STX

Stacks · native · beta_5y

token id: #65
symbol: STX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-01-20
predictions: 5,169

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

56.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0241

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0040

actual +0.0004

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.3669	0.364788	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-21	oos	0.35975	0.357842	-0.53%	0.3669	+0.47%	0.0064	✗	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.35575	0.354007	-0.49%	0.35975	+1.12%	0.0206	✗	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.3583	0.356596	-0.48%	0.35575	-0.71%	0.0231	✓	1.55
2026-10-18	oos	0.35505	0.353696	-0.38%	0.3583	+0.92%	0.0161	✗	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.3681	0.36679	-0.36%	0.35505	-3.55%	0.0444	✓	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.3924	0.390722	-0.43%	0.3681	-6.19%	0.0574	✓	1.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.43015	0.427297	-0.66%	0.3924	-8.78%	0.0737	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.4238	0.421098	-0.64%	0.43015	+1.50%	0.0110	✗	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.4344	0.430613	-0.87%	0.4238	-2.44%	0.0120	✗	1.50
2026-10-12	oos	0.4101	0.406376	-0.91%	0.4344	+5.93%	0.0421	✗	1.49
2026-10-11	oos	0.3984	0.395822	-0.65%	0.4101	+2.94%	0.0699	✗	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.40105	0.398127	-0.73%	0.3984	-0.66%	0.0129	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.39515	0.391953	-0.81%	0.40105	+1.49%	0.0164	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.38165	0.378742	-0.76%	0.39515	+3.54%	0.0272	✗	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.37065	0.367487	-0.85%	0.38165	+2.97%	0.0665	✗	1.50
2026-10-06	oos	0.3845	0.381523	-0.77%	0.37065	-3.60%	0.0111	✗	1.49
2026-10-05	oos	0.37935	0.376469	-0.76%	0.3845	+1.36%	0.0247	✗	1.47
2026-10-04	oos	0.38935	0.386177	-0.81%	0.37935	-2.57%	0.0048	✓	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	0.3843	0.381133	-0.82%	0.38935	+1.31%	0.0093	✓	1.49
2026-10-02	oos	0.3678	0.364898	-0.79%	0.3843	+4.49%	0.0476	✗	1.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.37365	0.369707	-1.06%	0.3678	-1.57%	0.0008	✓	1.48
2026-09-30	oos	0.37085	0.364847	-1.62%	0.37365	+0.76%	0.0010	✓	1.49
2026-09-29	oos	0.3168	0.31412	-0.85%	0.37085	+17.06%	0.1675	✗	1.49
2026-09-28	oos	0.3139	0.311368	-0.81%	0.3168	+0.92%	0.0141	✗	1.48
2026-09-27	oos	0.3385	0.335379	-0.92%	0.3139	-7.27%	0.0488	✓	1.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.3427	0.339329	-0.98%	0.3385	-1.23%	0.0032	✓	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.32625	0.323186	-0.94%	0.3427	+5.04%	0.0530	✗	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.3134	0.310656	-0.88%	0.32625	+4.10%	0.0541	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.3081	0.305694	-0.78%	0.3134	+1.72%	0.0248	✗	1.47
2026-09-22	oos	0.33585	0.332869	-0.89%	0.3081	-8.26%	0.0466	✓	1.44
2026-09-21	oos	0.3414	0.338208	-0.93%	0.33585	-1.63%	0.0004	✓	1.43
2026-09-20	oos	0.33615	0.332773	-1.00%	0.3414	+1.56%	0.0757	✓	1.56
2026-09-19	oos	0.3152	0.311441	-1.19%	0.33615	+6.65%	0.0778	✗	1.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.2841	0.281178	-1.03%	0.3152	+10.95%	0.1073	✗	1.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.2511	0.249842	-0.50%	0.2841	+13.14%	0.0413	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.24255	0.241729	-0.34%	0.2511	+3.53%	0.0340	✗	1.51
2026-09-15	oos	0.2348	0.234397	-0.17%	0.24255	+3.30%	0.0231	✗	1.50
2026-09-14	oos	0.2637	0.26232	-0.52%	0.2348	-10.96%	0.0631	✓	1.42
2026-09-13	oos	0.26525	0.263866	-0.52%	0.2637	-0.58%	0.0260	✓	1.43
2026-09-12	oos	0.26815	0.266824	-0.49%	0.26525	-1.08%	0.0026	✓	1.42
2026-09-11	oos	0.25275	0.252023	-0.29%	0.26815	+6.09%	0.0610	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.25315	0.252725	-0.17%	0.25275	-0.16%	0.0125	✓	1.45
