QTUM

Qtum · Qtum · beta_5y

token id: #534
symbol: QTUM
variant: –
chain: Qtum
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,310

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

62.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0433

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0113

actual -0.0072

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.890745	0.883137	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.88041	0.871462	-1.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.877405	0.86897	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-19	oos	0.86037	0.851442	-1.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-18	oos	0.858515	0.850727	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-17	oos	0.87857	0.869691	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.90303	0.892232	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.914685	0.901439	-1.45%	0.890745	-2.62%	0.0389	✓	1.07
2026-10-14	oos	0.92235	0.908502	-1.50%	0.88041	-4.55%	0.0461	✓	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.947825	0.933115	-1.55%	0.877405	-7.43%	0.0594	✓	1.07
2026-10-12	oos	0.927235	0.912393	-1.60%	0.86037	-7.21%	0.0600	✓	1.07
2026-10-11	oos	0.998795	0.978422	-2.04%	0.858515	-14.04%	0.1105	✓	1.01
2026-10-10	oos	1.0168	0.986801	-2.95%	0.87857	-13.59%	0.0974	✓	1.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.95631	0.936038	-2.12%	0.90303	-5.57%	0.0231	✓	1.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.929655	0.91013	-2.10%	0.914685	-1.61%	0.0003	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.936105	0.916268	-2.12%	0.92235	-1.47%	0.0274	✗	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.97452	0.953614	-2.15%	0.947825	-2.74%	0.0223	✗	0.98
2026-10-05	oos	0.996535	0.973932	-2.27%	0.927235	-6.95%	0.0033	✓	0.96
2026-10-04	oos	0.99453	0.973372	-2.13%	0.998795	+0.43%	0.0580	✗	0.97
2026-10-03	oos	0.992245	0.969695	-2.27%	1.0168	+2.47%	0.0688	✗	0.98
2026-10-02	oos	0.99396	0.970935	-2.32%	0.95631	-3.79%	0.0077	✓	0.98
2026-10-01	oos	0.987135	0.964331	-2.31%	0.929655	-5.82%	0.0004	✓	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	1.0022	0.974306	-2.78%	0.936105	-6.60%	0.0367	✓	0.99
2026-09-29	oos	0.97227	0.949873	-2.30%	0.97452	+0.23%	0.0034	✓	0.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.98568	0.962728	-2.33%	0.996535	+1.10%	0.0079	✓	0.98
2026-09-27	oos	1.028	1.0023	-2.51%	0.99453	-3.26%	0.0308	✓	0.96
2026-09-26	oos	1.0319	1.0048	-2.63%	0.992245	-3.85%	0.0163	✓	0.96
2026-09-25	oos	1.0511	1.018	-3.15%	0.99396	-5.44%	0.0286	✓	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	1.0005	0.974985	-2.55%	0.987135	-1.34%	0.0071	✓	0.96
2026-09-23	oos	0.956945	0.936013	-2.19%	1.0022	+4.73%	0.0778	✗	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	1.0114	0.985306	-2.58%	0.97227	-3.87%	0.0155	✓	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.99676	0.970465	-2.64%	0.98568	-1.11%	0.0507	✗	0.95
2026-09-20	oos	0.95048	0.924942	-2.69%	1.028	+8.16%	0.0665	✗	0.98
2026-09-19	oos	0.95615	0.93085	-2.65%	1.0319	+7.93%	0.0655	✗	0.98
2026-09-18	oos	0.953185	0.924724	-2.99%	1.0511	+10.28%	0.0895	✗	0.99
2026-09-17	oos	0.872145	0.859032	-1.50%	1.0005	+14.72%	0.0586	✗	0.94
2026-09-16	oos	0.8752	0.862524	-1.45%	0.956945	+9.34%	0.0079	✓	0.94
2026-09-15	oos	0.861965	0.854724	-0.84%	1.0114	+17.33%	0.0429	✗	0.95
2026-09-14	oos	0.92496	0.908146	-1.82%	0.99676	+7.76%	0.0023	✓	0.89
2026-09-13	oos	0.96504	0.939001	-2.70%	0.95048	-1.51%	0.0385	✓	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.929715	0.913904	-1.70%	0.95615	+2.84%	0.0013	✓	0.93
2026-09-11	oos	0.877485	0.872575	-0.56%	0.953185	+8.63%	0.0454	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.85591	0.856814	+0.11%	0.872145	+1.90%	0.0200	✓	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.88856	0.888418	-0.02%	0.8752	-1.50%	0.0104	✗	0.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.88987	0.891512	+0.18%	0.861965	-3.14%	0.0010	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.879515	0.888961	+1.07%	0.92496	+5.17%	0.0507	✓	0.94
