8=======>

2022-09-01 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0745
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
24.6%
in alpha space · 60.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.97e-78.49e-7-5.40%7.48e-7-16.66%0.0930✓0.821.4M2022-09-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000276060.000261812-5.16%0.00051629+87.02%0.7099✗0.75442k2022-09-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.82257.4442-4.84%7.6822-1.79%0.0459✓0.357.3M2022-09-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.70536.4032-4.50%6.8937+2.81%0.0830✗0.225.4M2022-09-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.92712.3612-4.38%12.416-3.95%0.0260✓0.5312.5M2022-09-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.21430.205812-3.96%0.187-12.74%0.0614✓0.842.9M2022-09-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1170.112507-3.84%0.13+11.11%0.1734✗0.70203k2022-09-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8533.7085-3.75%4.722+22.55%0.2813✗0.96259k2022-09-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89710.863797-3.71%0.8317-7.29%0.0221✓1.46167k2022-09-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5331.4777-3.61%1.45-5.41%0.0292✓1.1766k2022-09-08
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.87824.704-3.57%4.4451-8.88%0.0155✓1.00147k2022-09-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.14391.109-3.05%1.2129+6.03%0.1256✗0.881.3M2022-09-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9740.945091-2.97%1.038+6.57%0.1091✗0.373.8M2022-09-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.14524.0235-2.94%4.474+7.93%0.1308✗0.604.2M2022-09-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.116.6059-2.89%17.38+1.64%0.0736✗0.68685k2022-09-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001307-2.87%0.001335-0.82%0.0534✗0.792.4M2022-09-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.080.077708-2.86%0.06787-15.16%0.1334✓0.05418k2022-09-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.876.6779-2.80%6.34-7.71%0.0314✓0.502.1M2022-09-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9232.0326-2.70%37.1+12.70%0.2088✗1.5112.4M2022-09-08
XECeCashnative0.000046140.00004492-2.64%0.00004219-8.56%0.0272✓0.861.7M2022-09-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35340.344294-2.58%0.3426-3.06%0.0390✗1.07116k2022-09-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.282.2221-2.54%2.27-0.44%0.0687✗1.15229k2022-09-08
METISMetisEthereum30.5729.801-2.52%29.13-4.71%0.0552✗1.89288k2022-09-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034970.034091-2.51%0.03515+0.51%0.0719✗1.0040k2022-09-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.242.1838-2.51%2.6+16.07%0.2059✗0.76287k2022-09-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.166752-2.48%0.17034-0.39%0.0612✗0.97310k2022-09-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.795.6468-2.47%5.32-8.12%0.0409✓0.452.0M2022-09-08
XVGVergenative0.003180.003102-2.46%0.00316-0.63%0.0596✗1.00486k2022-09-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.0213.6752-2.46%13.85-1.21%0.0579✗1.10959k2022-09-08
BANDBandEthereum1.2921.2606-2.43%1.273-1.47%0.0586✗1.19460k2022-09-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82990.810447-2.34%0.8184-1.39%0.0525✗1.041.7M2022-09-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.916.7488-2.33%6.37-7.81%0.0380✓0.481.7M2022-09-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0875.9469-2.30%6.112+0.41%0.0474✗0.494.4M2022-09-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.9101-2.30%1.843-5.73%0.0334✗1.6890k2022-09-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,216.459,004.85-2.30%9,266.66+0.54%0.0855✗1.385.9M2022-09-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15411.1278-2.28%1.1279-2.27%0.0629✗1.524.5M2022-09-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.314.212-2.27%4.056-5.89%0.0181✓0.482.0M2022-09-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.53175.406-2.27%4.9672-10.20%0.0806✓0.10115k2022-09-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.7312.4428-2.26%13.883+9.06%0.1552✗1.1111.4M2022-09-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.2902-2.26%1.4+6.06%0.1188✗0.90109k2022-09-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.775.6402-2.25%5.865+1.65%0.0742✗0.858.5M2022-09-08
FLOWFlownative2.0472.0013-2.23%1.956-4.45%0.0325✗1.351.3M2022-09-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.549.3307-2.19%8.78-7.97%0.0406✓0.491.9M2022-09-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0269030.026318-2.18%0.024425-9.21%0.0696✓0.12280k2022-09-08
