OPTIM

Optimism · · beta_5y

token id: #80
symbol: OPTIM
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-06-01
predictions: 4,773

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

51.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0731

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0034

actual -0.0149

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.129435	0.126905	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-21	oos	0.131675	0.128943	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.12975	0.126872	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.124265	0.122053	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.125295	0.123146	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.129015	0.126795	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-16	oos	0.13792	0.135158	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-15	oos	0.13735	0.134511	-2.07%	0.129435	-5.76%	0.0790	✓	1.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.14076	0.137571	-2.27%	0.131675	-6.45%	0.0660	✓	1.61
2026-10-13	oos	0.158405	0.152847	-3.51%	0.12975	-18.09%	0.1607	✓	1.57
2026-10-12	oos	0.130645	0.128181	-1.89%	0.124265	-4.88%	0.0328	✓	1.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.14363	0.140015	-2.52%	0.125295	-12.77%	0.0824	✓	1.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.13915	0.135337	-2.74%	0.129015	-7.28%	0.0216	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.13233	0.129148	-2.40%	0.13792	+4.22%	0.0836	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.11895	0.117047	-1.60%	0.13735	+15.47%	0.1527	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.123	0.120716	-1.86%	0.14076	+14.44%	0.1823	✗	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	0.130325	0.127673	-2.04%	0.158405	+21.55%	0.2553	✗	1.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.138525	0.135253	-2.36%	0.130645	-5.69%	0.0305	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.134225	0.131251	-2.22%	0.14363	+7.01%	0.1363	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.136365	0.132765	-2.64%	0.13915	+2.04%	0.0777	✗	1.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.1272	0.124085	-2.45%	0.13233	+4.03%	0.0974	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.12807	0.124835	-2.53%	0.11895	-7.12%	0.0051	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.129565	0.126059	-2.71%	0.123	-5.07%	0.0197	✓	1.44
2026-09-29	oos	0.128755	0.125109	-2.83%	0.130325	+1.22%	0.0084	✓	1.44
2026-09-28	oos	0.1342	0.130114	-3.04%	0.138525	+3.22%	0.0244	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	0.14935	0.144317	-3.37%	0.134225	-10.13%	0.1053	✓	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	0.14384	0.138961	-3.39%	0.136365	-5.20%	0.0241	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.146435	0.140869	-3.80%	0.1272	-13.14%	0.1088	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.1314	0.127579	-2.91%	0.12807	-2.53%	0.0038	✓	1.40
2026-09-23	oos	0.12285	0.119863	-2.43%	0.129565	+5.47%	0.0916	✗	1.41
2026-09-22	oos	0.135295	0.131471	-2.83%	0.128755	-4.83%	0.0193	✓	1.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.12745	0.124152	-2.59%	0.1342	+5.30%	0.1256	✗	1.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.12514	0.121279	-3.09%	0.14935	+19.35%	0.1531	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.121635	0.117872	-3.09%	0.14384	+18.26%	0.1460	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.120565	0.116363	-3.49%	0.146435	+21.46%	0.1756	✗	1.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.1009	0.100681	-0.22%	0.1314	+30.23%	0.1446	✗	1.22
2026-09-16	oos	0.095765	0.096886	+1.17%	0.12285	+28.28%	0.1142	✓	1.20
2026-09-15	oos	0.093615	0.095544	+2.06%	0.135295	+44.52%	0.1945	✓	1.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.10221	0.103521	+1.28%	0.12745	+24.69%	0.0954	✓	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	0.094715	0.097259	+2.69%	0.12514	+32.12%	0.1932	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.095695	0.098671	+3.11%	0.121635	+27.11%	0.1559	✓	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.095525	0.0993	+3.95%	0.120565	+26.21%	0.1447	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.09379	0.097846	+4.33%	0.1009	+7.58%	0.0334	✓	1.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.099445	0.103815	+4.39%	0.095765	-3.70%	0.0515	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.1053	0.109392	+3.89%	0.093615	-11.10%	0.1160	✗	1.07