2026-09-06	oos	0.882675	0.896436	+1.56%	0.96504	+9.33%	0.1163	✓	0.94
2026-09-05	oos	0.871245	0.898528	+3.13%	0.929715	+6.71%	0.0649	✓	0.94
2026-09-04	oos	0.86216	0.898802	+4.25%	0.877485	+1.78%	0.0056	✓	0.94
2026-09-03	oos	0.86012	0.912925	+6.14%	0.85591	-0.49%	0.0071	✓	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.81706	0.870008	+6.48%	0.88856	+8.75%	0.0082	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.82502	0.87516	+6.08%	0.88987	+7.86%	0.0027	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.822535	0.872421	+6.06%	0.879515	+6.93%	0.0015	✓	0.99
2026-08-30	oos	0.79638	0.838286	+5.26%	0.882675	+10.84%	0.0185	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.823295	0.852933	+3.60%	0.871245	+5.82%	0.0019	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.816995	0.838042	+2.58%	0.86216	+5.53%	0.0061	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.85261	0.87028	+2.07%	0.86012	+0.88%	0.0233	✗	0.95
2026-08-26	oos	0.894995	0.898043	+0.34%	0.81706	-8.71%	0.0732	✗	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.84638	0.857847	+1.35%	0.82502	-2.52%	0.0251	✗	0.96
2026-08-24	oos	0.87443	0.880622	+0.71%	0.822535	-5.93%	0.0632	✗	0.95
2026-08-23	oos	0.881595	0.881542	-0.01%	0.79638	-9.67%	0.1008	✓	0.97
2026-08-22	oos	0.841845	0.845179	+0.40%	0.823295	-2.20%	0.0408	✗	0.96
2026-08-21	oos	0.86618	0.860626	-0.64%	0.816995	-5.68%	0.0461	✓	0.95
2026-08-20	oos	0.79543	0.786113	-1.17%	0.85261	+7.19%	0.0060	✓	0.92
2026-08-19	oos	0.717075	0.712764	-0.60%	0.894995	+24.81%	0.1189	✗	0.83
2026-08-18	oos	0.683095	0.677065	-0.88%	0.84638	+23.90%	0.0587	✗	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.681495	0.676315	-0.76%	0.87443	+28.31%	0.0843	✗	0.85
2026-08-16	oos	0.676565	0.669686	-1.02%	0.881595	+30.30%	0.0911	✗	0.86
2026-08-15	oos	0.674895	0.668206	-0.99%	0.841845	+24.74%	0.0577	✗	0.86
2026-08-14	oos	0.684685	0.676112	-1.25%	0.86618	+26.51%	0.0585	✗	0.87
2026-08-13	oos	0.6659	0.657326	-1.29%	0.79543	+19.45%	0.0672	✗	0.88
2026-08-12	oos	0.65275	0.645611	-1.09%	0.717075	+9.85%	0.0250	✗	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.632945	0.627697	-0.83%	0.683095	+7.92%	0.0687	✗	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.646575	0.640319	-0.97%	0.681495	+5.40%	0.0544	✗	0.89
2026-08-09	oos	0.666885	0.659837	-1.06%	0.676565	+1.45%	0.0528	✗	0.88
2026-08-08	oos	0.666195	0.658396	-1.17%	0.674895	+1.31%	0.0508	✗	0.88
2026-08-07	oos	0.654705	0.647282	-1.13%	0.684685	+4.58%	0.0839	✗	0.93
2026-08-06	oos	0.647925	0.640817	-1.10%	0.6659	+2.77%	0.0506	✗	0.92
2026-08-05	oos	0.64355	0.637277	-0.97%	0.65275	+1.43%	0.0413	✗	0.93
2026-08-04	oos	0.650875	0.6433	-1.16%	0.632945	-2.75%	0.0087	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.64975	0.64126	-1.31%	0.646575	-0.49%	0.0017	✓	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.652095	0.643397	-1.33%	0.666885	+2.27%	0.0160	✗	0.95
2026-08-01	oos	0.646105	0.637016	-1.41%	0.666195	+3.11%	0.0132	✓	0.94
2026-07-31	oos	0.641585	0.632496	-1.42%	0.654705	+2.04%	0.0041	✓	0.94
2026-07-30	oos	0.642835	0.634064	-1.36%	0.647925	+0.79%	0.0284	✗	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.64495	0.637184	-1.20%	0.64355	-0.22%	0.0007	✓	0.96
2026-07-28	oos	0.65683	0.649038	-1.19%	0.650875	-0.91%	0.0002	✓	0.96
2026-07-27	oos	0.64881	0.641545	-1.12%	0.64975	+0.14%	0.0161	✗	0.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.682155	0.674557	-1.11%	0.652095	-4.41%	0.0071	✓	0.94
2026-07-25	oos	0.681935	0.672769	-1.34%	0.646105	-5.25%	0.0177	✓	0.95
2026-07-24	oos	0.68205	0.670754	-1.66%	0.641585	-5.93%	0.0257	✓	0.95
2026-07-23	oos	0.717005	0.701471	-2.17%	0.642835	-10.34%	0.0826	✓	0.93