2026-09-09	oos	0.27385	0.273002	-0.31%	0.25315	-7.56%	0.0436	✓	1.41
2026-09-08	oos	0.2715	0.27099	-0.19%	0.27385	+0.87%	0.0135	✗	1.41
2026-09-07	oos	0.2772	0.276555	-0.23%	0.2715	-2.06%	0.0069	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.2692	0.268644	-0.21%	0.2772	+2.97%	0.0538	✗	1.43
2026-09-05	oos	0.2693	0.268823	-0.18%	0.2692	-0.04%	0.0077	✓	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.2646	0.264256	-0.13%	0.2693	+1.78%	0.0161	✗	1.42
2026-09-03	oos	0.2749	0.273484	-0.52%	0.2646	-3.75%	0.0052	✓	1.41
2026-09-02	oos	0.2611	0.260303	-0.31%	0.2749	+5.29%	0.0185	✓	1.46
2026-09-01	oos	0.2553	0.254222	-0.42%	0.2611	+2.27%	0.0284	✗	1.48
2026-08-31	oos	0.2511	0.249576	-0.61%	0.2553	+1.67%	0.0442	✗	1.44
2026-08-30	oos	0.2343	0.233494	-0.34%	0.2511	+7.17%	0.0563	✗	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.2434	0.242319	-0.44%	0.2343	-3.74%	0.0234	✓	1.40
2026-08-28	oos	0.2603	0.257899	-0.92%	0.2434	-6.49%	0.0650	✓	1.41
2026-08-27	oos	0.2572	0.254626	-1.00%	0.2603	+1.21%	0.0667	✗	1.45
2026-08-26	oos	0.2688	0.264841	-1.47%	0.2572	-4.32%	0.0524	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.2634	0.258185	-1.98%	0.2688	+2.05%	0.0310	✗	1.47
2026-08-24	oos	0.231	0.228056	-1.27%	0.2634	+14.03%	0.1527	✗	1.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.234	0.229859	-1.77%	0.231	-1.28%	0.0191	✓	1.51
2026-08-22	oos	0.2193	0.215073	-1.93%	0.234	+6.70%	0.0713	✗	1.49
2026-08-21	oos	0.1898	0.186739	-1.61%	0.2193	+15.54%	0.1863	✗	1.56
2026-08-20	oos	0.1461	0.145284	-0.56%	0.1898	+29.91%	0.1788	✗	1.26
2026-08-19	oos	0.1284	0.127992	-0.32%	0.1461	+13.79%	0.0722	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.11995	0.119628	-0.27%	0.1284	+7.04%	0.0099	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.1209	0.12056	-0.28%	0.11995	-0.79%	0.0088	✓	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.1222	0.121809	-0.32%	0.1209	-1.06%	0.0389	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.12165	0.121298	-0.29%	0.1222	+0.45%	0.0109	✗	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.1222	0.121871	-0.27%	0.12165	-0.45%	0.0027	✓	1.22
2026-08-13	oos	0.1245	0.124155	-0.28%	0.1222	-1.85%	0.0072	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.1229	0.122603	-0.24%	0.1245	+1.30%	0.0151	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.1276	0.127221	-0.30%	0.1229	-3.68%	0.0322	✓	1.24
2026-08-10	oos	0.1309	0.130484	-0.32%	0.1276	-2.52%	0.0150	✓	1.23
2026-08-09	oos	0.1298	0.129421	-0.29%	0.1309	+0.85%	0.0294	✗	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.1326	0.132183	-0.31%	0.1298	-2.11%	0.0170	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.1292	0.128844	-0.28%	0.1326	+2.63%	0.0284	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.1301	0.129712	-0.30%	0.1292	-0.69%	0.0159	✓	1.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.1338	0.133397	-0.30%	0.1301	-2.77%	0.0186	✓	1.24
2026-08-04	oos	0.1347	0.134286	-0.31%	0.1338	-0.67%	0.0142	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.1386	0.138097	-0.36%	0.1347	-2.81%	0.0363	✓	1.24
2026-08-02	oos	0.1391	0.138578	-0.38%	0.1386	-0.36%	0.0008	✓	1.30
2026-08-01	oos	0.1393	0.138811	-0.35%	0.1391	-0.14%	0.0130	✓	1.29
2026-07-31	oos	0.1375	0.137064	-0.32%	0.1393	+1.31%	0.0175	✗	1.29
2026-07-30	oos	0.14015	0.139682	-0.33%	0.1375	-1.89%	0.0234	✗	1.32
2026-07-29	oos	0.1348	0.134501	-0.22%	0.14015	+3.97%	0.0246	✗	1.29
2026-07-28	oos	0.13795	0.137579	-0.27%	0.1348	-2.28%	0.0214	✓	1.28
2026-07-27	oos	0.1342	0.134017	-0.14%	0.13795	+2.79%	0.0259	✗	1.28
2026-07-26	oos	0.1469	0.14654	-0.25%	0.1342	-8.65%	0.0565	✓	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.1368	0.136634	-0.12%	0.1469	+7.38%	0.0531	✗	1.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.1449	0.1446	-0.21%	0.1368	-5.59%	0.0595	✓	1.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.16445	0.16409	-0.22%	0.1449	-11.89%	0.1069	✓	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1693	0.168854	-0.26%	0.16445	-2.86%	0.0082	✓	1.15
