STX

Stacks · native · beta_5y

token id: #65
symbol: STX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-01-20
predictions: 5,169

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0741

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0136

actual +0.0031

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.3669	0.357002	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-21	oos	0.35975	0.350426	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.35575	0.347183	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.3583	0.350003	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-18	oos	0.35505	0.347737	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.3681	0.36052	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.3924	0.38275	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.43015	0.415874	-3.32%	0.3669	-14.70%	0.1632	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.4238	0.409512	-3.37%	0.35975	-15.11%	0.1503	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.4344	0.417363	-3.92%	0.35575	-18.11%	0.1568	✓	1.50
2026-10-12	oos	0.4101	0.393864	-3.96%	0.3583	-12.63%	0.0964	✓	1.49
2026-10-11	oos	0.3984	0.384643	-3.45%	0.35505	-10.88%	0.0503	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.40105	0.386608	-3.60%	0.3681	-8.22%	0.0217	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.39515	0.380349	-3.75%	0.3924	-0.70%	0.0499	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.38165	0.367718	-3.65%	0.43015	+12.71%	0.1491	✗	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.37065	0.356248	-3.89%	0.4238	+14.34%	0.2047	✗	1.50
2026-10-06	oos	0.3845	0.369567	-3.88%	0.4344	+12.98%	0.2048	✗	1.49
2026-10-05	oos	0.37935	0.364588	-3.89%	0.4101	+8.11%	0.1881	✗	1.47
2026-10-04	oos	0.38935	0.373723	-4.01%	0.3984	+2.32%	0.1131	✗	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	0.3843	0.368821	-4.03%	0.40105	+4.36%	0.1162	✗	1.49
2026-10-02	oos	0.3678	0.353039	-4.01%	0.39515	+7.44%	0.1475	✗	1.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.37365	0.356312	-4.64%	0.38165	+2.14%	0.1247	✗	1.48
2026-09-30	oos	0.37085	0.349338	-5.80%	0.37065	-0.05%	0.0642	✗	1.49
2026-09-29	oos	0.3168	0.30286	-4.40%	0.3845	+21.37%	0.2052	✗	1.49
2026-09-28	oos	0.3139	0.299786	-4.50%	0.37935	+20.85%	0.1952	✗	1.48
2026-09-27	oos	0.3385	0.322179	-4.82%	0.38935	+15.02%	0.1545	✗	1.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.3427	0.32574	-4.95%	0.3843	+12.14%	0.1597	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.32625	0.310455	-4.84%	0.3678	+12.74%	0.1624	✗	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.3134	0.298723	-4.68%	0.37365	+19.22%	0.2158	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.3081	0.294177	-4.52%	0.37085	+20.37%	0.2460	✗	1.47
2026-09-22	oos	0.33585	0.320158	-4.67%	0.3168	-5.67%	0.0328	✓	1.44
2026-09-21	oos	0.3414	0.325715	-4.59%	0.3139	-8.06%	0.0159	✓	1.43
2026-09-20	oos	0.33615	0.320092	-4.78%	0.3385	+0.70%	0.0064	✓	1.56
2026-09-19	oos	0.3152	0.299705	-4.92%	0.3427	+8.72%	0.0738	✗	1.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.2841	0.271928	-4.28%	0.32625	+14.84%	0.1209	✗	1.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.2511	0.244557	-2.61%	0.3134	+24.81%	0.0966	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.24255	0.237879	-1.93%	0.3081	+27.03%	0.1041	✗	1.51
2026-09-15	oos	0.2348	0.231907	-1.23%	0.33585	+43.04%	0.1737	✗	1.50
2026-09-14	oos	0.2637	0.256768	-2.63%	0.3414	+29.47%	0.1399	✗	1.42
2026-09-13	oos	0.26525	0.258711	-2.47%	0.33615	+26.73%	0.1829	✗	1.43
2026-09-12	oos	0.26815	0.26205	-2.27%	0.3152	+17.55%	0.1133	✗	1.42
2026-09-11	oos	0.25275	0.249417	-1.32%	0.2841	+12.40%	0.0634	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.25315	0.250889	-0.89%	0.2511	-0.81%	0.0044	✓	1.45
2026-09-09	oos	0.27385	0.270798	-1.11%	0.24255	-11.43%	0.0710	✓	1.41
2026-09-08	oos	0.2715	0.270001	-0.55%	0.2348	-13.52%	0.0872	✓	1.41
