STX

Stacks · native · beta_5y

token id: #65
symbol: STX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-01-20
predictions: 5,169

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

51.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1905

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0282

actual +0.0276

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.3669	0.340925	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-21	oos	0.35975	0.333571	-7.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.35575	0.331938	-6.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.3583	0.334145	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-18	oos	0.35505	0.331761	-6.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.3681	0.342838	-6.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.3924	0.362611	-7.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.43015	0.391658	-8.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.4238	0.384175	-9.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.4344	0.392016	-9.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-12	oos	0.4101	0.369576	-9.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-11	oos	0.3984	0.360252	-9.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.40105	0.362129	-9.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.39515	0.356154	-9.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.38165	0.34363	-9.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.37065	0.33331	-10.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-06	oos	0.3845	0.344859	-10.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-05	oos	0.37935	0.340649	-10.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-04	oos	0.38935	0.349348	-10.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	0.3843	0.344338	-10.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-02	oos	0.3678	0.32952	-10.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.37365	0.332644	-10.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-09-30	oos	0.37085	0.325982	-12.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-09-29	oos	0.3168	0.281626	-11.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-09-28	oos	0.3139	0.27856	-11.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-09-27	oos	0.3385	0.299238	-11.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.3427	0.302648	-11.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.32625	0.288901	-11.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.3134	0.278454	-11.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.3081	0.274175	-11.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-09-22	oos	0.33585	0.298963	-10.98%	0.3669	+9.25%	0.2382	✗	1.44
2026-09-21	oos	0.3414	0.305256	-10.59%	0.35975	+5.37%	0.2302	✗	1.43
2026-09-20	oos	0.33615	0.297629	-11.46%	0.35575	+5.83%	0.1445	✗	1.56
2026-09-19	oos	0.3152	0.279985	-11.17%	0.3583	+13.67%	0.2350	✗	1.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.2841	0.254589	-10.39%	0.35505	+24.97%	0.3108	✗	1.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.2511	0.226763	-9.69%	0.3681	+46.59%	0.3878	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.24255	0.220396	-9.13%	0.3924	+61.78%	0.4746	✗	1.51
2026-09-15	oos	0.2348	0.214645	-8.58%	0.43015	+83.20%	0.5710	✗	1.50
2026-09-14	oos	0.2637	0.238654	-9.50%	0.4238	+60.71%	0.5141	✗	1.42
2026-09-13	oos	0.26525	0.239845	-9.58%	0.4344	+63.77%	0.4812	✗	1.43
2026-09-12	oos	0.26815	0.242801	-9.45%	0.4101	+52.94%	0.4439	✗	1.42
2026-09-11	oos	0.25275	0.231461	-8.42%	0.3984	+57.63%	0.4271	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.25315	0.232206	-8.27%	0.40105	+58.42%	0.4307	✗	1.45
2026-09-09	oos	0.27385	0.252328	-7.86%	0.39515	+44.29%	0.3737	✗	1.41
2026-09-08	oos	0.2715	0.251604	-7.33%	0.38165	+40.57%	0.3594	✗	1.41
