XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · beta_5y

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,310

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0506

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0138

actual -0.0084

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.31645	0.307202	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-21	oos	0.31526	0.305719	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.302919	-3.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.292718	-2.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.293451	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.294385	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.308483	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.306343	-2.03%	0.31645	+1.20%	0.0035	✓	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.303094	-1.98%	0.31526	+1.95%	0.0235	✗	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.314734	-2.46%	0.3131	-2.96%	0.0029	✓	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.296206	-2.19%	0.30059	-0.74%	0.0134	✓	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.313998	-2.81%	0.30068	-6.93%	0.0211	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.293377	-2.33%	0.30109	+0.23%	0.0463	✗	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.291447	-2.33%	0.315885	+5.86%	0.0945	✗	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.282677	-2.15%	0.31269	+8.24%	0.0952	✗	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.303548	-2.82%	0.30922	-1.00%	0.0404	✗	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.322366	-3.23%	0.32266	-3.14%	0.0301	✓	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.325233	-3.38%	0.302825	-10.04%	0.0222	✓	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.318677	-3.45%	0.32306	-2.13%	0.0478	✗	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.310374	-3.67%	0.30039	-6.77%	0.0103	✓	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.303957	-3.78%	0.298385	-5.55%	0.0057	✓	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.312811	-4.04%	0.28889	-11.38%	0.0409	✓	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.30381	-4.00%	0.312355	-1.30%	0.0313	✓	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.299231	-4.07%	0.333125	+6.80%	0.0835	✗	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.300262	-4.11%	0.336605	+7.50%	0.0854	✗	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.307545	-4.29%	0.330075	+2.72%	0.0451	✗	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.314101	-4.46%	0.32219	-2.00%	0.0213	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.317113	-4.54%	0.31591	-4.90%	0.0090	✓	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.31691	-4.26%	0.32599	-1.52%	0.0224	✓	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.31232	-3.80%	0.316455	-2.52%	0.0237	✓	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.33318	-4.14%	0.311915	-10.26%	0.0347	✓	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.326494	-3.89%	0.313135	-7.83%	0.0033	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.333752	-4.56%	0.32132	-8.12%	0.0867	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.342519	-6.66%	0.32877	-10.41%	0.0876	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.284317	-3.79%	0.332185	+12.41%	0.1083	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.249988	-1.84%	0.33102	+29.97%	0.1744	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.250144	-1.37%	0.32465	+28.00%	0.1505	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.247654	-0.72%	0.34756	+39.33%	0.1948	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.270364	-0.91%	0.33972	+24.51%	0.1234	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.278281	-1.91%	0.3497	+23.26%	0.1707	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.264931	-0.31%	0.36697	+38.08%	0.2726	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.253063	+0.90%	0.29552	+17.83%	0.1061	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.254965	+0.69%	0.25468	+0.58%	0.0015	✓	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.263865	+0.07%	0.25363	-3.81%	0.0105	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.253558	+1.57%	0.249455	-0.07%	0.0229	✓	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.243525	+3.55%	0.272845	+16.02%	0.1264	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.249929	+3.76%	0.283705	+17.78%	0.1758	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.248392	+4.01%	0.265765	+11.28%	0.1031	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.241601	+4.91%	0.25081	+8.91%	0.0704	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.240809	+5.32%	0.25322	+10.75%	0.1143	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.226868	+4.15%	0.26367	+21.05%	0.1355	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.22374	+4.37%	0.249635	+16.45%	0.0934	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.222903	+4.72%	0.235175	+10.49%	0.0460	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.219922	+4.27%	0.24088	+14.21%	0.0529	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.22778	+3.70%	0.23882	+8.73%	0.0248	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.22688	+2.81%	0.23029	