XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · beta_5y

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

42.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1252

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0073

actual -0.0280

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.31645	0.308952	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-21	oos	0.31537	0.309171	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.305682	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.29274	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.293513	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.29343	-2.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.307045	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.304642	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.298939	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.311401	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.291623	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.310359	-3.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.289505	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.287768	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.279409	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.301031	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.320165	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.323948	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.318425	-3.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.31079	-3.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.305487	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.314455	-3.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.306695	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.302989	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.305249	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.312704	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.320472	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.324235	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.324831	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.321698	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.343711	-1.11%	0.31645	-8.95%	0.0586	✓	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.338818	-0.27%	0.31537	-7.17%	0.0403	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.343422	-1.80%	0.3131	-10.47%	0.1189	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.356185	-2.94%	0.30059	-18.09%	0.1787	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.29992	+1.49%	0.30068	+1.75%	0.0143	✓	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.25965	+1.95%	0.30109	+18.22%	0.0803	✓	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.25868	+1.99%	0.315885	+24.55%	0.1268	✓	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.254763	+2.13%	0.31269	+25.35%	0.1139	✓	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.280056	+2.64%	0.30922	+13.33%	0.0555	✓	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.28735	+1.28%	0.32266	+13.73%	0.0334	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.272581	+2.56%	0.302825	+13.94%	0.0453	✓	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.260396	+3.82%	0.32306	+28.81%	0.1306	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.261109	+3.12%	0.30039	+18.63%	0.0552	✓	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.272497	+3.35%	0.298385	+13.17%	0.0351	✓	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.259346	+3.89%	0.28889	+15.72%	0.0651	✓	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.24881	+5.80%	0.312355	+32.82%	0.1715	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.25581	+6.20%	0.333125	+38.30%	0.1958	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.253326	+6.07%	0.336605	+40.95%	0.2066	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.246395	+6.99%	0.330075	+43.33%	0.2060	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.246853	+7.96%	0.32219	+40.91%	0.2216	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.230625	+5.88%	0.31591	+45.03%	0.2095	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.228692	+6.68%	0.32599	+52.07%	0.2448	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.230284	+8.19%	0.316455	+48.68%	0.2479	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.229047	+8.60%	0.311915	+47.89%	0.2253	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.240513	+9.50%	0.313135	+42.56%	0.1919	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.240047	+8.77%	0.32132	+45.60%	0.2005	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.254021	+10.04%	0.32877	+42.42%	0.2016	✓	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.24787	+8.74%	0.332185	+45.73%	0.2231	✓	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.244224	+9.21%	0.33102	+48.02%	0.2233	✓	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.251047	+9.09%	0.32465	+41.07%	0.1827	✓	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.253436	+7.81%	0.34756	+47.85%	0.1988	✓	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.250407	+7.74%	0.33972	+46.16%	0.1732	✓	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.262124	+8.67%	