2026-09-07	oos	0.2772	0.276482	-0.26%	0.2637	-4.87%	0.0308	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.2692	0.269126	-0.03%	0.26525	-1.47%	0.0501	✗	1.43
2026-09-05	oos	0.2693	0.269597	+0.11%	0.26815	-0.43%	0.0416	✓	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.2646	0.265751	+0.44%	0.25275	-4.48%	0.0055	✗	1.42
2026-09-03	oos	0.2749	0.274084	-0.30%	0.25315	-7.91%	0.0049	✗	1.41
2026-09-02	oos	0.2611	0.260675	-0.16%	0.27385	+4.88%	0.0309	✗	1.46
2026-09-01	oos	0.2553	0.254701	-0.23%	0.2715	+6.35%	0.0439	✗	1.48
2026-08-31	oos	0.2511	0.249651	-0.58%	0.2772	+10.39%	0.0950	✗	1.44
2026-08-30	oos	0.2343	0.234408	+0.05%	0.2692	+14.90%	0.0902	✓	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.2434	0.2424	-0.41%	0.2693	+10.64%	0.0769	✗	1.40
2026-08-28	oos	0.2603	0.255883	-1.70%	0.2646	+1.65%	0.0007	✓	1.41
2026-08-27	oos	0.2572	0.252322	-1.90%	0.2749	+6.88%	0.0679	✗	1.45
2026-08-26	oos	0.2688	0.260125	-3.23%	0.2611	-2.86%	0.0362	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.2634	0.251991	-4.33%	0.2553	-3.08%	0.0343	✓	1.47
2026-08-24	oos	0.231	0.224692	-2.73%	0.2511	+8.70%	0.1191	✗	1.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.234	0.22497	-3.86%	0.2343	+0.13%	0.0419	✗	1.51
2026-08-22	oos	0.2193	0.210538	-4.00%	0.2434	+10.99%	0.1223	✗	1.49
2026-08-21	oos	0.1898	0.184814	-2.63%	0.2603	+37.14%	0.3522	✗	1.56
2026-08-20	oos	0.1461	0.145845	-0.17%	0.2572	+76.04%	0.4479	✗	1.26
2026-08-19	oos	0.1284	0.128034	-0.29%	0.2688	+109.35%	0.5904	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.11995	0.118919	-0.86%	0.2634	+119.59%	0.5685	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.1209	0.119672	-1.02%	0.231	+91.07%	0.4178	✗	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.1222	0.120682	-1.24%	0.234	+91.49%	0.4030	✗	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.12165	0.120241	-1.16%	0.2193	+80.27%	0.3567	✗	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.1222	0.120903	-1.06%	0.1898	+55.32%	0.1859	✗	1.22
2026-08-13	oos	0.1245	0.123173	-1.07%	0.1461	+17.35%	0.0016	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.1229	0.12174	-0.94%	0.1284	+4.48%	0.0578	✓	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.1276	0.126194	-1.10%	0.11995	-6.00%	0.0729	✓	1.24
2026-08-10	oos	0.1309	0.129353	-1.18%	0.1209	-7.64%	0.0784	✓	1.23
2026-08-09	oos	0.1298	0.128314	-1.14%	0.1222	-5.86%	0.0099	✓	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.1326	0.130985	-1.22%	0.12165	-8.26%	0.0374	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.1292	0.127768	-1.11%	0.1222	-5.42%	0.0077	✓	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.1301	0.128559	-1.18%	0.1245	-4.30%	0.0158	✓	1.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.1338	0.132198	-1.20%	0.1229	-8.15%	0.0499	✓	1.24
2026-08-04	oos	0.1347	0.133023	-1.24%	0.1276	-5.27%	0.0316	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.1386	0.136544	-1.48%	0.1309	-5.56%	0.0509	✓	1.24
2026-08-02	oos	0.1391	0.136953	-1.54%	0.1298	-6.69%	0.0810	✓	1.30
2026-08-01	oos	0.1393	0.13725	-1.47%	0.1326	-4.81%	0.0779	✓	1.29
2026-07-31	oos	0.1375	0.135668	-1.33%	0.1292	-6.04%	0.0907	✓	1.29
2026-07-30	oos	0.14015	0.13851	-1.17%	0.1301	-7.17%	0.0534	✓	1.32
2026-07-29	oos	0.1348	0.133736	-0.79%	0.1338	-0.74%	0.0137	✓	1.29
2026-07-28	oos	0.13795	0.13691	-0.75%	0.1347	-2.36%	0.0204	✓	1.28
2026-07-27	oos	0.1342	0.133646	-0.41%	0.1386	+3.28%	0.0410	✗	1.28
2026-07-26	oos	0.1469	0.146377	-0.36%	0.1391	-5.31%	0.0158	✓	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.1368	0.136684	-0.08%	0.1393	+1.83%	0.0478	✗	1.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.1449	0.144627	-0.19%	0.1375	-5.11%	0.0265	✓	1.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.16445	0.163955	-0.30%	0.14015	-14.78%	0.1510	✓	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1693	0.168842	-0.27%	0.1348	-20.38%	0.1863	✓	1.15