+4.35%	0.0111	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.236658	+2.52%	0.228645	-0.95%	0.0482	✗	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.232157	+1.85%	0.217825	-4.44%	0.0391	✗	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.227681	+1.81%	0.21437	-4.14%	0.0440	✗	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.233236	+1.35%	0.21285	-7.51%	0.0855	✗	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.23647	+0.59%	0.210915	-10.28%	0.1134	✗	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.233439	+0.44%	0.219655	-5.49%	0.0780	✗	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.241067	-0.05%	0.22069	-8.50%	0.0813	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.219901	-0.76%	0.23084	+4.18%	0.0566	✓	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.211734	-1.39%	0.227945	+6.16%	0.0774	✓	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.196602	-1.75%	0.223625	+11.75%	0.0974	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.195796	-1.80%	0.230135	+15.42%	0.0760	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.191445	-1.72%	0.23508	+20.68%	0.0445	✓	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.194357	-1.81%	0.232425	+17.42%	0.0568	✓	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.192942	-1.84%	0.2412	+22.71%	0.0340	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.19312	-1.83%	0.22158	+12.63%	0.0289	✓	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.190983	-1.70%	0.21471	+10.51%	0.0122	✓	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.191087	-1.77%	0.20011	+2.87%	0.0252	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.194679	-1.95%	0.199385	+0.42%	0.0136	✓	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.198564	-1.82%	0.19479	-3.69%	0.0179	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.203748	-2.06%	0.197945	-4.85%	0.0059	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.197598	-1.91%	0.196555	-2.43%	0.0302	✗	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.196796	-1.97%	0.19673	-2.00%	0.0152	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.193119	-1.81%	0.194285	-1.22%	0.0282	✗	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.194266	-1.92%	0.194525	-1.78%	0.0110	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.199058	-2.13%	0.198545	-2.39%	0.0111	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.196329	-1.93%	0.202255	+1.03%	0.0040	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.19487	-1.94%	0.208035	+4.68%	0.0246	✗	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.197446	-1.81%	0.20144	+0.17%	0.0192	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.202344	-1.52%	0.200745	-2.30%	0.0007	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.200979	-1.51%	0.19668	-3.62%	0.0349	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.203847	-1.49%	0.19806	-4.28%	0.0326	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.20451	-1.39%	0.2034	-1.93%	0.0011	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.220171	-1.37%	0.200185	-10.32%	0.0619	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.220661	-1.39%	0.198725	-11.20%	0.0769	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.224924	-1.47%	0.201095	-11.91%	0.0892	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.231694	-1.50%	0.20547	-12.65%	0.1143	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.225397	-0.86%	0.20406	-10.25%	0.0600	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.227003	-0.71%	0.206925	-9.49%	0.0446	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.22612	-0.91%	0.2074	-9.11%	0.0587	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.221459	-0.84%	0.22322	-0.05%	0.0039	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.223586	-0.76%	0.22378	-0.68%	0.0100	✗	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.22063	-0.74%	0.22828	+2.70%	0.0306	✗	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.218899	-0.71%	0.235215	+6.69%	0.0484	✗	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.225937	-0.71%	0.22736	-0.08%	0.0180	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.229895	-0.86%	0.22863	-1.41%	0.0326	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.218537	-0.95%	0.22819	+3.43%	0.0111	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.225151	-0.76%	0.223335	-1.56%	0.0254	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.229107	-0.76%	0.225305	-2.40%	0.0350	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.233878	-0.81%	0.22228	-5.73%	0.0467	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.23351	-0.81%	0.220465	-6.35%	0.0682	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.239076	-1.04%	0.22755	-5.81%	0.0949	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.251007	-1.25%	0.23189	-8.77%	0.1090	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.247921	-1.07%	0.220625	-11.96%	0.0847	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.249549	-1.64%	0.22688	-10.58%	0.0981	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.236322	-1.17%	0.230855	-3.46%	0.0360	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.240996	-1.77%	0.23579	-3.89%	0.0508	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.213211	