2026-09-07	oos	0.2772	0.259858	-6.26%	0.37065	+33.71%	0.2822	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.2692	0.254401	-5.50%	0.3845	+42.83%	0.3231	✗	1.43
2026-09-05	oos	0.2693	0.255095	-5.27%	0.37935	+40.87%	0.2941	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.2646	0.253303	-4.27%	0.38935	+47.15%	0.3132	✗	1.42
2026-09-03	oos	0.2749	0.265711	-3.34%	0.3843	+39.80%	0.3101	✗	1.41
2026-09-02	oos	0.2611	0.249171	-4.57%	0.3678	+40.87%	0.2591	✗	1.46
2026-09-01	oos	0.2553	0.245884	-3.69%	0.37365	+46.36%	0.2824	✗	1.48
2026-08-31	oos	0.2511	0.243744	-2.93%	0.37085	+47.69%	0.3310	✗	1.44
2026-08-30	oos	0.2343	0.228859	-2.32%	0.3168	+35.21%	0.2197	✗	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.2434	0.237225	-2.54%	0.3139	+28.96%	0.1895	✗	1.40
2026-08-28	oos	0.2603	0.251057	-3.55%	0.3385	+30.04%	0.1839	✗	1.41
2026-08-27	oos	0.2572	0.24938	-3.04%	0.3427	+33.24%	0.2449	✗	1.45
2026-08-26	oos	0.2688	0.255471	-4.96%	0.32625	+21.37%	0.1529	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.2634	0.248101	-5.81%	0.3134	+18.98%	0.1280	✗	1.47
2026-08-24	oos	0.231	0.222932	-3.49%	0.3081	+33.38%	0.2247	✗	1.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.234	0.222856	-4.76%	0.33585	+43.53%	0.2545	✗	1.51
2026-08-22	oos	0.2193	0.210488	-4.02%	0.3414	+55.68%	0.3091	✗	1.49
2026-08-21	oos	0.1898	0.190987	+0.63%	0.33615	+77.11%	0.5098	✓	1.56
2026-08-20	oos	0.1461	0.152532	+4.40%	0.3152	+115.74%	0.5915	✓	1.26
2026-08-19	oos	0.1284	0.130759	+1.84%	0.2841	+121.26%	0.5981	✓	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.11995	0.118215	-1.45%	0.2511	+109.34%	0.5595	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.1209	0.11839	-2.08%	0.24255	+100.62%	0.5206	✗	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.1222	0.118719	-2.85%	0.2348	+92.14%	0.4569	✗	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.12165	0.118339	-2.72%	0.2637	+116.77%	0.5395	✗	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.1222	0.11926	-2.41%	0.26525	+117.06%	0.5582	✗	1.22
2026-08-13	oos	0.1245	0.121644	-2.29%	0.26815	+115.38%	0.5489	✗	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.1229	0.120449	-1.99%	0.25275	+105.66%	0.4950	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.1276	0.124728	-2.25%	0.25315	+98.39%	0.4774	✗	1.24
2026-08-10	oos	0.1309	0.127629	-2.50%	0.27385	+109.21%	0.5135	✗	1.23
2026-08-09	oos	0.1298	0.126622	-2.45%	0.2715	+109.17%	0.5274	✗	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.1326	0.129204	-2.56%	0.2772	+109.05%	0.5193	✗	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.1292	0.12632	-2.23%	0.2692	+108.36%	0.4942	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.1301	0.126982	-2.40%	0.2693	+106.99%	0.4844	✗	1.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.1338	0.130433	-2.52%	0.2646	+97.76%	0.4473	✗	1.24
2026-08-04	oos	0.1347	0.131028	-2.73%	0.2749	+104.08%	0.4480	✗	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.1386	0.133901	-3.39%	0.2611	+88.38%	0.4228	✗	1.24
2026-08-02	oos	0.1391	0.134168	-3.55%	0.2553	+83.54%	0.3859	✗	1.30
2026-08-01	oos	0.1393	0.134328	-3.57%	0.2511	+80.26%	0.3351	✗	1.29
2026-07-31	oos	0.1375	0.133171	-3.15%	0.2343	+70.40%	0.2908	✗	1.29
2026-07-30	oos	0.14015	0.137114	-2.17%	0.2434	+73.67%	0.3243	✗	1.32
2026-07-29	oos	0.1348	0.132703	-1.56%	0.2603	+93.10%	0.4199	✗	1.29
2026-07-28	oos	0.13795	0.136513	-1.04%	0.2572	+86.44%	0.3395	✗	1.28
2026-07-27	oos	0.1342	0.133131	-0.80%	0.2688	+100.30%	0.4266	✗	1.28
2026-07-26	oos	0.1469	0.147515	+0.42%	0.2634	+79.31%	0.3533	✓	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.1368	0.137513	+0.52%	0.231	+68.86%	0.2723	✓	1.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.1449	0.145801	+0.62%	0.234	+61.49%	0.2393	✓	1.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.16445	0.164225	-0.14%	0.2193	+33.35%	0.0921	✗	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1693	0.170046	+0.44%	0.1898	+12.11%	0.0862	✗	1.15
