.02502	-2.91%	0.0184	✓	0.67
2026-07-21	oos	0.02587	0.025858	-0.05%	0.02577	-0.39%	0.0010	✗	0.67
2026-07-20	oos	0.02543	0.025414	-0.06%	0.02587	+1.73%	0.0049	✗	0.65
2026-07-19	oos	0.025425	0.025414	-0.04%	0.02543	+0.02%	0.0048	✓	0.66
2026-07-18	oos	0.025895	0.025879	-0.06%	0.025425	-1.82%	0.0164	✓	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.02588	0.025862	-0.07%	0.025895	+0.06%	0.0097	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.02601	0.025994	-0.06%	0.02588	-0.50%	0.0059	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.026465	0.02645	-0.06%	0.02601	-1.72%	0.0054	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.026635	0.026617	-0.07%	0.026465	-0.64%	0.0024	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.02615	0.026121	-0.11%	0.026635	+1.85%	0.0153	✓	0.81
2026-07-12	oos	0.02655	0.026523	-0.10%	0.02615	-1.51%	0.0049	✗	0.82
2026-07-11	oos	0.02706	0.027037	-0.08%	0.02655	-1.88%	0.0177	✓	0.92
2026-07-10	oos	0.02717	0.027148	-0.08%	0.02706	-0.40%	0.0019	✗	0.93
2026-07-09	oos	0.027045	0.027019	-0.10%	0.02717	+0.46%	0.0084	✓	0.93
2026-07-08	oos	0.02717	0.02714	-0.11%	0.027045	-0.46%	0.0174	✓	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.027035	0.027017	-0.06%	0.02717	+0.50%	0.0219	✗	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.0281	0.028073	-0.10%	0.027035	-3.79%	0.0278	✓	0.93
2026-07-05	oos	0.028255	0.028223	-0.11%	0.0281	-0.55%	0.0105	✓	0.93
2026-07-04	oos	0.028715	0.028677	-0.13%	0.028255	-1.60%	0.0221	✓	0.93
2026-07-03	oos	0.02836	0.028325	-0.12%	0.028715	+1.25%	0.0056	✗	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.02723	0.027214	-0.06%	0.02836	+4.15%	0.0264	✗	0.89
2026-07-01	oos	0.02689	0.026878	-0.04%	0.02723	+1.26%	0.0094	✓	0.89
2026-06-30	oos	0.02683	0.026815	-0.06%	0.02689	+0.22%	0.0191	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	0.028195	0.028152	-0.15%	0.02683	-4.84%	0.0237	✓	0.88
2026-06-28	oos	0.026935	0.026914	-0.08%	0.028195	+4.68%	0.0363	✗	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.026725	0.026707	-0.07%	0.026935	+0.79%	0.0153	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.0271	0.027073	-0.10%	0.026725	-1.38%	0.0119	✓	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.02798	0.027929	-0.18%	0.0271	-3.15%	0.0346	✓	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.02904	0.02895	-0.31%	0.02798	-3.65%	0.0153	✓	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.027805	0.027756	-0.18%	0.02904	+4.44%	0.0703	✗	0.93
2026-06-22	oos	0.028205	0.028151	-0.19%	0.027805	-1.42%	0.0071	✗	0.94
2026-06-21	oos	0.028135	0.028091	-0.15%	0.028205	+0.25%	0.0067	✓	0.95
2026-06-20	oos	0.02852	0.02848	-0.14%	0.028135	-1.35%	0.0030	✗	0.98
2026-06-19	oos	0.02845	0.028415	-0.12%	0.02852	+0.25%	0.0073	✓	0.94
2026-06-18	oos	0.029555	0.029489	-0.22%	0.02845	-3.74%	0.0450	✓	0.96