-0.55%	0.235405	+9.80%	0.0697	✗	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.208279	-0.70%	0.241585	+15.18%	0.1080	✗	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.201004	-0.67%	0.25418	+25.60%	0.1501	✗	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.210521	-0.57%	0.250595	+18.36%	0.1084	✗	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.209112	-0.61%	0.25371	+20.59%	0.1223	✗	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.211453	-0.56%	0.239125	+12.46%	0.0682	✗	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.214538	-0.67%	0.245335	+13.59%	0.0902	✗	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.211324	-0.67%	0.2144	+0.78%	0.0169	✓	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.214041	-0.47%	0.209745	-2.47%	0.0019	✓	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.220044	-0.43%	0.202365	-8.43%	0.0088	✓	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.227287	-0.44%	0.211725	-7.26%	0.0046	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.227773	-0.53%	0.21039	-8.12%	0.0127	✓	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.235472	-0.68%	0.212635	-10.31%	0.0276	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.242341	-0.89%	0.215985	-11.67%	0.0537	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.229706	-0.59%	0.21275	-7.92%	0.0206	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.243049	-0.84%	0.21506	-12.26%	0.0631	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.242616	-0.89%	0.22099	-9.73%	0.0435	✓	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.2393	-0.83%	0.22829	-5.40%	0.0096	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.237633	-0.80%	0.22898	-4.41%	0.0030	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.236216	-0.85%	0.23709	-0.48%	0.0071	✓	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.23209	-0.83%	0.24452	+4.48%	0.0532	✗	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.232393	-0.86%	0.23106	-1.43%	0.0057	✓	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.226193	-0.50%	0.245115	+7.83%	0.0296	✗	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.236212	-0.66%	0.244805	+2.95%	0.0300	✓	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.243602	-0.85%	0.24131	-1.78%	0.0622	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.243524	-0.80%	0.23954	-2.42%	0.0556	✓	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.243405	-0.44%	0.238245	-2.55%	0.0821	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.24259	-0.28%	0.234035	-3.79%	0.0783	✓	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.274392	-1.30%	0.234405	-15.69%	0.1539	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.291809	-1.55%	0.22732	-23.31%	0.2107	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.290317	-1.35%	0.23779	-19.20%	0.1228	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.312887	-1.61%	0.24568	-22.74%	0.1266	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.321955	-1.83%	0.24549	-25.14%	0.1305	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.324434	-2.31%	0.24447	-26.39%	0.1096	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.3004	-1.40%	0.24326	-20.15%	0.0455	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.305386	-1.42%	0.27802	-10.26%	0.0328	✗	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.314186	-1.39%	0.2964	-6.97%	0.0739	✗	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.326834	-1.48%	0.2943	-11.29%	0.0082	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.329105	-1.42%	0.318	-4.75%	0.0397	✗	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.330665	-1.35%	0.32795	-2.16%	0.0336	✗	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.339424	-1.67%	0.3321	-3.79%	0.0129	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.32955	-1.49%	0.30465	-8.94%	0.0533	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.344198	-1.56%	0.3098	-11.40%	0.0576	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.336669	-1.27%	0.3186	-6.57%	0.0178	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.33059	-1.01%	0.33175	-0.66%	0.0145	✗	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.338236	-1.09%	0.33385	-2.37%	0.0166	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.337095	-0.90%	0.3352	-1.46%	0.0007	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.353388	-1.12%	0.3452	-3.41%	0.0068	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.360829	-1.13%	0.33455	-8.33%	0.0336	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.374128	-1.00%	0.34965	-7.48%	0.0276	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.37046	-1.18%	0.341	-9.04%	0.0623	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.380946	-1.04%	0.33395	-13.25%	0.0902	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.393337	-1.01%	0.34195	-13.94%	0.0877	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.396261	-1.07%	0.34015	-15.08%	0.1005	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.382955	-0.99%	0.3574	-7.60%	0.0414	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.389434	-1.28%	0.36495	-7.49%	0.0528	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.372359	-0.82%	0.3779	+0.65%	0.0034	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.380112	