2026-07-21	oos	0.1674	0.167186	-0.13%	0.13795	-17.59%	0.1448	✓	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1655	0.165061	-0.27%	0.1342	-18.91%	0.1799	✓	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1637	0.163289	-0.25%	0.1469	-10.26%	0.1174	✓	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.16525	0.164891	-0.22%	0.1368	-17.22%	0.1779	✓	1.14
2026-07-17	oos	0.1646	0.164203	-0.24%	0.1449	-11.97%	0.1285	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.1671	0.166552	-0.33%	0.16445	-1.59%	0.0360	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.1684	0.167991	-0.24%	0.1693	+0.53%	0.0163	✓	1.15
2026-07-14	oos	0.16875	0.168371	-0.22%	0.1674	-0.80%	0.0326	✓	1.15
2026-07-13	oos	0.166	0.16531	-0.42%	0.1655	-0.30%	0.0554	✓	1.22
2026-07-12	oos	0.16895	0.168327	-0.37%	0.1637	-3.11%	0.0459	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.1718	0.170862	-0.55%	0.16525	-3.81%	0.0533	✓	1.25
2026-07-10	oos	0.1717	0.170825	-0.51%	0.1646	-4.14%	0.0326	✓	1.24
2026-07-09	oos	0.169	0.168117	-0.52%	0.1671	-1.12%	0.0177	✓	1.24
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.165967	-0.56%	0.1684	+0.90%	0.0337	✓	1.24
2026-07-07	oos	0.1647	0.164137	-0.34%	0.16875	+2.46%	0.0048	✓	1.25
2026-07-06	oos	0.171	0.170214	-0.46%	0.166	-2.92%	0.0093	✗	1.25
2026-07-05	oos	0.1726	0.171628	-0.56%	0.16895	-2.11%	0.0188	✓	1.24
2026-07-04	oos	0.1731	0.171934	-0.67%	0.1718	-0.75%	0.0142	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.1736	0.172173	-0.82%	0.1717	-1.09%	0.0338	✓	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.1664	0.165178	-0.73%	0.169	+1.56%	0.0100	✓	1.21
2026-07-01	oos	0.1652	0.163921	-0.77%	0.1669	+1.03%	0.0277	✓	1.23
2026-06-30	oos	0.1608	0.159643	-0.72%	0.1647	+2.43%	0.0664	✓	1.24
2026-06-29	oos	0.1666	0.16549	-0.67%	0.171	+2.64%	0.0439	✓	1.24
2026-06-28	oos	0.1651	0.164153	-0.57%	0.1726	+4.54%	0.0327	✓	1.24
2026-06-27	oos	0.1675	0.16662	-0.53%	0.1731	+3.34%	0.0255	✓	1.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.1696	0.168692	-0.54%	0.1736	+2.36%	0.0225	✓	1.25
2026-06-25	oos	0.1643	0.163732	-0.35%	0.1664	+1.28%	0.0203	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.1719	0.171075	-0.48%	0.1652	-3.90%	0.0143	✓	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.1774	0.176359	-0.59%	0.1608	-9.36%	0.0099	✓	1.21
2026-06-22	oos	0.1796	0.178389	-0.67%	0.1666	-7.24%	0.0058	✓	1.21
2026-06-21	oos	0.1771	0.175964	-0.64%	0.1651	-6.78%	0.0107	✗	1.21
2026-06-20	oos	0.1835	0.181898	-0.87%	0.1675	-8.72%	0.0010	✓	1.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.1808	0.179365	-0.79%	0.1696	-6.19%	0.0122	✗	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1843	0.182662	-0.89%	0.1643	-10.85%	0.0427	✓	1.22
2026-06-17	oos	0.1901	0.188042	-1.08%	0.1719	-9.57%	0.0225	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.193	0.190741	-1.17%	0.1774	-8.08%	0.0159	✓	1.22
2026-06-15	oos	0.1936	0.191089	-1.30%	0.1796	-7.23%	0.0181	✓	1.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.1951	0.192181	-1.50%	0.1771	-9.23%	0.0345	✓	1.23
2026-06-13	oos	0.1847	0.1825	-1.19%	0.1835	-0.65%	0.0094	✓	1.23
2026-06-12	oos	0.17915	0.177376	-0.99%	0.1808	+0.92%	0.0203	✗	1.22
2026-06-11	oos	0.1834	0.181013	-1.30%	0.1843	+0.49%	0.0312	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.1751	0.173869	-0.70%	0.1901	+8.57%	0.0316	✗	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.18185	0.180033	-1.00%	0.193	+6.13%	0.0051	✓	1.21
2026-06-08	oos	0.1853	0.183104	-1.19%	0.1936	+4.48%	0.0045	✓	1.21
2026-06-07	oos	0.1875	0.185372	-1.14%	0.1951	+4.05%	0.0060	✓	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.1802	0.179192	-0.56%	0.1847	+2.50%	0.0375	✓	1.19
2026-06-05	oos	0.1759	0.175342	-0.32%	0.17915	+1.85%	0.0263	✓	1.19
2026-06-04	oos	0.1913	0.189385	-1.00%	0.1834	-4.13%	0.0277	✓	1.15