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.71e-7-2.17%8.80e-7-1.12%0.0434✗0.791.9M2022-09-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.68270.667899-2.17%0.6533-4.31%0.0350✗1.39214k2022-09-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6690.654503-2.17%0.652-2.54%0.0316✗0.86228k2022-09-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50230.49183-2.08%0.5067+0.88%0.0605✗0.75514k2022-09-08
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0591.0372-2.06%0.894-15.58%0.0970✓1.251.5M2022-09-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2974610.291447-2.02%0.305298+2.63%0.0910✗1.08545k2022-09-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.0471.026-2.00%1.0517+0.45%0.0598✗0.8540k2022-09-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015340.001504-1.97%0.00152-0.91%0.0396✗0.709,0932022-09-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4854.397-1.96%4.29-4.35%0.0139✓0.262.3M2022-09-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78011.7452-1.96%1.7721-0.45%0.0549✗0.961.1M2022-09-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003942-1.94%0.00399-0.75%0.0526✗0.98136k2022-09-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.7352.682-1.94%2.656-2.89%0.0260✗0.87682k2022-09-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.6981-1.92%4.54-5.22%0.0122✓0.541.1M2022-09-08
COMPCompoundEthereum48.0347.1108-1.91%48.43+0.83%0.0792✗1.259,4572022-09-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.14350.14077-1.90%0.1402-2.30%0.0380✗1.02129k2022-09-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.1847.0493-1.87%7.389+2.85%0.0895✗1.0310.5M2022-09-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.34550.339031-1.87%0.38118+10.33%0.1556✗0.93369k2022-09-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.1438.9718-1.87%9.277+1.47%0.0725✗0.951.3M2022-09-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.05570.05466-1.87%0.0517-7.18%0.0094✓1.12249k2022-09-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1981.1757-1.86%1.188-0.83%0.0511✗0.991.5M2022-09-08
NANOnanopayBase0.90010.883455-1.85%0.875349-2.75%0.0248✗0.8360k2022-09-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,586.231,557.05-1.84%1,635.73+3.12%0.1060✗1.38660.9M2022-09-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0623470.061218-1.81%0.060978-2.20%0.0396✗1.061.4M2022-09-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064010.006286-1.80%0.006191-3.28%0.0019✓0.4256k2022-09-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.627.4839-1.79%7.37-3.28%0.0291✗1.08409k2022-09-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10490.103027-1.79%0.1043-0.57%0.0564✗1.072.9M2022-09-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22650.222462-1.78%0.2042-9.85%0.0317✓1.31139k2022-09-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1410.138487-1.78%0.1491+5.74%0.1160✗1.02489k2022-09-08
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20380.200185-1.77%0.1992-2.26%0.0492✗1.32116k2022-09-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137570.135132-1.77%0.13663-0.68%0.0600✗1.19190k2022-09-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022810.022406-1.77%0.02088-8.46%0.0375✓0.80459k2022-09-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007950.007812-1.73%0.00743-6.54%0.0040✓1.12477k2022-09-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013250.01302-1.73%0.01167-11.92%0.0819✓0.67223k2022-09-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.05060.049728-1.72%0.049-3.16%0.0253✗0.97216k2022-09-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04860.047762-1.72%0.0483-0.62%0.0518✗0.99781k2022-09-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31840.312961-1.71%0.3149-1.10%0.0541✗1.16132k2022-09-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9462.8957-1.71%3.093+4.99%0.0864✗0.50650k2022-09-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.099.9184-1.70%9.92-1.68%0.0506✗1.23305k2022-09-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9276.8105-1.68%7.407+6.93%0.1272✗1.0517.4M2022-09-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.7891.7589-1.68%1.685-5.81%0.0056✓0.91121k2022-09-08
FISStafiEthereum0.36280.356719-1.68%0.3252-10.36%0.0549✓0.915072022-09-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42670.419549-1.68%0.3993-6.42%0.0021✓1.15100k2022-09-08
DASHDashDash44.7944.0423-1.67%46.28+3.33%0.0893✗0.97419k2022-09-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008690.008546-1.66%0.00886+1.96%0.0661✗0.735.5M2022-09-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.548720.539627-1.66%0.52967-3.47%0.0353✗1.3137k2022-09-08
FTTFTXEthereum26.9126.4654-1.65%26.05-3.20%0.0240✗0.977.2M2022-09-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13980.137512-1.64%0.131-6.29%0.0270✓0.523.5M2022-09-08