2026-07-21	oos	0.1674	0.167021	-0.23%	0.1693	+1.14%	0.0211	✗	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1655	0.165105	-0.24%	0.1674	+1.15%	0.0089	✓	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1637	0.163344	-0.22%	0.1655	+1.10%	0.0037	✗	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.16525	0.164901	-0.21%	0.1637	-0.94%	0.0053	✓	1.14
2026-07-17	oos	0.1646	0.16427	-0.20%	0.16525	+0.39%	0.0103	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.1671	0.166735	-0.22%	0.1646	-1.50%	0.0152	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.1684	0.168048	-0.21%	0.1671	-0.77%	0.0113	✗	1.15
2026-07-14	oos	0.16875	0.168408	-0.20%	0.1684	-0.21%	0.0048	✗	1.15
2026-07-13	oos	0.166	0.165656	-0.21%	0.16875	+1.66%	0.0338	✓	1.22
2026-07-12	oos	0.16895	0.168578	-0.22%	0.166	-1.75%	0.0135	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.1718	0.171339	-0.27%	0.16895	-1.66%	0.0134	✓	1.25
2026-07-10	oos	0.1717	0.171284	-0.24%	0.1718	+0.06%	0.0099	✗	1.24
2026-07-09	oos	0.169	0.168599	-0.24%	0.1717	+1.60%	0.0004	✓	1.24
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.166499	-0.24%	0.169	+1.26%	0.0036	✓	1.24
2026-07-07	oos	0.1647	0.164404	-0.18%	0.1669	+1.34%	0.0367	✗	1.25
2026-07-06	oos	0.171	0.170618	-0.22%	0.1647	-3.68%	0.0220	✓	1.25
2026-07-05	oos	0.1726	0.172187	-0.24%	0.171	-0.93%	0.0151	✓	1.24
2026-07-04	oos	0.1731	0.172638	-0.27%	0.1726	-0.29%	0.0100	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.1736	0.173096	-0.29%	0.1731	-0.29%	0.0110	✓	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.1664	0.165952	-0.27%	0.1736	+4.33%	0.0248	✗	1.21
2026-07-01	oos	0.1652	0.164743	-0.28%	0.1664	+0.73%	0.0208	✓	1.23
2026-06-30	oos	0.1608	0.1604	-0.25%	0.1652	+2.74%	0.0006	✓	1.24
2026-06-29	oos	0.1666	0.166195	-0.24%	0.1608	-3.48%	0.0012	✓	1.24
2026-06-28	oos	0.1651	0.164739	-0.22%	0.1666	+0.91%	0.0030	✓	1.24
2026-06-27	oos	0.1675	0.167149	-0.21%	0.1651	-1.43%	0.0027	✓	1.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.1696	0.169235	-0.22%	0.1675	-1.24%	0.0089	✓	1.25
2026-06-25	oos	0.1643	0.164037	-0.16%	0.1696	+3.23%	0.0272	✗	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.1719	0.17157	-0.19%	0.1643	-4.42%	0.0174	✓	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.1774	0.17702	-0.21%	0.1719	-3.10%	0.0032	✗	1.21
2026-06-22	oos	0.1796	0.179198	-0.22%	0.1774	-1.22%	0.0150	✗	1.21
2026-06-21	oos	0.1771	0.176752	-0.20%	0.1796	+1.41%	0.0023	✗	1.21
2026-06-20	oos	0.1835	0.183054	-0.24%	0.1771	-3.49%	0.0143	✓	1.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.1808	0.180412	-0.21%	0.1835	+1.49%	0.0028	✗	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1843	0.183869	-0.23%	0.1808	-1.90%	0.0283	✓	1.22
2026-06-17	oos	0.1901	0.189571	-0.28%	0.1843	-3.05%	0.0018	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.193	0.192437	-0.29%	0.1901	-1.50%	0.0098	✗	1.22
2026-06-15	oos	0.1936	0.192975	-0.32%	0.193	-0.31%	0.0124	✗	1.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.1951	0.194368	-0.38%	0.1936	-0.77%	0.0146	✓	1.23
2026-06-13	oos	0.1847	0.184178	-0.28%	0.1951	+5.63%	0.0335	✗	1.23
2026-06-12	oos	0.17915	0.178736	-0.23%	0.1847	+3.10%	0.0158	✗	1.22
2026-06-11	oos	0.1834	0.182787	-0.33%	0.17915	-2.32%	0.0196	✓	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.1751	0.174805	-0.17%	0.1834	+4.74%	0.0070	✗	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.18185	0.181392	-0.25%	0.1751	-3.71%	0.0306	✓	1.21
2026-06-08	oos	0.1853	0.184767	-0.29%	0.18185	-1.86%	0.0108	✗	1.21
2026-06-07	oos	0.1875	0.187017	-0.26%	0.1853	-1.17%	0.0046	✓	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.1802	0.179927	-0.15%	0.1875	+4.05%	0.0056	✓	1.19
