OPTIM

Optimism · · beta_5y

token id: #80
symbol: OPTIM
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-06-01
predictions: 4,773

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0288

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0033

actual -0.0023

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.129435	0.128727	-0.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-21	oos	0.12882	0.128105	-0.56%	0.129435	+0.48%	0.0066	✗	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.12975	0.128921	-0.64%	0.12882	-0.72%	0.0219	✓	1.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.124265	0.123709	-0.45%	0.12975	+4.41%	0.0261	✗	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.125295	0.12479	-0.40%	0.124265	-0.82%	0.0009	✓	1.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.129015	0.128521	-0.38%	0.125295	-2.88%	0.0378	✓	1.62
2026-10-16	oos	0.13792	0.137271	-0.47%	0.129015	-6.46%	0.0597	✓	1.62
2026-10-15	oos	0.13735	0.136695	-0.48%	0.13792	+0.41%	0.0212	✗	1.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.14076	0.139987	-0.55%	0.13735	-2.42%	0.0300	✓	1.61
2026-10-13	oos	0.158405	0.156503	-1.20%	0.14076	-11.14%	0.0768	✓	1.57
2026-10-12	oos	0.130645	0.130106	-0.41%	0.158405	+21.25%	0.1721	✗	1.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.14363	0.142613	-0.71%	0.130645	-9.04%	0.0544	✓	1.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.13915	0.13796	-0.86%	0.14363	+3.22%	0.0273	✗	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.13233	0.131378	-0.72%	0.13915	+5.15%	0.0513	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.11895	0.118435	-0.43%	0.13233	+11.25%	0.0965	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.123	0.122366	-0.52%	0.11895	-3.29%	0.0018	✓	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	0.130325	0.129607	-0.55%	0.123	-5.62%	0.0155	✓	1.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.138525	0.137562	-0.69%	0.130325	-5.92%	0.0507	✓	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.134225	0.133367	-0.64%	0.138525	+3.20%	0.0502	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.136365	0.135253	-0.82%	0.134225	-1.57%	0.0366	✓	1.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.1272	0.126327	-0.69%	0.136365	+7.21%	0.0725	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.12807	0.127209	-0.67%	0.1272	-0.68%	0.0056	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.129565	0.128673	-0.69%	0.12807	-1.15%	0.0268	✓	1.44
2026-09-29	oos	0.128755	0.127929	-0.64%	0.129565	+0.63%	0.0141	✗	1.44
2026-09-28	oos	0.1342	0.1333	-0.67%	0.128755	-4.06%	0.0378	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	0.14935	0.14809	-0.84%	0.1342	-10.14%	0.0821	✓	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	0.14384	0.142612	-0.85%	0.14935	+3.83%	0.0454	✗	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.146435	0.144822	-1.10%	0.14384	-1.77%	0.0121	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.1314	0.13042	-0.75%	0.146435	+11.44%	0.1207	✗	1.40
2026-09-23	oos	0.12285	0.122149	-0.57%	0.1314	+6.96%	0.0729	✗	1.41
2026-09-22	oos	0.135295	0.134215	-0.80%	0.12285	-9.20%	0.0600	✓	1.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.12745	0.126523	-0.73%	0.135295	+6.16%	0.0730	✗	1.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.12514	0.12411	-0.82%	0.12745	+1.85%	0.0629	✓	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.121635	0.120492	-0.94%	0.12514	+2.88%	0.0391	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.120565	0.119051	-1.26%	0.121635	+0.89%	0.0153	✗	1.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.1009	0.100667	-0.23%	0.120565	+19.49%	0.1103	✗	1.22
2026-09-16	oos	0.095765	0.095792	+0.03%	0.1009	+5.36%	0.0487	✓	1.20