2026-07-21	oos	0.1674	0.168667	+0.76%	0.1461	-12.72%	0.2515	✗	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1655	0.165946	+0.27%	0.1284	-22.42%	0.3264	✗	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1637	0.163948	+0.15%	0.11995	-26.73%	0.3125	✗	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.16525	0.165769	+0.31%	0.1209	-26.84%	0.3100	✗	1.14
2026-07-17	oos	0.1646	0.165013	+0.25%	0.1222	-25.76%	0.2810	✗	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.1671	0.167177	+0.05%	0.12165	-27.20%	0.3040	✗	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.1684	0.169156	+0.45%	0.1222	-27.43%	0.2939	✗	1.15
2026-07-14	oos	0.16875	0.169642	+0.53%	0.1245	-26.22%	0.2813	✗	1.15
2026-07-13	oos	0.166	0.165386	-0.37%	0.1229	-25.96%	0.3192	✓	1.22
2026-07-12	oos	0.16895	0.169017	+0.04%	0.1276	-24.47%	0.2771	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.1718	0.171093	-0.41%	0.1309	-23.81%	0.2705	✓	1.25
2026-07-10	oos	0.1717	0.170796	-0.53%	0.1298	-24.40%	0.2883	✓	1.24
2026-07-09	oos	0.169	0.168014	-0.58%	0.1326	-21.54%	0.2703	✓	1.24
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.16567	-0.74%	0.1292	-22.59%	0.3003	✓	1.24
2026-07-07	oos	0.1647	0.164298	-0.24%	0.1301	-21.01%	0.2519	✓	1.25
2026-07-06	oos	0.171	0.170417	-0.34%	0.1338	-21.75%	0.2536	✓	1.25
2026-07-05	oos	0.1726	0.171365	-0.72%	0.1347	-21.96%	0.2498	✓	1.24
2026-07-04	oos	0.1731	0.171856	-0.72%	0.1386	-19.93%	0.2225	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.1736	0.171443	-1.24%	0.1391	-19.87%	0.2281	✓	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.1664	0.164779	-0.97%	0.1393	-16.29%	0.1929	✓	1.21
2026-07-01	oos	0.1652	0.163119	-1.26%	0.1375	-16.77%	0.2281	✓	1.23
2026-06-30	oos	0.1608	0.158453	-1.46%	0.14015	-12.84%	0.2474	✓	1.24
2026-06-29	oos	0.1666	0.164516	-1.25%	0.1348	-19.09%	0.2738	✓	1.24
2026-06-28	oos	0.1651	0.163263	-1.11%	0.13795	-16.44%	0.2564	✓	1.24
2026-06-27	oos	0.1675	0.166119	-0.82%	0.1342	-19.88%	0.2890	✓	1.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.1696	0.168519	-0.64%	0.1469	-13.38%	0.2435	✓	1.25
2026-06-25	oos	0.1643	0.163902	-0.24%	0.1368	-16.74%	0.2727	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.1719	0.171019	-0.51%	0.1449	-15.71%	0.2263	✓	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.1774	0.176042	-0.77%	0.16445	-7.30%	0.1138	✓	1.21
2026-06-22	oos	0.1796	0.177674	-1.07%	0.1693	-5.73%	0.0882	✓	1.21
2026-06-21	oos	0.1771	0.174928	-1.23%	0.1674	-5.48%	0.1054	✓	1.21
2026-06-20	oos	0.1835	0.180472	-1.65%	0.1655	-9.81%	0.1051	✓	1.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.1808	0.17797	-1.57%	0.1637	-9.46%	0.1064	✓	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1843	0.180861	-1.87%	0.16525	-10.34%	0.1269	✓	1.22
2026-06-17	oos	0.1901	0.185829	-2.25%	0.1646	-13.41%	0.1108	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.193	0.188243	-2.46%	0.1671	-13.42%	0.0843	✓	1.22
2026-06-15	oos	0.1936	0.188508	-2.63%	0.1684	-13.02%	0.0835	✓	1.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.1951	0.1891	-3.08%	0.16875	-13.51%	0.1003	✓	1.23
2026-06-13	oos	0.1847	0.179874	-2.61%	0.166	-10.12%	0.0383	✓	1.23
2026-06-12	oos	0.17915	0.1751	-2.26%	0.16895	-5.69%	0.0396	✓	1.22
2026-06-11	oos	0.1834	0.178395	-2.73%	0.1718	-6.32%	0.0417	✓	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.1751	0.171462	-2.08%	0.1717	-1.94%	0.0503	✓	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.18185	0.17699	-2.67%	0.169	-7.07%	0.0750	✓	1.21
2026-06-08	oos	0.1853	0.179354	-3.21%	0.1669	-9.93%	0.0560	✓	1.21
2026-06-07	oos	0.1875	0.180905	-3.52%	0.1647	-12.16%	0.0942	✓	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.1802	0.175117	-2.82%	0.171	-5.11%	0.0836	✓	1.19
2026-06-05	oos	0.1759	0.17155	-2.47%	0.1726	-1.88%	0.0425	✓	1.19
2026-06-04	oos	0.1913	0.183757	-3.94%	0.1731	-9.51%	0.0467	✓	1.15
2026-06-03	oos	0.2105	0.19976	-5.10%	0.1736	-17.53%	0.1137	✓	1.11