2026-06-05	oos	0.1759	0.175683	-0.12%	0.1802	+2.44%	0.0289	✗	1.19
2026-06-04	oos	0.1913	0.19087	-0.22%	0.1759	-8.05%	0.0305	✓	1.15
2026-06-03	oos	0.2105	0.209785	-0.34%	0.1913	-9.12%	0.0882	✓	1.11
2026-06-02	oos	0.2124	0.211666	-0.35%	0.2105	-0.89%	0.0402	✗	1.14
2026-06-01	oos	0.234	0.232835	-0.50%	0.2124	-9.23%	0.0193	✓	1.08
2026-05-31	oos	0.2396	0.238414	-0.49%	0.234	-2.34%	0.0151	✗	1.08
2026-05-30	oos	0.2355	0.234448	-0.45%	0.2396	+1.74%	0.0245	✗	1.05
2026-05-29	oos	0.2345	0.233415	-0.46%	0.2355	+0.43%	0.0031	✓	1.05
2026-05-28	oos	0.2335	0.232404	-0.47%	0.2345	+0.43%	0.0111	✗	1.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.233	0.232032	-0.42%	0.2335	+0.21%	0.0176	✗	1.04
2026-05-26	oos	0.2425	0.241332	-0.48%	0.233	-3.92%	0.0144	✓	1.03
2026-05-25	oos	0.2476	0.246218	-0.56%	0.2425	-2.06%	0.0054	✓	1.11
2026-05-24	oos	0.244	0.242803	-0.49%	0.2476	+1.48%	0.0157	✗	1.10
2026-05-23	oos	0.2479	0.246517	-0.56%	0.244	-1.57%	0.0149	✓	1.09
2026-05-22	oos	0.2406	0.239448	-0.48%	0.2479	+3.03%	0.0175	✗	1.09
2026-05-21	oos	0.2509	0.249337	-0.62%	0.2406	-4.11%	0.0060	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	0.2419	0.240651	-0.52%	0.2509	+3.72%	0.0407	✗	1.08
2026-05-19	oos	0.2334	0.232461	-0.40%	0.2419	+3.64%	0.0299	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.2381	0.236836	-0.53%	0.2334	-1.97%	0.0121	✓	1.08
2026-05-17	oos	0.2338	0.233004	-0.34%	0.2381	+1.84%	0.0281	✗	1.08
2026-05-16	oos	0.238	0.237204	-0.33%	0.2338	-1.76%	0.0047	✓	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.2496	0.248754	-0.34%	0.238	-4.65%	0.0311	✓	1.08
2026-05-14	oos	0.2681	0.266754	-0.50%	0.2496	-6.90%	0.0398	✓	1.06
2026-05-13	oos	0.2663	0.264628	-0.63%	0.2681	+0.68%	0.0105	✓	1.06
2026-05-12	oos	0.2703	0.268711	-0.59%	0.2663	-1.48%	0.0066	✗	1.04
2026-05-11	oos	0.2713	0.269907	-0.51%	0.2703	-0.37%	0.0171	✗	1.02
2026-05-10	oos	0.2684	0.267026	-0.51%	0.2713	+1.08%	0.0219	✗	1.04
2026-05-09	oos	0.2645	0.263097	-0.53%	0.2684	+1.47%	0.0002	✓	1.04
2026-05-08	oos	0.2656	0.264113	-0.56%	0.2645	-0.41%	0.0046	✓	1.04
2026-05-07	oos	0.25205	0.250504	-0.61%	0.2656	+5.38%	0.0561	✗	1.04
2026-05-06	oos	0.2516	0.249787	-0.72%	0.25205	+0.18%	0.0274	✗	1.04
2026-05-05	oos	0.2531	0.24993	-1.25%	0.2516	-0.59%	0.0005	✓	0.94
2026-05-04	oos	0.2234	0.22269	-0.32%	0.2531	+13.29%	0.1154	✗	0.96
2026-05-03	oos	0.2239	0.223228	-0.30%	0.2234	-0.22%	0.0141	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.2266	0.225835	-0.34%	0.2239	-1.19%	0.0071	✓	0.94
2026-05-01	oos	0.2227	0.222007	-0.31%	0.2266	+1.75%	0.0151	✗	0.94
2026-04-30	oos	0.22055	0.219909	-0.29%	0.2227	+0.97%	0.0116	✓	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.22185	0.221224	-0.28%	0.22055	-0.59%	0.0101	✓	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.22455	0.223998	-0.25%	0.22185	-1.20%	0.0025	✓	0.97
2026-04-27	oos	0.2268	0.226331	-0.21%	0.22455	-0.99%	0.0053	✗	0.97
2026-04-26	oos	0.2317	0.231218	-0.21%	0.2268	-2.11%	0.0031	✓	0.97
2026-04-25	oos	0.2275	0.227108	-0.17%	0.2317	+1.85%	0.0073	✗	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.2285	0.22803	-0.21%	0.2275	-0.44%	0.0047	✓	0.99
2026-04-23	oos	0.2275	0.22708	-0.18%	0.2285	+0.44%	0.0166	✗	0.99
2026-04-22	oos	0.2262	0.225729	-0.21%	0.2275	+0.57%	0.0069	✗	0.99
2026-04-21	oos	0.2244	0.223782	-0.28%	0.2262	+0.80%	0.0131	✓	0.99
2026-04-20	oos	0.2239	0.223295	-0.27%	0.2244	+0.22%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.2195	0.218971	-0.24%	0.2239	+2.00%	0.0053	✓	1.01
2026-04-18	oos	0.2308	0.230239	-0.24%	0.2195	-4.90%	0.0220	✓	1.01
2026-04-17	oos	0.2416	0.240863	-0.30%	0.2308	-4.47%	0.0247	✓	1.01
2026-04-16	oos	0.24285	0.241792	-0.44%	0.2416	-0.51%	0.0267	✓	1.02
2026-04-15	oos	0.2351	0.234025	-0.46%	0.24285	+3.30%	0.0326	✗	1.02
2026-04-14	oos	0.2199	0.219201	-0.32%	0.2351	+6.91%	0.0611	✗	1.01
2026-04-13	oos	0.2279	0.226924	-0.43%	0.2199	-3.51%	0.0278	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.212	0.211352	-0.31%	0.2279	+7.50%	0.0249	✗	0.99