2026-09-07	oos	0.11045	0.114385	+3.56%	0.10221	-7.46%	0.1001	✗	1.07
2026-09-06	oos	0.1102	0.114834	+4.21%	0.094715	-14.05%	0.1450	✗	1.06
2026-09-05	oos	0.10758	0.11217	+4.27%	0.095695	-11.05%	0.1243	✗	1.06
2026-09-04	oos	0.09814	0.103609	+5.57%	0.095525	-2.66%	0.0482	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.10119	0.107188	+5.93%	0.09379	-7.31%	0.0705	✗	1.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.09923	0.102914	+3.71%	0.099445	+0.22%	0.0495	✗	1.21
2026-09-01	oos	0.09518	0.098676	+3.67%	0.1053	+10.63%	0.0484	✓	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.09355	0.097308	+4.02%	0.11045	+18.07%	0.1193	✓	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.08641	0.089634	+3.73%	0.1102	+27.53%	0.1700	✓	1.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.08869	0.091882	+3.60%	0.10758	+21.30%	0.1373	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.09007	0.092862	+3.10%	0.09814	+8.96%	0.0316	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.09722	0.100077	+2.94%	0.10119	+4.08%	0.0010	✓	0.98
2026-08-26	oos	0.099	0.100997	+2.02%	0.09923	+0.23%	0.0042	✓	0.99
2026-08-25	oos	0.10149	0.102917	+1.41%	0.09518	-6.22%	0.0636	✗	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.10775	0.108568	+0.76%	0.09355	-13.18%	0.1436	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.11218	0.111927	-0.23%	0.08641	-22.97%	0.2579	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.10893	0.108356	-0.53%	0.08869	-18.58%	0.2157	✓	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.10715	0.106466	-0.64%	0.09007	-15.94%	0.1608	✓	1.03
2026-08-20	oos	0.098	0.097206	-0.81%	0.09722	-0.80%	0.0946	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08996	0.089326	-0.70%	0.099	+10.05%	0.0229	✓	0.96
2026-08-18	oos	0.08199	0.081443	-0.67%	0.10149	+23.78%	0.0481	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.08417	0.083658	-0.61%	0.10775	+28.01%	0.0705	✗	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.08335	0.0829	-0.54%	0.11218	+34.59%	0.1088	✗	0.91
2026-08-15	oos	0.08482	0.084332	-0.58%	0.10893	+28.42%	0.0733	✗	0.91
2026-08-14	oos	0.08635	0.08579	-0.65%	0.10715	+24.09%	0.0228	✗	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.08867	0.087938	-0.83%	0.098	+10.52%	0.0208	✓	0.92
2026-08-12	oos	0.085925	0.085422	-0.59%	0.08996	+4.70%	0.0316	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.0915	0.090648	-0.93%	0.08199	-10.39%	0.1168	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0915	0.090509	-1.08%	0.08417	-8.01%	0.0807	✓	0.92
2026-08-09	oos	0.088	0.087327	-0.76%	0.08335	-5.28%	0.0166	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.0885	0.087763	-0.83%	0.08482	-4.16%	0.0059	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.0865	0.08577	-0.84%	0.08635	-0.17%	0.0349	✗	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.0865	0.085758	-0.86%	0.08867	+2.51%	0.0456	✗	0.93
2026-08-05	oos	0.0875	0.086699	-0.92%	0.085925	-1.80%	0.0088	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.0885	0.087507	-1.12%	0.0915	+3.39%	0.0522	✗	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.0885	0.08739	-1.25%	0.0915	+3.39%	0.0392	✗	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.086	0.085122	-1.02%	0.088	+2.33%	0.0128	✗	0.97
2026-08-01	oos	0.0825	0.081809	-0.84%	0.0885	+7.27%	0.0465	✗	0.95
2026-07-31	oos	0.085	0.084311	-0.81%	0.0865	+1.76%	0.0053	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0875	0.087108	-0.45%	0.0865	-1.14%	0.0002	✓	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.0895	0.089032	-0.52%	0.0875	-2.23%	0.0280	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	0.0895	0.089107	-0.44%	0.0885	-1.12%	0.0099	✓	0.97