2026-09-15	oos	0.093615	0.093762	+0.16%	0.095765	+2.30%	0.0125	✓	1.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.10221	0.102126	-0.08%	0.093615	-8.41%	0.0499	✓	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	0.094715	0.094889	+0.18%	0.10221	+7.91%	0.0554	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.095695	0.095902	+0.22%	0.094715	-1.02%	0.0061	✗	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.095525	0.095819	+0.31%	0.095695	+0.18%	0.0020	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.09379	0.094139	+0.37%	0.095525	+1.85%	0.0052	✓	1.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.099445	0.099794	+0.35%	0.09379	-5.69%	0.0383	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.1053	0.105567	+0.25%	0.099445	-5.56%	0.0575	✗	1.07
2026-09-07	oos	0.11045	0.110624	+0.16%	0.1053	-4.66%	0.0406	✗	1.07
2026-09-06	oos	0.1102	0.110382	+0.16%	0.11045	+0.23%	0.0172	✓	1.06
2026-09-05	oos	0.10758	0.107738	+0.15%	0.1102	+2.44%	0.0159	✓	1.06
2026-09-04	oos	0.09814	0.098487	+0.35%	0.10758	+9.62%	0.0863	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.10119	0.101528	+0.33%	0.09814	-3.01%	0.0132	✗	1.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.09923	0.099208	-0.02%	0.10119	+1.98%	0.0405	✓	1.21
2026-09-01	oos	0.09518	0.095056	-0.13%	0.09923	+4.26%	0.0444	✗	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.09355	0.093478	-0.08%	0.09518	+1.74%	0.0345	✗	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.08641	0.086411	+0.00%	0.09355	+8.26%	0.0670	✓	1.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.08869	0.088674	-0.02%	0.08641	-2.57%	0.0185	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.09007	0.089967	-0.11%	0.08869	-1.53%	0.0194	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.09722	0.096978	-0.25%	0.09007	-7.35%	0.0436	✓	0.98
2026-08-26	oos	0.099	0.098674	-0.33%	0.09722	-1.80%	0.0304	✓	0.99
2026-08-25	oos	0.10149	0.101041	-0.44%	0.099	-2.45%	0.0268	✓	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.10775	0.107065	-0.64%	0.10149	-5.81%	0.0477	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.11218	0.111128	-0.94%	0.10775	-3.95%	0.0472	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.10893	0.107738	-1.09%	0.11218	+2.98%	0.0315	✗	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.10715	0.10579	-1.27%	0.10893	+1.66%	0.0461	✗	1.03
2026-08-20	oos	0.098	0.09702	-1.00%	0.10715	+9.34%	0.0291	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08996	0.089326	-0.70%	0.098	+8.94%	0.0427	✗	0.96
2026-08-18	oos	0.08199	0.081648	-0.42%	0.08996	+9.72%	0.0358	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.08417	0.083858	-0.37%	0.08199	-2.59%	0.0254	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.08335	0.083113	-0.28%	0.08417	+0.98%	0.0108	✓	0.91
2026-08-15	oos	0.08482	0.084557	-0.31%	0.08335	-1.73%	0.0118	✓	0.91
2026-08-14	oos	0.08635	0.086052	-0.35%	0.08482	-1.77%	0.0150	✓	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.08867	0.088294	-0.42%	0.08635	-2.62%	0.0157	✓	0.92
2026-08-12	oos	0.085925	0.085675	-0.29%	0.08867	+3.19%	0.0342	✗	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.0915	0.09111	-0.43%	0.085925	-6.09%	0.0569	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0915	0.091047	-0.49%	0.0915	+0.00%	0.0105	✗	0.92
2026-08-09	oos	0.088	0.087702	-0.34%	0.0915	+3.98%	0.0562	✗	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.0885	0.088192	-0.35%	0.088	-0.56%	0.0013	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.0865	0.086211	-0.33%	0.0885	+2.31%	0.0260	✗	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.0865	0.086216	-0.33%	0.0865	+0.00%	0.0057	✓	0.93
2026-08-05	oos	0.0875	0.087188	-0.36%	0.0865	-1.14%	0.0030	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.0885	0.088114	-0.44%	0.0875	-1.13%	0.0150	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.0885	0.08808	-0.47%	0.0885	+0.00%	0.0041	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.086	0.085691	-0.36%	0.0885	+2.91%	0.0328	✗	0.97
2026-08-01	oos	0.0825	0.082264	-0.29%	0.086	+4.24%	0.0333	✗	0.95
2026-07-31	oos	0.085	0.084723	-0.33%	0.0825	-2.94%	0.0256	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0875	0.087273	-0.26%	0.085	-2.86%	0.0023	✓	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.0895	0.089237	-0.29%	0.0875	-2.23%	0.0321	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	0.0895	0.089207	-0.33%	0.0895	+0.00%	0.0025	✓	0.97