2026-06-02	oos	0.2124	0.201903	-4.94%	0.1664	-21.66%	0.1011	✓	1.14
2026-06-01	oos	0.234	0.22112	-5.50%	0.1652	-29.40%	0.1051	✓	1.08
2026-05-31	oos	0.2396	0.226162	-5.61%	0.1608	-32.89%	0.0930	✓	1.08
2026-05-30	oos	0.2355	0.223023	-5.30%	0.1666	-29.26%	0.0782	✓	1.05
2026-05-29	oos	0.2345	0.222273	-5.21%	0.1651	-29.59%	0.0761	✓	1.05
2026-05-28	oos	0.2335	0.221278	-5.23%	0.1675	-28.27%	0.0637	✓	1.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.233	0.221086	-5.11%	0.1696	-27.21%	0.0423	✓	1.04
2026-05-26	oos	0.2425	0.229603	-5.32%	0.1643	-32.25%	0.0877	✓	1.03
2026-05-25	oos	0.2476	0.23431	-5.37%	0.1719	-30.57%	0.0475	✓	1.11
2026-05-24	oos	0.244	0.231009	-5.32%	0.1774	-27.30%	0.0364	✓	1.10
2026-05-23	oos	0.2479	0.233973	-5.62%	0.1796	-27.55%	0.0678	✓	1.09
2026-05-22	oos	0.2406	0.227422	-5.48%	0.1771	-26.39%	0.0585	✓	1.09
2026-05-21	oos	0.2509	0.23698	-5.55%	0.1835	-26.86%	0.0524	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	0.2419	0.229639	-5.07%	0.1808	-25.26%	0.0234	✓	1.08
2026-05-19	oos	0.2334	0.22263	-4.61%	0.1843	-21.04%	0.0255	✓	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.2381	0.227308	-4.53%	0.1901	-20.16%	0.0123	✓	1.08
2026-05-17	oos	0.2338	0.224048	-4.17%	0.193	-17.45%	0.0298	✓	1.08
2026-05-16	oos	0.238	0.228922	-3.81%	0.1936	-18.66%	0.0100	✓	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.2496	0.239966	-3.86%	0.1951	-21.83%	0.0074	✓	1.08
2026-05-14	oos	0.2681	0.2584	-3.62%	0.1847	-31.11%	0.0931	✓	1.06
2026-05-13	oos	0.2663	0.254794	-4.32%	0.17915	-32.73%	0.1186	✓	1.06
2026-05-12	oos	0.2703	0.259309	-4.07%	0.1834	-32.15%	0.1003	✓	1.04
2026-05-11	oos	0.2713	0.261657	-3.55%	0.1751	-35.46%	0.1097	✓	1.02
2026-05-10	oos	0.2684	0.260347	-3.00%	0.18185	-32.25%	0.0613	✓	1.04
2026-05-09	oos	0.2645	0.255105	-3.55%	0.1853	-29.94%	0.0640	✓	1.04
2026-05-08	oos	0.2656	0.255574	-3.77%	0.1875	-29.41%	0.0645	✓	1.04
2026-05-07	oos	0.25205	0.245191	-2.72%	0.1802	-28.51%	0.0224	✓	1.04
2026-05-06	oos	0.2516	0.247224	-1.74%	0.1759	-30.09%	0.0417	✓	1.04
2026-05-05	oos	0.2531	0.246423	-2.64%	0.1913	-24.42%	0.0292	✓	0.94
2026-05-04	oos	0.2234	0.220552	-1.27%	0.2105	-5.77%	0.1643	✗	0.96
2026-05-03	oos	0.2239	0.21908	-2.15%	0.2124	-5.14%	0.1184	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.2266	0.222581	-1.77%	0.234	+3.27%	0.1424	✗	0.94
2026-05-01	oos	0.2227	0.218794	-1.75%	0.2396	+7.59%	0.1485	✗	0.94
2026-04-30	oos	0.22055	0.214404	-2.79%	0.2355	+6.78%	0.1266	✗	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.22185	0.216192	-2.55%	0.2345	+5.70%	0.1123	✗	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.22455	0.220103	-1.98%	0.2335	+3.99%	0.0953	✗	0.97
2026-04-27	oos	0.2268	0.225596	-0.53%	0.233	+2.73%	0.0711	✗	0.97
2026-04-26	oos	0.2317	0.23253	+0.36%	0.2425	+4.66%	0.0776	✓	0.97
2026-04-25	oos	0.2275	0.227658	+0.07%	0.2476	+8.84%	0.0890	✓	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.2285	0.229643	+0.50%	0.244	+6.78%	0.0668	✓	0.99
2026-04-23	oos	0.2275	0.230702	+1.41%	0.2479	+8.97%	0.0927	✓	0.99
2026-04-22	oos	0.2262	0.229011	+1.24%	0.2406	+6.37%	0.0849	✓	0.99
2026-04-21	oos	0.2244	0.223293	-0.49%	0.2509	+11.81%	0.1011	✗	0.99
2026-04-20	oos	0.2239	0.221824	-0.93%	0.2419	+8.04%	0.0657	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.2195	0.215689	-1.74%	0.2334	+6.33%	0.0394	✗	1.01
2026-04-18	oos	0.2308	0.228882	-0.83%	0.2381	+3.16%	0.0235	✗	1.01
2026-04-17	oos	0.2416	0.24126	-0.14%	0.2338	-3.23%	0.0355	✓	1.01
2026-04-16	oos	0.24285	0.238856	-1.64%	0.238	-2.00%	0.0427	✓	1.02
2026-04-15	oos	0.2351	0.231269	-1.63%	0.2496	+6.17%	0.0204	✗	1.02
2026-04-14	oos	0.2199	0.216746	-1.43%	0.2681	+21.92%	0.1225	✗	1.01
2026-04-13	oos	0.2279	0.222857	-2.21%	0.2663	+16.85%	0.1148	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.212	0.205578	-3.03%	0.2703	+27.50%	0.1459	✗	0.99
2026-04-11	oos	0.2186	0.213296	-2.43%	0.2713	+24.11%	0.1296	✗	0.99