2026-07-27	oos	0.0875	0.087344	-0.18%	0.0885	+1.14%	0.0166	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	0.0955	0.095151	-0.36%	0.086	-9.95%	0.0750	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.0925	0.092499	-0.00%	0.0825	-10.81%	0.0925	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.0925	0.092647	+0.16%	0.085	-8.11%	0.0683	✗	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.0925	0.092929	+0.46%	0.0875	-5.41%	0.0556	✗	0.91
2026-07-22	oos	0.0965	0.096914	+0.43%	0.0895	-7.25%	0.0498	✗	0.88
2026-07-21	oos	0.098	0.098304	+0.31%	0.0895	-8.67%	0.0577	✗	0.88
2026-07-20	oos	0.0945	0.094851	+0.37%	0.0875	-7.41%	0.0611	✗	0.83
2026-07-19	oos	0.0945	0.094804	+0.32%	0.0955	+1.06%	0.0011	✓	0.83
2026-07-18	oos	0.0955	0.095805	+0.32%	0.0925	-3.14%	0.0286	✗	0.84
2026-07-17	oos	0.0965	0.096727	+0.24%	0.0925	-4.15%	0.0473	✗	0.87
2026-07-16	oos	0.0985	0.098604	+0.11%	0.0925	-6.09%	0.0817	✗	0.90
2026-07-15	oos	0.1025	0.102515	+0.01%	0.0965	-5.85%	0.0789	✗	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.1015	0.101589	+0.09%	0.098	-3.45%	0.0569	✗	0.90
2026-07-13	oos	0.0985	0.098463	-0.04%	0.0945	-4.06%	0.0844	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.1005	0.100545	+0.05%	0.0945	-5.97%	0.0758	✗	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.1015	0.101528	+0.03%	0.0955	-5.91%	0.0773	✗	1.01
2026-07-10	oos	0.1035	0.103448	-0.05%	0.0965	-6.76%	0.0657	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.102	0.101936	-0.06%	0.0985	-3.43%	0.0441	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0995	0.099488	-0.01%	0.1025	+3.02%	0.0107	✓	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.102	0.101954	-0.05%	0.1015	-0.49%	0.0312	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.107	0.106703	-0.28%	0.0985	-7.94%	0.0518	✓	1.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.1085	0.108066	-0.40%	0.1005	-7.37%	0.0752	✓	1.07
2026-07-04	oos	0.1075	0.107039	-0.43%	0.1015	-5.58%	0.0648	✓	1.07
2026-07-03	oos	0.107	0.106411	-0.55%	0.1035	-3.27%	0.0545	✓	1.05
2026-07-02	oos	0.099	0.098788	-0.21%	0.102	+3.03%	0.0042	✗	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.095	0.094879	-0.13%	0.0995	+4.74%	0.0098	✗	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.097	0.096669	-0.34%	0.102	+5.15%	0.0297	✓	1.06
2026-06-29	oos	0.1005	0.100101	-0.40%	0.107	+6.47%	0.0016	✓	1.05
2026-06-28	oos	0.0995	0.099104	-0.40%	0.1085	+9.05%	0.0192	✗	1.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.1005	0.100076	-0.42%	0.1075	+6.97%	0.0163	✗	1.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.105	0.10427	-0.70%	0.107	+1.90%	0.0185	✓	1.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.106	0.105064	-0.88%	0.099	-6.60%	0.0912	✓	1.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.1045	0.103602	-0.86%	0.095	-9.09%	0.0680	✓	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.1015	0.100875	-0.62%	0.097	-4.43%	0.0395	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.1005	0.099911	-0.59%	0.1005	+0.00%	0.0773	✗	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.0995	0.098995	-0.51%	0.0995	+0.00%	0.0769	✗	1.17
2026-06-20	oos	0.1035	0.102683	-0.79%	0.1005	-2.90%	0.0537	✗	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.1035	0.102707	-0.77%	0.105	+1.45%	0.0838	✗	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.1095	0.108172	-1.21%	0.106	-3.20%	0.0383	✗	1.13
2026-06-17	oos	0.109	0.10763	-1.26%	0.1045	-4.13%	0.0342	✗	1.15
2026-06-16	oos	0.1085	0.107045	-1.34%	0.1015	-6.45%	0.0012	✓	1.17
2026-06-15	oos	0.1085	0.106798	-1.57%	0.1005	-7.37%	0.0176	✓	1.21
2026-06-14	oos	0.108	0.106272	-1.60%	0.0995	-7.87%	0.0196	✓	1.21
2026-06-13	oos	0.1065	0.104624	-1.76%	0.1035	-2.82%	0.0068	✓	1.24
2026-06-12	oos	0.0995	0.098325	-1.18%	0.1035	+4.02%	0.0525	✗	1.23
2026-06-11	oos	0.096	0.095134	-0.90%	0.1095	+14.06%	0.1539	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.0905	0.09004	-0.51%	0.109	+20.44%	0.1334	✗	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.0965	0.095539	-1.00%	0.1085	+12.44%	0.0528	✗	1.20
2026-06-08	oos	0.096	0.095287	-0.74%	0.1085	+13.02%	0.0690	✗	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.097	0.096147	-0.88%	0.108	+11.34%	0.0712	✗	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.093786	-0.23%	0.1065	+13.30%	0.0579	✗	1.21