2026-07-27	oos	0.0875	0.087277	-0.25%	0.0895	+2.29%	0.0228	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	0.0955	0.095117	-0.40%	0.0875	-8.38%	0.0601	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.0925	0.092279	-0.24%	0.0955	+3.24%	0.0197	✗	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.0925	0.092312	-0.20%	0.0925	+0.00%	0.0009	✓	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.0925	0.092354	-0.16%	0.0925	+0.00%	0.0152	✗	0.91
2026-07-22	oos	0.0965	0.096294	-0.21%	0.0925	-4.15%	0.0263	✓	0.88
2026-07-21	oos	0.098	0.097723	-0.28%	0.0965	-1.53%	0.0069	✓	0.88
2026-07-20	oos	0.0945	0.094286	-0.23%	0.098	+3.70%	0.0222	✗	0.83
2026-07-19	oos	0.0945	0.094298	-0.21%	0.0945	+0.00%	0.0047	✓	0.83
2026-07-18	oos	0.0955	0.09531	-0.20%	0.0945	-1.05%	0.0070	✓	0.84
2026-07-17	oos	0.0965	0.0963	-0.21%	0.0955	-1.04%	0.0205	✓	0.87
2026-07-16	oos	0.0985	0.09826	-0.24%	0.0965	-2.03%	0.0198	✓	0.90
2026-07-15	oos	0.1025	0.102217	-0.28%	0.0985	-3.90%	0.0241	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.1015	0.101238	-0.26%	0.1025	+0.99%	0.0162	✗	0.90
2026-07-13	oos	0.0985	0.098237	-0.27%	0.1015	+3.05%	0.0074	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.1005	0.100256	-0.24%	0.0985	-1.99%	0.0043	✗	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.1015	0.101256	-0.24%	0.1005	-0.99%	0.0070	✓	1.01
2026-07-10	oos	0.1035	0.103226	-0.27%	0.1015	-1.93%	0.0111	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.102	0.10174	-0.25%	0.1035	+1.47%	0.0015	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0995	0.099276	-0.22%	0.102	+2.51%	0.0116	✗	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.102	0.101768	-0.23%	0.0995	-2.45%	0.0048	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.107	0.106691	-0.29%	0.102	-4.67%	0.0340	✓	1.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.1085	0.108149	-0.32%	0.107	-1.38%	0.0177	✓	1.07
2026-07-04	oos	0.1075	0.107146	-0.33%	0.1085	+0.93%	0.0041	✗	1.07
2026-07-03	oos	0.107	0.106597	-0.38%	0.1075	+0.47%	0.0011	✓	1.05
2026-07-02	oos	0.099	0.09874	-0.26%	0.107	+8.08%	0.0632	✗	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.095	0.094784	-0.23%	0.099	+4.21%	0.0181	✗	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.097	0.096727	-0.28%	0.095	-2.06%	0.0437	✓	1.06
2026-06-29	oos	0.1005	0.100206	-0.29%	0.097	-3.48%	0.0035	✓	1.05
2026-06-28	oos	0.0995	0.09922	-0.28%	0.1005	+1.01%	0.0005	✓	1.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.1005	0.100227	-0.27%	0.0995	-1.00%	0.0010	✓	1.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.105	0.104646	-0.34%	0.1005	-4.29%	0.0392	✓	1.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.106	0.105579	-0.40%	0.105	-0.94%	0.0109	✓	1.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.1045	0.104086	-0.40%	0.106	+1.44%	0.0417	✗	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.1015	0.101201	-0.29%	0.1045	+2.96%	0.0631	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.1005	0.100233	-0.27%	0.1015	+1.00%	0.0367	✗	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.0995	0.099273	-0.23%	0.1005	+1.01%	0.0009	✓	1.17
2026-06-20	oos	0.1035	0.103206	-0.28%	0.0995	-3.86%	0.0197	✓	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.1035	0.103228	-0.26%	0.1035	+0.00%	0.0102	✓	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.1095	0.10908	-0.38%	0.1035	-5.48%	0.0632	✓	1.13
2026-06-17	oos	0.109	0.108597	-0.37%	0.1095	+0.46%	0.0367	✗	1.15
2026-06-16	oos	0.1085	0.1081	-0.37%	0.109	+0.46%	0.0294	✗	1.17
2026-06-15	oos	0.1085	0.108025	-0.44%	0.1085	+0.00%	0.0165	✗	1.21
2026-06-14	oos	0.108	0.107523	-0.44%	0.1085	+0.46%	0.0014	✓	1.21
2026-06-13	oos	0.1065	0.105915	-0.55%	0.108	+1.41%	0.0048	✓	1.24
2026-06-12	oos	0.0995	0.099132	-0.37%	0.1065	+7.04%	0.0546	✗	1.23
2026-06-11	oos	0.096	0.095735	-0.28%	0.0995	+3.65%	0.0391	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.0905	0.090296	-0.22%	0.096	+6.08%	0.0202	✗	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.0965	0.096155	-0.36%	0.0905	-6.22%	0.0559	✓	1.20
2026-06-08	oos	0.096	0.095799	-0.21%	0.0965	+0.52%	0.0343	✗	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.097	0.096755	-0.25%	0.096	-1.03%	0.0033	✓	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.093888	-0.12%	0.097	+3.19%	0.0153	✓	1.21
