FLOW

Flow · native · beta_5y

token id: #519
symbol: FLOW
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-05-19
predictions: 4,812

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2281

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0136

actual -0.1387

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.030665	0.02942	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-21	oos	0.03052	0.029091	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-20	oos	0.03033	0.029081	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-19	oos	0.029545	0.02831	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-18	oos	0.02973	0.028619	-3.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-17	oos	0.03082	0.029552	-4.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-16	oos	0.03204	0.030707	-4.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-15	oos	0.031225	0.030244	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-14	oos	0.031835	0.030739	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-13	oos	0.033	0.032041	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-12	oos	0.033565	0.032267	-3.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-11	oos	0.03507	0.03365	-4.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-10	oos	0.03262	0.031576	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.03107	0.030223	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-08	oos	0.029575	0.028813	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-07	oos	0.03244	0.031433	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-06	oos	0.033785	0.032876	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.032175	0.031457	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-04	oos	0.03216	0.031531	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.03306	0.031899	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-10-02	oos	0.03149	0.030457	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-10-01	oos	0.031235	0.030289	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-09-30	oos	0.03115	0.02997	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-29	oos	0.03061	0.029518	-3.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-28	oos	0.030525	0.029602	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.03293	0.031935	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-09-26	oos	0.03301	0.032069	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-25	oos	0.03108	0.030398	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-24	oos	0.03185	0.031071	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-23	oos	0.03132	0.030598	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-22	oos	0.03238	0.031758	-1.92%	0.030665	-5.30%	0.0186	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	0.03329	0.032516	-2.33%	0.03052	-8.32%	0.0333	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.03005	0.02891	-3.79%	0.03033	+0.93%	0.0361	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.030465	0.02922	-4.09%	0.029545	-3.02%	0.0070	✓	0.54
2026-09-18	oos	0.03017	0.028883	-4.27%	0.02973	-1.46%	0.0213	✓	0.55
2026-09-17	oos	0.02955	0.027922	-5.51%	0.03082	+4.30%	0.0629	✗	0.56
2026-09-16	oos	0.026595	0.025618	-3.67%	0.03204	+20.47%	0.1863	✗	0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.02647	0.025578	-3.37%	0.031225	+17.96%	0.1531	✗	0.56
2026-09-14	oos	0.028065	0.027138	-3.30%	0.031835	+13.43%	0.1388	✗	0.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.028855	0.027645	-4.19%	0.033	+14.36%	0.1368	✗	0.51
2026-09-12	oos	0.027755	0.026867	-3.20%	0.033565	+20.93%	0.1930	✗	0.52
2026-09-11	oos	0.027655	0.026902	-2.72%	0.03507	+26.81%	0.2226	✗	0.53
2026-09-10	oos	0.027375	0.026816	-2.04%	0.03262	+19.16%	0.1538	✗	0.53
2026-09-09	oos	0.027995	0.027837	-0.56%	0.03107	+10.98%	0.0822	✗	0.52
2026-09-08	oos	0.028685	0.028703	+0.06%	0.029575	+3.10%	0.0086	✓	0.53