2026-06-05	oos	0.098	0.097515	-0.49%	0.0995	+1.53%	0.0284	✓	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.112	0.110121	-1.68%	0.096	-14.29%	0.1330	✓	1.11
2026-06-03	oos	0.123	0.120166	-2.30%	0.0905	-26.42%	0.2380	✓	1.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.115	0.112953	-1.78%	0.0965	-16.09%	0.0628	✓	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.124	0.120774	-2.60%	0.096	-22.58%	0.0888	✓	1.14
2026-05-31	oos	0.1185	0.116064	-2.06%	0.097	-18.14%	0.0035	✓	1.22
2026-05-30	oos	0.1205	0.118155	-1.95%	0.094	-21.99%	0.0006	✓	1.18
2026-05-29	oos	0.1185	0.116335	-1.83%	0.098	-17.30%	0.0449	✗	1.18
2026-05-28	oos	0.1185	0.116537	-1.66%	0.112	-5.49%	0.1269	✗	1.18
2026-05-27	oos	0.124	0.121824	-1.75%	0.123	-0.81%	0.1798	✗	1.14
2026-05-26	oos	0.127	0.124823	-1.71%	0.115	-9.45%	0.0662	✗	1.15
2026-05-25	oos	0.1295	0.127453	-1.58%	0.124	-4.25%	0.0626	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.126	0.12435	-1.31%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0029	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.1305	0.128432	-1.58%	0.1205	-7.66%	0.0223	✓	1.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.126	0.124333	-1.32%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0178	✓	1.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.1325	0.130508	-1.50%	0.1185	-10.57%	0.0394	✓	1.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.129	0.127361	-1.27%	0.124	-3.88%	0.0165	✗	1.04
2026-05-19	oos	0.1255	0.124193	-1.04%	0.127	+1.20%	0.0348	✗	1.01
2026-05-18	oos	0.1295	0.127941	-1.20%	0.1295	+0.00%	0.0080	✓	1.05
2026-05-17	oos	0.1285	0.127192	-1.02%	0.126	-1.95%	0.0036	✓	1.05
2026-05-16	oos	0.1325	0.131121	-1.04%	0.1305	-1.51%	0.0149	✗	1.04
2026-05-15	oos	0.1365	0.134973	-1.12%	0.126	-7.69%	0.0198	✓	1.05
2026-05-14	oos	0.1445	0.142623	-1.30%	0.1325	-8.30%	0.0273	✓	1.04
2026-05-13	oos	0.1465	0.144438	-1.41%	0.129	-11.95%	0.0886	✓	1.05
2026-05-12	oos	0.152	0.14983	-1.43%	0.1255	-17.43%	0.1283	✓	1.03
2026-05-11	oos	0.157	0.155029	-1.26%	0.1295	-17.52%	0.1181	✓	1.03
2026-05-10	oos	0.1635	0.161351	-1.31%	0.1285	-21.41%	0.1661	✓	1.03
2026-05-09	oos	0.164	0.161698	-1.40%	0.1325	-19.21%	0.1659	✓	1.03
2026-05-08	oos	0.172	0.168363	-2.11%	0.1365	-20.64%	0.1952	✓	1.02
2026-05-07	oos	0.148	0.146248	-1.18%	0.1445	-2.36%	0.0256	✓	1.02
2026-05-06	oos	0.1425	0.140967	-1.08%	0.1465	+2.81%	0.0648	✗	0.98
2026-05-05	oos	0.1285	0.128055	-0.35%	0.152	+18.29%	0.1769	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.124	0.123573	-0.34%	0.157	+26.61%	0.2162	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.123	0.122673	-0.27%	0.1635	+32.93%	0.2412	✗	1.02
2026-05-02	oos	0.126	0.125519	-0.38%	0.164	+30.16%	0.2423	✗	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.121	0.120834	-0.14%	0.172	+42.15%	0.3281	✗	1.01
2026-04-30	oos	0.1205	0.119886	-0.51%	0.148	+22.82%	0.1612	✗	1.05
2026-04-29	oos	0.1195	0.118785	-0.60%	0.1425	+19.25%	0.1064	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.1215	0.121154	-0.29%	0.1285	+5.76%	0.0037	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.1225	0.122366	-0.11%	0.124	+1.22%	0.0207	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.1255	0.125543	+0.03%	0.123	-1.99%	0.0189	✗	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.1255	0.125184	-0.25%	0.126	+0.40%	0.0078	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.1255	0.125	-0.40%	0.121	-3.59%	0.0433	✓	1.09
2026-04-23	oos	0.1215	0.121528	+0.02%	0.1205	-0.82%	0.0194	✓	1.09
2026-04-22	oos	0.121	0.12106	+0.05%	0.1195	-1.24%	0.0219	✓	1.09
2026-04-21	oos	0.1235	0.122929	-0.46%	0.1215	-1.62%	0.0113	✓	1.10
2026-04-20	oos	0.1235	0.12274	-0.62%	0.1225	-0.81%	0.0236	✓	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.12	0.119159	-0.70%	0.1255	+4.58%	0.0186	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1255	0.124591	-0.72%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0203	✓	1.10
2026-04-17	oos	0.1345	0.133013	-1.11%	0.1255	-6.69%	0.0633	✓	1.10
2026-04-16	oos	0.1325	0.130397	-1.59%	0.1215	-8.30%	0.1156	✓	1.10