2026-04-10	oos	0.2231	0.217446	-2.53%	0.2684	+20.30%	0.0927	✗	0.99
2026-04-09	oos	0.2216	0.215338	-2.83%	0.2645	+19.36%	0.0899	✗	0.99
2026-04-08	oos	0.2208	0.214411	-2.89%	0.2656	+20.29%	0.0945	✗	0.99
2026-04-07	oos	0.2272	0.220597	-2.91%	0.25205	+10.94%	0.0275	✓	0.99
2026-04-06	oos	0.2173	0.209471	-3.60%	0.2516	+15.78%	0.0154	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.2136	0.205984	-3.57%	0.2531	+18.49%	0.0469	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.214	0.205718	-3.87%	0.2234	+4.39%	0.0918	✓	1.02
2026-04-03	oos	0.2141	0.205657	-3.94%	0.2239	+4.58%	0.0815	✓	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.21415	0.205719	-3.94%	0.2266	+5.81%	0.0741	✓	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.2239	0.215135	-3.91%	0.2227	-0.54%	0.1115	✓	1.05
2026-03-31	oos	0.2245	0.216253	-3.67%	0.22055	-1.76%	0.0997	✓	1.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.219	0.211698	-3.33%	0.22185	+1.30%	0.0885	✓	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.214	0.207763	-2.91%	0.22455	+4.93%	0.0773	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.2204	0.214659	-2.61%	0.2268	+2.90%	0.1088	✓	1.06
2026-03-27	oos	0.22555	0.220238	-2.36%	0.2317	+2.73%	0.1305	✓	1.06
2026-03-26	oos	0.23395	0.230544	-1.46%	0.2275	-2.76%	0.1431	✓	1.07
2026-03-25	oos	0.2421	0.241444	-0.27%	0.2285	-5.62%	0.1438	✓	1.07
2026-03-24	oos	0.2427	0.241484	-0.50%	0.2275	-6.26%	0.1716	✓	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.2437	0.243161	-0.22%	0.2262	-7.18%	0.1781	✓	1.07
2026-03-22	oos	0.2314	0.228231	-1.37%	0.2244	-3.03%	0.1438	✓	1.07
2026-03-21	oos	0.2392	0.235904	-1.38%	0.2239	-6.40%	0.1552	✓	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.246	0.243958	-0.83%	0.2195	-10.77%	0.1548	✓	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.2461	0.24415	-0.79%	0.2308	-6.22%	0.1417	✓	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.2516	0.250661	-0.37%	0.2416	-3.97%	0.1217	✓	1.08
2026-03-17	oos	0.2653	0.265724	+0.16%	0.24285	-8.46%	0.1077	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.2696	0.270157	+0.21%	0.2351	-12.80%	0.1383	✗	1.08
2026-03-15	oos	0.2569	0.256709	-0.07%	0.2199	-14.40%	0.1744	✓	1.07
2026-03-14	oos	0.2504	0.250007	-0.16%	0.2279	-8.99%	0.1400	✓	1.07
2026-03-13	oos	0.25565	0.254444	-0.47%	0.212	-17.07%	0.1796	✓	1.08
2026-03-12	oos	0.2558	0.253841	-0.77%	0.2186	-14.54%	0.1879	✓	1.08
2026-03-11	oos	0.2556	0.253571	-0.79%	0.2231	-12.72%	0.1703	✓	1.08
2026-03-10	oos	0.2589	0.255918	-1.15%	0.2216	-14.41%	0.1720	✓	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.2531	0.249388	-1.47%	0.2208	-12.76%	0.1630	✓	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.2503	0.245154	-2.06%	0.2272	-9.23%	0.1714	✓	1.11
2026-03-07	oos	0.2566	0.251453	-2.01%	0.2173	-15.32%	0.1719	✓	1.11
2026-03-06	oos	0.2605	0.255579	-1.89%	0.2136	-18.00%	0.1938	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.2645	0.260354	-1.57%	0.214	-19.09%	0.1381	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.2692	0.264712	-1.67%	0.2141	-20.47%	0.1201	✓	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.256	0.250907	-1.99%	0.21415	-16.35%	0.1340	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.2564	0.251472	-1.92%	0.2239	-12.68%	0.1040	✓	1.15
2026-03-01	oos	0.2525	0.246474	-2.39%	0.2245	-11.09%	0.1370	✓	1.19
2026-02-28	oos	0.2615	0.254326	-2.74%	0.219	-16.25%	0.1454	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.2596	0.251937	-2.95%	0.214	-17.57%	0.1650	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.2612	0.253795	-2.84%	0.2204	-15.62%	0.1198	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.265	0.256418	-3.24%	0.22555	-14.89%	0.0986	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.2369	0.230994	-2.49%	0.23395	-1.25%	0.0708	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.2363	0.230723	-2.36%	0.2421	+2.45%	0.0662	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.2443	0.238631	-2.32%	0.2427	-0.65%	0.0326	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.254	0.246546	-2.93%	0.2437	-4.06%	0.0612	✓	1.18