2026-06-03	oos	0.2105	0.207331	-1.51%	0.1751	-16.82%	0.1231	✓	1.11
2026-06-02	oos	0.2124	0.209043	-1.58%	0.18185	-14.38%	0.0508	✓	1.14
2026-06-01	oos	0.234	0.228944	-2.16%	0.1853	-20.81%	0.0793	✓	1.08
2026-05-31	oos	0.2396	0.234296	-2.21%	0.1875	-21.74%	0.0598	✓	1.08
2026-05-30	oos	0.2355	0.230665	-2.05%	0.1802	-23.48%	0.0453	✓	1.05
2026-05-29	oos	0.2345	0.229659	-2.06%	0.1759	-24.99%	0.0727	✓	1.05
2026-05-28	oos	0.2335	0.228665	-2.07%	0.1913	-18.07%	0.0295	✓	1.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.233	0.228479	-1.94%	0.2105	-9.66%	0.0730	✗	1.04
2026-05-26	oos	0.2425	0.237308	-2.14%	0.2124	-12.41%	0.0222	✗	1.03
2026-05-25	oos	0.2476	0.241865	-2.32%	0.234	-5.49%	0.0556	✗	1.11
2026-05-24	oos	0.244	0.238733	-2.16%	0.2396	-1.80%	0.0536	✗	1.10
2026-05-23	oos	0.2479	0.242068	-2.35%	0.2355	-5.00%	0.0141	✓	1.09
2026-05-22	oos	0.2406	0.235483	-2.13%	0.2345	-2.54%	0.0261	✗	1.09
2026-05-21	oos	0.2509	0.244782	-2.44%	0.2335	-6.94%	0.0105	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	0.2419	0.236815	-2.10%	0.233	-3.68%	0.0288	✗	1.08
2026-05-19	oos	0.2334	0.229331	-1.74%	0.2425	+3.90%	0.0691	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.2381	0.233444	-1.96%	0.2476	+3.99%	0.0546	✗	1.08
2026-05-17	oos	0.2338	0.230331	-1.48%	0.244	+4.36%	0.0637	✗	1.08
2026-05-16	oos	0.238	0.234678	-1.40%	0.2479	+4.16%	0.0752	✗	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.2496	0.246067	-1.42%	0.2406	-3.61%	0.0280	✗	1.08
2026-05-14	oos	0.2681	0.263604	-1.68%	0.2509	-6.42%	0.0024	✓	1.06
2026-05-13	oos	0.2663	0.260828	-2.05%	0.2419	-9.16%	0.0509	✓	1.06
2026-05-12	oos	0.2703	0.265106	-1.92%	0.2334	-13.65%	0.0781	✓	1.04
2026-05-11	oos	0.2713	0.266809	-1.66%	0.2381	-12.24%	0.0521	✓	1.02
2026-05-10	oos	0.2684	0.26433	-1.52%	0.2338	-12.89%	0.0605	✓	1.04
2026-05-09	oos	0.2645	0.26012	-1.66%	0.238	-10.02%	0.0555	✓	1.04
2026-05-08	oos	0.2656	0.261004	-1.73%	0.2496	-6.02%	0.0300	✓	1.04
2026-05-07	oos	0.25205	0.248041	-1.59%	0.2681	+6.37%	0.0639	✗	1.04
2026-05-06	oos	0.2516	0.247663	-1.56%	0.2663	+5.84%	0.1003	✗	1.04
2026-05-05	oos	0.2531	0.246289	-2.69%	0.2703	+6.80%	0.0980	✗	0.94
2026-05-04	oos	0.2234	0.22179	-0.72%	0.2713	+21.44%	0.1793	✗	0.96
2026-05-03	oos	0.2239	0.222086	-0.81%	0.2684	+19.87%	0.1482	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.2266	0.224812	-0.79%	0.2645	+16.73%	0.1393	✗	0.94
2026-05-01	oos	0.2227	0.22122	-0.66%	0.2656	+19.26%	0.1597	✗	0.94
2026-04-30	oos	0.22055	0.218819	-0.78%	0.25205	+14.28%	0.0955	✗	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.22185	0.220259	-0.72%	0.2516	+13.41%	0.0628	✗	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.22455	0.223457	-0.49%	0.2531	+12.71%	0.0682	✗	0.97
2026-04-27	oos	0.2268	0.226649	-0.07%	0.2234	-1.50%	0.0450	✓	0.97
2026-04-26	oos	0.2317	0.232168	+0.20%	0.2239	-3.37%	0.0348	✗	0.97
2026-04-25	oos	0.2275	0.227965	+0.20%	0.2266	-0.40%	0.0188	✗	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.2285	0.228983	+0.21%	0.2227	-2.54%	0.0376	✗	0.99
2026-04-23	oos	0.2275	0.22862	+0.49%	0.22055	-3.05%	0.0107	✗	0.99
2026-04-22	oos	0.2262	0.22705	+0.38%	0.22185	-1.92%	0.0083	✓	0.99
2026-04-21	oos	0.2244	0.223801	-0.27%	0.22455	+0.07%	0.0037	✗	0.99
2026-04-20	oos	0.2239	0.222983	-0.41%	0.2268	+1.30%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.2195	0.218087	-0.64%	0.2317	+5.56%	0.0037	✓	1.01
2026-04-18	oos	0.2308	0.229753	-0.45%	0.2275	-1.43%	0.0350	✓	1.01
2026-04-17	oos	0.2416	0.240476	-0.47%	0.2285	-5.42%	0.0558	✓	1.01
2026-04-16	oos	0.24285	0.24017	-1.10%	0.2275	-6.32%	0.0956	✓	1.02
2026-04-15	oos	0.2351	0.23232	-1.18%	0.2262	-3.79%	0.0715	✓	1.02
2026-04-14	oos	0.2199	0.217862	-0.93%	0.2244	+2.05%	0.0004	✓	1.01
2026-04-13	oos	0.2279	0.224937	-1.30%	0.2239	-1.76%	0.0236	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.212	0.209341	-1.25%	0.2195	+3.54%	0.0053	✓	0.99
2026-04-11	oos	0.2186	0.215992	-1.19%	0.2308	+5.58%	0.0309	✗	0.99