2026-09-07	oos	0.028545	0.02893	+1.35%	0.03244	+13.65%	0.0879	✓	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.0296	0.030115	+1.74%	0.033785	+14.14%	0.0832	✓	0.51
2026-09-05	oos	0.02887	0.029397	+1.83%	0.032175	+11.45%	0.0543	✓	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	0.02792	0.02901	+3.90%	0.03216	+15.19%	0.0600	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.02751	0.029131	+5.89%	0.03306	+20.17%	0.1038	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.02683	0.028217	+5.17%	0.03149	+17.37%	0.0579	✓	0.58
2026-09-01	oos	0.02635	0.027848	+5.69%	0.031235	+18.54%	0.0600	✓	0.60
2026-08-31	oos	0.02667	0.028369	+6.37%	0.03115	+16.80%	0.0600	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.026865	0.028121	+4.67%	0.03061	+13.94%	0.0375	✓	0.64
2026-08-29	oos	0.028495	0.029574	+3.79%	0.030525	+7.12%	0.0081	✓	0.62
2026-08-28	oos	0.02863	0.029944	+4.59%	0.03293	+15.02%	0.0448	✓	0.62
2026-08-27	oos	0.02935	0.031362	+6.86%	0.03301	+12.47%	0.0204	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	0.02944	0.031255	+6.17%	0.03108	+5.57%	0.0439	✓	0.62
2026-08-25	oos	0.029235	0.031257	+6.92%	0.03185	+8.94%	0.0259	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	0.02954	0.031799	+7.65%	0.03132	+6.03%	0.0570	✓	0.63
2026-08-23	oos	0.0306	0.032281	+5.49%	0.03238	+5.82%	0.0649	✗	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.03004	0.031805	+5.87%	0.03329	+10.82%	0.0310	✓	0.66
2026-08-21	oos	0.03165	0.033225	+4.98%	0.03005	-5.06%	0.1230	✗	0.63
2026-08-20	oos	0.028925	0.02957	+2.23%	0.030465	+5.32%	0.0290	✗	0.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.02876	0.028672	-0.31%	0.03017	+4.90%	0.0437	✓	0.61
2026-08-18	oos	0.027425	0.026824	-2.19%	0.02955	+7.75%	0.0022	✓	0.60
2026-08-17	oos	0.02764	0.027047	-2.15%	0.026595	-3.78%	0.1168	✓	0.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.02939	0.028191	-4.08%	0.02647	-9.94%	0.1880	✓	0.68
2026-08-15	oos	0.029835	0.028574	-4.23%	0.028065	-5.93%	0.1636	✓	0.68
2026-08-14	oos	0.030775	0.029339	-4.67%	0.028855	-6.24%	0.1505	✓	0.67
2026-08-13	oos	0.03158	0.030037	-4.88%	0.027755	-12.11%	0.2131	✓	0.68
2026-08-12	oos	0.03271	0.030973	-5.31%	0.027655	-15.45%	0.2515	✓	0.70
2026-08-11	oos	0.032795	0.031003	-5.46%	0.027375	-16.53%	0.2536	✓	0.69
2026-08-10	oos	0.03063	0.029347	-4.19%	0.027995	-8.60%	0.1930	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.029505	0.028562	-3.20%	0.028685	-2.78%	0.1390	✓	0.75
2026-08-08	oos	0.02922	0.028257	-3.30%	0.028545	-2.31%	0.1384	✓	0.75
2026-08-07	oos	0.02765	0.027019	-2.28%	0.0296	+7.05%	0.0705	✓	0.76
2026-08-06	oos	0.02766	0.026967	-2.51%	0.02887	+4.37%	0.0953	✓	0.75
2026-08-05	oos	0.02612	0.025785	-1.28%	0.02792	+6.89%	0.0800	✓	0.76
2026-08-04	oos	0.0258	0.025495	-1.18%	0.02751	+6.63%	0.0978	✓	0.73
2026-08-03	oos	0.0264	0.025935	-1.76%	0.02683	+1.63%	0.1121	✓	0.74
2026-08-02	oos	0.02815	0.027405	-2.65%	0.02635	-6.39%	0.1839	✓	0.73
2026-08-01	oos	0.02865	0.027758	-3.11%	0.02667	-6.91%	0.2027	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.030795	0.02942	-4.46%	0.026865	-12.76%	0.2452	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	0.028555	0.027845	-2.49%	0.028495	-0.21%	0.1319	✓	0.82
2026-07-29	oos	0.02788	0.027102	-2.79%	0.02863	+2.69%	0.0951	✓	0.76
2026-07-28	oos	0.02588	0.025359	-2.01%	0.02935	+13.41%	0.0318	✓	0.78
2026-07-27	oos	0.02385	0.023669	-0.76%	0.02944	+23.44%	0.0521	✗	0.77
2026-07-26	oos	0.02539	0.025202	-0.74%	0.029235	+15.14%	0.0207	✗	0.69
2026-07-25	oos	0.025085	0.024836	-0.99%	0.02954	+17.76%	0.0300	✗	0.70
2026-07-24	oos	0.025005	0.024809	-0.78%	0.0306	+22.38%	0.0791	✗	0.68
2026-07-23	oos	0.02502	0.025	-0.08%	0.03004	+20.06%	0.0670	✗	0.69
2026-07-22	oos	0.02577	0.025807	+0.14%	0.03165	+22.82%	0.0897	✓	0.67
2026-07-21	oos	0.02587	0.02599	+0.47%	0.028925	+11.81%	0.0442	✓	0.67
2026-07-20	oos	0.02543	0.02541	-0.08%	0.02876	+13.09%	0.0843	✗	0.65