2026-06-17	oos	0.03039	0.030283	-0.35%	0.029555	-2.75%	0.0010	✓	0.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.02945	0.029388	-0.21%	0.03039	+3.19%	0.0507	✗	0.96
2026-06-15	oos	0.029725	0.029649	-0.26%	0.02945	-0.93%	0.0036	✗	1.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.02911	0.029045	-0.22%	0.029725	+2.11%	0.0139	✗	1.06
2026-06-13	oos	0.0286	0.02855	-0.18%	0.02911	+1.78%	0.0004	✓	1.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.02849	0.028444	-0.16%	0.0286	+0.39%	0.0078	✓	0.95
2026-06-11	oos	0.02918	0.029103	-0.26%	0.02849	-2.36%	0.0209	✓	0.93
2026-06-10	oos	0.02848	0.02841	-0.25%	0.02918	+2.46%	0.0046	✓	0.93
2026-06-09	oos	0.026555	0.026553	-0.01%	0.02848	+7.25%	0.0736	✗	0.92
2026-06-08	oos	0.02713	0.027122	-0.03%	0.026555	-2.12%	0.0011	✓	0.91
2026-06-07	oos	0.02696	0.026966	+0.02%	0.02713	+0.63%	0.0100	✓	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.02595	0.025996	+0.18%	0.02696	+3.89%	0.0141	✗	1.28
2026-06-05	oos	0.0261	0.026153	+0.20%	0.02595	-0.57%	0.0039	✗	1.29
2026-06-04	oos	0.02754	0.02756	+0.07%	0.0261	-5.23%	0.0046	✓	1.33
2026-06-03	oos	0.02959	0.02956	-0.10%	0.02754	-6.93%	0.0673	✓	0.96
2026-06-02	oos	0.02908	0.029058	-0.08%	0.02959	+1.75%	0.0589	✗	1.02
2026-06-01	oos	0.0319	0.031798	-0.32%	0.02908	-8.84%	0.0342	✓	0.82
2026-05-31	oos	0.032075	0.031974	-0.31%	0.0319	-0.55%	0.0235	✗	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.031935	0.031855	-0.25%	0.032075	+0.44%	0.0089	✗	0.77
2026-05-29	oos	0.031555	0.031495	-0.19%	0.031935	+1.20%	0.0094	✗	0.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.031505	0.031448	-0.18%	0.031555	+0.16%	0.0050	✗	0.80
2026-05-27	oos	0.0323	0.032226	-0.23%	0.031505	-2.46%	0.0146	✓	0.74
2026-05-26	oos	0.03359	0.033489	-0.30%	0.0323	-3.84%	0.0215	✓	0.73
2026-05-25	oos	0.03456	0.034451	-0.32%	0.03359	-2.81%	0.0111	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.03348	0.033409	-0.21%	0.03456	+3.23%	0.0312	✗	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.0352	0.035083	-0.33%	0.03348	-4.89%	0.0501	✓	0.78
2026-05-22	oos	0.0342	0.034103	-0.28%	0.0352	+2.92%	0.0192	✗	0.79
2026-05-21	oos	0.03602	0.035889	-0.36%	0.0342	-5.05%	0.0271	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.035705	0.035591	-0.32%	0.03602	+0.88%	0.0113	✗	0.79
2026-05-19	oos	0.035315	0.035222	-0.26%	0.035705	+1.10%	0.0064	✗	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	0.03621	0.036106	-0.29%	0.035315	-2.47%	0.0203	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.03628	0.036184	-0.26%	0.03621	-0.19%	0.0056	✗	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.035815	0.035749	-0.18%	0.03628	+1.30%	0.0221	✗	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.03699	0.036919	-0.19%	0.035815	-3.18%	0.0203	✓	0.83
2026-05-14	oos	0.03854	0.038472	-0.18%	0.03699	-4.02%	0.0186	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.03832	0.038237	-0.22%	0.03854	+0.57%	0.0075	✓	0.69
2026-05-12	oos	0.040305	0.040202	-0.26%	0.03832	-4.92%	0.0372	✓	0.72