2026-07-22	oos	0.714225	0.706619	-1.06%	0.64495	-9.70%	0.0597	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	0.71017	0.702544	-1.07%	0.65683	-7.51%	0.0288	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	0.714125	0.702727	-1.60%	0.64881	-9.15%	0.0579	✓	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.7202	0.706384	-1.92%	0.682155	-5.28%	0.0444	✓	0.93
2026-07-18	oos	0.701725	0.689854	-1.69%	0.681935	-2.82%	0.0042	✓	0.94
2026-07-17	oos	0.67816	0.670938	-1.07%	0.68205	+0.57%	0.0136	✗	0.94
2026-07-16	oos	0.670865	0.666054	-0.72%	0.717005	+6.88%	0.0548	✗	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.68752	0.680223	-1.06%	0.714225	+3.88%	0.0286	✗	0.96
2026-07-14	oos	0.686005	0.677684	-1.21%	0.71017	+3.52%	0.0244	✗	0.97
2026-07-13	oos	0.670695	0.66178	-1.33%	0.714125	+6.48%	0.0302	✗	0.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.683295	0.678502	-0.70%	0.7202	+5.40%	0.0450	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.688075	0.683037	-0.73%	0.701725	+1.98%	0.0112	✗	0.99
2026-07-10	oos	0.69289	0.687056	-0.84%	0.67816	-2.13%	0.0094	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.693145	0.686541	-0.95%	0.670865	-3.21%	0.0325	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.70322	0.69449	-1.24%	0.68752	-2.23%	0.0494	✓	1.01
2026-07-07	oos	0.686755	0.681359	-0.79%	0.686005	-0.11%	0.0199	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.709955	0.702858	-1.00%	0.670695	-5.53%	0.0184	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.713515	0.703372	-1.42%	0.683295	-4.24%	0.0315	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.71721	0.709626	-1.06%	0.688075	-4.06%	0.0419	✓	1.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.71646	0.707453	-1.26%	0.69289	-3.29%	0.0466	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.69666	0.689412	-1.04%	0.693145	-0.50%	0.0219	✓	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.685435	0.677555	-1.15%	0.70322	+2.59%	0.0008	✓	1.02
2026-06-30	oos	0.677905	0.670323	-1.12%	0.686755	+1.31%	0.0585	✓	1.05
2026-06-29	oos	0.69129	0.68302	-1.20%	0.709955	+2.70%	0.0268	✓	1.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.690225	0.681306	-1.29%	0.713515	+3.37%	0.0281	✓	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.675145	0.664398	-1.59%	0.71721	+6.23%	0.0185	✗	1.13
2026-06-26	oos	0.67875	0.671471	-1.07%	0.71646	+5.56%	0.0181	✗	1.14
2026-06-25	oos	0.6547	0.647295	-1.13%	0.69666	+6.41%	0.0402	✗	1.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.680135	0.674888	-0.77%	0.685435	+0.78%	0.0344	✗	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.690495	0.686423	-0.59%	0.677905	-1.82%	0.0662	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.7081	0.703971	-0.58%	0.69129	-2.37%	0.0517	✗	1.15
2026-06-21	oos	0.709205	0.705158	-0.57%	0.690225	-2.68%	0.0487	✗	1.14
2026-06-20	oos	0.73695	0.731485	-0.74%	0.675145	-8.39%	0.0003	✓	1.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.72568	0.720963	-0.65%	0.67875	-6.47%	0.0048	✓	1.16
2026-06-18	oos	0.726765	0.721544	-0.72%	0.6547	-9.92%	0.0365	✓	1.17
2026-06-17	oos	0.762855	0.755791	-0.93%	0.680135	-10.84%	0.0415	✓	1.16
2026-06-16	oos	0.74631	0.740151	-0.83%	0.690495	-7.48%	0.0149	✓	1.18
2026-06-15	oos	0.75257	0.74504	-1.00%	0.7081	-5.91%	0.0083	✓	1.19
2026-06-14	oos	0.744585	0.736452	-1.09%	0.709205	-4.75%	0.0078	✓	1.19
2026-06-13	oos	0.73593	0.728808	-0.97%	0.73695	+0.14%	0.0149	✗	1.18
2026-06-12	oos	0.71637	0.710406	-0.83%	0.72568	+1.30%	0.0225	✗	1.20
2026-06-11	oos	0.71831	0.711958	-0.88%	0.726765	+1.18%	0.0335	✗	1.19
2026-06-10	oos	0.683675	0.679913	-0.55%	0.762855	+11.58%	0.0584	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.70054	0.695528	-0.72%	0.74631	+6.53%	0.0027	✓	1.18
2026-06-08	oos	0.71057	0.705098	-0.77%	0.75257	+5.91%	0.0058	✓	1.19
2026-06-07	oos	0.71076	0.705142	-0.79%	0.744585	+4.76%	0.0102	✗	1.19
2026-06-06	oos	0.6851	0.681955	-0.46%	0.73593	+7.42%	0.0090	✗	1.18