2026-06-05	oos	0.098	0.097811	-0.19%	0.094	-4.08%	0.0362	✓	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.112	0.111479	-0.47%	0.098	-12.50%	0.0793	✓	1.11
2026-06-03	oos	0.123	0.122191	-0.66%	0.112	-8.94%	0.0831	✓	1.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.115	0.114485	-0.45%	0.123	+6.96%	0.1206	✗	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.124	0.123116	-0.71%	0.115	-7.26%	0.0091	✗	1.14
2026-05-31	oos	0.1185	0.117851	-0.55%	0.124	+4.64%	0.0888	✗	1.22
2026-05-30	oos	0.1205	0.119884	-0.51%	0.1185	-1.66%	0.0085	✓	1.18
2026-05-29	oos	0.1185	0.117922	-0.49%	0.1205	+1.69%	0.0152	✗	1.18
2026-05-28	oos	0.1185	0.117945	-0.47%	0.1185	+0.00%	0.0070	✗	1.18
2026-05-27	oos	0.124	0.123365	-0.51%	0.1185	-4.44%	0.0278	✓	1.14
2026-05-26	oos	0.127	0.126304	-0.55%	0.124	-2.36%	0.0047	✓	1.15
2026-05-25	oos	0.1295	0.128807	-0.53%	0.127	-1.93%	0.0068	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.126	0.125418	-0.46%	0.1295	+2.78%	0.0280	✗	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.1305	0.129753	-0.57%	0.126	-3.45%	0.0340	✓	1.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.126	0.125402	-0.47%	0.1305	+3.57%	0.0227	✗	1.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.1325	0.131733	-0.58%	0.126	-4.91%	0.0151	✓	1.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.129	0.128319	-0.53%	0.1325	+2.71%	0.0311	✗	1.04
2026-05-19	oos	0.1255	0.124936	-0.45%	0.129	+2.79%	0.0227	✗	1.01
2026-05-18	oos	0.1295	0.128836	-0.51%	0.1255	-3.09%	0.0238	✓	1.05
2026-05-17	oos	0.1285	0.127957	-0.42%	0.1295	+0.78%	0.0183	✗	1.05
2026-05-16	oos	0.1325	0.131947	-0.42%	0.1285	-3.02%	0.0171	✓	1.04
2026-05-15	oos	0.1365	0.135923	-0.42%	0.1325	-2.93%	0.0128	✓	1.05
2026-05-14	oos	0.1445	0.143801	-0.48%	0.1365	-5.54%	0.0259	✓	1.04
2026-05-13	oos	0.1465	0.145763	-0.50%	0.1445	-1.37%	0.0323	✓	1.05
2026-05-12	oos	0.152	0.151202	-0.53%	0.1465	-3.62%	0.0161	✓	1.03
2026-05-11	oos	0.157	0.156163	-0.53%	0.152	-3.18%	0.0113	✓	1.03
2026-05-10	oos	0.1635	0.162504	-0.61%	0.157	-3.98%	0.0285	✓	1.03
2026-05-09	oos	0.164	0.162942	-0.65%	0.1635	-0.30%	0.0162	✓	1.03
2026-05-08	oos	0.172	0.170214	-1.04%	0.164	-4.65%	0.0431	✓	1.02
2026-05-07	oos	0.148	0.146962	-0.70%	0.172	+16.22%	0.1550	✗	1.02
2026-05-06	oos	0.1425	0.141308	-0.84%	0.148	+3.86%	0.0637	✗	0.98
2026-05-05	oos	0.1285	0.127802	-0.54%	0.1425	+10.89%	0.1021	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.124	0.123355	-0.52%	0.1285	+3.63%	0.0277	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.123	0.122519	-0.39%	0.124	+0.81%	0.0046	✓	1.02
2026-05-02	oos	0.126	0.125403	-0.47%	0.123	-2.38%	0.0178	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.121	0.120511	-0.40%	0.126	+4.13%	0.0388	✗	1.01
2026-04-30	oos	0.1205	0.119952	-0.46%	0.121	+0.41%	0.0174	✓	1.05
2026-04-29	oos	0.1195	0.118929	-0.48%	0.1205	+0.84%	0.0055	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.1215	0.121106	-0.32%	0.1195	-1.65%	0.0054	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.1225	0.122093	-0.33%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0098	✗	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.1255	0.125088	-0.33%	0.1225	-2.39%	0.0029	✓	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.1255	0.124984	-0.41%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0101	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.1255	0.124932	-0.45%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0019	✓	1.09
2026-04-23	oos	0.1215	0.121095	-0.33%	0.1255	+3.29%	0.0472	✗	1.09
2026-04-22	oos	0.121	0.120613	-0.32%	0.1215	+0.41%	0.0063	✗	1.09
2026-04-21	oos	0.1235	0.123026	-0.38%	0.121	-2.02%	0.0432	✓	1.10
2026-04-20	oos	0.1235	0.122991	-0.41%	0.1235	+0.00%	0.0029	✓	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.12	0.119607	-0.33%	0.1235	+2.92%	0.0018	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1255	0.125033	-0.37%	0.12	-4.38%	0.0128	✓	1.10
2026-04-17	oos	0.1345	0.133722	-0.58%	0.1255	-6.69%	0.0438	✓	1.10