2026-05-11	oos	0.04214	0.042017	-0.29%	0.040305	-4.35%	0.0313	✓	0.67
2026-05-10	oos	0.04214	0.042024	-0.28%	0.04214	+0.00%	0.0067	✗	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.041	0.040891	-0.27%	0.04214	+2.78%	0.0175	✗	0.66
2026-05-08	oos	0.04174	0.041601	-0.33%	0.041	-1.77%	0.0184	✓	0.66
2026-05-07	oos	0.041645	0.041501	-0.35%	0.04174	+0.23%	0.0042	✗	0.68
2026-05-06	oos	0.04017	0.040082	-0.22%	0.041645	+3.67%	0.0551	✗	0.95
2026-05-05	oos	0.0402	0.040106	-0.23%	0.04017	-0.07%	0.0042	✓	0.89
2026-05-04	oos	0.04096	0.040833	-0.31%	0.0402	-1.86%	0.0274	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.0417	0.041544	-0.37%	0.04096	-1.77%	0.0290	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04207	0.041907	-0.39%	0.0417	-0.88%	0.0035	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.04252	0.042317	-0.48%	0.04207	-1.06%	0.0111	✓	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.044155	0.04373	-0.96%	0.04252	-3.70%	0.0522	✓	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.04066	0.040431	-0.56%	0.044155	+8.60%	0.0812	✗	0.96
2026-04-28	oos	0.04214	0.041799	-0.81%	0.04066	-3.51%	0.0202	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03822	0.03809	-0.34%	0.04214	+10.26%	0.1149	✗	1.01
2026-04-26	oos	0.03923	0.039103	-0.32%	0.03822	-2.57%	0.0058	✓	1.02
2026-04-25	oos	0.040545	0.040376	-0.42%	0.03923	-3.24%	0.0422	✓	1.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.039045	0.038912	-0.34%	0.040545	+3.84%	0.0386	✗	1.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.03834	0.038234	-0.28%	0.039045	+1.84%	0.0320	✗	1.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.03829	0.038176	-0.30%	0.03834	+0.13%	0.0033	✗	1.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.03864	0.038461	-0.46%	0.03829	-0.91%	0.0298	✓	1.05
2026-04-20	oos	0.03701	0.036871	-0.38%	0.03864	+4.40%	0.0402	✗	1.05
2026-04-19	oos	0.03353	0.033453	-0.23%	0.03701	+10.38%	0.0729	✗	1.03
2026-04-18	oos	0.035945	0.035851	-0.26%	0.03353	-6.72%	0.0406	✓	1.03
2026-04-17	oos	0.03705	0.036938	-0.30%	0.035945	-2.98%	0.0090	✓	1.03
2026-04-16	oos	0.036985	0.036824	-0.43%	0.03705	+0.18%	0.0201	✓	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.03524	0.035121	-0.34%	0.036985	+4.95%	0.0473	✗	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.03429	0.034159	-0.38%	0.03524	+2.77%	0.0222	✗	1.02
2026-04-13	oos	0.03428	0.034113	-0.49%	0.03429	+0.03%	0.0088	✗	1.01
2026-04-12	oos	0.0308	0.030694	-0.34%	0.03428	+11.30%	0.0619	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.03191	0.031815	-0.30%	0.0308	-3.48%	0.0012	✓	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.032635	0.032526	-0.33%	0.03191	-2.22%	0.0203	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.03269	0.032526	-0.50%	0.032635	-0.17%	0.0125	✓	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.032375	0.032215	-0.49%	0.03269	+0.97%	0.0051	✗	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.03209	0.031938	-0.47%	0.032375	+0.89%	0.0246	✗	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.03091	0.030724	-0.60%	0.03209	+3.82%	0.0016	✓	0.96