QNTQuantEthereum95.0293.4762-1.62%101.92+7.26%0.1215✗0.853.5M2022-09-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.052.0169-1.62%2.072+1.07%0.0737✗1.1438k2022-09-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058080.005715-1.60%0.005905+1.68%0.0608✗0.682,1822022-09-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012290.000012094-1.60%0.00001223-0.49%0.0501✗0.94828k2022-09-08
ZENHorizenBase15.8715.6184-1.59%15.53-2.14%0.0399✗1.11107k2022-09-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1240.122047-1.57%0.1624+30.97%0.3283✗1.0423k2022-09-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.4513.2413-1.55%15.71+16.80%0.2145✗1.061.9M2022-09-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29360.289048-1.55%0.3078+4.84%0.0999✗0.905.9M2022-09-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5140.506098-1.54%0.525+2.14%0.0833✗1.1383k2022-09-08
HIVEHivenative0.54860.540207-1.53%0.5518+0.58%0.0554✗0.831.0M2022-09-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94240.928043-1.52%0.9148-2.93%0.0351✗1.20846k2022-09-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3136.2173-1.52%6.478+2.61%0.0752✗0.834.8M2022-09-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46850.461404-1.51%0.4736+1.09%0.0731✗1.14384k2022-09-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4611.4389-1.51%1.415-3.15%0.0311✗1.16108k2022-09-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.099771-1.51%0.1109+9.48%0.1408✗0.85169k2022-09-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.006160.006067-1.51%0.00567-7.95%0.0415✓0.641.0M2022-09-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8031.7758-1.51%1.851+2.66%0.0857✗1.0828k2022-09-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1050770.103496-1.50%0.104355-0.69%0.0418✗0.826.9M2022-09-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.67e-7-1.48%8.90e-7+1.14%0.0589✗0.7915k2022-09-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.036163-1.46%0.0351-4.36%0.0023✓0.788,1752022-09-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30740.302914-1.46%0.2984-2.93%0.0290✗1.07103k2022-09-08
XEMNEMnative0.0440860.043447-1.45%0.044321+0.53%0.0546✗0.8429k2022-09-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.037898-1.44%0.03746-2.57%0.0217✗0.812,6082022-09-08
API3Api3Ethereum1.6931.6688-1.43%1.763+4.13%0.0927✗0.92579k2022-09-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.5656.7381-1.43%57.99+0.75%0.0622✗0.9812.6M2022-09-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.056092-1.42%0.0555-2.46%0.0277✗0.9397k2022-09-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.340210.335418-1.41%0.33034-2.90%0.0253✗0.9844k2022-09-08
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.8412-1.40%4.8-2.24%0.0260✗0.841.5M2022-09-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.061.0455-1.37%1.3273+25.22%0.2885✗1.21996k2022-09-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001490.00147-1.35%0.001463-1.81%0.0352✗0.97417k2022-09-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06120.060379-1.34%0.0618+0.98%0.0758✗1.28897k2022-09-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5095-1.34%1.42-7.19%0.0665✓-0.13128k2022-09-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.319.0435-1.33%19.14-0.83%0.0580✗1.2921.2M2022-09-08
STXStacksnative0.36280.358005-1.32%0.3621-0.19%0.0589✗1.15361k2022-09-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4140.408543-1.32%0.418+0.97%0.0648✗1.028,1172022-09-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21050.207732-1.31%0.2135+1.43%0.0693✗1.0257k2022-09-08
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1626-1.30%1.178+0.00%0.0831✗1.703.1M2022-09-08
PROPropyEthereum0.710.700841-1.29%0.73+2.82%0.0525✗0.2974k2022-09-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067370.066516-1.27%0.06606-1.94%0.0297✗0.899142022-09-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064270.063464-1.25%0.06043-5.97%0.0050✓1.072.0M2022-09-08
XMRMoneroMonero154.26152.3371-1.25%152.39-1.21%0.0422✗1.021.3M2022-09-08
SOLSolanaSolana31.6231.2318-1.23%33.62+6.33%0.1212✗1.1665.9M2022-09-08
XTZTezosTezos1.53981.521-1.22%1.5877+3.11%0.0891✗1.12279k2022-09-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028790.002844-1.22%0.002728-5.24%0.0038✓0.921.1M2022-09-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18090.17871-1.21%0.1767-2.32%0.0454✗1.382,2912022-09-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9312.8959-1.20%2.931+0.00%0.0747✗1.523.7M2022-09-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.280798-1.20%0.2794-1.69%0.0340✗0.953.0M2022-09-08
KSMKusamaHydration47.4346.865-1.19%50.26+5.97%0.1102✗0.98459k2022-09-08