2026-04-10	oos	0.2231	0.220212	-1.29%	0.2416	+8.29%	0.0384	✗	0.99
2026-04-09	oos	0.2216	0.218738	-1.29%	0.24285	+9.59%	0.0590	✗	0.99
2026-04-08	oos	0.2208	0.217844	-1.34%	0.2351	+6.48%	0.0252	✗	0.99
2026-04-07	oos	0.2272	0.223695	-1.54%	0.2199	-3.21%	0.0479	✓	0.99
2026-04-06	oos	0.2173	0.213917	-1.56%	0.2279	+4.88%	0.0148	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.2136	0.210495	-1.45%	0.212	-0.75%	0.0179	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.214	0.210847	-1.47%	0.2186	+2.15%	0.0480	✓	1.02
2026-04-03	oos	0.2141	0.210814	-1.53%	0.2231	+4.20%	0.0333	✓	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.21415	0.210837	-1.55%	0.2216	+3.48%	0.0247	✓	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.2239	0.220444	-1.54%	0.2208	-1.38%	0.0434	✓	1.05
2026-03-31	oos	0.2245	0.221226	-1.46%	0.2272	+1.20%	0.0295	✓	1.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.219	0.216125	-1.31%	0.2173	-0.78%	0.0279	✓	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.214	0.211777	-1.04%	0.2136	-0.19%	0.0394	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.2204	0.218402	-0.91%	0.214	-2.90%	0.0358	✓	1.06
2026-03-27	oos	0.22555	0.223666	-0.84%	0.2141	-5.08%	0.0534	✓	1.06
2026-03-26	oos	0.23395	0.23248	-0.63%	0.21415	-8.46%	0.0526	✓	1.07
2026-03-25	oos	0.2421	0.241133	-0.40%	0.2239	-7.52%	0.0251	✓	1.07
2026-03-24	oos	0.2427	0.241612	-0.45%	0.2245	-7.50%	0.0377	✓	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.2437	0.242498	-0.49%	0.219	-10.14%	0.0373	✓	1.07
2026-03-22	oos	0.2314	0.230054	-0.58%	0.214	-7.52%	0.0420	✓	1.07
2026-03-21	oos	0.2392	0.237839	-0.57%	0.2204	-7.86%	0.0351	✓	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.246	0.24488	-0.46%	0.22555	-8.31%	0.0176	✓	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.2461	0.245019	-0.44%	0.23395	-4.94%	0.0285	✓	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.2516	0.250739	-0.34%	0.2421	-3.78%	0.0359	✓	1.08
2026-03-17	oos	0.2653	0.264388	-0.34%	0.2427	-8.52%	0.0351	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.2696	0.268224	-0.51%	0.2437	-9.61%	0.0365	✓	1.08
2026-03-15	oos	0.2569	0.25593	-0.38%	0.2314	-9.93%	0.0251	✓	1.07
2026-03-14	oos	0.2504	0.249531	-0.35%	0.2392	-4.47%	0.0067	✓	1.07
2026-03-13	oos	0.25565	0.254359	-0.50%	0.246	-3.77%	0.0266	✓	1.08
2026-03-12	oos	0.2558	0.254396	-0.55%	0.2461	-3.79%	0.0237	✓	1.08
2026-03-11	oos	0.2556	0.254171	-0.56%	0.2516	-1.56%	0.0261	✓	1.08
2026-03-10	oos	0.2589	0.257018	-0.73%	0.2653	+2.47%	0.0280	✓	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.2531	0.251098	-0.79%	0.2696	+6.52%	0.0265	✓	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.2503	0.248079	-0.89%	0.2569	+2.64%	0.0745	✓	1.11
2026-03-07	oos	0.2566	0.254402	-0.86%	0.2504	-2.42%	0.0793	✓	1.11
2026-03-06	oos	0.2605	0.258258	-0.86%	0.25565	-1.86%	0.0551	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.2645	0.262331	-0.82%	0.2558	-3.29%	0.0196	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.2692	0.266567	-0.98%	0.2556	-5.05%	0.0031	✓	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.256	0.25358	-0.95%	0.2589	+1.13%	0.0061	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.2564	0.254008	-0.93%	0.2531	-1.29%	0.0031	✓	1.15
2026-03-01	oos	0.2525	0.249922	-1.02%	0.2503	-0.87%	0.0021	✓	1.19
2026-02-28	oos	0.2615	0.258307	-1.22%	0.2566	-1.87%	0.0119	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.2596	0.25629	-1.27%	0.2605	+0.35%	0.0243	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.2612	0.257791	-1.30%	0.2645	+1.26%	0.0340	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.265	0.260433	-1.72%	0.2692	+1.58%	0.0479	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.2369	0.234381	-1.06%	0.256	+8.06%	0.0122	✗	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.2363	0.234028	-0.96%	0.2564	+8.51%	0.0180	✗	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.2443	0.241922	-0.97%	0.2525	+3.36%	0.0753	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.254	0.250963	-1.20%	0.2615	+2.95%	0.0584	✗	1.18