2026-04-05	oos	0.03084	0.030667	-0.56%	0.03091	+0.23%	0.0100	✗	0.97
2026-04-04	oos	0.03185	0.031638	-0.67%	0.03084	-3.17%	0.0502	✓	0.98
2026-04-03	oos	0.03024	0.030064	-0.58%	0.03185	+5.32%	0.0529	✗	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.02956	0.029411	-0.51%	0.03024	+2.30%	0.0269	✗	0.98
2026-04-01	oos	0.02958	0.029454	-0.43%	0.02956	-0.07%	0.0209	✗	0.96
2026-03-31	oos	0.02998	0.029866	-0.38%	0.02958	-1.33%	0.0080	✓	0.98
2026-03-30	oos	0.028605	0.028519	-0.30%	0.02998	+4.81%	0.0283	✗	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.02847	0.028398	-0.25%	0.028605	+0.47%	0.0043	✓	0.99
2026-03-28	oos	0.02947	0.0294	-0.24%	0.02847	-3.39%	0.0267	✓	0.99
2026-03-27	oos	0.03062	0.030545	-0.25%	0.02947	-3.76%	0.0353	✓	0.99
2026-03-26	oos	0.0315	0.031435	-0.21%	0.03062	-2.79%	0.0088	✗	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.0325	0.03245	-0.15%	0.0315	-3.08%	0.0061	✗	0.99
2026-03-24	oos	0.0315	0.031477	-0.07%	0.0325	+3.17%	0.0213	✗	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.034	0.033952	-0.14%	0.0315	-7.35%	0.0702	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.032	0.031973	-0.08%	0.034	+6.25%	0.0194	✗	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.0295	0.029514	+0.05%	0.032	+8.47%	0.0962	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.0305	0.030533	+0.11%	0.0295	-3.28%	0.0121	✗	0.98
2026-03-19	oos	0.0315	0.031549	+0.16%	0.0305	-3.17%	0.0419	✗	0.99
2026-03-18	oos	0.031	0.031072	+0.23%	0.0315	+1.61%	0.0325	✓	1.00
2026-03-17	oos	0.035	0.035075	+0.21%	0.031	-11.43%	0.0874	✗	0.97
2026-03-16	oos	0.039	0.039053	+0.14%	0.035	-10.26%	0.0972	✗	0.97
2026-03-15	oos	0.0405	0.040547	+0.12%	0.039	-3.70%	0.0664	✗	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.044	0.044024	+0.06%	0.0405	-7.95%	0.1058	✗	1.01
2026-03-13	oos	0.0505	0.050414	-0.17%	0.044	-12.87%	0.1402	✓	1.02
2026-03-12	oos	0.0535	0.053307	-0.36%	0.0505	-5.61%	0.0601	✓	1.03
2026-03-11	oos	0.0575	0.057072	-0.74%	0.0535	-6.96%	0.0694	✓	1.04
2026-03-10	oos	0.065	0.063836	-1.79%	0.0575	-11.54%	0.1082	✓	1.05
2026-03-09	oos	0.0515	0.051032	-0.91%	0.065	+26.21%	0.2203	✗	0.98
2026-03-08	oos	0.0395	0.039473	-0.07%	0.0515	+30.38%	0.2342	✗	0.87
2026-03-07	oos	0.042	0.041893	-0.26%	0.0395	-5.95%	0.0421	✓	0.86
2026-03-06	oos	0.046	0.045635	-0.79%	0.042	-8.70%	0.0723	✓	0.85
2026-03-05	oos	0.0345	0.034572	+0.21%	0.046	+33.33%	0.3261	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.035	0.035074	+0.21%	0.0345	-1.43%	0.0090	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.036	0.036066	+0.18%	0.035	-2.78%	0.0967	✗	1.08