-0.77%	0.3749	-2.13%	0.0085	✗	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.372696	-0.61%	0.38495	+2.65%	0.0372	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.360787	-0.31%	0.39735	+9.80%	0.0756	✗	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.361068	-0.48%	0.40055	+10.41%	0.0633	✗	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.364722	-0.43%	0.3868	+5.60%	0.0365	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.364904	-0.33%	0.3945	+7.76%	0.0559	✗	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.363286	-0.55%	0.37545	+2.78%	0.0103	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.369012	-0.55%	0.38305	+3.23%	0.0289	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.381875	-0.79%	0.375	-2.57%	0.0715	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.377033	-0.36%	0.3619	-4.36%	0.0700	✓	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.371524	+0.22%	0.3628	-2.13%	0.0224	✗	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.369223	-0.06%	0.3663	-0.85%	0.0201	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.371477	-0.23%	0.3661	-1.68%	0.0238	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.373552	-0.24%	0.3653	-2.44%	0.0014	✓	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.371446	-0.24%	0.37105	-0.35%	0.0285	✗	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.364384	-0.62%	0.3849	+4.98%	0.0551	✗	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.363635	-0.75%	0.3784	+3.28%	0.0215	✗	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.351045	-0.86%	0.3707	+4.69%	0.0066	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.362592	-0.69%	0.36945	+1.19%	0.0050	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.376938	-0.77%	0.37235	-1.97%	0.0167	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.372581	-1.08%	0.37445	-0.58%	0.0338	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.357439	-0.96%	0.37235	+3.17%	0.0012	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.343683	-0.73%	0.36665	+5.91%	0.0374	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.351773	-0.91%	0.3664	+3.21%	0.0230	✗	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.338449	-1.01%	0.3541	+3.57%	0.0046	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.350341	-0.98%	0.3651	+3.19%	0.0073	✓	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.35483	-1.08%	0.37985	+5.90%	0.0161	✗	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.349354	-1.13%	0.37665	+6.59%	0.0316	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.347705	-1.19%	0.3609	+2.56%	0.0117	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.35605	-1.43%	0.3462	-4.15%	0.0576	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.336869	-1.40%	0.355	+3.91%	0.0217	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.339833	-1.44%	0.3419	-0.84%	0.0178	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.343012	-1.66%	0.3538	+1.43%	0.0487	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.343503	-1.79%	0.3587	+2.56%	0.0402	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.337248	-1.53%	0.35335	+3.17%	0.0217	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.346185	-1.60%	0.3519	+0.03%	0.0251	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.346527	-1.67%	0.3612	+2.50%	0.0097	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.341807	-1.44%	0.34165	-1.49%	0.0310	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.335651	-1.22%	0.3448	+1.47%	0.0175	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.341874	-1.22%	0.3488	+0.78%	0.0058	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.344751	-1.42%	0.34975	+0.01%	0.0054	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.365413	-1.24%	0.3425	-7.43%	0.0377	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.384155	-1.22%	0.3518	-9.54%	0.0433	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.394205	-1.47%	0.3524	-11.92%	0.0794	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.388207	-1.36%	0.3468	-11.88%	0.0537	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.373632	-1.31%	0.3398	-10.25%	0.0672	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.383311	-1.34%	0.3461	-10.91%	0.0645	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.397275	-1.51%	0.3497	-13.30%	0.0685	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.384177	-1.34%	0.37	-4.98%	0.0215	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.388517	-1.24%	0.3889	-1.14%	0.0002	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.392373	-1.12%	0.4001	+0.83%	0.0659	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.39624	-1.11%	0.39355	-1.78%	0.0478	✗	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.382384	-1.17%	0.3786	-2.15%	0.0599	✗	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.373844	-1.13%	0.3885	+2.75%	0.0712	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.368963	-1.16%	0.40335	+8.05%	0.0954	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.364428	-1.00%	0.3894	+5.79%	0.0749	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.361655	-0.92%	0.3934	+7.78%	0.0696	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.359713	-0.96%	0.3968	+9.25%	0.0431	✗	