2026-04-11	oos	0.2186	0.217891	-0.32%	0.212	-3.02%	0.0048	✗	0.99
2026-04-10	oos	0.2231	0.222283	-0.37%	0.2186	-2.02%	0.0179	✓	0.99
2026-04-09	oos	0.2216	0.220851	-0.34%	0.2231	+0.68%	0.0063	✓	0.99
2026-04-08	oos	0.2208	0.220047	-0.34%	0.2216	+0.36%	0.0029	✓	0.99
2026-04-07	oos	0.2272	0.2262	-0.44%	0.2208	-2.82%	0.0127	✓	0.99
2026-04-06	oos	0.2173	0.216458	-0.39%	0.2272	+4.56%	0.0050	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.2136	0.212871	-0.34%	0.2173	+1.73%	0.0228	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.214	0.213282	-0.34%	0.2136	-0.19%	0.0241	✓	1.02
2026-04-03	oos	0.2141	0.213352	-0.35%	0.214	-0.05%	0.0021	✓	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.21415	0.213371	-0.36%	0.2141	-0.02%	0.0024	✓	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.2239	0.223062	-0.37%	0.21415	-4.35%	0.0218	✓	1.05
2026-03-31	oos	0.2245	0.223677	-0.37%	0.2239	-0.27%	0.0027	✓	1.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.219	0.218239	-0.35%	0.2245	+2.51%	0.0048	✗	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.214	0.213393	-0.28%	0.219	+2.34%	0.0134	✗	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.2204	0.219814	-0.27%	0.214	-2.90%	0.0210	✓	1.06
2026-03-27	oos	0.22555	0.224955	-0.26%	0.2204	-2.28%	0.0199	✓	1.06
2026-03-26	oos	0.23395	0.233368	-0.25%	0.22555	-3.59%	0.0042	✗	1.07
2026-03-25	oos	0.2421	0.241484	-0.25%	0.23395	-3.37%	0.0070	✗	1.07
2026-03-24	oos	0.2427	0.242063	-0.26%	0.2421	-0.25%	0.0115	✓	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.2437	0.242959	-0.30%	0.2427	-0.41%	0.0041	✗	1.07
2026-03-22	oos	0.2314	0.230838	-0.24%	0.2437	+5.32%	0.0073	✗	1.07
2026-03-21	oos	0.2392	0.238629	-0.24%	0.2314	-3.26%	0.0140	✓	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.246	0.24544	-0.23%	0.2392	-2.76%	0.0015	✓	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.2461	0.245584	-0.21%	0.246	-0.04%	0.0071	✓	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.2516	0.251101	-0.20%	0.2461	-2.19%	0.0001	✓	1.08
2026-03-17	oos	0.2653	0.264627	-0.25%	0.2516	-5.16%	0.0108	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.2696	0.268684	-0.34%	0.2653	-1.59%	0.0011	✓	1.08
2026-03-15	oos	0.2569	0.256288	-0.24%	0.2696	+4.94%	0.0209	✗	1.07
2026-03-14	oos	0.2504	0.249894	-0.20%	0.2569	+2.60%	0.0038	✗	1.07
2026-03-13	oos	0.25565	0.255021	-0.25%	0.2504	-2.05%	0.0227	✓	1.08
2026-03-12	oos	0.2558	0.255186	-0.24%	0.25565	-0.06%	0.0045	✓	1.08
2026-03-11	oos	0.2556	0.25499	-0.24%	0.2558	+0.08%	0.0018	✓	1.08
2026-03-10	oos	0.2589	0.258161	-0.29%	0.2556	-1.27%	0.0138	✓	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.2531	0.252378	-0.29%	0.2589	+2.29%	0.0016	✓	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.2503	0.249593	-0.28%	0.2531	+1.12%	0.0266	✓	1.11
2026-03-07	oos	0.2566	0.255897	-0.27%	0.2503	-2.46%	0.0007	✓	1.11
2026-03-06	oos	0.2605	0.259788	-0.27%	0.2566	-1.50%	0.0015	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.2645	0.263773	-0.28%	0.2605	-1.51%	0.0321	✗	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.2692	0.268295	-0.34%	0.2645	-1.75%	0.0139	✗	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.256	0.255274	-0.28%	0.2692	+5.16%	0.0175	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.2564	0.255678	-0.28%	0.256	-0.16%	0.0096	✗	1.15
2026-03-01	oos	0.2525	0.251792	-0.28%	0.2564	+1.54%	0.0360	✓	1.19
2026-02-28	oos	0.2615	0.260617	-0.34%	0.2525	-3.44%	0.0099	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.2596	0.258709	-0.34%	0.2615	+0.73%	0.0094	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.2612	0.260257	-0.36%	0.2596	-0.61%	0.0272	✗	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.265	0.263596	-0.53%	0.2612	-1.43%	0.0001	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.2369	0.236201	-0.30%	0.265	+11.86%	0.0449	✗	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.2363	0.235684	-0.26%	0.2369	+0.25%	0.0152	✗	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.2443	0.243677	-0.26%	0.2363	-3.27%	0.0224	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.254	0.253235	-0.30%	0.2443	-3.82%	0.0301	✓	1.18