2026-03-02	oos	0.035	0.035081	+0.23%	0.036	+2.86%	0.0338	✓	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0355	0.035576	+0.21%	0.035	-1.41%	0.0676	✗	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.039	0.039037	+0.10%	0.0355	-8.97%	0.0750	✗	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.039	0.039022	+0.06%	0.039	+0.00%	0.0190	✗	1.11
2026-02-26	oos	0.0365	0.03657	+0.19%	0.039	+6.85%	0.0921	✓	1.14
2026-02-25	oos	0.037	0.037072	+0.19%	0.0365	-1.35%	0.0071	✗	1.14
2026-02-24	oos	0.0345	0.034601	+0.29%	0.037	+7.25%	0.0004	✓	1.12
2026-02-23	oos	0.0345	0.034603	+0.30%	0.0345	+0.00%	0.0067	✓	1.12
2026-02-22	oos	0.0365	0.036589	+0.24%	0.0345	-5.48%	0.0081	✗	1.12
2026-02-21	oos	0.0385	0.038576	+0.20%	0.0365	-5.19%	0.0497	✗	1.12
2026-02-20	oos	0.0385	0.038585	+0.22%	0.0385	+0.00%	0.0017	✓	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.0355	0.035625	+0.35%	0.0385	+8.45%	0.0613	✓	1.09
2026-02-18	oos	0.0365	0.036633	+0.36%	0.0355	-2.74%	0.0405	✗	1.10
2026-02-17	oos	0.0395	0.039626	+0.32%	0.0365	-7.59%	0.0658	✗	1.05
2026-02-16	oos	0.0405	0.040635	+0.33%	0.0395	-2.47%	0.0069	✗	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.0425	0.042643	+0.34%	0.0405	-4.71%	0.0526	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.045	0.045127	+0.28%	0.0425	-5.56%	0.0449	✗	1.05
2026-02-13	oos	0.044	0.04416	+0.36%	0.045	+2.27%	0.0042	✓	1.04
2026-02-12	oos	0.05	0.050129	+0.26%	0.044	-12.00%	0.1742	✗	1.13
2026-02-11	oos	0.0575	0.05746	-0.07%	0.05	-13.04%	0.1256	✓	1.10
2026-02-10	oos	0.056	0.056006	+0.01%	0.0575	+2.68%	0.0554	✓	1.11
2026-02-09	oos	0.057	0.056944	-0.10%	0.056	-1.75%	0.0041	✗	1.11
2026-02-08	oos	0.053	0.053145	+0.27%	0.057	+7.55%	0.0728	✓	1.11
2026-02-07	oos	0.0525	0.052708	+0.40%	0.053	+0.95%	0.0109	✗	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.055	0.055158	+0.29%	0.0525	-4.55%	0.0293	✗	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.045	0.045556	+1.24%	0.055	+22.22%	0.0809	✓	0.92
2026-02-04	oos	0.0505	0.051014	+1.02%	0.045	-10.89%	0.0478	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.053	0.053545	+1.03%	0.0505	-4.72%	0.0175	✗	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	0.0555	0.056145	+1.16%	0.053	-4.50%	0.0124	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.0555	0.05625	+1.35%	0.0555	+0.00%	0.0392	✗	1.13
2026-01-31	oos	0.0605	0.061182	+1.13%	0.0555	-8.26%	0.0716	✗	1.15
2026-01-30	oos	0.067	0.067248	+0.37%	0.0605	-9.70%	0.0299	✗	1.13
2026-01-29	oos	0.064	0.064423	+0.66%	0.067	+4.69%	0.0447	✓	1.14
2026-01-28	oos	0.073	0.072879	-0.17%	0.064	-12.33%	0.0733	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.077	0.076823	-0.23%	0.073	-5.19%	0.0516	✓	1.06
2026-01-26	oos	0.0755	0.075428	-0.10%	0.077	+1.99%	0.0105	✗	1.04
2026-01-25	oos	0.074	0.073986	-0.02%	0.0755	+2.03%	0.0004	✗	1.03
2026-01-24	oos	0.082	0.081852	-0.18%	0.074	-9.76%	0.0726	✓	0.98
2026-01-23	oos	0.0835	0.083339	-0.19%	0.082	-1.80%	0.0118	✓	1.00
2026-01-22	oos	0.082	0.081872	-0.16%	0.0835	+1.83%	0.0196	✗	1.00