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.359287	-1.10%	0.4007	+10.29%	0.0187	✗	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.354641	-1.24%	0.3869	+7.74%	0.0130	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.357753	-1.09%	0.3781	+4.53%	0.0030	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.366692	-1.13%	0.3733	+0.65%	0.0234	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.379894	-1.17%	0.3681	-4.24%	0.0264	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.385783	-1.23%	0.365	-6.55%	0.0201	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.371588	-1.23%	0.3632	-3.46%	0.0473	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.37112	-1.25%	0.3633	-3.33%	0.0152	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.365316	-1.56%	0.3591	-3.23%	0.0204	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.378772	-1.49%	0.3617	-5.93%	0.0506	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.37703	-1.64%	0.3709	-3.24%	0.0512	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.385375	-1.69%	0.3844	-1.94%	0.0534	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.388963	-1.78%	0.3906	-1.36%	0.0649	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.360709	-1.47%	0.3762	+2.76%	0.0237	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.363228	-1.55%	0.3758	+1.86%	0.0292	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.373038	-1.59%	0.3711	-2.10%	0.0228	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.382039	-1.70%	0.3845	-1.07%	0.0213	✗	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.384879	-1.92%	0.3833	-2.32%	0.0279	✗	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.376677	-1.59%	0.392	+2.42%	0.0321	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.378964	-1.52%	0.396	+2.91%	0.0204	✗	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.388762	-1.58%	0.3661	-7.32%	0.0082	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.39262	-1.66%	0.36895	-7.59%	0.0016	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.391711	-1.58%	0.37905	-4.76%	0.0155	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.414356	-2.09%	0.38865	-8.16%	0.0373	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.399335	-1.74%	0.3924	-3.44%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.394327	-1.46%	0.38275	-4.35%	0.0415	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.388965	-1.32%	0.3848	-2.37%	0.0017	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.397223	-1.30%	0.395	-1.85%	0.0141	✗	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.405053	-1.38%	0.39925	-2.79%	0.0036	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.406779	-1.34%	0.398	-3.47%	0.0001	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.415631	-1.45%	0.4232	+0.34%	0.0101	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.42148	-1.95%	0.4064	-5.46%	0.0118	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.394759	+0.32%	0.40015	+1.69%	0.0424	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.458521	-1.95%	0.39415	-15.72%	0.0588	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.462477	-2.25%	0.40245	-14.93%	0.0410	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.468849	-2.08%	0.4107	-14.22%	0.0105	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.454329	-1.62%	0.4123	-10.72%	0.0047	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.458791	-1.59%	0.42175	-9.53%	0.0520	✗	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.49568	-1.96%	0.42985	-14.98%	0.0427	✗	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.499516	-1.79%	0.3935	-22.63%	0.0732	✗	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.526363	-1.80%	0.46765	-12.75%	0.0931	✗	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.557567	-2.30%	0.4731	-17.10%	0.0112	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.55229	-2.32%	0.4788	-15.32%	0.0210	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.550088	-2.15%	0.4618	-17.86%	0.0482	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.571569	-2.26%	0.4662	-20.28%	0.0713	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.574205	-2.54%	0.5056	-14.19%	0.0622	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.567841	-2.06%	0.5086	-12.28%	0.0504	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.580644	-2.30%	0.536	-9.81%	0.0776	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.542757	-1.73%	0.5707	+3.33%	0.0409	✗	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.596099	-2.34%	0.5654	-7.37%	0.0071	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.573349	-1.84%	0.5622	-3.75%	0.0570	✗	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.590468	-1.90%	0.5848	-2.84%	0.0533	✗	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.60604	-2.08%	0.5892	-4.80%	0.0344	✗	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.571805	-1.77%	0.5798	-0.40%	0.0775	✗	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.568372	-1.67%	0.5943	+2.82%	0.1241	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.57931	-2.18%	0.5523	-6.74%	0.0288	✗	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.54395	-1.96%	0.6104	+10.02%	0.1007	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.557478	-2.02%	0.5841	+2.65%	0.0169	