2026-02-20	oos	0.2561	0.252718	-1.32%	0.2596	+1.37%	0.0639	✗	1.17
2026-02-19	oos	0.2501	0.247195	-1.16%	0.2612	+4.44%	0.0461	✗	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.25275	0.249747	-1.19%	0.265	+4.85%	0.0318	✗	1.18
2026-02-17	oos	0.2607	0.25717	-1.35%	0.2369	-9.13%	0.0222	✓	1.16
2026-02-16	oos	0.2673	0.263183	-1.54%	0.2363	-11.60%	0.0343	✓	1.16
2026-02-15	oos	0.2667	0.262589	-1.54%	0.2443	-8.40%	0.0522	✓	1.16
2026-02-14	oos	0.2771	0.271768	-1.92%	0.254	-8.34%	0.0368	✓	1.16
2026-02-13	oos	0.2697	0.264731	-1.84%	0.2561	-5.04%	0.0191	✓	1.16
2026-02-12	oos	0.2619	0.257596	-1.64%	0.2501	-4.51%	0.0429	✓	1.17
2026-02-11	oos	0.2551	0.251494	-1.41%	0.25275	-0.92%	0.0156	✗	1.17
2026-02-10	oos	0.2531	0.250042	-1.21%	0.2607	+3.00%	0.0650	✗	1.19
2026-02-09	oos	0.2634	0.259518	-1.47%	0.2673	+1.48%	0.0508	✗	1.18
2026-02-08	oos	0.2689	0.264269	-1.72%	0.2667	-0.82%	0.0346	✗	1.19
2026-02-07	oos	0.2678	0.26371	-1.53%	0.2771	+3.47%	0.0402	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.278	0.271871	-2.20%	0.2697	-2.99%	0.0214	✓	1.20
2026-02-05	oos	0.2489	0.248554	-0.14%	0.2619	+5.22%	0.0141	✓	1.25
2026-02-04	oos	0.2779	0.272454	-1.96%	0.2551	-8.20%	0.0699	✗	1.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.3082	0.296664	-3.74%	0.2531	-17.88%	0.0120	✓	1.55
2026-02-02	oos	0.2895	0.280739	-3.03%	0.2634	-9.02%	0.1248	✗	1.64
2026-02-01	oos	0.25485	0.251413	-1.35%	0.2689	+5.51%	0.2064	✗	1.55
2026-01-31	oos	0.2615	0.257627	-1.48%	0.2678	+2.41%	0.2438	✗	1.61
2026-01-30	oos	0.2892	0.281706	-2.59%	0.278	-3.87%	0.2721	✗	1.62
2026-01-29	oos	0.2864	0.279935	-2.26%	0.2489	-13.09%	0.3651	✗	1.62
2026-01-28	oos	0.2999	0.292302	-2.53%	0.2779	-7.34%	0.2854	✗	1.68
2026-01-27	oos	0.3001	0.293082	-2.34%	0.3082	+2.70%	0.3285	✗	1.70
2026-01-26	oos	0.2978	0.291445	-2.13%	0.2895	-2.79%	0.1860	✗	1.68
2026-01-25	oos	0.2823	0.278724	-1.27%	0.25485	-9.72%	0.1079	✗	1.67
2026-01-24	oos	0.3024	0.297602	-1.59%	0.2615	-13.53%	0.0767	✗	1.65
2026-01-23	oos	0.3096	0.304506	-1.65%	0.2892	-6.59%	0.0509	✗	1.66
2026-01-22	oos	0.3143	0.308401	-1.88%	0.2864	-8.88%	0.0202	✗	1.66
2026-01-21	oos	0.3148	0.309053	-1.83%	0.2999	-4.73%	0.0263	✓	1.66
2026-01-20	oos	0.30075	0.296825	-1.30%	0.3001	-0.22%	0.0040	✓	1.64
2026-01-19	oos	0.3232	0.318375	-1.49%	0.2978	-7.86%	0.0119	✓	1.65
2026-01-18	oos	0.3426	0.336717	-1.72%	0.2823	-17.60%	0.0473	✓	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	0.3621	0.355246	-1.89%	0.3024	-16.49%	0.0548	✓	1.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.3721	0.364555	-2.03%	0.3096	-16.80%	0.0574	✓	1.63
2026-01-15	oos	0.3664	0.359834	-1.79%	0.3143	-14.22%	0.0279	✓	1.62
2026-01-14	oos	0.38445	0.37694	-1.95%	0.3148	-18.12%	0.0484	✓	1.62
2026-01-13	oos	0.3951	0.38571	-2.38%	0.30075	-23.88%	0.1220	✓	1.65
2026-01-12	oos	0.37705	0.368238	-2.34%	0.3232	-14.28%	0.1556	✓	1.68
2026-01-11	oos	0.3827	0.374	-2.27%	0.3426	-10.48%	0.1383	✓	1.69
2026-01-10	oos	0.3862	0.375618	-2.74%	0.3621	-6.24%	0.1237	✓	1.70
2026-01-09	oos	0.3733	0.363533	-2.62%	0.3721	-0.32%	0.0693	✓	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.354	0.346793	-2.04%	0.3664	+3.50%	0.0293	✓	1.72
2026-01-07	oos	0.3476	0.341321	-1.81%	0.38445	+10.60%	0.0051	✓	2.06
2026-01-06	oos	0.3722	0.363642	-2.30%	0.3951	+6.15%	0.0469	✗	2.05
2026-01-05	oos	0.3755	0.364556	-2.91%	0.37705	+0.41%	0.0931	✗	2.05
2026-01-04	oos	0.3558	0.344414	-3.20%	0.3827	+7.56%	0.1194	✗	2.05
2026-01-03	oos	0.3022	0.296514	-1.88%	0.3862	+27.80%	0.2692	✗	2.01
2026-01-02	oos	0.276	0.272815	-1.15%	0.3733	+35.25%	0.3013	✗	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.2632	0.26039	-1.07%	0.354	+34.50%	0.2569	✗	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.24385	0.242223	-0.67%	0.3476	+42.55%	0.2792	✗	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.2535	0.251977	-0.60%	0.3722	+46.82%	0.2768	✗	1.94