2026-04-15	oos	0.1195	0.118636	-0.72%	0.121	+1.26%	0.0286	✓	1.10
2026-04-14	oos	0.1115	0.111104	-0.36%	0.1235	+10.76%	0.0744	✗	1.09
2026-04-13	oos	0.1165	0.115834	-0.57%	0.1235	+6.01%	0.0438	✗	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.1065	0.10608	-0.39%	0.12	+12.68%	0.0757	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	0.1145	0.114013	-0.43%	0.1255	+9.61%	0.0564	✗	1.11
2026-04-10	oos	0.1155	0.11503	-0.41%	0.1345	+16.45%	0.0956	✗	1.11
2026-04-09	oos	0.114	0.113555	-0.39%	0.1325	+16.23%	0.1034	✗	1.11
2026-04-08	oos	0.1145	0.113966	-0.47%	0.1195	+4.37%	0.0097	✓	1.11
2026-04-07	oos	0.1185	0.117641	-0.73%	0.1115	-5.91%	0.0881	✓	1.11
2026-04-06	oos	0.1095	0.108924	-0.53%	0.1165	+6.39%	0.0180	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.1105	0.109852	-0.59%	0.1065	-3.62%	0.0583	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.1105	0.109745	-0.68%	0.1145	+3.62%	0.0487	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.1105	0.10971	-0.72%	0.1155	+4.52%	0.0441	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.1065	0.10604	-0.43%	0.114	+7.04%	0.0059	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.1105	0.109879	-0.56%	0.1145	+3.62%	0.0062	✓	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.1105	0.10977	-0.66%	0.1185	+7.24%	0.0172	✗	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.1055	0.105063	-0.41%	0.1095	+3.79%	0.0064	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.1015	0.101233	-0.26%	0.1105	+8.87%	0.0373	✗	1.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.1025	0.102363	-0.13%	0.1105	+7.80%	0.0603	✗	1.11
2026-03-27	oos	0.104	0.103931	-0.07%	0.1105	+6.25%	0.0512	✗	1.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.1085	0.108499	-0.00%	0.1065	-1.84%	0.0123	✗	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.1135	0.113579	+0.07%	0.1105	-2.64%	0.0239	✓	1.12
2026-03-24	oos	0.1135	0.113741	+0.21%	0.1105	-2.64%	0.0086	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.1135	0.113833	+0.29%	0.1055	-7.05%	0.0084	✗	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.1145	0.114652	+0.13%	0.1015	-11.35%	0.0894	✗	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.1175	0.117786	+0.24%	0.1025	-12.77%	0.0949	✗	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	0.1235	0.124045	+0.44%	0.104	-15.79%	0.1069	✗	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.1215	0.122166	+0.55%	0.1085	-10.70%	0.0997	✗	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.1265	0.127373	+0.69%	0.1135	-10.28%	0.1162	✗	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.1365	0.137522	+0.75%	0.1135	-16.85%	0.1379	✗	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.1375	0.138246	+0.54%	0.1135	-17.45%	0.1334	✗	1.16
2026-03-15	oos	0.1285	0.129272	+0.60%	0.1145	-10.89%	0.0404	✗	1.14
2026-03-14	oos	0.1235	0.12415	+0.53%	0.1175	-4.86%	0.0175	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.123	0.123297	+0.24%	0.1235	+0.41%	0.0088	✓	1.14
2026-03-12	oos	0.1195	0.119961	+0.39%	0.1215	+1.67%	0.0227	✓	1.14
2026-03-11	oos	0.121	0.121342	+0.28%	0.1265	+4.55%	0.0250	✓	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.1185	0.118795	+0.25%	0.1365	+15.19%	0.0766	✓	1.13
2026-03-09	oos	0.1185	0.118615	+0.10%	0.1375	+16.03%	0.0454	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.115	0.115206	+0.18%	0.1285	+11.74%	0.0047	✗	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.117	0.117682	+0.58%	0.1235	+5.56%	0.0182	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.121	0.121656	+0.54%	0.123	+1.65%	0.0359	✗	1.15
2026-03-05	oos	0.1255	0.126343	+0.67%	0.1195	-4.78%	0.0499	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.129	0.129869	+0.67%	0.121	-6.20%	0.0303	✗	1.17
2026-03-03	oos	0.126	0.126596	+0.47%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0944	✗	1.20
2026-03-02	oos	0.125	0.125585	+0.47%	0.1185	-5.20%	0.0510	✗	1.21
2026-03-01	oos	0.1215	0.122	+0.41%	0.115	-5.35%	0.0629	✗	1.25
2026-02-28	oos	0.1225	0.123058	+0.46%	0.117	-4.49%	0.0560	✗	1.27
2026-02-27	oos	0.12	0.120629	+0.52%	0.121	+0.83%	0.0396	✗	1.27
2026-02-26	oos	0.1195	0.120333	+0.70%	0.1255	+5.02%	0.0210	✗	1.28