2026-01-21	oos	0.086	0.085845	-0.18%	0.082	-4.65%	0.0469	✓	1.00
2026-01-20	oos	0.086	0.085895	-0.12%	0.086	+0.00%	0.0107	✓	1.01
2026-01-19	oos	0.093	0.092833	-0.18%	0.086	-7.53%	0.0304	✓	0.98
2026-01-18	oos	0.098	0.097757	-0.25%	0.093	-5.10%	0.0387	✓	0.97
2026-01-17	oos	0.0995	0.099282	-0.22%	0.098	-1.51%	0.0022	✓	0.97
2026-01-16	oos	0.098	0.097859	-0.14%	0.0995	+1.53%	0.0207	✗	0.98
2026-01-15	oos	0.101	0.100805	-0.19%	0.098	-2.97%	0.0274	✓	0.98
2026-01-14	oos	0.099	0.098841	-0.16%	0.101	+2.02%	0.0357	✗	1.00
2026-01-13	oos	0.099	0.098816	-0.19%	0.099	+0.00%	0.0145	✓	1.00
2026-01-12	oos	0.099	0.098721	-0.28%	0.099	+0.00%	0.0448	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.091	0.090892	-0.12%	0.099	+8.79%	0.0818	✗	1.04
2026-01-10	oos	0.103	0.10277	-0.22%	0.091	-11.65%	0.1275	✓	1.07
2026-01-09	oos	0.1025	0.102304	-0.19%	0.103	+0.49%	0.0085	✗	1.13
2026-01-08	oos	0.099	0.098864	-0.14%	0.1025	+3.54%	0.0423	✗	1.09
2026-01-07	oos	0.105	0.104818	-0.17%	0.099	-5.71%	0.0529	✓	1.52
2026-01-06	oos	0.114	0.11371	-0.25%	0.105	-7.89%	0.0401	✓	1.50
2026-01-05	oos	0.109	0.108753	-0.23%	0.114	+4.59%	0.0495	✗	1.51
2026-01-04	oos	0.107	0.106801	-0.19%	0.109	+1.87%	0.0186	✓	1.52
2026-01-03	oos	0.112	0.111768	-0.21%	0.107	-4.46%	0.0588	✓	1.54
2026-01-02	oos	0.105	0.104866	-0.13%	0.112	+6.67%	0.0550	✗	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.117	0.116857	-0.12%	0.105	-10.26%	0.1284	✓	1.57
2025-12-31	oos	0.106	0.106014	+0.01%	0.117	+10.38%	0.0770	✓	1.53
2025-12-30	oos	0.131	0.13092	-0.06%	0.106	-19.08%	0.1958	✓	1.50
2025-12-29	oos	0.129	0.128989	-0.01%	0.131	+1.55%	0.0067	✓	1.51
2025-12-28	oos	0.137	0.136871	-0.09%	0.129	-5.84%	0.0460	✓	1.51
2025-12-27	oos	0.1505	0.150126	-0.25%	0.137	-8.97%	0.0927	✓	1.50
2025-12-26	oos	0.1725	0.172318	-0.11%	0.1505	-12.75%	0.1443	✓	1.52
2025-12-25	oos	0.1705	0.170362	-0.08%	0.1725	+1.17%	0.0103	✗	1.52
2025-12-24	oos	0.1715	0.171344	-0.09%	0.1705	-0.58%	0.0027	✗	1.53
2025-12-23	oos	0.1685	0.168463	-0.02%	0.1715	+1.78%	0.0147	✗	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.17	0.169983	-0.01%	0.1685	-0.88%	0.0107	✗	1.52
2025-12-21	oos	0.1725	0.172497	-0.00%	0.17	-1.45%	0.0132	✓	1.52
2025-12-20	oos	0.1765	0.176479	-0.01%	0.1725	-2.27%	0.0283	✓	1.54
2025-12-19	oos	0.1765	0.176535	+0.02%	0.1765	+0.00%	0.0042	✗	1.54
2025-12-18	oos	0.171	0.171104	+0.06%	0.1765	+3.22%	0.0159	✗	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.1765	0.176559	+0.03%	0.171	-3.12%	0.0184	✗	1.55
2025-12-16	oos	0.188	0.187931	-0.04%	0.1765	-6.12%	0.0336	✓	1.54
2025-12-15	oos	0.1875	0.187419	-0.04%	0.188	+0.27%	0.0225	✓	1.55
2025-12-14	oos	0.1895	0.189445	-0.03%	0.1875	-1.06%	0.0210	✗	1.56
2025-12-13	oos	0.198	0.197902	-0.05%	0.1895	-4.29%	0.0071	✓	1.56
2025-12-12	oos	0.197	0.19697	-0.02%	0.198	+0.51%	0.0056	✗	1.56