2026-02-20	oos	0.2561	0.248122	-3.12%	0.2314	-9.64%	0.0674	✓	1.17
2026-02-19	oos	0.2501	0.242748	-2.94%	0.2392	-4.36%	0.0480	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.25275	0.244854	-3.12%	0.246	-2.67%	0.0654	✓	1.18
2026-02-17	oos	0.2607	0.251773	-3.42%	0.2461	-5.60%	0.0641	✓	1.16
2026-02-16	oos	0.2673	0.257022	-3.84%	0.2516	-5.87%	0.0608	✓	1.16
2026-02-15	oos	0.2667	0.25613	-3.96%	0.2653	-0.52%	0.0484	✓	1.16
2026-02-14	oos	0.2771	0.263787	-4.80%	0.2696	-2.71%	0.0598	✓	1.16
2026-02-13	oos	0.2697	0.257264	-4.61%	0.2569	-4.75%	0.0671	✓	1.16
2026-02-12	oos	0.2619	0.250219	-4.46%	0.2504	-4.39%	0.0845	✓	1.17
2026-02-11	oos	0.2551	0.244824	-4.03%	0.25565	+0.22%	0.0233	✓	1.17
2026-02-10	oos	0.2531	0.243581	-3.76%	0.2558	+1.07%	0.0195	✓	1.19
2026-02-09	oos	0.2634	0.251945	-4.35%	0.2556	-2.96%	0.0126	✓	1.18
2026-02-08	oos	0.2689	0.255949	-4.82%	0.2589	-3.72%	0.0169	✓	1.19
2026-02-07	oos	0.2678	0.254675	-4.90%	0.2531	-5.49%	0.0079	✓	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.278	0.261234	-6.03%	0.2503	-9.96%	0.0371	✓	1.20
2026-02-05	oos	0.2489	0.240299	-3.46%	0.2566	+3.09%	0.0205	✓	1.25
2026-02-04	oos	0.2779	0.259962	-6.45%	0.2605	-6.26%	0.1123	✗	1.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.3082	0.281337	-8.72%	0.2645	-14.18%	0.0390	✓	1.55
2026-02-02	oos	0.2895	0.26588	-8.16%	0.2692	-7.01%	0.1418	✗	1.64
2026-02-01	oos	0.25485	0.238845	-6.28%	0.256	+0.45%	0.2519	✗	1.55
2026-01-31	oos	0.2615	0.244542	-6.48%	0.2564	-1.95%	0.2620	✗	1.61
2026-01-30	oos	0.2892	0.265874	-8.07%	0.2525	-12.69%	0.3469	✗	1.62
2026-01-29	oos	0.2864	0.26404	-7.81%	0.2615	-8.69%	0.3684	✗	1.62
2026-01-28	oos	0.2999	0.276869	-7.68%	0.2596	-13.44%	0.4443	✗	1.68
2026-01-27	oos	0.3001	0.278544	-7.18%	0.2612	-12.96%	0.4081	✗	1.70
2026-01-26	oos	0.2978	0.277526	-6.81%	0.265	-11.01%	0.3910	✗	1.68
2026-01-25	oos	0.2823	0.265171	-6.07%	0.2369	-16.08%	0.3891	✗	1.67
2026-01-24	oos	0.3024	0.28455	-5.90%	0.2363	-21.86%	0.3449	✗	1.65
2026-01-23	oos	0.3096	0.293138	-5.32%	0.2443	-21.09%	0.2822	✗	1.66
2026-01-22	oos	0.3143	0.296946	-5.52%	0.254	-19.19%	0.2991	✗	1.66
2026-01-21	oos	0.3148	0.296955	-5.67%	0.2561	-18.65%	0.3068	✗	1.66
2026-01-20	oos	0.30075	0.284432	-5.43%	0.2501	-16.84%	0.3261	✗	1.64
2026-01-19	oos	0.3232	0.309035	-4.38%	0.25275	-21.80%	0.3470	✗	1.65
2026-01-18	oos	0.3426	0.326854	-4.60%	0.2607	-23.91%	0.3119	✗	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	0.3621	0.345085	-4.70%	0.2673	-26.18%	0.2686	✗	1.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.3721	0.355255	-4.53%	0.2667	-28.33%	0.2467	✗	1.63
2026-01-15	oos	0.3664	0.350837	-4.25%	0.2771	-24.37%	0.2745	✗	1.62
2026-01-14	oos	0.38445	0.368825	-4.06%	0.2697	-29.85%	0.2411	✗	1.62
2026-01-13	oos	0.3951	0.376215	-4.78%	0.2619	-33.71%	0.2386	✗	1.65
2026-01-12	oos	0.37705	0.356983	-5.32%	0.2551	-32.34%	0.1825	✗	1.68
2026-01-11	oos	0.3827	0.361767	-5.47%	0.2531	-33.86%	0.1135	✗	1.69
2026-01-10	oos	0.3862	0.365028	-5.48%	0.2634	-31.80%	0.1065	✗	1.70
2026-01-09	oos	0.3733	0.353738	-5.24%	0.2689	-27.97%	0.1623	✗	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.354	0.337967	-4.53%	0.2678	-24.35%	0.2386	✗	1.72
2026-01-07	oos	0.3476	0.333335	-4.10%	0.278	-20.02%	0.3493	✗	2.06
2026-01-06	oos	0.3722	0.356337	-4.26%	0.2489	-33.13%	0.4626	✗	2.05
2026-01-05	oos	0.3755	0.35855	-4.51%	0.2779	-25.99%	0.2602	✗	2.05
2026-01-04	oos	0.3558	0.33997	-4.45%	0.3082	-13.38%	0.2909	✗	2.05
2026-01-03	oos	0.3022	0.294586	-2.52%	0.2895	-4.20%	0.2666	✗	2.01
2026-01-02	oos	0.276	0.271621	-1.59%	0.25485	-7.66%	0.2477	✗	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.2632	0.259944	-1.24%	0.2615	-0.65%	0.2441	✗	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.24385	0.242499	-0.55%	0.2892	+18.60%	0.2526	✗	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.2535	0.252036	-0.58%	0.2864	+12.98%	0.2148	✗	1.94