2026-02-20	oos	0.2561	0.25525	-0.33%	0.254	-0.82%	0.0044	✓	1.17
2026-02-19	oos	0.2501	0.249391	-0.28%	0.2561	+2.40%	0.0091	✗	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.25275	0.252036	-0.28%	0.2501	-1.05%	0.0175	✓	1.18
2026-02-17	oos	0.2607	0.259871	-0.32%	0.25275	-3.05%	0.0097	✓	1.16
2026-02-16	oos	0.2673	0.26635	-0.36%	0.2607	-2.47%	0.0022	✓	1.16
2026-02-15	oos	0.2667	0.265777	-0.35%	0.2673	+0.22%	0.0046	✗	1.16
2026-02-14	oos	0.2771	0.275892	-0.44%	0.2667	-3.75%	0.0173	✓	1.16
2026-02-13	oos	0.2697	0.268546	-0.43%	0.2771	+2.74%	0.0151	✗	1.16
2026-02-12	oos	0.2619	0.260876	-0.39%	0.2697	+2.98%	0.0117	✓	1.17
2026-02-11	oos	0.2551	0.254254	-0.33%	0.2619	+2.67%	0.0440	✗	1.17
2026-02-10	oos	0.2531	0.252447	-0.26%	0.2551	+0.79%	0.0416	✗	1.19
2026-02-09	oos	0.2634	0.262586	-0.31%	0.2531	-3.91%	0.0146	✓	1.18
2026-02-08	oos	0.2689	0.267864	-0.39%	0.2634	-2.05%	0.0138	✓	1.19
2026-02-07	oos	0.2678	0.26692	-0.33%	0.2689	+0.41%	0.0103	✓	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.278	0.27649	-0.54%	0.2678	-3.67%	0.0100	✓	1.20
2026-02-05	oos	0.2489	0.248643	-0.10%	0.278	+11.69%	0.0339	✓	1.25
2026-02-04	oos	0.2779	0.276751	-0.41%	0.2489	-10.44%	0.1334	✗	1.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.3082	0.304909	-1.07%	0.2779	-9.83%	0.0374	✓	1.55
2026-02-02	oos	0.2895	0.287365	-0.74%	0.3082	+6.46%	0.1337	✗	1.64
2026-02-01	oos	0.25485	0.254196	-0.26%	0.2895	+13.60%	0.0948	✗	1.55
2026-01-31	oos	0.2615	0.260757	-0.28%	0.25485	-2.54%	0.0134	✗	1.61
2026-01-30	oos	0.2892	0.287641	-0.54%	0.2615	-9.58%	0.0135	✗	1.62
2026-01-29	oos	0.2864	0.285134	-0.44%	0.2892	+0.98%	0.0219	✗	1.62
2026-01-28	oos	0.2999	0.298341	-0.52%	0.2864	-4.50%	0.0491	✗	1.68
2026-01-27	oos	0.3001	0.298576	-0.51%	0.2999	-0.07%	0.0036	✓	1.70
2026-01-26	oos	0.2978	0.296298	-0.50%	0.3001	+0.77%	0.0036	✓	1.68
2026-01-25	oos	0.2823	0.281532	-0.27%	0.2978	+5.49%	0.0240	✗	1.67
2026-01-24	oos	0.3024	0.301287	-0.37%	0.2823	-6.65%	0.0176	✓	1.65
2026-01-23	oos	0.3096	0.308259	-0.43%	0.3024	-2.33%	0.0119	✓	1.66
2026-01-22	oos	0.3143	0.312598	-0.54%	0.3096	-1.50%	0.0098	✓	1.66
2026-01-21	oos	0.3148	0.313179	-0.51%	0.3143	-0.16%	0.0017	✓	1.66
2026-01-20	oos	0.30075	0.299814	-0.31%	0.3148	+4.67%	0.0293	✗	1.64
2026-01-19	oos	0.3232	0.321894	-0.40%	0.30075	-6.95%	0.0097	✗	1.65
2026-01-18	oos	0.3426	0.340995	-0.47%	0.3232	-5.66%	0.0347	✓	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	0.3621	0.360188	-0.53%	0.3426	-5.39%	0.0247	✓	1.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.3721	0.369852	-0.60%	0.3621	-2.69%	0.0145	✓	1.63
2026-01-15	oos	0.3664	0.364566	-0.50%	0.3721	+1.56%	0.0219	✗	1.62
2026-01-14	oos	0.38445	0.382109	-0.61%	0.3664	-4.70%	0.0190	✓	1.62
2026-01-13	oos	0.3951	0.39206	-0.77%	0.38445	-2.70%	0.0465	✓	1.65
2026-01-12	oos	0.37705	0.374422	-0.70%	0.3951	+4.79%	0.0220	✓	1.68
2026-01-11	oos	0.3827	0.38019	-0.66%	0.37705	-1.48%	0.0142	✓	1.69
2026-01-10	oos	0.3862	0.382608	-0.93%	0.3827	-0.91%	0.0091	✓	1.70
2026-01-09	oos	0.3733	0.370023	-0.88%	0.3862	+3.46%	0.0455	✗	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.354	0.351786	-0.63%	0.3733	+5.45%	0.0691	✗	1.72
2026-01-07	oos	0.3476	0.345712	-0.54%	0.354	+1.84%	0.0294	✗	2.06
2026-01-06	oos	0.3722	0.369194	-0.81%	0.3476	-6.61%	0.0061	✓	2.05
2026-01-05	oos	0.3755	0.371222	-1.14%	0.3722	-0.88%	0.0059	✓	2.05
2026-01-04	oos	0.3558	0.35116	-1.30%	0.3755	+5.54%	0.0145	✗	2.05
2026-01-03	oos	0.3022	0.300023	-0.72%	0.3558	+17.74%	0.1507	✗	2.01