2025-12-11	oos	0.209	0.208831	-0.08%	0.197	-5.74%	0.0199	✓	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.2165	0.216211	-0.13%	0.209	-3.46%	0.0425	✓	1.56
2025-12-09	oos	0.2225	0.222111	-0.17%	0.2165	-2.70%	0.0146	✓	1.55
2025-12-08	oos	0.212	0.211765	-0.11%	0.2225	+4.95%	0.0153	✗	1.54
2025-12-07	oos	0.214	0.213727	-0.13%	0.212	-0.93%	0.0124	✓	1.54
2025-12-06	oos	0.219	0.218656	-0.16%	0.214	-2.28%	0.0412	✓	1.56
2025-12-05	oos	0.219	0.218718	-0.13%	0.219	+0.00%	0.0026	✗	1.55
2025-12-04	oos	0.228	0.227616	-0.17%	0.219	-3.95%	0.0086	✗	1.56
2025-12-03	oos	0.235	0.23451	-0.21%	0.228	-2.98%	0.0053	✓	1.56
2025-12-02	oos	0.2265	0.226112	-0.17%	0.235	+3.75%	0.0023	✗	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.216	0.215716	-0.13%	0.2265	+4.86%	0.0430	✓	1.62
2025-11-30	oos	0.2275	0.227086	-0.18%	0.216	-5.05%	0.0262	✗	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.2305	0.230039	-0.20%	0.2275	-1.30%	0.0029	✓	1.62
2025-11-28	oos	0.2345	0.234026	-0.20%	0.2305	-1.71%	0.0139	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.2355	0.235146	-0.15%	0.2345	-0.42%	0.0046	✗	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.2355	0.235193	-0.13%	0.2355	+0.00%	0.0141	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.2335	0.233221	-0.12%	0.2355	+0.86%	0.0517	✓	1.74
2025-11-24	oos	0.2335	0.233181	-0.14%	0.2335	+0.00%	0.0200	✗	1.74
2025-11-23	oos	0.234	0.233713	-0.12%	0.2335	-0.21%	0.0302	✓	1.76
2025-11-22	oos	0.2375	0.237183	-0.13%	0.234	-1.47%	0.0587	✓	1.82
2025-11-21	oos	0.238	0.237778	-0.09%	0.2375	-0.21%	0.0071	✗	1.82
2025-11-20	oos	0.255	0.2543	-0.27%	0.238	-6.67%	0.0355	✓	1.80
2025-11-19	oos	0.2595	0.258735	-0.29%	0.255	-1.73%	0.0935	✗	1.95
2025-11-18	oos	0.2625	0.261713	-0.30%	0.2595	-1.14%	0.0223	✗	1.95
2025-11-17	oos	0.252	0.251353	-0.26%	0.2625	+4.17%	0.0262	✗	1.95
2025-11-16	oos	0.2565	0.255876	-0.24%	0.252	-1.75%	0.0285	✗	1.96
2025-11-15	oos	0.2635	0.262732	-0.29%	0.2565	-2.66%	0.0041	✗	1.96
2025-11-14	oos	0.256	0.255389	-0.24%	0.2635	+2.93%	0.0098	✗	1.96
2025-11-13	oos	0.264	0.263202	-0.30%	0.256	-3.03%	0.0812	✗	2.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.268	0.267125	-0.33%	0.264	-1.49%	0.0301	✗	2.08
2025-11-11	oos	0.274	0.272962	-0.38%	0.268	-2.19%	0.0095	✗	2.08
2025-11-10	oos	0.284	0.282624	-0.48%	0.274	-3.52%	0.0287	✗	2.10
2025-11-09	oos	0.28	0.278447	-0.55%	0.284	+1.43%	0.0061	✓	2.12
2025-11-08	oos	0.286	0.283527	-0.86%	0.28	-2.10%	0.0631	✓	2.17
2025-11-07	oos	0.279	0.276537	-0.88%	0.286	+2.51%	0.0546	✗	2.15
2025-11-06	oos	0.236	0.235503	-0.21%	0.279	+18.22%	0.1290	✗	2.08
2025-11-05	oos	0.241	0.240412	-0.24%	0.236	-2.07%	0.0341	✗	2.10
2025-11-04	oos	0.235	0.234622	-0.16%	0.241	+2.55%	0.0224	✓	2.11
2025-11-03	oos	0.243	0.242488	-0.21%	0.235	-3.29%	0.0769	✗	2.21
2025-11-02	oos	0.269	0.268079	-0.34%	0.243	-9.67%	0.0178	✓	2.19
2025-11-01	oos	0.2665	0.265637	-0.32%	0.269	+0.94%	0.0029	✓	2.20
2025-10-31	oos	0.26	0.259276	-0.28%	0.2665	+2.50%	0.0176	✗	2.19