2026-02-25	oos	0.124	0.12476	+0.61%	0.129	+4.03%	0.0521	✗	1.28
2026-02-24	oos	0.118	0.119035	+0.88%	0.126	+6.78%	0.0272	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.1215	0.122609	+0.91%	0.125	+2.88%	0.0616	✗	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.1225	0.124017	+1.24%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0159	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.1285	0.130217	+1.34%	0.1225	-4.67%	0.0417	✗	1.32
2026-02-20	oos	0.129	0.130926	+1.49%	0.12	-6.98%	0.0455	✗	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	0.14	0.141948	+1.39%	0.1195	-14.64%	0.1824	✗	1.33
2026-02-18	oos	0.165	0.166476	+0.89%	0.124	-24.85%	0.3270	✗	1.38
2026-02-17	oos	0.1875	0.188241	+0.40%	0.118	-37.07%	0.3979	✗	1.34
2026-02-16	oos	0.1905	0.191187	+0.36%	0.1215	-36.22%	0.3683	✗	1.34
2026-02-15	oos	0.1895	0.190212	+0.38%	0.1225	-35.36%	0.4169	✗	1.35
2026-02-14	oos	0.197	0.197137	+0.07%	0.1285	-34.77%	0.3922	✗	1.35
2026-02-13	oos	0.189	0.189578	+0.31%	0.129	-31.75%	0.3688	✗	1.34
2026-02-12	oos	0.1825	0.18344	+0.52%	0.14	-23.29%	0.2858	✗	1.35
2026-02-11	oos	0.1775	0.178904	+0.79%	0.165	-7.04%	0.0688	✗	1.33
2026-02-10	oos	0.1825	0.183855	+0.74%	0.1875	+2.74%	0.0458	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.1885	0.189687	+0.63%	0.1905	+1.06%	0.0281	✓	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.1905	0.191804	+0.68%	0.1895	-0.52%	0.0167	✓	1.35
2026-02-07	oos	0.1965	0.197651	+0.59%	0.197	+0.25%	0.0139	✗	1.36
2026-02-06	oos	0.198	0.198845	+0.43%	0.189	-4.55%	0.0173	✗	1.36
2026-02-05	oos	0.1815	0.185763	+2.35%	0.1825	+0.55%	0.0966	✗	1.49
2026-02-04	oos	0.2185	0.218678	+0.08%	0.1775	-18.76%	0.0640	✗	1.69
2026-02-03	oos	0.2125	0.213196	+0.33%	0.1825	-14.12%	0.0110	✓	1.75
2026-02-02	oos	0.2295	0.229167	-0.14%	0.1885	-17.86%	0.0084	✗	1.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.2275	0.227943	+0.19%	0.1905	-16.26%	0.0248	✗	1.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.234	0.2343	+0.13%	0.1965	-16.03%	0.0545	✓	1.81
2026-01-30	oos	0.2625	0.261389	-0.42%	0.198	-24.57%	0.0428	✗	1.82
2026-01-29	oos	0.2695	0.268084	-0.53%	0.1815	-32.65%	0.1525	✗	1.83
2026-01-28	oos	0.301	0.298009	-0.99%	0.2185	-27.41%	0.0492	✗	1.80
2026-01-27	oos	0.3015	0.298687	-0.93%	0.2125	-29.52%	0.0422	✓	1.82
2026-01-26	oos	0.2975	0.294817	-0.90%	0.2295	-22.86%	0.0449	✓	1.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.2865	0.28465	-0.65%	0.2275	-20.59%	0.0121	✓	1.79
2026-01-24	oos	0.3035	0.301242	-0.74%	0.234	-22.90%	0.0301	✓	1.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.304	0.30204	-0.64%	0.2625	-13.65%	0.0302	✓	1.78
2026-01-22	oos	0.307	0.304945	-0.67%	0.2695	-12.21%	0.0223	✓	1.78
2026-01-21	oos	0.3085	0.306012	-0.81%	0.301	-2.43%	0.0125	✓	1.79
2026-01-20	oos	0.2995	0.297845	-0.55%	0.3015	+0.67%	0.0039	✓	1.78
2026-01-19	oos	0.3195	0.317868	-0.51%	0.2975	-6.89%	0.0197	✗	1.80
2026-01-18	oos	0.323	0.32176	-0.38%	0.2865	-11.30%	0.0255	✗	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.3465	0.344498	-0.58%	0.3035	-12.41%	0.0101	✓	1.78
2026-01-16	oos	0.34	0.338379	-0.48%	0.304	-10.59%	0.0092	✗	1.78
2026-01-15	oos	0.341	0.339159	-0.54%	0.307	-9.97%	0.0186	✗	1.79
2026-01-14	oos	0.3515	0.349126	-0.68%	0.3085	-12.23%	0.0213	✗	1.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.367	0.360678	-1.72%	0.2995	-18.39%	0.0450	✓	1.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.3085	0.306374	-0.69%	0.3195	+3.57%	0.0163	✗	1.72
2026-01-11	oos	0.3155	0.313306	-0.70%	0.323	+2.38%	0.0211	✓	1.72
2026-01-10	oos	0.3175	0.31544	-0.65%	0.3465	+9.13%	0.0055	✓	1.73
2026-01-09	oos	0.3145	0.312959	-0.49%	0.34	+8.11%	0.0101	✓	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.3135	0.312205	-0.41%	0.341	+8.77%	0.0022	✓	1.76
2026-01-07	oos	0.317	0.315949	-0.33%	0.3515	+10.88%	0.0218	✓	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.332	0.330398	-0.48%	0.367	+10.54%	0.0675	✗	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.33	0.328336	-0.50%	0.3085	-6.52%	0.0005	✓	2.13
2026-01-04	oos	0.319	0.317442	-0.49%	0.3155	-1.10%	0.0085	✗	2.15
2026-01-03	oos	0.31	0.308711	-0.42%	0.3175	+2.42%	0.0334	✗	2.16