2026-01-02	oos	0.276	0.274867	-0.41%	0.3022	+9.49%	0.0807	✗	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.2632	0.262164	-0.39%	0.276	+4.86%	0.0245	✗	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.24385	0.243233	-0.25%	0.2632	+7.94%	0.0516	✗	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.2535	0.252918	-0.23%	0.24385	-3.81%	0.0167	✓	1.94
2025-12-29	oos	0.2547	0.254065	-0.25%	0.2535	-0.47%	0.0306	✓	1.93
2025-12-28	oos	0.2646	0.263823	-0.29%	0.2547	-3.74%	0.0183	✓	1.93
2025-12-27	oos	0.2656	0.264671	-0.35%	0.2646	-0.38%	0.0018	✓	1.91
2025-12-26	oos	0.25095	0.250312	-0.25%	0.2656	+5.84%	0.0482	✗	1.89
2025-12-25	oos	0.2443	0.243784	-0.21%	0.25095	+2.72%	0.0263	✗	1.89
2025-12-24	oos	0.2488	0.248205	-0.24%	0.2443	-1.81%	0.0064	✓	1.89
2025-12-23	oos	0.2436	0.243107	-0.20%	0.2488	+2.13%	0.0193	✗	1.87
2025-12-22	oos	0.2477	0.247206	-0.20%	0.2436	-1.66%	0.0092	✗	1.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.24925	0.248773	-0.19%	0.2477	-0.62%	0.0026	✓	1.86
2025-12-20	oos	0.2561	0.255504	-0.23%	0.24925	-2.67%	0.0315	✓	1.88
2025-12-19	oos	0.2542	0.253507	-0.27%	0.2561	+0.75%	0.0053	✗	1.88
2025-12-18	oos	0.24065	0.240251	-0.17%	0.2542	+5.63%	0.0004	✓	1.87
2025-12-17	oos	0.2509	0.250413	-0.19%	0.24065	-4.09%	0.0234	✓	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.2637	0.263122	-0.22%	0.2509	-4.85%	0.0121	✓	1.88
2025-12-15	oos	0.2638	0.263203	-0.23%	0.2637	-0.04%	0.0293	✓	1.89
2025-12-14	oos	0.2785	0.277823	-0.24%	0.2638	-5.28%	0.0139	✓	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.2891	0.288403	-0.24%	0.2785	-3.67%	0.0091	✗	1.89
2025-12-12	oos	0.2881	0.287511	-0.20%	0.2891	+0.35%	0.0060	✗	1.89
2025-12-11	oos	0.2974	0.296768	-0.21%	0.2881	-3.13%	0.0174	✗	1.90
2025-12-10	oos	0.30685	0.306046	-0.26%	0.2974	-3.08%	0.0391	✓	1.91
2025-12-09	oos	0.3159	0.314669	-0.39%	0.30685	-2.86%	0.0116	✓	1.91
2025-12-08	oos	0.3006	0.29964	-0.32%	0.3159	+5.09%	0.0107	✗	1.90
2025-12-07	oos	0.2932	0.29253	-0.23%	0.3006	+2.52%	0.0219	✗	1.89
2025-12-06	oos	0.2967	0.29599	-0.24%	0.2932	-1.18%	0.0336	✓	1.91
2025-12-05	oos	0.2922	0.291605	-0.20%	0.2967	+1.54%	0.0190	✗	1.91
2025-12-04	oos	0.3079	0.307179	-0.23%	0.2922	-5.10%	0.0080	✗	1.91
2025-12-03	oos	0.3205	0.319573	-0.29%	0.3079	-3.93%	0.0092	✓	1.91
2025-12-02	oos	0.308	0.307147	-0.28%	0.3205	+4.06%	0.0019	✓	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.2824	0.28192	-0.17%	0.308	+9.07%	0.0216	✓	1.94
2025-11-30	oos	0.30755	0.306904	-0.21%	0.2824	-8.18%	0.0071	✗	1.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.3129	0.312225	-0.22%	0.30755	-1.71%	0.0053	✓	1.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.3171	0.316401	-0.22%	0.3129	-1.32%	0.0095	✓	1.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.32335	0.322567	-0.24%	0.3171	-1.93%	0.0083	✓	1.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.3224	0.321596	-0.25%	0.32335	+0.29%	0.0125	✓	1.92
2025-11-25	oos	0.3193	0.318484	-0.26%	0.3224	+0.97%	0.0579	✓	1.98
2025-11-24	oos	0.321	0.320048	-0.30%	0.3193	-0.53%	0.0189	✗	1.99
2025-11-23	oos	0.3078	0.307177	-0.20%	0.321	+4.29%	0.0110	✗	1.98
2025-11-22	oos	0.3075	0.306956	-0.18%	0.3078	+0.10%	0.0477	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.3121	0.311534	-0.18%	0.3075	-1.47%	0.0038	✓	2.03
2025-11-20	oos	0.3277	0.326929	-0.24%	0.3121	-4.76%	0.0118	✓	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.342	0.340973	-0.30%	0.3277	-4.18%	0.0782	✗	2.13
2025-11-18	oos	0.3463	0.345199	-0.32%	0.342	-1.24%	0.0244	✗	2.14
2025-11-17	oos	0.3375	0.336718	-0.23%	0.3463	+2.61%	0.0092	✗	2.14
2025-11-16	oos	0.3473	0.346504	-0.23%	0.3375	-2.82%	0.0217	✗	2.15
2025-11-15	oos	0.3604	0.359428	-0.27%	0.3473	-3.63%	0.0035	✓	2.15
2025-11-14	oos	0.3595	0.358712	-0.22%	0.3604	+0.25%	0.0189	✓	2.16
2025-11-13	oos	0.38295	0.382058	-0.23%	0.3595	-6.12%	0.0570	✗	2.24
2025-11-12	oos	0.40275	0.40168	-0.27%	0.38295	-4.92%	0.0028	✓	2.23
2025-11-11	oos	0.4116	0.41035	-0.30%	0.40275	-2.15%	0.0114	✗	2.25
2025-11-10	oos	0.4293	0.427664	-0.38%	0.4116	-4.12%	0.0261	✗	2.27