0.3497	+44.98%	0.2484	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.233711	+5.47%	0.36697	+65.62%	0.3329	✓	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.220204	+2.56%	0.29552	+37.64%	0.1164	✓	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.200526	+0.21%	0.25468	+27.27%	0.0457	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.19926	-0.06%	0.25363	+27.21%	0.0465	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.193587	-0.62%	0.249455	+28.06%	0.0366	✗	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.196761	-0.60%	0.272845	+37.84%	0.0743	✗	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.19527	-0.65%	0.283705	+44.34%	0.1395	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.19563	-0.56%	0.265765	+35.09%	0.0731	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.193562	-0.37%	0.25081	+29.09%	0.0265	✗	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.194192	-0.17%	0.25322	+30.17%	0.0477	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.197481	-0.54%	0.26367	+32.80%	0.0517	✗	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.200862	-0.69%	0.249635	+23.43%	0.0064	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.206452	-0.76%	0.235175	+13.05%	0.1022	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.200411	-0.51%	0.24088	+19.58%	0.0691	✓	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.198864	-0.94%	0.23882	+18.97%	0.0729	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.194899	-0.91%	0.23029	+17.09%	0.0830	✓	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.196008	-1.04%	0.228645	+15.44%	0.1301	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.200006	-1.67%	0.217825	+7.09%	0.1538	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.196192	-1.99%	0.21437	+7.09%	0.1535	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.194189	-2.28%	0.21285	+7.11%	0.1806	✓	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.196752	-2.16%	0.210915	+4.88%	0.1877	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.204316	-0.56%	0.219655	+6.90%	0.1607	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.202632	-0.70%	0.22069	+8.15%	0.1534	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.205681	-0.60%	0.23084	+11.56%	0.1604	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.206903	-0.24%	0.227945	+9.91%	0.1639	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.224488	+0.57%	0.223625	+0.18%	0.2177	✗	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.224904	+0.50%	0.230135	+2.84%	0.2142	✗	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.23036	+0.91%	0.23508	+2.98%	0.2021	✗	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.238698	+1.48%	0.232425	-1.19%	0.2208	✗	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.233478	+2.69%	0.2412	+6.09%	0.1662	✗	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.236793	+3.57%	0.22158	-3.08%	0.1756	✗	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.235424	+3.17%	0.21471	-5.91%	0.1636	✗	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.230541	+3.23%	0.20011	-10.40%	0.1416	✗	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.232938	+3.39%	0.199385	-11.50%	0.1497	✗	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.230067	+3.50%	0.19479	-12.37%	0.1469	✗	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.22833	+3.57%	0.197945	-10.21%	0.1288	✗	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.236166	+3.79%	0.196555	-13.62%	0.1520	✗	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.240682	+3.79%	0.19673	-15.16%	0.1732	✗	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.227535	+3.13%	0.194285	-11.94%	0.1794	✗	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.235142	+3.64%	0.194525	-14.26%	0.1858	✗	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.239324	+3.67%	0.198545	-14.00%	0.1893	✗	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.244811	+3.83%	0.202255	-14.22%	0.2037	✗	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.243561	+3.46%	0.208035	-11.63%	0.1886	✗	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.249074	+3.10%	0.20144	-16.62%	0.2609	✗	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.261655	+2.94%	0.200745	-21.02%	0.2820	✗	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.258734	+3.25%	0.19668	-21.51%	0.2851	✗	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.261911	+3.23%	0.19806	-21.93%	0.2880	✗	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.247631	+3.56%	0.2034	-14.94%	0.2037	✗	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.252514	+2.93%	0.200185	-18.40%	0.2500	✗	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.222587	+3.82%	0.198725	-7.31%	0.1357	✗	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.217753	+3.82%	0.201095	-4.12%	0.1301	✗	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.209798	+3.67%	0.20547	+1.53%	0.1290	✗	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.219368	+3.61%	0.20406	-3.62%	0.1365	✗	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.218068	+3.65%	0.206925	-1.65%	0.1279	✗	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.220303	+3.61%	0.2074	-2.46%	0.1254	✗	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.223681	