2026-01-02	oos	0.305	0.303418	-0.52%	0.3145	+3.11%	0.0226	✗	2.15
2026-01-01	oos	0.296	0.294298	-0.58%	0.3135	+5.91%	0.0086	✗	2.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.2675	0.267108	-0.15%	0.317	+18.50%	0.0825	✗	2.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.2715	0.271453	-0.02%	0.332	+22.28%	0.0776	✗	2.12
2025-12-29	oos	0.269	0.268847	-0.06%	0.33	+22.68%	0.0485	✗	2.09
2025-12-28	oos	0.274	0.273794	-0.08%	0.319	+16.42%	0.0684	✗	2.09
2025-12-27	oos	0.278	0.277401	-0.22%	0.31	+11.51%	0.0463	✗	2.07
2025-12-26	oos	0.2675	0.267313	-0.07%	0.305	+14.02%	0.0704	✗	2.05
2025-12-25	oos	0.252	0.252766	+0.30%	0.296	+17.46%	0.1215	✓	2.04
2025-12-24	oos	0.2635	0.264204	+0.27%	0.2675	+1.52%	0.0150	✓	2.05
2025-12-23	oos	0.2705	0.271049	+0.20%	0.2715	+0.37%	0.0207	✗	2.03
2025-12-22	oos	0.271	0.271961	+0.35%	0.269	-0.74%	0.0226	✓	2.03
2025-12-21	oos	0.2725	0.273527	+0.38%	0.274	+0.55%	0.0193	✓	2.04
2025-12-20	oos	0.2785	0.279402	+0.32%	0.278	-0.18%	0.0070	✓	2.06
2025-12-19	oos	0.2795	0.2802	+0.25%	0.2675	-4.29%	0.0277	✗	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.26	0.26111	+0.43%	0.252	-3.08%	0.0762	✗	2.05
2025-12-17	oos	0.273	0.274015	+0.37%	0.2635	-3.48%	0.0722	✗	2.05
2025-12-16	oos	0.2935	0.294131	+0.21%	0.2705	-7.84%	0.0738	✗	2.05
2025-12-15	oos	0.2925	0.29276	+0.09%	0.271	-7.35%	0.1276	✗	2.06
2025-12-14	oos	0.3005	0.300934	+0.14%	0.2725	-9.32%	0.1102	✗	2.07
2025-12-13	oos	0.3155	0.315562	+0.02%	0.2785	-11.73%	0.0801	✗	2.07
2025-12-12	oos	0.3075	0.307892	+0.13%	0.2795	-9.11%	0.0460	✗	2.07
2025-12-11	oos	0.3145	0.3148	+0.10%	0.26	-17.33%	0.0249	✗	2.09
2025-12-10	oos	0.3235	0.323161	-0.10%	0.273	-15.61%	0.0315	✓	2.10
2025-12-09	oos	0.3385	0.337049	-0.43%	0.2935	-13.29%	0.0262	✓	2.09
2025-12-08	oos	0.3185	0.317892	-0.19%	0.2925	-8.16%	0.0157	✗	2.07
2025-12-07	oos	0.305	0.305189	+0.06%	0.3005	-1.48%	0.0360	✓	2.06
2025-12-06	oos	0.3145	0.314235	-0.08%	0.3155	+0.32%	0.0189	✓	2.09
2025-12-05	oos	0.3005	0.300979	+0.16%	0.3075	+2.33%	0.0002	✓	2.08
2025-12-04	oos	0.319	0.319004	+0.00%	0.3145	-1.41%	0.0244	✗	2.09
2025-12-03	oos	0.3275	0.3271	-0.12%	0.3235	-1.22%	0.0209	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.3165	0.316463	-0.01%	0.3385	+6.95%	0.0357	✗	2.10
2025-12-01	oos	0.2875	0.288358	+0.30%	0.3185	+10.78%	0.0060	✗	2.13
2025-11-30	oos	0.3185	0.318463	-0.01%	0.305	-4.24%	0.0440	✓	2.14
2025-11-29	oos	0.3265	0.326138	-0.11%	0.3145	-3.68%	0.0006	✓	2.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.332	0.331381	-0.19%	0.3005	-9.49%	0.0610	✓	2.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.3335	0.33268	-0.25%	0.319	-4.35%	0.0601	✓	2.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.3255	0.324899	-0.18%	0.3275	+0.61%	0.0605	✓	2.11
2025-11-25	oos	0.3245	0.323703	-0.25%	0.3165	-2.47%	0.1203	✓	2.19
2025-11-24	oos	0.3185	0.317834	-0.21%	0.2875	-9.73%	0.0502	✓	2.20
2025-11-23	oos	0.3015	0.301771	+0.09%	0.3185	+5.64%	0.0341	✗	2.19
2025-11-22	oos	0.3025	0.303173	+0.22%	0.3265	+7.93%	0.0846	✗	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.308	0.3086	+0.19%	0.332	+7.79%	0.0774	✗	2.27
2025-11-20	oos	0.3605	0.358406	-0.58%	0.3335	-7.49%	0.1909	✓	2.21
2025-11-19	oos	0.3745	0.372002	-0.67%	0.3255	-13.08%	0.1079	✓	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.3805	0.37759	-0.76%	0.3245	-14.72%	0.0056	✓	2.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.3645	0.362448	-0.56%	0.3185	-12.62%	0.0291	✓	2.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.382	0.379433	-0.67%	0.3015	-21.07%	0.0389	✓	2.34
2025-11-15	oos	0.3895	0.386759	-0.70%	0.3025	-22.34%	0.0382	✗	2.35
2025-11-14	oos	0.378	0.375656	-0.62%	0.308	-18.52%	0.0489	✗	2.35
2025-11-13	oos	0.3905	0.388245	-0.58%	0.3605	-7.68%	0.2768	✗	2.49
2025-11-12	oos	0.3995	0.397346	-0.54%	0.3745	-6.26%	0.2059	✗	2.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.406	0.403858	-0.53%	0.3805	-6.28%	0.2051	✗	2.57
2025-11-10	oos	0.444	0.439342	-1.05%	0.3645	-17.91%	0.1765	✗	2.59
2025-11-09	oos	0.428	0.424375	-0.85%	0.382	-10.75%	0.1691	✗	2.59