2026-07-19	oos	0.025425	0.025381	-0.17%	0.027425	+7.87%	0.0774	✗	0.66
2026-07-18	oos	0.025895	0.025862	-0.13%	0.02764	+6.74%	0.0701	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.02588	0.025782	-0.38%	0.02939	+13.56%	0.1440	✗	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.02601	0.02594	-0.27%	0.029835	+14.71%	0.1493	✗	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.026465	0.026487	+0.08%	0.030775	+16.29%	0.1712	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.026635	0.026703	+0.26%	0.03158	+18.57%	0.1868	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.02615	0.025997	-0.59%	0.03271	+25.09%	0.2149	✗	0.81
2026-07-12	oos	0.02655	0.026472	-0.29%	0.032795	+23.52%	0.2168	✗	0.82
2026-07-11	oos	0.02706	0.026969	-0.34%	0.03063	+13.19%	0.1253	✗	0.92
2026-07-10	oos	0.02717	0.027119	-0.19%	0.029505	+8.59%	0.0740	✗	0.93
2026-07-09	oos	0.027045	0.026914	-0.49%	0.02922	+8.04%	0.0570	✗	0.93
2026-07-08	oos	0.02717	0.026946	-0.82%	0.02765	+1.77%	0.0131	✓	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.027035	0.026952	-0.31%	0.02766	+2.31%	0.0120	✗	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.0281	0.027947	-0.54%	0.02612	-7.05%	0.0763	✓	0.93
2026-07-05	oos	0.028255	0.028042	-0.75%	0.0258	-8.69%	0.0901	✓	0.93
2026-07-04	oos	0.028715	0.028412	-1.05%	0.0264	-8.06%	0.0791	✓	0.93
2026-07-03	oos	0.02836	0.028048	-1.10%	0.02815	-0.74%	0.0102	✓	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.02723	0.027019	-0.77%	0.02865	+5.21%	0.0403	✗	0.89
2026-07-01	oos	0.02689	0.026602	-1.07%	0.030795	+14.52%	0.1046	✗	0.89
2026-06-30	oos	0.02683	0.026423	-1.52%	0.028555	+6.43%	0.0132	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	0.028195	0.027613	-2.06%	0.02788	-1.12%	0.0435	✓	0.88
2026-06-28	oos	0.026935	0.026395	-2.00%	0.02588	-3.92%	0.0827	✓	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.026725	0.026249	-1.78%	0.02385	-10.76%	0.1499	✓	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.0271	0.026557	-2.01%	0.02539	-6.31%	0.1210	✓	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.02798	0.02734	-2.29%	0.025085	-10.35%	0.1526	✓	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.02904	0.02828	-2.62%	0.025005	-13.89%	0.1669	✓	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.027805	0.02743	-1.35%	0.02502	-10.02%	0.1271	✓	0.93
2026-06-22	oos	0.028205	0.027833	-1.32%	0.02577	-8.63%	0.1080	✓	0.94
2026-06-21	oos	0.028135	0.02775	-1.37%	0.02587	-8.05%	0.1183	✓	0.95
2026-06-20	oos	0.02852	0.02811	-1.44%	0.02543	-10.83%	0.1151	✓	0.98
2026-06-19	oos	0.02845	0.027972	-1.68%	0.025425	-10.63%	0.1132	✓	0.94
2026-06-18	oos	0.029555	0.028822	-2.48%	0.025895	-12.38%	0.1360	✓	0.96
2026-06-17	oos	0.03039	0.029546	-2.78%	0.02588	-14.84%	0.1243	✓	0.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.02945	0.028871	-1.97%	0.02601	-11.68%	0.0771	✓	0.96
2026-06-15	oos	0.029725	0.029042	-2.30%	0.026465	-10.97%	0.0682	✓	1.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.02911	0.028444	-2.29%	0.026635	-8.50%	0.0540	✓	1.06
2026-06-13	oos	0.0286	0.027966	-2.22%	0.02615	-8.57%	0.0325	✓	1.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.02849	0.027788	-2.47%	0.02655	-6.81%	0.0486	✓	0.95
2026-06-11	oos	0.02918	0.028182	-3.42%	0.02706	-7.27%	0.0437	✓	0.93
2026-06-10	oos	0.02848	0.027534	-3.32%	0.02717	-4.60%	0.0528	✓	0.93
2026-06-09	oos	0.026555	0.02601	-2.05%	0.027045	+1.85%	0.0171	✓	0.92
2026-06-08	oos	0.02713	0.026451	-2.50%	0.02717	+0.15%	0.0388	✗	0.91
2026-06-07	oos	0.02696	0.026223	-2.74%	0.027035	+0.28%	0.0302	✗	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.02595	0.025362	-2.26%	0.0281	+8.29%	0.0380	✗	1.28
2026-06-05	oos	0.0261	0.025506	-2.27%	0.028255	+8.26%	0.0493	✗	1.29
2026-06-04	oos	0.02754	0.026674	-3.14%	0.028715	+4.27%	0.0888	✗	1.33
2026-06-03	oos	0.02959	0.028323	-4.28%	0.02836	-4.16%	0.0244	✓	0.96