2026-06-05	oos	0.69036	0.687785	-0.37%	0.71637	+3.77%	0.0064	✓	1.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.76215	0.753354	-1.15%	0.71831	-5.75%	0.0434	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.81049	0.797568	-1.59%	0.683675	-15.65%	0.1080	✓	1.12
2026-06-02	oos	0.80413	0.790932	-1.64%	0.70054	-12.88%	0.0314	✓	1.16
2026-06-01	oos	0.85952	0.841343	-2.11%	0.71057	-17.33%	0.0319	✓	1.11
2026-05-31	oos	0.871225	0.85357	-2.03%	0.71076	-18.42%	0.0120	✓	1.14
2026-05-30	oos	0.86329	0.846149	-1.99%	0.6851	-20.64%	0.0063	✓	1.13
2026-05-29	oos	0.86026	0.843122	-1.99%	0.69036	-19.75%	0.0079	✓	1.13
2026-05-28	oos	0.86704	0.848961	-2.09%	0.76215	-12.10%	0.0511	✗	1.12
2026-05-27	oos	0.87128	0.854733	-1.90%	0.81049	-6.98%	0.1133	✗	1.12
2026-05-26	oos	0.883135	0.866854	-1.84%	0.80413	-8.95%	0.0704	✗	1.13
2026-05-25	oos	0.906795	0.890526	-1.79%	0.85952	-5.21%	0.0578	✗	1.17
2026-05-24	oos	0.89659	0.879969	-1.85%	0.871225	-2.83%	0.0427	✗	1.17
2026-05-23	oos	0.930025	0.910861	-2.06%	0.86329	-7.18%	0.0096	✓	1.15
2026-05-22	oos	0.90177	0.882722	-2.11%	0.86026	-4.60%	0.0063	✓	1.15
2026-05-21	oos	0.924435	0.905813	-2.01%	0.86704	-6.21%	0.0180	✓	1.16
2026-05-20	oos	0.89491	0.876248	-2.09%	0.87128	-2.64%	0.0426	✗	1.16
2026-05-19	oos	0.882935	0.871625	-1.28%	0.883135	+0.02%	0.0274	✗	1.16
2026-05-18	oos	0.89824	0.886285	-1.33%	0.906795	+0.95%	0.0183	✗	1.15
2026-05-17	oos	0.88611	0.876776	-1.05%	0.89659	+1.18%	0.0288	✗	1.16
2026-05-16	oos	0.909195	0.89895	-1.13%	0.930025	+2.29%	0.0557	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.930055	0.919444	-1.14%	0.90177	-3.04%	0.0349	✗	1.16
2026-05-14	oos	0.984055	0.971716	-1.25%	0.924435	-6.06%	0.0013	✓	1.15
2026-05-13	oos	0.98506	0.970223	-1.51%	0.89491	-9.15%	0.0539	✓	1.16
2026-05-12	oos	1.0312	1.0124	-1.82%	0.882935	-14.37%	0.0832	✓	1.13
2026-05-11	oos	1.0322	1.0114	-2.01%	0.89824	-12.98%	0.0518	✓	1.11
2026-05-10	oos	1.0451	1.0177	-2.62%	0.88611	-15.21%	0.0717	✓	1.11
2026-05-09	oos	0.96792	0.958566	-0.97%	0.909195	-6.07%	0.0179	✓	1.09
2026-05-08	oos	0.96765	0.956473	-1.16%	0.930055	-3.89%	0.0127	✓	1.08
2026-05-07	oos	0.922025	0.913216	-0.96%	0.984055	+6.73%	0.0604	✗	1.07
2026-05-06	oos	0.921375	0.916523	-0.53%	0.98506	+6.91%	0.0992	✗	1.01
2026-05-05	oos	0.89518	0.892338	-0.32%	1.0312	+15.19%	0.1501	✗	1.05
2026-05-04	oos	0.87405	0.871973	-0.24%	1.0322	+18.10%	0.1444	✗	1.05
2026-05-03	oos	0.87045	0.867134	-0.38%	1.0451	+20.07%	0.1395	✗	1.04
2026-05-02	oos	0.8802	0.876607	-0.41%	0.96792	+9.97%	0.0732	✗	1.04
2026-05-01	oos	0.87351	0.87005	-0.40%	0.96765	+10.78%	0.0807	✗	1.04
2026-04-30	oos	0.86168	0.857099	-0.53%	0.922025	+7.00%	0.0237	✗	1.04
2026-04-29	oos	0.8742	0.868245	-0.68%	0.921375	+5.40%	0.0162	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.88667	0.880985	-0.64%	0.89518	+0.96%	0.0454	✓	1.05
2026-04-27	oos	0.89128	0.886796	-0.50%	0.87405	-1.93%	0.0478	✓	1.05
2026-04-26	oos	0.90848	0.903949	-0.50%	0.87045	-4.19%	0.0362	✓	1.05
2026-04-25	oos	0.8956	0.891848	-0.42%	0.8802	-1.72%	0.0271	✓	1.06
2026-04-24	oos	0.90403	0.899078	-0.55%	0.87351	-3.38%	0.0394	✓	1.06
2026-04-23	oos	0.906965	0.902278	-0.52%	0.86168	-4.99%	0.0189	✓	1.06
2026-04-22	oos	0.90316	0.900656	-0.28%	0.8742	-3.21%	0.0040	✗	1.06
2026-04-21	oos	0.910885	0.905306	-0.61%	0.88667	-2.66%	0.0204	✓	1.07
2026-04-20	oos	0.915695	0.908429	-0.79%	0.89128	-2.67%	0.0400	✓	1.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.88507	0.878807	-0.71%	0.90848	+2.64%	0.0347	✓	1.07
2026-04-18	oos	0.918605	0.911893	-0.73%	0.8956	-2.50%	0.0446	✓	1.07
2026-04-17	oos	0.95899	0.949202	-1.02%	0.90403	-5.73%	0.0538	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.921225	0.912862	-0.91%	0.906965	-1.55%	0.0497	✓	1.06
2026-04-15	oos	0.90905	0.901244	-0.86%	0.90316	-0.65%	0.0447	✓	1.06
2026-04-14	oos	0.90133	0.892715	-0.96%	0.910885	+1.06%	0.0107	✓	1.07
2026-04-13	oos	0.92342	0.912543	-1.18%	0.915695	-0.84%	0.0170	✓	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.882435	0.87112	-1.28%	0.88507	+0.30%	0.0304	✓	1.09