+3.56%	0.22322	+3.35%	0.0932	✗	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.220174	+3.49%	0.22378	+5.18%	0.0628	✗	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.222192	+3.32%	0.22828	+6.15%	0.0270	✓	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.228095	+3.21%	0.235215	+6.44%	0.0108	✓	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.23479	+2.85%	0.22736	-0.41%	0.0678	✗	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.235687	+2.93%	0.22863	-0.15%	0.0854	✗	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.243401	+2.66%	0.22819	-3.75%	0.0810	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.250058	+2.26%	0.223335	-8.66%	0.1336	✗	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.23734	+2.72%	0.225305	-2.49%	0.0845	✗	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.250876	+2.35%	0.22228	-9.32%	0.1118	✗	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.250919	+2.50%	0.220465	-9.94%	0.0987	✗	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.247764	+2.67%	0.22755	-5.70%	0.0601	✗	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.246139	+2.75%	0.23189	-3.19%	0.0481	✗	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.245118	+2.89%	0.220625	-7.40%	0.0690	✗	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.2415	+3.19%	0.22688	-3.06%	0.0658	✗	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.241361	+2.97%	0.230855	-1.51%	0.0480	✗	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.234277	+3.06%	0.23579	+3.73%	0.0390	✗	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.243932	+2.58%	0.235405	-1.00%	0.0610	✗	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.251227	+2.26%	0.241585	-1.67%	0.0252	✗	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.250932	+2.22%	0.25418	+3.54%	0.0125	✓	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.249761	+2.16%	0.250595	+2.51%	0.0503	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.248338	+2.09%	0.25371	+4.30%	0.0218	✗	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.280396	+0.85%	0.239125	-13.99%	0.1484	✗	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.296613	+0.07%	0.245335	-17.23%	0.1671	✗	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.294315	+0.00%	0.2144	-27.15%	0.2368	✗	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.316172	-0.57%	0.209745	-34.04%	0.2479	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.32692	-0.31%	0.202365	-38.29%	0.2656	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.329725	-0.72%	0.211725	-36.25%	0.2593	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.304336	-0.10%	0.21039	-30.94%	0.1804	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.309514	-0.09%	0.212635	-31.36%	0.1927	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.31792	-0.21%	0.215985	-32.21%	0.1966	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.331823	+0.02%	0.21275	-35.87%	0.2348	✗	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.33667	+0.84%	0.21506	-35.58%	0.2293	✗	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.337594	+0.71%	0.22099	-34.07%	0.2331	✗	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.347118	+0.56%	0.22829	-33.87%	0.2546	✗	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.334972	+0.13%	0.22898	-31.56%	0.2209	✗	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.353468	+1.09%	0.23709	-32.19%	0.2311	✗	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.345628	+1.36%	0.24452	-28.29%	0.1672	✗	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.338637	+1.40%	0.23106	-30.81%	0.2040	✗	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.347153	+1.52%	0.245115	-28.32%	0.1894	✗	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.345737	+1.64%	0.244805	-28.03%	0.1978	✗	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.363243	+1.63%	0.24131	-32.48%	0.2641	✗	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.371944	+1.92%	0.23954	-34.36%	0.2740	✗	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.388088	+2.70%	0.238245	-36.96%	0.2810	✗	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.381772	+1.83%	0.234035	-37.57%	0.2922	✗	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.394422	+2.46%	0.234405	-39.11%	0.3135	✗	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.409858	+3.15%	0.22732	-42.79%	0.3421	✗	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.41403	+3.37%	0.23779	-40.63%	0.3053	✗	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.396763	+2.58%	0.24568	-36.48%	0.2677	✗	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.402769	+2.10%	0.24549	-37.77%	0.2936	✗	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.385114	+2.57%	0.24447	-34.89%	0.2214	✗	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.395765	+3.32%	0.24326	-36.49%	0.2459	✗	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.386636	+3.10%	0.27802	-25.86%	0.1118	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.373179	+3.12%	0.2964	-18.10%	0.0312	✗	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.371095	+2.29%	0.2943	-18.88%	0.0852	✗	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.374364	+2.20%	0.318	-13.19%	0.0749	