2026-06-02	oos	0.02908	0.027884	-4.11%	0.02723	-6.36%	0.0584	✗	1.02
2026-06-01	oos	0.0319	0.030371	-4.79%	0.02689	-15.71%	0.0199	✓	0.82
2026-05-31	oos	0.032075	0.030567	-4.70%	0.02683	-16.35%	0.0593	✗	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.031935	0.030448	-4.66%	0.028195	-11.71%	0.0799	✗	0.77
2026-05-29	oos	0.031555	0.03009	-4.64%	0.026935	-14.64%	0.0588	✗	0.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.031505	0.030025	-4.70%	0.026725	-15.17%	0.0478	✓	0.80
2026-05-27	oos	0.0323	0.030738	-4.84%	0.0271	-16.10%	0.0322	✓	0.74
2026-05-26	oos	0.03359	0.031915	-4.99%	0.02798	-16.70%	0.0425	✓	0.73
2026-05-25	oos	0.03456	0.032812	-5.06%	0.02904	-15.97%	0.0581	✗	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.03348	0.031885	-4.76%	0.027805	-16.95%	0.0194	✓	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.0352	0.033368	-5.20%	0.028205	-19.87%	0.0260	✓	0.78
2026-05-22	oos	0.0342	0.032437	-5.15%	0.028135	-17.73%	0.0037	✓	0.79
2026-05-21	oos	0.03602	0.03411	-5.30%	0.02852	-20.82%	0.0346	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.035705	0.033884	-5.10%	0.02845	-20.32%	0.0176	✓	0.79
2026-05-19	oos	0.035315	0.033587	-4.89%	0.029555	-16.31%	0.0283	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	0.03621	0.034413	-4.96%	0.03039	-16.07%	0.0188	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.03628	0.034559	-4.74%	0.02945	-18.83%	0.0259	✓	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.035815	0.034359	-4.07%	0.029725	-17.00%	0.0106	✓	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.03699	0.035569	-3.84%	0.02911	-21.30%	0.0474	✓	0.83
2026-05-14	oos	0.03854	0.037326	-3.15%	0.0286	-25.79%	0.0778	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.03832	0.036844	-3.85%	0.02849	-25.65%	0.1042	✓	0.69
2026-05-12	oos	0.040305	0.038576	-4.29%	0.02918	-27.60%	0.1095	✓	0.72
2026-05-11	oos	0.04214	0.040275	-4.42%	0.02848	-32.42%	0.1541	✓	0.67
2026-05-10	oos	0.04214	0.040374	-4.19%	0.026555	-36.98%	0.2248	✓	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.041	0.039258	-4.25%	0.02713	-33.83%	0.2068	✓	0.66
2026-05-08	oos	0.04174	0.039773	-4.71%	0.02696	-35.41%	0.2318	✓	0.66
2026-05-07	oos	0.041645	0.039705	-4.66%	0.02595	-37.69%	0.2398	✓	0.68
2026-05-06	oos	0.04017	0.038959	-3.01%	0.0261	-35.03%	0.1264	✓	0.95
2026-05-05	oos	0.0402	0.038983	-3.03%	0.02754	-31.49%	0.1362	✓	0.89
2026-05-04	oos	0.04096	0.039475	-3.62%	0.02959	-27.76%	0.0897	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.0417	0.040011	-4.05%	0.02908	-30.26%	0.1697	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04207	0.040622	-3.44%	0.0319	-24.17%	0.1528	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.04252	0.041088	-3.37%	0.032075	-24.56%	0.1910	✓	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.044155	0.041697	-5.57%	0.031935	-27.68%	0.2341	✓	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.04066	0.03885	-4.45%	0.031555	-22.39%	0.1774	✓	0.96
2026-04-28	oos	0.04214	0.039894	-5.33%	0.031505	-25.24%	0.1986	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03822	0.037129	-2.86%	0.0323	-15.49%	0.0985	✓	1.01
2026-04-26	oos	0.03923	0.038487	-1.89%	0.03359	-14.38%	0.0986	✓	1.02
2026-04-25	oos	0.040545	0.039503	-2.57%	0.03456	-14.76%	0.1284	✓	1.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.039045	0.038502	-1.39%	0.03348	-14.25%	0.1332	✓	1.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.03834	0.038434	+0.24%	0.0352	-8.19%	0.0659	✗	1.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.03829	0.038667	+0.98%	0.0342	-10.68%	0.0851	✗	1.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.03864	0.038064	-1.49%	0.03602	-6.78%	0.0716	✓	1.05
2026-04-20	oos	0.03701	0.036528	-1.30%	0.035705	-3.53%	0.0448	✓	1.05
2026-04-19	oos	0.03353	0.033186	-1.03%	0.035315	+5.32%	0.0218	✗	1.03
2026-04-18	oos	0.035945	0.035891	-0.15%	0.03621	+0.74%	0.0074	✓	1.03