2026-04-11	oos	0.918595	0.90628	-1.34%	0.918605	+0.00%	0.0252	✓	1.09
2026-04-10	oos	0.916705	0.904183	-1.37%	0.95899	+4.61%	0.0004	✓	1.08
2026-04-09	oos	0.922265	0.908155	-1.53%	0.921225	-0.11%	0.0356	✓	1.09
2026-04-08	oos	0.90918	0.897368	-1.30%	0.90905	-0.01%	0.0430	✓	1.09
2026-04-07	oos	0.95507	0.939957	-1.58%	0.90133	-5.63%	0.0756	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.92641	0.910715	-1.69%	0.92342	-0.32%	0.0715	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.969285	0.95027	-1.96%	0.882435	-8.96%	0.1015	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.96028	0.937736	-2.35%	0.918595	-4.34%	0.1121	✓	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.96962	0.942661	-2.78%	0.916705	-5.46%	0.1237	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.88023	0.864341	-1.81%	0.922265	+4.78%	0.0131	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.93812	0.912567	-2.72%	0.90918	-3.08%	0.0507	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.89006	0.864569	-2.86%	0.95507	+7.30%	0.0419	✗	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.80961	0.798434	-1.38%	0.92641	+14.43%	0.1153	✗	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.77248	0.764969	-0.97%	0.969285	+25.48%	0.1889	✗	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.818	0.808394	-1.17%	0.96028	+17.39%	0.1568	✗	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.81898	0.810233	-1.07%	0.96962	+18.39%	0.1700	✗	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.84978	0.841561	-0.97%	0.88023	+3.58%	0.0743	✗	1.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.90831	0.897674	-1.17%	0.93812	+3.28%	0.0921	✗	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.92962	0.918131	-1.24%	0.89006	-4.26%	0.0042	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.88349	0.876446	-0.80%	0.80961	-8.36%	0.0157	✓	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.82721	0.820845	-0.77%	0.77248	-6.62%	0.0313	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.84707	0.841883	-0.61%	0.818	-3.43%	0.0112	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.885555	0.880258	-0.60%	0.81898	-7.52%	0.0094	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.87821	0.87331	-0.56%	0.84978	-3.24%	0.0102	✓	1.03
2026-03-18	oos	0.89425	0.890062	-0.47%	0.90831	+1.57%	0.0195	✗	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.94753	0.942382	-0.54%	0.92962	-1.89%	0.0355	✗	1.04
2026-03-16	oos	0.95221	0.947397	-0.51%	0.88349	-7.22%	0.0119	✓	1.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.9366	0.930311	-0.67%	0.82721	-11.68%	0.0429	✓	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.88128	0.876769	-0.51%	0.84707	-3.88%	0.0000	✓	1.04
2026-03-13	oos	0.90989	0.903449	-0.71%	0.885555	-2.67%	0.0133	✓	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.87576	0.871038	-0.54%	0.87821	+0.28%	0.0174	✗	1.05
2026-03-11	oos	0.8941	0.888101	-0.67%	0.89425	+0.02%	0.0086	✓	1.06
2026-03-10	oos	0.87908	0.874017	-0.58%	0.94753	+7.79%	0.0226	✗	1.05
2026-03-09	oos	0.86781	0.862098	-0.66%	0.95221	+9.73%	0.0043	✓	1.06
2026-03-08	oos	0.84932	0.84334	-0.70%	0.9366	+10.28%	0.0009	✓	1.07
2026-03-07	oos	0.86311	0.857806	-0.61%	0.88128	+2.11%	0.0346	✓	1.07
2026-03-06	oos	0.89296	0.886127	-0.77%	0.90989	+1.90%	0.0170	✓	1.07
2026-03-05	oos	0.93319	0.925261	-0.85%	0.87576	-6.15%	0.0496	✓	1.07
2026-03-04	oos	0.94185	0.934237	-0.81%	0.8941	-5.07%	0.0067	✓	1.07
2026-03-03	oos	0.91313	0.904925	-0.90%	0.87908	-3.73%	0.0550	✓	1.11
2026-03-02	oos	0.93206	0.922292	-1.05%	0.86781	-6.89%	0.0544	✓	1.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.89376	0.884575	-1.03%	0.84932	-4.97%	0.0441	✓	1.12
2026-02-28	oos	0.91254	0.901292	-1.23%	0.86311	-5.42%	0.0482	✓	1.14
2026-02-27	oos	0.90907	0.898034	-1.21%	0.89296	-1.77%	0.0441	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.926435	0.915426	-1.19%	0.93319	+0.73%	0.0372	✓	1.15
2026-02-25	oos	0.95313	0.936245	-1.77%	0.94185	-1.18%	0.0706	✓	1.15