2026-04-16	oos	0.1325	0.131447	-0.79%	0.1345	+1.51%	0.0051	✓	1.10
2026-04-15	oos	0.1195	0.118945	-0.46%	0.1325	+10.88%	0.1031	✗	1.10
2026-04-14	oos	0.1115	0.111162	-0.30%	0.1195	+7.17%	0.0627	✗	1.09
2026-04-13	oos	0.1165	0.116033	-0.40%	0.1115	-4.29%	0.0360	✓	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.1065	0.106231	-0.25%	0.1165	+9.39%	0.0352	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	0.1145	0.114136	-0.32%	0.1065	-6.99%	0.0332	✓	1.11
2026-04-10	oos	0.1155	0.115125	-0.32%	0.1145	-0.87%	0.0068	✓	1.11
2026-04-09	oos	0.114	0.113646	-0.31%	0.1155	+1.32%	0.0022	✓	1.11
2026-04-08	oos	0.1145	0.11412	-0.33%	0.114	-0.44%	0.0121	✓	1.11
2026-04-07	oos	0.1185	0.117984	-0.44%	0.1145	-3.38%	0.0172	✓	1.11
2026-04-06	oos	0.1095	0.10914	-0.33%	0.1185	+8.22%	0.0349	✗	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.1105	0.110114	-0.35%	0.1095	-0.90%	0.0032	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.1105	0.110092	-0.37%	0.1105	+0.00%	0.0240	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.1105	0.110067	-0.39%	0.1105	+0.00%	0.0015	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.1065	0.106178	-0.30%	0.1105	+3.76%	0.0388	✗	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.1105	0.110094	-0.37%	0.1065	-3.62%	0.0132	✓	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.1105	0.110023	-0.43%	0.1105	+0.00%	0.0061	✗	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.1055	0.105151	-0.33%	0.1105	+4.74%	0.0250	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.1015	0.101205	-0.29%	0.1055	+3.94%	0.0285	✗	1.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.1025	0.102241	-0.25%	0.1015	-0.98%	0.0012	✓	1.11
2026-03-27	oos	0.104	0.103745	-0.24%	0.1025	-1.44%	0.0115	✓	1.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.1085	0.108239	-0.24%	0.104	-4.15%	0.0001	✓	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.1135	0.113225	-0.24%	0.1085	-4.41%	0.0020	✓	1.12
2026-03-24	oos	0.1135	0.113252	-0.22%	0.1135	+0.00%	0.0100	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.1135	0.11327	-0.20%	0.1135	+0.00%	0.0074	✗	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.1145	0.114246	-0.22%	0.1135	-0.87%	0.0568	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.1175	0.117261	-0.20%	0.1145	-2.55%	0.0059	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	0.1235	0.123247	-0.21%	0.1175	-4.86%	0.0217	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.1215	0.121303	-0.16%	0.1235	+1.65%	0.0085	✗	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.1265	0.126277	-0.18%	0.1215	-3.95%	0.0168	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.1365	0.136087	-0.30%	0.1265	-7.33%	0.0305	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.1375	0.136885	-0.45%	0.1365	-0.73%	0.0120	✗	1.16
2026-03-15	oos	0.1285	0.128128	-0.29%	0.1375	+7.00%	0.0388	✗	1.14
2026-03-14	oos	0.1235	0.123188	-0.25%	0.1285	+4.05%	0.0170	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.123	0.122536	-0.38%	0.1235	+0.41%	0.0032	✓	1.14
2026-03-12	oos	0.1195	0.119151	-0.29%	0.123	+2.93%	0.0252	✗	1.14
2026-03-11	oos	0.121	0.120582	-0.35%	0.1195	-1.24%	0.0142	✓	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.1185	0.118081	-0.35%	0.121	+2.11%	0.0204	✗	1.13
2026-03-09	oos	0.1185	0.118051	-0.38%	0.1185	+0.00%	0.0213	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.115	0.114669	-0.29%	0.1185	+3.04%	0.0093	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.117	0.116887	-0.10%	0.115	-1.71%	0.0061	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.121	0.120852	-0.12%	0.117	-3.31%	0.0180	✓	1.15
2026-03-05	oos	0.1255	0.125345	-0.12%	0.121	-3.59%	0.0110	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.129	0.128793	-0.16%	0.1255	-2.71%	0.0033	✗	1.17
2026-03-03	oos	0.126	0.125815	-0.15%	0.129	+2.38%	0.0492	✓	1.20
2026-03-02	oos	0.125	0.12481	-0.15%	0.126	+0.80%	0.0182	✗	1.21
2026-03-01	oos	0.1215	0.121346	-0.13%	0.125	+2.88%	0.0272	✓	1.25
2026-02-28	oos	0.1225	0.122349	-0.12%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0160	✗	1.27
2026-02-27	oos	0.12	0.119881	-0.10%	0.1225	+2.08%	0.0004	✓	1.27