2025-12-29	oos	0.2547	0.252566	-0.84%	0.2999	+17.75%	0.1268	✗	1.93
2025-12-28	oos	0.2646	0.261779	-1.07%	0.3001	+13.42%	0.1096	✗	1.93
2025-12-27	oos	0.2656	0.262633	-1.12%	0.2978	+12.12%	0.1161	✗	1.91
2025-12-26	oos	0.25095	0.249453	-0.60%	0.2823	+12.49%	0.1397	✗	1.89
2025-12-25	oos	0.2443	0.243568	-0.30%	0.3024	+23.78%	0.1754	✗	1.89
2025-12-24	oos	0.2488	0.247821	-0.39%	0.3096	+24.44%	0.1827	✗	1.89
2025-12-23	oos	0.2436	0.243087	-0.21%	0.3143	+29.02%	0.2139	✗	1.87
2025-12-22	oos	0.2477	0.247075	-0.25%	0.3148	+27.09%	0.2253	✗	1.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.24925	0.248209	-0.42%	0.30075	+20.66%	0.1989	✗	1.86
2025-12-20	oos	0.2561	0.254093	-0.78%	0.3232	+26.20%	0.1527	✗	1.88
2025-12-19	oos	0.2542	0.252517	-0.66%	0.3426	+34.78%	0.1906	✗	1.88
2025-12-18	oos	0.24065	0.238709	-0.81%	0.3621	+50.47%	0.2161	✗	1.87
2025-12-17	oos	0.2509	0.248124	-1.11%	0.3721	+48.31%	0.2131	✗	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.2637	0.260888	-1.07%	0.3664	+38.95%	0.1813	✗	1.88
2025-12-15	oos	0.2638	0.260032	-1.43%	0.38445	+45.74%	0.1736	✗	1.89
2025-12-14	oos	0.2785	0.273741	-1.71%	0.3951	+41.87%	0.2187	✗	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.2891	0.28456	-1.57%	0.37705	+30.42%	0.2620	✗	1.89
2025-12-12	oos	0.2881	0.284683	-1.19%	0.3827	+32.84%	0.2835	✗	1.89
2025-12-11	oos	0.2974	0.294571	-0.95%	0.3862	+29.86%	0.3159	✗	1.90
2025-12-10	oos	0.30685	0.30291	-1.28%	0.3733	+21.66%	0.2407	✗	1.91
2025-12-09	oos	0.3159	0.310957	-1.56%	0.354	+12.06%	0.1643	✗	1.91
2025-12-08	oos	0.3006	0.295922	-1.56%	0.3476	+15.64%	0.1479	✗	1.90
2025-12-07	oos	0.2932	0.288996	-1.43%	0.3722	+26.94%	0.1847	✗	1.89
2025-12-06	oos	0.2967	0.291861	-1.63%	0.3755	+26.56%	0.1560	✗	1.91
2025-12-05	oos	0.2922	0.287985	-1.44%	0.3558	+21.77%	0.1661	✗	1.91
2025-12-04	oos	0.3079	0.303816	-1.33%	0.3022	-1.85%	0.0260	✗	1.91
2025-12-03	oos	0.3205	0.31587	-1.44%	0.276	-13.88%	0.0621	✓	1.91
2025-12-02	oos	0.308	0.304291	-1.20%	0.2632	-14.55%	0.0904	✓	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.2824	0.279384	-1.07%	0.24385	-13.65%	0.1632	✓	1.94
2025-11-30	oos	0.30755	0.303168	-1.42%	0.2535	-17.57%	0.1359	✓	1.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.3129	0.308487	-1.41%	0.2547	-18.60%	0.1105	✓	1.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.3171	0.312809	-1.35%	0.2646	-16.56%	0.1017	✓	1.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.32335	0.318709	-1.44%	0.2656	-17.86%	0.1062	✓	1.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.3224	0.317294	-1.58%	0.25095	-22.16%	0.1659	✓	1.92
2025-11-25	oos	0.3193	0.313322	-1.87%	0.2443	-23.49%	0.2454	✓	1.98
2025-11-24	oos	0.321	0.314801	-1.93%	0.2488	-22.49%	0.2205	✓	1.99
2025-11-23	oos	0.3078	0.302299	-1.79%	0.2436	-20.86%	0.2300	✓	1.98
2025-11-22	oos	0.3075	0.302077	-1.76%	0.2477	-19.45%	0.2894	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.3121	0.306686	-1.73%	0.24925	-20.14%	0.2909	✓	2.03
2025-11-20	oos	0.3277	0.320366	-2.24%	0.2561	-21.85%	0.2653	✓	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.342	0.334619	-2.16%	0.2542	-25.67%	0.1950	✓	2.13
2025-11-18	oos	0.3463	0.338546	-2.24%	0.24065	-30.51%	0.1625	✓	2.14
2025-11-17	oos	0.3375	0.330242	-2.15%	0.2509	-25.66%	0.1331	✓	2.14
2025-11-16	oos	0.3473	0.33995	-2.12%	0.2637	-24.07%	0.1045	✓	2.15
2025-11-15	oos	0.3604	0.352557	-2.18%	0.2638	-26.80%	0.0741	✓	2.15
2025-11-14	oos	0.3595	0.351845	-2.13%	0.2785	-22.53%	0.0841	✓	2.16
2025-11-13	oos	0.38295	0.375876	-1.85%	0.2891	-24.51%	0.0417	✓	2.24
2025-11-12	oos	0.40275	0.394824	-1.97%	0.2881	-28.47%	0.0502	✓	2.23
2025-11-11	oos	0.4116	0.40363	-1.94%	0.2974	-27.75%	0.0645	✓	2.25
2025-11-10	oos	0.4293	0.419853	-2.20%	0.30685	-28.52%	0.0061	✓	2.27
2025-11-09	oos	0.422	0.411645	-2.45%	0.3159	-25.14%	0.0127	✓	2.28