2026-04-17	oos	0.03705	0.037069	+0.05%	0.03628	-2.08%	0.0256	✗	1.03
2026-04-16	oos	0.036985	0.036252	-1.98%	0.035815	-3.16%	0.0517	✓	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.03524	0.034682	-1.58%	0.03699	+4.97%	0.0082	✓	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.03429	0.033561	-2.13%	0.03854	+12.39%	0.0479	✗	1.02
2026-04-13	oos	0.03428	0.033412	-2.53%	0.03832	+11.79%	0.0731	✗	1.01
2026-04-12	oos	0.0308	0.029468	-4.33%	0.040305	+30.86%	0.1900	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.03191	0.030416	-4.68%	0.04214	+32.06%	0.2183	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.032635	0.030694	-5.95%	0.04214	+29.13%	0.2036	✗	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.03269	0.030371	-7.09%	0.041	+25.42%	0.1889	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.032375	0.030098	-7.03%	0.04174	+28.93%	0.2122	✗	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.03209	0.029809	-7.11%	0.041645	+29.78%	0.2324	✗	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.03091	0.028697	-7.16%	0.04017	+29.96%	0.1744	✗	0.96
2026-04-05	oos	0.03084	0.02868	-7.01%	0.0402	+30.35%	0.1840	✗	0.97
2026-04-04	oos	0.03185	0.02955	-7.22%	0.04096	+28.60%	0.1584	✗	0.98
2026-04-03	oos	0.03024	0.028286	-6.46%	0.0417	+37.90%	0.2332	✗	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.02956	0.027851	-5.78%	0.04207	+42.32%	0.2540	✗	0.98
2026-04-01	oos	0.02958	0.028048	-5.18%	0.04252	+43.75%	0.2830	✗	0.96
2026-03-31	oos	0.02998	0.028439	-5.14%	0.044155	+47.28%	0.3303	✗	0.98
2026-03-30	oos	0.028605	0.027233	-4.80%	0.04066	+42.14%	0.2761	✗	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.02847	0.027181	-4.53%	0.04214	+48.02%	0.2946	✗	0.99
2026-03-28	oos	0.02947	0.02816	-4.45%	0.03822	+29.69%	0.1533	✗	0.99
2026-03-27	oos	0.03062	0.029294	-4.33%	0.03923	+28.12%	0.1243	✗	0.99
2026-03-26	oos	0.0315	0.030451	-3.33%	0.040545	+28.71%	0.1672	✗	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.0325	0.032004	-1.53%	0.039045	+20.14%	0.1168	✗	0.99
2026-03-24	oos	0.0315	0.03111	-1.24%	0.03834	+21.71%	0.1064	✗	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.034	0.033939	-0.18%	0.03829	+12.62%	0.0237	✗	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.032	0.031328	-2.10%	0.03864	+20.75%	0.0961	✗	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.0295	0.029246	-0.86%	0.03701	+25.46%	0.1412	✗	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.0305	0.030881	+1.25%	0.03353	+9.93%	0.0371	✓	0.98
2026-03-19	oos	0.0315	0.032089	+1.87%	0.035945	+14.11%	0.0347	✓	0.99
2026-03-18	oos	0.031	0.032172	+3.78%	0.03705	+19.52%	0.0620	✓	1.00
2026-03-17	oos	0.035	0.037452	+7.01%	0.036985	+5.67%	0.0286	✓	0.97
2026-03-16	oos	0.039	0.041641	+6.77%	0.03524	-9.64%	0.1663	✗	0.97
2026-03-15	oos	0.0405	0.042306	+4.46%	0.03429	-15.33%	0.2282	✗	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.044	0.044859	+1.95%	0.03428	-22.09%	0.3135	✗	1.01
2026-03-13	oos	0.0505	0.05008	-0.83%	0.0308	-39.01%	0.4834	✓	1.02
2026-03-12	oos	0.0535	0.052241	-2.35%	0.03191	-40.36%	0.5295	✓	1.03
2026-03-11	oos	0.0575	0.055093	-4.19%	0.032635	-43.24%	0.5642	✓	1.04
2026-03-10	oos	0.065	0.05974	-8.09%	0.03269	-49.71%	0.6301	✓	1.05
2026-03-09	oos	0.0515	0.049712	-3.47%	0.032375	-37.14%	0.4660	✓	0.98
2026-03-08	oos	0.0395	0.039656	+0.39%	0.03209	-18.76%	0.2865	✗	0.87
2026-03-07	oos	0.042	0.042035	+0.08%	0.03091	-26.40%	0.3276	✗	0.86
2026-03-06	oos	0.046	0.045167	-1.81%	0.03084	-32.96%	0.3927	✓	0.85
2026-03-05	oos	0.0345	0.035995	+4.33%	0.03185	-7.68%	0.0696	✗	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.035	0.036759	+5.03%	0.03024	-13.60%	0.1118	✗	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.036	0.037027	+2.85%	0.02956	-17.89%	0.2022	✗	1.08