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.374014	+2.16%	0.32795	-10.42%	0.0765	✗	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.369276	+1.09%	0.3321	-9.09%	0.0752	✗	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.375076	+1.08%	0.30465	-17.90%	0.1787	✗	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.391092	+1.61%	0.3098	-19.51%	0.1988	✗	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.387638	+2.44%	0.3186	-15.80%	0.1593	✗	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.383439	+3.44%	0.33175	-10.51%	0.1107	✗	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.379953	+2.84%	0.33385	-9.64%	0.1246	✗	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.382162	+2.64%	0.3352	-9.98%	0.1253	✗	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.388089	+3.64%	0.3452	-7.81%	0.0976	✗	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.383911	+3.10%	0.33455	-10.15%	0.1043	✗	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.374171	+2.05%	0.34965	-4.64%	0.0822	✗	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.373479	+1.93%	0.341	-6.93%	0.1107	✗	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.35841	+1.22%	0.33395	-5.69%	0.1082	✗	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.373246	+2.23%	0.34195	-6.34%	0.1026	✗	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.389118	+2.44%	0.34015	-10.45%	0.1383	✗	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.381812	+1.37%	0.3574	-5.11%	0.1028	✗	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.368227	+2.03%	0.36495	+1.12%	0.0613	✗	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.35295	+1.95%	0.3779	+9.16%	0.0159	✓	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.361588	+1.86%	0.3749	+5.61%	0.0230	✗	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.343758	+0.54%	0.38495	+12.59%	0.0100	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.357554	+1.06%	0.39735	+12.31%	0.0011	✓	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.361922	+0.90%	0.40055	+11.67%	0.0117	✗	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.355166	+0.51%	0.3868	+9.47%	0.0255	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.353139	+0.35%	0.3945	+12.11%	0.0041	✗	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.362483	+0.36%	0.37545	+3.95%	0.0664	✗	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.339764	-0.55%	0.38305	+12.12%	0.0395	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.342059	-0.79%	0.375	+8.76%	0.0594	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.344484	-1.24%	0.3619	+3.76%	0.1157	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.343884	-1.68%	0.3628	+3.73%	0.1009	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.337686	-1.41%	0.3663	+6.95%	0.0755	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.348308	-0.99%	0.3661	+4.06%	0.0847	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.350049	-0.67%	0.3653	+3.66%	0.0663	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.345197	-0.46%	0.37105	+6.99%	0.0516	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.340624	+0.24%	0.3849	+13.27%	0.0212	✗	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.348702	+0.75%	0.3784	+9.33%	0.0697	✗	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.353315	+1.03%	0.3707	+6.01%	0.1197	✗	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.375062	+1.37%	0.36945	-0.15%	0.1339	✗	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.396208	+1.88%	0.37235	-4.26%	0.1429	✗	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.406304	+1.55%	0.37445	-6.41%	0.1839	✗	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.400792	+1.84%	0.37235	-5.39%	0.1703	✗	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.384708	+1.61%	0.36665	-3.16%	0.1642	✗	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.395597	+1.83%	0.3664	-5.69%	0.1710	✗	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.412149	+2.18%	0.3541	-12.21%	0.1968	✗	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.398627	+2.37%	0.3651	-6.24%	0.1656	✗	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.403202	+2.49%	0.37985	-3.44%	0.1365	✗	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.40903	+3.08%	0.37665	-5.08%	0.0987	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.412479	+2.94%	0.3609	-9.93%	0.1329	✗	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.397086	+2.63%	0.3462	-10.52%	0.1552	✗	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.386708	+2.28%	0.355	-6.11%	0.1291	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.382351	+2.42%	0.3419	-8.41%	0.1092	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.376231	+2.21%	0.3538	-3.88%	0.0968	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.372871	+2.16%	0.3587	-1.73%	0.0775	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.371502	+2.29%	0.35335	-2.71%	0.0759	✗	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.370858	+2.08%	0.3519	-3.14%	0.0906	✗	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.366378	+2.03%	0.3612	+0.58%	0.1015	✗	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.369737	+2.22%	0.34165	-5.54%	0.1028	✗	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.378807	