GTGateEthereum4.30834.2571-1.19%4.0459-6.09%0.0190✓0.78766k2022-09-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5270.520759-1.18%0.501-4.93%0.0044✓1.0574k2022-09-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.73115.3785-1.16%126.62+8.47%0.1399✗1.144.6M2022-09-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.301950.298465-1.15%0.27969-7.37%0.0221✓1.0412k2022-09-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0580.057335-1.15%0.0599+3.28%0.0794✗0.86101k2022-09-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0133150.013166-1.12%0.012974-2.56%0.0114✗0.63932k2022-09-08
ZECZcashZcash58.9858.3289-1.10%61.13+3.65%0.0946✗1.161.7M2022-09-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.1490.14737-1.09%0.1562+4.83%0.1038✗1.111,6102022-09-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.239785-1.08%0.3012+24.26%0.2667✗0.9475k2022-09-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6740.666753-1.08%0.643-4.60%0.0163✗1.284.1M2022-09-08
MOVRMoonriverBase12.157312.0277-1.07%12.7985+5.27%0.1018✗0.9630k2022-09-08
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3156.2477-1.07%6.173-2.25%0.0414✗1.308.1M2022-09-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.273068-1.06%0.263-4.71%0.0079✓0.72660k2022-09-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.081228-1.06%0.0926+12.79%0.1694✗0.9310k2022-09-08
DIADIAEthereum0.375050.371086-1.06%0.37908+1.07%0.0609✗0.9637k2022-09-08
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7644.7148-1.03%4.5-5.54%0.0083✓1.338.0M2022-09-08
STEEMSteemnative0.22580.223491-1.02%0.2219-1.73%0.0298✗0.90475k2022-09-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211110.020896-1.02%0.020726-1.82%0.0250✗0.8113k2022-09-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,133.6519,928.63-1.02%19,321.87-4.03%0.0102✗1.00504.7M2022-09-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074490.073736-1.01%0.07073-5.05%0.0063✓1.1626k2022-09-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09250.09158-0.99%0.0972+5.08%0.0989✗0.96376k2022-09-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.44751.9278-0.99%53.27+1.57%0.0564✗0.75287k2022-09-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6680.661422-0.98%0.638-4.49%0.0038✓0.97207k2022-09-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.780270.7726-0.98%0.77284-0.95%0.0361✗0.87509k2022-09-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0427110.042292-0.98%0.040974-4.07%0.0104✓0.5226k2022-09-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020630.020429-0.97%0.0209+1.31%0.0566✗0.8210.9M2022-09-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.29082.2686-0.97%2.2544-1.59%0.0398✗1.1213k2022-09-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.043677-0.96%0.0465+5.44%0.1023✗0.96145k2022-09-08
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4285.6001-0.95%88.29+2.16%0.0935✗1.525.6M2022-09-08
ADACardanoCardano0.45760.453271-0.95%0.479+4.68%0.0936✗0.9335.8M2022-09-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156940.155508-0.91%0.15778+0.54%0.0982✗2.035152022-09-08
QTUMQtumQtum3.18193.153-0.91%3.1692-0.40%0.0466✗1.0124k2022-09-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.034983-0.90%0.0382+8.22%0.1254✗0.9184k2022-09-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04540.045012-0.85%0.04438-2.25%0.0157✗0.7215k2022-09-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95740.949314-0.84%0.9741+1.74%0.0458✗0.493.5M2022-09-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.21870.216903-0.82%0.1397-36.12%0.4403✓-0.0193k2022-09-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024630.024437-0.78%0.02409-2.19%0.0383✗1.283,4352022-09-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.098832-0.77%0.0993-0.30%0.0342✗0.722,5272022-09-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,192.4020,051.46-0.70%19,295.10-4.44%0.0003✓0.9415k2022-09-08
TRXTRONTron0.0632870.062853-0.69%0.061193-3.31%0.0019✓0.60142k2022-09-08
DODODODOEthereum0.12720.126351-0.67%0.1249-1.81%0.0309✗1.031.7M2022-09-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.485799-0.65%0.469-4.09%0.0141✗1.202,7102022-09-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.23090.229514-0.60%0.2268-1.78%0.0252✗0.9071k2022-09-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.315610.313837-0.56%0.32661+3.49%0.0730✗0.80332k2022-09-08
CBKCobakEthereum0.87990.875266-0.53%0.85429-2.91%0.0171✗1.0013k2022-09-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3460.344962-0.30%0.4045+16.91%0.2104✗1.24166k2022-09-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.971.9669-0.15%1.84-6.60%0.0460✓0.5093k2022-09-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.4721.5263+0.26%15.9-25.94%0.2738✗0.711.6M2022-09-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.