2025-10-30	oos	0.259	0.258282	-0.28%	0.26	+0.39%	0.0185	✓	2.19
2025-10-29	oos	0.269	0.267987	-0.38%	0.259	-3.72%	0.0003	✓	2.18
2025-10-28	oos	0.27	0.269032	-0.36%	0.269	-0.37%	0.0574	✗	2.23
2025-10-27	oos	0.2735	0.272418	-0.40%	0.27	-1.28%	0.0143	✗	2.23
2025-10-26	oos	0.282	0.280722	-0.45%	0.2735	-3.01%	0.0171	✓	2.23
2025-10-25	oos	0.271	0.269868	-0.42%	0.282	+4.06%	0.0136	✓	2.26
2025-10-24	oos	0.276	0.274872	-0.41%	0.271	-1.81%	0.0269	✓	2.27
2025-10-23	oos	0.274	0.272914	-0.40%	0.276	+0.73%	0.0078	✓	2.27
2025-10-22	oos	0.2695	0.268555	-0.35%	0.274	+1.67%	0.0332	✓	2.29
2025-10-21	oos	0.27	0.26908	-0.34%	0.2695	-0.19%	0.0181	✗	2.29
2025-10-20	oos	0.2765	0.275419	-0.39%	0.27	-2.35%	0.0270	✗	2.33
2025-10-19	oos	0.2755	0.274586	-0.33%	0.2765	+0.36%	0.0328	✓	2.30
2025-10-18	oos	0.27	0.269409	-0.22%	0.2755	+2.04%	0.0090	✓	2.30
2025-10-17	oos	0.2685	0.268201	-0.11%	0.27	+0.56%	0.0094	✓	2.30
2025-10-16	oos	0.2745	0.274156	-0.13%	0.2685	-2.19%	0.0165	✗	2.31
2025-10-15	oos	0.285	0.28446	-0.19%	0.2745	-3.68%	0.0194	✗	2.31
2025-10-14	oos	0.2995	0.298787	-0.24%	0.285	-4.84%	0.0005	✓	2.31
2025-10-13	oos	0.3065	0.305768	-0.24%	0.2995	-2.28%	0.0243	✗	2.33
2025-10-12	oos	0.2935	0.293057	-0.15%	0.3065	+4.43%	0.0408	✗	2.28
2025-10-11	oos	0.27	0.270037	+0.01%	0.2935	+8.70%	0.0034	✗	2.28
2025-10-10	oos	0.255	0.255469	+0.18%	0.27	+5.88%	0.1020	✓	2.35
2025-10-09	oos	0.3585	0.35788	-0.17%	0.255	-28.87%	0.2068	✓	1.78
2025-10-08	oos	0.3715	0.370719	-0.21%	0.3585	-3.50%	0.0101	✓	1.76
2025-10-07	oos	0.358	0.35739	-0.17%	0.3715	+3.77%	0.0112	✗	1.73
2025-10-06	oos	0.3795	0.378828	-0.18%	0.358	-5.67%	0.0097	✓	1.73
2025-10-05	oos	0.371	0.370455	-0.15%	0.3795	+2.29%	0.0074	✗	1.73
2025-10-04	oos	0.3725	0.371883	-0.17%	0.371	-0.40%	0.0173	✓	1.73
2025-10-03	oos	0.3835	0.382682	-0.21%	0.3725	-2.87%	0.0289	✓	1.73
2025-10-02	oos	0.38	0.37901	-0.26%	0.3835	+0.92%	0.0125	✓	1.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3725	0.371413	-0.29%	0.38	+2.01%	0.0060	✓	1.76
2025-09-30	oos	0.3495	0.348669	-0.24%	0.3725	+6.58%	0.0036	✓	1.77
2025-09-29	oos	0.3535	0.352641	-0.24%	0.3495	-1.13%	0.0043	✓	1.80
2025-09-28	oos	0.3555	0.354487	-0.28%	0.3535	-0.56%	0.0382	✓	1.85
2025-09-27	oos	0.3485	0.34752	-0.28%	0.3555	+2.01%	0.0199	✓	1.88
2025-09-26	oos	0.353	0.351961	-0.29%	0.3485	-1.27%	0.0096	✓	1.88
2025-09-25	oos	0.339	0.338203	-0.23%	0.353	+4.13%	0.0315	✗	1.88
2025-09-24	oos	0.3585	0.357469	-0.29%	0.339	-5.44%	0.0211	✗	1.91
2025-09-23	oos	0.3575	0.356498	-0.28%	0.3585	+0.28%	0.0172	✓	1.93
2025-09-22	oos	0.3615	0.360491	-0.28%	0.3575	-1.11%	0.0039	✗	1.91
2025-09-21	oos	0.3895	0.388114	-0.36%	0.3615	-7.19%	0.0294	✓	1.86
2025-09-20	oos	0.397	0.395527	-0.37%	0.3895	-1.89%	0.0078	✓	1.87
2025-09-19	oos	0.3985	0.396891	-0.40%	0.397	-0.38%	0.0007	✓	1.89
2025-09-18	oos	0.419	0.416999	-0.48%	0.3985	-4.89%	0.0223	✓	1.88

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.