2025-11-09	oos	0.422	0.420049	-0.46%	0.4293	+1.73%	0.0060	✓	2.28
2025-11-08	oos	0.4026	0.401086	-0.38%	0.422	+4.82%	0.0023	✓	2.28
2025-11-07	oos	0.4112	0.408691	-0.61%	0.4026	-2.09%	0.0069	✗	2.25
2025-11-06	oos	0.3523	0.351572	-0.21%	0.4112	+16.72%	0.1141	✗	2.18
2025-11-05	oos	0.3613	0.360506	-0.22%	0.3523	-2.49%	0.0324	✗	2.20
2025-11-04	oos	0.3551	0.354489	-0.17%	0.3613	+1.75%	0.0334	✓	2.24
2025-11-03	oos	0.3715	0.371029	-0.13%	0.3551	-4.41%	0.0708	✗	2.34
2025-11-02	oos	0.4251	0.424015	-0.26%	0.3715	-12.61%	0.0481	✓	2.30
2025-11-01	oos	0.4243	0.423255	-0.25%	0.4251	+0.19%	0.0058	✓	2.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.4127	0.411881	-0.20%	0.4243	+2.81%	0.0193	✗	2.30
2025-10-30	oos	0.4062	0.405549	-0.16%	0.4127	+1.60%	0.0089	✓	2.30
2025-10-29	oos	0.44075	0.439683	-0.24%	0.4062	-7.84%	0.0434	✓	2.27
2025-10-28	oos	0.4417	0.44075	-0.22%	0.44075	-0.22%	0.0601	✗	2.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.458	0.456724	-0.28%	0.4417	-3.56%	0.0093	✓	2.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.4691	0.467468	-0.35%	0.458	-2.37%	0.0111	✓	2.33
2025-10-25	oos	0.4467	0.445425	-0.29%	0.4691	+5.01%	0.0081	✓	2.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.44955	0.448067	-0.33%	0.4467	-0.63%	0.0163	✓	2.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.4321	0.430843	-0.29%	0.44955	+4.04%	0.0227	✗	2.36
2025-10-22	oos	0.4216	0.420557	-0.25%	0.4321	+2.49%	0.0281	✓	2.37
2025-10-21	oos	0.4273	0.426228	-0.25%	0.4216	-1.33%	0.0062	✗	2.37
2025-10-20	oos	0.4426	0.44108	-0.34%	0.4273	-3.46%	0.0170	✗	2.42
2025-10-19	oos	0.4367	0.434876	-0.42%	0.4426	+1.35%	0.0240	✓	2.41
2025-10-18	oos	0.4218	0.420886	-0.22%	0.4367	+3.53%	0.0041	✗	2.41
2025-10-17	oos	0.42245	0.421388	-0.25%	0.4218	-0.15%	0.0158	✓	2.41
2025-10-16	oos	0.4364	0.435455	-0.22%	0.42245	-3.20%	0.0087	✗	2.41
2025-10-15	oos	0.4554	0.454411	-0.22%	0.4364	-4.17%	0.0172	✗	2.42
2025-10-14	oos	0.4704	0.469216	-0.25%	0.4554	-3.19%	0.0196	✗	2.45
2025-10-13	oos	0.48935	0.487515	-0.38%	0.4704	-3.87%	0.0116	✗	2.45
2025-10-12	oos	0.4605	0.459579	-0.20%	0.48935	+6.26%	0.0585	✗	2.40
2025-10-11	oos	0.422	0.421931	-0.02%	0.4605	+9.12%	0.0040	✓	2.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.4292	0.429282	+0.02%	0.422	-1.68%	0.0314	✓	2.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.5939	0.592005	-0.32%	0.4292	-27.73%	0.1762	✓	1.95
2025-10-08	oos	0.61245	0.610044	-0.39%	0.5939	-3.03%	0.0011	✓	1.94
2025-10-07	oos	0.5965	0.593314	-0.53%	0.61245	+2.67%	0.0010	✓	1.93
2025-10-06	oos	0.6297	0.627063	-0.42%	0.5965	-5.27%	0.0025	✓	1.94
2025-10-05	oos	0.5985	0.596558	-0.32%	0.6297	+5.21%	0.0354	✗	1.93
2025-10-04	oos	0.6028	0.60094	-0.31%	0.5985	-0.71%	0.0208	✓	1.93
2025-10-03	oos	0.62005	0.617792	-0.36%	0.6028	-2.78%	0.0268	✓	1.94
2025-10-02	oos	0.6237	0.621192	-0.40%	0.62005	-0.59%	0.0291	✓	1.95
2025-10-01	oos	0.6052	0.602741	-0.41%	0.6237	+3.06%	0.0018	✓	1.97
2025-09-30	oos	0.572	0.570367	-0.29%	0.6052	+5.80%	0.0199	✓	2.01
2025-09-29	oos	0.58455	0.582679	-0.32%	0.572	-2.15%	0.0132	✓	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.585	0.5829	-0.36%	0.58455	-0.08%	0.0368	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.57445	0.572559	-0.33%	0.585	+1.84%	0.0264	✓	2.11
2025-09-26	oos	0.5796	0.577509	-0.36%	0.57445	-0.89%	0.0050	✓	2.12
2025-09-25	oos	0.5648	0.56277	-0.36%	0.5796	+2.62%	0.0167	✗	2.12
2025-09-24	oos	0.59475	0.592681	-0.35%	0.5648	-5.04%	0.0365	✗	2.18
2025-09-23	oos	0.59685	0.594864	-0.33%	0.59475	-0.35%	0.0262	✓	2.20
2025-09-22	oos	0.60435	0.602309	-0.34%	0.59685	-1.24%	0.0050	✗	2.20
2025-09-21	oos	0.6457	0.643294	-0.37%	0.60435	-6.40%	0.0135	✓	2.19
2025-09-20	oos	0.6585	0.656026	-0.38%	0.6457	-1.94%	0.0068	✓	2.23
2025-09-19	oos	0.65575	0.653463	-0.35%	0.6585	+0.42%	0.0065	✗	2.24
2025-09-18	oos	0.6902	0.687162	-0.44%	0.65575	-4.99%	0.0193	✓	2.24

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.