2026-03-02	oos	0.035	0.036194	+3.41%	0.02958	-15.49%	0.1903	✗	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0355	0.036202	+1.98%	0.02998	-15.55%	0.2298	✗	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.039	0.039635	+1.63%	0.028605	-26.65%	0.3223	✗	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.039	0.039375	+0.96%	0.02847	-27.00%	0.3259	✗	1.11
2026-02-26	oos	0.0365	0.037355	+2.34%	0.02947	-19.26%	0.2172	✗	1.14
2026-02-25	oos	0.037	0.037844	+2.28%	0.03062	-17.24%	0.1841	✗	1.14
2026-02-24	oos	0.0345	0.034823	+0.94%	0.0315	-8.70%	0.1797	✗	1.12
2026-02-23	oos	0.0345	0.035022	+1.51%	0.0325	-5.80%	0.1844	✗	1.12
2026-02-22	oos	0.0365	0.037423	+2.53%	0.0315	-13.70%	0.2196	✗	1.12
2026-02-21	oos	0.0385	0.039395	+2.33%	0.034	-11.69%	0.1943	✗	1.12
2026-02-20	oos	0.0385	0.039473	+2.53%	0.032	-16.88%	0.2076	✗	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.0355	0.036554	+2.97%	0.0295	-16.90%	0.2454	✗	1.09
2026-02-18	oos	0.0365	0.037601	+3.02%	0.0305	-16.44%	0.2746	✗	1.10
2026-02-17	oos	0.0395	0.040781	+3.24%	0.0315	-20.25%	0.2956	✗	1.05
2026-02-16	oos	0.0405	0.041934	+3.54%	0.031	-23.46%	0.3378	✗	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.0425	0.043926	+3.35%	0.035	-17.65%	0.3033	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.045	0.046213	+2.70%	0.039	-13.33%	0.2436	✗	1.05
2026-02-13	oos	0.044	0.045393	+3.17%	0.0405	-7.95%	0.1732	✗	1.04
2026-02-12	oos	0.05	0.05042	+0.84%	0.044	-12.00%	0.2192	✗	1.13
2026-02-11	oos	0.0575	0.056172	-2.31%	0.0505	-12.17%	0.1687	✓	1.10
2026-02-10	oos	0.056	0.055009	-1.77%	0.0535	-4.46%	0.0554	✓	1.11
2026-02-09	oos	0.057	0.055338	-2.92%	0.0575	+0.88%	0.0367	✗	1.11
2026-02-08	oos	0.053	0.052275	-1.37%	0.065	+22.64%	0.2229	✗	1.11
2026-02-07	oos	0.0525	0.051736	-1.45%	0.0515	-1.90%	0.0085	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.055	0.053256	-3.17%	0.0395	-28.18%	0.2256	✓	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.045	0.046313	+2.92%	0.042	-6.67%	0.1613	✗	0.92
2026-02-04	oos	0.0505	0.049796	-1.39%	0.046	-8.91%	0.0005	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.053	0.05121	-3.38%	0.0345	-34.91%	0.3204	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	0.0555	0.052865	-4.75%	0.035	-36.94%	0.3205	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.0555	0.053254	-4.05%	0.036	-35.14%	0.2580	✓	1.13
2026-01-31	oos	0.0605	0.057007	-5.77%	0.035	-42.15%	0.3350	✓	1.15
2026-01-30	oos	0.067	0.062005	-7.46%	0.0355	-47.01%	0.2800	✓	1.13
2026-01-29	oos	0.064	0.059738	-6.66%	0.039	-39.06%	0.1617	✓	1.14
2026-01-28	oos	0.073	0.069858	-4.30%	0.039	-46.58%	0.2624	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.077	0.075043	-2.54%	0.0365	-52.60%	0.4248	✓	1.06
2026-01-26	oos	0.0755	0.07446	-1.38%	0.037	-50.99%	0.4292	✓	1.04
2026-01-25	oos	0.074	0.072502	-2.02%	0.0345	-53.38%	0.4335	✓	1.03
2026-01-24	oos	0.082	0.082194	+0.24%	0.0345	-57.93%	0.5523	✗	0.98
2026-01-23	oos	0.0835	0.084082	+0.70%	0.0365	-56.29%	0.5535	✗	1.00
2026-01-22	oos	0.082	0.082686	+0.84%	0.0385	-53.05%	0.4899	✗	1.00
2026-01-21	oos	0.086	0.087445	+1.68%	0.0385	-55.23%	0.5456	✗	1.00
2026-01-20	oos	0.086	0.088196	+2.55%	0.0355	-58.72%	0.6313	✗	1.01
2026-01-19	oos	0.093	0.096263	+3.51%	0.0365	-60.75%	0.6447	✗	0.98
2026-01-18	oos	0.098	0.100869	+2.93%	0.0395	-59.69%	0.6202	✗	0.97
2026-01-17	oos	0.0995	0.102764	+3.28%	0.0405	-59.30%	0.6177	✗	0.97
2026-01-16	oos	0.098	0.102038	+4.12%	0.0425	-56.63%	0.5545	✗	0.98
2026-01-15	oos	0.101	0.104611	+3.58%	0.045	-55.45%	0.5348	✗	0.98
2026-01-14	oos	0.099	0.103317	+4.36%	0.044	-55.56%	0.5122	✗	1.00
2026-01-13	oos	0.099	0.103081	+4.12%	0.05	-49.49%	0.3581	✗	1.00
2026-01-12	oos	0.099	0.101919	+2.95%	0.0575	-41.92%	0.2467	✗	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.091	0.094622	+3.98%	0.056	-38.46%	0.2355	✗	1.04
2026-01-10	oos	0.103	0.105574	+2.50%	0.057	-44.66%	0.3437	✗	1.07
2026-01-09	oos	0.1025	0.105542	+2.97%	0.053	-48.29%	0.4031	✗	1.13
2026-01-08	oos	0.099	0.102647	+3.68%	0.0525	-46.97%	0.3717	✗	1.09
2026-01-07	oos	0.105	0.108193	+3.04%	0.055	-47.62%	0.2853	✗	1.52