2026-02-26	oos	0.1195	0.119439	-0.05%	0.12	+0.42%	0.0361	✗	1.28
2026-02-25	oos	0.124	0.12387	-0.10%	0.1195	-3.63%	0.0264	✓	1.28
2026-02-24	oos	0.118	0.117982	-0.02%	0.124	+5.08%	0.0277	✓	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.1215	0.121483	-0.01%	0.118	-2.88%	0.0180	✓	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.1225	0.122603	+0.08%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0503	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.1285	0.128617	+0.09%	0.1225	-4.67%	0.0421	✗	1.32
2026-02-20	oos	0.129	0.129157	+0.12%	0.1285	-0.39%	0.0045	✗	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	0.14	0.140122	+0.09%	0.129	-7.86%	0.1027	✗	1.33
2026-02-18	oos	0.165	0.164962	-0.02%	0.14	-15.15%	0.1755	✓	1.38
2026-02-17	oos	0.1875	0.187245	-0.14%	0.165	-12.00%	0.1055	✓	1.34
2026-02-16	oos	0.1905	0.190245	-0.13%	0.1875	-1.57%	0.0128	✗	1.34
2026-02-15	oos	0.1895	0.189264	-0.12%	0.1905	+0.53%	0.0052	✗	1.35
2026-02-14	oos	0.197	0.196588	-0.21%	0.1895	-3.81%	0.0174	✓	1.35
2026-02-13	oos	0.189	0.188725	-0.15%	0.197	+4.23%	0.0241	✗	1.34
2026-02-12	oos	0.1825	0.182311	-0.10%	0.189	+3.56%	0.0161	✓	1.35
2026-02-11	oos	0.1775	0.177443	-0.03%	0.1825	+2.82%	0.0444	✗	1.33
2026-02-10	oos	0.1825	0.182452	-0.03%	0.1775	-2.74%	0.0074	✗	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.1885	0.188423	-0.04%	0.1825	-3.18%	0.0071	✓	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.1905	0.190458	-0.02%	0.1885	-1.05%	0.0069	✓	1.35
2026-02-07	oos	0.1965	0.19637	-0.07%	0.1905	-3.05%	0.0506	✓	1.36
2026-02-06	oos	0.198	0.197737	-0.13%	0.1965	-0.76%	0.0187	✗	1.36
2026-02-05	oos	0.1815	0.181864	+0.20%	0.198	+9.09%	0.0880	✗	1.49
2026-02-04	oos	0.2185	0.218123	-0.17%	0.1815	-16.93%	0.0714	✗	1.69
2026-02-03	oos	0.2125	0.212321	-0.08%	0.2185	+2.82%	0.0915	✗	1.75
2026-02-02	oos	0.2295	0.229059	-0.19%	0.2125	-7.41%	0.0062	✓	1.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.2275	0.227228	-0.12%	0.2295	+0.88%	0.0292	✓	1.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.234	0.233689	-0.13%	0.2275	-2.78%	0.0139	✗	1.81
2026-01-30	oos	0.2625	0.26183	-0.26%	0.234	-10.86%	0.0099	✗	1.82
2026-01-29	oos	0.2695	0.268701	-0.30%	0.2625	-2.60%	0.0146	✓	1.83
2026-01-28	oos	0.301	0.299704	-0.43%	0.2695	-10.47%	0.0100	✓	1.80
2026-01-27	oos	0.3015	0.300246	-0.42%	0.301	-0.17%	0.0016	✓	1.82
2026-01-26	oos	0.2975	0.296238	-0.42%	0.3015	+1.34%	0.0001	✓	1.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.2865	0.285533	-0.34%	0.2975	+3.84%	0.0065	✗	1.79
2026-01-24	oos	0.3035	0.302386	-0.37%	0.2865	-5.60%	0.0027	✓	1.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.304	0.302944	-0.35%	0.3035	-0.16%	0.0097	✗	1.78
2026-01-22	oos	0.307	0.305863	-0.37%	0.304	-0.98%	0.0063	✓	1.78
2026-01-21	oos	0.3085	0.3071	-0.45%	0.307	-0.49%	0.0023	✓	1.79
2026-01-20	oos	0.2995	0.298573	-0.31%	0.3085	+3.01%	0.0116	✗	1.78
2026-01-19	oos	0.3195	0.31825	-0.39%	0.2995	-6.26%	0.0240	✗	1.80
2026-01-18	oos	0.323	0.321947	-0.33%	0.3195	-1.08%	0.0132	✗	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.3465	0.345053	-0.42%	0.323	-6.78%	0.0382	✓	1.78
2026-01-16	oos	0.34	0.338754	-0.37%	0.3465	+1.91%	0.0300	✗	1.78
2026-01-15	oos	0.341	0.339667	-0.39%	0.34	-0.29%	0.0025	✓	1.79
2026-01-14	oos	0.3515	0.349801	-0.48%	0.341	-2.99%	0.0002	✓	1.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.367	0.363369	-0.99%	0.3515	-4.22%	0.0631	✓	1.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.3085	0.307315	-0.38%	0.367	+18.96%	0.1002	✗	1.72
2026-01-11	oos	0.3155	0.314286	-0.38%	0.3085	-2.22%	0.0246	✓	1.72
2026-01-10	oos	0.3175	0.316302	-0.38%	0.3155	-0.63%	0.0120	✓	1.73
2026-01-09	oos	0.3145	0.313423	-0.34%	0.3175	+0.95%	0.0156	✗	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.3135	0.312462	-0.33%	0.3145	+0.32%	0.0164	✗	1.76
2026-01-07	oos	0.317	0.316043	-0.30%	0.3135	-1.10%	0.0022	✓	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.332	0.330631	-0.41%	0.317	-4.52%	0.0143	✗	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.33	0.328609	-0.42%	0.332	+0.61%	0.0136	✗	2.13
2026-01-04	oos	0.319	0.31773	-0.40%	0.33	+3.45%	0.0172	✓	2.15