+2.13%	0.3448	-7.04%	0.1073	✗	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.392177	+2.02%	0.3488	-9.26%	0.0645	✗	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.398025	+1.90%	0.34975	-10.46%	0.0459	✗	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.383084	+1.83%	0.3425	-8.96%	0.0898	✗	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.382796	+1.86%	0.3518	-6.39%	0.0735	✗	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.3772	+1.64%	0.3524	-5.04%	0.1063	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.389668	+1.34%	0.3468	-9.80%	0.1130	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.388065	+1.24%	0.3398	-11.35%	0.1343	✗	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.395796	+0.97%	0.3461	-11.71%	0.1161	✗	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.399121	+0.79%	0.3497	-11.69%	0.1069	✗	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.371017	+1.34%	0.37	+1.07%	0.0749	✗	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.373476	+1.23%	0.3889	+5.41%	0.0581	✗	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.382231	+0.84%	0.4001	+5.55%	0.0030	✓	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.390693	+0.53%	0.39355	+1.26%	0.0354	✗	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.393944	+0.39%	0.3786	-3.52%	0.0377	✗	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.384878	+0.56%	0.3885	+1.50%	0.0193	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.386912	+0.55%	0.40335	+4.82%	0.0184	✗	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.396468	+0.37%	0.3894	-1.42%	0.0538	✗	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.400639	+0.35%	0.3934	-1.47%	0.0525	✗	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.399668	+0.42%	0.3968	-0.30%	0.0799	✗	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.422064	-0.27%	0.4007	-5.32%	0.1229	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.406969	+0.14%	0.3869	-4.80%	0.1076	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.402179	+0.51%	0.3781	-5.51%	0.1364	✗	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.396761	+0.66%	0.3733	-5.29%	0.1180	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.403542	+0.27%	0.3681	-8.54%	0.1169	✗	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.41076	+0.01%	0.365	-11.13%	0.1196	✗	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.411467	-0.20%	0.3632	-11.91%	0.1202	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.418906	-0.67%	0.3633	-13.86%	0.1304	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.423561	-1.46%	0.3591	-16.46%	0.0983	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.391059	-0.62%	0.3617	-8.08%	0.1507	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.455569	-2.58%	0.3709	-20.69%	0.1305	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.46033	-2.70%	0.3844	-18.75%	0.1130	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.466004	-2.67%	0.3906	-18.42%	0.0928	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.451061	-2.33%	0.3762	-18.54%	0.0603	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.456534	-2.07%	0.3758	-19.39%	0.0520	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.49485	-2.13%	0.3711	-26.60%	0.0292	✓	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.497379	-2.21%	0.3845	-24.40%	0.0133	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.52725	-1.63%	0.3833	-28.49%	0.0013	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.558188	-2.19%	0.392	-31.31%	0.0555	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.552146	-2.34%	0.396	-29.96%	0.0562	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.547534	-2.61%	0.3661	-34.88%	0.0804	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.568691	-2.75%	0.36895	-36.91%	0.0914	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.573023	-2.75%	0.37905	-35.67%	0.1187	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.563768	-2.77%	0.38865	-32.97%	0.0833	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.576655	-2.97%	0.3924	-33.97%	0.0969	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.537224	-2.73%	0.38275	-30.70%	0.0550	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.593675	-2.74%	0.3848	-36.96%	0.1151	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.571965	-2.08%	0.395	-32.37%	0.0504	✓	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.590365	-1.92%	0.39925	-33.67%	0.0808	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.605655	-2.14%	0.398	-35.69%	0.1049	✓	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.574494	-1.31%	0.4232	-27.30%	0.0033	✓	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.57448	-0.61%	0.4064	-29.69%	0.0118	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.583305	-1.50%	0.40015	-32.43%	0.0141	✓	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.543343	-2.07%	0.39415	-28.96%	0.0208	✓	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.557827	-1.96%	0.40245	-29.27%	0.0502	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.571184	-1.81%	0.4107	-29.40%	0.0746	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.571666	-1.42%	0.4123	-28.90%	0.0603	✓	