2026-02-24	oos	0.86893	0.86083	-0.93%	0.91313	+5.09%	0.0135	✓	1.12
2026-02-23	oos	0.880105	0.871974	-0.92%	0.93206	+5.90%	0.0028	✓	1.10
2026-02-22	oos	0.91432	0.906375	-0.87%	0.89376	-2.25%	0.0167	✗	1.11
2026-02-21	oos	0.940855	0.93061	-1.09%	0.91254	-3.01%	0.0034	✓	1.11
2026-02-20	oos	0.961455	0.946784	-1.53%	0.90907	-5.45%	0.0057	✓	1.10
2026-02-19	oos	0.937415	0.92703	-1.11%	0.926435	-1.17%	0.0091	✓	1.10
2026-02-18	oos	0.94552	0.933096	-1.31%	0.95313	+0.80%	0.0046	✓	1.10
2026-02-17	oos	0.964055	0.951309	-1.32%	0.86893	-9.87%	0.0340	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.98535	0.971659	-1.39%	0.880105	-10.68%	0.0293	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.98353	0.967866	-1.59%	0.91432	-7.04%	0.0380	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	1.0256	1.005	-2.01%	0.940855	-8.27%	0.0369	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.994905	0.976669	-1.83%	0.961455	-3.36%	0.0025	✓	1.09
2026-02-12	oos	0.951765	0.937299	-1.52%	0.937415	-1.51%	0.0124	✓	1.09
2026-02-11	oos	0.915535	0.901589	-1.52%	0.94552	+3.28%	0.0573	✗	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.89853	0.892182	-0.71%	0.964055	+7.29%	0.0989	✗	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.92647	0.919984	-0.70%	0.98535	+6.36%	0.0881	✗	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.924285	0.919301	-0.54%	0.98353	+6.41%	0.0909	✗	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.942885	0.938576	-0.46%	1.0256	+8.78%	0.0801	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.953125	0.947908	-0.55%	0.994905	+4.38%	0.0753	✗	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.871405	0.885087	+1.57%	0.951765	+9.22%	0.0112	✓	1.16
2026-02-04	oos	1.0391	1.0302	-0.86%	0.915535	-11.89%	0.0135	✓	1.22
2026-02-03	oos	1.0712	1.0582	-1.21%	0.89853	-16.12%	0.0471	✓	1.23
2026-02-02	oos	1.1027	1.0877	-1.36%	0.92647	-15.98%	0.0155	✓	1.26
2026-02-01	oos	1.0644	1.0548	-0.91%	0.924285	-13.16%	0.0236	✓	1.21
2026-01-31	oos	1.0623	1.0546	-0.73%	0.942885	-11.24%	0.0492	✗	1.27
2026-01-30	oos	1.1439	1.1299	-1.22%	0.953125	-16.68%	0.0560	✗	1.28
2026-01-29	oos	1.1667	1.1523	-1.24%	0.871405	-25.31%	0.1037	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	1.2541	1.2384	-1.25%	1.0391	-17.14%	0.0823	✗	1.29
2026-01-27	oos	1.2817	1.2627	-1.48%	1.0712	-16.42%	0.0499	✗	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	1.2571	1.2396	-1.39%	1.1027	-12.28%	0.0308	✗	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	1.2211	1.2062	-1.22%	1.0644	-12.83%	0.0270	✗	1.28
2026-01-24	oos	1.2757	1.2599	-1.24%	1.0623	-16.73%	0.0110	✓	1.28
2026-01-23	oos	1.2804	1.2665	-1.08%	1.1439	-10.65%	0.0228	✓	1.28
2026-01-22	oos	1.2921	1.2774	-1.14%	1.1667	-9.70%	0.0179	✓	1.28
2026-01-21	oos	1.3255	1.3114	-1.07%	1.2541	-5.39%	0.0418	✓	1.28
2026-01-20	oos	1.3028	1.2912	-0.89%	1.2817	-1.62%	0.0190	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	1.368	1.356	-0.88%	1.2571	-8.11%	0.0137	✓	1.30
2026-01-18	oos	1.4	1.3871	-0.92%	1.2211	-12.78%	0.0254	✓	1.30
2026-01-17	oos	1.4762	1.4588	-1.18%	1.2757	-13.58%	0.0500	✓	1.28
2026-01-16	oos	1.4544	1.4382	-1.11%	1.2804	-11.96%	0.0325	✓	1.28
2026-01-15	oos	1.4334	1.4172	-1.13%	1.2921	-9.86%	0.0071	✓	1.29
2026-01-14	oos	1.5706	1.54	-1.94%	1.3255	-15.60%	0.0470	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	1.4677	1.4466	-1.44%	1.3028	-11.24%	0.0095	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	1.3898	1.3707	-1.37%	1.368	-1.57%	0.0205	✓	1.24
2026-01-11	oos	1.4367	1.4158	-1.46%	1.4	-2.56%	0.0487	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	1.4856	1.4594	-1.76%	1.4762	-0.63%	0.0531	✓	1.26
2026-01-09	oos	1.4893	1.4595	-2.00%	1.4544	-2.35%	0.0748	✓	1.33
2026-01-08	oos	1.4799	1.4554	-1.66%	1.4334	-3.14%	0.0795	✓	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	1.4637	1.4394	-1.66%	1.5706	+7.30%	0.0092	✓	1.60
2026-01-06	oos	1.5151	1.4806	-2.28%	1.4677	-3.13%	0.0367	✓	1.59