2025-12-29	oos	0.2547	0.252955	-0.68%	0.3755	+47.43%	0.2506	✗	1.93
2025-12-28	oos	0.2646	0.262472	-0.80%	0.3558	+34.47%	0.2264	✗	1.93
2025-12-27	oos	0.2656	0.263127	-0.93%	0.3022	+13.78%	0.0786	✗	1.91
2025-12-26	oos	0.25095	0.249316	-0.65%	0.276	+9.98%	0.0449	✗	1.89
2025-12-25	oos	0.2443	0.24305	-0.51%	0.2632	+7.74%	0.0460	✗	1.89
2025-12-24	oos	0.2488	0.247354	-0.58%	0.24385	-1.99%	0.0119	✓	1.89
2025-12-23	oos	0.2436	0.242468	-0.46%	0.2535	+4.06%	0.0239	✗	1.87
2025-12-22	oos	0.2477	0.246559	-0.46%	0.2547	+2.83%	0.0632	✗	1.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.24925	0.248081	-0.47%	0.2646	+6.16%	0.0806	✗	1.86
2025-12-20	oos	0.2561	0.2545	-0.62%	0.2656	+3.71%	0.0537	✗	1.88
2025-12-19	oos	0.2542	0.252392	-0.71%	0.25095	-1.28%	0.0113	✗	1.88
2025-12-18	oos	0.24065	0.23952	-0.47%	0.2443	+1.52%	0.0174	✓	1.87
2025-12-17	oos	0.2509	0.249432	-0.59%	0.2488	-0.84%	0.0328	✓	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.2637	0.262058	-0.62%	0.2436	-7.62%	0.0639	✓	1.88
2025-12-15	oos	0.2638	0.261985	-0.69%	0.2477	-6.10%	0.1023	✓	1.89
2025-12-14	oos	0.2785	0.276366	-0.77%	0.24925	-10.50%	0.1133	✓	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.2891	0.286981	-0.73%	0.2561	-11.41%	0.0730	✓	1.89
2025-12-12	oos	0.2881	0.28631	-0.62%	0.2542	-11.77%	0.0727	✓	1.89
2025-12-11	oos	0.2974	0.295569	-0.62%	0.24065	-19.08%	0.0543	✓	1.90
2025-12-10	oos	0.30685	0.304454	-0.78%	0.2509	-18.23%	0.0687	✓	1.91
2025-12-09	oos	0.3159	0.312446	-1.09%	0.2637	-16.52%	0.0672	✓	1.91
2025-12-08	oos	0.3006	0.297728	-0.96%	0.2638	-12.24%	0.0302	✓	1.90
2025-12-07	oos	0.2932	0.291038	-0.74%	0.2785	-5.01%	0.0033	✓	1.89
2025-12-06	oos	0.2967	0.294344	-0.79%	0.2891	-2.56%	0.0390	✓	1.91
2025-12-05	oos	0.2922	0.290148	-0.70%	0.2881	-1.40%	0.0269	✓	1.91
2025-12-04	oos	0.3079	0.305585	-0.75%	0.2974	-3.41%	0.0364	✓	1.91
2025-12-03	oos	0.3205	0.317669	-0.88%	0.30685	-4.26%	0.0054	✓	1.91
2025-12-02	oos	0.308	0.305495	-0.81%	0.3159	+2.56%	0.0047	✓	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.2824	0.280989	-0.50%	0.3006	+6.44%	0.0286	✓	1.94
2025-11-30	oos	0.30755	0.30546	-0.68%	0.2932	-4.67%	0.0417	✓	1.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.3129	0.310652	-0.72%	0.2967	-5.18%	0.0123	✓	1.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.3171	0.314771	-0.73%	0.2922	-7.85%	0.0409	✓	1.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.32335	0.320736	-0.81%	0.3079	-4.78%	0.0573	✓	1.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.3224	0.31964	-0.86%	0.3205	-0.59%	0.0598	✓	1.92
2025-11-25	oos	0.3193	0.316452	-0.89%	0.308	-3.54%	0.1154	✓	1.98
2025-11-24	oos	0.321	0.317763	-1.01%	0.2824	-12.02%	0.0729	✓	1.99
2025-11-23	oos	0.3078	0.305581	-0.72%	0.30755	-0.08%	0.0734	✓	1.98
2025-11-22	oos	0.3075	0.305681	-0.59%	0.3129	+1.76%	0.1192	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.3121	0.310252	-0.59%	0.3171	+1.60%	0.1129	✓	2.03
2025-11-20	oos	0.3277	0.324992	-0.83%	0.32335	-1.33%	0.1138	✓	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.342	0.338485	-1.03%	0.3224	-5.73%	0.0254	✓	2.13
2025-11-18	oos	0.3463	0.342582	-1.07%	0.3193	-7.80%	0.0623	✗	2.14
2025-11-17	oos	0.3375	0.334707	-0.83%	0.321	-4.89%	0.0493	✗	2.14
2025-11-16	oos	0.3473	0.344403	-0.83%	0.3078	-11.37%	0.0629	✗	2.15
2025-11-15	oos	0.3604	0.35701	-0.94%	0.3075	-14.68%	0.1102	✗	2.15
2025-11-14	oos	0.3595	0.356673	-0.79%	0.3121	-13.18%	0.0934	✗	2.16
2025-11-13	oos	0.38295	0.37988	-0.80%	0.3277	-14.43%	0.1671	✗	2.24
2025-11-12	oos	0.40275	0.399135	-0.90%	0.342	-15.08%	0.0813	✗	2.23
2025-11-11	oos	0.4116	0.407514	-0.99%	0.3463	-15.86%	0.0691	✗	2.25
2025-11-10	oos	0.4293	0.424166	-1.20%	0.3375	-21.38%	0.0894	✗	2.27
2025-11-09	oos	0.422	0.416064	-1.41%	0.3473	-17.70%	0.0603	✗	2.28