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.578522	-1.44%	0.42175	-28.15%	0.0343	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.561921	-0.95%	0.42985	-24.23%	0.0458	✗	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.592694	-1.02%	0.3935	-34.29%	0.0720	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.556791	-0.50%	0.46765	-16.43%	0.1261	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.539184	-0.85%	0.4731	-13.00%	0.0992	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.526882	-0.98%	0.4788	-10.02%	0.0744	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.522265	-1.16%	0.4618	-12.60%	0.0669	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.5008	-1.09%	0.4662	-7.92%	0.0728	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.489899	-0.99%	0.5056	+2.18%	0.0785	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.510755	-1.30%	0.5086	-1.72%	0.0489	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.486925	-0.87%	0.536	+9.12%	0.0688	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.495518	-0.86%	0.5707	+14.19%	0.1249	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.482915	-0.39%	0.5654	+16.63%	0.1519	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.473593	-0.38%	0.5622	+18.26%	0.1811	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.445473	+0.33%	0.5848	+31.71%	0.2476	✓	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.445288	+0.38%	0.5892	+32.82%	0.2561	✓	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.445958	+0.42%	0.5798	+30.56%	0.2360	✓	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.445482	+0.58%	0.5943	+34.18%	0.2778	✓	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.441743	+0.67%	0.5523	+25.87%	0.2276	✓	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.453894	+0.51%	0.6104	+35.16%	0.2414	✓	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.446446	+0.69%	0.5841	+31.73%	0.1975	✓	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.432232	+0.36%	0.6019	+39.75%	0.2057	✓	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.441531	+0.10%	0.6189	+40.31%	0.2172	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.460274	-0.14%	0.5821	+26.30%	0.1361	✗	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.459975	-0.42%	0.578	+25.14%	0.0927	✗	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.476242	-0.35%	0.5922	+23.92%	0.1253	✗	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.499752	-0.37%	0.5548	+10.61%	0.0925	✗	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.490809	-0.28%	0.569	+15.60%	0.1402	✗	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.505132	-0.21%	0.5817	+14.92%	0.1689	✗	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.492298	-0.28%	0.5799	+17.46%	0.1833	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.496208	-0.46%	0.587	+17.75%	0.1893	✗	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.489078	-0.74%	0.5673	+15.14%	0.1402	✗	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.471	-0.51%	0.5988	+26.49%	0.1976	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.477083	-0.65%	0.5596	+16.53%	0.0997	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.475186	-0.55%	0.5438	+13.81%	0.1066	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.494287	-0.29%	0.5321	+7.34%	0.0932	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.501959	-0.17%	0.5284	+5.09%	0.0968	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.485844	+0.03%	0.5063	+4.24%	0.0752	✓	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.468165	-0.37%	0.4948	+5.30%	0.0380	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.483263	-0.10%	0.5175	+6.98%	0.0966	✗	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.492527	-0.04%	0.4912	-0.30%	0.0503	✗	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.503938	-0.16%	0.4998	-0.98%	0.0348	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.509599	-0.18%	0.4848	-5.03%	0.0001	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.508716	-0.23%	0.4754	-6.77%	0.0218	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.505539	-0.54%	0.444	-12.65%	0.1275	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.502077	-0.43%	0.4436	-12.03%	0.1139	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.487048	-0.34%	0.4441	-9.13%	0.1017	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.483562	-0.56%	0.4429	-8.92%	0.1484	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.493701	-0.87%	0.4388	-11.90%	0.1737	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.502858	-0.98%	0.4516	-11.08%	0.1352	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.528751	-1.08%	0.4434	-17.04%	0.1225	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.539108	-1.18%	0.4307	-21.05%	0.1050	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.523715	-1.09%	0.4411	-16.69%	0.0768	✓	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.543242	-1.47%	0.4609	-16.41%	0.0646	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.562345	-1.83%	0.4619	-19.36%	0.0527	✓	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.546601	-1.68%	0.4779	-14.04%	0.0351	✓	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.558324	-1.59%	0.5016	-11.59%	0.0424	