2026-01-05	oos	1.4615	1.4336	-1.91%	1.3898	-4.91%	0.0161	✓	1.63
2026-01-04	oos	1.3934	1.3728	-1.48%	1.4367	+3.11%	0.0567	✗	1.63
2026-01-03	oos	1.3749	1.3549	-1.45%	1.4856	+8.05%	0.0961	✗	1.64
2026-01-02	oos	1.3822	1.3576	-1.78%	1.4893	+7.75%	0.0825	✗	1.63
2026-01-01	oos	1.3373	1.3176	-1.47%	1.4799	+10.67%	0.0747	✗	1.63
2025-12-31	oos	1.3375	1.3089	-2.14%	1.4637	+9.44%	0.0428	✗	1.63
2025-12-30	oos	1.2769	1.265	-0.93%	1.5151	+18.66%	0.0849	✗	1.63
2025-12-29	oos	1.2937	1.2773	-1.26%	1.4615	+12.97%	0.0120	✓	1.64
2025-12-28	oos	1.2693	1.2571	-0.96%	1.3934	+9.78%	0.0365	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	1.3008	1.2809	-1.53%	1.3749	+5.69%	0.0198	✗	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	1.1997	1.1915	-0.68%	1.3822	+15.22%	0.1003	✗	1.61
2025-12-25	oos	1.2119	1.2053	-0.55%	1.3373	+10.34%	0.0753	✗	1.61
2025-12-24	oos	1.2547	1.2451	-0.76%	1.3375	+6.60%	0.0736	✗	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	1.2602	1.2477	-0.99%	1.2769	+1.32%	0.0051	✓	1.63
2025-12-22	oos	1.2528	1.2449	-0.63%	1.2937	+3.26%	0.0655	✗	1.64
2025-12-21	oos	1.2495	1.2426	-0.55%	1.2693	+1.58%	0.0354	✗	1.64
2025-12-20	oos	1.2931	1.2833	-0.76%	1.3008	+0.60%	0.0233	✗	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	1.3088	1.2966	-0.93%	1.1997	-8.34%	0.0626	✓	1.67
2025-12-18	oos	1.2297	1.2217	-0.65%	1.2119	-1.44%	0.0409	✓	1.66
2025-12-17	oos	1.279	1.2645	-1.13%	1.2547	-1.90%	0.0345	✓	1.66
2025-12-16	oos	1.3645	1.3509	-0.99%	1.2602	-7.64%	0.0616	✓	1.64
2025-12-15	oos	1.3748	1.3621	-0.92%	1.2528	-8.87%	0.1242	✓	1.66
2025-12-14	oos	1.4232	1.4054	-1.25%	1.2495	-12.20%	0.1263	✓	1.65
2025-12-13	oos	1.5249	1.4921	-2.15%	1.2931	-15.20%	0.1078	✓	1.64
2025-12-12	oos	1.401	1.3901	-0.78%	1.3088	-6.58%	0.0202	✓	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	1.4442	1.4317	-0.87%	1.2297	-14.86%	0.0215	✓	1.64
2025-12-10	oos	1.4817	1.4682	-0.92%	1.279	-13.69%	0.0302	✓	1.65
2025-12-09	oos	1.508	1.4927	-1.02%	1.3645	-9.52%	0.0019	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	1.4482	1.4347	-0.93%	1.3748	-5.07%	0.0346	✗	1.61
2025-12-07	oos	1.411	1.3993	-0.83%	1.4232	+0.86%	0.0572	✗	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	1.4341	1.4206	-0.94%	1.5249	+6.33%	0.0530	✗	1.62
2025-12-05	oos	1.4338	1.4213	-0.87%	1.401	-2.29%	0.0312	✓	1.62
2025-12-04	oos	1.4938	1.4827	-0.75%	1.4442	-3.32%	0.0342	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	1.568	1.5538	-0.91%	1.4817	-5.50%	0.0226	✓	1.62
2025-12-02	oos	1.5234	1.5112	-0.80%	1.508	-1.01%	0.0264	✓	1.62
2025-12-01	oos	1.4132	1.4065	-0.48%	1.4482	+2.47%	0.0518	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	1.5396	1.5287	-0.71%	1.411	-8.35%	0.0807	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	1.5966	1.5816	-0.94%	1.4341	-10.17%	0.0701	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	1.6139	1.5982	-0.97%	1.4338	-11.15%	0.0807	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	1.606	1.5915	-0.90%	1.4938	-6.98%	0.0771	✓	1.63
2025-11-26	oos	1.6006	1.5858	-0.92%	1.568	-2.04%	0.0636	✓	1.61
2025-11-25	oos	1.6068	1.5911	-0.97%	1.5234	-5.19%	0.1166	✓	1.64
2025-11-24	oos	1.5759	1.5624	-0.86%	1.4132	-10.32%	0.0629	✓	1.65
2025-11-23	oos	1.5337	1.5255	-0.54%	1.5396	+0.39%	0.0556	✓	1.61
2025-11-22	oos	1.5386	1.5317	-0.45%	1.5966	+3.77%	0.0711	✓	1.61
2025-11-21	oos	1.5401	1.5337	-0.42%	1.6139	+4.79%	0.0505	✓	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.6038	1.5932	-0.66%	1.606	+0.14%	0.0727	✓	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	1.691	1.6735	-1.03%	1.6006	-5.34%	0.0281	✓	1.51
2025-11-18	oos	1.7404	1.7195	-1.20%	1.6068	-7.68%	0.0229	✗	1.46
2025-11-17	oos	1.7034	1.6857	-1.04%	1.5759	-7.48%	0.0044	✓	1.48
2025-11-16	oos	1.7135	1.6962	-1.01%	1.5337	-10.50%	0.0217	✗	1.50
2025-11-15	oos	1.7541	1.7303	-1.36%	1.5386	-12.29%	0.0643	✗	1.51
2025-11-14	oos	1.723	1.7067	-0.95%	1.5401	-10.62%	0.0555	✗	1.51
2025-11-13	oos	1.7726	1.7549	-1.00%	1.6038	-9.52%	0.1327	✗	1.58