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.569198	-2.15%	0.6019	+3.47%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.566406	-2.33%	0.6189	+6.73%	0.0321	✗	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.5722	-2.52%	0.5821	-0.83%	0.0332	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.55591	-2.01%	0.578	+1.89%	0.0344	✓	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.583946	-2.48%	0.5922	-1.10%	0.0071	✓	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.54819	-2.04%	0.5548	-0.86%	0.0466	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.532026	-2.17%	0.569	+4.63%	0.0754	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.520481	-2.18%	0.5817	+9.32%	0.1142	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.516305	-2.29%	0.5799	+9.75%	0.1087	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.495871	-2.06%	0.587	+15.94%	0.1383	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.483467	-2.29%	0.5673	+14.65%	0.1095	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.503657	-2.68%	0.5988	+15.71%	0.1039	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.482104	-1.85%	0.5596	+13.93%	0.0616	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.49025	-1.91%	0.5438	+8.80%	0.0565	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.476042	-1.81%	0.5321	+9.76%	0.0752	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.463872	-2.42%	0.5284	+11.15%	0.0960	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.437507	-1.46%	0.5063	+14.03%	0.1259	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.437963	-1.27%	0.4948	+11.54%	0.1235	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.438357	-1.29%	0.5175	+16.53%	0.1533	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.437662	-1.18%	0.4912	+10.91%	0.1343	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.433944	-1.11%	0.4998	+13.90%	0.1512	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.445686	-1.31%	0.4848	+7.35%	0.0910	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.437586	-1.31%	0.4754	+7.22%	0.0935	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.425062	-1.31%	0.444	+3.09%	0.0203	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.435129	-1.35%	0.4436	+0.57%	0.0003	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.454465	-1.40%	0.4441	-3.65%	0.0174	✓	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.455366	-1.41%	0.4429	-4.11%	0.0566	✓	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.470987	-1.45%	0.4388	-8.18%	0.0770	✓	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.493694	-1.58%	0.4516	-9.97%	0.0639	✓	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.484871	-1.49%	0.4434	-9.91%	0.0608	✓	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.497318	-1.75%	0.4307	-14.92%	0.0506	✓	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.486382	-1.48%	0.4411	-10.65%	0.0212	✓	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.491087	-1.49%	0.4609	-7.54%	0.0006	✓	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.484393	-1.69%	0.4619	-6.25%	0.0090	✓	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.467332	-1.28%	0.4779	+0.95%	0.0518	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.473612	-1.37%	0.5016	+4.46%	0.0443	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.471629	-1.29%	0.4922	+3.01%	0.0303	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.488902	-1.37%	0.5062	+2.12%	0.0290	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.495817	-1.39%	0.4937	-1.81%	0.0139	✓	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.479203	-1.34%	0.4985	+2.64%	0.0216	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.463508	-1.36%	0.4927	+4.85%	0.0002	✓	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.477685	-1.25%	0.4734	-2.14%	0.0095	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.486212	-1.32%	0.4802	-2.54%	0.0095	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.497789	-1.38%	0.4778	-5.34%	0.0190	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.503022	-1.46%	0.4957	-2.90%	0.0254	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.50199	-1.55%	0.5028	-1.39%	0.0402	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.500197	-1.59%	0.4857	-4.45%	0.0884	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.496439	-1.55%	0.4699	-6.81%	0.0248	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.481245	-1.53%	0.48375	-1.01%	0.0479	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.479582	-1.38%	0.4927	+1.32%	0.0679	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.489549	-1.71%	0.50475	+1.35%	0.0594	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.499875	-1.57%	0.5105	+0.52%	0.0519	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.524615	-1.85%	0.5099	-4.60%	0.0129	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.534849	-1.96%	0.5083	-6.83%	0.0377	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.518774	-2.03%	0.50425	-4.77%	0.0326	✗	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.540206	-2.02%	0.4887	-11.36%	0.0168	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.559859	-2.26%	0.4863	-15.10%	0.0323	✗	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.544611	-2.04%	0.49805	-10.41%	0.0610	✗	