2025-11-08	oos	0.424	0.419549	-1.05%	0.3895	-8.14%	0.1050	✗	2.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.424	0.416879	-1.68%	0.378	-10.85%	0.1308	✗	2.57
2025-11-06	oos	0.365	0.362676	-0.64%	0.3905	+6.99%	0.1158	✗	2.51
2025-11-05	oos	0.373	0.370611	-0.64%	0.3995	+7.10%	0.1300	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	0.345	0.344192	-0.23%	0.406	+17.68%	0.1271	✗	2.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.3525	0.352519	+0.01%	0.444	+25.96%	0.2453	✓	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.4205	0.419287	-0.29%	0.428	+1.78%	0.1621	✗	2.61
2025-11-01	oos	0.417	0.416175	-0.20%	0.424	+1.68%	0.2104	✗	2.62
2025-10-31	oos	0.3985	0.398216	-0.07%	0.424	+6.40%	0.2170	✗	2.62
2025-10-30	oos	0.4005	0.400582	+0.02%	0.365	-8.86%	0.0831	✓	2.63
2025-10-29	oos	0.4405	0.439212	-0.29%	0.373	-15.32%	0.0146	✓	2.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.436	0.435777	-0.05%	0.345	-20.87%	0.0498	✗	2.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.4515	0.45027	-0.27%	0.3525	-21.93%	0.0637	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.4645	0.462004	-0.54%	0.4205	-9.47%	0.0004	✓	2.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.4465	0.444541	-0.44%	0.417	-6.61%	0.0253	✓	2.65
2025-10-24	oos	0.4485	0.446064	-0.54%	0.3985	-11.15%	0.0770	✓	2.66
2025-10-23	oos	0.4335	0.431911	-0.37%	0.4005	-7.61%	0.0316	✓	2.65
2025-10-22	oos	0.4195	0.418912	-0.14%	0.4405	+5.01%	0.0096	✓	2.66
2025-10-21	oos	0.4335	0.432002	-0.35%	0.436	+0.58%	0.1000	✓	2.66
2025-10-20	oos	0.4475	0.444735	-0.62%	0.4515	+0.89%	0.0698	✓	2.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.439	0.437282	-0.39%	0.4645	+5.81%	0.0805	✓	2.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.4275	0.427367	-0.03%	0.4465	+4.44%	0.0654	✓	2.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.42	0.421092	+0.26%	0.4485	+6.79%	0.0495	✗	2.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.4275	0.428825	+0.31%	0.4335	+1.40%	0.0364	✗	2.69
2025-10-15	oos	0.4565	0.456161	-0.07%	0.4195	-8.11%	0.0052	✓	2.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.4855	0.484138	-0.28%	0.4335	-10.71%	0.0028	✓	2.66
2025-10-13	oos	0.503	0.499999	-0.60%	0.4475	-11.03%	0.0005	✓	2.67
2025-10-12	oos	0.488	0.486228	-0.36%	0.439	-10.04%	0.0463	✗	2.60
2025-10-11	oos	0.456	0.457089	+0.24%	0.4275	-6.25%	0.0193	✓	2.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.498	0.497807	-0.04%	0.42	-15.66%	0.0153	✓	2.60
2025-10-09	oos	0.7075	0.702286	-0.74%	0.4275	-39.58%	0.2555	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.7315	0.725954	-0.76%	0.4565	-37.59%	0.2466	✓	2.03
2025-10-07	oos	0.712	0.706525	-0.77%	0.4855	-31.81%	0.2271	✓	2.08
2025-10-06	oos	0.7585	0.751618	-0.91%	0.503	-33.68%	0.2365	✓	2.10
2025-10-05	oos	0.7185	0.713346	-0.72%	0.488	-32.08%	0.2321	✓	2.08
2025-10-04	oos	0.725	0.719276	-0.79%	0.456	-37.10%	0.2470	✓	2.08
2025-10-03	oos	0.745	0.737558	-1.00%	0.498	-33.15%	0.2276	✓	2.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.7515	0.740415	-1.48%	0.7075	-5.85%	0.0645	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.705	0.696518	-1.20%	0.7315	+3.76%	0.0330	✓	2.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.6705	0.663798	-1.00%	0.712	+6.19%	0.0658	✓	2.18
2025-09-29	oos	0.674	0.667024	-1.04%	0.7585	+12.54%	0.0608	✓	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.683	0.675354	-1.12%	0.7185	+5.20%	0.1556	✓	2.26
2025-09-27	oos	0.6735	0.665982	-1.12%	0.725	+7.65%	0.1715	✓	2.33
2025-09-26	oos	0.67	0.661904	-1.21%	0.745	+11.19%	0.1387	✓	2.36
2025-09-25	oos	0.641	0.633905	-1.11%	0.7515	+17.24%	0.0675	✓	2.35
2025-09-24	oos	0.6825	0.675126	-1.08%	0.705	+3.30%	0.0670	✓	2.41
2025-09-23	oos	0.6825	0.676208	-0.92%	0.6705	-1.76%	0.0525	✓	2.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.704	0.696815	-1.02%	0.674	-4.26%	0.0675	✓	2.39
2025-09-21	oos	0.779	0.770001	-1.16%	0.683	-12.32%	0.0568	✓	2.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.809	0.798602	-1.29%	0.6735	-16.75%	0.0434	✓	2.36
2025-09-19	oos	0.7925	0.782569	-1.25%	0.67	-15.46%	0.0294	✓	2.37
2025-09-18	oos	0.831	0.818224	-1.54%	0.641	-22.86%	0.0738	✓	2.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.