2026-01-06	oos	0.114	0.11646	+2.16%	0.045	-60.53%	0.3501	✗	1.50
2026-01-05	oos	0.109	0.111956	+2.71%	0.0505	-53.67%	0.4169	✗	1.51
2026-01-04	oos	0.107	0.110206	+3.00%	0.053	-50.47%	0.4431	✗	1.52
2026-01-03	oos	0.112	0.115239	+2.89%	0.0555	-50.45%	0.5128	✗	1.54
2026-01-02	oos	0.105	0.108493	+3.33%	0.0555	-47.14%	0.4312	✗	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.117	0.119196	+1.88%	0.0605	-48.29%	0.4884	✗	1.57
2025-12-31	oos	0.106	0.109395	+3.20%	0.067	-36.79%	0.4297	✗	1.53
2025-12-30	oos	0.131	0.133288	+1.75%	0.064	-51.15%	0.6660	✗	1.50
2025-12-29	oos	0.129	0.131639	+2.05%	0.073	-43.41%	0.6249	✗	1.51
2025-12-28	oos	0.137	0.139179	+1.59%	0.077	-43.80%	0.6131	✗	1.51
2025-12-27	oos	0.1505	0.151035	+0.36%	0.0755	-49.83%	0.7009	✗	1.50
2025-12-26	oos	0.1725	0.171105	-0.81%	0.074	-57.10%	0.8253	✓	1.52
2025-12-25	oos	0.1705	0.169753	-0.44%	0.082	-51.91%	0.7606	✓	1.52
2025-12-24	oos	0.1715	0.171084	-0.24%	0.0835	-51.31%	0.7495	✓	1.53
2025-12-23	oos	0.1685	0.168649	+0.09%	0.082	-51.34%	0.7561	✗	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.17	0.170755	+0.44%	0.086	-49.41%	0.6997	✗	1.52
2025-12-21	oos	0.1725	0.173024	+0.30%	0.086	-50.14%	0.6934	✗	1.52
2025-12-20	oos	0.1765	0.176555	+0.03%	0.093	-47.31%	0.7132	✗	1.54
2025-12-19	oos	0.1765	0.176603	+0.06%	0.098	-44.48%	0.6829	✗	1.54
2025-12-18	oos	0.171	0.170209	-0.46%	0.0995	-41.81%	0.7025	✓	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.1765	0.175693	-0.46%	0.098	-44.48%	0.7427	✓	1.55
2025-12-16	oos	0.188	0.186705	-0.69%	0.101	-46.28%	0.7447	✓	1.54
2025-12-15	oos	0.1875	0.185355	-1.14%	0.099	-47.20%	0.8058	✓	1.55
2025-12-14	oos	0.1895	0.187991	-0.80%	0.099	-47.76%	0.7639	✓	1.56
2025-12-13	oos	0.198	0.196605	-0.70%	0.099	-50.00%	0.7021	✓	1.56
2025-12-12	oos	0.197	0.196113	-0.45%	0.091	-53.81%	0.7780	✓	1.56
2025-12-11	oos	0.209	0.207941	-0.51%	0.103	-50.72%	0.6658	✓	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.2165	0.214012	-1.15%	0.1025	-52.66%	0.7102	✓	1.56
2025-12-09	oos	0.2225	0.219021	-1.56%	0.099	-55.51%	0.7659	✓	1.55
2025-12-08	oos	0.212	0.208875	-1.47%	0.105	-50.47%	0.6984	✓	1.54
2025-12-07	oos	0.214	0.210857	-1.47%	0.114	-46.73%	0.6705	✓	1.54
2025-12-06	oos	0.219	0.214747	-1.94%	0.109	-50.23%	0.7563	✓	1.56
2025-12-05	oos	0.219	0.215691	-1.51%	0.107	-51.14%	0.7379	✓	1.55
2025-12-04	oos	0.228	0.225226	-1.22%	0.112	-50.88%	0.6731	✓	1.56
2025-12-03	oos	0.235	0.231898	-1.32%	0.105	-55.32%	0.7329	✓	1.56
2025-12-02	oos	0.2265	0.223888	-1.15%	0.117	-48.34%	0.6044	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.216	0.212746	-1.51%	0.106	-50.93%	0.7194	✓	1.62
2025-11-30	oos	0.2275	0.224575	-1.29%	0.131	-42.42%	0.5027	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.2305	0.227346	-1.37%	0.129	-44.03%	0.4988	✓	1.62
2025-11-28	oos	0.2345	0.231389	-1.33%	0.137	-41.58%	0.4693	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.2355	0.232892	-1.11%	0.1505	-36.09%	0.3732	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.2355	0.232443	-1.30%	0.1725	-26.75%	0.2394	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.2335	0.229528	-1.70%	0.1705	-26.98%	0.2942	✓	1.74
2025-11-24	oos	0.2335	0.229511	-1.71%	0.1715	-26.55%	0.2784	✓	1.74
2025-11-23	oos	0.234	0.229255	-2.03%	0.1685	-27.99%	0.3204	✓	1.76
2025-11-22	oos	0.2375	0.231535	-2.51%	0.17	-28.42%	0.3905	✓	1.82
2025-11-21	oos	0.238	0.232328	-2.38%	0.1725	-27.52%	0.3724	✓	1.82
2025-11-20	oos	0.255	0.246033	-3.52%	0.1765	-30.78%	0.3689	✓	1.80
2025-11-19	oos	0.2595	0.251172	-3.21%	0.1765	-31.98%	0.2795	✓	1.95
2025-11-18	oos	0.2625	0.253825	-3.30%	0.171	-34.86%	0.2315	✓	1.95
2025-11-17	oos	0.252	0.244103	-3.13%	0.1765	-29.96%	0.1952	✓	1.95
2025-11-16	oos	0.2565	0.24889	-2.97%	0.188	-26.71%	0.1445	✓	1.96
2025-11-15	oos	0.2635	0.254912	-3.26%	0.1875	-28.84%	0.1103	✓	1.96
2025-11-14	oos	0.256	0.248435	-2.96%	0.1895	-25.98%	0.1349	✓	1.96