2026-01-03	oos	0.31	0.308853	-0.37%	0.319	+2.90%	0.0111	✗	2.16
2026-01-02	oos	0.305	0.303725	-0.42%	0.31	+1.64%	0.0052	✗	2.15
2026-01-01	oos	0.296	0.294714	-0.43%	0.305	+3.04%	0.0050	✗	2.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.2675	0.266805	-0.26%	0.296	+10.65%	0.0743	✗	2.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.2715	0.270845	-0.24%	0.2675	-1.47%	0.0092	✗	2.12
2025-12-29	oos	0.269	0.268364	-0.24%	0.2715	+0.93%	0.0191	✓	2.09
2025-12-28	oos	0.274	0.273279	-0.26%	0.269	-1.82%	0.0026	✓	2.09
2025-12-27	oos	0.278	0.277057	-0.34%	0.274	-1.44%	0.0127	✓	2.07
2025-12-26	oos	0.2675	0.26672	-0.29%	0.278	+3.93%	0.0294	✗	2.05
2025-12-25	oos	0.252	0.251632	-0.15%	0.2675	+6.15%	0.0582	✗	2.04
2025-12-24	oos	0.2635	0.263028	-0.18%	0.252	-4.36%	0.0326	✓	2.05
2025-12-23	oos	0.2705	0.269917	-0.22%	0.2635	-2.59%	0.0282	✓	2.03
2025-12-22	oos	0.271	0.270518	-0.18%	0.2705	-0.18%	0.0260	✗	2.03
2025-12-21	oos	0.2725	0.272007	-0.18%	0.271	-0.55%	0.0018	✓	2.04
2025-12-20	oos	0.2785	0.277965	-0.19%	0.2725	-2.15%	0.0272	✓	2.06
2025-12-19	oos	0.2795	0.278868	-0.23%	0.2785	-0.36%	0.0067	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.26	0.259674	-0.13%	0.2795	+7.50%	0.0113	✗	2.05
2025-12-17	oos	0.273	0.27261	-0.14%	0.26	-4.76%	0.0294	✓	2.05
2025-12-16	oos	0.2935	0.292919	-0.20%	0.273	-6.98%	0.0318	✓	2.05
2025-12-15	oos	0.2925	0.291839	-0.23%	0.2935	+0.34%	0.0282	✓	2.06
2025-12-14	oos	0.3005	0.299923	-0.19%	0.2925	-2.66%	0.0166	✗	2.07
2025-12-13	oos	0.3155	0.314773	-0.23%	0.3005	-4.75%	0.0020	✓	2.07
2025-12-12	oos	0.3075	0.306931	-0.19%	0.3155	+2.60%	0.0281	✗	2.07
2025-12-11	oos	0.3145	0.313907	-0.19%	0.3075	-2.23%	0.0311	✗	2.09
2025-12-10	oos	0.3235	0.322725	-0.24%	0.3145	-2.78%	0.0373	✓	2.10
2025-12-09	oos	0.3385	0.337296	-0.36%	0.3235	-4.43%	0.0269	✓	2.09
2025-12-08	oos	0.3185	0.317641	-0.27%	0.3385	+6.28%	0.0177	✗	2.07
2025-12-07	oos	0.305	0.30441	-0.19%	0.3185	+4.43%	0.0395	✗	2.06
2025-12-06	oos	0.3145	0.313753	-0.24%	0.305	-3.02%	0.0546	✓	2.09
2025-12-05	oos	0.3005	0.300029	-0.16%	0.3145	+4.66%	0.0489	✗	2.08
2025-12-04	oos	0.319	0.318351	-0.20%	0.3005	-5.80%	0.0056	✗	2.09
2025-12-03	oos	0.3275	0.326678	-0.25%	0.319	-2.60%	0.0069	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.3165	0.315806	-0.22%	0.3275	+3.48%	0.0125	✓	2.10
2025-12-01	oos	0.2875	0.287152	-0.12%	0.3165	+10.09%	0.0234	✓	2.13
2025-11-30	oos	0.3185	0.317908	-0.19%	0.2875	-9.73%	0.0014	✓	2.14
2025-11-29	oos	0.3265	0.325829	-0.21%	0.3185	-2.45%	0.0120	✓	2.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.332	0.331241	-0.23%	0.3265	-1.66%	0.0127	✓	2.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.3335	0.332678	-0.25%	0.332	-0.45%	0.0077	✗	2.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.3255	0.324773	-0.22%	0.3335	+2.46%	0.0068	✗	2.11
2025-11-25	oos	0.3245	0.323732	-0.24%	0.3255	+0.31%	0.0721	✓	2.19
2025-11-24	oos	0.3185	0.317825	-0.21%	0.3245	+1.88%	0.0444	✗	2.20
2025-11-23	oos	0.3015	0.301143	-0.12%	0.3185	+5.64%	0.0196	✗	2.19
2025-11-22	oos	0.3025	0.3022	-0.10%	0.3015	-0.33%	0.0585	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.308	0.307632	-0.12%	0.3025	-1.79%	0.0065	✓	2.27
2025-11-20	oos	0.3605	0.359353	-0.32%	0.308	-14.56%	0.1164	✓	2.21
2025-11-19	oos	0.3745	0.373241	-0.34%	0.3605	-3.74%	0.0955	✗	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.3805	0.379018	-0.39%	0.3745	-1.58%	0.0251	✗	2.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.3645	0.363374	-0.31%	0.3805	+4.39%	0.0253	✗	2.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.382	0.380764	-0.32%	0.3645	-4.58%	0.0087	✗	2.34
2025-11-15	oos	0.3895	0.388219	-0.33%	0.382	-1.93%	0.0176	✗	2.35
2025-11-14	oos	0.378	0.376837	-0.31%	0.3895	+3.04%	0.0073	✗	2.35
2025-11-13	oos	0.3905	0.389318	-0.30%	0.378	-3.20%	0.1018	✗	2.49
2025-11-12	oos	0.3995	0.398335	-0.29%	0.3905	-2.25%	0.0307	✗	2.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.406	0.404888	-0.27%	0.3995	-1.60%	0.0210	✗	2.57
2025-11-10	oos	0.444	0.4418	-0.50%	0.406	-8.56%	0.0109	✓	2.59
2025-11-09	oos	0.428	0.426286	-0.40%	0.444	+3.74%	0.0091	✗	2.59