2025-11-12	oos	1.8397	1.8151	-1.34%	1.691	-8.09%	0.0959	✗	1.58
2025-11-11	oos	1.8526	1.8263	-1.42%	1.7404	-6.05%	0.1170	✗	1.60
2025-11-10	oos	1.9526	1.9262	-1.35%	1.7034	-12.76%	0.0994	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	1.9274	1.8995	-1.45%	1.7135	-11.10%	0.0665	✗	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	1.9391	1.9067	-1.67%	1.7541	-9.54%	0.0283	✗	1.64
2025-11-07	oos	1.9803	1.9373	-2.17%	1.723	-12.99%	0.0242	✗	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	1.7402	1.7131	-1.56%	1.7726	+1.86%	0.0597	✗	1.53
2025-11-05	oos	1.7668	1.7446	-1.26%	1.8397	+4.13%	0.0866	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	1.6816	1.6607	-1.24%	1.8526	+10.17%	0.0863	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	1.7127	1.6961	-0.97%	1.9526	+14.01%	0.1496	✗	1.61
2025-11-02	oos	1.9062	1.8782	-1.47%	1.9274	+1.11%	0.1107	✗	1.56
2025-11-01	oos	1.9209	1.8919	-1.51%	1.9391	+0.95%	0.1397	✗	1.57
2025-10-31	oos	1.8542	1.8289	-1.36%	1.9803	+6.80%	0.1719	✗	1.57
2025-10-30	oos	1.8227	1.7976	-1.38%	1.7402	-4.52%	0.0726	✗	1.57
2025-10-29	oos	1.9662	1.9321	-1.73%	1.7668	-10.14%	0.0006	✓	1.54
2025-10-28	oos	1.9677	1.932	-1.82%	1.6816	-14.54%	0.0298	✗	1.58
2025-10-27	oos	2.0146	1.9759	-1.92%	1.7127	-14.99%	0.0353	✓	1.58
2025-10-26	oos	2.0561	2.0127	-2.11%	1.9062	-7.29%	0.0018	✓	1.58
2025-10-25	oos	2.0024	1.9601	-2.11%	1.9209	-4.07%	0.0031	✓	1.60
2025-10-24	oos	2.0022	1.9582	-2.20%	1.8542	-7.39%	0.0330	✓	1.60
2025-10-23	oos	1.9817	1.9369	-2.26%	1.8227	-8.02%	0.0342	✓	1.60
2025-10-22	oos	1.9103	1.8683	-2.20%	1.9662	+2.92%	0.0151	✓	1.60
2025-10-21	oos	1.9539	1.9066	-2.42%	1.9677	+0.71%	0.0341	✓	1.60
2025-10-20	oos	2.0054	1.9516	-2.69%	2.0146	+0.46%	0.0191	✓	1.62
2025-10-19	oos	1.9754	1.9219	-2.71%	2.0561	+4.09%	0.0165	✓	1.60
2025-10-18	oos	1.951	1.9016	-2.53%	2.0024	+2.63%	0.0136	✓	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	1.9039	1.8586	-2.38%	2.0022	+5.16%	0.0074	✓	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	1.9469	1.8984	-2.49%	1.9817	+1.79%	0.0149	✓	1.59
2025-10-15	oos	1.9967	1.9466	-2.51%	1.9103	-4.33%	0.0283	✗	1.60
2025-10-14	oos	2.0833	2.033	-2.42%	1.9539	-6.21%	0.0279	✗	1.59
2025-10-13	oos	2.1431	2.0879	-2.58%	2.0054	-6.42%	0.0261	✓	1.59
2025-10-12	oos	2.0736	2.0185	-2.66%	1.9754	-4.74%	0.0675	✗	1.56
2025-10-11	oos	1.8642	1.8285	-1.92%	1.951	+4.66%	0.1134	✗	1.48
2025-10-10	oos	1.8564	1.824	-1.75%	1.9039	+2.56%	0.1326	✗	1.51
2025-10-09	oos	2.4184	2.3591	-2.45%	1.9469	-19.50%	0.0777	✓	0.97
2025-10-08	oos	2.361	2.294	-2.84%	1.9967	-15.43%	0.0326	✓	0.99
2025-10-07	oos	2.1119	2.0813	-1.45%	2.0833	-1.36%	0.0671	✗	0.93
2025-10-06	oos	2.2461	2.2185	-1.23%	2.1431	-4.59%	0.0376	✗	0.92
2025-10-05	oos	2.2013	2.174	-1.24%	2.0736	-5.80%	0.0177	✗	0.92
2025-10-04	oos	2.219	2.189	-1.35%	1.8642	-15.99%	0.0678	✓	0.93
2025-10-03	oos	2.2901	2.2544	-1.56%	1.8564	-18.94%	0.1207	✓	0.93
2025-10-02	oos	2.2757	2.2311	-1.96%	2.4184	+6.27%	0.0722	✗	0.93
2025-10-01	oos	2.2512	2.1981	-2.36%	2.361	+4.88%	0.0344	✗	0.96
2025-09-30	oos	2.1253	2.0881	-1.75%	2.1119	-0.63%	0.0460	✓	0.92
2025-09-29	oos	2.1696	2.1301	-1.82%	2.2461	+3.53%	0.0323	✓	0.98
2025-09-28	oos	2.1798	2.1419	-1.74%	2.2013	+0.99%	0.0713	✓	1.03
2025-09-27	oos	2.1455	2.11	-1.65%	2.219	+3.43%	0.0652	✓	1.05
2025-09-26	oos	2.1906	2.1491	-1.89%	2.2901	+4.55%	0.0519	✓	1.06
2025-09-25	oos	2.0536	2.0253	-1.38%	2.2757	+10.82%	0.0110	✓	1.05
2025-09-24	oos	2.2369	2.1993	-1.68%	2.2512	+0.64%	0.0203	✓	0.95
2025-09-23	oos	2.1573	2.1239	-1.55%	2.1253	-1.48%	0.0164	✓	0.94
2025-09-22	oos	2.1717	2.1378	-1.56%	2.1696	-0.10%	0.0015	✓	0.93
2025-09-21	oos	2.3435	2.3052	-1.63%	2.1798	-6.98%	0.0327	✓	0.86
2025-09-20	oos	2.3902	2.3505	-1.66%	2.1455	-10.24%	0.0387	✓	0.98
2025-09-19	oos	2.4013	2.3615	-1.66%	2.1906	-8.77%	0.0228	✓	0.98
2025-09-18	oos	2.4847	2.4399	-1.80%	2.0536	-17.35%	0.1019	✓	0.99

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.