2025-11-08	oos	0.4026	0.393127	-2.35%	0.3006	-25.34%	0.0073	✓	2.28
2025-11-07	oos	0.4112	0.40057	-2.59%	0.2932	-28.70%	0.0121	✓	2.25
2025-11-06	oos	0.3523	0.347039	-1.49%	0.2967	-15.78%	0.1190	✗	2.18
2025-11-05	oos	0.3613	0.357784	-0.97%	0.2922	-19.13%	0.1293	✗	2.20
2025-11-04	oos	0.3551	0.351424	-1.04%	0.3079	-13.29%	0.0850	✗	2.24
2025-11-03	oos	0.3715	0.370252	-0.34%	0.3205	-13.73%	0.1632	✗	2.34
2025-11-02	oos	0.4251	0.41964	-1.28%	0.308	-27.55%	0.1295	✗	2.30
2025-11-01	oos	0.4243	0.419011	-1.25%	0.2824	-33.44%	0.1660	✗	2.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.4127	0.409322	-0.82%	0.30755	-25.48%	0.1567	✗	2.30
2025-10-30	oos	0.4062	0.403217	-0.73%	0.3129	-22.97%	0.1516	✗	2.30
2025-10-29	oos	0.44075	0.435164	-1.27%	0.3171	-28.05%	0.1166	✗	2.27
2025-10-28	oos	0.4417	0.437784	-0.89%	0.32335	-26.79%	0.1912	✗	2.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.458	0.451415	-1.44%	0.3224	-29.61%	0.2031	✗	2.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.4691	0.460021	-1.94%	0.3193	-31.93%	0.2660	✗	2.33
2025-10-25	oos	0.4467	0.438139	-1.92%	0.321	-28.14%	0.2415	✗	2.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.44955	0.440111	-2.10%	0.3078	-31.53%	0.2260	✗	2.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.4321	0.424031	-1.87%	0.3075	-28.84%	0.2990	✗	2.36
2025-10-22	oos	0.4216	0.41409	-1.78%	0.3121	-25.97%	0.2743	✗	2.37
2025-10-21	oos	0.4273	0.419475	-1.83%	0.3277	-23.31%	0.2872	✗	2.37
2025-10-20	oos	0.4426	0.432015	-2.39%	0.342	-22.73%	0.2248	✗	2.42
2025-10-19	oos	0.4367	0.426475	-2.34%	0.3463	-20.70%	0.1698	✗	2.41
2025-10-18	oos	0.4218	0.412774	-2.14%	0.3375	-19.99%	0.1646	✗	2.41
2025-10-17	oos	0.42245	0.414475	-1.89%	0.3473	-17.79%	0.1180	✗	2.41
2025-10-16	oos	0.4364	0.4268	-2.20%	0.3604	-17.42%	0.1309	✗	2.41
2025-10-15	oos	0.4554	0.445373	-2.20%	0.3595	-21.06%	0.1713	✗	2.42
2025-10-14	oos	0.4704	0.461127	-1.97%	0.38295	-18.59%	0.1240	✗	2.45
2025-10-13	oos	0.48935	0.479196	-2.07%	0.40275	-17.70%	0.1346	✗	2.45
2025-10-12	oos	0.4605	0.452649	-1.70%	0.4116	-10.62%	0.1709	✗	2.40
2025-10-11	oos	0.422	0.417226	-1.13%	0.4293	+1.73%	0.1347	✗	2.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.4292	0.42678	-0.56%	0.422	-1.68%	0.1751	✗	2.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.5939	0.5793	-2.46%	0.4026	-32.21%	0.0240	✓	1.95
2025-10-08	oos	0.61245	0.596522	-2.60%	0.4112	-32.86%	0.0283	✓	1.94
2025-10-07	oos	0.5965	0.580528	-2.68%	0.3523	-40.94%	0.1502	✓	1.93
2025-10-06	oos	0.6297	0.610969	-2.97%	0.3613	-42.62%	0.1701	✓	1.94
2025-10-05	oos	0.5985	0.583297	-2.54%	0.3551	-40.67%	0.1168	✓	1.93
2025-10-04	oos	0.6028	0.587849	-2.48%	0.3715	-38.37%	0.1901	✓	1.93
2025-10-03	oos	0.62005	0.604754	-2.47%	0.4251	-31.44%	0.1564	✓	1.94
2025-10-02	oos	0.6237	0.607158	-2.65%	0.4243	-31.97%	0.1793	✓	1.95
2025-10-01	oos	0.6052	0.590649	-2.40%	0.4127	-31.81%	0.2009	✓	1.97
2025-09-30	oos	0.572	0.557325	-2.57%	0.4062	-28.99%	0.2124	✓	2.01
2025-09-29	oos	0.58455	0.567849	-2.86%	0.44075	-24.60%	0.1748	✓	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.585	0.566421	-3.18%	0.4417	-24.50%	0.2618	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.57445	0.554472	-3.48%	0.458	-20.27%	0.2743	✓	2.11
2025-09-26	oos	0.5796	0.558374	-3.66%	0.4691	-19.06%	0.2660	✓	2.12
2025-09-25	oos	0.5648	0.54457	-3.58%	0.4467	-20.91%	0.2486	✓	2.12
2025-09-24	oos	0.59475	0.572739	-3.70%	0.44955	-24.41%	0.1973	✓	2.18
2025-09-23	oos	0.59685	0.575234	-3.62%	0.4321	-27.60%	0.2484	✓	2.20
2025-09-22	oos	0.60435	0.582634	-3.59%	0.4216	-30.24%	0.2208	✓	2.20
2025-09-21	oos	0.6457	0.620142	-3.96%	0.4273	-33.82%	0.2368	✓	2.19
2025-09-20	oos	0.6585	0.633208	-3.84%	0.4426	-32.79%	0.2557	✓	2.23
2025-09-19	oos	0.65575	0.631591	-3.68%	0.4367	-33.40%	0.2289	✓	2.24
2025-09-18	oos	0.6902	0.662747	-3.98%	0.4218	-38.89%	0.2538	✓	2.24

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.