2025-11-13	oos	0.264	0.25671	-2.76%	0.198	-25.00%	0.0556	✓	2.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.268	0.260808	-2.68%	0.197	-26.49%	0.0338	✓	2.08
2025-11-11	oos	0.274	0.265793	-3.00%	0.209	-23.72%	0.0178	✓	2.08
2025-11-10	oos	0.284	0.274742	-3.26%	0.2165	-23.77%	0.0580	✗	2.10
2025-11-09	oos	0.28	0.270173	-3.51%	0.2225	-20.54%	0.0639	✗	2.12
2025-11-08	oos	0.286	0.272056	-4.88%	0.212	-25.87%	0.0130	✓	2.17
2025-11-07	oos	0.279	0.265745	-4.75%	0.214	-23.30%	0.0704	✗	2.15
2025-11-06	oos	0.236	0.231147	-2.06%	0.219	-7.20%	0.2085	✗	2.08
2025-11-05	oos	0.241	0.236536	-1.85%	0.219	-9.13%	0.2386	✗	2.10
2025-11-04	oos	0.235	0.23104	-1.69%	0.228	-2.98%	0.1909	✗	2.11
2025-11-03	oos	0.243	0.240055	-1.21%	0.235	-3.29%	0.2690	✗	2.21
2025-11-02	oos	0.269	0.263048	-2.21%	0.2265	-15.80%	0.2695	✗	2.19
2025-11-01	oos	0.2665	0.260389	-2.29%	0.216	-18.95%	0.3474	✗	2.20
2025-10-31	oos	0.26	0.254412	-2.15%	0.2275	-12.50%	0.3092	✗	2.19
2025-10-30	oos	0.259	0.252806	-2.39%	0.2305	-11.00%	0.2939	✗	2.19
2025-10-29	oos	0.269	0.261119	-2.93%	0.2345	-12.83%	0.3088	✗	2.18
2025-10-28	oos	0.27	0.263287	-2.49%	0.2355	-12.78%	0.3618	✗	2.23
2025-10-27	oos	0.2735	0.266452	-2.58%	0.2355	-13.89%	0.3949	✗	2.23
2025-10-26	oos	0.282	0.273501	-3.01%	0.2335	-17.20%	0.4477	✗	2.23
2025-10-25	oos	0.271	0.262572	-3.11%	0.2335	-13.84%	0.4142	✗	2.26
2025-10-24	oos	0.276	0.267304	-3.15%	0.234	-15.22%	0.4249	✗	2.27
2025-10-23	oos	0.274	0.265086	-3.25%	0.2375	-13.32%	0.4860	✗	2.27
2025-10-22	oos	0.2695	0.260364	-3.39%	0.238	-11.69%	0.4481	✗	2.29
2025-10-21	oos	0.27	0.260794	-3.41%	0.255	-5.56%	0.4935	✗	2.29
2025-10-20	oos	0.2765	0.266423	-3.64%	0.2595	-6.15%	0.4150	✗	2.33
2025-10-19	oos	0.2755	0.26494	-3.83%	0.2625	-4.72%	0.3513	✗	2.30
2025-10-18	oos	0.27	0.259761	-3.79%	0.252	-6.67%	0.3198	✗	2.30
2025-10-17	oos	0.2685	0.25881	-3.61%	0.2565	-4.47%	0.2729	✗	2.30
2025-10-16	oos	0.2745	0.264364	-3.69%	0.2635	-4.01%	0.2840	✗	2.31
2025-10-15	oos	0.285	0.275789	-3.23%	0.256	-10.18%	0.2935	✗	2.31
2025-10-14	oos	0.2995	0.293093	-2.14%	0.264	-11.85%	0.1885	✗	2.31
2025-10-13	oos	0.3065	0.303297	-1.05%	0.268	-12.56%	0.1694	✗	2.33
2025-10-12	oos	0.2935	0.29117	-0.79%	0.274	-6.64%	0.1916	✗	2.28
2025-10-11	oos	0.27	0.262757	-2.68%	0.284	+5.19%	0.1784	✗	2.28
2025-10-10	oos	0.255	0.251137	-1.51%	0.28	+9.80%	0.2882	✗	2.35
2025-10-09	oos	0.3585	0.360317	+0.51%	0.286	-20.22%	0.0779	✓	1.78
2025-10-08	oos	0.3715	0.3749	+0.92%	0.279	-24.90%	0.0170	✓	1.76
2025-10-07	oos	0.358	0.358178	+0.05%	0.236	-34.08%	0.1044	✗	1.73
2025-10-06	oos	0.3795	0.384505	+1.32%	0.241	-36.50%	0.1502	✗	1.73
2025-10-05	oos	0.371	0.376795	+1.56%	0.235	-36.66%	0.1315	✗	1.73
2025-10-04	oos	0.3725	0.377047	+1.22%	0.243	-34.77%	0.1988	✗	1.73
2025-10-03	oos	0.3835	0.387477	+1.04%	0.269	-29.86%	0.1900	✗	1.73
2025-10-02	oos	0.38	0.382243	+0.59%	0.2665	-29.87%	0.2016	✗	1.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3725	0.37221	-0.08%	0.26	-30.20%	0.2183	✓	1.76
2025-09-30	oos	0.3495	0.345058	-1.27%	0.259	-25.89%	0.1954	✓	1.77
2025-09-29	oos	0.3535	0.349363	-1.17%	0.269	-23.90%	0.1918	✓	1.80
2025-09-28	oos	0.3555	0.348538	-1.96%	0.27	-24.05%	0.2670	✓	1.85
2025-09-27	oos	0.3485	0.338778	-2.79%	0.2735	-21.52%	0.2880	✓	1.88
2025-09-26	oos	0.353	0.342485	-2.98%	0.282	-20.11%	0.2758	✓	1.88
2025-09-25	oos	0.339	0.329109	-2.92%	0.271	-20.06%	0.2390	✓	1.88
2025-09-24	oos	0.3585	0.349825	-2.42%	0.276	-23.01%	0.1978	✓	1.91
2025-09-23	oos	0.3575	0.347707	-2.74%	0.274	-23.36%	0.2052	✓	1.93
2025-09-22	oos	0.3615	0.351791	-2.69%	0.2695	-25.45%	0.1772	✓	1.91
2025-09-21	oos	0.3895	0.378328	-2.87%	0.27	-30.68%	0.2219	✓	1.86
2025-09-20	oos	0.397	0.385334	-2.94%	0.2765	-30.35%	0.2464	✓	1.87
2025-09-19	oos	0.3985	0.385858	-3.17%	0.2755	-30.87%	0.2189	✓	1.89
2025-09-18	oos	0.419	0.40326	-3.76%	0.27	-35.56%	0.2348	✓	1.88

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.