2025-11-08	oos	0.424	0.422009	-0.47%	0.428	+0.94%	0.0472	✓	2.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.424	0.420679	-0.78%	0.424	+0.00%	0.0329	✗	2.57
2025-11-06	oos	0.365	0.363864	-0.31%	0.424	+16.16%	0.1040	✗	2.51
2025-11-05	oos	0.373	0.371744	-0.34%	0.365	-2.14%	0.0453	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	0.345	0.344246	-0.22%	0.373	+8.12%	0.0211	✗	2.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.3525	0.35203	-0.13%	0.345	-2.13%	0.1112	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.4205	0.419294	-0.29%	0.3525	-16.17%	0.0780	✓	2.61
2025-11-01	oos	0.417	0.415939	-0.25%	0.4205	+0.84%	0.0006	✓	2.62
2025-10-31	oos	0.3985	0.397703	-0.20%	0.417	+4.64%	0.0355	✗	2.62
2025-10-30	oos	0.4005	0.399816	-0.17%	0.3985	-0.50%	0.0334	✓	2.63
2025-10-29	oos	0.4405	0.439244	-0.29%	0.4005	-9.08%	0.0516	✓	2.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.436	0.435064	-0.21%	0.4405	+1.03%	0.0808	✗	2.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.4515	0.450293	-0.27%	0.436	-3.43%	0.0047	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.4645	0.46297	-0.33%	0.4515	-2.80%	0.0144	✓	2.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.4465	0.445277	-0.27%	0.4645	+4.03%	0.0253	✓	2.65
2025-10-24	oos	0.4485	0.447165	-0.30%	0.4465	-0.45%	0.0164	✓	2.66
2025-10-23	oos	0.4335	0.432455	-0.24%	0.4485	+3.46%	0.0142	✗	2.65
2025-10-22	oos	0.4195	0.418752	-0.18%	0.4335	+3.34%	0.0272	✓	2.66
2025-10-21	oos	0.4335	0.432552	-0.22%	0.4195	-3.23%	0.0115	✓	2.66
2025-10-20	oos	0.4475	0.446249	-0.28%	0.4335	-3.13%	0.0256	✗	2.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.439	0.438021	-0.22%	0.4475	+1.94%	0.0248	✓	2.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.4275	0.426925	-0.13%	0.439	+2.69%	0.0086	✓	2.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.42	0.419677	-0.08%	0.4275	+1.79%	0.0002	✓	2.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.4275	0.427327	-0.04%	0.42	-1.75%	0.0262	✗	2.69
2025-10-15	oos	0.4565	0.456009	-0.11%	0.4275	-6.35%	0.0011	✓	2.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.4855	0.484666	-0.17%	0.4565	-5.97%	0.0060	✓	2.66
2025-10-13	oos	0.503	0.50147	-0.30%	0.4855	-3.48%	0.0193	✗	2.67
2025-10-12	oos	0.488	0.487034	-0.20%	0.503	+3.07%	0.0276	✗	2.60
2025-10-11	oos	0.456	0.455887	-0.02%	0.488	+7.02%	0.0324	✓	2.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.498	0.497647	-0.07%	0.456	-8.43%	0.0359	✓	2.60
2025-10-09	oos	0.7075	0.705005	-0.35%	0.498	-29.61%	0.1954	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.7315	0.728724	-0.38%	0.7075	-3.28%	0.0026	✓	2.03
2025-10-07	oos	0.712	0.709537	-0.35%	0.7315	+2.74%	0.0027	✓	2.08
2025-10-06	oos	0.7585	0.754957	-0.47%	0.712	-6.13%	0.0019	✓	2.10
2025-10-05	oos	0.7185	0.715782	-0.38%	0.7585	+5.57%	0.0378	✗	2.08
2025-10-04	oos	0.725	0.722306	-0.37%	0.7185	-0.90%	0.0233	✓	2.08
2025-10-03	oos	0.745	0.741637	-0.45%	0.725	-2.68%	0.0251	✓	2.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.7515	0.746561	-0.66%	0.745	-0.86%	0.0315	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.705	0.701343	-0.52%	0.7515	+6.60%	0.0343	✗	2.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.6705	0.667927	-0.38%	0.705	+5.15%	0.0322	✓	2.18
2025-09-29	oos	0.674	0.671321	-0.40%	0.6705	-0.52%	0.0045	✗	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.683	0.68021	-0.41%	0.674	-1.32%	0.0525	✓	2.26
2025-09-27	oos	0.6735	0.670855	-0.39%	0.683	+1.41%	0.0348	✓	2.33
2025-09-26	oos	0.67	0.667144	-0.43%	0.6735	+0.52%	0.0098	✗	2.36
2025-09-25	oos	0.641	0.638614	-0.37%	0.67	+4.52%	0.0337	✗	2.35
2025-09-24	oos	0.6825	0.679914	-0.38%	0.641	-6.08%	0.0345	✗	2.41
2025-09-23	oos	0.6825	0.680292	-0.32%	0.6825	+0.00%	0.0254	✓	2.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.704	0.701291	-0.38%	0.6825	-3.05%	0.0119	✓	2.39
2025-09-21	oos	0.779	0.775649	-0.43%	0.704	-9.63%	0.0450	✓	2.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.809	0.805229	-0.47%	0.779	-3.71%	0.0235	✓	2.36
2025-09-19	oos	0.7925	0.789001	-0.44%	0.809	+2.08%	0.0238	✗	2.37
2025-09-18	oos	0.831	0.826218	-0.58%	0.7925	-4.63%	0.0125	✓	2.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.