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.555687	-2.06%	0.50785	-10.49%	0.1232	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.571807	-2.02%	0.5345	-8.41%	0.0924	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.581326	-1.99%	0.54555	-8.02%	0.0927	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.611969	-2.38%	0.5295	-15.54%	0.0648	✗	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.613492	-2.23%	0.55135	-12.14%	0.0535	✗	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.631624	-2.95%	0.5728	-11.99%	0.0095	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.666437	-4.34%	0.55595	-20.20%	0.0467	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.577485	-3.54%	0.56735	-5.24%	0.0063	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.526431	-1.64%	0.5836	+9.04%	0.1365	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.511717	-1.34%	0.59315	+14.36%	0.1244	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.527223	-1.01%	0.6269	+17.71%	0.1820	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.573804	-1.08%	0.6275	+8.18%	0.1762	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.572095	-1.07%	0.6508	+12.54%	0.2463	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.573418	-1.18%	0.6967	+20.07%	0.2896	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.558691	-1.15%	0.5987	+5.93%	0.1768	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.582379	-1.26%	0.5352	-9.26%	0.0074	✓	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.584551	-1.17%	0.51865	-12.32%	0.0564	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.592212	-1.35%	0.5326	-11.28%	0.0066	✓	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.605098	-1.52%	0.58005	-5.60%	0.0165	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.595687	-1.67%	0.5783	-4.54%	0.0052	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.59247	-1.81%	0.58025	-3.84%	0.0017	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.582906	-1.91%	0.5652	-4.89%	0.0032	✓	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.571165	-1.99%	0.5898	+1.21%	0.0056	✓	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.575838	-1.77%	0.5915	+0.90%	0.0421	✓	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.58689	-1.91%	0.6003	+0.33%	0.0311	✓	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.58589	-1.84%	0.61445	+2.95%	0.0409	✓	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.57672	-1.68%	0.6058	+3.27%	0.0192	✓	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.568558	-1.59%	0.6034	+4.44%	0.0108	✓	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.586122	-1.72%	0.59425	-0.35%	0.0156	✓	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.597718	-1.76%	0.58275	-4.22%	0.0237	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.617862	-1.76%	0.5862	-6.79%	0.0183	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.645178	-1.95%	0.5983	-9.07%	0.0063	✓	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.618809	-1.96%	0.59685	-5.43%	0.0568	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.569999	-1.76%	0.5866	+1.10%	0.0806	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.554406	-1.65%	0.57775	+2.49%	0.1387	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.666141	-1.73%	0.59635	-12.02%	0.0560	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.674772	-1.63%	0.6084	-11.31%	0.0482	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.667781	-1.72%	0.6289	-7.44%	0.0407	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.705503	-1.63%	0.658	-8.25%	0.0414	✗	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.702362	-1.72%	0.63115	-11.68%	0.0064	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.684197	-1.36%	0.5802	-16.35%	0.0232	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.707746	-1.61%	0.5637	-21.63%	0.1158	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.700225	-1.71%	0.67785	-4.85%	0.0452	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.689676	-1.91%	0.68595	-2.44%	0.0611	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.6569	-1.76%	0.67945	+1.62%	0.0565	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.656992	-1.90%	0.7172	+7.09%	0.0404	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.660508	-1.97%	0.71465	+6.07%	0.0679	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.657424	-1.95%	0.6936	+3.45%	0.1187	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.665837	-2.13%	0.7193	+5.73%	0.0934	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.64223	-2.31%	0.7124	+8.37%	0.0540	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.683993	-2.03%	0.7031	+0.71%	0.0438	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.684624	-2.13%	0.66865	-4.42%	0.0521	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.682559	-2.36%	0.6697	-4.20%	0.0413	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.732971	-2.32%	0.67375	-10.21%	0.0435	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.743468	-2.28%	0.6705	-11.87%	0.0215	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.737691	-2.40%	0.6803	-10.00%	0.0000	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.772645	-2.43%	0.6574	-16.98%	0.0539	✓	1.51

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.