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.575564	-1.38%	0.4922	-15.66%	0.0231	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.584999	-1.37%	0.5062	-14.66%	0.0176	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.617752	-1.46%	0.4937	-21.25%	0.0135	✓	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.617169	-1.65%	0.4985	-20.56%	0.0290	✓	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.634765	-2.46%	0.4927	-24.29%	0.0635	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.672509	-3.47%	0.4734	-32.05%	0.1493	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.582924	-2.64%	0.4802	-19.79%	0.0119	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.533479	-0.32%	0.4778	-10.72%	0.1216	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.516786	-0.36%	0.4957	-4.42%	0.1081	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.535122	+0.47%	0.5028	-5.60%	0.1507	✓	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.581724	+0.29%	0.4857	-16.27%	0.1249	✓	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.579287	+0.17%	0.4699	-18.74%	0.1810	✓	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.580861	+0.11%	0.48375	-16.63%	0.1269	✓	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.565367	+0.03%	0.4927	-12.83%	0.1453	✓	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.58778	-0.34%	0.50475	-14.42%	0.1522	✗	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.591703	+0.03%	0.5105	-13.69%	0.2021	✓	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.599146	-0.19%	0.5099	-15.06%	0.2214	✗	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.61113	-0.54%	0.5083	-17.28%	0.2631	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.60108	-0.78%	0.50425	-16.76%	0.2190	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.598661	-0.79%	0.4887	-19.01%	0.2088	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.588403	-0.98%	0.4863	-18.17%	0.2483	✗	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.574831	-1.36%	0.49805	-14.53%	0.2504	✗	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.577828	-1.43%	0.50785	-13.37%	0.2484	✗	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.587521	-1.80%	0.5345	-10.66%	0.2305	✗	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.585522	-1.90%	0.54555	-8.60%	0.1930	✗	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.576692	-1.69%	0.5295	-9.73%	0.1695	✗	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.568814	-1.55%	0.55135	-4.57%	0.1734	✗	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.586704	-1.62%	0.5728	-3.95%	0.1837	✗	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.599782	-1.42%	0.55595	-8.62%	0.1892	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.619758	-1.45%	0.56735	-9.79%	0.1230	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.648302	-1.47%	0.5836	-11.31%	0.1036	✗	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.62102	-1.61%	0.59315	-6.02%	0.1341	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.567667	-2.16%	0.6269	+8.05%	0.1695	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.548115	-2.76%	0.6275	+11.32%	0.2602	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.665795	-1.78%	0.6508	-3.99%	0.2234	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.67898	-1.02%	0.6967	+1.57%	0.2769	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.666662	-1.88%	0.5987	-11.88%	0.1492	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.716779	-0.06%	0.5352	-25.38%	0.0341	✓	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.714245	-0.06%	0.51865	-27.43%	0.0412	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.693331	-0.04%	0.5326	-23.21%	0.0674	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.718195	-0.15%	0.58005	-19.36%	0.0710	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.707901	-0.63%	0.5783	-18.82%	0.0725	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.694155	-1.27%	0.58025	-17.47%	0.0645	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.654027	-2.19%	0.5652	-15.47%	0.0708	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.656161	-2.02%	0.5898	-11.93%	0.0495	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.656786	-2.52%	0.5915	-12.21%	0.1143	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.650969	-2.91%	0.6003	-10.47%	0.1426	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.659531	-3.05%	0.61445	-9.68%	0.1386	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.636497	-3.18%	0.6058	-7.85%	0.0867	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.677786	-2.92%	0.6034	-13.57%	0.0842	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.677282	-3.18%	0.59425	-15.05%	0.1039	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.676251	-3.26%	0.58275	-16.64%	0.0762	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.724588	-3.44%	0.5862	-21.88%	0.1188	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.733254	-3.63%	0.5983	-21.36%	0.1338	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.728552	-3.61%	0.59685	-21.04%	0.1042	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.762316	-3.73%	0.5866	-25.92%	0.1290	✓	1.51

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.