2025-11-08	oos	0.4026	0.397765	-1.20%	0.3604	-10.48%	0.0570	✗	2.28
2025-11-07	oos	0.4112	0.404218	-1.70%	0.3595	-12.57%	0.0828	✗	2.25
2025-11-06	oos	0.3523	0.350038	-0.64%	0.38295	+8.70%	0.1263	✗	2.18
2025-11-05	oos	0.3613	0.359094	-0.61%	0.40275	+11.47%	0.1625	✗	2.20
2025-11-04	oos	0.3551	0.353497	-0.45%	0.4116	+15.91%	0.1184	✗	2.24
2025-11-03	oos	0.3715	0.370469	-0.28%	0.4293	+15.56%	0.1601	✗	2.34
2025-11-02	oos	0.4251	0.421996	-0.73%	0.422	-0.73%	0.1247	✗	2.30
2025-11-01	oos	0.4243	0.421309	-0.70%	0.4026	-5.11%	0.1232	✗	2.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.4127	0.410396	-0.56%	0.4112	-0.36%	0.1374	✗	2.30
2025-10-30	oos	0.4062	0.404302	-0.47%	0.3523	-13.27%	0.0165	✗	2.30
2025-10-29	oos	0.44075	0.437485	-0.74%	0.3613	-18.03%	0.0606	✓	2.27
2025-10-28	oos	0.4417	0.438937	-0.63%	0.3551	-19.61%	0.0368	✗	2.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.458	0.453941	-0.89%	0.3715	-18.89%	0.0416	✓	2.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.4691	0.463751	-1.14%	0.4251	-9.38%	0.0041	✓	2.33
2025-10-25	oos	0.4467	0.442099	-1.03%	0.4243	-5.01%	0.0069	✓	2.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.44955	0.444171	-1.20%	0.4127	-8.20%	0.0415	✓	2.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.4321	0.427421	-1.08%	0.4062	-5.99%	0.0118	✓	2.36
2025-10-22	oos	0.4216	0.417633	-0.94%	0.44075	+4.54%	0.0005	✓	2.37
2025-10-21	oos	0.4273	0.423237	-0.95%	0.4417	+3.37%	0.0549	✓	2.37
2025-10-20	oos	0.4426	0.436971	-1.27%	0.458	+3.48%	0.0287	✓	2.42
2025-10-19	oos	0.4367	0.430753	-1.36%	0.4691	+7.42%	0.0416	✓	2.41
2025-10-18	oos	0.4218	0.418191	-0.86%	0.4467	+5.90%	0.0322	✓	2.41
2025-10-17	oos	0.42245	0.418712	-0.88%	0.44955	+6.41%	0.0303	✓	2.41
2025-10-16	oos	0.4364	0.432618	-0.87%	0.4321	-0.99%	0.0436	✓	2.41
2025-10-15	oos	0.4554	0.451394	-0.88%	0.4216	-7.42%	0.0031	✓	2.42
2025-10-14	oos	0.4704	0.466005	-0.93%	0.4273	-9.16%	0.0172	✗	2.45
2025-10-13	oos	0.48935	0.483422	-1.21%	0.4426	-9.55%	0.0139	✗	2.45
2025-10-12	oos	0.4605	0.457035	-0.75%	0.4367	-5.17%	0.0918	✗	2.40
2025-10-11	oos	0.422	0.421473	-0.12%	0.4218	-0.05%	0.0792	✗	2.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.4292	0.429186	-0.00%	0.42245	-1.57%	0.1296	✗	2.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.5939	0.587159	-1.14%	0.4364	-26.52%	0.0667	✓	1.95
2025-10-08	oos	0.61245	0.604433	-1.31%	0.4554	-25.64%	0.0755	✓	1.94
2025-10-07	oos	0.5965	0.586965	-1.60%	0.4704	-21.14%	0.0843	✓	1.93
2025-10-06	oos	0.6297	0.62052	-1.46%	0.48935	-22.29%	0.0846	✓	1.94
2025-10-05	oos	0.5985	0.591348	-1.19%	0.4605	-23.06%	0.1133	✓	1.93
2025-10-04	oos	0.6028	0.595876	-1.15%	0.422	-29.99%	0.1511	✓	1.93
2025-10-03	oos	0.62005	0.612088	-1.28%	0.4292	-30.78%	0.2013	✓	1.94
2025-10-02	oos	0.6237	0.615093	-1.38%	0.5939	-4.78%	0.0527	✓	1.95
2025-10-01	oos	0.6052	0.597185	-1.32%	0.61245	+1.20%	0.0512	✓	1.97
2025-09-30	oos	0.572	0.565829	-1.08%	0.5965	+4.28%	0.0721	✓	2.01
2025-09-29	oos	0.58455	0.577496	-1.21%	0.6297	+7.72%	0.0898	✓	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.585	0.577214	-1.33%	0.5985	+2.31%	0.1629	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.57445	0.567015	-1.29%	0.6028	+4.94%	0.1715	✓	2.11
2025-09-26	oos	0.5796	0.571543	-1.39%	0.62005	+6.98%	0.1494	✓	2.12
2025-09-25	oos	0.5648	0.557145	-1.36%	0.6237	+10.43%	0.1009	✓	2.12
2025-09-24	oos	0.59475	0.58661	-1.37%	0.6052	+1.76%	0.0688	✓	2.18
2025-09-23	oos	0.59685	0.589087	-1.30%	0.572	-4.16%	0.0694	✓	2.20
2025-09-22	oos	0.60435	0.596406	-1.31%	0.58455	-3.28%	0.0516	✓	2.20
2025-09-21	oos	0.6457	0.636358	-1.45%	0.585	-9.40%	0.0247	✓	2.19
2025-09-20	oos	0.6585	0.64887	-1.46%	0.57445	-12.76%	0.0014	✓	2.23
2025-09-19	oos	0.65575	0.646545	-1.40%	0.5796	-11.61%	0.0099	✓	2.24
2025-09-18	oos	0.6902	0.678825	-1.65%	0.5648	-18.17%	0.0237	✓	2.24

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.